에 대한 최신 뉴스 Global X Copper Miners ETF (ARCA:COPX)

Global X Copper Miners ETF

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The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the underlying index and in American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) based on the securities in the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to measure broad-based equity market performance of global companies involved in the copper mining industry. The fund is non-diversified.

First Quantum

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요즘 구리의 열기가 뜨겁다. 이에 따라 산업용 금속을 추적하는 ETF 역시 달아오르고 있다.블룸버그는 이 문제에 정통한 소식통을 인용해 미국이 당초 예상했던 일정보다 몇 달 전에 구리 수입에 막대한 관세를 부과할 것이라는 내러티브가 힘을 얻으면서, 트레이더들이 이에 대응했고, 구리 가격은 사상 최고치를 기록했다고 보도했다.

구리 가격, 관세 우려와 공급 부족으로 고공행진...관련 ETF도 급등

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구리와 철광석 가격은 4개월 만에 최고치를 기록했고, 철강 생산량은 2021년 이후 가장 강세를 보이고 있으며, 비금속 재고는 계절적으로 사상 최저치를 기록하는 중이다. 결론적으로 중국의 수요가 살아난다면 공급이 부족한 실물 시장이 강세장의 발판이 될 수 있다. 

활기찬 중국 금속 시장, 원자재 투자자에게 의미하는 바는?

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녹색 전환이 가속화됨에 따라 재생 에너지 인프라, 전기 자동차(EV) 및 전력망에서 중요한 역할을 하는 구리에 대한 수요가 급증했다. 기업들이 새로운 광산을 건설하기 위해 안간힘을 쓰고 있음에도 불구하고 2035년에는 구리 부족량이 수백만 톤에 달할 수 있으며, 이로 인해 과학자와 엔지니어는 알루미늄과 같은 대체 물질을 모색하게 된다.

알루미늄이 구리 대체재로는 부족하다고 퍼시픽 노스웨스트 국립연구소 발표

Mining may be down, but not out. The sector has been the worst hit since the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">new U.S. tariffs</a> were announced.
JPMorgan analyst Dominic O'Kane says, "<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">mining was best performing sector</a> exiting last 3 recessions," and he expects another sharp recovery to unfold after the slide.
With the sector already pricing in a worst-case scenario, the setup for a V-shaped bounce is taking shape.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Extreme Weakness, But What's Priced In?</h2>
Metals and mining have been the worst-performing sector since new U.S. tariffs were announced, shedding 13% just last week. That adds to an eye-watering 50% underperformance versus MSCI Europe since January 2023. But O'Kane argues the damage is largely in the price: mining stocks already discount a recession scenario, with commodity prices 15–20% below current levels—such as iron ore at $80/ton and copper at $7,500/ton.
Still, fair value estimates suggest that miners have a serious upside even if metal prices stay flat. JPMorgan sees more than 50% total shareholder return over a two-year horizon. Rio Tinto plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIO#NYSE">RIO</a>), for example, offers >65% upside, Antofagasta plc (OTCPK: ANFGF) >50% upside and BHP Group Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHP#NYSE">BHP</a>) >65% upside from current price levels.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44682458/coppers-rout-sees-a-massive-intraday-price-swing-fundamentals-havent-changed-expert-says">Copper&#8217;s Rout Sees A Massive Intraday Price Swing, &#8216;Fundamentals Haven&#8217;t Changed,&#8217; Expert Says</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Could Flip The Switch? China Stimulus In Q3</h2>
In the past three global downturns &#8211; 2009, 2016 and 2020 &#8211; miners bottomed ahead of the broader market and went on to outperform by roughly 100% in the next 12 months. This time, the catalyst could once again be China.
JPMorgan economists expect a RMB one trillion fiscal stimulus to be unveiled in the third quarter, which would align with the historical bottoming pattern of ~four months post-selloff.
In 2020, that timeline shrank to just one month as stimulus arrived fast and hard.
That said, this time is different: the expected 0.7% of GDP stimulus is far smaller than 2008's massive ~12% package, and no China property rescue is on the horizon.
Still, the setup remains favorable.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How To Play The Rebound: Stocks, ETFs</h2>
O'Kane's top stock picks are copper and gold-centric: Antofagasta and Lundin Mining Corp (OTCPK: LUNMF) lead his copper recommendations, while Rio Tinto offers a diversified bet with a high free cash flow yield.
On the gold side, Fresnillo plc (OTCPK: FSNPF), Hochschild plc (OTCPK: HCHDF) and Anglogold Ashanti PLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AU#NYSE">AU</a>) are rated Overweight.
Several ETFs offer targeted exposure to this thesis for US-based investors. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) and the iShares MSCI Global Metals &amp; Mining Producers ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PICK#NYSE">PICK</a>) give broad access to copper and diversified miners.
Those seeking gold exposure can look to the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>) or the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RING#NYSE">RING</a>).
These vehicles provide exposure to many of the stocks JPMorgan favors and may be well-positioned for a recovery trade.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/03/44442794/gold-etfs-face-off-gld-vs-gdx-as-they-steadily-climb-amid-bullion-boom">Gold ETFs Face Off: GLD Vs. GDX As They Steadily Climb Amid Bullion Boom</a></li>
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JPMorgan's Mining Stock Picks For A 'V-Shaped Recovery,' Analyst Sees 50% Returns Over Two Years

Copper experienced one of the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44663034/asia-in-freefall-hang-seng-posts-worst-drop-since-1997-europe-market-tumbles-oil-slips-gold-eases-global-markets-today-while-us-slept" rel="noreferrer noopener">most volatile trading days</a> in over 15 years, tumbling as much as 7.7% at the start of Monday's trading session in London.
Three-month contracts slid to $8,780 a ton as investors scrambled to reduce exposure—before staging a nearly $1,000 rebound in just over two hours—marking the largest intraday price swing since 2009.
"Metals are under significant pressure from dampened sentiment as the world braces for a possible recession and heightened geopolitical tensions that would threaten demand," Sabrin Chowdhury, head of commodities at BMI, said <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/tariffs/2025/04/06/gold-falls-further-at-open-as-traders-assess-tariff-turmoil/" rel="noreferrer noopener">per</a> Bloomberg.
Copper's volatility recently surged as President Donald Trump's tariff threat hit both sides of the spectrum. The market rallied sharply in anticipation as the threat of copper being added to the list of targeted metals <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44498083/trumps-copper-tariffs-might-come-sooner-rather-than-later-insiders-warn" rel="noreferrer noopener">loomed in March</a>.
Traders raced to reroute shipments to the U.S., capitalizing on a premium in New York prices – even yesterday's selloff saw New York prices hovering much higher, around $10,000 per ton.
However, a possible recession quenched speculators' short-term thirst, as copper exceeded the broad sector decline before buyers stepped in to reverse the course. For Codelco chairman Maximo Pacheco, the logic behind the dip buying is obvious.
The fundamentals haven't changed at all," he <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-07/codelco-boss-keeps-faith-in-copper-fundamentals-amid-market-rout" rel="noreferrer noopener">said</a>, citing sustained Chinese interest and a resilient U.S. market. China has been a notable copper buyer in times of price crunches, stepping in to recover the market in 2008 and 2020.
Codelco, the world's top copper supplier, plans to invest up to $5.6 billion in 2025 to rejuvenate aging mines and restore output to pre-2020 levels. The Chilean state-owned giant is also expanding into lithium, aiming to finalize a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/01/42840568/chiles-codelco-targets-turnaround-with-modest-copper-output-increase-and-strategic-lithium-ventures" rel="noreferrer noopener">key deal with </a><a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/01/42840568/chiles-codelco-targets-turnaround-with-modest-copper-output-increase-and-strategic-lithium-ventures" rel="noreferrer noopener">SQM</a><a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/01/42840568/chiles-codelco-targets-turnaround-with-modest-copper-output-increase-and-strategic-lithium-ventures" rel="noreferrer noopener"> by Q3</a>.
The tariff uncertainty dominated discussions at this week's CESCO conference in Santiago, where Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>) CEO Kathleen Quirk warned that trade wars could "cause people to not invest, to not buy, to change their patterns and affect demand."
Last month, Quirk noted that tariffs could boost her company's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44271394/goldman-sees-copper-imports-frontrunning-tariffs-as-fcx-positions-to-benefit" rel="noreferrer noopener">annual profits by $500 million</a>, but she's well aware that the long-term industry outlook stretches beyond the short-term profit.
"All of us will rely on a market that will be growing in demand and not subject to these big recessions that we've seen over time," she said, according <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/freeport-mcmoran-ceo-flags-concern-over-global-growth-amid-us-tariffs-2025-04-07/" rel="noreferrer noopener">to</a> Reuters, recalling the effects of the Great Recession.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/25/04/44663078/barrick-gold-proposes-name-change-targets-30-production-growth-by-2030" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Barrick Gold Proposes Name Change, Targets 30% Production Growth By 2030</a></li>
</ul>
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Copper's Rout Sees A Massive Intraday Price Swing, 'Fundamentals Haven't Changed,' Expert Says

Copper is red-hot, and so are <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">ETFs that track the industrial metal</a>. 
Prices rocketed to new records as traders responded to increasing talks of the U.S. imposing hefty tariffs on copper imports in the near future — several months before the schedule originally anticipated, according to Bloomberg citing sources familiar with the matter. 
The news rippled across global markets, sending U.S.-listed copper ETFs to record highs and fueling concerns of inflation and supply scarcity.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/new-etfs/25/03/44522702/blackrock-unveils-new-ishares-ibonds-etfs-for-fixed-income-investors">BlackRock Unveils New iShares iBonds ETFs For Fixed-Income Investors</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Copper ETFs Break Records</h1>
The copper price rally propelled ETFs tracking the metal to their highs. The $200.7 million United States Copper Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>) rose more than 3% on Wednesday before backing off, taking year-to-date gains to 30% (as of writing, YTD gains is 27%). The more volatile USCF Daily Target 2X Copper Index ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPXR#NYSE">CPXR</a>), which started in January and seeks to replicate twice the daily return of copper futures, reached another all-time high — 45% since it started. It has since retreated slightly and currently stands at 37.64% gains since inception.
Investors have been rushing into copper ETFs during the price spike. CPER experienced $18.5 million in net inflows from March 13 to March 25, according to etf.com, indicating sustained interest in the metal. Copper miner ETFs have also reaped benefits from the spurt. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>), which owns leading mining stocks, has risen 7.6% year-to-date, helped by improving copper prices and investor appetite for mining stocks.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">The Driving Force Behind The Fever</h1>
The copper tariff hype received traction following a report indicating President Donald Trump may impose a whopping 25% duties on import of all copper into the U.S. The gesture, allegedly sought to protect native production of minerals of paramount significance, forms a part of larger efforts toward diversifying American supply chains. Nevertheless, with the lengthy lead times necessitated to increase domestic mining capability, the short-term impact has been increased prices as vendors scramble to deliver copper into the U.S. prior to the imposition of tariffs, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-26/trump-may-implement-copper-import-tariffs-within-weeks?sref=TBDibEcD">reported </a>Bloomberg.
New York COMEX copper futures rose as high as 3.1% on Wednesday to a record high of $5.374 per pound before backtracking. The disparity between U.S. and world prices was stark — benchmark London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices temporarily dipped 2.2% to $9,893 a metric ton, widening the difference between the two markets to over $1,750 a ton. This arbitrage chance initiated a worldwide sprint to reroute cargoes to the U.S., leaving major consumer China short, per Bloomberg.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44523208/new-polen-capital-etfs-target-floating-rate-loans-high-yield-bonds">Polen Capital Introduces ETFs Target Floating-Rate Loans, High-Yield Bonds</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Trade Wars, Global Supply Constraints</h1>
Copper is the newest front in the Trump administration&#8217;s relentless trade wars. The prospective tariffs follow previous tariffs on steel, aluminum and other goods, which have had a supply chain-whipping effect around the world and increased U.S. manufacturers&#8217; input costs. The threat of fresh trade barriers has again instigated fears of inflation, as increased raw material prices could percolate down through to consumers and businesses.
Supply limitations also still keep the market tight, <a href="https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/XCG-T/pressreleases/31551635/rising-copper-prices-boost-commodity-etf-amid-tariff-fears-and-china-stimulus/">noted </a>The Globe And Mail. Declining investments in new mining operations and refining capacity have kept the sector fighting to meet demand. Even if new copper production in the U.S. increases, it will be several years before it can significantly contribute to supply, so prices can remain high for the foreseeable future.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">What&#8217;s Next for Copper and ETFs?</h1>
With tariffs on the horizon, weeks away at worst, copper&#8217;s run could yet have some life left in it. Confirmation of duties could boost U.S. copper prices to even higher levels, increasing the arbitrage differential with the global markets. Players will be interested to see how supply chains recalibrate and whether China&#8217;s stimulus measures continue to underpin demand.
For ETF investors, the rally highlights the metal&#8217;s pivotal role in electrification, AI infrastructure and renewable energy transitions. Whether through direct copper ETFs such as CPER or mining-related funds such as COPX, the metal&#8217;s rebound offers both opportunities and threats as geopolitical and macroeconomic trends influence its path.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/new-etfs/25/03/44521217/new-rsmr-etf-balances-risk-and-reward-for-investors">New RSMR ETF Balances Risk And Reward For Investors</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Jose Luis Stephens via Shutterstock

