Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (ARCA: EDV)

에 대한 최신 뉴스 Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (ARCA:EDV)

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF

The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20-30 Year Equal Par Bond Index. This index includes zero-coupon U.S. Treasury securities (Treasury STRIPS), which are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, with maturities ranging from 20 to 30 years. The fund invests by sampling the index. At least 80% of its assets will be invested in U.S. Treasury securities held in the index.

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국제통화기금(IMF)이 미국 국채 선물시장을 크게 장악하고 있는 소수의 헤지펀드에 대해 우려를 표명했다. IMF의 2024년 4월 글로벌 금융 안정성(GFS) 보고서에 따르면 &#34;레버리지가 높은 소수의 자금이 국채 선물 매도 포지션의 대부분을 차지하기 때문에 취약성이 집중되었다&#34;고 밝혔다.

미국 국채 선물시장에서 소수의 헤지 펀드 집단이 지배력 장악, 취약성 집중: IMF 경고

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Earnings Scheduled For May 1, 2025

Fears of the end of the U.S. exceptionalism trade have triggered a rare, simultaneous selloff across stocks, Treasuries and the dollar in recent weeks, as concerns over tariffs and the politicization of the Federal Reserve under President Donald <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">Trump continue to mount.</a>
Since Trump's self-declared "Liberation Day" on April 2, when he unveiled sweeping "reciprocal tariffs" on U.S. trading partners, the market reaction has been swift and broadly negative. U.S. government bonds, traditionally a refuge during equity volatility, have failed to provide a safe haven.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Trump-Powell Tension Behind The Market Unwind</h3>
Market fragility was further exposed by Trump&#8217;s open attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell. 
First, he wrote last week on Truth Social, "Jerome Powell is always too late and wrong. His termination cannot come fast enough." 
Then, during a press conference with Italy's Giorgia Meloni, he pushed the issue further: "If I want him out. He&#8217;ll be out of there real fast. Believe me."
Confirmation from National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett that the administration is "considering" removing Powell before his term ends in 2026, also added fuel to the fire.
On Monday, the Trump-Powell drama escalated again, sending shockwaves across currency markets, where central bank independence is viewed as a cornerstone of stability.
Trump posted on Truth Social, pushing for "preemptive" interest rate cuts. He wrote that with energy costs and food prices falling — sarcastically referencing Biden's "egg disaster" — inflation was virtually gone. The president warned of a slowing economy unless Powell, whom he labeled a "major loser," acted immediately.
He further accused Powell of political bias during the previous election cycle, claiming the Fed Chair only cut rates to help former President Joe Biden and later Vice President Kamala Harris win the White House.
Betting markets currently assign a 23% chance on Powell no longer serving as Fed Chair by the end of the year. 
<iframe loading="lazy" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widgets/events/LEAVEPOWELL-25/markets/LEAVEPOWELL-25-DEC31?color_scheme=light&#038;widget_size=large&#038;utm_campaign=benzinga_widget" width="552px" height="400px" style="border:0"></iframe>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Triple Threat: Stocks, Bonds, Dollar All Down</h3>
The market has responded decisively. Since April 2, 2025:
<ul>
<li>The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) has dropped more than 6%</li>
<li>The Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), tracking the dollar index, has fallen 5.8%</li>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) has tumbled over 8%</li>
</ul>
This rare triple selloff challenges a foundational assumption: that Treasuries typically gain when risk assets fall. 
The breakdown of this historical inverse correlation has led many to wonder: Are investors abandoning Treasuries?
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What the Official Data Shows, And What It Doesn't</h2>
The latest U.S. Treasury International Capital (TIC) data, covering February, doesn&#8217;t show large-scale foreign divestment. 
According to Goldman Sachs, foreign investors actually net purchased long-term U.S. securities in February, including Treasuries, equities and corporate bonds.
Agency securities saw some selling, but overall the data point to continued interest from global buyers—even as market volatility ramps up.
That said, February is now outdated. 
