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only shares that are readily available for trading in the market) and three month average daily trading volume are included in the Oil Services Index. As of December 31, 2021, the Oil Services Index included 25 securities of companies with a market capitalization range of between approximately $305 million and $42 billion and a weighted average market capitalization of $14.4 billion. These amounts are subject to change. The Funds 80% investment policy is non-fundamental and may be changed without shareholder approval upon 60 days prior written notice to shareholders.

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목요일, 원유 가격이 5% 이상 급등했다. 이는 조 바이든 대통령이 미국이 이스라엘과 이란의 석유 시설에 대한 공격 가능성에 대해 논의했다고 언급한 후 발생한 일이다.

유가 상승: 바이든, 이스라엘과 이란 시설 타격에 대한 미국과의 &#39;협의&#39;를 확인

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iShares Dow Jones US Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index Fund

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석유수출국기구(OPEC)와 그 동맹국들로 구성된 OPEC+는 이번 주말에 현재의 감산을 연장할 것으로 예상된다고, 대표단과 분석가들이 전했다. What Happened: 6월 1일 비엔나에서 직접 만날 예정이었던 OPEC+ 동맹은 이제 6월 2일 가상 플랫폼으로 회의를 옮겼다. 화요일 CNBC 보도에 따르면 이 그룹은 현재 하루 총 586만 배럴의 공급 삭감을 시행하고 있으며, 그 중 하루 200만 배럴은 올해 말에 만료될 예정이다.

OPEC+가 여름철 석유 수요 상승 속에 생산 감축을 연장할 것으로 예상: 보도

Crude prices fell sharply after OPEC+ surprised markets with a bigger-than-expected production hike. This prompted Goldman Sachs to slash its oil price outlook and triggered a selloff <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/energy-stocks-pre-market-movers">in U.S. energy stocks.</a>
In a note shared Monday, Goldman Sachs commodity analyst Daan Struyven said the bank lowered its oil price forecast by $2 to $3, projecting Brent and WTI to average $60 and $56, respectively, for the rest of 2025, and $56 and $52 in 2026. 
"Our key conviction remains that high spare capacity and high recession risk skew the risks to oil prices to the downside despite relatively tight spot fundamentals," Struyven said. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What Prompted The Oil Selloff?</h3>
West Texas Intermediate futures opened at $55.36 per barrel Sunday evening in New York before recovering slightly to $57.10 by early Monday morning.
The drop was fueled by OPEC+'s Saturday decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day starting in June, a level in line with Goldman's base-case scenario. 
According to the note, the move likely reflects a combination of low oil inventories due to underproduction in Venezuela and the U.S. shale patch, as well as a push to bring laggard members like Iraq and Kazakhstan back in line with output targets. 
"The new baseline size of production increases is likely 0.41mb/d (million barrels per day)," Goldman said, projecting another similar hike in July.
Reuters reported that five OPEC+ sources suggested additional 411,000 bpd increases in August, September and October could follow if compliance issues persist. Although not confirmed by official OPEC channels, the market appeared to take this guidance seriously.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Brent Could Slide To $40 by 2026 In Bearish Scenario</h3>
Goldman models a steep downside scenario if production continues ramping while the economy slows. 
If the 2.2 million barrels per day in cuts are fully reversed through 0.41 mb/d monthly hikes, Brent crude could drop to the high $40s by late 2026 and WTI to the mid-$40s.
In a global recession, Brent could plunge to $40 and WTI to the high $30s.
While this outcome is less likely, Goldman said, the risk profile is skewed toward the downside given ample spare capacity and the possibility of further supply increases.
Despite this bearish tilt, the bank still recommends hedging downside risk using structured options strategies. It maintains a June 2026 Brent three-way position: selling a $75 call to fund a 55/45 put spread.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Energy Stocks Drop As Crude Slides</h3>
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) fell 1.3% Monday as oil stocks responded swiftly to the OPEC+ announcement.
Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) and Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) dropped 1.9% and 1.7%, respectively.
APA Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APA#NASDAQ">APA</a>), ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKE#NYSE">OKE</a>), and Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>) each fell by about 3%. 
Read now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/05/45184741/forget-the-stock-markets-tariff-turmoil-trumps-next-100-days-could-bring-a-bullish-trifecta-that-rei">Forget The Stock Market&#8217;s Tariff Turmoil. Trump&#8217;s Next 100 Days Could Bring A Bullish Trifecta That Reignites Demand, Expert Says</a></li>
</ul>
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Analyst Ratings

Goldman Sachs Issues Bearish $40 Oil Forecast As OPEC+ Pumps More: Energy Stocks Sink

Stifel analyst Stephen Gengaro slashed the price forecast for Schlumberger (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) from $58.00 to $54.00 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/SLB/analyst-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">while reaffirming a Buy rating</a>.
On April 25, the company reported a 3% year-over-year decline in first-quarter 2025 revenue to $8.49 billion, missing estimates of $8.59 billion and adjusted EPS of 72 cents, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/45011665/schlumberger-falls-short-on-q1-results-but-maintains-strong-payout-strategy-and-buyback-completion" target="_blank" rel="noopener">which fell short of</a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/45011665/schlumberger-falls-short-on-q1-results-but-maintains-strong-payout-strategy-and-buyback-completion" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> the consensus of 74 cents</a>.
The analyst writes that despite the current macroeconomic uncertainty, the company&#8217;s margin performance is likely aided by its Digital business, the strength of its Production Systems segment, and ongoing cost reduction initiatives.
SLB has reaffirmed its expectation for strong free cash flow (FCF) and its commitment to returning at least $4 billion to shareholders <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">in 2025, notes the analyst</a>.
The analyst slashed EBITDA estimates to $8.38 billion (from $8.94 billion) for 2025 and $9.08 billion (from $9.75 billion) for 2026.
Overall, Gengaro expects the company&#8217;s strong FCF margin (10%+ expected through 2025) and low leverage to provide financial flexibility.
Also, the ChampionX acquisition is projected to benefit customers (especially offshore) and increase SLB&#8217;s exposure to resilient production/recovery <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/04/38054329/championx-schlumberger-shares-move-in-opposite-directions-after-8b-deal-announcement" rel="noreferrer noopener">markets, adds the analyst</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via&nbsp;iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: SLB shares are down 1.52% at $33.99 at the last check Monday.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/44957248" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Texas-Based Baker Hughes Warns Of $100-$200 Million EBITDA Risk From Tariffs In 2025</a></li>
</ul>
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iShares Dow Jones US Oil Equipment & Services Index Fund

Schlumberger's Margin Resilience: Analyst Highlights Digital & Production Strength Despite Price Cut