Red-Hot Copper: ETFs Soar On Tariff Speculation, Supply Squeeze

Wall Street&#8217;s recovery from its recent technical correction paused for a breather on Tuesday, as investors awaited more clarity on tariff developments and digested a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44475192/consumer-confidence-falls-to-lowest-since-2022-as-inflation-tariff-worries-grow">downbeat consumer confidence report.</a>
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 92.9 in March, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44475192/consumer-confidence-falls-to-lowest-since-2022-as-inflation-tariff-worries-grow">its lowest reading since late 2022</a>. The Expectations Index plunged to 65.2 — a level not seen since 2013 — reflecting growing pessimism. The report cited rising prices, especially for eggs and tariff-affected goods, as key concerns. Inflation expectations also climbed, from 5.8% in February to 6.2% in March.
The S&amp;P 500 and Dow were flat on the day, while the Nasdaq 100 edged slightly higher, supported by gains in cybersecurity stocks.
Copper took center stage, jumping over 2% to hit new record highs. Demand is surging in both China and the U.S., fueled by<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44476803/copper-breaks-records-on-china-stimulus-tariff-hype-these-stocks-are-riding-the-wave"> policy stimulus and tariff-related shifts.</a>
Shares of Freeport McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>), the largest U.S. copper miner, rose 3.3%, extending gains in 10 of the last 11 sessions. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) climbed 2% to a three-month high.
Elsewhere, market moves were subdued. Gold gained 0.5%, silver advanced 1.8% and oil dipped 0.4% after Monday's 1.2% jump driven by Venezuelan sanctions.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) posted a modest 0.4% gain.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,256.36</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,619.75</td>
<td>0.1 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,770.02</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,101.68</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated by 1:00 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) inched 0.1% higher to $575.17.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) flattened at $425.79.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.4% to $492.89.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) eased 0.2% to $208.51</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Communication Services&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) outperformed, up 1.2%; the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)&nbsp;lagged, down 1.7%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>) climbed 4% after BTIG analyst Gray Powell upgraded the stock to Buy, setting a price target of $431. The analyst cited expectations of robust revenue growth heading into fiscal 2027. Cybersecurity peer Zscaler Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZS#NASDAQ">ZS</a>) also rose 2.5%.</li>
<li>Cloudflare Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NET#NYSE">NET</a>) rose 2.2% after receiving a double upgrade to Buy from Bank of America Securities, with a price target raised to $160.</li>
<li>United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UPS#NYSE">UPS</a>) tumbled 4.6%, hitting early-February lows despite a lack of headlines.</li>
<li>AT&amp;T Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/T#NYSE">T</a>) rose 2.1% after Goldman Sachs raised the stock price target from $29 to $31. </li>
<li>Gamestop Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GME#NYSE">GME</a>) is slated to<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/gaming/25/03/44466706/gamestop-q4-earnings-preview-will-video-game-retailer-unveil-bitcoin-purchase"> report earnings after the close</a>.</li>
</ul>
Read Now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44473410/trumps-tariff-rates-could-be-double-what-market-participants-expect-goldman-sachs-warns">Trump&#8217;s Tariff Rates Could Be &#8216;Double What Market Participants Expect,&#8217; Goldman Sachs Warns</a></li>
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Wall Street Pauses For A Breather, Miners Rally As Copper Notches All-Time Highs: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

Copper just blew past record highs, dismissing recent recession fears as stimulus optimism in China and potential U.S. tariffs spark a rush <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">into the red metal.</a>
Copper futures traded at the New York Mercantile Exchange rallied 1.6% to $5.17 per pound on Tuesday, notching historical records. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">What's Fueling Copper's Relentless Climb?</h1>
Often dubbed &#8220;Dr. Copper&#8221; for its reputation as a proxy for global industrial health, the metal has surged as traders bet on a brighter economic outlook in China and react to tariff risks.
"Tariff threats, tightening supply, and stimulus-fueled optimism for an economic rebound in China have underpinned a rally in copper," said Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist for LPL Financial. 
&#8220;Beijing's pro-growth agenda is beginning to show up in the economic data, evidenced by recent better-than-expected retail sales, industrial output, and fixed-asset investment,&#8221; he added.
Turnquist indicated markets are already "front-running" the potential copper tariff ordered under former President Donald Trump's direction, even though an official recommendation isn't expected until later this year.
Bloomberg data shows that between 100,000 and 150,000 metric tons of copper are en route to the U.S., the highest inbound volume on record. That flood of demand has pushed the COMEX copper premium over LME copper to its highest point ever, indicating intense physical buying interest in the U.S. market.
David&nbsp;Goldman, head of trading at Novion Global, also pointed to dollar weakness as a factor boosting copper prices. 
&#8220;Whilst LME&nbsp;copper&nbsp;is up around 14% from the start of the year, COMEX prices have seen a 27% jump, prompting traders and producers to move supplies to the US,&#8221; he said.
&#8220;The price squeeze is also being replicated on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, where the front month spread is trading at levels not seen since December 2023.&#8221;
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">China&#8217;s Recovery and Strategic Buying Add Fuel to the Fire</h1>
Adding further momentum is a shift in tone out of Beijing. Goldman Sachs analyst Daan Struyven said, "China sentiment has turned notably more positive" thanks to the government's focus on boosting household consumption, lower-than-expected U.S. tariffs and a surge of investor excitement around artificial intelligence.
Importantly, Struyven flagged reports that China's State Reserve Bureau plans to replenish copper stockpiles in 2025. While not purely opportunistic, this buying could cushion any price-sensitive demand drop in China. 
"We remain structurally bullish," said Struyven, who sees the LME's ongoing tightening and strong electrification trends driving prices higher in the months ahead.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Copper Chart Breaks Out — And So Do The Stocks</h1>
The price move has also broken a key technical level. 
According to LPL Financial's Turnquist, copper futures have surged past the highs of 2021–2022, completing a "head and shoulders" bottom pattern that hints at more upside ahead. 
Speculative flows are also favoring the bulls. Hedge funds and other large speculators have largely unwound their short positions, while long bets have picked up in recent months, supporting the momentum.
That enthusiasm has spilled into equity markets. Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>), one of the world's largest copper producers, has climbed 13% in March, on track for its best monthly performance in a year. Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCCO#NYSE">SCCO</a>) is also up 12% over the same period, riding the wave of investor optimism.
Traders looking for broad copper exposure may consider the Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>), which has historically showed strong rallies April. Over the past 15 years, the ETF has gained an average of 4.5% during the month — its strongest seasonal trend of the year.
Read Next: •<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44463509/ukraines-recovery-depends-on-sustainable-investment-experts-call-for-trilateral-minerals-deal"> &#8216;Ukraine&#8217;s Recovery Depends On Sustainable Investment,&#8217; Experts Call For Trilateral Minerals Deal</a>
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Copper Breaks Records On China Stimulus, Tariff Hype: These Stocks Are Riding The Wave

Copper prices have surged above $10,000 per metric ton on the London Metal Exchange (LME) for the first time since October. On LME, copper has gained 14% year-to-date, while <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/copper" rel="noreferrer noopener">U.S. copper futures</a> surged 26%.
The price differential widened to $1,200 per metric ton, creating arbitrage opportunities. Since copper futures result in physical delivery on maturity, buyers have scrambled to move supplies into the U.S.
Between 100,000 and 150,000 metric tons of copper will arrive in the U.S. in the coming weeks, potentially surpassing the monthly import record of 136,951 tons set in January 2022.
Leading commodity traders, including Trafigura, Glencore, and Gunvor, have aggressively rerouted shipments, with additional warehouse space being secured in New Orleans and Baltimore to handle the influx.
Still, the 12% differential between the domestic and foreign copper prices is around half of anticipated copper tariffs.
On February 25, President Donald Trump signed an executive action directing the U.S. Commerce Department to investigate copper imports on national security grounds. Leading institutions, including Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, responded, predicting a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/03/44271394/goldman-sachs-sees-copper-imports-increasing-tariffs-as-fcx-positions-to-benefit" rel="noreferrer noopener">25% tariff</a> on imported copper by year-end.
"Copper's rise is being driven solely by supply concerns surrounding the potential for universal tariffs to be placed on all imports of copper into the US," Natalie Scott-Gray, a senior metals demand analyst at StoneX, <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/neilksethi/status/1902053890079535258" rel="noreferrer noopener">said</a>, warning about the high reliance on foreign copper.
According to ING, in 2024, the U.S. imported <a target="_blank" href="https://think.ing.com/articles/industrial-metals-monthly-us-copper-tariff-risks-pull-more-metal-to-the-us/" rel="noreferrer noopener">850,000 tons</a> of refined copper, excluding scrap. Chile was the largest supplier, accounting for 41% of imports, while 27% came from Canada.
Despite efforts to increase local production, output has steadily declined, falling 3% in 2024 after an 11% drop in 2023. Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>), the largest U.S. producer, has faced declining ore grades, environmental regulations, and permitting challenges, limiting the ability to ramp up domestic supply.
The firm's CEO, Kathleen Quirk, has called for Trump's administration to classify copper as a critical mineral, anticipating a $500 million windfall from tax credits tied to the Inflation Reduction Act. Quirk sees Freeport's domestic production growing by 8%, targeting an output of 225,000 metric tons, none of which will be exported.
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Guidance

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Copper Surges As Arbitrage Opportunity Drives US Imports

Editor&#8217;s Note: The headline has been updated for clarity.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a surge in U.S. copper imports soon, driven by expectations of tariffs from President Donald Trump's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">administration</a>.
Per Reuters' <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/goldman-sachs-anticipates-surge-us-copper-net-imports-2025-03-11/" rel="noreferrer noopener">report</a>, the investment bank expects a 25% duty on copper imports by year's end, incentivizing stockpiling to frontrun the legislative. As a result, U.S. net copper imports could surge by 50-100%, adding between 200,000 to 300,000 metric tons to domestic inventories by Q3.
If this projection materializes, U.S. copper stockpiles could swell from 95,000 tons to as much as 400,000 tons or around half of global reported inventories – leaving the international market at historically low inventory levels.
For 2025, Goldman sees a 180,000-ton global copper deficit as growing demand for electrification, economic stimulus measures in China, and slow mine growth materialize. The bank sees the supply imbalance more pronounced in the second half of the year as a catalyst for higher prices.
"We maintain our forecast that the LME three-month price will average $10,200 per ton in Q3 2024 and see the impact of inventory dislocation predominantly in timespreads," the bank noted. Current three-month copper contracts on the London Metal Exchange were trading at $9,528.50 per ton as of Wednesday morning.
The largest U.S. copper producer, Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>), could benefit from this scenario, particularly if copper is classified as a critical mineral.
In a recent <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/ceraweek-freeport-sees-500-million-annual-boost-if-trump-declares-copper-2025-03-10/" rel="noreferrer noopener">interview</a>, CEO Kathleen Quirk expressed optimism that the Trump administration could make this move soon, unlocking the federal tax incentives to support domestic production.
"Having the incentives and clarity around those would be a big plus for the domestic copper industry," Quirk said. Such a designation would enable Freeport to claim more than $500 million annually in tax credits tied to the Inflation Reduction Act.
Freeport-McMoRan operates seven copper mines across the U.S. and one of two domestic copper smelters. The firm doesn't export any domestically produced copper, making it a key supplier in any scenario restricting imports.
However, production costs in the U.S. are higher than in Freeport's international operations due to lower ore grades, making policy support a crucial factor.
Per the <a target="_blank" href="https://mms.businesswire.com/media/20250122679192/en/2360933/1/FCX_250123_4Q_2024_Earnings_Release.pdf" rel="noreferrer noopener">latest guidance</a>, the company expects its U.S. copper production to increase by 8% in 2025, with further growth in subsequent years. Opportunities include doubling the concentrator capacity at its Bagdad operation in Arizona, which could add 200-250 million pounds of copper annually.
Quirk also hinted at a possible <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44216408/dr-congo-explores-a-minerals-for-security-deal-with-the-us" rel="noreferrer noopener">return to the Democratic Republic of Congo</a>, where Freeport previously owned the Kisanfu copper-cobalt project before selling it to China Molybdenum in 2020. "We would be interested in going back for the right opportunity," she said, adding that Freeport would seek to be the operator of any project if it re-enters the DRC.
Price Watch: Freeport-McMoRan has declined 5.28% year-to-date. The stock is up 1.56% to $36.44 premarket at the last check on Wednesday.
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Goldman Sachs Sees Copper Imports Increasing Ahead Of Tariffs As FCX Positions To Benefit (UPDATED)

China's metal markets are waking up post-Lunar New Year, and JPMorgan analyst Dominic O'Kane is tracking <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">some eye-catching trends</a>.
Copper and iron ore prices are at four-month highs, steel output is the strongest since 2021, and base metal inventories are running at record-low seasonal levels. 
The takeaway? A tight physical market could be setting the stage for a bullish move—if China's demand kicks in.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/02/43603930/tech-stocks-surge-steelmakers-jump-on-trumps-25-tariffs-copper-hits-9-month-highs-whats-driving-markets-monday">Tech Stocks Surge, Steelmakers Jump On Trump&#8217;s 25% Tariffs, Copper Hits 9-Month Highs: What&#8217;s Driving Markets</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Copper's Mixed Signals</h2>
Copper prices have climbed 5% in the last two weeks to around $9,500 per ton, but China's domestic demand isn't quite keeping pace. JPMorgan points out that physical copper demand is lagging seasonal norms, reflected in a 20% drop in China's copper premia. 
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43432736/copper-stocks-on-shaky-ground-jpmorgan-analysts-say-tariffs-deepseek-cloud-outlook">Copper Stocks On Shaky Ground, JPMorgan Analysts Say: Tariffs, DeepSeek Cloud Outlook</a>
Still, O'Kane notes that global macro forces—like a strengthening yuan and anticipation of U.S. metal tariffs—are helping keep LME copper elevated. With inventories at five-year lows, JPMorgan sees copper climbing to $10,400 per ton by the fourth quarter of 2025.
For investors looking to capitalize, United States Copper Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>) and Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) offer exposure to copper's momentum.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Iron Ore Rallies Amid Supply Disruptions</h2>
Iron ore prices have surged 10% since January to $105 per ton, fueled by cyclone-related supply hits in Western Australia. While steel rebar demand in China took a weather-related dip, steel production is running at the fastest pace since 2021. JPMorgan is watching China's annual National People's Congress (March 5) for potential policy support that could further boost steel and iron ore markets.
Investors eyeing the iron ore trade might look at VanEck Steel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLX#NYSE">SLX</a>) and iShares MSCI Global Metals &amp; Mining Producers ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PICK#NYSE">PICK</a>) for broad exposure.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Aluminium &amp; Zinc: Low Inventories, Limited Demand</h2>
Aluminium and zinc inventories are at multi-year lows, signaling tight supply. However, demand remains sluggish post-New Year, with aluminium inventories rising by 110kt last week. JPMorgan projects aluminium prices at $2,763 per ton for 2025, but stronger demand signals are needed for a sustained rally.
For those bullish on aluminium, iPath Series B Bloomberg Aluminum Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JJU#NYSE">JJU</a>) offers direct exposure.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Investors Await Next Big Move</h2>
China's metal markets are in flux—tight supplies and record-low inventories are colliding with sluggish post-holiday demand. 
JPMorgan's O'Kane sees China's upcoming policy moves as a key catalyst for the next leg in metal prices. 
With copper and iron ore already running hot, investors should keep an eye on ETFs like COPX, SLX, and PICK to position for the next big move.
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China's Metal Markets Are Stirring - Here's What It Means for Commodity Investors

