에 대한 최신 뉴스 Ishares MSCI India ETF (BATS:INDA)

Ishares MSCI India ETF

Financial Services

Consumer Cyclical

Technology

Industrials

Energy

Basic Materials

Consumer Defensive

Healthcare

Communication Services

Utilities

Real Estate

The Fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its Underlying Index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its Underlying Index

Hdfc Bank Limited Common Stock Inr1.0

Blackrock Cash Funds: Treasury, Sl Agency Shares

iShares MSCI India ETF

Trump tariffs

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

ETFs

ASEA

INDA

KWEB

도널드 트럼프 미국 대통령의 자발적으로 설정한 7월 9일 관세 유예 마감일까지 불과 며칠만 남은 현재, 세계 무역 현장은 협상 과정보다는 지정학적 룰렛 테이블에 더 가깝다. 트럼프의 관세 외교 복귀는 외교적 혼란과 기업들의 불안감을 재점화했지만, ETF 투자자들은 적어도 현재까지는 차분한 모습을 보이고 있다. 

&#39;타코&#39; 트레이더들, 트럼프의 관세 유예 마감일 다가오지만 침착함 유지

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최근 여러 은행에서 고객에게 보낸 메모에 따르면, 도널드 트럼프 대통령의 글로벌 관세 인상에 대한 신속한 대응으로 글로벌 헤지펀드와 레버리지 상장지수펀드(ETF)가 400억 달러 이상의 주식을 처분했다고 한다.

글로벌 헤지펀드와 ETF, 트럼프 관세 이후 400억 달러 이상 주식 처분

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The Trump administration is reportedly lowering its aspirations for comprehensive reciprocal deals. Instead, it is favoring narrower agreements to avoid the reimposition of U.S. tariffs.
What Happened:  The US is now seeking phased deals with key countries, with the aim of reaching agreements by July 9, <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/e268d462-593c-45b1-8cf1-c3d382219dd2">reported</a> the Financial Times on Tuesday. This shift in strategy is a departure from the White House&#8217;s initial plan to secure 90 trade deals during the 90-day pause in reciprocal tariffs announced by President Donald Trump in April.
Under the new plan, countries that agree to these narrower deals would avoid the more severe reciprocal tariffs, but would still be subject to the existing 10% levy while discussions on more contentious issues continue. The administration is also weighing the option of introducing tariffs on key industries. Despite this, the negotiations remain complex, and the administration is still contemplating imposing tariffs on crucial sectors. This two-pronged strategy—combining the threat of new tariffs with a willingness to strike deals—highlights the difficulties negotiators encounter with Trump, who often leverages trade to extract concessions from other nations.
Despite this change in approach, the U.S. has only managed to secure a trade pact with the U.K. and a tentative truce with China. The U.S. Commerce Department has launched national security investigations into a range of products, including copper, lumber, aerospace components, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and critical minerals.
SEE ALSO: <a href="https://benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/46162859/trump-threatens-to-cut-federal-funding-for-nyc-if-zohran-mamdani-doesnt-do-the-right-thing-as-futur" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump Threatens To Cut Federal Funding For NYC If Zohran Mamdani Doesn&#8217;t Do The &#8216;Right Thing&#8217; As Future Mayor: &#8216;If He Does Get In, I&#8217;m Going To Be President&#8230;&#8217;</a>
Why It Matters: This shift in the U.S. trade strategy comes on the heels of President Trump&#8217;s announcement that he will bypass individual trade agreements and set new tariff rates unilaterally for various trading partners through letters. 
Trump&#8217;s preference for this method was voiced on Fox News&#8217; &#8220;Sunday Morning Futures,&#8221; where he stated, &#8220;We made deals, but I&#8217;d rather just send them a letter, a very fair letter, saying &#8216;congratulations, we&#8217;re going to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/macro-economic-events/25/06/46163141/trump-says-hell-skip-trade-deals-set-global-tariffs-with-a-letter-pay-a-25-tariff-or-20-or-40-or-50">allow you</a> to trade in the United States of America, you&#8217;re going to pay a 25% tariff, or 20%, or 40 or 50%.&#8221;
Meanwhile, French President Emmanuel Macron has criticized the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/07/46186877/emmanuel-macron-calls-tariffs-blackmail-white-house-shoots-back-saying-trump-is-doing-whats-right-for-our-people">use of tariffs </a>as &#8220;blackmail&#8221; instruments by powerful nations, without directly naming Trump or the United States. His comments came as the European Union continues negotiations with the U.S. before the July 9 deadline.
Despite the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming tariff deadline, ETF investors seem to be maintaining their composure. While Trump&#8217;s return to tariff diplomacy has reignited diplomatic turmoil and corporate jitters, ETF performances have been surprisingly <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/06/46180782/trumps-tariff-clock-ticks-but-taco-traders-arent-losing-their-cool">resilient</a>.
Over the past six months, country-specific ETFs that are linked to halted negotiations, KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KWEB#NYSE">KWEB</a>) surged 19.53%, iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>) rose 4.27% while Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASEA#NYSE">ASEA</a>), climbed 2.13%.
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>READ MORE:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/46163327/trump-starmer-trade-deal-kicks-in-uk-luxury-cars-get-10-tariff-rolls-royce-engines-fly-duty-free-into-us"> Trump–Starmer Trade Deal Kicks In: UK Luxury Cars Get 10% Tariff, Rolls-Royce Engines Fly Duty-Free Into </a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Trump Administration Reportedly Scales Back Ambitions For Comprehensive Trade Deals Before Tariff Deadline

