Leading cryptocurrencies edged lower Tuesday amid fears of U.S. involvement in the Iran-Israel conflict.



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><thead><tr><th>Cryptocurrency</th><th>Gains +/-</th><th>Price (Recorded at 8:45 p.m. ET)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>)</td><td>-2.06%</td><td>$104,735.63</td></tr><tr><td>Ethereum (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td><td>-1.79%</td><td>$2,525.57</td></tr><tr><td>Dogecoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td><td>-1.35%</td><td>$0.1698</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



What Happened: Bitcoin steadily declined throughout the day, falling to an intraday low of $103,396.53 by afternoon.



Ethereum also gave up gains from Monday's comeback rally, tumbling below $2,500 before paring losses overnight.



Investors remained on edge amid concerns of U.S. involvement in the ongoing Iran-Israel war. In a series of Truth Social <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump">posts</a>, Trump said that "we have complete and total control" over Iran&#8217;s skies and demanded an &#8220;unconditional surrender.&#8221;&nbsp;



Over $330 million was liquidated from the cryptocurrency market in the last 24 hours, with nearly $268 million in bullish long bets wiped out. That said, about $650 million in Bitcoin shorts risked liquidation if the apex cryptocurrency rebounded to $107,000.&nbsp;



Bitcoin&#8217;s Open Interest fell 1.97% in the last 24 hours. Interestingly, more than 55% of Binance&#8217;s top traders with open BTC positions were positioned long, according to the long/short ratio.



The market sentiment flipped from "Greed" to "Neutral," according to the Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index.



Meanwhile, in a positive development, the Senate approved a landmark bill establishing the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/06/45972264/senate-advances-stablecoin-bill-a-defining-moment-for-crypto-market-regulation">country&#8217;s first regulatory framework for stablecoins</a>. The bill now heads to the House for further debate.



Top Gainers (24 Hours)



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><thead><tr><th>Cryptocurrency</th><th>Gains +/-</th><th>Price (Recorded at 8:45 p.m. ET)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Bitcoin SV (BSV)</td><td>+1.98%</td><td>$31.81</td></tr><tr><td>AB (AB) &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td><td>+0.66%</td><td>$0.01554</td></tr><tr><td>Jito (JTO)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</td><td>+0.08%</td><td>$2.19 </td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at $3.25 trillion, following a dip of 1.36% in the last 24 hours.



Stocks fell as the recovery rally lost steam on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 299.29 points, or 0.70%, to close at 42,215.80. The S&amp;P 500 lost 0.84% to end at 5,982.72. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 0.91% to close at 19,521.09.



Investors remained on edge amid concerns of U.S. involvement in the ongoing Iran-Israel war. In a series of Truth Social <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump">posts</a>, Trump said that "we have complete and total control" over Iran&#8217;s skies and demanded an &#8220;unconditional surrender.&#8221;&nbsp;



Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates unchanged in the current 425-450 bps range at Wednesday's meeting, <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">according </a>to the CME FedWatch tool.



See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-crypto-scanners">Best Cryptocurrency Scanners</a>



Analyst Notes: Well-known cryptocurrency commentator Michaël van de Poppe noticed that Bitcoin swept some liquidity but bounced back soon after.



"Doesn&#8217;t say that we&#8217;ve bottomed, but it&#8217;s a great sign to be accumulating those corrections before the next BIG leg upwards happens," Van de Poppe added. "Reclaim of $106,000 is where the party happens."



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Bitcoin</a> did make that sweep of the liquidity and instantly bounces back. Doesn&#39;t say that we&#39;ve bottomed, but it&#39;s a great sign to be accumulating those corrections before the next BIG leg upwards happens. Reclaim of $106,000 is where the party happens. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Altcoins?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Altcoins</a>… <a href="https://t.co/eKxtLJ6Hwo">pic.twitter.com/eKxtLJ6Hwo</a>&mdash; Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href="https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1935057401071473010?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 17, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Another widely followed cryptocurrency analyst and trader, DevKhabib, stated that Ethereum's rejection will take it below the key support level at $2,380 and test the $2,200 levels.



"As long as we don&#8217;t close any weekly candles below the 5-year trendline(red diagonal line), we should be good," the analyst predicted.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true"><a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24ETH&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$ETH</a> This rejection here is probably the one that will take us below the strong support at $2380 and test the $2200 levels. As long as we don&#39;t close any weekly candles below the 5 year trendline(red diagonal line) we should be good. <a href="https://t.co/rye7c3PLGv">pic.twitter.com/rye7c3PLGv</a>&mdash; DevKhabib (@DevKhabib) <a href="https://twitter.com/DevKhabib/status/1935027737074528442?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 17, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Photo Courtesy: alfernec on Shutterstock.com



Read Next:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;



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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/06/45971185/bitcoins-newer-buyers-realize-bigger-gains-is-a-90000-now-within-reach">Bitcoin&#8217;s Newer Buyers Realize Bigger Gains – Is A $90,000 Now Within Reach?</a></li>
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Dip As Investors Jittery Over US Involvement In Iran-Israel Conflict : Analyst Says BTC's Reclaim Of $106,000 Is 'Where The Party Happens'

U.S. stock futures remain unfazed by President Donald Trump&#8217;s calls for an &#8220;Unconditional Surrender&#8221; by Iran on Tuesday night, as tensions continued to flare in the Middle East.



Starting with the S&amp;P 500 Futures, which trades at 6,045.00, up 0.11%, followed by Nasdaq Futures at 21,986.00, up 0.14%, and Dow Jones Futures up 0.06%, trading at 42,581.00, at the time of writing this.



<figure class="wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="408" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212516/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.02-AM-1024x408.png" alt="" class="wp-image-953126" style="width:595px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212516/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.02-AM-1024x408.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212516/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.02-AM-300x119.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212516/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.02-AM-768x306.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212516/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.02-AM.png 1186w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



Stock futures are largely flat despite escalating tensions between the United States and Israel versus Iran, amid Trump&#8217;s increasingly fiery rhetoric, stating that the U.S. knows exactly where Iran&#8217;s &#8220;Supreme Leader&#8221; was hiding, and adding that he was an &#8220;easy target,&#8221; in a Truth Social post on Tuesday.



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/45988135/bernie-sanders-slams-israels-illegal-attack-on-iran-says-absolutely-imperative-that-the-united-states-not-be-dragged-into-this-war">Bernie Sanders Slams Israel&#8217;s &#8216;Illegal&#8217; Attack On Iran, Says &#8216;Absolutely Imperative That The United States Not Be Dragged Into This War&#8217;</a>



In a subsequent post, Trump once again did not mince words and called for an &#8220;UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!&#8221; by Iran. This comes just a day after he said that a cease-fire between Israel and Iran was <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45968002/trump-says-israel-iran-ceasefire-not-on-the-table-left-g7-early-for-a-much-bigger-reason-spy-qqq">not on the table</a>, and that he was seeking &#8220;a real end&#8221; to Iran&#8217;s nuclear issue.



<figure class="wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="208" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212554/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.41-AM-1024x208.png" alt="" class="wp-image-953127" style="width:615px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212554/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.41-AM-1024x208.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212554/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.41-AM-300x61.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212554/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.41-AM-768x156.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17212554/Screenshot-2025-06-18-at-6.55.41-AM.png 1184w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



Defense stocks and ETFs have continued to rally after hours, as tensions continued to escalate, with California-based Kratos Defense &amp; Security Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KTOS#NASDAQ">KTOS</a>), which provides defense engineering and communications solutions, rising 0.60% after hours.



Others, such as Israel&#8217;s Elbit Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ESLT#NASDAQ">ESLT</a>) and RTX Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>), have rallied by 1.12%% and 0.60%, respectively, in after-hours trading.



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><thead><tr><th>Stock</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">After-Hours</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Month-To-Date</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Year-To-Date</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Elbit Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ESLT#NASDAQ">ESLT</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+1.12%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+10.81%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+73.00%</td></tr><tr><td>Kratos Defense &amp; Security Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KTOS#NASDAQ">KTOS</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+0.60%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+17.18%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+63.87%</td></tr><tr><td>Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+0.60%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+3.96%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+7.68%</td></tr><tr><td>RTX Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+0.72%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+8.79%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+27.99%</td></tr><tr><td>Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+1.06%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-0.63%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-0.60%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><tbody><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">ETF</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Month-To-Date</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Year-To-Date</td></tr><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Global X Defense Tech ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHLD#NYSE">SHLD</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+3.03%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+57.56%</td></tr><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#BATS">ITA</a>)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+1.54%</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+24.24%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



Asian markets opened higher on Wednesday, with Japan&#8217;s Benchmark Nikkei 225 up 0.71% in early morning trade, at 38,808, with companies focused on the domestic market leading the way.



Brent crude oil futures are down 0.04%, trading at 76.40 a barrel, marking a steep 19% ascent since the beginning of this month, after hitting a 52-week low of $58.4 a barrel in early May.



The&nbsp;U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;(DXY) is holding steady at 98.724, down 0.10%, even as volatilities and geopolitical risks continue to weigh.



Investors on Wednesday will be closely watching the outcome of the FOMC meeting, followed by a press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Investors will also be keenly eyeing the Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, and Building Permit reports during the day.



Photo Courtesy: Gumbariya on Shutterstock.com



Read More: 



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/06/45983526/trump-wants-an-end-not-a-ceasefire-for-the-israel-iran-war-what-that-means-for-etfs">Trump Wants &#8216;An End, Not a Ceasefire&#8217; For The Israel-Iran War: What That Means For ETFs</a></li>
</ul>

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Trump Demands Iran's 'Unconditional Surrender' — Stock Futures Remain Steady, Defense Shares Trade Higher In After-Hours Trading

Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades on Tuesday, focusing on Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>), and Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRCL#NYSE">CRCL</a>). These trades reflect Ark&#8217;s strategic positioning in the tech sector amidst market fluctuations.