The energy transition is reshaping the global mining industry, with demand for critical minerals expected to surge over the coming decades. A shift toward renewable energy and electrification drives demand for commodities like copper, nickel, and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/23/07/33233340/rare-earth-elements-explained" rel="noreferrer noopener">rare earth elements</a>.
According to BDO's Annual Mining Report, the demand for key energy transition minerals will <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bdo.co.uk/en-gb/insights/industries/natural-resources-and-energy/annual-mining-report" rel="noreferrer noopener">nearly triple by 2030</a> and quadruple by 2040.
Copper remains a cornerstone of the transition, as it is the only critical mineral vital for all clean energy technologies, such as solar, wind, electric vehicle (EV) manufacturing, and power grids.
While copper prices hit a record high in mid-2024, they later softened due to weak demand from China's property market. In 2025, forecasts suggest continued price constraints due to high inventories despite the long-term positive outlook.
Merger and acquisition activity has surged – with mining giant BHP <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/05/39068033/time-runs-out-for-bhp-deal-49-billion-acquisition-of-anglo-american-proves-too-complex-to-solve" rel="noreferrer noopener">unsuccessfully bidding</a> for Anglo American and launching a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/07/40031488/bhp-to-unlock-south-american-copper-riches-partners-with-lundin-for-filo-acquisition" rel="noreferrer noopener">joint venture</a> with Lundin. Meanwhile, sector leader Freeport-McMoRan is opting for <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/09/41098074/freeport-mcmoran-sticks-with-organic-growth-takes-advantage-of-geodiversity" rel="noreferrer noopener">capex-driven internal expansion</a>.
Nickel, a metal essential for battery technologies, has faced a turbulent period. In 2024, an oversupply from Indonesia and China led to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/07/39749321/bhp-halts-nickel-mine-were-not-able-to-overcome-economic-challenges-driven-by-oversupply" rel="noreferrer noopener">mine closures</a>, including those operated by Glencore and BHP. However, a rebound is expected in 2025 as supply surpluses narrow and demand for EV batteries remains strong.
Despite the forecasted price stabilization, industry players remain cautious, with some automakers shifting towards alternative battery chemistries that reduce dependence on nickel.
Zinc, another key transition metal used in wind and solar infrastructure, experienced a sluggish first half of 2024 due to subdued industrial activity but rebounded later in the year thanks to Chinese stimulus measures.
In 2025, BDO expects the demand to strengthen as renewable energy projects ramp up. Still, supply constraints and logistical challenges may continue to drive price fluctuations.
The rare earth element market is also in focus as countries look to diversify their supply chains since the U.S., China, and Myanmar account for 92% of global production.
President Donald Trump's recent remark shows the importance of this group of metals, which is vital for producing magnets.
"We're looking to do a deal with Ukraine where they're going to secure what we're giving them with their rare earths and other things," he said,<a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trump-says-he-wants-ukraine-supply-us-with-rare-earths-2025-02-03/" rel="noreferrer noopener"> per</a> Reuters.
Looking forward, despite opportunities created by the energy transition, BDO notes a pressing demographic challenge.
Per McKinsey's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/metals-and-mining/our-insights/has-mining-lost-its-luster-why-talent-is-moving-elsewhere-and-how-to-bring-them-back" rel="noreferrer noopener">survey</a> of Canadian mining companies, 70% of people between 15 and 30 years old would not consider working in mining. Meanwhile, between 2016 and 2022, the number of mining engineering graduates in the U.S. fell by 41%.
While the industry tries to reverse the trend by integrating advanced technologies and enhancing sustainability efforts to create a more attractive work environment – closing the skills gap remains a key. To drive the next phase of mining evolution, the future workforce will need expertise in automation, AI, and environmental management.
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Critical Metal Demand To Triple By 2030, But Demographics Pose Risks

Chile has rejected the proposed $2.5 billion Dominga iron and copper mining project. Andes Iron, a domestic <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/mining" rel="noreferrer noopener">exploration and mining company</a>, aimed to establish two open-pit mines and a seaport near the Humboldt Penguin National Reserve.
However, the regulators rejected the project again, citing environmental concerns for an area home to a unique mix of species, including Humboldt penguins, dolphins, and endangered parrots.
The mines were expected to extract 12 million tons of iron and 150,000 tons of copper annually for 22 years, generating 1,400 jobs in a country that is the world's top copper producer.
In 2017, socialist President Michelle Bachelet's administration first rejected the project, leading to the resignation of two top ministers. In 2019, the Chilean Supreme Court ordered a reevaluation, and under the current government of President Gabriel Boric, the project was rejected again in January 2023.
This latest decision by Chile's Committee of Ministers follows an environmental court's mandate to revisit that ruling.
The project's potential impact on biodiversity influenced their decision. The committee noted a lack of a credible mitigation plan, particularly for the burrowing parrot, whose habitat and food sources were inadequately assessed.
"It was not possible to determine or evaluate the real impact on these species," the committee stated.
As <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/chile-rejects-environmental-permit-dominga-copper-iron-mine-2025-01-08/" rel="noreferrer noopener">per</a> the Reuters report, Andes Iron criticized the ruling, accusing the government of bias since the nearby Cruz Grande port received environmental approval.
"The action of the Committee of Ministers sets an unfortunate precedent never seen before in the history of Chile in terms of environmental permits," the company said in a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.dominga.cl/andes-iron-llama-al-comite-de-ministros-a-respetar-fallo-de-justicia-ambiental/" rel="noreferrer noopener">statement</a>.
Despite continuously rejecting this prospective project, Chile remains committed to growing its copper output. State-owned miner Codelco recently showed <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/01/42840568/chiles-codelco-targets-turnaround-with-modest-copper-output-increase-and-strategic-lithium-ventures" rel="noreferrer noopener">signs of a production turnaround</a> and is raising $1.5 billion in bonds to fund its capital expenditure plans.
After spending between $4 and $5 billion last year, these expenditures could reach nearly $6 billion in 2025, aiming to push the copper output toward the goal of 1.7 million tons per year by the decade's end. The financing deal, sourced by Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., and Banco Santander, is expected to close by January 13.
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Chile Rejects Dominga Project Once Again, Taps Debt Market To Help Its Copper Growth

KoBold Metals, the AI-driven mining startup backed by Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, has secured $537 million in its Series C funding round. The latest funding round gives the Berkeley-based company a valuation of $2.96 billion and fresh capital to pursue ambitious goals in the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities" rel="noreferrer noopener">critical minerals sector</a>.
Durable Capital Partners LP and T. Rowe Price funds led the round, alongside contributions from existing investors such as Andreessen Horowitz Growth, Breakthrough Energy Ventures, and Mitsubishi Corporation, as well as new players like StepStone Group and WCM Investment Management.
This latest injection brings KoBold's total fundraising to $1 billion. The funds will accelerate exploration, develop high-potential projects, and enhance its R&amp;D capabilities.
KoBold's innovative approach relies on artificial intelligence to locate deposits of vital minerals such as copper, cobalt, lithium, and nickel. The company's proprietary technology aggregates data from sources like satellite imagery and historical drilling reports to create a detailed "Google Maps" of the Earth's crust, pinpointing untapped resources that traditional methods might miss.
Using this technology, KoBold discovered a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/02/36940360/kobold-metals-announces-historic-copper-discovery-in-zambia" rel="noreferrer noopener">substantial copper deposit</a> in Zambia's Copperbelt. The Dumbwa target, part of the Solwezi project, exhibited promising results, including drilling highlights of 16 meters at 1.24% copper. KoBold's $2 billion Mingomba site is set to produce at least 300,000 tons annually by 2030, making it Zambia's largest copper operation.
"About 40% of the new capital will go toward advancing existing projects into production, with Zambia receiving the lion's share," KoBold's CEO and co-founder Kurt House <a target="_blank" href="https://www.koboldmetals.com/news/mining-startup-kobold-metals-valued-at-2-96-bn-after-closing-537m-series-c/?aid=01" rel="noreferrer noopener">said</a> to the Financial Times.
With 60 active projects across continents, including partnerships with mining giants like BHP and Rio Tinto, the firm is ready to reshuffle the industry. House noted they plan to aggressively expand the team, particularly seeking data scientists, while expanding into new jurisdictions such as Finland and Botswana. The company also aims to go public within three to five years.
Despite changes in U.S. political leadership, House expressed confidence in bipartisan support for critical mineral initiatives. "There is very broad bipartisan support for diversifying [the] supply of critical minerals because this is a national security priority," he said.
U.S. foreign policy is aiding companies like KoBold. President Joe Biden's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/emerging-markets/24/10/41416913/bidens-farewell-to-africa-strategic-motives-behind-first-and-only-presidential-visit" rel="noreferrer noopener">last official trip</a> to Angola discussed revitalizing the Lobito railway line to facilitate mineral transport across Angola, Zambia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Thus, firms like KoBold would benefit from better infrastructure while bolstering Western access to strategic resources and reducing reliance on China-dominated supply chains.
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Bill Gates And Jeff Bezos Backed Mining Startup Raises $537 Million, Targets Going Public In Few Years

As the green transition accelerates, demand for copper has surged, driven by its critical role in renewable energy infrastructure, electric vehicles (EVs), and power grids. Despite companies scrambling to launch new mines, the shortage of copper could reach millions of metric tons by 2035, prompting scientists and engineers to explore <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/aluminum">alternatives like aluminum.</a>
Aluminum shares many of copper&#8217;s desirable properties, including high conductivity and corrosion resistance. The Earth's crust contains as much as 8.1% aluminum, which forms in bauxite ore, making it the most abundant metal on the planet. Meanwhile, copper deposits form through the mineralization of primary ore deposits deeper below the surface, making them harder to find and extract and less abundant.
Aluminum&#8217;s applications extend beyond EVs to power grids and renewable energy systems, like overhead power lines, solar panel frames, and wind turbine components. While subsea cables and critical transformer windings still favor copper for its superior conductivity and resistance to fatigue, aluminum&#8217;s role in renewable energy is growing.
Per Auke Hoekstra, a researcher from the University of Eindhoven, &#8220;almost all copper in electric vehicles can be replaced by <a href="https://www.shapesbyhydro.com/en/material-properties/how-we-can-substitute-aluminium-for-copper-in-the-green-transition/">aluminum</a>, from the motor windings to the wire harness.&#8221; However, despite its lighter weight, which makes it advantageous in fuel efficiency, aluminum has just 60% of copper&#8217;s conductivity.
Furthermore, aluminum production is energy-intensive, requiring between 13 to 15 megawatt hours to produce one metric ton of molten aluminum. Additionally, aluminum has higher creep rates and oxidation tendencies, imposing design restrictions and material treatment challenges. 
Therefore, copper remains the material of choice for high-demand scenarios requiring durability and compactness, such as underground power lines, high-voltage transformers, and dense circuit boards.
In 2022, a team of researchers led by Keerti Kappagantula of the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory worked on <a href="https://www.pnnl.gov/news-media/cooking-conductive-alternative-copper-aluminum">increasing</a> aluminum's conductivity through simulations that altered the metal's structure, removing or rearranging individual atoms. Still, Kappagantula's recent <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&amp;user=-ixY5zAAAAAJ&amp;view_op=list_works&amp;sortby=pubdate">work</a> indicates that the focus has switched to graphene, a carbon allotrope and the strongest material ever measured on the microscopic scale. 
The material's popularity is notably present in the  U.S. Department of Energy's ongoing multi-million-dollar <a href="https://www.nrel.gov/news/program/2023/stage-2-winners-of-a-manufacturing-prize-are-supercharging-u-s-industries.html">competition</a> to develop conductivity-enhanced materials. Three out of seven competitors focus on copper-composite materials, two of which include graphene.
By introducing graphene, researchers aim to reduce resistance at the atomic level, unlocking new efficiencies while preserving copper&#8217;s inherent advantages. In a Net Zero world, there are two options: increase copper supply or maximize efficiency.
The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) has underperformed the market year-to-date, returning 13.40%. Its P/E ratio is 10.90x, well below the S&amp;P 500 30.4x ratio.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42243885/copper-supply-gap-drives-mcewens-2-5b-fundraising-for-los-azules">Copper Supply Gap Drives McEwen&#8217;s $2.5B Fundraising For Los Azules</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Aluminum Falls Short As Copper Substitute, Says Pacific Northwest Lab

