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The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share net asset value (“NAV”) to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of Brent crude oil.

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올해 상품들은 눈부시게 성과를 올리며 놀랍게도 블룸버그 상품 지수(Bloomberg Commodity Index)가 지난 11월 이후 최고 수준으로 상승했다. 석유, 금, 초콜릿의 가격상승으로 인한 랠리가 대부분의 원동력이었다. 

상품 ETF들이 대부분 급등한 가운데 United States Oil Fund (NYSE:USO) , United States Brent Oil

2024년 높은 성장세를 보이는 5가지 원자재 상품 ETF

United States Brent Oil Fund, LP ETV

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Oil is trading higher following the Fed's rate cut, which could lift demand outlook. Middle East conflict could also be driving supply uncertainty.

Econ #s

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock: 1.96M Barrel Build vs 100K Barrel Draw Est.

Oil is trading higher as Gulf of Mexico disruptions and Middle East tensions drive possible supply uncertainty. Investors also await Fed rate cuts, which could support demand.

Market Summary

General

Benzinga Market Summary: Financials Fall Amid Ally Concerns And Basel Re-Proposals, Oil Falls On Demand Outlook Cut, Trump And Harris To Debate At 9:00 p.m. ET

Oil is trading lower after OPEC cut its demand forecast and reduced next year's demand growth expectations.

Dow Jones: OPEC Trims Oil Demand Outlook Further Amid Price Slump

Oil futures edged up but then fell on Monday as <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/24/09/40754979/gas-station-charges-less-than-2-50-per-gallon-how-inflation-energy-prices-are-faring-now">a possible hurricane </a>makes its way toward the U.S. Gulf Coast, continuing last week&#8217;s losses.
Brent crude was up 16 cents, or 0.23%, to $71.22 a barrel at 8:15 a.m. ET while West Texas Intermediate crude futures were 19 cents, or 0.28%, higher at $67.86, Reuters reported.
By 10 a.m. ET, however, Brent crude slipped 26 cents, or 0.37%, to $70.80 a barrel by 10 a.m. ET while West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 21 cents, or 0.3%, at $67.53.
Prices of Brent crude had dropped over the past six trading sessions, falling by more than 11%, or almost $9 a barrel, to post the lowest closing price since December 2021 on Friday.
Analysts noted that Monday&#8217;s brief rebound was driven in part by concerns over a potential hurricane approaching the U.S. Gulf Coast, along with supply disruptions from Libya, which have been pushing prices higher, according to Reuters.
Libya&#8217;s NOC (National Oil Corporation) late last week declared force majeure on several crude cargoes loading from the Es Sider port, with oil production curtailed by a political standoff over the central bank and oil revenue, four trading sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/08/40553739/oil-prices-rally-as-middle-east-tensions-rise-libya-warns-of-potential-production-halt-10-energy-sto">Oil Prices Rally As Middle East Tensions Rise, Libya Warns Of Potential Production Halt: 10 Energy Stocks On The Move Monday</a>
A weather system in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the northwestern U.S. Gulf Coast, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said on Sunday. The U.S. Gulf Coast accounts for about 60% of U.S. refining capacity.
&#8220;A small recovery in prices is under way this morning, inspired by hurricane warnings that might threaten the U.S. Gulf Coast, but the wider conversation remains on where demand will come from and what OPEC+ can do,&#8221; said PVM analyst John Evans, according to Reuters.
The OPEC+ oil producer group last week held back a planned output increase of 180,000 barrels per day for October by two months in reaction to tumbling crude prices
Trading houses Gunvor and Trafigura are expecting oil prices to range between $60 and $70 a barrel due to sluggish Chinese demand and persistent oversupply, executives told the APPEC conference in Singapore on Monday.
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley cut its Brent price forecast for the fourth quarter from $80 a barrel to $75, adding that prices are likely to remain around that level unless demand weakens further.
Price Action: Oil companies saw gains into Monday&#8217;s early-morning trading.
<ul>
<li>Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) gained 0.56% to $113.28</li>
<li>Chevron Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) rose 0.58% to $139.37</li>
<li>Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRO#NYSE">MRO</a>) picked up 0.52% to $26.86</li>
</ul>
Exchange-traded funds that hold oil stocks declined.
<ul>
<li>United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) declined 1.15%</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) fell 2.13%</li>
<li>United States Brent Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNO#NYSE">BNO</a>) declined 1.04%</li>
</ul>
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/24/07/39600380/oil-prices-near-3-month-high-at-84-as-record-us-travel-demand-hurricane-season-impact-supply">Oil Prices Near 3-Month High At $84 As US Travel Demand Hits Record, Hurricane Season Impacts Supply</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Analyst Color

Futures

Oil Prices Seesaw As Potential Storm Nears US Gulf Coast

Oil is trading lower following reports suggesting that the U.S. and Iraq reached an understanding on plans to end the American-led coalition that will result in hundreds of troops exiting the Middle-Eastern country in late 2025 and 2026. Also, reports indicated that the Saudis will cut October's crude oil price to Asia.