The AMD Trade: On Tuesday, Ark Invest&#8217;s ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARKW#BATS">ARKW</a>) fund acquired 37,377 shares of Advanced Micro Devices. This purchase aligns with AMD&#8217;s recent market momentum, driven by speculation of a potential &#8220;GPU win&#8221; with Amazon Web Services and a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/06/45978843/amd-stock-is-up-10-this-week-whats-going-on">positive rating</a> from Piper Sandler. The analyst, Harsh Kumar, maintained an &#8220;Overweight&#8221; rating and increased AMD&#8217;s price target to $140, citing the company&#8217;s product launches and expected growth in AI. The shares closed at $128.10, making the trade worth approximately $4.75 million. 



The TSMC Trade: The ARK Innovation ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARKK#BATS">ARKK</a>) fund purchased 36,913 shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing on the same day. TSM shares closed at $213.90 on Tuesday. The Ark transaction was valued at $7.9 million.



TSM is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/06/45953943/taiwan-semiconductor-eyes-rollout-of-2nm-advanced-tech-chips-this-year">advancing its 2-nanometer technology</a>, aiming for commercialization in the latter half of 2025. This move is part of TSM&#8217;s strategy to maintain its competitive edge over rivals like Samsung Electronics. The acquisition reflects Ark&#8217;s confidence in TSM&#8217;s technological advancements and market potential. 



The Circle Internet Trade: Ark Invest&#8217;s funds, including Ark Fintech Innovation ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARKF#BATS">ARKF</a>), ARKK, and ARKW, collectively sold a substantial number of shares in Circle Internet, totaling 300,108 shares. On Tuesday, Circle Internet shares ended the day at $149.15, making the Ark Transaction on the day worth $44.8 million.



Circle, known for issuing the USDC stablecoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/">USDC</a>), has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/06/45955267/circle-internet-group-crcl-stock-hits-new-highs-whats-going-on">seen its stock soar</a> since its IPO on June 5, 2025. The stock&#8217;s initial pricing at $31 surged to $83.23 on its first trading day, continuing to attract investor interest. This sale could indicate a strategic reallocation of Ark&#8217;s investment portfolio. Notably, on Monday, Wood had <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/06/45964983/cathie-woods-monday-shuffle-buys-nvidia-sells-meta-ark-also-dumps-hot-circle-stock">sold $43.6 million</a> worth of Circle shares.



Other Key Trades:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>eToro Group Ltd (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ETOR#NASDAQ">ETOR</a>): ARKF purchased 35,461 shares.</li>



<li>Airbnb Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ABNB#NASDAQ">ABNB</a>): ARKK acquired 59,115 shares.</li>



<li>DoorDash Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DASH#NYSE">DASH</a>): ARKF and ARKW collectively bought 17,828 shares.</li>



<li>Shopify Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHOP#NYSE">SHOP</a>): ARKW added 21,277 shares to its holdings.</li>
</ul>



Photo Courtesy: Ira Lichi On Shutterstock.com



Read Next: 



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/06/45933322/bitcoin-ethereum-xrp-dogecoin-weekend-rally-100k-lows" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Drop Further — Traders Eye Weekend Rally Before Retest Of $100K Lows</a></li>
</ul>



This story was generated using <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro">Benzinga Neuro</a> and edited by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/shivdeep-dhaliwal" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Shivdeep Dhaliwal</a>

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Cathie Wood Splashes $12.7 Million On Chip Giants AMD And Taiwan Semiconductors, Ark Dumps Another $45 Million Worth Of Hot Circle Stock

As world leaders convened in Canada for the G7 summit to debate economic cooperation, U.S. President Donald Trump suddenly hijacked the headlines by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45968002/trump-says-israel-iran-ceasefire-not-on-the-table-left-g7-early-for-a-much-bigger-reason-spy-qqq-dip-in-premarket-oil-climbs">cutting his G7 visit short </a>and boarding Air Force One to tackle what he described as a much more pressing issue: stopping Iran&#8217;s nuclear pursuits once and for all. With Israel having struck deep inside Iranian territory and Tehran threatening retaliation, investors now prepare themselves for the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">ETF</a>-level consequences of a protracted geopolitical crisis.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Happened</h2>



Trump emphatically brushed aside proposals for a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, instead calling for &#8220;an end. A real end. Not a ceasefire. An end.&#8221; The statement, made en route to Washington, was immediately seen by markets as a possible ratcheting up of an already tense conflict. 



And while global equities have been fairly stable, activity below the surface is very different: energy, defense, and gold ETFs are flashing new risk signs.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Energy ETFs Respond To Oil Supply Threats</h2>



With the flagship Bazan oil refinery closing after deadly missile attacks by Iran, and concerns building over possible disruptions to Iranian oil exports or shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45965846/israel-is-pounding-irans-energy-infrastructure-and-its-sending-these-oil-etfs-soaring-but-it-maybe-bad-news-at-the-gas-pump">energy-linked ETFs are picking up steam</a>.



Securities such as the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) and the Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDE#NYSE">VDE</a>) experienced small inflows for the week as oil prices ticked higher on supply worries. United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), a direct play on crude futures, also experienced increased volume, and the fund is up around 5% as of Tuesday afternoon.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Defense ETFs Get A War-Posture Boost</h2>



Trump&#8217;s comments, combined with the deployment of U.S. military, specifically, the Middle East-bound USS Nimitz aircraft carrier battle group, has strengthened sentiment behind defense and aerospace stocks.



iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#BATS">ITA</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAR#NYSE">XAR</a>) both were up moderately after the president&#8217;s statements. Leveraged vehicles such as Direxion Daily Aerospace &amp; Defense Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFEN#NYSE">DFEN</a>) also gained interest.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Safe Havens Shine As Diplomatic Channels Fade</h2>



Gold ETFs, traditionally the &#8220;nuclear fallout shelter&#8221; of international finance, are getting some life after a slow spring. Trump&#8217;s &#8220;not in the mood to negotiate&#8221; refrain coupled with tweets threatening strikes on Tehran revived safe-haven demand.



Since Friday, the iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAU#NYSE">IAU</a>) and SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) have seen modest but consistent inflows.



The G7 walkout sent a message to markets that this administration isn&#8217;t pivoting, it&#8217;s running away from diplomacy. Even if risk assets aren&#8217;t pricing in disaster, safe-haven ETFs are quietly getting ready for one.



Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/06/45939307/are-gold-etfs-really-a-hedge-during-a-geopolitical-crisis-heres-what-to-check-before-investing">Are Gold ETFs Really A Hedge During A Geopolitical Crisis? Here&#8217;s What To Check Before Investing</a>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Middle East ETFs Navigate Uncertain Course</h2>



Regional funds could suffer devastating fallout if the conflict escalates. ETFs such as WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GULF#NASDAQ">GULF</a>) and iShares MSCI Frontier and Select EM ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FM#NYSE">FM</a>) have minimal direct exposure to Iran but could still lose out on general capital outflow in the face of geopolitical volatility.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Conclusion: An Endgame Without An Exit Strategy</h2>



Markets can typically absorb tension, but they have trouble with open-ended uncertainty. Keywords like &#8220;not a ceasefire,&#8221; &#8220;an end,&#8221; and the like give investors little hints of how this war could end and at what cost markets could eventually pay.



For the time being, ETFs are where the market is subtly voting on what lies ahead, and the early indicators are that it&#8217;s gearing up for a rough ride.



Read Next: 



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/06/45978750/why-smart-money-is-spreading-out-etf-flows-signal-surge-in-portfolio-diversification">Why Smart Money Is Spreading Out: ETF Flows Signal Surge In Portfolio Diversification</a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Politics

DFEN

GULF

Trump Wants 'An End, Not a Ceasefire' For The Israel-Iran War: What That Means For ETFs

Amazon.Com Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) chief Andy Jassy in a blog post on Tuesday, highlighted the company&#8217;s extensive leveraging of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/artificial-intelligence" rel="noreferrer noopener">Generative AI</a> to drive value.



Technologies like Generative AI are rare and come about once-in-a-lifetime, completely transforming possibilities for customers and businesses, Jassy said, justifying its aggressive investment.



He stated that Alexa+, the company&#8217;s advanced Alexa personal assistant, is the first personal assistant that can <a target="_blank" href="https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-on-generative-ai?utm_campaign=Watchlist&amp;utm_source=Benzinga&amp;utm_medium=Email" rel="noreferrer noopener">take significant actions</a> for customers while providing intelligent answers to virtually any question, citing its tens of millions of customers worldwide.



Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/02/43550696/amazon-to-pour-nearly-100-billion-into-ai-in-2025-surpassing-microsoft-and-alphabet-andy-jassy-says-cost-of-inference-will-meaningfully-come-down-amid-deepseek-worries" rel="noreferrer noopener">Amazon To Pour Nearly $100 Billion Into AI In 2025, Surpassing Microsoft And Alphabet</a>



Jassy stated that this AI-driven transformation might reduce the corporate workforce in the coming years due to increased efficiency. He recommended being curious about AI and educating yourself by attending workshops and training.



He highlighted the huge impact of Gen AI and said that nearly half a million selling partners are using these services, and the listings they are creating are measurably better.



Jassy wrote about how the company transformed advertising with AI, helping brands plan, onboard, create, and optimize campaigns. He said over 50,000 advertisers used these capabilities in the first quarter alone.