As the world hurtles toward an electrified future, the copper market <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/copper">stands at a crossroads</a>. 
Insights from JPMorgan analysts Patrick Jones, Greg Shearer and Bill Peterson paint a complex picture: short-term hurdles for copper prices, but a glittering long-term outlook driven by electric vehicles and evolving supply dynamics.
This could seem as good news for those invested in United States Copper Index Fund ETV (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>), Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>), iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICOP#NASDAQ">ICOP</a>) for the long-term.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">EV Boom: Supercharging Copper Demand</h2>
The electric vehicle revolution is set to electrify copper demand. JPMorgan predicts copper usage in EVs will more than double from 1.4 million metric tons in 2023 to 3 million by 2030. While some worry that technological advances like thinner copper anode foils could dampen demand, the analysts argue otherwise. 
Larger EV sizes and a pivot toward lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries — which are more copper-intensive — are expected to drive long-term growth.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41337566/trump-2-0-trade-policies-could-hit-copper-stocks-harder-warns-jpmorgan-analyst">Trump 2.0 Trade Policies Could Hit Copper Stocks Harder, Warns JPMorgan Analyst</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">New Technologies: Leaching A Lifeline?</h2>
Leaching technologies are generating buzz, but can they revolutionize copper supply? Not yet, say the analysts. While projects from major miners like Freeport-McMoRan Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>) and BHP Group Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHP#NYSE">BHP</a>) are on the horizon, these advancements are unlikely to offset supply declines before 2030.
At best, leaching could add 550,000 metric tons annually, just 2% of global supply.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Scrap &amp; Recycling: The Unsung Hero?</h2>
Recycling is a crucial cog in the copper machine, accounting for about 17% of refined supply in 2024, up from 14% in 2020. JPMorgan forecasts scrap supply will grow by 5-6% annually, faster than historical rates, yet insufficient to bridge the long-term deficit. Recycling alone won't solve copper's supply crunch.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Near-Term Risks, Long-Term Rewards</h2>
JPMorgan warns of near-term risks from macroeconomic pressures, particularly a potential devaluation of the Chinese yuan to 7.8 to 8.0 per U.S. dollar. This could lead to a 12-15% dip in copper prices, presenting headwinds for equities. However, the analysts remain bullish on the long-term trajectory, underpinned by a looming supply-demand gap.
Their picks? 
Lundin Mining Corp (OTCPK: LUNMF) leads in EMEA, while Teck Resources Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TECK#NYSE">TECK</a>) tops the Americas. Asia-Pacific favorites include Zijin Mining and Merdeka Copper, with caution advised on Jiangxi Copper and Sandfire Resources.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41877899/trump-re-election-jolts-metals-market-as-gold-sees-a-stumble-not-a-sea-change">Trump Re-Election Jolts Metals Market As Gold Sees A &#8216;Stumble, Not A Sea Change&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

ICOP

TECK

Copper's High-Wire Act: Can EVs, New Tech Power The Metal's Next Big Surge?

Copper stocks, like Freeport-McMoRan Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>) and Teck Resources Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TECK#NYSE">TECK</a>), may face another turbulent period if Donald Trump <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">returns to office.</a>
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson warns that Trump 2.0&#8217;s trade policies could deal an even more significant blow than his first term.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Trump 1.0 Vs. Trump 2.0: Higher Stakes, Bigger Tariffs</h2>
During Trump&#8217;s presidency, the 2018 trade war slapped a 25% tariff on Chinese imports, leading to a sharp downturn in metal prices and causing global mining stocks to fall by over 10%.
Copper, a key indicator of global economic health, was hit hard as fears of slowing demand and higher costs rippled through the markets. The United States Copper Index Fund ETV (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>) serves as a performance barometer for copper as a commodity. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) tracks the equity of copper miners, with its top holdings including KGHM Polska Miedz SA (OTCPK:KGHPF), First Quantum Minerals Ltd (OTCPK:FQVLF), Teck Resources and Freeport-McMoRan.
Peterson said that if Trump returns to the White House, his proposed Trump 2.0 policies could increase tariffs on Chinese imports to 60%, a significant escalation that would amplify trade tensions.
He suggests that while China&#8217;s share of U.S. imports has dropped from over 21% in 2018 to under 14% in 2023, the sheer size of the tariff increase could lead to even more significant disruptions in global copper demand, potentially increasing the impact by 40%.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/10/41176539/vale-plans-to-expand-copper-output-invests-184m-for-domestic-critical-minerals">Vale Plans To Expand Copper Output, Invests $184M For Domestic Critical Minerals</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Great Copper Rollercoaster: Boom, Bust, Repeat?</h2>
Comparing the two periods, Trump's 2016 election win initially buoyed copper stocks, with investors optimistic about deregulation and infrastructure spending. 
However, the optimism quickly faded as the trade war unfolded in 2018, causing copper prices and related stocks to plunge. A similar pattern could unfold under Trump 2.0: a post-election boost followed by another painful downturn if tariffs escalate, according to the analyst.
Adding further uncertainty, Peterson points to upcoming Federal Reserve rate cuts.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">History&#8217;s Lesson: Copper Tariffs Are Trouble</h2>
Historically, industrial metals like copper have underperformed following rate-cutting cycles, with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index typically falling 6% on average within nine months of cuts. 
Despite being long-term bullish on copper due to structural demand, Peterson advises caution in the near term, as macro risks remain significant.
The lesson from Trump 1.0 is clear: tariffs led to a steep decline in copper equities, and Trump 2.0's aggressive stance could trigger a similar or even worse outcome for the sector.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/24/10/41295764/copper-rebounds-as-chinas-stimulus-boosts-market-sentiment-but-us-elections-loom-large">Copper Rebounds As China&#8217;s Stimulus Boosts Market Sentiment, But US Elections Loom Large</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

KGHPF

Trump 2.0 Trade Policies Could Hit Copper Stocks Harder, Warns JPMorgan Analyst

After correcting over 22% since its peak at $5.08 per pound in May, copper finally found its footing after China announced significant stimulus measures. The market is now awaiting Saturday&#8217;s comments from China&#8217;s Finance Minister Lan Fo&#8217;an, who could clarify the stance on further infrastructure spending and commodity demand, which would be positive<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/copper"> for copper prices</a>.
However, this rebound is not rooted in supply-side constraints. Chilean state miner Codelco reported a 10.1% increase in copper production in August, alleviating immediate concerns about shortages.
From a performance standpoint, copper miners have had a strong year. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) is up 25.7% year-to-date, outpacing the S&amp;P500, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which has gained 22.54%.
Still, JPMorgan warned that U.S. elections could introduce significant volatility into the metals markets. 
"Metals markets aren't pricing in significant risk premiums for trade-related outcomes, like higher tariffs, despite this being a concern raised by clients," JPMorgan's Executive Director of Mining Equity Research Dominic O'Kane wrote in a note,<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-10/jpmorgan-says-european-miners-underpricing-us-election-risk"> according</a> to Bloomberg.
The investment bank also downgraded Anglo American (OTCQX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAUKF#OTCQX">AAUKF</a>) from Overweight to Neutral but set its new price target slightly higher, at £23.35 ($30.50). The British multinational miner made headlines earlier this year when BHP's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/05/39068033/time-runs-out-for-bhp-deal-49-billion-acquisition-of-anglo-american-proves-too-complex-to-solve">failed $49 billion bid </a>marked a short-term peak in copper prices.
Yet, despite the decline since the peak in May, the long-term bullish thesis about electric vehicles (EVs) remains intact.
Copper's role in EV production—used in wiring and batteries—solidifies its position in the green energy transition. According to Rho Motion,<a href="https://rhomotion.com/news/china-first-country-to-sell-over-a-million-evs-in-a-month/"> EV</a> sales in the U.S. and Canada continue to grow around 9% year-to-date, and while there has been some volatility in quarterly sales this year, the overall growth trajectory is strong.
IXM's head of refined metals, Tom Mackay, noted that demand for copper in EVs remains healthy despite short-term uncertainties, Reuters reports.
On the technical side, copper is still not in the clear. The metal established a low on Aug. 7, following a broader market selloff. Since then, it rose from $3.95 per pound to a new high of $4.67. Currently, it remains between $4.40 and $4.60, where a decisive break of these levels would open the doors to a more significant move—a feat that might play out after the November elections.
Read Next:  
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41289306/serbian-parliament-doesnt-pass-lithium-ban-keeps-rio-tintos-major-project-alive">Serbian Parliament Doesn&#8217;t Pass Lithium Ban, Keeps Rio Tinto&#8217;s Major Project Alive</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

AAUKF

Copper Rebounds As China's Stimulus Boosts Market Sentiment, But US Elections Loom Large

U.S. metals and mining stocks posted their strongest one-day rally of 2024 on Tuesday, driven by China&#8217;s unexpected <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/09/41003814/chinese-stocks-jump-as-central-bank-unveils-major-stimulus-to-spur-economy-a-step-in-the-right-direc">and substantial monetary easing. </a>
The People&#8217;s Bank of China&#8217;s (PBoC) stimulus measures, including cuts to the reserve requirement ratio and repo rates, boosted global demand for raw materials, sparking a surge in metal prices and mining stocks.
The SPDR S&amp;P Metals &amp; Mining ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XME#NYSE">XME</a>) surged 4.2%, marking its best one-day performance since November 2023. The move reflected heightened optimism in the sector, which benefits heavily from demand in China, the world's largest consumer of raw materials.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Chart: Metals &amp; Mining Stocks Mark Best Day In Almost A Year</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="371" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/24101235/image-190-1024x371.png" alt="" class="wp-image-563348" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/24101235/image-190-1024x371.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/24101235/image-190-300x109.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/24101235/image-190-768x278.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/24101235/image-190-1536x556.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/24101235/image-190.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent092424&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Precious, Industrial Metals Shine</h3>
Gold prices hit yet another fresh record on Tuesday, rising 0.3% to $2,638 per ounce, the highest in history, as the metal benefited from expectations of higher liquidity from global central banks. 
The People&#8217;s Bank of China&#8217;s 50-basis-point cut to the reserve requirement ratio is expected to boost bank lending, while the reduction in key interest rates provides relief to heavily indebted sectors. This move is also seen as a strong signal that further monetary easing may be on the horizon.
Silver jumped 1.2%, while copper saw an even bigger rally, surging over 3%. The broad gains in metals prices were driven by expectations of increased Chinese demand, as the country&#8217;s easing measures are aimed at stimulating domestic economic activity.
Last week, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%, offering another strong tailwind to metal commodities. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Mining Stocks, ETFs Post Gains</h3>
Mining-related stocks and ETFs are enjoying strong performance Tuesday. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) climbed over 6%, reflecting the sharp increase in copper prices, while the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SIL#NYSE">SIL</a>) rose 2%.
Here's a look at the five strongest performers within the SPDR S&amp;P Metals &amp; Mining ETF stocks on Tuesday
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>1-Day Return</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>MP Materials Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MP#NYSE">MP</a>)</td>
<td>$15.72</td>
<td>+10.48%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/METC#NYSE">METC</a>)</td>
<td>$11.04</td>
<td>+8.83%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCC#NYSE">HCC</a>)</td>
<td>$59.94</td>
<td>+7.81%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AA#NYSE">AA</a>)</td>
<td>$36.78</td>
<td>+7.45%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLF#NYSE">CLF</a>)</td>
<td>$12.74</td>
<td>+7.36%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 10:30 a.m. ET Photo via Shutterstock. </figcaption></figure>

Mid Cap

Small Cap

BABA

KWEB

METC

Gold Breaks Records On China's Policy Stimulus: Mining, Metal Stocks Exhibit Strongest 1-Day Rally In 2024

June closed on a high note for the stock market, with the S&amp;P 500, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), gaining 3.2%, despite significant disparities in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">sector and industry performances.</a>
The technology sector, as tracked by the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>), led the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors in performance last month, surging 7.7% and achieving its strongest monthly gain this year. 
In stark contrast, utilities lagged, with the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) dropping 6.3%, marking the worst month since September 2023.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Top Performing Industry ETFs In June</h3>
The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IGV#NYSE">IGV</a>) rallied 11.3% last month, topping the rankings among industry ETFs. 
Hot on its heels was the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMH#NYSE">SMH</a>), which climbed 8.4%, showcasing strong momentum in the semiconductor sector. 
Since hitting its low in October 2023, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF has rallied by an astounding 87%, and over 200% since October 2022, reflecting the spectacular growth in AI-driven stocks.
Securing the third spot in terms of monthly performance, the SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XBI#NYSE">XBI</a>) gained 4%. 
Within the software sector, standout performers included Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADBE#NASDAQ">ADBE</a>), which surged by 24.9%, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>) with a 22.1% increase, and Oracle Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NYSE">ORCL</a>), up by 20%.
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>) led chipmakers with a 21% rise. Universal Display Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OLED#NYSE">OLED</a>) followed closely with a 19.7% increase, and Qorvo, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QRVO#NASDAQ">QRVO</a>) posted an 18% gain. 
Among chipmakers, Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>), Universal Display Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OLED#NYSE">OLED</a>) and Qorvo, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QRVO#NASDAQ">QRVO</a>) led gains, with performances of 21%, 19.7% and 18%, respectively.
In the biotech arena, Scilex Holding Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCLX#NASDAQ">SCLX</a>) experienced a 78.8% spike, making it the top industry gainer. Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALNY#NASDAQ">ALNY</a>) surged by 63.7%, while Avidity Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RNA#NASDAQ">RNA</a>) saw a robust 52% increase.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Top Performing Industry ETFs By Inflows In June</h3>
Examining fund flows, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF has emerged as a top choice for investors, attracting over $1 billion according to Tradingview data, and achieving its ninth consecutive month of inflows. Year-to-date the fund has registered $4.60 billion in net inflows.
The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF pulled in approximately $480 million in June, breaking a six-month streak of outflows and registering its highest monthly inflows since September 2022. Yet, its year-to-date net flows are still negative, down by $1.15 billion. 
The iShares Biotechnology ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBB#NYSE">IBB</a>) collected $148 million in inflows last month, reflecting strong investor interest. Another industry witnessing robust inflows was represented by the Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>), which attracted about $130 million.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/07/39577080/manufacturing-contracts-more-than-expected-in-june-putting-pressure-on-profitabilit">Manufacturing Contracts More Than Expected In June, &#8216;Putting Pressure On Profitability&#8217;: Yields Rise, Stocks Fall</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Biotech

Health Care

ADBE

ALNY

AVGO

OLED

ORCL

QRVO

iShares FTSE NAREIT Residential PLUS Capped Index Fund

SCLX

iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index Fund

SOXX

Top Performing Industry ETFs In June: Software Leads Returns, Chipmakers Attract Most Inflows