With April&#8217;s turbulence unfolding post-TIC cutoff, the latest exchange-traded fund flows could offer more immediate clues about investor behavior.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">ETF Flows Reveal a More Nuanced Picture</h3>
According to data from ETFDB.com through April 18, there's no evidence of broad-based exodus from Treasury ETFs. 
Despite some rotation out of long-duration ETFs like TLT and Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EDV#NYSE">EDV</a>), short- and mid-duration Treasury ETFs have attracted strong inflows during the month. 
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>ETF Name </th>
<th>April Flows</th>
<th>Trend Insight</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF </td>
<td>-$2.85 billion</td>
<td>Outflows have outweighed inflows since September 2024. </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF</td>
<td>-$385 million</td>
<td>Worst monthly outflow since data began in 2015</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOVT#NYSE">GOVT</a>)</td>
<td>+$78 million</td>
<td>Modest recovery after March's $2.95 billion outflow</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHY#NASDAQ">SHY</a>)</td>
<td>+$1.2 billion</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEI#NYSE">IEI</a>)</td>
<td>+$897 million</td>
<td>Highest inflows since July 2022</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHV#NASDAQ">SHV</a>)</td>
<td>+$2.94 billion</td>
<td>Best month since February 2023</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEF#NYSE">IEF</a>)</td>
<td>+$230 million</td>
<td>Four straight months of inflows</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VGIT#NASDAQ">VGIT</a>)</td>
<td>+$770 million</td>
<td>Strongest inflows since June 2024</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VGSH#NASDAQ">VGSH</a>)</td>
<td>+$505 million</td>
<td>On pace for fourth straight positive month</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZROZ#NYSE">ZROZ</a>)</td>
<td>+$3.55 million</td>
<td>Minimal activity; flows remain stagnant since October 2024</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Data as of April 18, 2025</figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What About China?</h3>
There's also speculation that major foreign holders, especially China, could be reducing exposure to U.S. government debt in retaliation for tariffs. 
Yet, Goldman Sachs analysts see little evidence of that.
They indicated the recent dislocations are "more likely related to position unwinds by levered investors than significant real money (domestic or international) selling," a view also recently expressed by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/scott-bessent">U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent</a> during a Bloomberg interview. 
As Goldman highlighted, the dollar/yuan exchange rate behavior does not support the idea of major Chinese repatriation—
if Beijing were dumping Treasuries, USD/CNY would likely face sharp downward pressure, but the opposite has happened.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">No Sign Of A Treasury Crisis, Yet</h3>
The bottom line: while some repositioning out of longer-dated Treasuries has been repositioned, ETF flows suggest no broad investor flight from the Treasury market.
If anything, there is a tilt toward shorter maturities, likely reflecting a desire to hedge against both rate volatility and political uncertainty.
Until more recent TIC data is available in June, ETF flows remain the best window into investor sentiment and so far, they suggest the panic narrative may be premature.
Now Read: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44886209/if-you-had-bet-on-gold-after-the-1971-nixon-shock-youd-have-beaten-the-sp-500-unless-you-did-this-one-thing">If You Had Bet On Gold After The 1971 Nixon Shock, You&#8217;d Have Beaten The S&amp;P 500 — Unless You Did This One Thing</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

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Are Investors Selling US Treasuries As Trump Attacks Powell? Here's What Latest ETF Flows Tell You

<h3>Companies Reporting Before The Bell</h3>
• Priority Tech Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PRTH#NASDAQ">PRTH</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.07 per share on revenue of $227.93 million. 
• KVH Industries (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KVHI#NASDAQ">KVHI</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.07 per share on revenue of $28.12 million. 
• Dingdong (Cayman) (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DDL#NYSE">DDL</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.00 per share on revenue of $793.81 million. 
• Seanergy Maritime Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHIP#NASDAQ">SHIP</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.43 per share on revenue of $40.15 million. 
• Dynagas LNG Partners (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLNG#NYSE">DLNG</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.28 per share on revenue of $38.34 million. 