Jassy highlighted Generative AI&#8217;s crucial role within Amazon Web Services (AWS) for developers and in optimizing internal functions such as fulfillment and customer service. He also pointed to the development of AI agents to automate tasks and accelerate innovation.



Amazon also restructured its Customer Service Chatbot with GenAI and assembled more intelligent and compelling product detail pages by leveraging GenAI.



Jassy underscored Amazon&#8217;s substantial investment in AI, expressing a firm belief in its capacity to alter work and daily life profoundly. He envisions a future where AI agents become ubiquitous, dramatically expanding the scope and pace of innovation for consumers.



He said Amazon has over 1,000 Generative AI services and applications in progress or built, which is a small fraction of what it will ultimately build.



Earlier, Jassy <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/25/04/44746436/amazon-ceo-justifies-large-ai-investments-as-once-in-a-lifetime-reinvention-of-everything-we-know" rel="noreferrer noopener">highlighted the need</a> for substantial capital to secure AI chips and build data centers, reiterating the need for large capital investments during the current period of &#8220;high demand&#8221; in order to remain competitive in the rapidly changing AI landscape.&nbsp;



Price Action: AMZN stock is down 0.57% at $214.86 at the last check on Tuesday.



Read Next:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44118144/amazon-unveils-ai-reasoning-model-for-june-2025-strengthening-aws-leadership-in-ai-innovation" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Amazon To Launch AI Reasoning Model In June, Reinforcing AWS&#8217;s AI Dominance</a></li>
</ul>



Photo via Shutterstock

Tech

AMZN

Amazon CEO Says Generative AI Will Reduce Total Corporate Workforce

&#8220;Pirate&#8221; is one of the nicer terms I&#8217;ve heard applied to private equity firms. After all, these are companies that, over the years, I have heard get blamed for everything from global warming to the killing of Geoffrey, the Toys R Us giraffe.



The truth of the matter is that when you peel away the label and look inside, most successful private equity firms are simply value investors who use substantial leverage. They buy good businesses using lots of debt, then use cash flow to pay down the debt and create enormous value in the process. As an aside, their biggest customers are the large pension funds that provide comfortable retirements for thousands of teachers, firefighters, and police officers across the United States.



The people who run these companies are generally given equity; often, the employees receive stock. When the deals are successful, as most of them are, executives and employees alike score massive paydays.



The good news for us is that we can do what private equity funds do and earn the type of returns the very best funds have generated over the years. We want good businesses that have substantial debt. We want to see that insiders own enough stock to be motivated to do the things required to succeed at creating value. We want to see that the debt is being actively repaid and reduced. 



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Final Call: Free Event Reveals Market's Hidden ‘Power Patterns' That Have Delivered Winning Trades Like Seasonal Clockwork</h2>



Trading legend Tom Gentile—who has trained over 300,000 investors—goes live Today, June 18 at 6 PM ET to reveal the market's hidden "Power Patterns." These are the same setups he's used in 2025 alone to capture gains like 105% on Adobe, 128% on Progressive, and 150% on Costco, all in under two weeks. Reserve Your Seat <a href="https://events2.benzinga.com/power-pattern-profits-live/?utm_campaign=power-pattern-registration&amp;utm_adType=sponsorad&amp;utm_ad=RD061825&amp;he={{email}}&amp;adt_ei={{email}}&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;el=ResearchDaily">HERE</a> for this Benzinga Exclusive Event. 



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">American Axle &amp; Manufacturing</h2>



American Axle &amp; Manufacturing (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXL#NYSE">AXL</a>) has been quietly executing one of the more disciplined balance sheet repair jobs in the auto parts sector, positioning itself for a transformative step forward. The company&#8217;s June 2025 investor deck confirms that this is not a speculative EV play or a restructuring story that depends on the market&#8217;s mood. It is a solid operator generating real free cash flow, with a clear focus on reducing debt and growing profitably—even in a cyclical and capital-intensive business.



AXL is a leading global supplier of driveline systems and metal-formed components, primarily serving the North American light truck and SUV market. Roughly 69% of its 2024 revenue came from driveline systems, including full-size pickup truck axles and hybrid/electric solutions, while the remainder came from its vertically integrated metal forming operations. Its biggest customers include GM, Ford and Stellantis, and it boasts over $20 billion in lifetime revenue already secured through 2030, providing high visibility in a notoriously uncertain industry.



Once viewed as legacy exposures, the company&#8217;s Internal Combustion Engine and hybrid programs have become tailwinds thanks to updated production forecasts in North America and Europe. While EV ambitions remain in place, with selective exposure to high-value components like eBeam axles and electric drive units, AXL has smartly avoided chasing low-margin, high-volume EV content.



That restraint extends to its balance sheet. Since 2017, AXL has reduced gross debt from nearly $4 billion to $2.6 billion. Net leverage stands at 2.8x EBITDA, and management has made it crystal clear that all capital allocation decisions—dividends, buybacks, or otherwise—are on hold until they reach 2.5x. That kind of focus is rare in this market.



The most important near-term development is AXL&#8217;s pending merger with Dowlais Group, a U.K.-based driveline and powdered metal components supplier with a strong Asia-Pacific presence and a top-tier position in sideshaft technology. The deal, expected to close in Q4 2025, will double AXL&#8217;s scale to approximately $12 billion in revenue, improve geographic diversification, and significantly expand the product portfolio across both ICE and EV platforms.



Financially, the merger is expected to deliver $300 million in annual synergies within three years. Even after layering on approximately $2.2 billion of new debt to finance the transaction, AXL expects to maintain net leverage near 2.5x—evidence of how much operating cash flow the combined business will generate. The pro forma free cash flow yield is projected to be near 50% of the market cap, which is remarkable for a Tier 1 auto supplier in any environment.



Insiders have an enormous incentive to generate cash, pay down debt, and increase the value of the stock. Collectively, they own over four million shares.



In short, AXL is demonstrating what it looks like to run a heavy industrial business the right way: real cash flow, clear priorities, and a strategic combination that could unlock significant value without compromising the company&#8217;s balance sheet discipline. That&#8217;s worth more than just a passing glance.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Red Rock Resorts</h2>



Red Rock Resorts (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RRR#NASDAQ">RRR</a>) is not just another gaming company. It is a real estate-rich cash machine quietly capitalizing on Southern Nevada&#8217;s demographic tailwinds and its own disciplined operating model. Anchored by decades of family-led stewardship from the Fertitta brothers, RRR continues to generate strong free cash flow while methodically unlocking the value of its irreplaceable real estate portfolio. As investors hunt for durable growth and margin stability in a choppy market, Red Rock stands out.



The company&#8217;s story starts with its commanding position in the Las Vegas local gaming market, which is the second-largest gaming market in the United States. This is a recurring revenue engine powered by loyal customers: 75% of slot revenues come from guests who visit at least four times a month. With 19 properties already operating and a pipeline of shovel-ready land, RRR is perfectly situated to scale with the Las Vegas metro&#8217;s continued growth.



The heart of Red Rock&#8217;s advantage is its real estate. The company owns every inch of its developed and undeveloped land, with over 459 acres of prime Las Vegas Valley property ready for development.



These sites are not speculative.



They are located in some of the fastest-growing, highest-income neighborhoods in Southern Nevada, including Inspirada, Skye Canyon, and along South Las Vegas Boulevard. The Durango project is a case in point: a new property expected to generate over $180 million in EBITDA on an $800 million investment, delivering a projected 20%+ ROI.



It is not just about development.



The company&#8217;s reinvestment in its existing assets is deliberate and effective. Renovations at Green Valley Ranch and Sunset Station aim to enhance the guest experience and drive repeat visitation. With more than $6 billion already invested across its Las Vegas footprint, the quality of RRR&#8217;s properties sets a high bar in the regional gaming space.



Red Rock&#8217;s free cash flow generation is perhaps most compelling for long-term investors. Since reopening after COVID, RRR has converted a robust 61% of EBITDA into operating free cash flow, generating over $415 million in the trailing twelve months ending March 2025. In Q1 2025 alone, the company posted record EBITDA of $215 million with consolidated margins above 43%. Because gaming, its highest-margin segment, accounts for 67% of total revenue, those margins remain resilient even amid broader macro volatility.



While Red Rock still has a substantial debt load of $3.4 billion, it is worth noting that leverage metrics are trending in the right direction. Debt-to-equity has improved meaningfully from 15.87 in late 2024 to 13.77 in Q1 2025, and net leverage has declined to 4.09x EBITDA. Management is taking a measured approach—balancing development, capital returns, and deleveraging—without compromising its ability to invest for future growth.



Red Rock is returning capital: the company has paid out $893 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases since 2021. That includes $646 million in buybacks, with another $309 million still authorized under the current plan. It is a shareholder-friendly capital allocation strategy underpinned by recurring income and long-term real estate value.



It makes sense that Red Rock would reward shareholders since officers and directors are the largest shareholders. Thanks to a split share structure, insiders own about 20% of the company and have full voting control.



With Nevada continuing to lead the nation in population growth, a stable regulatory environment, and rising discretionary income across key demographics, Red Rock&#8217;s fundamentals look durable. When you add a portfolio of wholly-owned assets, meaningful free cash flow, a clear development runway, and a commitment to reducing leverage, it becomes clear: Red Rock Resorts is building more than just casinos.



It is building wealth for shareholders.



Finding good businesses that are actively paying down debt where insiders have skin in the game allows us to do exactly what private equity investors have done to rack up huge returns.