Texas-based oil and gas services provider Baker Hughes Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) stock is trading lower on Wednesday. On Tuesday, the company reported <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/04/g44938082/baker-hughes-company-announces-first-quarter-2025-results" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">first-quarter FY25 revenue</a> of $6.43 billion, flat year over year (Y/Y), which missed the consensus of $6.49 billion.
Revenue was supported by growth in the Industrial &amp; Energy Technology (IET) segment, partly offset by a decrease in Oilfield Services &amp; Equipment (OFSE)&nbsp;business.
Adjusted EPS rose 19% Y/Y to $0.51, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/01/36755352/baker-hughes-q4-surprise-eps-beat-cost-cuts-and-lng-triumphs-propel-growth" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">beating the consensus of $0.48</a>. Orders fell 1% Y/Y to $6.46 billion in the quarter, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.0x.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/03/44496455/baker-hughes-lands-multi-year-deal-for-dubai-gas-project" rel="noreferrer noopener">Baker Hughes Lands Multi-Year Deal For Dubai Gas Project</a>
Adjusted EBITDA surged 10% Y/Y to $1.037 billion, led by higher volumes in IET business, including higher proportionate growth in Gas Technology Equipment (GTE), productivity, structural cost-out initiatives, and higher pricing in both segments.
Operating cash flow stood at $709 million, and free cash flow was $454 million in the quarter.
Dividend:&nbsp;Baker Hughes&#8217; Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend per share of $0.23, payable on May 16, 2025, to shareholders <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/04/g44936272/baker-hughes-declares-quarterly-dividend" rel="noreferrer noopener">of record on May 6, 2025</a>.
Buyback: The company bought back shares worth&nbsp;$188 million in the quarter.
Outlook: Looking ahead to Q2 FY25, Baker Hughes expects revenue of $6.3 billion—$7.0 billion (vs. a consensus of $6.88 billion) and EBITDA <a target="_blank" href="https://investors.bakerhughes.com/static-files/c841c59d-ad18-44d1-8b30-f39190e9457a" rel="noreferrer noopener">of</a> $1.04 billion and $1.20 billion.&nbsp;
Also, Baker Hughes sees revenue from the IET business of $3.00 billion—$3.30 billion and from <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">the OFSE business of $3.30 billion—$3.70 billion</a>.
For FY25, Baker Hughes sees a &#8216;high degree of variability&#8217; due to Trade policy and tariff uncertainty and a tempered outlook for 2025. In particular, the company expects tariffs to have an estimated potential impact of $100 million—$200 million on 2025 EBITDA.
Lorenzo Simonelli, Baker Hughes chairman and chief executive officer, said, &#8220;Although our outlook is tempered by broader macro and trade policy uncertainty, we remain confident in our strategy and the resilience of our portfolio.&#8221;
In February, the company disclosed that Ahmed Moghal had been appointed as its <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/25/02/43918982/baker-hughes-appoints-ahmed-moghal-as-cfo-reaffirms-growth-targets" rel="noreferrer noopener">new&nbsp;chief financial officer</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: At the last check on Wednesday, BKR shares were trading lower by 4.37% at $36.69.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/44955951/ge-vernova-can-mitigate-tariff-and-inflation-concerns-after-strong-q1-sticks-to-annual-outlook" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">GE Vernova Can Mitigate Tariff And Inflation Concerns After Strong Q1, Sticks To Annual Outlook</a></li>
</ul>
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Earnings

Guidance

Texas-Based Baker Hughes Warns Of $100-$200 Million EBITDA Risk From Tariffs In 2025

Baker Hughes Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) shares are trading lower on Wednesday after it secured a multi-year contract with Dubai Petroleum Establishment (DPE) on behalf of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/03/g44490272/baker-hughes-awarded-integrated-coiled-tubing-drilling-contract-for-dubai-petroleum-establishments" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Dubai Supply Authority</a>.
As per the deal, it will deliver integrated coiled-tubing drilling services for the Margham Gas storage project.
By delivering coiled-tubing drilling services, Baker Hughes expands its role in the Margham Gas project, which leverages the mature Margham field.
In addition to supplying Integrated Compressor Line (ICL) units for gas storage, injection, and export, Baker Hughes&#8217; comprehensive solutions contribute to building a more reliable and lower-emission power system.
This initiative aims to enhance Dubai's energy stability by improving the system's flexibility to switch between natural gas and solar power.
The project leverages Baker Hughes&#8217; proficiency in integrating coiled-tubing drilling, under-balanced drilling, and its advanced CoilTrak bottomhole assembly (BHA) system.
CoilTrak enhances horizontal drilling by improving navigation through subsurface formations, optimizing reservoir contact, an essential factor for efficient underground gas storage.
Amerino Gatti, executive vice president of Oilfield Services &amp; Equipment at Baker Hughes said, &#8220;Our integrated solutions approach combines industry-leading technology and expertise across the energy value chain to help DPE scale-up and develop reliable, secure and lower-carbon power solutions for their country.&#8221;
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: BKR shares are down 1.15% at 444.66 at the last check Wednesday.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/contracts/25/03/44304280/baker-hughes-novalt-gas-turbines-to-power-data-centers-amid-growing-ai-demand" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Baker Hughes&#8217; NovaLT Gas Turbines To Power Data Centers Amid Growing AI Demand</a></li>
</ul>

Movers

Baker Hughes Lands Multi-Year Deal For Dubai Gas Project

On Thursday, Baker Hughes Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) received a contract from TURBINE-X Energy Inc. to supply its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/03/g44300005/baker-hughes-secures-order-to-provide-reliable-and-efficient-power-to-u-s-data-centers" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">NovaLT gas turbine technology</a>.
The NovaLT gas turbine is a versatile multi-fuel solution capable of starting up and operating on a range of fuels, including natural gas, hydrogen blends, and 100% hydrogen.
As part of the deal, Baker Hughes will supply equipment, such as gears and power generation generator technology, for several data center projects throughout North America.
This technology is aimed at meeting the growing power demands from the data center industry.
Baker Hughes executive vice president Ganesh Ramaswamy credits &#8220;surging demand for generative AI&#8221; for increasing opportunities for the company&#8217;s power generation solutions to support behind-the-meter power requirements for data centers.
This announcement comes after Baker Hughes disclosed a partnership with&nbsp;Frontier Infrastructure&nbsp;to accelerate large-scale carbon capture and storage <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/contracts/25/03/44084457/baker-hughes-partners-with-frontier-on-carbon-capture-push-details" rel="noreferrer noopener">(CCS)&nbsp;and power solutions in the U.S this month</a>.
Last week, the company said today that it has been&nbsp;selected&nbsp;by the U.S. Air Force and the Department of Defense's Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office to explore opportunities <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/contracts/25/03/44277984/whats-going-on-with-baker-hughes-stock-today" rel="noreferrer noopener">in geothermal energy development</a>.
The company will announce the results of the first quarter <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" rel="noreferrer noopener">on&nbsp;Tuesday, April 22, 2025</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: BKR shares are up 0.38% at $42.64 premarket at the last check Thursday.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/contracts/25/03/44084457/baker-hughes-partners-with-frontier-on-carbon-capture-push-details" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Baker Hughes Partners with Frontier On Carbon Capture Push: Details</a></li>
</ul>

Contracts

Baker Hughes' NovaLT Gas Turbines To Power Data Centers Amid Growing AI Demand

Baker Hughes Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) disclosed a partnership with Frontier Infrastructure to accelerate large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/03/g44074914/baker-hughes-frontier-infrastructure-announce-partnership-to-accelerate-development-of-carbon-capt" rel="noreferrer noopener">and power solutions in the U.S</a>.
Under the agreement, Baker Hughes will contribute advanced technology solutions and resources to support CCS, power generation, and data center projects.
Notably, Frontier is developing the Sweetwater Carbon Storage Hub, a 100,000-acre open-access sequestration site in Wyoming.
Designed for industrial emitters and Midwest ethanol facilities, its CO₂-by-rail strategy sets a new standard for scalable carbon storage.
With three Class VI permits secured, drilling is underway, with first injection planned by late 2025.
Frontier is expanding its infrastructure with 256 megawatts (MW) of gas-fired generation to meet growing power demands in Wyoming, the Mountain West, and Texas, driven by data center and industrial growth.
Baker Hughes&#8217; NovaLT gas turbines will be used to enhance power generation, ensuring efficient and flexible energy delivery.
Baker Hughes anticipates receiving orders as Frontier&#8217;s projects advance under this agreement. Frontier is a portfolio company of Tailwater Capital, a private equity firm specializing in integrated energy and environmental infrastructure investments.
Last month, Baker Hughes disclosed the appointment of Ahmed Moghal as its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/25/02/43918982/baker-hughes-appoints-ahmed-moghal-as-cfo-reaffirms-growth-targets">new chief financial officer.</a>
Also, the company reiterated its first-quarter and full-year 2025 guidance of another strong year of EBITDA growth, targeting a 20% EBITDA margin for its OFSE segment in 2025 and&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">for the IET segment in 2026</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: BKR shares are up 0.65% at $44.88 at the last check Monday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/02/43540757/oil-prices-trim-losses-as-department-of-treasury-issues-sanctions-on-irans-crude-shipments-to-china" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Oil Prices Trim Losses As Department Of Treasury Issues Sanctions On Iran&#8217;s Crude Shipments To China</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock.