• ALX Oncology Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALXO#NASDAQ">ALXO</a>) is likely to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• Ranpak Hldgs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PACK#NYSE">PACK</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $100.41 million. 
• VerifyMe (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRME#NASDAQ">VRME</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.04 per share on revenue of $8.21 million. 
• Xeris Biopharma Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XERS#NASDAQ">XERS</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $60.00 million. 
• Stevanato Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STVN#NYSE">STVN</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.20 per share on revenue of $352.00 million. 
• Phathom Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHAT#NASDAQ">PHAT</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $1.07 per share on revenue of $26.04 million. 
• John Wiley &amp; Sons (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLYB#NYSE">WLYB</a>) is likely to report earnings for its third quarter. 
• John Wiley &amp; Sons (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLY#NYSE">WLY</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.45 per share on revenue of $401.10 million. 
• Turning Point Brands (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPB#NYSE">TPB</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.75 per share on revenue of $102.27 million. 
• Macy's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/M#NYSE">M</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.91 per share on revenue of $7.84 billion. 
• Burlington Stores (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BURL#NYSE">BURL</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $3.76 per share on revenue of $3.29 billion. 
• Kroger (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KR#NYSE">KR</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.09 per share on revenue of $34.87 billion. 
• Mind Medicine (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MNMD#NASDAQ">MNMD</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• JD.com (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JD#NASDAQ">JD</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.80 per share on revenue of $45.16 billion. 
• Delcath Systems (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DCTH#NASDAQ">DCTH</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $12.42 million. 
• Cracker Barrel Old (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRL#NASDAQ">CBRL</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.41 per share on revenue of $836.96 million. 
• GMS (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GMS#NYSE">GMS</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.40 per share on revenue of $1.29 billion. 
• Superior Industries Intl (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SUP#NYSE">SUP</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.60 per share on revenue of $300.28 million. 
• Evogene (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EVGN#NASDAQ">EVGN</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.73 per share on revenue of $3.62 million. 
• Marex Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRX#NASDAQ">MRX</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.61 per share on revenue of $370.82 million. 
• ProFrac Holding (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACDC#NASDAQ">ACDC</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.23 per share on revenue of $498.50 million. 
• Toro (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TTC#NYSE">TTC</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.63 per share on revenue of $1.01 billion. 
• Sunrise Realty Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SUNS#NASDAQ">SUNS</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EDV#NYSE">EDV</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• BrightSpring Health (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BTSG#NASDAQ">BTSG</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.20 per share on revenue of $2.95 billion. 
• America's Car-Mart (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRMT#NASDAQ">CRMT</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.17 per share on revenue of $273.39 million. 
• BlackSky Technology (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKSY#NYSE">BKSY</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.26 per share on revenue of $34.23 million. 
• Distribution Solns Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DSGR#NASDAQ">DSGR</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.33 per share on revenue of $463.80 million. 
• Hippo Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIPO#NYSE">HIPO</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.07 per share on revenue of $98.75 million. 
• Polestar Automotive (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PSNY#NASDAQ">PSNY</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.15 per share on revenue of $634.04 million. 
• Canadian Natural Res (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.95 per share on revenue of $8.90 billion. 
• Real Brokerage (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REAX#NASDAQ">REAX</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $282.20 million. 
• Myers Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MYE#NYSE">MYE</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.10 per share on revenue of $203.10 million. 
• TORM (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRMD#NASDAQ">TRMD</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.74 per share on revenue of $280.86 million. 
• BJ's Wholesale Club (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BJ#NYSE">BJ</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.86 per share on revenue of $5.30 billion. 
<h3>Companies Reporting After The Bell</h3>
• Samsara (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IOT#NYSE">IOT</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.07 per share on revenue of $335.35 million. 
• Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LXRX#NASDAQ">LXRX</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.12 per share on revenue of $6.48 million. 
• DXP Enterprises (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DXPE#NASDAQ">DXPE</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.86 per share on revenue of $431.00 million. 