Editorial content from our expert contributors is intended to be information for the general public and not individualized investment advice. Editors/contributors are presenting their individual opinions and strategies, which are neither expressly nor impliedly approved or endorsed by Benzinga.



Photo: Shutterstock

Opinion

2 Stocks That Show It Pays To Be A 'Pirate'

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday as President Donald Trump's volatile tariff policy <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">clouds the economic outlook. </a>



The decision will mark the fourth straight pause in the rate-cutting cycle that began in September. Yet, rather than the rate decision itself, the key data to watch for markets will be release of new economic projections. 



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wait-And-See Remains The Fed&#8217;s Mantra</h3>



Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues have consistently repeated since May that monetary policy is "in a good place." Despite persistent calls from Trump to cut rates more aggressively, Powell is likely to maintain a data-driven approach and to push back pressures to cut prematurely. 



David Mericle, economist at Goldman Sachs, said in a note last week the Fed is unlikely to make big moves until it gets more clarity, and that recent inflation data and easing trade tensions support staying on hold. 



"The FOMC will likely reiterate that it plans to remain on hold until it has further clarity," he said.



Although both the U.S. and China rolled back 115 percentage points worth of tariffs in May, a 90-day freeze on the latest round of tariffs expires next month. 



Goldman Sachs expects the U.S. effective tariff rate to be 14 percentage points. This will be enough to push inflation to 3.4% and to slow economic growth to 1.25% this year. 



&#8220;The Fed&#8217;s main message at the June meeting will be that it remains comfortably in wait-and-see mode,&#8221; said Bank of America&#8217;s economist Aditya Bhave in a report last week. 



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">All Eyes On New Economic Projections</h3>



Analysts expect the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) to point to just one 25-basis-point rate cut in 2025, down from 50 basis points in March, and 75 basis points in total easing for 2026, unchanged from previous estimates.



Current market pricing shows that speculators factor in almost two rate cuts for 2025, according to CME Fed Watch tool. 



Since March, tariffs policies have added more uncertainty to both inflation and economic growth. 



Despite recent softer inflation readings, the Fed is unlikely to revise down its March projections, which saw headline Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation averaging 2.7% in 2025 and 2.2% in 2026, with core PCE at 2.8% and 2.2% respectively.



Real economic growth was projected at 1.7% for 2025 and 1.8% for 2026 in the Fed's March forecast. A downward revision to growth alongside an upward revision to inflation would confirm the Fed is leaning toward a stagflationary near-term outlook. 



 Bhave said the Fed is likely to revise its growth forecast lower while nudging inflation projections higher.



Markets will also be watching for any shift in the Fed's view on labor market softness, with the March unemployment forecast at 4.4%. 



May's nonfarm payrolls rose by 139,000—slightly above expectations—but prior months were revised down by 95,000, while continuing jobless claims in late May climbed to their highest level since winter 2021.



Now Read



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/06/45971228/retail-sales-slump-more-than-expected-as-tariff-fears-hit-spending">Retail Sales Slump More Than Expected As Tariff Fears Hit Spending</a></li>
</ul>



Image: Shutterstock

Macro Economic Events

Topics

Econ #s

Economics

Federal Reserve

No Rate Cuts Yet, Fed Wants To See Where Tariffs Land: Here's What To Watch Wednesday

Wall Street took a sharp and unexpected turn lower by midday Tuesday as geopolitical fears surged following an Axios News report that President Donald Trump will meet with his national security team in the White House Situation Room to decide U.S. policy regarding the escalating war <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/middle-east">between Israel and Iran.</a>



According to <a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/06/17/trump-situation-room-meeting-iran-israel-war">Axios</a>, U.S. officials said Trump is seriously considering direct military intervention, including a potential strike on Iran's underground uranium enrichment facility in Fordow. The situation began unfolding after Trump abruptly left the G7 summit in Canada late Monday and called for Iran's "unconditional surrender" on Tuesday.



Iran swiftly responded by ordering evacuations in Tel Aviv and Haifa, intensifying fears of regional war.



Major U.S. stock indexes fell in midday trading, as investors digested the threat of U.S. involvement in another Middle East conflict.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Stocks Fall, Solar Sector Gets Hammered By Senate Bill</h3>



The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.5% to 6,000 points, and the Nasdaq 100 slid by over 130 points, or 0.6%, to 21,800.



Volatility spiked during the session as the CBOE Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX or Wall Street&#8217;s fear index, surged 7.6%. 



Treasury yields plunged, with 30-year yields down 6 basis points to 4.90%. The dollar rallied reflecting appetite for safe havens. 



Oil price soared 1% to $72.5 a barrel. Sector-wise, energy was the lone area in the green, buoyed by expectations of rising crude prices if the Middle East conflict intensifies. 



In contrast, the consumer discretionary and healthcare sectors led the market's losses, with the latter penalized by fresh advertising restrictions.



Defense contractors rallied sharply as the specter of military conflict lifted expectations for increased government defense spending. RTX Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) advanced 1.2%, Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) climbed 2.9% and Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) gained 1.6% by midday.



Meanwhile, a draft version of the Senate's "Big Beautiful Bill" revealed plans to phase out all federal tax credits for solar and wind energy projects by 2028. These incentives were established under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act.



The announcement triggered a broad selloff across solar-related stocks. The Invesco Solar ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TAN#NYSE">TAN</a>) plunged 9% in midday trading. Among individual names, Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RUN#NASDAQ">RUN</a>) collapsed 40%, SolarEdge Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SEDG#NASDAQ">SEDG</a>) dropped 35%, and Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENPH#NASDAQ">ENPH</a>) fell 25%. Industry bellwether First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) lost 18%.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><tbody><tr><td>Major Indices </td><td>Price</td><td>Chg %</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones</td><td>42,325.26</td><td>-0.4%</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>6,000.66</td><td>-0.5%</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq 100</td><td>21,809.24</td><td>-0.6%</td></tr><tr><td>Russell 2000</td><td>2,108.55</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr></tbody></table><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated by 1:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>



Read Next:



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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/macro-economic-events/25/06/45978856/federal-reserve-rate-cuts-trump-tariffs-what-to-watch-wednesday">No Rate Cuts Yet, Fed Wants To See Where Tariffs Land: Here&#8217;s What To Watch Wednesday</a></li>
</ul>



Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Government

Large Cap

Regulations

Sector ETFs

Bonds

Forex

ENPH

FSLR

SEDG

Wall Street Drops As Trump Weighs Iran Action, Defense Stocks Jump: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

Wall Street&#8217;s bearish stance on the U.S. dollar has hit levels not seen in two decades, with fund managers overwhelmingly underweight the greenback as concerns mount over America&#8217;s fiscal trajectory and Donald <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">Trump's conflicting trade policies.</a>



According to Bank of America&#8217;s June Global Fund Managers Survey, a net 37% of respondents said they are underweight the dollar—the most extreme underallocation since January 2005.



Bank of America&#8217;s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett described the bearish sentiment as the "most extreme view" in this month's survey. Still, he warned that crowded trades often backfire. 



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/25/06/45971228/retail-sales-slump-more-than-expected-as-tariff-fears-hit-spending">Retail Sales Slump More Than Expected As Tariff Fears Hit Spending </a>



"Biggest summer pain trade is long the buck," Hartnett said.



The U.S. dollar index — as closely tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) — has fallen by 12% since Trump&#8217;s inauguration day on January 20, 2025.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Investors Are Less Pessimistic On Growth</h3>



Despite the weak dollar outlook, global economic optimism has risen among fund managers. Since Trump paused reciprocal tariffs for 90 days and signaled willingness for trade agreements with China, global recession fears have plunged.



Just two months ago, 42% of investors surveyed expected a recession in the next 12 months. That figure has now flipped, with 36% saying a recession is "unlikely." 



Expectations for economic deterioration have dropped sharply, with only 46% forecasting a weaker global economy—down from a record-high 82% in April, marking the largest two-month swing since the 2024 election.



Conviction in a global economic "soft landing" rose to 66%, the highest since October 2024. In contrast, only 13% anticipate a "hard landing," a sharp drop from 49% in April. 



Meanwhile, expectations for a scenario where growth remains resilient without any meaningful slowdown—dubbed "no landing"—are rising, up to 16% from just 3% two months ago.



Most investors believe the final tariff rate the U.S. will impose on imports will remain modest. Only 1% see it exceeding 30%, while 77% anticipate a rate under 15%. The weighted average expected tariff is 13%, easing fears of a trade war-style disruption.



About 59% of fund managers say the Trump&#8217;s Big Beautiful Bill won't boost GDP growth, while a third see it as supportive. 



The deficit, already near 7% of GDP, is projected to worsen, with 81% forecasting a larger shortfall due to Senate provisions. Just 14% believe the bill will be self-financing.



&#8220;3 most contrarian trades based on Fund Manager Survey sentiment are&nbsp;long US&nbsp;dollar, short gold; long US, short EU stocks; long consumer, short banks,&#8221; Hartnett stated. 



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Could Dollar Bearishness Signal A Turning Point?</h3>



Back in January 2005, when the dollar pessimism hit another extreme, the greenback had just come off a painful 33% drawdown from its July 2001 peak.



That fueled the start of a bullish dollar trend, which lasted one year.



The U.S. dollar index surged 11% between January and July 2005, extending its rally to a 14% gain by mid-November. It ultimately ended the year with a 13% advance.



The historical parallel with 2005 is hard to ignore. 



That year, bearish sentiment proved to be a powerful contrarian indicator, preceding a double-digit rebound in the greenback. 



With positioning once again heavily skewed against the dollar, traders may want to revisit that playbook. 