Baker Hughes Partners with Frontier On Carbon Capture Push: Details

Baker Hughes Company&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) shares are trading lower on Monday. The company disclosed the appointment of Ahmed Moghal as its new <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/43911780" rel="noreferrer noopener">chief financial officer, effective immediately.</a>
He will succeed Nancy Buese, who, by mutual agreement with the company, ceased to serve as CFO effective today. She will transition to a strategic adviser role and will leave the company on April 30, 2025.
Moghal, who is currently serving as CFO of the company&#8217;s Industrial &amp; Energy Technology (IET) business, previously held senior roles across various business and corporate functions.
Lorenzo Simonelli, Baker Hughes chairman and chief executive officer, said, &#8220;The news we are announcing today reflects the substantial progress Baker Hughes has made in executing our strategic transformation. Reflecting on the financial successes achieved during Horizon 1, we drove record results last year while taking key actions across the Company to significantly expand margins.&#8221;
&#8220;As part of his previous roles in Baker Hughes, and as well as currently leading free cash flow efforts across the Company, Moghal has developed unique insights into our business and broad portfolio that will ensure we efficiently allocate capital to drive profitable growth while remaining focused on continuous margin improvement.&#8221;
Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43433329/baker-hughes-lands-exxonmobil-guyana-deal-partners-with-hanwha-on-ammonia-turbines" rel="noreferrer noopener">Baker Hughes Lands ExxonMobil Guyana Deal, Partners With Hanwha On Ammonia Turbines</a>
Outlook: The company reiterated its first-quarter and full-year 2025 guidance of another strong year of EBITDA growth, targeting a 20% EBITDA margin for its OFSE segment in 2025 and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">for the IET segment in 2026</a>.
Additionally, the company is committed to returning 60% to 80% of<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" rel="noreferrer noopener"> free cash flow to shareholders</a>.
Last month, Baker Hughes reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.70, surpassing the $0.63 estimate, and sales of $7.36 billion, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/01/g43356061/baker-hughes-announces-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2024-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">beating the $7.08 billion estimate</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: BKR shares are down 1.67% at $44.86 at the last check Monday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/02/43540757/oil-prices-trim-losses-as-department-of-treasury-issues-sanctions-on-irans-crude-shipments-to-china" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Oil Prices Trim Losses As Department Of Treasury Issues Sanctions On Iran&#8217;s Crude Shipments To China</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock.

Management

Baker Hughes Appoints Ahmed Moghal As CFO, Reaffirms Growth Targets

Baker Hughes Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) disclosed several transactions and partnerships at the Baker Hughes <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/BKR" rel="noreferrer noopener">2025 Annual Meeting in Florence</a>.
ExxonMobil Contract: Baker Hughes secured a contract from Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) Guyana to supply specialty chemicals and services for the Uaru and Whiptail offshore <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/02/g43426683/baker-hughes-secures-major-chemicals-award-from-exxonmobil-guyana-for-fpsos" rel="noreferrer noopener">developments in the Stabroek Block</a>.
Uaru and Whiptail are ExxonMobil Guyana&#8217;s fifth and sixth projects, featuring up to 20 drill centers and 92 wells.
Each FPSO will have a capacity of 250,000 barrels per day, raising the country's total production capacity to 1.3 million barrels per day.
The multi-year contract covers topsides, subsea, water injection, and utility chemicals for the Errea Wittu and Jaguar FPSOs, set to begin production in 2026 and 2027, respectively.
Hanwha Partnership: Baker Hughes inked a joint Development and Collaboration Agreement (JDCA) with Hanwha Power Systems and Hanwha Ocean to develop a small-size <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/02/g43426721/baker-hughes-and-hanwha-announce-partnership-to-develop-small-size-ammonia-turbines" rel="noreferrer noopener">turbine for ammonia applications</a>.
The turbine will combine Baker Hughes&#8217; gas turbine technology with Hanwha&#8217;s ammonia combustion system.
Baker and Hanwha plan to complete full engine testing with ammonia by the end of 2027, after which the ~16MW turbine will be available for commercial orders.
Argent LNG Contract: The company has been chosen by Argent LNG as the liquefaction solution and services provider for its proposed LNG <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/02/g43427007/argent-lng-selects-baker-hughes-as-technology-provider-strengthening-project" rel="noreferrer noopener">export facility in Port Fourchon, Louisiana</a>.
Baker Hughes will supply liquefaction technology, power generation equipment, and gas compression systems for the facility, which aims to produce approximately 24 MTPA of LNG.
Last month, Baker Hughes reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS&nbsp;of $0.70, beating the consensus of $0.63 and sales&nbsp;of $7.36 billion, exceeding <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/01/g43356061/baker-hughes-announces-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2024-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">the street view of&nbsp;$7.08 billion</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: BKR shares are up 0.39% at $46.36 premarket at the last check Monday.
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Image via Shutterstock.

Baker Hughes Lands ExxonMobil Guyana Deal, Partners With Hanwha On Ammonia Turbines

SLB Capturi, a joint venture&nbsp;between Schlumberger (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) and Aker Solutions, secured an engineering, procurement, construction, installation, and commissioning <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/01/b43220800/slb-capturi-and-aker-solutions-win-contract-to-deliver-carbon-capture-solution-for-hafslund-celsio" rel="noreferrer noopener">(EPCIC) contract from Hafslund Celsio</a>.
The company plans to deliver a carbon capture solution at its Klemetsrud waste-to-energy facility in Oslo.
The contract includes a carbon capture plant, liquefaction system, temporary storage, and a loading facility at the waste incineration site, along with an intermediate CO2 storage and ship loading system at Oslo harbor.
The project will use SLB Capturi&#8217;s modularized Just Catch 400 unit, which enables a cost-effective solution by minimizing onsite footprint, installation, and outfitting work.
The plant is expected to capture 350,000 metric tons of CO2 annually, upon operational, which will be transported to the Northern Lights storage facility.
The EPCIC award follows a cost-reduction phase that identified efficiencies, including layout optimization.
The project is part of Longship, Norway&#8217;s full value-chain CCS initiative. Hafslund Celsio&#8217;s project is the second carbon capture plant in Longship, with SLB Capturi also delivering the carbon capture plant at Heidelberg Materials&#8217; Brevik cement facility in collaboration with Aker Solutions.
Martin S. Lundby, chief executive officer at Hafslund Celsio, stated, &#8220;Our partners bring valuable expertise from large industrial developments both in Norway and internationally. Together, we will construct a carbon capture solution that is expected to be operational by third quarter 2029.&#8221;
&#8220;This project is a testament to important public and private collaboration to build an industrial value chain for carbon capture and storage. The project will also significantly contribute to reducing emissions and will create value for both industry and society,&#8221; added Kjetel Digre, CEO of Aker Solutions.
Last week, SLB, along with Star Energy Geothermal, a subsidiary of Indonesian renewable energy company&nbsp;Barito Renewables, entered into a partnership to<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43135328/slb-teams-up-with-star-energy-geothermal-to-advance-geothermal-tech" rel="noreferrer noopener"> boost geothermal technology</a>.
Recently, the company reported&nbsp;better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 results, with revenue of $9.28 billion, beating the consensus of $9.18 billion. Adjusted EPS increased 7% to 92 cents,&nbsp;above <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43055401/schlumberger-posts-strong-q4-results-raises-dividend-and-buybacks-championx-deal-to-strengthen-future-growth" rel="noreferrer noopener">the consensus of 90 cents</a>.
SLB raised its dividend by 3.6% and initiated $2.3 billion in accelerated share repurchase, boosting shareholder returns.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: SLB shares are down 0.40% at $42.08 premarket at the last check Monday.
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Image via Shutterstock.