Futures on U.S. equity indices inched slightly higher in Friday premarket trading after the Fed&#8217;s favorite inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), fell to 2.6% year-on-year <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/06/39547288/feds-preferred-inflation-gauge-falls-to-lowest-level-since-november-2021-relieves">in May, as expected.</a>
It marked the lowest inflation rate since March 2021, bolstering market expectations for upcoming Fed interest rate cuts.
After the PCE price index report, traders increased their wagers on a September rate cut, assigning a 68% chance according to CME Group&#8217;s FedWatch tool.
Restricting the screener to stocks with a market cap above $50 billion, here are the top performers following the PCE price index report, according to <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/pro/register/?utm_source=BZprocontent062824&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Southern Copper (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCCO#NYSE">SCCO</a>)</td>
<td>1.64%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTU#NASDAQ">INTU</a>)</td>
<td>1.29%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TD#NYSE">TD</a>)</td>
<td>0.82%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Deere &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DE#NYSE">DE</a>)</td>
<td>0.76%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>GE Aerospace (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>)</td>
<td>0.71%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>)</td>
<td>0.61%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOW#NYSE">NOW</a>)</td>
<td>0.58%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) rallying following the inflation data were: 
<ul>
<li>Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) up 1.6%</li>
<li>iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) up 1%</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) up 0.9%</li>
<li>The Energy&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) up 0.9%</li>
<li>VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>) up 0.7%</li>
</ul>
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39531404/bank-of-america-analyst-highlights-fed-stress-test-opacity-varying-bank-impacts-gol">Bank of America Analyst Highlights Fed Stress Test Opacity, Varying Bank Impacts: &#8216;Goldman Sachs Worst Hit, Huntington Best&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

INTU

7 Stocks, 5 ETFs Move On Friday As Fed's Preferred Inflation Rate Hits 3-Year Low

The investment landscape for copper has been ignited by recent bullish predictions, particularly from prominent hedge fund <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/03/37985516/not-just-nvidia-ai-is-also-fueling-global-copper-demand-analyst-reveals-3-top-stock">manager Pierre Andurand</a>. 
Andurand's <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/725234a6-9e6f-4a4a-9406-2bda667ca511">forecast</a> of copper prices reaching $40,000 per tonne underscored a compelling investment opportunity in copper miner stocks and the Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>).
Here are the drivers behind his optimistic outlook for copper. Benzinga will also touch upon the performance and holdings of the Global X Copper Miners ETF and examine technical indicators to present a comprehensive case for investors.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Copper Demand-Supply Dynamics</h1>
Copper, a critical metal in the energy transition, is poised for significant demand growth. Andurand&#8217;s prediction is based on the increasing electrification of the world, including:
<ul>
<li>electric vehicles</li>
<li>renewable energy infrastructure</li>
<li>military applications</li>
<li>data centers</li>
</ul>
As these sectors expand, the demand for copper is expected to double, outpacing supply, which traditionally takes about 15 years to develop new mines.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Pierre Andurand's Bullish Outlook For Copper</h1>
Andurand, known for his success in commodities trading, shifted his focus to copper after experiencing setbacks in the oil market.
His Commodities Discretionary Enhanced fund rebounded from a 55% loss last year and is now up 83% year-to-date, largely due to diversified commodity investments.
He believes current supply constraints and robust demand will propel copper prices to unprecedented heights.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">COPX ETF Overview</h1>
The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) offers a targeted investment in copper mining companies. With an expense ratio of 0.65%, the ETF has shown impressive returns:
<ul>
<li>3 Month Return: 32.70%</li>
<li>YTD Return: 27.36%</li>
<li>1 Year Return: 39.32%</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Key Holdings</h1>
Global X Copper Miners ETF's portfolio includes leading copper miners, reflecting a diversified exposure to the industry (Company name, U.S.-listed ticker, allocation%):
<ol>
<li>First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (OTCPK:FQVLF) &#8211; 5.31%</li>
<li>KGHM Polska Miedz S.A. (OTCPK: KGHPF) &#8211; 5.30%</li>
<li>Boliden AB (OTCPK:BDNNY) (OTCPK: BLIDF) &#8211; 4.82%</li>
<li>Lundin Mining Corp. (OTCPK: LUNMF) &#8211; 4.72%</li>
<li>Teck Resources Limited Class B (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TECK#NYSE">TECK</a>) &#8211; 4.69%</li>
<li>BHP Group Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHP#NYSE">BHP</a>) &#8211; 4.64%</li>
<li>Glencore plc (OTCPK: GLCNF) (OTCPK: GLNCY) &#8211; 4.60%</li>
<li>Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. Class H (OTCPK: ZIJMF) (OTCPK: ZIJMY) &#8211; 4.58%</li>
<li>Antofagasta plc (OTCPK: ANFGF) &#8211; 4.54%</li>
<li>Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>) &#8211; 4.51%</li>
</ol>
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/04/38292100/freeport-mcmoran-vs-teck-resources-which-copper-stock-has-more-upside">Freeport-McMoRan Vs. Teck Resources — Which Copper Stock Has More Upside?</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Charts Indicate Bullish Outlook For Global X Copper Miners ETF</h1>
The technical indicators for Global X Copper Miners ETF reveal a moderately bullish trend, with buying pressure suggesting a positive outlook.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="625" height="454" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/27075654/Screenshot-2024-05-27-at-3.57.03-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-357042" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/27075654/Screenshot-2024-05-27-at-3.57.03-PM.png 625w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/27075654/Screenshot-2024-05-27-at-3.57.03-PM-300x218.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px" /></figure>
<a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart: Benzinga Pro</a>
The Global X Copper Miners ETF share price is $48.66 while the 8-day simple moving average (SMA) is $49.98, which signals short-term bearishness.
However, the 20-day SMA at $48.35 and the 50-day SMA at $45.74 both indicate a bullish momentum. The 200-day SMA stands at $38.34, further reinforcing the bullish signal as the stock price remains well above it.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="625" height="454" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/27075708/Screenshot-2024-05-27-at-3.56.13-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-357043" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/27075708/Screenshot-2024-05-27-at-3.56.13-PM.png 625w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/27075708/Screenshot-2024-05-27-at-3.56.13-PM-300x218.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px" /></figure>
<a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart: Benzinga Pro</a>
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is 1.21, suggesting bullishness, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53.65 indicates that the ETF is neither oversold nor overbought. 
Additionally, the Bollinger Bands support bullish signals as the ETF is trading within the upper range.
Given the bullish forecast for copper prices, driven by robust demand and constrained supply, copper miner stocks and the COPX ETF represent a compelling investment opportunity. 
Andurand's expertise and confidence in the market, coupled with strong ETF performance and supportive technical indicators, suggest that investors could consider taking exposure to this sector. 
As the world continues to electrify and transition towards renewable energy, the demand for copper is set to soar, making now an opportune time to invest in copper miners through Global X Copper Miners ETF.
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/03/37985516/not-just-nvidia-ai-is-also-fueling-global-copper-demand-analyst-reveals-3-top-stock">Not Just Nvidia, AI Is Also Fueling Global Copper Demand: Analyst Reveals 3 Top Stock Picks</a>
Photo: Shutterstock

Hedge Funds

Technicals

BDNNY

BLIDF

GLCNF

GLNCY

ZIJMF

ZIJMY

Copper To $40,000 A Tonne, Says Hedge Fund Titan Pierre Andurand: What ETF Investors Should Watch

Joshua Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management named Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NDAQ#NASDAQ">NDAQ</a>) as his final trade on CNBC's &#8220;<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/05/23/final-trades-nasdaq-archer-daniels-midland-copx.html">Halftime Report Final Trades</a>.&#8221; 
On April 25, Nasdaq reported worse-than-expected first-quarter adjusted EPS results, posting adjusted earnings of 63 cents per share, missing market estimates of 65 cents per share. 
The company's sales came in at $1.117 billion versus expectations of $1.114 billion. Nasdaq also announced a 9% increase in quarterly <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/NDAQ/earnings">dividend to 24 cents per share</a>.
Don't forget to check out our <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premarket/">premarket coverage here</a>
Stephen Weiss of Short Hills Capital Partners named Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADM#NYSE">ADM</a>) as <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/04/38527999/archer-daniels-midland-beats-q1-earnings-expectations-but-misses-revenue-targets-whats-next-for-the">his final trade</a>.
On April 30, Archer-Daniels-Midland posted better-than-expected first-quarter earnings. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.46, beating the analyst consensus of $1.36. Quarterly revenues of $21.85 billion missed the street view of $22.27 billion. Archer-Daniels-Midland sees FY24 adjusted earnings per share of $5.25-$6.25 versus the $5.57 estimate.
In a separate press release, the company said that its global regenerative agriculture program expanded to more than 2.8 million acres in 2023, exceeding its 2 million acre goal.
Liz Young of SoFi picked Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>).
Price Action:
<ul>
<li>Archer-Daniels-Midland shares fell 1.9% to close at $60.72 on Thursday.</li>
<li>Global X Copper Miners ETF declined 1.1% during Thursday's session.</li>
<li>Nasdaq shares fell 1.5% to close at $61.52 during Thursday's session.</li>
</ul>
Check This Out: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/24/05/38984458/top-5-tech-stocks-that-could-lead-to-your-biggest-gains-this-month">Top 5 Tech Stocks That Could Lead To Your Biggest Gains This Month</a>
Image: Shutterstock

NDAQ

Nasdaq, Archer-Daniels-Midland And More On CNBC's 'Final Trades'