With only days remaining until President Donald Trump&#8217;s self-imposed <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/46156587/trump-says-july-tariff-deadline-not-set-in-stone-we-can-do-whatever-we-want">July 9 tariff deadline</a>, the world trade scene resembles more of a geopolitical roulette table than a negotiation process. Although Trump&#8217;s return to tariff diplomacy has reignited diplomatic turmoil and corporate jitters, ETF investors seem to be playing it cool, at least for now.
In typical Trumpian style, the U.S. President has threatened broad new tariffs for dozens of nations that don&#8217;t come to framework deals within a week. But the frameworks unveiled so far, such as with the UK and China, have been short on substance and long on optics, <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-deals-poised-fall-short-200000167.html?guccounter=1&amp;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9maW5hbmNlLnlhaG9vLmNvbS8&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEULTOijSzPIUaM76ZtXMwuZstTO6Gs_v7AfYKLFpUVM4Steqh_vRi2Rov9Y-iYtoQCOXC3Y-OqA4Jw69CatX_-Dm8eeHYOkjbQGpOtqF7n8HfztsM-BX-_bexkQJ4DrwPmsmyKLDRwBseGfLZCVVRY921fP07UjhmhAjeZfj14t">according</a> to Bloomberg. And while volatility typically follows trade tensions, the markets are responding with an unusual resilience. So are ETF performances.
As it happens, investors might be putting their money on the &#8220;TACO&#8221; theory, short for &#8220;Trump Always Chickens Out,&#8221; a sarcastic acronym that has gained traction on trading desks to characterize his style of issuing bold threats and then backing down.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/06/46176636/tesla-has-the-robot-and-the-customer-dave-mazzas-humn-etf-makes-a-calculated-bet-on-optimus">&#8216;Tesla Has The Robot And The Customer&#8217;: Dave Mazza&#8217;s HUMN ETF Makes A Calculated Bet On Optimus</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Global Trade In The Crosshairs&#8230;Again</h2>
The stakes are high. From Canada and the EU to Taiwan and India, a broad swath of nations is at risk of getting their tariffs increased unless they negotiate deals or are considered to be &#8220;negotiating in good faith.&#8221; Trump has warned that tariffs could climb from the 10% baseline to as much as 25%. He has even suggested he might act before the July 9 deadline.
The White House has been sending mixed signals. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick claimed the administration is aiming for "top 10 deals" with key partners. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that nearly 20 countries may face immediate tariff hikes. Canada, for its part, has already blinked—backing off a digital services tax to get back to the table.
However, even as Trump ignites the trade universe with 280-character warnings, the ETF universe has remained relatively calm.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">ETF Investors: Not Panicked, But Cautious</h2>
Here&#8217;s what the ETF market action indicates:
Nation-specific ETFs that are correlated to stalled negotiations like iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>), iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWT#NYSE">EWT</a>) and Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASEA#NYSE">ASEA</a>) have experienced a combination of speculative investments and defensive holding based on Trump&#8217;s rhetoric. Nonetheless, all three prices are in the green so far this year.
China&#8217;s exposure is still delicate. KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KWEB#NYSE">KWEB</a>) is up more than 3% in June, but has been volatile amid speculation about whether tariffs on rare earths and digital products will be reinstated.
Safe havens and commodities are in style again. SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) has recorded some of its most significant monthly advances since February, indicating investors are hedging against policy misfires.
If Trump follows through on blanket tariff increases, the shakeout would be rapid.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Potential ETF Winners</h2>
Domestic-centric ETFs, such as iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>), may benefit from a rotation away from export-oriented companies.
Gold and bond ETFs, such as GLD, may experience inflows as investors scramble for safety following a policy shock.
India and Southeast Asia ETFs, such as INDA and ASEA, could become popular if the U.S. solidifies its relationships with these countries as part of its &#8220;friendshoring&#8221; initiative.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Likely Losers</h2>
Export-oriented ETFs, such as the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>) and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLB#NYSE">XLB</a>), are heavily dependent on cross-border supply chains.
European nation ETFs, like iShares MSCI Germany ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWG#NYSE">EWG</a>), iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWU#NYSE">EWU</a>), and iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EZU#BATS">EZU</a>), may experience volatility if the EU fails to reach an agreement by the deadline.
Global exposure tech sector ETFs, such as the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>), could come under increased pressure if digital services taxes persist as an ongoing obstacle.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Markets Playing Chicken?</h2>
Equity markets have not yet fully priced in the possibility of Armageddon. The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/06/46124290/sp-500-hits-record-highs-and-history-says-the-best-is-yet-to-come">S&amp;P 500 is still at record levels</a>. Volatility is low (VIX at 16.74). And ETF investors appear to be hedging, not running for the hills.
As the tariff countdown continues, ETF investors are closely monitoring, though not yet bailing out. Whether Trump adheres to the deadline or drags out the anarchy into late July is anybody&#8217;s guess.
For the time being, the smart money is wagering on still more &#8220;deal theater,&#8221; tastefully staged for maximum political impact. But as always with Trump, a single tweet could upend everything.
Read Next: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/new-etfs/25/06/46174482/blackrock-hedges-its-bets-literally-etf-included">BlackRock Hedges Its Bets — Literally (ETF Included)</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Trump's Tariff Clock Ticks, But 'TACO' Traders Aren't Losing Their Cool