Schlumberger JV Lands Carbon Capture Deal In Oslo, Norway: Details

Several analysts lowered the price target following Halliburton Company&#8216;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAL#NYSE">HAL</a>) mixed fourth-quarter results and weak <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/hal/analyst-ratings">guidance reported Wednesday.</a>
Halliburton reported revenue decline of 2.3% year-over-year to $5.610 billion, missing the consensus of $5.63 billion. Adjusted EPS was 70 cents, down from 86 cents a year ago and above <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/01/43131221/halliburton-faces-mixed-q4-with-north-american-weakness-but-global-gains-and-cash-flow-bolster-optimism">the consensus of 69 cents</a>.
Stifel analyst Stephen Gengaro lowered the price target from $42 to $37, while maintaining a Buy rating.
The analyst says that Halliburton reported solid results but issued weak guidance for the first quarter and 2025.
Gengaro highlights international revenue headwinds from Mexico and pricing concessions on fully contracted North American frac fleets, which may pressure C&amp;P margins.
Despite these challenges, the company's long-term growth outlook remains strong, driven by its product portfolio, service quality, technology focus, and geographic diversity. Robust free cash flow should continue to support shareholder returns, adds the analyst.
The analyst cut the 2025 EBITDA estimate to $4.665 billion from $5.296 billion and introduced a 2026 EBITDA forecast of $5.330 billion.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analyst Neil Mehta lowered the price target from $36 to $34, while keeping the Buy rating.
The analyst updated estimates following the results to reflect company guidance and a softer activity environment.
In particular, the analyst revised EBITDA estimates by -7% for 2025 and -8% for 2026.
Mehta said management's focus on technology, particularly digital solutions and automation, should reinforce its competitive position and drive margin expansion.
While the analyst anticipates a modest decline in 2025 revenue, strong free cash flow remains a key strength, with an estimated $2.4 billion in FCF (~10% yield) and a 7% total capital return yield.
Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43138748/halliburton-misses-q4-revenue-estimates-analyst-doubts-2025-growth-in-middle-east">Halliburton&#8217;s Soft Revenue Lags Estimates, Goldman Sachs Analyst Seeks Clarity On 2025 Activities</a>
Also, Piper Sandler analyst Derek Podhaizer reiterated an Overweight rating and a price target of $36.
The analyst writes that Halliburton shares fell after lowering 2025 expectations, guiding NAM revenue to decline low- to mid-single digits year-over-year and international revenue to remain flat.
Podhaizer expects a meaningful first-quarter of 2025 decline, with EBIT margins contracting over 100bps due to lower U.S. frac pricing.
While consensus estimates must adjust downward, the analyst trims EBITDA estimates by -8% for the first quarter, -2% for FY25, and -4% for FY26, aligning with the view that NAM will bottom before international.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) and Invesco Oil &amp; Gas Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PXJ#NYSE">PXJ</a>).
Price Action: HAL shares are down 1.1% at $28.13 at last check Thursday.
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Photo: Shutterstock

PowerShares Exchange-Traded Fund Trust Dynamic Oil Services Portfolio

Halliburton Analysts Trim Forecasts After Softer 2025 Guidance

Schlumberger N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) shares are trading lower on Wednesday. The company secured several major drilling contracts from Shell PLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHEL#NYSE">SHEL</a>).
These contracts will support capital-efficient energy development across deep- and ultra-deepwater assets in the UK North Sea, Trinidad and Tobago, the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/01/b42872559/slb-awarded-multi-region-deepwater-contracts-by-shell-to-support-capital-efficient-energy-developm" rel="noreferrer noopener">Gulf of Mexico, and other locations.</a>
The projects, set to be delivered over three years, will leverage SLB&#8217;s AI-enabled digital drilling capabilities alongside its expertise in ultra-deepwater environments.
This combination aims to consistently deliver more efficient wells, enhancing cost-effectiveness.
The contracts will cover digital directional drilling services, hardware, logging while drilling, surface logging, cementing, drilling and completions fluids, completions, and wireline services.
Last month, SLB disclosed that its OneSubsea joint venture won a contract from Petrobras, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/12/b42459584/slb-onesubsea-awarded-subsea-boosting-contract-by-petrobras-for-the-b-zios-field-offshore-brazil" rel="noreferrer noopener">following a competitive tender</a>.
The contract involves the provision of two subsea raw seawater injection systems to enhance recovery from the Búzios field.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via iShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>) and VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>).
Price Action: SLB shares are down 1.69% at $38.71 at the last check Wednesday.
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Image via Shutterstock.

SHEL

Shell Awards Schlumberger Three-Year, Multi-Region Deepwater Contracts: Details

Trading Ideas

SDRL

Elliott Investment Management 13F Shows Decreased Put Position In Vaneck Oil Services ETF From 1,450,000 To 1,260,000 Shares; Decreased Stake In NRG Energy By 7% From 10,359,000 To 9,668,000 Shares; Decreased Stake In Seadrill Ltd By 9% From 4,050,984 To 3,703,746 Shares; Decreased Stake In XME Put Position By 18% From 5,000,000 To 4,100,000 Shares; Decreased Stake In Ishares QQQ Trust Put Position By 92% From 5,910,000 Shares To 450,000 Shares

Oil prices kicked off the week with a notable rally, driven by OPEC+'s decision to postpone an anticipated production increase ahead of the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/2024-election">imminent U.S. presidential elections. </a>
The oil cartel and its allies, including Russia, opted to delay plans to ramp up output by another month, citing ongoing market weakness and sluggish demand.
On Monday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude — as closely tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) — surged as much as 3% to hit $71.50 per barrel, its highest since Oct. 25, while Brent crude rose 2.7% to reach $75 per barrel.
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These gains effectively erased last week&#8217;s losses, which followed Israel's limited response to Iran — a development that experts said reduced the risk of a broader conflict in the Middle East, providing temporary relief for oil markets.
OPEC+ announced on Sunday that it would maintain its production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) through December. 
Originally, the group had planned to increase output by 180,000 bpd in December, but it conditioned this hike on favorable price conditions. 
The next formal meeting of OPEC+ ministers is scheduled for December 1, although the group has the flexibility to convene extraordinary meetings or alter its policies at any time.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Sanctions Policy Could Shape Future Of Oil</h3>
The outcome of the upcoming U.S. presidential election could be crucial for the oil market, particularly with regard to sanctions policies that affect OPEC+ producers like Russia, Iran, and Venezuela. 
&#8220;After plummeting during the first Trump administration, production in Iran and Venezuela has recovered under President Joe Biden, with the focus of sanctions moving to Russia,&#8221; wrote S&amp;P Global. 
Combined, Iran and Venezuela pumped 4.15 million bpd in September, up from 3.2 million bpd in February 2022, according to Platts' OPEC+ Survey by Commodity Insights, as both countries are exempt from quotas under the OPEC+ agreement, allowing them to pump as much as they can. 
Sanctions policy is expected to remain a key factor influencing the global oil supply, particularly amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The Biden-Harris administration has imposed extensive sanctions on Russia, aiming to weaken its military capabilities and hinder its economic resources that support the ongoing war in Ukraine. These sanctions, coordinated with allies like the G7 and EU, target key areas, including Russia&#8217;s defense sector, critical supply chains, and financial networks.
However, Jim Burkhard, vice president of research at S&amp;P Global Commodity Insights, suggested that a second Donald Trump administration might be more inclined to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41303548/kremlin-critic-warns-russia-could-grow-stronger-if-trump-wins-white-house-will-basically-be-handing">loosen sanctions on Russia</a>. 
Both parties are likely to maintain pressure on Iran given its ongoing conflict with Israel.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Energy ETFs To Watch Amid Rising Oil Prices</h3>
The surge in oil prices could buoy U.S. energy stocks, particularly those tied to exploration, production, and refining. Here are five key U.S. energy ETFs that may see gains as crude prices continue their upward trend:
<ul>
<li>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which had already risen by 1% during premarket trading in New York on Monday</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Explor. &amp; Product ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)</li>
<li>Invesco Oil &amp; Gas Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PXJ#NYSE">PXJ</a>)</li>
<li>VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRAK#NYSE">CRAK</a>)</li>
<li>EA Series Trust Strive U.S. Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DRLL#NYSE">DRLL</a>)</li>
</ul>
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Image: Shutterstock

Econ #s

CRAK

DRLL

Oil Prices Spike By Over 3% As OPEC+ Delays Production Increases Ahead Of US Elections: 5 Energy ETFs To Watch Monday