In a virtual meeting held on Thursday regarding the planned output increase for October, OPEC+ reportedly decided to postpone the increase to October and November, citing recent drops in crude prices to their lowest in nine months.
The group also indicated that it may further pause or reverse the output hikes if necessary, Reuters reports.
OPEC said, "The eight participating countries have agreed to extend their additional voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day for two months until the end of November 2024,"
The news lifted oil prices by over $1 a barrel, with Brent futures briefly above $74 before retreating. Prices had hit their lowest of the year on Wednesday due to concerns over demand and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/24/09/40715953/oil-prices-retreat-as-opec-discusses-delay-in-production-hikes" rel="noreferrer noopener">production possibly coming back to Libya</a>.
OPEC+ had earlier planned a 180,000 bpd increase for October but is currently withholding 5.86 million bpd—about 5.7% of global demand—to stabilize the market amid demand uncertainty and rising external supply.
Last week, OPEC+ was prepared to proceed with the increase, but concerns about fragile oil market sentiment—due to potential additional supply from OPEC+ and resumed Libyan exports, along with a weakening demand outlook—prompted a reassessment.
As per the report, OPEC+ ministers will hold a full policy meeting on December 1, while the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, which can suggest policy changes, will meet on October 2.
RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft suggested it might be wise for OPEC+ to delay returning extra barrels until December. The planned October increase was intended for the eight OPEC+ members who had agreed in June to begin unwinding the 2.2 million bpd cut—the group's most recent reduction—starting from October 2024 to September 2025.
The remaining OPEC+ cuts of 3.66 million bpd, established in previous agreements, will remain in effect until the end of 2025.
OPEC's statement on Thursday said that after the end of November, this cut will be gradually phased out on a monthly basis, starting on December 1 and continuing until November 2025, "with the flexibility to pause or reverse the adjustments as necessary."
On Wednesday,&nbsp;Citi stated that if OPEC+ doesn't cut production further, the average price of oil could fall to $60 per barrel in 2025, driven by reduced demand and increased <a target="_blank" href="https://benzinga.com/news/24/09/40736234/citi-says-oil-prices-could-plunge-below-60-amid-market-uncertainty" rel="noreferrer noopener">supply from non-OPEC countries</a>.
Nevertheless, Citi noted that while a technical rebound in oil prices is possible, the market may lose confidence in OPEC+ maintaining the $70 per barrel level if the group doesn't commit to extending current output cuts indefinitely.
Last week, Goldman Sachs revised its oil price forecasts, catching the market off guard during a surge in crude prices driven by rising geopolitical tensions&nbsp;in the Middle East. The 2025 average Brent price forecast has also been lowered to $77 per <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/08/40576919/goldman-sachs-lowers-oil-price-forecasts-says-us-supply-beating-expectations-downpl" rel="noreferrer noopener">barrel from a previous estimate of $82</a>.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo via Shutterstock

OILK

OPEC+ To Delay Output Increase For 2 Months Till Prices Stabilize: Report

On Wednesday, Citi stated that if OPEC+ doesn&#8217;t cut production further, the average price of oil could fall to $60 per barrel in 2025, driven by reduced demand and increased supply from non-OPEC countries.
In particular, Citi analysts warned that if Brent prices drop into the $60s, financial flows could push them down further, potentially to $50 per barrel before any rebound, reported Reuters.
Nevertheless, Citi noted that while a technical rebound in oil prices is possible, the market may lose confidence in OPEC+ maintaining the $70 per barrel level if the group doesn&#8217;t commit to extending current output cuts indefinitely.
Citi adds that the market now realizes tensions don&#8217;t always result in reduced production or transit issues, turning rallies into selling opportunities. Libya&#8217;s recent production recovery and the expectation of a brief disruption, given the absence of continued hostilities, have prompted some market participants to resume shorting oil.
Consequently, Citi recommends selling into rallies when Brent nears $80, considering current market conditions.
As per the report, on August 1, OPEC+ confirmed a plan to begin unwinding the latest round of cuts—2.2 million barrels per day—starting in October, with the option to pause or reverse the plan if necessary. However, as oil prices hit a nine-month low, OPEC+ is now considering delaying the planned output increase next month, according to three sources from the producer group cited by Reuters.
Last month, Goldman Sachs trimmed Brent crude forecast by $5, setting a new range of $70-$85, citing higher OECD inventories and weaker China demand.
On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs reportedly stated AI could lower oil prices over the next decade by reducing costs and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40714152/ai-could-lower-oil-prices-via-improved-logistics-and-resource-allocation-goldman-sachs" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">increasing recoverable resources, boosting supply</a>.
The bank says that AI&#8217;s impact on energy and metals has largely centered on the demand side, anticipating a rise in power demand. However, a negative effect on oil prices could reduce the incomes of producers, including OPEC+ members.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Image by Maxx-Studio via Shutterstock

Media

Citi Says Oil Prices Could Plunge Below $60 Amid Market Uncertainty

Oil is trading higher following reports indicating OPEC+ is nearing an agreement to delay its output increase.