While structural issues like deficits and fiscal expansion loom large, near-term market pain could come from a sudden reversal higher in the U.S. currency.



Now Read



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45971364/golds-glory-days-numbered-citi-predicts-shock-25-crash-by-2026-heres-why">Gold&#8217;s Glory Days Numbered? Citi Predicts Shock 25% Crash By 2026 — Here&#8217;s Why </a></li>
</ul>



Image: Shutterstock

Currency ETFs

Everyone Now Hates The Dollar—Is That The Ultimate Buy Signal?

Editor&#8217;s Note: This article has been updated with additional content.



U.S. consumers showed signs of strain in May, as a key spending gauge contracted for the second time this year, fueling concerns of a demand slowdown amid <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">tariff-related trade uncertainty.</a>



Headline retail sales slumped 0.9% month-over-month in May 2025, a sharp drop from April's downwardly revised 0.1% decline, the U.S. Census Bureau reported Tuesday. The print came in worse than economists' already grim forecasts for a 0.7% decline.



On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 3.3%, decelerating from April's 5% annual growth.



Among the few bright spots in the report:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Miscellaneous store retailers: +2.9% month-over-month</li>



<li>Sporting goods, hobby, musical instruments, and bookstores: +1.3%</li>



<li>Furniture and home furnishings stores: +1.2%</li>
</ul>



The major drop occurred in motor vehicle and part dealers, down 3.5% on the month. Building material was another weak spending category, down 2.7%.



Excluding autos, retail sales dropped 0.3%, deeper than April's 0.1% decline.



Meanwhile, the control group—which strips out food services, autos, gas, and building materials—rose 0.4% in May. This component feeds directly into the GDP calculation via the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) metric. 



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><thead><tr><th></th><th>May 2025</th><th>April 2025</th><th>Expectations</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Retail Sales MoM</td><td>-0.9%</td><td>-0.1%</td><td>-0.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Retail Sales YoY</td><td>3.3%</td><td>5.0%</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>Retail Sales ex Autos</td><td>-0.3%</td><td>-0.1%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Retail Sales (control group)</td><td>0.4%</td><td>-0.2%</td><td>0.3%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>



U.S. equity futures edged lower early Tuesday, as escalating Middle East tensions dented investor risk appetite. 



President Donald Trump abruptly exited the G7 summit in Canada, dismissing reports of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran and urging Tehran residents to evacuate. 



By 8:55 a.m. ET, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.5%, while Nasdaq 100 contracts slipped 0.6%. In fixed income, Treasury yields eased, with the 30-year yield dipping to 4.92% after briefly touching 4.97% on Monday. 



The U.S. dollar held steady ahead of the Fed's two-day policy meeting. The central bank is widely expected to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50%, with markets pricing in a 75% chance of a first cut by September.



Read Next:



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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45967694/amex-just-teased-its-biggest-platinum-card-update-ever-heres-what-millennials-and-gen-z-can-expect">Amex Just Teased Its Biggest Platinum Card Update Ever—Here&#8217;s What Millennials And Gen Z Can Expect </a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock

Retail Sales Slump More Than Expected As Tariff Fears Hit Spending (UPDATED)

Citigroup&nbsp;has predicted a potential 25% slump in gold prices by the end of next year, signaling a possible halt to the metal&#8217;s unprecedented rally.



What Happened: Despite gold&#8217;s current record-breaking performance, Citi&#8217;s global commodity team anticipates a substantial decline in price by the second half of 2026. The team, led by Maximilian Layton, predicts that gold prices could fall to the range of $2,500 to $2,700 by the end of next year, <a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/citi-forecasts-golds-last-hurrah-as-it-says-prices-may-fall-as-much-as-25-next-year-9c1e73ce">reported</a> MarketWatch.



Gold is currently trading near all-time highs, both in dollar terms and when adjusted for inflation. The metal&#8217;s appeal as a hedge and safe-haven asset has led to a surge in demand, with central banks and investors alike showing strong interest.



However, Citi believes that this heightened demand has reached its peak and will soon start to wane.



The bank expects investment demand for gold to decline in late 2025 and into 2026, as the negative headlines that have shaped the 2025 trading environment begin to subside. Citi also foresees improved risk sentiment following the signing of trade agreements and the passage of the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act. This will also be around the time the U.S. mid-terms and President Donald Trump&#8216;s popularity come into focus.



Citi indicates that the Fed has significant scope to shift from a restrictive to a more neutral monetary policy, which could boost global growth sentiment and weaken the safe-haven appeal of gold. According to their estimates, a 100 basis point decrease in interest rates typically lowers forward gold prices by $200 per ounce.



SEE ALSO: <a href="https://benzinga.com/news/events/25/06/45967070/howard-lutnick-says-nearly-70000-register-for-5-million-trump-card-visa-as-us-eyes-1-trillion-windfal" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Howard Lutnick Says Nearly 70,000 Register For $5 Million ‘Trump Card' Visa As US Eyes $1 Trillion Windfall From Premium Immigration Plan</a>



Why It Matters: The recent surge in gold prices has prompted a rush of investors into&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/06/45939307/are-gold-etfs-really-a-hedge-during-a-geopolitical-crisis-heres-what-to-check-before-investing">gold ETFs</a>, with many seeking to capitalize on the metal&#8217;s impressive performance. However, questions have been raised about whether these ETFs are truly designed to provide a hedge during geopolitical crises.



Gold&#8217;s remarkable rally in 2025 has been driven by various factors, including&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/guidance/25/06/45928561/gold-biggest-boom-in-decades-and-investors-are-still-missing-out">safe-haven demand</a>&nbsp;following geopolitical events, such as Israel&#8217;s airstrikes on Iran&#8217;s nuclear facilities. This surge in demand has led to gold surpassing the euro to become the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45900930/gold-surpasses-euro-to-become-second-largest-reserve-asset-still-far-behind-dollar-ecb-says">second-largest </a>reserve asset&nbsp;globally, according to the European Central Bank (ECB).



Meanwhile, Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff highlighted renewed bullish momentum in the gold market on Friday via posts on X, noting that the outperformance of gold mining stocks compared to gold suggests a positive shift in investor sentiment, citing VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>) as an instance. 



Over the past month, VanEck Gold Miners ETF surged 13.12%. Meanwhile, shares of gold miners, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WPM#NYSE">WPM</a>) and Newmont Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>) soared 14.35% and 14.12%, respectively, as per <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>. 



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<li>READ MORE:&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45948096/exxon-mobil-chevron-occidental-petroleum-in-focus-as-expert-says-us-economy-is-far-less-sensi" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Occidental Petroleum In Focus As Expert Says &#8216;US Economy Is Far Less Sensitive To An Oil Shock&#8217; Amid Israel-Iran Conflict</a></li>
</ul>



Image via Shutterstock



Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Gold's Glory Days Numbered? Citi Predicts Shock 25% Crash By 2026 — Here's Why

Solar stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after the U.S. Senate Finance Committee unveiled its version of President Donald Trump's tax bill which slashed <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/25/05/45568107/solar-energy-stocks-drop-as-house-approves-major-rollback-of-climate-incentives">renewable energy incentives.</a>



The Details: The Senate's draft proposal calls for a complete phase-out of tax credits for both solar and wind energy by 2028, accelerating the rollback of incentives originally established under the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.&nbsp;



Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/retail-sales/25/06/45953480/alibaba-pdd-stocks-climb-chinas-retail-sector-gains-despite-us-tariffs?utm_source=articleShare"> Alibaba, PDD Stocks Climb As China&#8217;s Retail Sector Gains Despite US Tariffs</a>



Under the new plan, credits for solar and wind projects would be reduced to 60% of their original value by 2026, drop to 20% in 2027, and be eliminated entirely for projects placed in service after 2028, according to Reuters.&nbsp;



The bill also proposes eliminating residential solar tax credits and consumer incentives for energy efficiency upgrades within 180 days of enactment, further tightening the landscape for renewable energy investments.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Solar Stocks React&nbsp;</h2>



Solar energy stocks responded swiftly to the Senate's proposal. In premarket trading Tuesday, shares of Enphase Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENPH#NASDAQ">ENPH</a>) plunged nearly 20%, Sunrun, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RUN#NASDAQ">RUN</a>) fell more than 35%, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SEDG#NASDAQ">SEDG</a>) dropped 30% and First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) declined by about 17%.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Nuclear Stocks React</h2>



In contrast, the Senate's proposed bill extends tax incentives for nuclear energy until 2036, reflecting a shift in federal support toward these technologies. Shares of nuclear companies like Oklo, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKLO#NYSE">OKLO</a>), NuScale Power Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMR#NYSE">SMR</a>) and Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NNE#NASDAQ">NNE</a>) moved higher in Tuesday's premarket trading.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Political Outlook&nbsp;</h2>



Senate Republicans are pushing to pass the legislation before the July 4 holiday, but the timeline remains uncertain due to procedural hurdles and possible amendments. GOP leaders may need to negotiate further which could push the bill's final passage into late July.



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OKLO

Sunrun, First Solar Plunge—Solar Stocks Hit Hard By Trump Tax Bill: Latest

In a bid to attract&nbsp;more high-spending Millennials and Gen&nbsp;Z-ers,&nbsp;American Express&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>) is set to roll out significant updates&nbsp;to its U.S. Consumer and&nbsp;Business Platinum Cards later this year.



What Happened:&nbsp;The company&#8217;s CEO,&nbsp;Steve Squeri, is eyeing a younger demographic for the company&#8217;s premium card offerings. The updates, which are the &#8220;largest investment ever in a card refresh&#8221; by the company, are expected to be implemented in late summer or early fall. 