Macro Economic Events

Politics

Global

Economics

General

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Says Will Hear About Trade Deal With India Very Soon

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTcfYqgD9Zc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTcfYqgD9Zc</a>

Macro Notification

President Trump Says In Process Of Making Trade Deals;  At A Certain Point Over Next Week We Will Send Out Letter To Countries To Tell Them What They Have To Pay; Want Full Trade Barrier Dropping With India; Says Thinks Will Reach Trade Deal With India; Says Some Countries Will Be Disappointed On Trade Because They Will Have To Pay Tariffs

After sitting cozy for years in a U.S.-centric equity bubble, investors are finally being served a wake-up call. With U.S. valuations at elevated levels and global equities outperforming the U.S. in 2025, the long-standing &#8220;home bias&#8221; in American portfolios is starting to appear more like a risk factor than a security blanket. 
In this scenario, T. Rowe Price debuted two new <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">actively managed ETFs</a>: the T. Rowe Price Global Equity ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGLB#NYSE">TGLB</a>) and the T. Rowe Price Equity Research ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TIER#NYSE">TIER</a>). Transparent and competitively priced, the funds are designed for investors who may be willing to step, or leap, beyond the borders of the S&amp;P 500.
Tim Coyne, T. Rowe Price&#8217;s global head of ETFs, stated that TIER and TGLB provide enhanced access to global investing opportunities within the ETF wrapper, offering investors the ability to diversify their portfolios while benefiting from the advantages of active management.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/new-etfs/25/06/46127406/direxions-new-etfs-let-traders-supercharge-bets-on-cisco-and-qualcomm-with-a-catch">Direxion&#8217;s New ETFs Let Traders Supercharge Bets On Cisco And Qualcomm, With A Catch</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">TGLB: A Concentrated Global Play</h2>
The TGLB fund has a concentrated strategy, featuring a high-conviction blend of 45–60 developed and U.S. stocks. At its launch, the fund still relies quite heavily on familiar American megacaps, such as Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) (5%), Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) (4.5%), and Meta (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) (4.3%), but it will adapt to changing global opportunities.
Helmed by veteran manager Peter Bates, who leads T. Rowe's Global Select Equity Strategy, the fund aims to surpass benchmarks, focusing on high-quality growth stories regardless of their trading location.
Expense ratio: 0.46%
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">TIER: No America, More Diversity</h2>
If TGLB gently nudges investors abroad, TIER goes all in, cutting U.S. equities entirely and instead spreading capital across more than 350 stocks from both developed and emerging markets.
Initial top holdings were iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>) and Tencent Holdings (OTCPK: TCEHY), a message that the fund is not merely shunning the U.S., but actively seeking exposure to the world&#8217;s new growth drivers.
The fund is co-managed by six portfolio managers, each with regional expertise and access to the firm&#8217;s team of about 40 global research analysts. TIER is structured to track the MSCI ACWI ex USA Index geographically and by sector, with the flexibility of active choice-making.
Expense ratio: 0.38%
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Calculated Push Toward Global Thinking</h2>
With these two funds, T. Rowe Price isn&#8217;t racing after fads; it&#8217;s filling a more strategic void in numerous portfolios. The company is essentially wagering that investors will eventually grow tired of being overweight in a few of the more overvalued U.S. tech names and begin to hunger for more diversification with an institutional-level perspective.
And though INDA or TSMC don&#8217;t exactly read like revolutionary portfolio selections, the actual change is psychological: providing retail investors with the tools to venture beyond their comfort zone.
Read Next: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/06/45978750/why-smart-money-is-spreading-out-etf-flows-signal-surge-in-portfolio-diversification">Why Smart Money Is Spreading Out: ETF Flows Signal Surge In Portfolio Diversification</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

New ETFs

AMZN

MSFT

TCEHY

TGLB

TIER

T. Rowe Price Launches Global ETFs To Nudge Investors Out Of Their Comfort Zone

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eIpB6BepvNM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eIpB6BepvNM</a>

President Trump Says Just Signed Deal With China Wednesday; Have One Coming Up With India; Did Not Say What Sort Of Deal With China Was Signed

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-26/india-trade-team-arrives-in-us-for-talks-as-july-deadline-looms">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-26/india-trade-team-arrives-in-us-for-talks-as-july-deadline-looms</a>

'India Trade Team Arrives in US for Talks as July Deadline Looms'- Bloomberg

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-23/india-us-eye-trade-deal-by-july-though-challenges-remain?embedded-checkout=true">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-23/india-us-eye-trade-deal-by-july-though-challenges-remain?embedded-checkout=true</a>

'India-US Eye Trade Deal by July Though Challenges Remain'- Bloomberg

Econ #s

India Wholesale Price Index Inflation (YoY) For May 0.39% Vs. 0.80% Est.; 0.85% Prior

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-12/india-us-trade-talks-hit-hurdle-on-trump-tariffs-gm-crops">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-12/india-us-trade-talks-hit-hurdle-on-trump-tariffs-gm-crops</a>

'India, US Harden Stance in Trade Talks as July Deadline Looms'- Bloomberg

India Consumer Price Index (YoY) For May 2.82% Vs. 3.00% Est.; 3.16% Prior

<a href="https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/ahmedabad-plane-crash-live-updates-air-india-flight-boeing-london-passengers-death-casualties-rescue-2739697-2025-06-12" title="https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/ahmedabad-plane-crash-live-updates-air-india-flight-boeing-london-passengers-death-casualties-rescue-2739697-2025-06-12">https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/ahmedabad-plane-crash-live-updates-air-india-flight-boeing-london-passengers-death-casualties-rescue-2739697-2025-06-12</a>

Air India Flight AI171, Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner Bound For London, Crashes After Takeoff From Ahmedabad Airport On Thursday With 242 On Board