• Reliance Global Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RELI#NASDAQ">RELI</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• Cherry Hill Mortgage (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHMI#NYSE">CHMI</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.19 per share on revenue of $2.37 million. 
• Research Frontiers (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REFR#NASDAQ">REFR</a>) is expected to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• Silvercrest Asset Mgmt Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAMG#NASDAQ">SAMG</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.30 per share on revenue of $31.97 million. 
• Xtant Medical Hldgs (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XTNT#AMEX">XTNT</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $31.80 million. 
• Cango (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CANG#NYSE">CANG</a>) is likely to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• ModivCare (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MODV#NASDAQ">MODV</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.69 per share on revenue of $717.27 million. 
• Comstock (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LODE#AMEX">LODE</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.20 per share on revenue of $700 thousand. 
• Marchex (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHX#NASDAQ">MCHX</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $12.01 million. 
• GEN Restaurant Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GENK#NASDAQ">GENK</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.03 per share on revenue of $49.77 million. 
• CytomX Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CTMX#NASDAQ">CTMX</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.13 per share on revenue of $13.53 million. 
• Atea Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVIR#NASDAQ">AVIR</a>) is estimated to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• National CineMedia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCMI#NASDAQ">NCMI</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.31 per share on revenue of $83.72 million. 
• Fidus Investment (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FDUS#NASDAQ">FDUS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.52 per share on revenue of $36.66 million. 
• Molecular Partners (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MOLN#NASDAQ">MOLN</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $1.61 per share on revenue of $5.00 million. 
• IDT (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IDT#NYSE">IDT</a>) is expected to report earnings for its second quarter. 
• Smith &amp; Wesson Brands (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SWBI#NASDAQ">SWBI</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.02 per share on revenue of $119.46 million. 
• Arcturus Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARCT#NASDAQ">ARCT</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.51 per share on revenue of $45.92 million. 
• Serve Robotics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SERV#NASDAQ">SERV</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.13 per share on revenue of $254 thousand. 
• Clarus (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLAR#NASDAQ">CLAR</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.09 per share on revenue of $69.03 million. 
• Guidewire Software (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GWRE#NYSE">GWRE</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.52 per share on revenue of $285.83 million. 
• Elutia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ELUT#NASDAQ">ELUT</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.25 per share on revenue of $6.40 million. 
• MeridianLink (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLNK#NYSE">MLNK</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.08 per share on revenue of $78.53 million. 
• Asure Software (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASUR#NASDAQ">ASUR</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.17 per share on revenue of $30.82 million. 
• BigBear.ai Hldgs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBAI#NYSE">BBAI</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $54.17 million. 
• Traeger (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COOK#NYSE">COOK</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.01 per share on revenue of $164.62 million. 
• Domo (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOMO#NASDAQ">DOMO</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.16 per share on revenue of $78.00 million. 
• AerSale (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASLE#NASDAQ">ASLE</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.08 per share on revenue of $91.78 million. 
• Guild Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GHLD#NYSE">GHLD</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.37 per share on revenue of $272.74 million. 
• Hudson Technologies (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HDSN#NASDAQ">HDSN</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $37.96 million. 
• a.k.a. Brands Holding (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AKA#NYSE">AKA</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.23 per share on revenue of $154.49 million. 
• American Outdoor Brands (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AOUT#NASDAQ">AOUT</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.10 per share on revenue of $56.78 million. 
• Funko (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FNKO#NASDAQ">FNKO</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.00 per share on revenue of $285.79 million. 
• Gevo (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEVO#NASDAQ">GEVO</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.07 per share on revenue of $3.95 million. 
• American Public Education (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APEI#NASDAQ">APEI</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.62 per share on revenue of $161.78 million. 
• El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOCO#NASDAQ">LOCO</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.14 per share on revenue of $115.83 million. 
• Noodles (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NDLS#NASDAQ">NDLS</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.14 per share on revenue of $121.36 million. 
• Potbelly (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PBPB#NASDAQ">PBPB</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.05 per share on revenue of $115.23 million. 