Analysts cut the price target on BP p.l.c. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BP#NYSE">BP</a>) following the company&#8217;s third quarter results reported on Tuesday.
BP&#8217;s revenue fell short at $47.25 billion, below the $52.56 billion consensus, with oil production down <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41598840/bp-stock-drops-as-q3-revenue-misses-mark-production-declines-debt-rises" rel="noreferrer noopener">6% year over year</a>.
For FY24, BP&nbsp;continues to expect&nbsp;both reported and underlying upstream production to be&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">slightly higher than the prior year</a>.&nbsp;
Meanwhile, the company continues to expect $25 billion&nbsp;of divestments and other proceeds from the second half of 2020 through 2025.
RBC Capital Markets analyst Biraj Borkhataria lowered the price target to 480p (from 525p) while reiterating the Sector Perform rating.
The analyst writes that BP faced significant challenges lately, and without an improving macroeconomic environment, they believe the investment case remains weak.
The company appears to have missed an opportunity in 2022-23, a peak period in the cycle, to significantly reduce its leverage, adds the analyst.
Borkhataria says that this oversight has left its distribution program less resilient compared to its peers.
The analyst observed a stronger focus on the balance sheet this quarter compared to previous periods, with net debt increasing from $33.3 billion to $35.3 billion (including leases).
Borkhataria expects this figure to rise to approximately $40 billion by the end of the year.
The analyst says that BP requires a reset of expectations ahead of its February 2025 Capital Markets Day (CMD).
Adjusting the &#8216;surplus&#8217; payout ratio seems prudent, and the analyst believes it would be wise to allocate more cash towards strengthening the balance sheet.
Given the lackluster returns in recent years, Borkhataria thinks that prioritizing de-leveraging over growth capital expenditures in the transition engines should be the focus.
The analyst&#8217;s revised EPS estimates reflect a decrease of 6% for 2024 and 10% for 2025, primarily due to lower refining earnings, partially balanced by increased contributions from gas and low-carbon initiatives.
Goldman Sachs analyst Michele Della Vigna reduced the price target to 560p from 580p while reaffirming the Buy rating. Also, the analyst reduced the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/BP/analyst-ratings">ADR price target to $44.0 from $46.0.</a>
The analyst anticipates lower oil and gas price realizations than expected, particularly for European gas, which may result in diminished earnings and cash flow generation.
Additionally, lower-than-expected recovery rates in mature offshore oil and gas fields could lead to higher decline rates than currently projected, ultimately resulting in lower production growth and cash flow than their current estimates, adds the analyst.
Vigna adjusted the estimates, resulting in EPS changes of approximately -2%, -7%, and -5% for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, primarily due to lower refining margins and reduced oil trading profits.
Price Action: BP shares are down 0.66% at $29.17 at the last check Wednesday.
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BP Faces Price Forecast Cuts As Analysts Flag Weak Earnings And Rising Debt Challenges

Schlumberger N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) shares are trading lower on Tuesday. The company disclosed that its OneSubsea joint venture won a contract from BP p.l.c. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BP#NYSE">BP</a>) for a subsea boosting system as part of the greenfield development of the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/10/b41598382/slb-onesubsea-awarded-subsea-boosting-contract-for-bps-kaskida-project-in-gulf-of-mexico" rel="noreferrer noopener">Kaskida project in the deepwater U.S</a>.
This contract signifies an important achievement in the enduring collaboration between SLB OneSubsea and BP, as it is their inaugural engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) agreement for a subsea boosting system.
The project involves a supplier-led high-pressure subsea pump solution, featuring an integrated power and controls umbilical, as well as the requisite topside equipment.
The OneSubsea subsea boosting system is a crucial technology for bp&#8217;s inaugural Paleogene field development.
It will provide the necessary artificial lift to optimize production by enhancing reserve recovery while minimizing energy consumption.
This month, SLB reported revenue growth of 10.2% year over year to $9.159 billion, missing the consensus of $9.25 billion. Adjusted EPS increased 14% to 89 cents,&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41401700/schlumberger-q3-earnings-mixed-results-as-middle-east-shines-and-latin-america-falters" rel="noreferrer noopener">above the consensus of 88 cents</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to SLB via&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) and&nbsp;IShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>).
Price Action: SLB shares are down 2.38% at $40.41 at the last check Tuesday.
Photo via Shutterstock
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Schlumberger's OneSubsea Lands Key Contract With BP To Power Deepwater Kaskida Project: Details

Crude oil prices plummeted over 6% on Monday, approaching levels not seen since early October, as investors processed news of targeted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41567809/oil-etfs-plunge-premarket-after-israels-strikes-on-iran">Israeli airstrikes in Iran</a>.
U.S. energy stocks followed suit during premarket trading in New York, with sector ETFs posting sharp losses at the start of the week. 
Contracts on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude, as tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), fell over 6% to around $67 per barrel on Monday morning, marking what could be the worst one-day drop since July 2022.
The sell-off followed Israeli airstrikes over the weekend that targeted military facilities in Iran but spared the country's oil infrastructure.
According to the Israel Defense Forces, the strikes were "targeted and precise," focusing on Iranian missile production and air defense installations. 
This measured response likely averted a deeper crisis in the oil market, as analysts warned that a broader assault on Iran's energy sector could have risked up to 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude exports and led to further regional destabilization. 
U.S. President Joe Biden had cautioned Israel against actions that would directly impact Iran's oil output, warning that such moves could prompt Tehran to retaliate by targeting oil shipping routes in the Middle East.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="503" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-1024x503.png" alt="" class="wp-image-617043" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-1024x503.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-768x377.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-1536x754.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Analysts Expect Oil Prices To Remain Under Pressure</h3>
Goldman Sachs analysts had previously estimated that a sustained 1 million bpd disruption to Iranian oil supply could have pushed Brent prices up by $10–$20 per barrel. 
With no immediate threat to Iran's oil exports, the bank's forecast for Brent reaching the mid-$80s by late 2025 now appears overly optimistic compared to the consensus view.
The restrained nature of Israel's actions has led some analysts to predict that oil prices will remain subdued, especially in light of broader market dynamics. 
Warren Patterson, head of commodity strategy at ING Group, highlighted that Israel's focused response leaves "the door open for de-escalation," which seems to be reflected in Monday&#8217;s price action.
"If we do see some de-escalation, it would allow fundamentals to dictate price direction once again," Patterson explained, adding that a projected market surplus in 2025 &#8220;would mean that oil prices are&nbsp;likely to remain under pressure.&#8221;
Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, indicated that crude prices have now retraced most of the gains made in early October, which were fueled by Chinese economic stimulus and concerns over potential disruptions to Iran's supply. Hansen pointed out that "sluggish demand" and the impending reintroduction of OPEC+ barrels could further weigh on oil prices.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">China's Declining Demand, OPEC+ Production Decisions Add To Bearish Sentiment</h3>
On the demand side, Chinese consumption—accounting for roughly 15% of global oil demand—has been trending downward since May 2024
According to Pascal Devaux, an economist at BNP Paribas, this decline is tied not only to China's economic slowdown but also to structural changes within its energy sector. "Around 45% of new car registrations in China are for electric vehicles, either battery-powered or hybrid," Devaux said, underscoring the impact of the country's low-carbon transition on oil demand.
Capital Economics forecasts that if OPEC+ follows through on its plan to unwind voluntary production cuts initiated in October, an increase in oil supply combined with weak demand growth could drive prices lower throughout the remainder of 2024 and into 2025.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Energy Stocks See Sharp Losses</h3>
Sector ETFs posted notable declines in early trading:
<ul>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which tracks large-cap U.S. energy companies, was down 2.3% at the start of Monday's session. APA Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APA#NASDAQ">APA</a>), Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FANG#NASDAQ">FANG</a>), and Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRO#NYSE">MRO</a>) all registered losses between 3% and 4%.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), a broader measure of exploration and production stocks, slid 2.8%. Kosmos Energy Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KOS#NYSE">KOS</a>) and Vital Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VTLE#NYSE">VTLE</a>) are both down 4%.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) dropped 1.7%. Companies like ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PUMP#NYSE">PUMP</a>), Liberty Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LBRT#NYSE">LBRT</a>), and Noble Corporation plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NE#NYSE">NE</a>) were hit particularly hard, each falling by about 4%.</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41571526/exxon-shell-warren-buffett-backed-occidental-petroleum-and-other-oil-stocks-tumble-in-premarket-afte">Exxon, Shell, Warren Buffett-Backed Occidental Petroleum And Other Oil Stocks Tumble In Premarket After Israel&#8217;s Strikes On Iran</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Asia

Emerging Markets

Specialty ETFs

FANG

LBRT

PUMP

VTLE

Crude Oil Faces Steepest One-Day Drop In Over Two Years, Energy Stocks Plunge: Prices 'Are Likely To Remain Under Pressure,' Analyst Says