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-10/india-us-to-expedite-trade-talks-targeting-early-wins?embedded-checkout=true">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-10/india-us-to-expedite-trade-talks-targeting-early-wins?embedded-checkout=true</a>

'India, US to Expedite Trade Talks Ahead of Trump's Tariff Deadline'- Bloomberg

India Interest Rate Decision 5.50%	Vs. 5.75% Est.; 6.00% Prior

<a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/india/walmarts-flipkart-secures-approval-direct-lending-india-documents-show-2025-06-05/" title="https://www.reuters.com/world/india/walmarts-flipkart-secures-approval-direct-lending-india-documents-show-2025-06-05/">https://www.reuters.com/world/india/walmarts-flipkart-secures-approval-direct-lending-india-documents-show-2025-06-05/</a>

Personal Finance

Reuters Reported Walmart's Flipkart Secures Lending Licence From Indian Central Bank, Enabling Direct Loans To Customers, Sellers On Platform

<a href="https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/tesla-india-tesla-mumbai-lease-tesla-service-centre-india-elon-musk-lodha-logistics-park-tesla-lease-india-11748935478491.html">https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/tesla-india-tesla-mumbai-lease-tesla-service-centre-india-elon-musk-lodha-logistics-park-tesla-lease-india-11748935478491.html</a>
&nbsp;
American electric carmaker Tesla Inc. has leased 24,565 sq. ft. of space at Lodha Logistics Park in Mumbai's Kurla West. The transaction adds to the Elon Musk-promoted company's steady expansion of its real estate footprint in India—through offices, showrooms, and now warehousing—as it inches towards an expected market entry.
The five-year lease was signed between Tesla India Motor &amp; Energy Pvt. Ltd and Lodha Developers, and registered on 16 May. Tesla will pay a starting monthly rent of ₹37.53 lakh, totalling over ₹24 crore over the lease term, according to documents accessed by CRE Matrix, a real estate data analytics firm.
A person familiar with the development said the leased space may be used as a service centre for Tesla's electric vehicles. The person added that the company may expand within the facility in future.

TSLA

'Tesla Leases Space In Mumbai's Lodha Logistics Park, Expanding India Footprint' - Mint

India Gross Domestic Product Quarterly (YoY) For Q4 7.4% Vs. 6.7% Est.; 6.2% Prior

<ul>
<li>Affecting up to 5% of the global population, SLD represents an area of significant unmet medical need with limited treatment options</li>
<li>Phase II data show potential of efimosfermin to reverse liver fibrosis, demonstrated in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (a form of SLD)</li>
<li>Unique properties offer potential for efimosfermin to be a new standard-of-care</li>
<li>Significantly expands GSK's hepatology pipeline aimed at addressing steatotic and viral drivers of liver disease, offering multiple development options and potential first launch in 2029</li>
</ul>

India Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Inflation (YoY) For April 0.85% Vs. 1.76% Est.; 2.05% Prior

India Consumer Price Index (YoY) For April 3.16% Vs. 3.27% Est.; 3.34% Prior

<a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114487190752990599">https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114487190752990599</a>
<a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114483405683675564" title="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114483405683675564">https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114483405683675564</a>
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President Trump On Saturday Announced Ceasefire Between India and Pakistan; Said "will work with you both to see if, after a "thousand years," a solution can be arrived at concerning Kashmir."