• Loma Negra Cia Industria (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOMA#NYSE">LOMA</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.10 per share on revenue of $221.13 million. 
• Granite Ridge Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRNT#NYSE">GRNT</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.13 per share on revenue of $104.93 million. 
• Invesco Dorsey Wright Industrials Momentum ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PRN#NASDAQ">PRN</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.47 per share on revenue of $5.92 million. 
• Profound Medical (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PROF#NASDAQ">PROF</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.34 per share on revenue of $5.92 million. 
• Gap (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GAP#NYSE">GAP</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.38 per share on revenue of $4.07 billion. 
• Hewlett Packard (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HPE#NYSE">HPE</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.50 per share on revenue of $7.82 billion. 
• HASHICORP INC CL A (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCP#NASDAQ">HCP</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.08 per share on revenue of $175.71 million. 
• ACCESS Newswire (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACCS#AMEX">ACCS</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.23 per share on revenue of $7.38 million. 
• Information Servs Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/III#NASDAQ">III</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.05 per share on revenue of $57.62 million. 
• Full House Resorts (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLL#NASDAQ">FLL</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.19 per share on revenue of $75.78 million. 
• Willdan Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLDN#NASDAQ">WLDN</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.57 per share on revenue of $145.00 million. 
• Broadcom (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.47 per share on revenue of $14.62 billion. 
• Ero Copper (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ERO#NYSE">ERO</a>) is estimated to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• Velocity Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VEL#NYSE">VEL</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.48 per share on revenue of $42.70 million. 
• Cooper Companies (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COO#NASDAQ">COO</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.92 per share on revenue of $980.87 million. 
• Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COST#NASDAQ">COST</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $4.01 per share on revenue of $62.61 billion. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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Earnings Scheduled For March 6, 2025

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised concerns about a small number of hedge funds that now hold significant control over the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/treasuries">U.S. Treasury futures market. </a>
&#8220;A concentration of vulnerability has built up, as a handful of highly leveraged funds account for most of the short positions in Treasury futures,&#8221; the IMF&#8217;s April 2024 Global Financial Stability (GFS) report states. 
This concentration of short positions by highly leveraged funds could pose systemic threats to the financial stability of not just the U.S., but the global economy, according to the Washington-based institution. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Increasing Bets On Treasury Futures By Hedge Funds</h3>
Leveraged hedge funds have ramped up their short positions in U.S. Treasury futures, capitalizing on the basis trade, which involves exploiting the price discrepancies between cash Treasuries and their futures counterparts. 
These funds use borrowed money from the repurchase-agreement (repo) market to increase their potential returns. 
The IMF warns that the scale of these bets has grown large enough to spark concerns among financial stability observers.
&#8220;Some of these funds may have become systemically important to the Treasury and repo markets, and stresses they face could affect the broader financial system,&#8221; the IMF stated. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Too Big To Fail?</h3>
Essentially, the report suggests that certain funds have become so crucial to the Treasury and repo markets that they might now be considered too big to fail.
Any significant liquidity problems they encounter could ripple through the broader financial system, causing widespread instability.
The concentration of leverage among these funds is stark. Nearly half of all two-year Treasury futures positions are held by fewer than eight traders. For longer maturities like five and ten years, just eight hedge funds control about 30% of the market.
In August last year, hedge fund manager Bill Ackman made headlines by initiating a short position on U.S. 30-year Treasuries, anticipating <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/23/08/33547572/hedge-fund-guru-bill-ackman-bets-against-us-treasuries-expects-30-year-yields-to-surge-to-5-5">soaring U.S. budget deficits. </a> This move netted him over $200 million when he closed <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/hedge-funds/23/10/35375749/bill-ackman-exits-treasury-bond-short-position-warns-economy-slowing-faster-than-recent-data-">the position in October.</a>
So far in 2024, U.S. Treasury bonds have underperformed. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) has dropped almost 9% since the beginning of the year, and the Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EDV#NYSE">EDV</a>) has seen a decline exceeding 12%.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Debt-To-GDP Ratio Set To Rise To 134% By 2029</h3>
It remains uncertain whether the hedge funds&#8217; substantial short positions are in part a bet against U.S. fiscal health, anticipating that yields will remain elevated due to ongoing loose fiscal policies. 