The Israeli military confirmed on Thursday <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/10/41385179/hamas-chief-oct-7-mastermind-yahya-sinwar-possibly-dead-idf-conducts-dna-tests-after-gaza-clash">the death of Yahya Sinwar</a>, the top leader of Hamas, with one word: &#8220;Eliminated.&#8221; 
What Happened: Israel Defense Forces killed Sinwar — Israel's most wanted target since the war with Hamas began on Oct. 7 — in a firefight in Gaza.
Sinwar orchestrated an assault that killed about 1,200 people and led to the abduction of over 200 others.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Eliminated: Yahya Sinwar.
&mdash; Israel Defense Forces (@IDF) <a href="https://twitter.com/IDF/status/1846957737487278263?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 17, 2024</a></blockquote>
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In a prepared <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/10/17/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-the-death-of-yahya-sinwar/">statement</a>, President Joe Biden said the IDF &#8220;relentlessly pursued Hamas's leaders&#8221; with the help of U.S. intelligence.
&#8220;There has rarely been a military campaign like this, with Hamas leaders living and moving through hundreds of miles of tunnels, organized in multiple stories underground, determined to protect themselves with no care for the civilians suffering above ground,&#8221; Biden said. 
&#8220;Today, however, proves once again that no terrorists anywhere in the world can escape justice, no matter how long it takes.&#8221;
Sinwar's body was retrieved after an exchange of fire on Wednesday, according to the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/10/17/world/israel-lebanon-iran-gaza-news?campaign_id=190&amp;emc=edit_ufn_20241017&amp;instance_id=137113&amp;nl=from-the-times&amp;regi_id=136109156&amp;segment_id=180692&amp;user_id=e415429009fa21c5b8b4141c24d72bca">New York Times</a>, citing Israeli authorities. His identity was verified using dental records and fingerprints that matched those on file, Israel Police said. There was no immediate response from Hamas regarding his death.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41112728/us-boosts-military-presence-in-middle-east-deploys-fighter-squadrons-amid-rising-tensions-with-iran">US Boosts Military Presence In Middle East As Tensions Spike With Iran</a> 
Why It Matters: Sinwar's killing marks a significant development in the yearlong conflict. 
So far, the war in Gaza devastated the region and its people. Despite being only 141 square miles, Gaza is home to over 2 million people. 
Gaza's health ministry reports over 41,000 deaths. Per the Associated Press, Gaza's health ministry <a href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-gaza-health-ministry-health-death-toll-59470820308b31f1faf73c703400b033">doesn't distinguish between civilians and combatants</a>. About 1.9 million Palestinians have been <a href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-anniversary-statistics-e61765035c725b3c8d4840e2bab565cd">displaced</a>.
Sinwar&#8217;s death also presents an &#8220;opportunity&#8221; to proceed with negotiations between Israel and Hamas and end the war, Vice President Kamala Harris said, per <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-17/harris-says-sinwar-s-death-offers-opportunity-to-end-gaza-war?srnd=phx-latest&amp;sref=TBDibEcD&amp;embedded-checkout=true">Bloomberg</a>. 
Both sides remain deadlocked over key issues. 
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed the nation and promised the Israeli military would secure the release of all hostages. See below for coverage via CNN.
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Defense exchange-traded funds (ETFs) at last check Thursday afternoon, were trending up with the exception of the SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF:
<ul>
<li>IShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#BATS">ITA</a>) rose 1.8% to $154.70.</li>
<li>Invesco Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PPA#NYSE">PPA</a>) is up 0.17% to $119.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAR#NYSE">XAR</a>) is down 0.29% to $162.77.</li>
</ul>
Oil ETFs: 
<ul>
<li>The United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), was up 0.15% at $72.51.</li>
<li>The VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) was down 0.25% at $286.69.</li>
</ul>
Now Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/10/41336413/oil-prices-take-largest-plunge-in-over-a-year-as-israel-vows-to-spare-iranian-facilities-energy-stoc">Oil Prices Take Largest Plunge In Over A Year As Israel Vows To Spare Iranian Facilities</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock.

iShares Dow Jones US Aerospace & Defense Index Fund

Israeli Military, With Help Of US Intelligence, 'Relentlessly Pursued' Deceased Hamas Leader

Oil prices took a sharp dive on Tuesday, tumbling over 5% in morning trading in New York, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East slightly eased after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly pledged that Iran's crude oil infrastructure would be spared from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41321699/oil-prices-drop-after-netanyahu-says-israel-will-attack-military-not-oil-or-nuclear-targets-in-iran">any potential retaliatory strikes. </a>
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the U.S. benchmark, tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), nosedived to $70 per barrel, down more than 5% as of 10 a.m. ET. This marks the steepest one-day decline in over a year.
The selloff followed a Monday report from The Washington Post that said that Netanyahu assured the Biden administration that Israel would avoid targeting Iranian oil and nuclear facilities in any retaliatory military actions.
The assurance suggested a narrower scope of potential conflict, reducing fears of widespread supply shocks in the global oil market.
Market analysts had previously warned that an Israeli strike on Iran&#8217;s oil infrastructure could send crude prices skyrocketing by $20 per barrel, highlighting concerns that Tehran would retaliate by attacking oil installations throughout the Gulf region, potentially triggering a broader energy crisis.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Crude Suffers Worst Drop In Over 1 Year As Middle East Supply Fears Recede</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="469" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-1024x469.png" alt="" class="wp-image-596308" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-1024x469.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-300x137.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-768x351.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-1536x703.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118.png 1884w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101524&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Energy Sector Tanks: US Oil Giants Lead Declines</h3>
The immediate reaction in the markets was swift: U.S. energy stocks plunged, while airlines and cruise lines — typically sensitive to fuel prices — enjoyed a sharp relief rally.
The energy sector was one of the biggest losers on the day. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which tracks major U.S. energy companies, slid 2.8%, setting up for its worst day since late April. 
АРА Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APA#NASDAQ">APA</a>), Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FANG#NASDAQ">FANG</a>) and Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>) were the worst performers within the XLE ETF, with declines of about 4%.
Companies involved in upstream exploration and production were hit even harder, with the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) falling 3.1%. Talos Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TALO#NYSE">TALO</a>), Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KOS#NYSE">KOS</a>) and Crescent Energy Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRGY#NYSE">CRGY</a>) each tumbled by over 4%. 
Downstream oil service providers also struggled, with the VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) dropping 3.6%. Major oilfield services companies like Schlumberger N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) and Halliburton Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAL#NYSE">HAL</a>) both fell about 3%, while Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIG#NYSE">RIG</a>) underperformed, down 5%. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Airlines And Cruise Lines Rally: Lower Fuel Costs, Strong Earnings Expectations Lift Sentiment</h3>
While energy stocks suffered, sectors reliant on cheaper fuel prices thrived. Airlines and cruise lines, in particular, were among the best performers within the S&amp;P 500 as the prospect of lower oil prices offered some relief.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) surged 4.3%, while Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) jumped 5.3%. 
Goldman Sachs recently raised its price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) from $195 to $220, anticipating strong earnings momentum. Similarly, NCLH saw its price target lifted from $22 to $24.
In the airline space, American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) rallied 3.5%, United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) gained 1.2%, reaching its highest level since February 2020, and Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) rose 1.3%.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">Financial Sector Hits Record Highs As Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citi Beat Q3 Earnings Expectations</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

CRGY

NCLH

TALO

Oil Prices Take Largest Plunge In Over A Year As Israel Vows To Spare Iranian Facilities: Energy Stocks Sink, Airlines, Cruise Lines Rally