Howard Grosfield, Group President for&nbsp;U.S. Consumer Services, revealed that the investment will be concentrated in two areas. &#8220;We&#8217;ll&nbsp;double down on all the&nbsp;things our cardmembers love now.&nbsp;And we&#8217;ll&nbsp;be adding lots of exciting&nbsp;new brands,&#8221; Grosfield said.



&nbsp;We're going to take these Cards to a new level, not only in what they offer in travel, dining and lifestyle benefits, but also in how they look and feel, to meet the evolving needs of our customers,&#8221; Grosfield elaborated.



Despite the Platinum card&#8217;s $695 annual fee, which is the highest in its class compared to Chase Sapphire&#8217;s $550, Grosfield is confident that the perceived value among Millennials and Gen Z users surpasses the cost.



SEE ALSO: <a href="https://benzinga.com/crypto/25/06/45965340/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-lose-early-gains-after-trumps-immediately-evacuate-warning-amid-iran-israel-conflict-analyst-sees-great-signal-for-risk-on-app" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Lose Early Gains After Trump&#8217;s &#8216;Immediately Evacuate&#8217; Warning Amid Iran-Israel Conflict: Analyst Sees &#8216;Great&#8217; Signal For Risk-On Appetite If This Happens </a>



Why It Matters:&nbsp;Millennials and Gen Z now make up 75% of new Amex Platinum and Gold cardholders in 2024, up from 60% in 2019. Gen Z membership jumped 40% year-over-year in Q1 2025, with both groups showing stronger credit records than the industry average. 



Together, they drove 35% of U.S. consumer spending last quarter. Their growing adoption of the $695 premium card boosted Amex's net card fee revenue by 18% last year. Amex reports high loyalty among these younger users, with an overall retention rate of 98%.



The move by American Express to revamp its Platinum Cards comes amid a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/25/06/45891293/amex-still-king-of-premium-credit-cards-but-chase-capital-one-are-closing-in-fast-analyst">highly competitive</a> premium credit card market. The U.S. premium credit card market is lucrative and fiercely competitive, with companies like&nbsp;Chase&nbsp;and&nbsp;Capital One&nbsp;making significant strides.



By targeting the younger demographic, American Express is strategically positioning itself to maintain its position as the leader in the premium credit card market.



Benzinga's Edge Rankings place American Express in the 71st percentile for quality and the 85th percentile for growth, reflecting its strong performance in both areas. Check the detailed report <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound">here</a>.&nbsp;



Over the past year, the stock surged 28.89%.



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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Amex Just Teased Its Biggest Platinum Card Update Ever—Here's What Millennials And Gen Z Can Expect

U.S. stock futures were trading lower on Tuesday following Monday&#8217;s advance. Futures of major benchmark indices were lower in premarket.



President Donald Trump called on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/25/06/45964856/trump-asks-everyone-to-immediately-evacuate-tehran-odds-of-us-striking-iran-spike-on-crypto-betting-platform">Iranians to leave Tehran</a>, pointing to the government&#8217;s refusal to accept a deal aimed at limiting nuclear weapons development, amid ongoing attacks between Israel and Iran that marked the fifth consecutive day on Tuesday.



At the G7 summit in Canada, world leaders urged a reduction in tensions during the most severe clash ever between these regional adversaries, labeling Iran as a source of instability and insisting it must never acquire nuclear weapons, while also recognizing Israel&#8217;s right to self-defense.



Trump took to Truth Social on Monday to clarify his abrupt departure from the G7 Summit in Canada. He refuted Macron's claim that he was returning to Washington to negotiate a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. "He has no idea why I am now on my way to Washington, but it certainly has nothing to do with a Cease Fire. Much bigger than that," Trump wrote.



Trump had previously urged citizens of Tehran, Iran's capital, to evacuate immediately, indicating a potential U.S. involvement in the conflict.



Meanwhile, President Trump, while on Air Force One returning from the G-7 summit, told reporters he is seeking <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45968002/trump-says-israel-iran-ceasefire-not-on-the-table-left-g7-early-for-a-much-bigger-reason-spy-qqq">&#8220;a real end&#8221; to Iran&#8217;s nuclear issue</a>, with Tehran giving it up &#8220;entirely.&#8221;



The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.43% and the two-year bond was at 3.96%. The CME Group's FedWatch <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>&#8216;s projections show markets pricing a 99.9% likelihood of the Federal Reserve keeping the current interest rates unchanged in its June meeting. 



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><tbody><tr><td>Futures</td><td>Change (+/-)</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones</td><td>-0.59%</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>-0.54%</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq 100</td><td>-0.46%</td></tr><tr><td>Russell 2000</td><td>-0.94%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.54% at $599.42, while the QQQ declined 0.58% to $531.18, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.



Cues From Last Session:



Communication services, information technology, and consumer discretionary stocks recorded the biggest gains on Monday, leading most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 to close on a positive note, while utilities and health care stocks bucked the overall market trend, ending the session lower.



Sage Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAGE#NASDAQ">SAGE</a>) shares surged over 35% on Monday following Supernus Pharmaceuticals&#8217; agreement to acquire the company.



Conversely, shares of Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRPT#NASDAQ">SRPT</a>) dropped more than 42% after the company halted ELEVIDYS shipments and paused the ENVISION trial due to a second fatal liver failure in non-ambulatory Duchenne patients.



On the economic front, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to a reading of -16 in June, down from May's figure of -9.2 and below market expectations of -5.5.



The Dow Jones index ended 317 points or 0.75% higher at 42,515.09, whereas the S&amp;P 500 index rose 0.94% to 6,033.11. Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.52% to 19,701.21, and the small-cap gauge, Russell 2000, gained 1.12% to end at 2,124.13.



<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"><table class="has-fixed-layout"><tbody><tr><td>Index</td><td>Performance (+/-)</td><td>Value</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq Composite</td><td>1.52%</td><td>19,701.21</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>0.94%</td><td>6,033.11</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones</td><td>0.75%</td><td>42,515.09</td></tr><tr><td>Russell 2000</td><td>1.12%</td><td>2,124.13</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



Insights From Analysts:



Despite the dominating geopolitical headlines, a senior economist at WisdomTree, Jeremy Siegel, told investors that they need to focus on the more meaningful development: &#8220;the continued softening of inflation data.&#8221;



&#8220;Both CPI and PPI came in on the low side, confirming the disinflationary trend that's been evident. These price increases have not yet fully worked their way into the data and are likely to show up over the next couple of months. Even so, the underlying trend is down (excluding tariff impacts coming up). My view remains firm: ex-tariffs, inflation is cooling, and the Fed should begin easing policy,&#8221; he said.



He said that he remains &#8220;optimistic&#8221; about the stock market. &#8220;Markets have shown impressive resilience, inflation is heading in the right direction, and the Fed will ultimately come along. Stay focused on fundamentals and avoid getting whipsawed by noise,&#8221; he added.



Meanwhile, Jeff Buchbinder, the chief equity strategist at LPL Financial explained that there are several key questions to answer before we know how stocks will handle this geopolitical shock, including how much of Iran's energy infrastructure will be impaired and for how long, whether Iran's nuclear capabilities will be completely wiped out, and whether the current regime will remain in power.



For those surprised that the U.S. stock market held up well on Monday, Buchbinder argued that it was a combination of several factors:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>The likelihood of regime change in Iran and a resulting "peace dividend",</li>



<li>U.S. energy independence,</li>



<li>Israel's interest in limiting the suffering of Iranian civilians (which could mean limited disruption to oil production facilities), and</li>



<li>Both players have limited resources and an interest in keeping the conflict contained.</li>
</ul>



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How to Trade Futures</a>



Upcoming Economic Data



Here&#8217;s what investors will keep an eye on Tuesday:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>May&#8217;s U.S. retail sales and import price index will be out by 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>



<li>May&#8217;s industrial production and capacity utilization will be announced by 9:15 a.m. ET.</li>



<li>April Business inventories data and June&#8217;s home builder confidence index data will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.</li>
</ul>



Stocks In Focus:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Jabil Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBL#NYSE">JBL</a>) was up 0.65% in premarket on Tuesday as analysts expect it to report quarterly earnings of $2.31 per share on revenue of $7.06 billion, before the opening bell.</li>



<li>John Wiley &amp; Sons Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLY#NYSE">WLY</a>) advanced 2.03% ahead of its earnings, which are supposed to be released before the opening bell. Analysts expect earnings of $1.27 per share on revenue of $434.90 million.</li>



<li>La-Z-Boy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LZB#NYSE">LZB</a>) declined 0.077% as analysts expect it to report quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share on revenue of $557.44 million, after the closing bell.</li>



<li>Globus Maritime Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLBS#NASDAQ">GLBS</a>) dropped 3.91% after posting downbeat results for the first quarter on Monday. The company reported a quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, compared to market estimates of a loss of 3 cents per share.</li>



<li>Lennar Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>) was up 2.70% after reporting mixed results for the second quarter after Monday's closing bell.</li>



<li>Digital Turbine Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APPS#NASDAQ">APPS</a>) jumped 6.86% after it reported quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of four cents.</li>



<li>High Tide Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HITI#NASDAQ">HITI</a>) edged 2.67% higher after it reported second-quarter revenue of $96.94 million versus estimates of $96.73 million, up 11% year-over-year.</li>



<li>Redwire Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RDW#NYSE">RDW</a>) plunged 9.14% after it announced a $200 million registered public offering of common stock.</li>
</ul>



Commodities, Gold, And Global Equity Markets:



Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 1.48% to hover around $71.29 per barrel.



Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.18% to hover around $3,379.21 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $3,500.33 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was higher by 0.19% at the 98.1870 level.



Asian markets ended mixed on Tuesday as South Korea's Kospi and Japan's Nikkei 225 indices rose. While China&#8217;s CSI 300, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, Australia's ASX 200, and India's S&amp;P BSE Sensex indices declined. European markets were lower in early trade.



Read Next:



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45967469/us-equity-funds-are-raking-in-billions-these-are-the-ones-beating-trumps-tariff-shock-in-2025">US Equity Funds Are Raking In Billions—These Are The Ones Beating Trump&#8217;s Tariff Shock in 2025</a></li>
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Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

APPS

GLBS

HITI

SAGE

SRPT

US Stock Futures Tumble After Trump Threatens 'Real End' To Iran's Nuclear Problem: '…Avoid Getting Whipsawed By Noise,' Says Expert

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) confronts another National Labor Relations Board complaint over alleged union-busting activities at its DCK6 facility in San Francisco, marking the latest regulatory challenge for the $2 trillion e-commerce giant.



What Happened: The NLRB Region 20 complaint seeks to force Amazon to rehire terminated workers and ensure union supporters receive deserved raises, bonuses, and promotions. This follows a previous April complaint demanding Amazon bargain with the Teamsters at the same facility.



&#8220;Amazon Teamsters are securing victories on the ground and in the courts,&#8221; said Randy Korgan, Director of the Teamsters Amazon Division. &#8220;Workers will not back down, and we will continue to take on this behemoth of a company.&#8221;



The complaints stem from a December holiday strike where over 100 San Francisco workers joined a nationwide unfair labor practice strike. Ken Chu, an Amazon Teamster at DCK6, stated: &#8220;Amazon tried every trick in the book to stop us from organizing a union and we succeeded anyway.&#8221;



Amazon did not immediately respond to <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga</a>'s request for comment.



See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/25/06/45967070/howard-lutnick-says-nearly-70000-register-for-5-million-trump-card-visa-as-us-eyes-1-trillion-windfall-from-premium-immigration-plan">Howard Lutnick Says Nearly 70,000 Register For $5 Million &#8216;Trump Card&#8217; Visa As US Eyes $1 Trillion Windfall From Premium Immigration Plan</a>



Why It Matters: This regulatory pressure intensifies amid broader labor disputes. Approximately 15,800 Amazon Flex drivers filed arbitration claims in June 2024, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39293353/amazon-faces-arbitration-from-flex-drivers-demanding-employee-rights-report">alleging misclassification as contractors rather than employees</a>. In October 2024, the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41171072/amazon-accused-of-union-busting-after-drivers-unionize-nlrb-files-complaint?utm_source=chatgpt.com">NLRB charged Amazon</a> for refusing to bargain with unionized drivers in California.



The company spent over $3 million in 2023 to prevent unionization among delivery network employees. California fined Amazon $5.9 million for violating worker quota laws, while France imposed a $35 million <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41171072/amazon-accused-of-union-busting-after-drivers-unionize-nlrb-files-complaint?utm_source=chatgpt.com">penalty for labor violations in 2024</a>.



 The Teamsters represent 1.3 million workers across North America, signaling potential for expanded union activity across Amazon&#8217;s logistics network.



According to Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings, AMZN demonstrates strong growth and positive momentum, backed by a reasonable valuation. The stock has sustained a favorable price trend over both short- and long-term periods. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound">Click here for the full stock analysis</a>.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="890" height="640" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17055143/image-261.png" alt="" class="wp-image-951946" style="width:638px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17055143/image-261.png 890w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17055143/image-261-300x216.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17055143/image-261-768x552.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 890px) 100vw, 890px" /></a></figure>



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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.



Photo courtesy: Markus Mainka / Shutterstock.com

Amazon Faces New NLRB Complaint Over Union-Busting At San Francisco Warehouse—'Workers Will Not Back Down,' Vows Teamsters Leader Randy Korgan

The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed some improvement in the overall market sentiment, while the index remained in the &#8220;Greed&#8221; zone on Monday.



U.S. stocks settled higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones index gaining more than 300 points during the session after Iran signaled it wants to de-escalate tensions with Israel and return to negotiations, easing geopolitical jitters that had rattled investors and sent oil prices surging last week.



Sage Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAGE#NASDAQ">SAGE</a>) shares surged over 35% on Monday after Supernus Pharmaceuticals agreed to acquire the company. Shares of Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRPT#NASDAQ">SRPT</a>) dipped more than 42% after the company suspended ELEVIDYS shipments and paused the ENVISION trial following a second fatal liver failure in non-ambulatory Duchenne patients.



On the economic front, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index dipped to a reading of -16 in June compared to May&#8217;s reading of -9.2, and also down from market estimates of -5.5.



Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a positive note, with communication services, information technology and consumer discretionary stocks recording the biggest gains on Monday. However, utilities and health care stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.



The Dow Jones closed higher by around 317 points to 42,515.09 on Monday. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.94% to 6,033.11, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.52% to 19,701.21 during Monday's session.



Investors are awaiting earnings results from Jabil Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBL#NYSE">JBL</a>), John Wiley &amp; Sons Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLY#NYSE">WLY</a>) and La-Z-Boy Incorporated (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LZB#NYSE">LZB</a>) today.



What is CNN Business Fear &amp; Greed Index?



At a current reading of 62, the index remained in the &#8220;Greed&#8221; zone on Monday, versus a prior reading of 60.3.



The Fear &amp; Greed Index is a measure of the current market sentiment. It is based on the premise that higher fear exerts pressure on stock prices, while higher greed has the opposite effect. The index is calculated based on seven equal-weighted indicators. The index ranges from 0 to 100, where 0 represents maximum fear and 100 signals maximum greediness.



Read Next: 



<ul class="wp-block-list">
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</ul>



Photo via Shutterstock

Pre-Market Outlook

Dow Surges Over 300 Points As Iran Signals De-Escalation: Investor Sentiment Improves, Fear Index Remains In 'Greed' Zone

Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya believes Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) is one of the safest car choices for parents with teenage drivers.



What Happened: "My 16yo is in the process of getting his drivers license. CA requires someone under 18yo to get 50 hours of driving experience before they can take their drivers exam," the investor said, quoting a post on social media platform X on Monday that showcased Tesla's crashes per million miles data.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Number of accidents per million miles: • Tesla: 0.15 • Waymo: 1.16 • US Average 3.90 via Bloomberg Intelligence <a href="https://t.co/fMcwjVRgxh">pic.twitter.com/fMcwjVRgxh</a>&mdash; Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt) <a href="https://twitter.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1934667924691689616?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 16, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



According to the chart, Tesla vehicles recorded just 0.15 crashes per million miles, compared to 1.16 for Alphabet Inc.&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) Waymo and 3.90 for the U.S. average.



Palihapitiya noted that while he doesn't allow his son to drive with any driver-assist features yet, he plans to make him try Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) once he's licensed. "As soon as he gets his license he MUST drive our Model Y with FSD on," Palihapitiya said.



Palihapitiya made a case for the FSD technology, citing the data. "Obviously safety isn't guaranteed," the investor said. He then said that it was "foolish" to review this data and wonder why parents should opt for anything other than a Tesla for their teenager to drive.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">My 16yo is in the process of getting his drivers license. CA requires someone under 18yo to get 50 hours of driving experience before they can take their drivers exam. My rule is only that my son learn to drive with no aids so he has that skill BUT as soon as he gets his… <a href="https://t.co/4bStCx5X1r">https://t.co/4bStCx5X1r</a>&mdash; Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) <a href="https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1934764869687066732?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 17, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



Why It Matters: The investor's comments come in as Elon Musk's EV giant will roll out its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/06/45854273/elon-musks-tesla-officially-named-av-operator-in-austin-ahead-of-robotaxi-launch">robotaxi service in Austin</a> on June 22. The company's FSD technology is a crucial aspect of its robotaxi ambitions.



Speaking of which, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, or NHTSA, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/06/45942936/elon-musks-cybercab-ambitions-just-got-a-boost-as-nhtsa-eases-regulations-for-autonomous-vehicles">recently announced exemptions</a> from the safety regulations for autonomous vehicles, which can pave the way for Tesla to develop its Cybercab at a much quicker pace.



Still, the technology isn't flawless. A recent incident involving a Model 3 reportedly using FSD saw the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/06/45945298/tesla-model-3-on-fsd-mode-struck-by-train-after-getting-trapped-on-railroad-tracks-report">car stuck on train tracks and hit by a train</a>. The driver escaped unharmed, but the event highlights ongoing risks.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="208" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17010223/TSLA-JUN-17-2025-1024x208.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-951601" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17010223/TSLA-JUN-17-2025-1024x208.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17010223/TSLA-JUN-17-2025-300x61.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17010223/TSLA-JUN-17-2025-768x156.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17010223/TSLA-JUN-17-2025-1536x312.jpg 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/17010223/TSLA-JUN-17-2025.jpg 1549w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></figure>



Tesla scores well on Momentum, Quality and Growth metrics, but offers poor Value. For more such insights, sign up for<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound"> Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings</a> today!



Check out more of Benzinga&#8217;s Future Of Mobility coverage by<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/mobility"> following this link.</a>



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Photo courtesy: Ken Wolter / Shutterstock.com

GOOG

GOOGL

TSLA

Tesla Crashes Significantly Lower Than National Average: Chamath Palihapitiya Weighs In On Why It's The Ideal Choice For Teenage Drivers

Tesla (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) CEO Elon Musk, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) founder Jeff Bezos added billions to their net worth as Wall Street bounced back on Monday, erasing Friday&#8217;s losses.