요즘 구리의 열기가 뜨겁다. 이에 따라 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">구리를 추적하는 ETF</a> 역시 달아오르고 있다.
블룸버그는 이 문제에 정통한 소식통을 인용해 미국이 당초 예상했던 일정보다 몇 달 전에 구리 수입에 막대한 관세를 부과할 것이라는 내러티브가 힘을 얻으면서, 트레이더들이 이에 대응했고, 구리 가격은 사상 최고치를 기록했다고 보도했다.
이 소식은 글로벌 시장에 파문을 일으키며 미국 상장 구리 ETF 가격도 사상 최고치로 끌어올리는 것과 동시에 인플레이션과 공급 부족에 대한 우려를 촉발했다.
<h3>구리 ETF의 기록 경신</h3>
구리 가격 상승으로 구리를 추종하는 ETF가 최고치를 기록했다. 2억 7천만 달러 규모의 미국 구리 지수 펀드(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>)는 수요일(26일) 한때 3% 이상 상승했고, 연간 수익률이 30%로 상승했다가 현재는 27%를 기록하고 있다. 1월에 시작하여 구리 선물 일간 수익률의 2배를 추종해 변동성이 더 큰 USCF 데일리 타겟 2X 구리 지수 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPXR#NYSE">CPXR</a>)는 연초 대비 45%라는 사상 최고치를 또다시 경신했고, 이후 소폭 하락하여 현재 37.64%의 수익률을 기록하고 있다.
구리 가격이 급등하는 동안 투자자들은 구리 ETF로 몰려들었다. etf.com에 따르면 3월 13일부터 3월 25일까지 CPER 펀드에는 1,850만 달러가 순유입되어 금속에 대한 지속적인 관심을 나타냈다. 구리 광산 ETF도 급등으로 인한 혜택을 누렸다. 주요 광업 주식을 보유한 글로벌 X 구리 광산 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>)는 구리 가격 상승과 광업주에 대한 투자자들의 선호도 개선에 힘입어 연초 이후 7.6% 상승했다.
<h3>구리 열풍의 원동력</h3>
도널드 트럼프 대통령이 미국으로 수입되는 모든 구리에 25%의 관세를 부과할 수 있다는 보도가 나오면서 구리 관세 과대광고가 주목을 받았다. 가장 중요한 광물의 자국 생산을 보호하기 위한 것으로 알려진 이 조치는 미국 공급망 다변화를 위한 대규모 노력의 일환이다. 그럼에도 불구하고 미국 국내 채굴 능력을 높이는 데 필요한 리드 타임이 길어지면서 공급 업체들이 관세 부과 이전에 미국으로 구리를 공급하기 위해 출격하면서 단기적인 영향은 가격 상승이라고 블룸버그는 <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-26/trump-may-implement-copper-import-tariffs-within-weeks?sref=TBDibEcD">보도했다</a>.
뉴욕 COMEX 구리 선물은 수요일에 3.1%까지 상승하여 파운드당 5.374 달러로 사상 최고치를 기록한 후 반등했다. 벤치마크 런던금속거래소(LME) 구리 가격은 일시적으로 2.2% 하락한 톤당 9,893달러를 기록하며 두 시장 간 격차가 톤당 1,750달러 이상으로 확대되는 등 미국과 세계 가격 간의 격차가 극명하게 드러났다. 블룸버그에 따르면 이러한 차익걸래 기회로 인해 전 세계적으로 미국으로 향하는 화물의 경로를 변경하려는 움직임이 시작되었고, 주요 소비국인 중국은 공급 부족을 겪었다.
<h3>무역 전쟁, 글로벌 공급 제약</h3>
구리는 트럼프 행정부의 끊임없는 무역 전쟁의 새로운 전선이다. 이번 관세는 철강, 알루미늄 및 기타 상품에 대한 이전 관세에 이어 전 세계 공급망에 영향을 미치고 미국 제조업체의 투입 비용을 증가시킨 것으로 예상된다. 새로운 무역 장벽의 위협은 원자재 가격 상승이 소비자와 기업에게 전가될 수 있기 때문에 인플레이션에 대한 두려움을 다시 불러일으켰다.
글로브 앤 메일(The Globe And Mail)은 공급 제한도 여전히 시장을 타이트하게 유지한다고 <a href="https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/XCG-T/pressreleases/31551635/rising-copper-prices-boost-commodity-etf-amid-tariff-fears-and-china-stimulus/">지적했다 </a>. 새로운 광산 운영 및 정제 능력에 대한 투자가 감소하면서 업계는 수요를 충족하기 위해 계속 싸우고 있다. 미국의 신규 구리 생산량이 증가하더라도 공급에 크게 기여하기까지는 몇 년이 걸릴 것이므로 당분간 가격이 높게 유지될 수 있다.
<h3>구리와 ETF의 다음 단계는?</h3>
최악의 경우 몇 주 앞으로 다가온 관세를 고려하면 구리의 상승세는 아직 유효할 수 있다. 관세가 확정되면 미국 구리 가격이 더 높은 수준으로 상승하여 글로벌 시장과의 차익거래 차이가 커질 수 있다. 플레이어들은 공급망이 어떻게 재조정되고 중국의 부양책이 수요를 계속 뒷받침할지 여부에 관심을 가질 것이다.
ETF 투자자에게는 이번 랠리가 전기화, AI 인프라, 재생에너지 전환에서 구리의 중추적인 역할을 강조하고 있다. CPER 펀드와 같은 직접적인 구리 ETF나 COPX 펀드와 같은 광업 관련 펀드 등 지정학적, 거시경제적 추세가 영향을 미치면서 구리 반등은 기회와 위협을 모두 제공한다.
사진: Jose Luis Stephens via Shutterstock
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중국 금속 시장이 춘절 이후 활기를 되찾고 있는 가운데 JP모건 애널리스트 도미닉 오케인(Dominic O&#8217;Kane)이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">눈길을 끄는 몇 가지 추세를 추적</a>하고 있다.
구리와 철광석 가격은 4개월 만에 최고치를 기록했고, 철강 생산량은 2021년 이후 가장 강세를 보이고 있으며, 비금속 재고는 계절적으로 사상 최저치를 기록하는 중이다. 결론적으로 중국의 수요가 살아난다면 공급이 부족한 실물 시장이 강세장의 발판이 될 수 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">구리의 혼재된 신호</h3>
구리 가격은 지난 2주 동안 5% 상승하여 톤당 약 9,500달러까지 올랐지만 중국의 국내 수요는 그 속도를 따라가지 못하고 있다. JP모건은 중국의 구리 프리미엄이 20% 하락한 것을 반영하듯 실제 구리 수요가 계절적 요인에 뒤처지고 있다고 지적했다.
그럼에도 불구하고 오케인은 위안화 강세와 미국 금속 관세에 대한 기대감 등 글로벌 거시적 요인이 LME 구리의 상승세를 유지하는 데 도움이 되고 있다고 지적한다. 재고가 5년래 최저치를 기록한 가운데 JP모건은 구리가 2025년 4분기까지 톤당 10,400달러까지 상승할 것으로 전망하고 있다.
투자 수익을 노리는 투자자는 United States Copper Index Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>)와 Global X Copper Miners ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>)를 통해 구리 가격 모멘텀에 노출될 수 있다.
<h3>공급 차질로 인한 철광석 상승세</h3>
철광석 가격은 호주 서부의 사이클론 관련 공급 차질로 인해 1월 이후 톤당 105달러로 10% 급등했다. 중국의 철근 수요는 날씨로 인해 감소했지만, 철강 생산은 2021년 이후 가장 빠른 속도로 증가하고 있다. JP모건은 중국의 연례 전국인민대표대회(3월 5일)에서 철강 및 철광석 시장을 더욱 부양할 수 있는 정책적 지원이 나올지 주목한다.
철광석 거래에 주목하는 투자자는 광범위한 노출을 위해 VanEck Steel ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLX#NYSE">SLX</a>)와 iShares MSCI Global Metals &amp; Mining Producers ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PICK#NYSE">PICK</a>)를 살펴볼 수 있다.
<h3>알루미늄 및 아연: 낮은 재고, 제한된 수요</h3>
알루미늄과 아연 재고는 수년래 최저치로 공급이 부족하다는 신호를 보인다. 그러나 지난주 알루미늄 재고가 110kt 증가했지만 새해 이후에도 수요는 여전히 부진한 상황이다. JP모건은 2025년 알루미늄 가격을 톤당 2,763달러로 예상하고 있지만 지속적인 상승을 위해서는 더 강력한 수요 신호가 필요하다.
알루미늄에 대해 긍정적인 전망을 가진 투자자들은 iPath Series B Bloomberg Aluminum Subindex Total Return ETN(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JJU#NYSE">JJU</a>)를 통해 직접 투자할 수 있다.
<h3>더 큰 움직임을 기다리는 투자자들</h3>
중국 금속 시장은 공급 부족과 기록적으로 낮은 재고가 연휴 이후 수요 부진과 충돌하고 있다. JP모건의 오케인은 중국의 향후 정책 움직임이 금속 가격의 다음 상승을 위한 핵심 촉매제가 될 것으로 본다.
구리와 철광석이 이미 과열된 상황에서 투자자들은 다음 큰 움직임에 대비하기 위해 COPX, SLX, PICK 같은 ETF를 주시해야 한다.
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 수익률을 높이세요.
독점 속보 및 스캐너와 같은 Benzinga Pro의 강력한 도구 세트로 다른 트레이더보다 우위를 점하세요. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

녹색 전환이 가속화됨에 따라 재생 에너지 인프라, 전기 자동차(EV) 및 전력망에서 중요한 역할을 하는 구리에 대한 수요가 급증했다. 기업들이 새로운 광산을 건설하기 위해 안간힘을 쓰고 있음에도 불구하고 2035년에는 구리 부족량이 수백만 톤에 달할 수 있으며, 이로 인해 과학자와 엔지니어는 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/aluminum" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">알루미늄과 같은 대체 물질</a>을 모색하게 된다.
알루미늄은 높은 전도성과 내식성을 포함하여 구리의 바람직한 특성을 많이 공유한다. 지구의 지각에는 보크사이트 광석에서 형성되는 알루미늄이 8.1%나 함유되어 있어 지구상에서 가장 풍부한 금속이다. 한편, 구리 퇴적물은 표면 아래 더 깊은 1차 광석 퇴적물의 광물화를 통해 형성되어 발견 및 추출이 더 어렵고 풍부하지 않게 된다.
알루미늄의 응용 분야는 EV를 넘어 가공 전력선, 태양광 패널 프레임, 풍력 터빈 부품과 같은 전력망 및 재생 에너지 시스템까지 확장된다. 해저 케이블과 중요 변압기 권선에서는 우수한 전도성과 피로 저항성 때문에 여전히 구리를 선호하지만, 재생 에너지에서 알루미늄의 역할은 점점 커지고 있다.
에인트호번 대학의 연구원인 아우케 훅스트라(Auke Hoekstra)은 &#8220;전기 자동차의 거의 모든 구리는 모터 권선부터 와이어 하니스까지 <a href="https://www.shapesbyhydro.com/en/material-properties/how-we-can-substitute-aluminium-for-copper-in-the-green-transition/">알루미늄으로 대체</a>될 수 있다&#8221;고 말한다. 그러나 알루미늄은 무게가 가벼워 연료 효율성에서 유리하지만, 전도율은 구리의 60%에 불과하다.
또한, 알루미늄 생산은 에너지를 많이 소모하며, 1톤의 용융 알루미늄을 생산하는 데 13~15메가와트시(MWh)의 에너지가 필요하다. 알루미늄은 또한 높은 크리프율과 산화 경향을 가져 디자인 제약과 소재 처리 문제를 발생시킨다.
따라서 구리는 내구성과 컴팩트함이 요구되는 고수요 시나리오에서는 여전히 선택되는 소재이다. 예를 들어 지하 전력선, 고전압 변압기 및 밀집 회로 기판 등이 있다.
2022년, 퍼시픽 노스웨스트 국립연구소의 키르티 카파간툴라(Keerti Kappagantula)가 이끄는 연구팀은 <a href="https://www.pnnl.gov/news-media/cooking-conductive-alternative-copper-aluminum">알루미늄의 전도성을 높이는</a> 작업을 시뮬레이션을 통해 금속의 구조를 변경하여 개별 원자를 제거하거나 재배치하는 방식으로 진행했다. 그러나 카파간툴라의 최근 <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&amp;user=-ixY5zAAAAAJ&amp;view_op=list_works&amp;sortby=pubdate">연구</a>는 초점이 그래핀으로 전환되었다는 것을 나타낸다. 그래핀은 탄소 동소체로, 미세한 수준에서 측정된 가장 강한 물질이다.
이 소재의 인기는 미국 에너지부의 진행 중인 수백만 달러 규모의 <a href="https://www.nrel.gov/news/program/2023/stage-2-winners-of-a-manufacturing-prize-are-supercharging-u-s-industries.html">전도성 향상 소재 개발 경쟁</a>에서도 두드러지게 나타난다. 7개 경쟁자 중 3개는 구리 복합 소재에 초점을 맞추고 있으며, 그 중 2개는 그래핀을 포함하고 있다.
그래핀을 도입함으로써 연구자들은 원자 수준에서 저항을 줄여 새로운 효율성을 열어주면서 구리의 고유한 장점을 유지하는 것을 목표로 하고 있다. 넷 제로(Net Zero) 세계에서는 두 가지 선택지가 있다: 구리 공급을 늘리거나 효율성을 극대화하는 것이다.
Global X Copper Miners ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>)는 올해 들어 시장보다 저조한 성과를 보이며 13.40%의 수익률을 기록했다. P/E 비율은 10.90배로, S&amp;P 500의 30.4배 비율보다 훨씬 낮다.
다음 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42243885/copper-supply-gap-drives-mcewens-2-5b-fundraising-for-los-azules">구리 공급 부족이 맥이웬의 25억 달러 기금을 유도한 이유</a></li>
</ul>
이미지는 Midjourney를 통해 인공지능으로 생성되었습니다.
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전 세계가 전기화된 미래로 나아가면서 구리 시장은 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/copper">중요한 기로</a>에 서 있다.
JP모건의 애널리스트인 패트릭 존스(Patrick Jones), 그렉 시어러(Greg Shearer) 및 빌 피터슨(Bill Peterson)의 통찰은 구리 가격에 대한 단기적인 장애물과 전기차 및 공급 동태의 변화에 의해 주도되는 화려한 장기 전망을 제시한다.
이는 United States Copper Index Fund ETV(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CPER#NYSE">CPER</a>), Global X Copper Miners ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>) 및 iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICOP#NASDAQ">ICOP</a>)에 투자한 이들에게는 장기적으로 좋은 소식처럼 보일 수 있다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">전기차 붐: 구리 수요를 급증시키다</h2>
전기차(EV) 혁명은 구리 수요를 전기화할 준비가 되어 있다. JP모건은 전기차에서의 구리 사용량이 2023년 140만 톤에서 2030년까지 300만 톤으로 두 배 이상 증가할 것이라고 예측한다. 얇은 구리 양극 포일과 같은 기술 발전이 수요를 저해할 수 있다는 우려가 있지만, 이 애널리스트들은 그렇지 않다고 주장한다.
전기차 크기의 증가와 리튬-철-인산(LFP) 배터리로의 전환 — 이는 구리 사용량이 더 많은 배터리이다 — 이 장기적인 성장을 주도할 것으로 예상된다.
추가 읽기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41337566/trump-2-0-trade-policies-could-hit-copper-stocks-harder-warns-jpmorgan-analyst">트럼프 2.0 무역 정책이 구리 주식에 더 큰 타격을 줄 수 있다고 경고한 JP모건 애널리스트</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">신기술: 용출이 생명줄이 될 수 있을까?</h2>
용출 기술(Leaching technologies)이 화제를 모으고 있지만, 구리 공급을 혁신할 수 있을까? 아직은 아니라고 이 애널리스트들은 말한다. 프리포트-맥모란(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>)과 BHP 그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHP#NYSE">BHP</a>)과 같은 주요 광산업체들의 프로젝트가 수면 위로 떠오르고 있지만, 이러한 발전이 2030년 이전에 공급 감소를 상쇄할 가능성은 낮다.
최고로 봐도 용출 기술은 연간 55만 톤을 추가할 수 있으며, 이는 전 세계 공급의 2%에 불과하다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">스크랩 및 재활용: 주목받지 않는 영웅?</h2>
재활용은 구리 공급의 중요한 요소로, 2024년 정제 공급의 약 17%를 차지하여 2020년의 14%에서 증가할 것이다. JP모건은 스크랩 공급이 연간 5-6% 성장할 것으로 예상하지만, 이는 역사적 비율보다 빠르긴 해도 장기적인 적자를 메우기에는 불충분하다고 전망한다. 재활용만으로는 구리 공급 부족 문제를 해결할 수 없다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">단기 위험, 장기 보상</h2>
JP모건은 중국 위안화가 1달러당 7.8에서 8.0으로 평가절하될 가능성 등 거시경제적 압력으로 인한 단기 위험을 경고한다. 이는 구리 가격이 12-15% 하락하게 되어 주식에 악영향을 미칠 수 있지만, 이 애널리스트들은 다가오는 공급-수요 격차에 기초하여 장기적인 경로에 대해 긍정적으로 전망하고 있다.
그들의 추천 종목은 다음과 같다:
룬딘 마이닝(OTCPK:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/lunmf" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for LUNMF">LUNMF</a>)은 EMEA에서 선두주자이며, 테크 리소스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TECK#NYSE">TECK</a>)는 아메리카에서 가장 높다. 아시아-태평양의 선호 종목은 지진 마이닝(Zijin Mining)과 메르데카 코퍼(Merdeka Copper)이며, 장시 코퍼(Jiangxi Copper)와 샌드파이어 리소스(Sandfire Resources)에 대해서는 주의가 필요하다.
다음 읽기: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41877899/trump-re-election-jolts-metals-market-as-gold-sees-a-stumble-not-a-sea-change">트럼프 재선이 금 시장에 충격을 주고 금은 &#8216;급락, 변화 없음&#8217;으로 이어진다</a></li>
</ul>
이미지: Shutterstock
다른 트레이더들보다 30분 일찍 독점 시장 움직임 뉴스를 받아보세요. 
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구리의 고공행진: EV, 신기술이 이 금속의 다음 대혁명을 이끌 수 있을까?