도널드 트럼프 미국 대통령의 자발적으로 설정한 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/46156587/trump-says-july-tariff-deadline-not-set-in-stone-we-can-do-whatever-we-want" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7월 9일 관세 유예 마감일</a>까지 불과 며칠만 남은 현재, 세계 무역 현장은 협상 과정보다는 지정학적 룰렛 테이블에 더 가깝다. 트럼프의 관세 외교 복귀는 외교적 혼란과 기업들의 불안감을 재점화했지만, ETF 투자자들은 적어도 현재까지는 차분한 모습을 보이고 있다. 
트럼프 대통령 특유의 방식으로, 미국 대통령은 일주일 내에 틀을 마련하지 않는 수십 개 국가에 대해 광범위한 신규 관세를 부과하겠다고 위협했다. 그러나 영국과 중국과의 협상에서 공개된 틀은 실질적인 내용이 부족하고 형식적 요소가 많았다고 블룸버그가 보도했다. 통상적으로 무역 긴장에는 변동성이 따르지만, 시장은 이례적인 탄력성을 보이고 있다. ETF 성과도 마찬가지다. 
우연히도 투자자들은 ‘TACO' 이론에 베팅하고 있을 수 있다. TACO는 &#8216;트럼프는 항상 물러선다'(Trump Always Chickens Out)는 의미의 조롱 섞인 약자로, 그의 과감한 위협을 내뱉은 후 물러서는 스타일을 특징짓기 위해 트레이딩 데스크에서 널리 사용되고 있다.
<h3>글로벌 무역, 다시 한 번 표적…</h3>
위험은 높은 수준이다. 캐나다와 EU부터 대만과 인도까지, 광범위한 국가들이 관세 인상을 피하려면 협상을 진행하거나 &#8216;성실히 협상 중&#8217;으로 인정받아야 한다. 트럼프는 관세율이 10% 기준에서 최대 25%까지 상승할 수 있다고 경고했으며, 7월 9일 마감일 전에 조치를 취할 수도 있다고 시사했다. 
백악관은 엇갈린 신호를 보내고 있다. 하워드 러트닉 상무장관은 행정부가 주요 파트너들과 &#8216;상위 10개 협상&#8217;을 목표로 하고 있다고 주장했다. 반면 스콧 베센트 재무장관은 약 20개 국가가 즉각적인 관세 인상을 직면할 수 있다고 밝혔다. 캐나다는 이미 양보의 신호를 보내면서 협상 테이블로 돌아가기 위해 디지털 서비스 세금을 철회했다. 
그러나 트럼프가 트루스 소셜 계정을 통해 무역 시장을 뒤흔들고 있음에도 불구하고, ETF 시장은 상대적으로 차분한 모습을 유지하고 있다.
<h3>ETF 투자자: 당황하지는 않지만 신중한 모습</h3>
ETF 시장 동향은 다음과 같다.
트럼프의 발언에 따라 협상이 중단된 국가 특정 ETF인 iShares MSCI India ETF(BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>), iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWT#NYSE">EWT</a>), Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASEA#NYSE">ASEA</a>)는 투기적 투자와 방어적 보유의 조합을 경험하고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고, 올해 세 ETF 모두 주가는 상승세를 보이고 있다.
중국의 노출은 여전히 미묘하다. KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KWEB#NYSE">KWEB</a>)는 6월에 3% 이상 상승했지만, 희토류와 디지털 제품에 대한 관세가 재부과될지에 대한 추측 속에서 변동성을 보였다. 
안전 자산과 원자재는 다시 인기를 얻고 있다. SPDR Gold Shares(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>)는 2월 이후 가장 큰 월별 상승을 기록하며, 투자자들이 정책 실수에 대비하고 있음을 나타낸다.