Oil prices fell on Wednesday after OPEC+ sources said that it was talking about holding back a plan <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40703958/trumps-drill-baby-drill-pledge-may-not-deliver-promised-energy-price-cuts-experts-warn">to boost output</a> in October due to concerns over demand and production possibly coming back to Libya.
Brent crude futures were down 53 cents, or 0.72% , to $73.20 as of 12:15 pm ET Wednesday. 
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 57 cents, or 0.81%, to $69.77. 
Both benchmarks had earlier lost $1 and then bounced back to gain $1 from Tuesday&#8217;s close, following the OPEC+ news.
A broader sell-off had seen prices for Brent crude futures drop as much as 11%, or about $9, in a little over a week to reach a low of $72.63 on Wednesday, Reuters reported. Benchmark prices fell more than 4% Tuesday.
Weak data from the U.S. and China had boosted forecasts of a weaker global economy and oil demand that triggered a broader decline&nbsp;in world markets.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/24/09/40687828/brent-crude-under-pressure-amid-supply-expansion-concerns">Brent Crude Under Pressure Amid Supply Expansion Concerns</a>
At the same time, traders believed a dispute stopping Libyan oil exports may come to an end and therefore increase crude oil supply.
These factors have concerned OPEC+ over market volatility after the group planned to boost output in October, making it consider delaying the hikes.
 China&#8217;s manufacturing activity fell to a six-month low in August as growth in new home prices&nbsp;cooled off, according to data released Saturday.
Meanwhile, in the U.S., Institute for Supply Management data on Tuesday showed manufacturing stayed soft.
Reports from the American Petroleum Institute are due at 4:30 p.m. ET Wednesday and from the Energy Information Administration at 11 a.m. ET Thursday.
Price Action: Oil companies and exchange traded funds that hold their stocks trended downward into Wednesday&#8217;s early-afternoon trading.
<ul>
<li>Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) slipped 0.62% to $114.75 </li>
<li>Chevron Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) declined 0.82% to $143.48</li>
<li>Shell plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHEL#NYSE">SHEL</a>) fell 0.80% to $68.83</li>
<li>United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) slid 1.31% to $70.16</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) lost 2.33% to $25.58</li>
<li>United States Brent Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNO#NYSE">BNO</a>) declined 1.11% to $28.40</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/09/40714894/stocks-rebound-chipmakers-halt-bloodbath-as-traders-upgrade-rate-cut-wagers-tesla-rises-do">Stocks Rebound, Chipmakers Halt Bloodbath As Traders Upgrade Rate Cut Wagers; Tesla Rises, Dollar Tree In Free Fall: What&#8217;s Driving Markets Wednesday?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Sector ETFs

SHEL

Oil Prices Retreat As OPEC+ Discusses Delay In Production Hikes

Oil is trading lower as traders assess supply disruption in Libya and reports of soft demand in China. Data showed a smaller-than-expected draw in crude oil inventories and the EIA reported a build in weekly distillates stocks.

Oil is trading lower after rising recently on a Libyan production outage. Additionally, Goldman Sachs lowered its oil price forecasts on Monday, citing slower China demand growth and upside US supply.

Oil is trading higher amid ongoing Middle East tensions after Israel and Hezbollah exchanged strikes across the Lebanon border. Also, recent reports suggested Libya shut down oil production.

Oil is trading higher following a draw in U.S. crude inventories. Oil may also be up amid continued Middle East tensions, which could impact supply.

Oil is trading higher following upbeat US economic data. Oil may also be up amid continued Middle East tensions, which could impact supply.

Oil is trading lower amid volatility after recently gaining on concerns over rising Iran-Israel tensions.

Oil is trading higher amid ongoing Middle East tensions. Recent reports suggested Iran could attack Israel.

Oil is trading higher ahed of the upcoming OPEC+ meeting. Continuing conflict between Israel and Gaza could also be causing supply uncertainty.

Crude oil prices are facing significant pressure this quarter, driven by China's economic slowdown and signs of ample supply.

Will Crude Oil Recover After Seasonal Weakness And Short Squeeze?

U.S. refineries seen carrying out lightest fall maintenance season in three years

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, September 19.

Financial Markets Report For Thursday, Sept 19

OPEC Update, September 2024

Commodity update: Gold hits new high trades $2,600, crude oil eases

Commodity update: Gold hits new high above $2,600, crude oil eases

The Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut along with a dot plot that says there are more to come should have hedge funds think twice before pressing the downside in this environment.

The Energy Report Fed Fighters - Friday, September 20

U.S. Equity Market Betas - Why They Matter And How They Are Changing

Oil posts best week in six but China concerns aren't going away

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Friday, September 20.

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