Oil is trading more than 5% higher Thursday on the heels of President Joe Biden&#8216;s statement that the U.S. spoke with Israel about a possible attack on Iran's oil facilities.
"We're in discussions about that,&#8221; Biden said during an interaction with reporters. 
Biden seemingly indicated he wasn&#8217;t partial to the idea of striking at Iran&#8217;s oil facilities, before cutting himself off: &#8220;I think that would be a little&#8230; anyway.&#8221; See video below.
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When one reporter asked whether Biden would &#8220;allow&#8221; Israel to retaliate against Iran, Biden swiftly corrected him: &#8220;First of all, we don&#8217;t &#8216;allow&#8217; Israel. We advise Israel.&#8221;
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">Since Oct. 7, 2023</a>, Israel has been fighting Hamas in Gaza as well as Hezbollah in Lebanon. Both groups are considered terrorist organizations by the U.S. 
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41134015/jd-vance-tim-walz-debate-sets-a-different-tone-candidates-discuss-israel-iran-escalation-immigration">JD Vance, Tim Walz Debate Sets A Different Tone, Candidates Discuss Israel-Iran Escalation</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Oil And The Israel-Iran Conflict</h3>
Iran is the seventh-largest oil producer in the world. The country, which backs the Hezbollah militant group, exports around half its production abroad. 
China, where <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/08/40596334/asia-markets-mixed-europe-gains-crude-oil-falls-on-chinese-demand-concerns-global-markets-today-whil">oil demand is weak</a>, is its main customer.
Since Iran's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/10/41126038/iran-attacks-israel-with-missiles-middle-east-tensions-escalates-s-p-500-stocks-bitcoin-fall-as-oil">missile attack on Israel</a> on Monday, the price of barrels has fluctuated. As of Oct. 3, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is $73.83 per barrel. This reflects a 5.32% increase from the previous day&#8217;s close of $70.10.
The price of Brent crude is approximately $77.76 per barrel. It has fluctuated within a range of $74.33 to $77.58 for the day.
The U.S., which is producing more oil under Biden than any other U.S. presidential administration, has been filling its reserves. The Biden administration acquired an additional <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/eurozone/24/10/41146905/geopolitical-risks-may-be-biggest-threat-to-markets-boe-says">6 million barrels of crude</a> just this week.
It&#8217;s worth noting that ongoing violence in the Middle East puts the Straits of Hormuz at risk. A third of tanker traffic and a fifth of LNG frozen gas is transported through that passageway. 
The U.S. and its allies are likely determined to keep the Strait open due to its strategic importance. Any attempt to block the Strait could provoke military intervention.
Iran controls much of the northern coastline of the Strait and has previously threatened to block the passage in response to sanctions or conflicts with Western countries. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reaction</h3>
So far, market reaction to the Middle East conflict is relatively mute compared to February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine.
At the time, the oil market reacted with significant volatility and disruption, leading to a sharp rise in global prices. 
Brent crude, the global benchmark, surged above $100 per barrel for the first time since 2014, and by March 2022, it had briefly spiked to $139 per barrel, near the all-time high.
Oil-related exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, were trending up at last check Thursday afternoon. Here&#8217;s where they stand: 
<ul>
<li>United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) is up 4.05% to $75.71</li>
<li>Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBO#NYSE">DBO</a>) is up 4.08% at $15.06</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) is up 3.1% at $139.56</li>
<li>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) up 1.65% at $92.22</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) is up 6.59% at $28.81</li>
<li>VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) is up 1.89% at $297.58</li>
</ul>
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/previews/24/10/41170128/jobs-report-preview-could-september-labor-data-shift-feds-interest-rate-path">Jobs Report Preview: Could September Labor Data Shift Fed&#8217;s Interest Rate Path?</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Oil Prices Rally: Biden Confirms US 'Discussions' With Israel About Striking Iran Facilities

On Monday, Schlumberger N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) disclosed the formation of a joint venture (JV) with ADNOC Drilling Company and Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PTEN#NASDAQ">PTEN</a>) called <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/09/b41093343/slb-and-adnoc-drilling-partner-for-unconventional-oil-and-gas-development" rel="noreferrer noopener">Turnwell Industries LLC OPC</a>.
The JV aims to accelerate the UAE&#8217;s unconventional oil and gas program. It targets the completion of 144 wells by 2025, with the potential for additional wells in a second phase.
ADNOC Drilling will hold a 55% stake, with SLB and Patterson-UTI holding 30% and 15% stakes in the JV. SLB will provide drilling, completion services, project management, and digital solutions.
This deal is expected to enable the companies to leverage cutting-edge innovations in AI, smart drilling design, completions engineering, and production solutions.
Tarek Rizk, SLB&#8217;s president for the Middle East and North Africa region, said, &#8220;We are proud to join forces with ADNOC Drilling in this strategic partnership that demonstrates SLB&#8217;s leading position in the region deploying innovative digital, drilling and completion technologies in developing unconventional energy resources.&#8221;&nbsp;
&#8220;UAE&#8217;s unconventional energy assets hold a promising future, and we are very much looking forward to elevating their performance in a safe and sustainable way.&#8221;
Abdulrahman Abdulla Al Seiari, chief executive officer, ADNOC Drilling stated, &#8220;Turnwell will not only unlock the immense potential of the UAE&#8217;s world-class unconventional energy resources but will also set new benchmarks for the global energy industry. We are proud to lead the way in responsibly shaping the future of energy, both in the UAE and beyond.&#8221;
Last month, Schlumberger partnered with NVIDIA to create generative AI solutions focusing on subsurface exploration and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/09/40939729/energy-meets-ai-schlumberger-teams-up-with-nvidia-to-supercharge-industry-efficiency" rel="noreferrer noopener">data management in energy</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to SLB via&nbsp;VanEck Oil Services ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) and&nbsp;IShares U.S. Oil Equipment &amp; Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEZ#NYSE">IEZ</a>).
Price Action: SLB shares are down 0.74% at $41.64 premarket at the last check Tuesday.
Image via Shutterstock
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/41013730/bill-baruch-trims-tesla-stock-buys-pair-of-energy-names-power-is-going-to-be-a-big-thing-with-ai" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Bill Baruch Trims Tesla Stock, Buys Pair Of Energy Names: &#8216;Power Is Going To Be A Big Thing With AI&#8217;</a></li>
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PTEN

SLB, ADNOC Drilling, Patterson-UTI Join Forces To Accelerate UAE's Unconventional Oil Program