6월은 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">섹터 및 산업 성과</a>의 상당한 격차에도 불구하고 SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)가 추적하는 S&amp;P 500이 3.2% 상승하는 등 주식 시장에서 높은 평가를 받으며 마감되었다.
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>)가 추적하는 기술 부문은 지난달 실적에서 11개 S&amp;P 500 섹터를 주도하며 7.7% 급등해 올해 가장 높은 월간 상승률을 달성했다.
이와는 대조적으로 유틸리티 부문은 Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)가 6.3% 하락해 2023년 9월 이후 최악의 달을 기록하는 등 부진했다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">6월 최고의 성과를 보인 산업 ETF들</h3>
iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IGV#NYSE">IGV</a>)는 지난달 11.3% 상승하여 산업 ETF 중 1위를 차지했다.
이에 뒤이어 VanEck Semiconductor ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMH#NYSE">SMH</a>)가 8.4% 상승하며 반도체 부문에서 강력한 모멘텀을 보여주었다.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF는 2023년 10월 최저치를 기록한 이후 무려 87%, 2022년 10월 이후로는 200% 이상 상승해 AI 중심 주식의 눈부신 성장을 반영했다.
월간 실적 측면에서 3위를 차지한 SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XBI#NYSE">XBI</a>)는 4% 상승했다.
소프트웨어 부문에서는 24.9% 상승한 어도비(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADBE#NASDAQ">ADBE</a>), 22.1% 오른 크라우드스트라이크 홀딩스(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>), 20% 상승한 오라클(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NYSE">ORCL</a>)이 눈에 띄는 성과를 거두었다.
브로드컴(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>)는 21% 상승으로 칩 제조업체를 이끌었다. 유니버설 디스플레이 코퍼레이션(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OLED#NYSE">OLED</a>)은 19.7% 증가로 그 뒤를 쫓았고, 코보(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QRVO#NASDAQ">QRVO</a>)는 18% 상승을 기록했다.
생명공학 분야에서 실렉스 홀딩(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCLX#NASDAQ">SCLX</a>)는 78.8%의 급등을 경험하여 업계 최고의 상승세를 보였다. 앨라일람 파마슈티컬스(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALNY#NASDAQ">ALNY</a>)는 63.7% 급등한 반면, 어비디티 바이오사이언스(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RNA#NASDAQ">RNA</a>)는 52%의 강력한 상승세를 보였다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">6월 자금 유입량 상위 산업 ETF</h3>
자금 흐름을 조사한 결과 VanEck Semiconductor ETF는 투자자들에게 최고의 선택으로 부상했으며 트레이딩뷰(Tradingview) 데이터에 따르면 10억 달러 이상을 유치하고 9개월 연속 유입을 달성했다. 올해 현재까지 이 펀드는 46억 달러의 순유입을 기록했다.
iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF는 6월에 약 4억 8천만 달러를 유치하여 6개월 연속 유출을 깨고 2022년 9월 이후 가장 높은 월간 유입을 기록했다. 그러나 연간 순 흐름은 여전히 ​​11억 5천만 달러 마이너스이다.
iShares Biotechnology ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBB#NYSE">IBB</a>)는 투자자들의 높은 관심을 반영하여 지난달 1억 4,800만 달러의 자금을 유입했다. 강력한 유입을 목격한 또 다른 업계는 약 1억 3천만 달러를 유치한 Global X Copper Miners ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>)로 대표된다.
다음 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/07/39577080/manufacturing-contracts-more-than-expected-in-june-putting-pressure-on-profitabilit">6월 제조업 계약 예상보다 많아 &#8216;수익성 압박&#8217;: 수익률 상승, 주식 하락</a></li>
</ul>
사진: 셔터스톡

6월 상위 성과 업종 ETF: 소프트웨어는 수익을 선도, 칩 메이커들은 가장 많은 자금 유치

금요일은 최근 몇 년 동안 금속 원자재 가격이 가장 강한 날 중 하나가 될 것으로 예상된다. 금은 1.7% 이상 상승해 온스당 2,400달러를 넘어 사상 최고치를 기록했고, 은은 6% 이상 급등해 2013년 2월 이후 최고치까지 올랐으며, 구리는 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/mining">사상 최고치</a>를 기록했다.
What Happened: 인플레이션 우려가 줄어들면서 한 주 동안 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하 주장이 강화되었다. 또한, 어려움을 겪고 있는 부동산 부문을 지원하기 위한 중국의 광범위한 경기 부양책 소식으로 인해 금속 원자재 가격이 급등했다. 베이징은 주택 구입자들을 위한 계약금을 줄이고, 팔리지 않은 부동산을 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/05/38895805/china-goes-all-in-as-beijing-vows-to-buy-unsold-properties-chinese-stocks-rally-copper-hits-all-time" target="_blank" rel="noopener">사회주택</a>으로 전환하기 위한 국가 재정 지원 패키지 등의 조치를 발표했다.
중국이 구리의 최대 수입국이기 때문에 중국 경제 건전성에 매우 민감한 구리는 4% 상승하여 파운드당 5달러를 넘어섰다. 이번 급등은 새로운 사상 최고치이자 2022년 11월 이후 가장 큰 폭의 일일 상승을 보였다.
은과 금과 같은 귀금속은 금리와 중국 관련 발전에 긍정적으로 반응했다. 은은 30달러 이상으로 급등하여 트리플탑의 저항선 패턴을 벗어났다.
차트: 구리, 사상 최고치 경신
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-344275" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17151239/image-75-1024x495.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17151239/image-75-1024x495.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17151239/image-75-300x145.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17151239/image-75-768x372.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17151239/image-75-1536x743.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17151239/image-75.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="495" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">금속 상품에 대한 전문가적 시각</h3>
크레스캣 캐피털(Crescat Capital)의 거시 전략가인 오타비오 코스타(Otavio Costa)에 따르면 중앙은행은 &#8220;외화 보유고의 질을 높이고 이를 통해 통화 시스템의 신뢰성을 강화하기 위해 금을 확보&#8221;하고 있다.
그는 많은 투자자 및 거래자와는 달리 중앙은행은 장기적인 관점을 가지고 있으며 이는 &#8220;이들 기관에 의한 금 축적은 이제 막 시작됐다&#8221;는 것을 의미한다고 강조했다.
골드만삭스의 분석가에 따르면 선물 가격이 사상 최고치를 기록하며 지속적인 숏 스퀴즈(공매도 압박) 속에서도 구리는 여전히 주목받고 있다. 이 투자 은행은 시장의 구조적인 공급 핍박을 언급하고 현재 수준보다 20% 증가할 것으로 예상하면서 구리에 대한 긍정적인 전망을 유지했다.
전 골드만삭스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>)의 상품 전략가이자 현재 칼라일 그룹(Carlyle Group)의 에너지 경로 부문 최고 전략 책임자인 제프 커리(Jeff Currie)는 블룸버그와의 <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-17/jeff-currie-says-copper-is-the-best-trade-he-s-seen-in-his-career?sref=TBDibEcD">인터뷰</a>에서 구리는 전기 자동차, 업데이트된 그리드 및 AI 데이터 센터에 전력을 공급하는 데 있어 이 금속의 중요성을 강조하면서 여전히 더 많은 운영 공간을 갖고 있다.고 강조했다.
차트: 은, 2020년 8월 이후 최고 수준 기록
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-344292" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17152107/image-76-1024x495.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17152107/image-76-1024x495.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17152107/image-76-300x145.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17152107/image-76-768x372.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17152107/image-76-1536x743.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/17152107/image-76.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="495" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">광업주들의 폭등</h3>
금속 원자재의 랠리는 광산주에 광범위한 상승을 초래했다.
<ul>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P 금속 및 광업 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XME#NYSE">XME</a>)가 1.86% 상승하여 2022년 4월 이후 최고치를 기록했다. 광산업들 중에서 최고의 수익을 기록한 기업은 쾨르 마이닝(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CDE#NYSE">CDE</a>)와 헤클라 마이닝(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HL#NYSE">HL</a>)로, 이들은 각각 11% 이상 상승했다.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>글로벌 X 구리 광업 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>)가 4.68% 급등하여 이 펀드 설립 이래 최고 수준을 기록했다. 이 펀드에서 최고 수익을 기록한 회사들은 타세코 광산(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGB#NYSE">TGB</a>), 에로 코퍼(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ERO#NYSE">ERO</a>), 퍼스트 퀀텀 미네랄즈(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FQVLF#OTC">FQVLF</a>), 각각 9.19%, 7.52%, 7.46% 상승했다.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>글로벌 X 은 광업 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SIL#NYSE">SIL</a>)는 4.88% 상승하여 2022년 4월 이후 최고치로 올랐다. 쾨르 마이닝와 헤클라 마이닝 외에도 엔데버 실버(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXK#NYSE">EXK</a>)도 10.73% 올랐다.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>VanEck Gold Miners ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>)가 3.39% 상승하여 2022년 4월 이후 최고 수준에 도달했다. 이 ETF에서 최고 수익을 기록한 기업은 뉴골드(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NGD#NYSE">NGD</a>)로 12.23% 급등했다.</li>
</ul>
사진: 셔터스톡

은 가격은 11년 만에 최고치, 금과 구리는 사상 최고점 기록: 광산 주식 급등

4월이 끝나가면서 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">이번 달</a>의 최고 성과 부문 및 업계 상장지수펀드(ETF) 순위를 집계할 때가 되었다.
주식 시장을 더 폭넓게 살펴보면 SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)로 대표되는 S&amp;P 500 지수는 약 3% 하락하며 4월을 하락세로 마감했다. 이로써 5개월 연속 상승세가 끝났다.
마찬가지로, Invesco QQQ Trust(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)가 추적하는 기술주 중심의 나스닥 100 지수는 3.5% 하락했다.
대형주 지수 중에서 우량주는 SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)가 4.5% 하락하는 등 저조한 성과를 보였다.
iShares Russell 2000 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>)로 대표되는 소형주는 6% 이상 급락하여 2023년 10월 이후 최악의 실적을 기록했다.
전반적으로 이번 달은 예상을 뛰어넘는 인플레이션으로 인해 주식시장에 어려운 달이었다. 이로 인해 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하 가능성에 대한 시장 기대가 재조정되었다.
또한 현재 진행 중인 가자지구 문제와 함께 특히 이스라엘과 이란 간의 복잡한 글로벌 지정학적 긴장이 대두되고 있다.
5월은 투자자들이 수요일 연준의 공개시장위원회(FOMC) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/macro-notification/24/04/38526201/is-hawkish-shift-on-inflation-imminent-wall-street-analysts-traders-brace-for-fed-impa">회의</a>를 기다리면서 중요한 행사로 시작될 것으로 예상된다.
금리 변동은 없을 것으로 예상되지만 최근 인플레이션에 대한 대응으로 연준의 입장을 평가하기 위한 제롬 파월 연준 의장의 발언에 모든 ​​관심이 쏠릴 것이다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">2024년 4월 섹터 ETF의 성과</h2>
섹터수준에서는 유틸리티 섹터만 이번 달 손실을 피해 2.1% 상승했다.
4월에 유틸리티 섹터의 가장 큰 주식 공헌자는 넥스트에라 에너지(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEE#NYSE">NEE</a>), 서던 컴퍼니(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SO#NYSE">SO</a>), 도미니언 에너지(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/D#NYSE">D</a>) 및 NRG 에너지 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NRG#NYSE">NRG</a>)로 4%에서 8% 사이의 월간 상승을 보여주었다.
에너지 주식들은 전반적으로 안정적이었으며, S&amp;P 500의 다른 9개의 섹터들은 모두 손실을 보여주었다.
부동산은 한 달 동안 국채 수익률이 전반적으로 상승함에 따라 금리에 대한 높은 민감도로 인해 7% 이상 하락하는 최악의 실적을 기록했다.
부동산 다음으로, 기술 및 헬스케어 섹터 역시 4월에는 좋지 않은 성과를 보였다.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">4월의 최고와 최악의 섹터 ETF: 유틸리티 우위, 부동산 부진</h4>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Sector</th>
<th>April 2024 performance</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>유틸리티 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)</td>
<td>2.06%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>에너지 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)</td>
<td>0.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>생필품 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>)</td>
<td>-1.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>산업 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>)</td>
<td>-3.23%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>생활소비재 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>)</td>
<td>-3.68%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>금융섹터 셀렉트 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>)</td>
<td>-3.85%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>소재 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLB#NYSE">XLB</a>)</td>
<td>-4.13%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>통신서비스 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>)</td>
<td>-4.24%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>기술 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>)</td>
<td>-4.78%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>건강관리 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>)</td>
<td>-4.85%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>부동산 셀렉트 섹터 SPDR 펀드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>)</td>
<td>-7.83%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">2024년 4월 30일 오후 2시 50분 EDT 기준</figcaption></figure>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">2024년 4월 산업 ETF의 성과</h2>
블랙록(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>)의 iShares가 제공하는 업계 ETF 목록에 따르면 25개 산업 중 5개 산업만이 4월에 상승세를 기록했다. 그중 광업주들은 은, 구리, 금 광산주가 강력한 상승세를 보이는 등 전반적으로 좋은 성적을 거두었다.
4월에 광업 산업의 개수의 존재의 의미있는 기여자들은 팬 아메리칸 실버 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PAAS#NYSE">PAAS</a>)가 20% 이상 상승, 뉴몬트(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>)이 14% 상승, 앵글로 아메리칸(OTCPK:AAUKF)이 40% 이상 상승 등이었다.
에너지 생산업체들도 상승 마감할 수 있었다.
업계 순위에서 가장 낮은 부분에 있는 주택 건설업체, 운송, 생명공학 주식, 디지털 인프라 및 부동산은 모두 4월에 7%에서 9.6% 사이의 손실을 보고했습니다.
On the bottom side of the industry rankings, homebuilders, transportation, biotech stocks, digital infrastructure and real estate all report losses between 7% and 9.6% in April.
산업순위의 하위권에서는, 4월에 홈빌더, 운송, 바이오 기술 주식, 디지털 인프라 및 부동산이 각각 7%에서 9.6% 사이의 손실을 보고 있다.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th>성과</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>iShares MSCI 글로벌 실버 및 금속 채광업 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLVP#NYSE">SLVP</a>)</td>
<td>12.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>)</td>
<td>9.50%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares MSCI 글로벌 금괴 채굴업 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RING#NYSE">RING</a>)</td>
<td>5.93%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares MSCI 글로벌 금속 및 광업 생산업체 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PICK#NYSE">PICK</a>)</td>
<td>2.81%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares MSCI_Global_Energy_Producers ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FILL#NYSE">FILL</a>)</td>
<td>2.46%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#NYSE">ITA</a>)</td>
<td>-1.16%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>한미파이 체인지 트럼프 월가 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEO#NYSE">IEO</a>)</td>
<td>-1.37%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>아이쉐어스 레지던셜 앤 멀티섹터 부동산 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REZ#NYSE">REZ</a>)</td>
<td>-1.66%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares 리튬 채광 및 생산업체 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ILIT#NYSE">ILIT</a>)</td>
<td>-3.30%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. 브로커-딜러 및 유가증권 거래소 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAI#NYSE">IAI</a>)</td>
<td>-3.74%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. 금융 서비스 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYG#NYSE">IYG</a>)</td>
<td>-3.88%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares 확장된 기술 섹터 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IGM#NYSE">IGM</a>)</td>
<td>-4.37%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares 반도체 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXX#NYSE">SOXX</a>)</td>
<td>-4.40%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IHF#NYSE">IHF</a>)</td>
<td>-4.79%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. 보험 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAK#NYSE">IAK</a>)</td>
<td>-4.85%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAT#NYSE">IAT</a>)</td>
<td>-5.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IHE#NYSE">IHE</a>)</td>
<td>-5.38%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:&lt;</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>