트럼프가 전방위 관세 인상을 실행할 경우, 혼란은 빠르게 일어날 것이다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">잠재적 ETF 수혜 종목</h3>
미국 내 중심 ETF인 iShares Russell 2000 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>)와 Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)는 수출 지향 기업에서의 회전으로 혜택을 받을 수 있다.
GLD와 같은 금 및 채권 ETF는 정책 충격 이후 안전을 추구하는 투자자들로부터 자금 유입을 경험할 수 있다.
인도 및 동남아시아 ETF인 INDA와 ASEA는 미국이 이들 국가와의 관계를 강화할 경우 인기를 끌 수 있다. 이는 미국의 &#8220;프렌드쇼어링&#8221;(friendshoring: 신뢰할 수 있는 동맹국이나 우방국을 중심으로 공급망을 재편하는 전략) 이니셔티브의 일환이다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">잠재적 ETF 하락 종목</h3>
수출 지향 ETF인 Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>)와 Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLB#NYSE">XLB</a>)는 국경 간 공급망에 크게 의존하고 있다.
유럽 국가 ETF인 iShares MSCI Germany ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWG#NYSE">EWG</a>), iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWU#NYSE">EWU</a>), iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF(BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EZU#BATS">EZU</a>)는 기한까지 EU가 합의에 도달하지 못할 경우 변동성을 경험할 수 있다.
글로벌 노출 기술 섹터 ETF인 Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>)는 디지털 서비스 세금이 지속적으로 장애물이 될 경우 압박을 받을 수 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">시장은 위기를 감지하고 있을까?</h3>
주식 시장은 아직 최악의 가능성을 완전히 반영하지 못하고 있다. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/06/46124290/sp-500-hits-record-highs-and-history-says-the-best-is-yet-to-come" target="_blank" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500은 여전히 사상 최고치를 기록</a> 중이다. 변동성은 낮고 (VIX는 16.74) ETF 투자자들은 도망가지 않고 헤지하고 있는 것으로 보인다.
관세 유예 시한이 다가오면서 ETF 투자자들은 상황을 주의 깊게 관찰하고 있지만, 아직은 탈출을 시도하지 않고 있다. 트럼프가 시한을 준수할지, 아니면 혼란을 7월 말까지 연장할지는 누구도 예측하기 어렵다. 
현재로선 현명한 투자자들은 여전히 &#8216;거래의 드라마'(deal theater)가 펼쳐질 것이라는 데 베팅을 하고 있다. 이는 정치적 영향을 극대화하기 위해 세심하게 연출된 시나리오다. 하지만 트럼프의 경우 항상 그렇듯, 단 한 번의 소셜 미디어 게시물이 모든 것을 뒤집을 수 있다.
사진: 셔터스톡
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'타코' 트레이더들, 트럼프의 관세 유예 마감일 다가오지만 침착함 유지