Press Releases

VanEck Announces Year-End Distributions for VanEck Equity ETFs

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DESK

DGIN

EINC

ESPO

GDXJ

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LFEQ

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SMHX

SMOG

목요일, 원유 가격이 5% 이상 급등했다. 이는 조 바이든 대통령이 미국이 이스라엘과 이란의 석유 시설에 대한 공격 가능성에 대해 논의했다고 언급한 후 발생한 일이다.
&#8220;우리는 그것에 대해 논의 중이다,&#8221;고 바이든이 기자들과의 대화에서 말했다.
바이든은 이란의 석유 시설을 타격하는 아이디어에 대해 긍정적이지 않은 듯 보였으나, 말을 중단했다: &#8220;그것은 조금… 어쨌든.&#8221; 아래 비디오를 참조하세요.
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<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper"><iframe loading="lazy" title="Biden: Discussing Israeli strikes on Iran oil facilities &#x7C; AJ #shorts" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/InF5MnsXAt0?feature=oembed" width="500" height="281" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></div>
</figure>
한 기자가 바이든에게 &#8220;이스라엘이 이란에 보복하는 것을 ‘허용&#8217;할 것이냐&#8221;고 묻자, 바이든은 즉시 정정했다: &#8220;우리는 이스라엘을 ‘허용&#8217;하지 않는다. 우리는 이스라엘에게 조언한다.&#8221;
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">2023년 10월 7일</a> 이후, 이스라엘은 가자 지구의 하마스와 레바논의 헤즈볼라와 전투를 벌이고 있다. 이들 두 그룹은 미국이 테러 조직으로 간주하는 단체이다.
관련 기사: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41134015/jd-vance-tim-walz-debate-sets-a-different-tone-candidates-discuss-israel-iran-escalation-immigration">JD 밴스와 팀 월즈의 토론이 다른 분위기를 조성하다, 후보들이 이스라엘-이란 격화 논의</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">석유와 이스라엘-이란 갈등</h3>
이란은 세계에서 일곱 번째로 큰 원유 생산국이다. 이란은 헤즈볼라 무장 단체를 지원하며, 생산량의 약 절반을 해외로 수출한다.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/08/40596334/asia-markets-mixed-europe-gains-crude-oil-falls-on-chinese-demand-concerns-global-markets-today-whil">원유 수요가 약세</a>를 보이는 중국은 이란의 주요 고객이다.
이란이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/10/41126038/iran-attacks-israel-with-missiles-middle-east-tensions-escalates-s-p-500-stocks-bitcoin-fall-as-oil">이스라엘을 미사일로 공격한 후</a> 원유 가격은 변동을 보였다. 10월 3일 기준, 서부 텍사스 중질유(WTI) 가격은 배럴당 73.83달러이다. 이는 전일 종가인 70.10달러에 비해 5.32% 상승한 수치이다.
브렌트유 가격은 배럴당 약 77.76달러로, 하루 동안 74.33달러에서 77.58달러 사이에서 변동했다.
바이든 하에 미국은 다른 어떤 미국 대통령 행정부보다 더 많은 원유를 생산하고 있으며, 비축유를 채우고 있다. 바이든 행정부는 이번 주에 추가로 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/eurozone/24/10/41146905/geopolitical-risks-may-be-biggest-threat-to-markets-boe-says">600만 배럴의 원유를 확보</a>했다.
중동에서의 지속적인 폭력 사태는 호르무즈 해협에 위험을 초래한다. 이 해협은 탱커 교통의 3분의 1과 액화천연가스(LNG)의 5분의 1이 통과하는 중요한 경로이다.
미국과 그 동맹국들은 이 해협을 열어 두려는 결심을 하고 있을 가능성이 높다. 이 해협을 차단하려는 시도는 군사적 개입을 유발할 수 있다.
이란은 해협의 대부분의 북쪽 해안을 통제하고 있으며, 제재나 서방 국가들과의 갈등에 대응하여 통행을 차단하겠다고 위협한 적이 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">시장 반응</h3>
현재까지 중동 갈등에 대한 시장 반응은 2022년 2월 러시아가 우크라이나를 침공했을 때에 비해 상대적으로 조용하다.
당시 원유 시장은 큰 변동성과 혼란으로 반응하여 글로벌 가격이 급격히 상승했다.
브렌트유는 2014년 이후 처음으로 배럴당 100달러를 초과했으며, 2022년 3월에는 배럴당 139달러로 잠시 급등하여 사상 최고가에 근접했다.
원유 관련 상장지수펀드(ETF)의 가격은 목요일 상승세를 보였습니다. 현재 가격은 다음과 같다:
<ul>
<li>United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)는 4.08% 상승하여 75.73달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBO#NYSE">DBO</a>)는 4.08% 상승하여 15.06달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)는 3.29% 상승하여 139.81달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)는 1.76% 상승하여 92.32달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)는 6.33% 상승하여 28.74달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>)는 2.19% 상승하여 298.46달러에 마감했다.</li>
</ul>
지금 읽어보세요:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/previews/24/10/41170128/jobs-report-preview-could-september-labor-data-shift-feds-interest-rate-path">일자리 보고서 미리 보기: 9월 노동 데이터가 연준의 금리 경로를 변경할 수 있을까?</a></li>
</ul>
사진 출처: Shutterstock
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유가 상승: 바이든, 이스라엘과 이란 시설 타격에 대한 미국과의 '협의'를 확인

석유수출국기구(OPEC)와 그 동맹국들로 구성된 OPEC+는 이번 주말에 현재의 감산을 연장할 것으로 예상된다고, 대표단과 분석가들이 전했다.
What Happened: 6월 1일 비엔나에서 직접 만날 예정이었던 OPEC+ 동맹은 이제 6월 2일 가상 플랫폼으로 회의를 옮겼다. 화요일 CNBC <a href="/stock/2024/05/31/oil-alliance-opec-could-extend-production-cuts-this-weekend.html#NYSE">보도</a>에 따르면 이 그룹은 현재 하루 총 586만 배럴의 공급 삭감을 시행하고 있으며, 그 중 하루 200만 배럴은 올해 말에 만료될 예정이다.
시장 참여자들은 2분기 말까지 남은 하루 220만 배럴의 감산이 연장될지 예의주시하고 있다. 이는 특히 여름철에 수요가 증가할 것으로 예상되는 점을 고려한 것이다.
익명을 요구한 세 명의 OPEC+ 대표는 CNBC에 하루 220만 배럴의 공급 감소가 장기화될 가능성이 있다고 말했다. 이 그룹은 또한 개별 구성 국가의 할당량 준수를 모니터링하고 있으며 과잉 생산자에게 추가 삭감을 요청했으며 이라크와 카자흐스탄은 자세한 보상 계획을 가지고 있다.
OPEC+ 연합의 감산 연장 결정은 중국의 정유소 유지보수 마무리, 여름이 다가옴에 따른 미국 소비 증가 등의 요인으로 인해 예상되는 여름 수요 증가에 영향을 받는다.
&#8220;6월이 오면 중국은 정유소 유지보수로 거의 중단하게 될 것이다. 여름이 다가옴에 따라 미국 소비가 증가하게 됨으로 6월은 이미 마이너스 원유 잔고를 기록할 것이다. 그리고 8월은 긴축이 최고조에 달하는 달이다&#8221;라고 케플러(Kpler)의 주요 원유 분석가 빅토르 카토나(Viktor Katona)가 이 보고서에서 말했다.
원유 부문이 자신의 투자 전략과 일치하는지 확인하기 위해 시장에서 가장 수익성이 높은 오일 ETF에 관심이 있는 투자자는 다음 옵션을 고려할 수 있다:  Vanguard Energy ETF(ARCA:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/vde" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for VDE">VDE</a>), VanEck Oil Services ETF(ARCA:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/oih" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for OIH">OIH</a>), United States Oil Fund(ARCA:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/uso" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for USO">USO</a>), iShares U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (BATS:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/ieo" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for IEO">IEO</a>), SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Equipment &amp; Services ETF (ARCA:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/xes" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for XES">XES</a>) 및  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (ARCA:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/uco" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for UCO">UCO</a>).
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왜 이 소식이 중요한가 (Why It Matters): 이스라엘군이 가자 지구의 <a href="/stock/2024/05/31/all-eyes-on-rafah-as-israeli-forces-enter-safe-zones-spain-ireland-and-norway-officially.html">안전</a>지대에 진입하는 등 최근 지정학적 사건도 원유 시장의 불확실성을 가중시켰다. 중동의 지속적인 긴장은 글로벌 인플레이션과 에너지 안보에 대한 우려를 불러일으켰고 OPEC+의 의사 결정에 더욱 영향을 미쳤다.
유가는 상반기에도 박스권을 유지했으며, 중동 지역의 발전으로 인해 급등할 가능성이 있다.
라이스태드(Rystad)의 호르헤 레온(Jorge Leon)은 지역적 확대로 인해 배럴당 최대 10달러의 위험 프리미엄이 추가될 수 있다고 지적했다. OPEC+ 대표자들은 CNBC에 가자지구 상황이 여전히 어느 정도 압박을 가하고 있지만 시장은 그 영향을 대부분 흡수했다고 말했다.
OPEC+는 또한 휘발유 가격 우려로 인해 이 동맹국들의 공급 삭감을 비난해온 미국과의 관계를 모색해야 한다. 지난주 바이든 행정부는 주요소 가격을 낮추기 위해 비축량에서 100만 배럴의 휘발유를 방출한다고 발표했다. 코로나19 팬데믹 기간 동안 전략적 석유 비축(SPR)에도 유사한 조치가 취해졌다.
그러나 한 OPEC+ 대표는 이러한 조치가 여름 가격 완화 이후 장기적인 영향을 미칠 가능성이 낮다고 지적했다. 이 보도에 따르면 미국은 일반적으로 비상 국가 비축 재고량을 보충하는 것을 목표로 하고 있다.
다음 읽기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/05/39063828/elon-musk-slams-joe-biden-says-president-cares-a-lot-more-about-whether-tesla-is-unionized-over-?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">일론 머스크, &#8220;조 바이든 대통령은 테슬라가 노조에 가입했는지에 대해 더욱 신경쓴다&#8221;고 비판</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro">Benzinga Neuro</a>를 사용하여 작성된 이 기사는 Kaustubh Bagalkote에 의해 편집되었습니다.

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VanEck Oil Services ETF

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목요일, 10월 03, 2024

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