The IMF&#8217;s &#8216;Fiscal Monitor&#8217; suggests that increasing public debt, primarily in China and the United States, coupled with tightening monetary policies, are contributing to higher long-term government bond yields and their volatility in the U.S.
In 2023, the U.S. general government fiscal deficit expanded dramatically to 8.8% of GDP, up from 4.1% the previous year, driven by a sharp decline in income tax revenues and increased spending. The deficit is expected to slightly decrease to 6.6% of GDP in 2024 but will rise again in 2025.
The IMF projects that the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio will continuously climb from 122% in 2023 to nearly 134% by 2029.
"Public gross financing needs will remain at levels higher than those before the pandemic over the medium term based on high existing debt burdens and persistent fiscal deficits. China and the United States have large gross financing needs of more than 25 percent of GDP in the near term,&#8221; the IMF wrote. 
The IMF&#8217;s forecasts suggest that the U.S. Treasury will need to issue a substantial amount of bonds to refinance maturing debt and cover the spiraling deficit, a reality that hedge funds are keenly exploiting.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Year</td>
<td>Government Deficit (As % of GDP)</td>
<td>Government Debt As % of GDP</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2023</td>
<td>-8.8</td>
<td>122.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2024</td>
<td>-6.5</td>
<td>123.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2025</td>
<td>-7.1</td>
<td>126.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2026</td>
<td>-6.6</td>
<td>128.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2027</td>
<td>-6.2</td>
<td>130.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2028</td>
<td>-6.4</td>
<td>132.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2029</td>
<td>-6</td>
<td>133.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Data: IMF Fiscal Monitor – April 2024</figcaption></figure>
Read now: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/04/38319509/treasury-yields-head-to-danger-zone-analyst-forecasts-potential-spike-to-5-disorder">Treasury Yields Head To &#8216;Danger Zone&#8217;: Analyst Forecasts Potential Spike To 5%, Disorderly Sell-Off For Markets</a>
Photo: Shutterstock

Small Group Of Hedge Funds Wields Dominance In US Treasury Market: 'A Concentration Of Vulnerability Has Built Up,' IMF Warns

<h3>Companies Reporting Before The Bell</h3>
&bull; Local Bounti (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOCL#NYSE">LOCL</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $2.41 per share on revenue of $8.70 million.
&bull; REE Automotive (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/REE#NASDAQ">REE</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $2.38 per share on revenue of $1.35 million.
&bull; Precision BioSciences (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DTIL#NASDAQ">DTIL</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $2.05 per share on revenue of $12.48 million.
&bull; Edap TMS (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EDAP#NASDAQ">EDAP</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $19.66 million.
&bull; Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EDV#NYSE">EDV</a>) is expected to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; Cellectar Biosciences (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLRB#NASDAQ">CLRB</a>) is likely to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; Gamida Cell (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GMDA#NASDAQ">GMDA</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.15 per share on revenue of $1.06 million.
&bull; PDS Biotechnology (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PDSB#NASDAQ">PDSB</a>) is likely to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; Altimmune (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALT#NASDAQ">ALT</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; Syros Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYRS#NASDAQ">SYRS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $1.14 per share on revenue of $2.00 million.
&bull; Lands&#39; End (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LE#NASDAQ">LE</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.21 per share on revenue of $502.71 million.
&bull; Cintas (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CTAS#NASDAQ">CTAS</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $3.58 per share on revenue of $2.39 billion.
&bull; GlycoMimetics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLYC#NASDAQ">GLYC</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; Sonida Senior Living (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNDA#NYSE">SNDA</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; UniFirst (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNF#NYSE">UNF</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.42 per share on revenue of $587.84 million.