최근 여러 은행에서 고객에게 보낸 메모에 따르면, 도널드 트럼프 대통령의 글로벌 관세 인상에 대한 신속한 대응으로 글로벌 헤지펀드와 레버리지 상장지수펀드(ETF)가 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy" target="_blank" rel="noopener">400억 달러 이상의 주식을 처분했다</a>고 한다.
무슨 일 있었나: 로이터 통신은 100년 만에 가장 높은 수준의 고율 관세가 발표되면서 S&amp;P 500 기업의 주식시장 가치가 4조 달러 이상 하락했다고 보도했다.
JP모건은 변동성을 타깃으로 하는 포트폴리오가 위험 완화를 위해 앞으로 250억 달러에서 300억 달러 사이의 주식을 매도할 것으로 예상했다. 또한 레버리지 ETF는 주로 기술주에서 230억 달러를 추가로 매도하여 하루가 끝날 때까지 리밸런싱할 것으로 예상된다.
골드만삭스는 별도 메모에서 전 세계 주식 롱/숏 헤지펀드가 목요일(3일)에 거의 15년 만에 최대 순매도를 기록하며 2011년 이후 가장 큰 약세를 보였다고 보고했다. 또한 트럼프의 관세 발표 이후 포트폴리오 매니저들이 주로 주식, 신용, 주식 ETF에 대한 베팅을 늘려 경기침체 우려를 촉발했다고 지적했다.
미국 주식이 헤지펀드 매도를 주도했으며, 금융 주식은 2016년 이후 가장 빠른 속도로 순매도되었다. 그러나 불황기를 잘 견디는 것으로 알려진 부동산, 필수소비재, 유틸리티 섹터는 유일하게 순매수되었다.
영국의 <a href="https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/article-14574981/Where-invest-Trumps-tariffs-means-pension-definitive-guide-Mails-money-experts.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">더 메일 온 선데이(The Mail on Sunday)와 인터뷰</a>에서 금융 전문가들은  iShares MSCI India ETF(BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>), Vanguard Germany All Cap, Amundi UK Equity All Cap 같은 해외 ETF에 투자할 수 있는 잠재력을 보고 있다.
왜 중요한가: 글로벌 헤지펀드와 ETF의 갑작스러운 주식 매도는 트럼프 대통령이 발표한 관세 인상의 직접적인 결과다.
100년 만에 최대 규모인 미국 관세 조치로 인해 주식시장 가치가 크게 하락했을 뿐만 아니라 미국 경기침체 가능성도 높아졌다.
이미지: Shutterstock / Westlight
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 수익률을 높이세요.
독점 속보 및 스캐너와 같은 Benzinga Pro의 강력한 도구 세트로 다른 트레이더보다 우위를 점하세요. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

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