What Happened: Musk became richer by $2.7 billion on a single day, while Zuckerberg and Bezos added $6.55 billion and $3.36 billion, respectively, to their net worth after the NASDAQ 100 rallied1.52% and closed at 19,701.21 on Monday, nearing an all-time high, following <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/06/45952716/stock-market-today-sp500-rises-iran-israel-nasdaq-near-record-highs">Iran&#8217;s signals of a desire to reduce tensions </a>with Israel and return to negotiations.



This development has alleviated geopolitical concerns that had previously unsettled investors and caused a surge in oil prices last week. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 0.94% and 0.75% higher, respectively.



The shares of Meta, Amazon and Tesla surged 2.90%, 1.89% and 1.17%, respectively, amid improved investor sentiment. Additionally, Meta stock <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/06/45954886/meta-stock-is-moving-higher-monday-whats-going-on">climbed </a>following the announcement that WhatsApp will display ads and offer paid subscriptions for the first time.



Microsoft co-founder Steve Ballmer and legendary investor Warren Buffett saw their net worth soar by $1.28 billion and $945 million, respectively. Meanwhile, Google (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin added $2.85, collectively, to their net worth.



See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.com/news/topics/25/06/45941425/a-dave-ramsey-caller-says-he-inherited-a-fortune-from-a-family-friend-who-turned-out-to-be-his-father" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">A Dave Ramsey Caller Says He Inherited A Fortune From A &#8216;Family Friend&#8217; Who Turned Out To Be His Father. &#8216;It&#8217;s Been A Wild Week For Me&#8217;</a>



Why It Matters: Amid rising economic and military pressure, Iran has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/45964516/iran-considers-bill-to-exit-nuclear-treaty-that-prevents-spread-of-atomic-weapons-israels-actions-affect-strategic-decisions">privately signaled to Arab mediators</a> its willingness to resume nuclear talks on the condition that the U.S. stays out of the conflict, as per the Wall Street Journal. This development, despite Israel&#8217;s firm stance, has eased fears of wider Middle East escalation and triggered a global risk-on rally in equities.



Coming to the billionaires, in 2025, despite a substantial $64 billion decrease in his net worth, Musk continues to hold more wealth than several leading automakers combined. Musk&#8217;s wealth, which primarily comes from his stakes in Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), SpaceX, and other ventures, stands at a staggering $369 billion. Remarkably, Musk&#8217;s wealth exceeds the combined value of several of the largest automotive companies by a surplus of $11.8 billion.



In a surprising turn of events last week, Oracle (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NASDAQ">ORCL</a>) co-founder and Chairman, Larry Ellison, had surpassed Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/06/45919978/larry-ellison-overtakes-jeff-bezos-mark-zuckerberg-to-become-worlds-second-richest-amid-oracles-watershed-moment">secure the position of the second-richest person</a> globally. Ellison&#8217;s wealth surge followed Oracle&#8217;s robust earnings report, which saw the company&#8217;s stock hit a record of over $200 per share.



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Image via Shutterstock



Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

ORCL

Elon Musk's Net Worth Soars Nearly $3 Billion, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg And Other Top 10 Billionaires Add Over $16 Billion As S&P 500, Nasdaq Jump, Erasing Friday's Losses

U.S. Treasury yields climbed sharply Monday after a 20-year bond auction showed signs of weakening foreign demand. This bolstered concerns over America's fiscal outlook and tested the market's tolerance for a 5% <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds">long-term yield threshold.</a>



The spike in yields took place after 12:00 p.m. ET, with the 30-year Treasury yield rising 4 basis points to 4.96%, approaching the psychologically important 5% mark. The benchmark 10-year yield also rose 4 basis points to 4.45%.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="527" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16152055/image-247-1024x527.png" alt="" class="wp-image-951297" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16152055/image-247-1024x527.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16152055/image-247-300x154.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16152055/image-247-768x395.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16152055/image-247-1536x790.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16152055/image-247-2048x1053.png 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">20-Year Auction Triggers Yield Surge</h2>



Exante Data noted that Monday's 20-year bond auction showed a mixed picture of demand. 



The U.S. Treasury sold $14.3 billion in bonds at a high yield of 4.94%, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.68—landing in the top quartile of the last 50 auctions, suggesting solid headline interest. 



Primary dealers, who are required to take unsold debt, purchased 13.4%—in line with historical averages. 



Direct bidders, including mutual funds and hedge funds, made up 19.9% of demand, also in the top quartile. 



But indirect bidders, a group largely made up of foreign institutions, took just 66.7%—a level only slightly above the bottom quartile, pointing to weaker-than-usual foreign appetite.



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">20-Year Bond Auction Summary Today (Jun 16, 2025), the US Treasury auctioned a 20-Year bond for $14.3bn at a High Yield of 4.94%, recording a Bid to Cover of 2.68. In the chart below we summarize other auction metrics. <a href="https://t.co/fTi7kAL5UG">pic.twitter.com/fTi7kAL5UG</a>&mdash; Exante Data (@ExanteData) <a href="https://twitter.com/ExanteData/status/1934658822980706357?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 16, 2025</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



The yield move rattled bond proxies. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) declined 1% on the day, as longer-duration bonds remain highly sensitive to rate moves.



This yield spike follows a broader trend of tightening financial conditions, raising questions about whether higher yields could derail the ongoing stock market rally.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Does The 5% Yield Threaten Stocks?</h3>



In a report this month, Goldman Sachs analysts indicated that fears around the 5% threshold for long-term Treasury <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/treasuries/25/06/45798569/think-5-yields-will-crush-stock-market-goldman-sachs-says-think-again">yields are largely overblown. </a>



While investors often compare Treasury yields to the S&amp;P 500's earnings yield—now also hovering around 5%—Goldman says this &#8220;parity logic&#8221; misrepresents the historical relationship.



"Because equities are tied to nominal earnings, we believe the inflation-adjusted real Treasury yield is a more appropriate comparator," Goldman said.



Historical data supports this view: when 10-year yields ranged from 5% to 6%, U.S. equities still delivered a median annual total return of 16%. Even during periods when yields exceeded 8%, stock returns averaged 19%.



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Photo: Shutterstock

Treasuries

Treasury Yields Near 5% After Soft Foreign Demand: A Red Flag For Stocks?

Markets cheered Monday after Iran signaled it wants to de-escalate tensions with Israel and return to negotiations, easing geopolitical jitters that had rattled investors and sent oil prices <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/25/06/45940903/a-thin-strip-of-water-keeps-the-world-economy-on-edge-will-it-trigger-a-100-oil-shock">surging last week.</a>



A report from the <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/a-battered-iran-signals-it-wants-to-de-escalate-hostilities-with-israel-and-negotiate-9feab4ae">Wall Street Journal</a> revealed that Iran, facing mounting economic and military pressure, has quietly told Arab intermediaries it's open to resuming talks over its nuclear program—on the condition that the United States refrains from entering the conflict.



Reports also emerged that Iran requested Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Oman to urge President Donald Trump to pressure Israel into agreeing to an immediate ceasefire.



The overture follows days of intense Israeli airstrikes and threats from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who remains committed to dismantling Iran&#8217;s nuclear capabilities and missile infrastructure.



Despite Netanyahu's firm stance, Tehran&#8217;s signals appear to have reignited risk sentiment, easing fears escalation of Middle East conflict and leading to a risk-on rally across global equities.



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Stocks Rally, VIX Falls</h3>



The S&amp;P 500 jumped 1.12% to 6,043 by 10:20 a.m. ET, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.14%, or 480 points, to 42,678. 



The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 – as tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) – rose 1.49% to 21,954, bringing it within just one percentage point of its all-time high.



The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, tumbled 10.3% to 18.8. 



Gold prices dipped 1.2% to just under $3,400 an ounce, with investors rotating out of safe-haven assets and into equities.



Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) soared 2.7% to above $107,000, signaling improving sentiment towards crypto. 



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Nasdaq 100 Sprints Toward Record High—Only 1% To Go</h3>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="528" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16103612/image-246-1024x528.png" alt="" class="wp-image-950933" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16103612/image-246-1024x528.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16103612/image-246-300x155.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16103612/image-246-768x396.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16103612/image-246-1536x792.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/16103612/image-246-2048x1056.png 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tech And Consumer Stocks Lead Gains, Energy And Defense Companies Fall</h3>



Sector-wise, tech-heavy and consumer-related sectors outperformed. 



The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) gained 1.5% to hit a record $243 per share, while the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) and Communications Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) rose 1.4% and 1.5%, respectively.



In contrast, energy and defense stocks lagged amid declining geopolitical risk. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) tumbled 0.9%, the only S&amp;P 500 sector in the red. 



U.S. crude oil futures slid 3.4% to $70.40 per barrel, nearly erasing last Friday's 7.3% gain.



Oil explorers APA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APA#NASDAQ">APA</a>), Diamondback Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FANG#NASDAQ">FANG</a>), and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>) each lost over 2%, tracking crude oil&#8217;s sharp decline.



Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), a major defense contractor, fell 2.08% to $476.35.



Read now:



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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/25/06/45948662/iran-israel-tensions-fuel-oil-rally-investors-are-piling-into-energy-etfs">Iran-Israel Tensions Fuel Oil Rally, Investors Are Piling Into Energy ETFs</a></li>
</ul>



Photo: Shutterstock

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FANG

Wall Street Roars Back As Iran Signals De-Escalation: Nasdaq 100 Nears All-Time High

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