<h3>Companies Reporting After The Bell</h3>
&bull; Creative Media (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMCT#NASDAQ">CMCT</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.48 per share on revenue of $30.20 million.
&bull; Draganfly (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DPRO#NASDAQ">DPRO</a>) is likely to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; VNET Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNET#NASDAQ">VNET</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.18 per share on revenue of $279.03 million.
&bull; RH (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RH#NYSE">RH</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.67 per share on revenue of $777.48 million.
&bull; American Shared Hospital (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMS#AMEX">AMS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.02 per share on revenue of $5.19 million.
&bull; Cosan (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSAN#NYSE">CSAN</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.16 per share on revenue of $7.45 billion.
&bull; Greenidge Generation Hldg (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GREE#NASDAQ">GREE</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.25 per share on revenue of $26.70 million.
&bull; Gaia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GAIA#NASDAQ">GAIA</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $21.00 million.
&bull; Allied Gaming (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGAE#NASDAQ">AGAE</a>) is projected to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; Jefferies Financial Gr (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.75 per share on revenue of $1.52 billion.
&bull; LogicMark (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LGMK#NASDAQ">LGMK</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $1.73 per share on revenue of $2.28 million.
&bull; H.B. Fuller (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FUL#NYSE">FUL</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.64 per share on revenue of $825.03 million.
&bull; Sprinklr (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CXM#NYSE">CXM</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.09 per share on revenue of $188.73 million.
&bull; Dynagas LNG Partners (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLNG#NYSE">DLNG</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.30 per share on revenue of $38.21 million.
&bull; Durect (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DRRX#NASDAQ">DRRX</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.33 per share on revenue of $2.48 million.
&bull; Celcuity (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CELC#NASDAQ">CELC</a>) is expected to report earnings for its fourth quarter.
&bull; BioCardia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BCDA#NASDAQ">BCDA</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.11 per share on revenue of $90 thousand.
&bull; Consolidated Water Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CWCO#NASDAQ">CWCO</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.44 per share on revenue of $45.25 million.
&bull; Silver Spike Investment (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SSIC#NASDAQ">SSIC</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.27 per share on revenue of $3.37 million.
&bull; Urban-gro (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UGRO#NASDAQ">UGRO</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.13 per share on revenue of $28.94 million.
&bull; PLBY Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLBY#NASDAQ">PLBY</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.14 per share on revenue of $32.27 million.
&bull; Usio (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USIO#NASDAQ">USIO</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.00 per share on revenue of $20.43 million.
&bull; Franklin Covey (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FC#NYSE">FC</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.05 per share on revenue of $62.02 million.
&bull; Super League Enterprise (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLE#NASDAQ">SLE</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $1.20 per share on revenue of $9.30 million.
&bull; Spectral AI (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MDAI#NASDAQ">MDAI</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.40 per share on revenue of $4.60 million.
&bull; Strata Skin Sciences (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SSKN#NASDAQ">SSKN</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.02 per share on revenue of $10.01 million.
&bull; Verint Systems (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRNT#NASDAQ">VRNT</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.97 per share on revenue of $263.12 million.
&bull; Eastside Distilling (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EAST#NASDAQ">EAST</a>) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.90 per share on revenue of $3.68 million.
&bull; Braze (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRZE#NASDAQ">BRZE</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $124.86 million.
&bull; Oncology Institute (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TOI#NASDAQ">TOI</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.11 per share on revenue of $82.04 million.
&bull; Aqua Metals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AQMS#NASDAQ">AQMS</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.05 per share on revenue of $50 thousand.
&bull; Kingstone Companies (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KINS#NASDAQ">KINS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.08 per share on revenue of $29.65 million.
&bull; MillerKnoll (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLKN#NASDAQ">MLKN</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.44 per share on revenue of $909.50 million.
&bull; Rumble (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RUM#NASDAQ">RUM</a>) is likely to report quarterly loss at $0.22 per share on revenue of $28.13 million.
This article was generated by Benzinga&#39;s automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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