Market Summary

REIT

Federal Reserve

Real Estate

FILL

IDGT

ILIT

PAAS

XLRE

월가에 소나기 내린 4월: 우울한 시장에 광업 및 유틸리티 부문이 상승하며 부상

호주의 다국적 광산업체인 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/BHP" target="_blank" rel="noopener">BHP</a> 그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BHP#NYSE">BHP</a>)가 경쟁사인 앵글로 아메리칸(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NGLOY#OTC">NGLOY</a>)에 제출한 약 400억 달러 입찰은 이 회사를 인수하기에 충분하지 않을 수 있다. 왜냐하면 구리 자산에 대한 전 세계적 쟁탈전 속에서 다른 다각화된 광산업체들이 아마도 경쟁 입찰을 할 것이기 때문이다.
작년에 호주 구리 생산업체인 OZ 미네랄(OZ Minerals)의 64억 달러 인수를 완료한 후, BHP는 세계 경제가 화석 연료에서 전환함에 따라 앞으로 수요가 크게 증가할 것이라는 광범위한 기대 속에서 구리에 대한 투자를 두 배로 늘리고 있다.
태양광, 풍력 발전소, 전기 자동차에는 기존 유틸리티 및 내연 기관 자동차보다 더 많은 구리가 필요하다.
투자 컨설팅 회사인 델타 캐피털 매니지먼트(Delta Capital Management)의 설립자인 숀 캐스터라인(Sean Casterline)은 Benzinga에 &#8220;이것은 세계 청정 에너지 운동의 핵심인 구리 및 기타 금속에 ​​대한 쟁탈전으로 인해 추진된 산업용 금속을 통합하려는 최신 움직임&#8221;이라고 말했다.
이미 세계 최대의 광산 회사인 BHP는 현재 칠레의 국영 코델코(Codelco)와 미국의 대형 기업인 프리포트 맥모란(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>)에 이어 세 번째로 큰 구리 생산업체이다. 앵글로 아메리칸과의 합병으로 BHP는 선두 위치로 올라설 것이다.
RBC 캐피털 마켓의 분석가는 &#8220;우리의 견해로는 구리 자산이 제안된 거래의 주요 동인이라고 생각한다&#8221;라고 말했다.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">경쟁 입찰 가능성 높다</h1>
BHP는 런던에 본사를 둔 앵글로 아메리칸에 주당 25.08파운드(32.27달러)를 제안했으며 앵글로 아메리칸은 이 제안을 검토 중이라고 밝혔다. 이번 전체 주식 거래는 앵글로 아메리칸의 가치를 311억 파운드(389억 달러)로 평가하며 이 영국 회사가 남아프리카에 상장된 앵글로 아메리칸 플래티넘(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANGPY#OTC">ANGPY</a>) 및 쿰바 철광석(Kumba Iron Ore Ltd.)(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KIROY#OTC">KIROY</a>)의 지분을 분할하는 데 달려 있다.
이번 제안은 앵글로 아메리칸의 런던 상장 주식에 대해서는 14% 가량의 프리미엄을, 그리고 동사의 백금 및 철광석 부문을 제외한다면 31% 가량의 프리미엄을 나타낸다.
그러나 이에 대해 여러 분석가들은 이게 충분하지 않을 수도 있다고 말했다.
또한 읽어볼 것: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/04/38090219/will-copper-reach-10-000-an-essential-metal-that-faces-an-uncertain-future">구리는 1만 달러에 달할까? ‘불확실한 미래를 맞닥뜨리는 귀중한 금속&#8217;</a>
앵글로 아메리칸의 주가는 최근 너무 하락했기 때문에 이사회와 주주들은 아마도 BHP가 구리 사업을 운영하고 있는 칠레와 페루에서의 이 회사 구리 자산을 포함한 회사의 가치를 BHP의 제안이 과소평가한 것으로 생각할 것이다. 앵글로 아메리칸의 주가는 운영 문제, 실망스러운 생산 전망, 다이아몬드 및 플래티넘 그룹 시장의 부진으로 인해 어려움을 겪고 있다.
BHP의 제안은 &#8220;앵글로 이사회나 주요 주주를 끌어들이기에 충분하지 않은 소심하고 다소 복잡한 입찰&#8221;이라고 리버룸(Liberum)의 분석가 벤 데이비스(Ben Davis)가 말했다. BHP의 제안 이후 그는 앵글로의 목표 가격을 27.50파운드(34.41달러)로 높였다. 이는 제안이 공식적으로 공개되기 전 주식 종가에서 거의 25% 상승한 수치입니다.
제프리스(Jefferies)의 분석가들은 회사 간의 진지한 논의를 위해서는 주당 최소 28파운드(35.04달러)의 가격이 필요할 것이며 주당 30파운드(37.54달러)를 넘는 테이크아웃 가격은 입찰 전쟁의 결과가 될 것이라고 말하면서 더 높이 올렸다.
&#8220;만약 BHP가 실제로 이 거래를 계속 추진한다면 다른 입찰자가 나오지 않는다면 우리는 놀랄 것이다&#8221;라고 이 회사가 말했다. &#8220;이 게임이 시작되는 것을 보자.&#8221;
RBC 캐피털 마켓의 분석가들은 이 회사의 구리 자산을 결합할 때 얻을 수 있는 잠재적 이점 때문에 다각화된 채굴업체 글렌코어(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLNCY#OTC">GLNCY</a>)를 하나의 논리적 입찰자로 선정했다. 이 회사는 브라질 철광석 자산 결합의 매력 때문에 발리(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/vale" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for VALE">VALE</a>)도 가능성으로 내세웠다.
데이비스는 다국적 광산 기업인 리오 틴토(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIO#NYSE">RIO</a>)를 중요한 후보로 꼽았다. 하지만 그는 이 회사가 광산을 구매하는 것보다 광산을 건설하는 것을 선호하는 것으로 유명하다고 지적했다.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">금광 회사들의 구리 자산 확장</h1>
구리 인수가 매력적인 이유 중 하나는 처음부터 새로운 구리 광산을 건설하는 데 비용이 많이 들고 시간이 많이 걸린다는 것이다.
허가를 받기 어려운 미국이나 현지 시위 이후 최근 법원 판결로 대규모 구리 광산을 폐쇄해야 하는 파나마와 같은 다른 관할권에서는 특히 그렇다고 폴라리스 캐피털(Polaris Capital)의 포트폴리오 매니저인 제이슨 크로쇼(Jason Crawshaw)가 말했다. 폴라리스 캐피털은 구리 광산업체인 런딘 마이닝 코퍼레이션(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUNMF#OTC">LUNMF</a>)와 안토파가스타(Antofagasta) (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ANFGF#OTC">ANFGF</a>)에 투자하고 있다.
그는 벤징가(Benzinga)에게 &#8220;자산 쟁탈전이 벌어지고 있다&#8221;고 말했다. &#8220;모두는 항상 구리에 더 많이 노출되기를 원한다.&#8221;
금광 회사들조차 구리 자산을 더 확대하는 데 관심을 갖고 있다.
작년에 미국에 본사를 둔 금광 메이저인 뉴몬트(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>)는 호주의 금광업체인 뉴크레스트 마이닝(Newcrest Mining Ltd.)을 거의 170억 달러에 인수하여 거의 500억 파운드에 달하는 구리 매장량과 자원을 단번에 추가했다.
한편, 캐나다에 본사를 둔 경쟁사인 배릭 골드(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOLD#NYSE">GOLD</a>)는 2028년 공장 생산 확대를 목표로 잠비아 구리 광산을 확장하기 위해 약 20억 달러를 지출하고 있다.
구리 생산업체에 대한 다양한 노출을 원하는 투자자는 Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPX#NYSE">COPX</a>), Sprott Copper Miners ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPP#NASDAQ">COPP</a>), Sprott Junior Copper Miners ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPJ#NASDAQ">COPJ</a>) 및 iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICOP#NASDAQ">ICOP</a>)를 고려할 수 있다.
이제 읽어보세요: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/03/37924793/rising-copper-prices-portfolio-review-make-underperforming-anglo-american-stock-a-p">구리 가격 상승, 포트폴리오 검토로 결과가 나오지 않는 앵글로 아메리칸 주식</a>
사진: 앵글로 아메리칸의 칠레 구리 광산 사진 (출처: 앵글로 아메리카의 플리커)

ANGPY

COPJ

COPP

GOLD

KIROY

NGLOY

VALE

구리는 HOT한 상품: BHP의 '인수 제안' 후 앵글로 아메리칸에 대한 입찰 경쟁 예상

월스트리트는 인공 지능(AI) 운영에 필수적인 데이터 센터에서 금속의 사용이 증가함에 따라 구리에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있음을 보여주고 있다.
What Happened: 제프리스(Jefferies)의 메모에 따르면 데이터 센터의 전 세계 구리 수요는 2023년 239,000톤에서 2030년까지 연간 최소 450,000톤으로 증가할 것으로 예측된다고 <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/15/wall-street-bullish-on-copper-on-ai-demand-analysts-like-these-stocks.html">CNBC가 보도했다</a>.
&#8220;저희의 분석결과 이 잠재적 수요 증가는 기본적으로 구리 시장의 공급 적자를 악화시킬 것이며, 결국에는 가격이 오를 것&#8221;이라고 제프리스 분석가들이 밝혔다.
또한 모건스탠리는 올해 말까지 구리 가격이 톤당 10,500달러에 달할 것으로 예측했으며, 이는 12%의 상승률이다. 이 예측은 인공지능 및 데이터 센터 운영에서 구리에 대한 수요 증가와 함께 공급이 제한되는 것에 기반을 두고 있다.
참고 자료: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/04/38222451/original-trump-nft-collection-trading-volume-plunges-99-in-past-30-days-ahead-of-criminal-?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">오리지널 트럼프 NFT 컬렉션 거래량, 형사재판을 앞두고 지난 30일 동안 99% 급감</a>
이 보도는 이 부문에 관심이 있는 투자자들이 글로벌 X 구리 광산 ETF(Global X Copper Miners ETF) (ARCA: <a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/copx" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for COPX">COPX</a>)의 주식, 특히 200% 이상의 잠재적 상승률과 100% 매수 등급을 보여주는 캐나다 기업 솔라리스 리소스(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLSSF#OTC">SLSSF</a>)의 주식을 고려할 것을 제안한다.
필로 마이닝(Filo Mining) (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLMMF#OTC">FLMMF</a>)도 분석가들로부터 25%의 상승 잠재력과 92%의 인상적인 매수 등급을 받아 주목을 받았다. ETF를 통해 이 분야에 투자하고 싶은 투자자들을 위해 선택지로는 ETF를 통해 이 분야에 투자하고 싶은 투자자들을 위해 선택지로는 Global X Copper Miners ETF, Sprott Copper Miners ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COPP#NASDAQ">COPP</a>) 및 iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICOP#NASDAQ">ICOP</a>) 등이 있다.
Why It Matters: 구리 수요의 급증은 인공지능 붐과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 골드만삭스가 테크 주식, 특히 인공지능 부문의 뛰어난 성과에 힘입어 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/03/37927561/goldman-sachs-predicts-15-upside-for-s-p-500-ai-boom-could-drive-market-to-6-000">2024년 말까지 S&amp;P 500이 15% 상승할 것</a>이라고 예측했다.
또한 애플의 공급업체인 IQE는 AI 부문의 급속한 확장에 따른 탄탄한 주문량에 힘입어 강력한 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/04/38179631/ai-boom-fuels-optimistic-outlook-for-key-apple-supplier-iqe-sees-strong-order-book-in-2024-despite-p" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2024</a> 회계연도 실적을 예상했다.
그러나 인공지능 붐도 그 바람직하지 않은 측면이 있다. 구글 딥마인드의 공동 창업자인 데미스 허사비스(Demis Hassabis)는 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/04/38017024/google-deepmind-co-founder-voices-concerns-over-ai-hype-were-talking-about-all-sorts-of-things-that">AI 투자의 급증</a>으로 실제적인 과학적 발전을 가려버리고 있으니 이점에 대해 우려를 표시했다.
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