Texas Capital Bancshares 주식 (NASDAQ: TCBI)

에 대한 최신 뉴스 Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:TCBI) 주식

Texas Capital Bancshares

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc is a registered bank holding company and a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs and individual customers. It is a secured lender with the majority of the loans held for investment excluding mortgage finance loans and other national lines of business. The bank operates in Texas main metropolitan areas like Austin Dallas Fort Worth Houston and San Antonio.

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TCBI

미국 은행들이 3분기 실적을 발표할 준비를 하면서, 투자자들은 경제의 연착륙 가능성, 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하, 그리고 이들이 은행 가치 평가에 미치는 영향에 주목하고 있다.

미국 은행 실적 미리보기: 연착륙 희망, 금리 인하, 주가의 주요 촉매제

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. - Common Stock

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. - Depositary Shares 5.75% Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Series B

DA Davidson analyst Peter Winter maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $81 to $76.

News

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

DA Davidson Maintains Neutral on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $76

JP Morgan analyst Anthony Elian maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Underweight and lowers the price target from $78 to $70.

JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $70

Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods analyst Wood Lay maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $92 to $86.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $86

Stephens &amp; Co. analyst Matt Olney maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $95 to $90.

Stephens & Co. Maintains Overweight on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $90

Raymond James analyst Michael Rose maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $87 to $80.

Raymond James Maintains Outperform on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $80

In the latest quarter, 6 analysts provided ratings for Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>), showcasing a mix of bullish and bearish perspectives.
The following table provides a quick overview of their recent ratings, highlighting the changing sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Insights from analysts' 12-month price targets are revealed, presenting an average target of $83.83, a high estimate of $97.00, and a low estimate of $70.00. This current average has decreased by 5.09% from the previous average price target of $88.33. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745236871_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Breaking Down Analyst Ratings: A Detailed Examination</h2>
A comprehensive examination of how financial experts perceive Texas Capital Bancshares is derived from recent analyst actions. The following is a detailed summary of key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
&#x7C; Analyst &#x7C; Analyst Firm &#x7C; Action Taken &#x7C; Rating &#x7C;Current Price Target&#x7C; Prior Price Target &#x7C; 
&#x7C;--------------------&#x7C;-----------------------&#x7C;---------------&#x7C;---------------&#x7C;--------------------&#x7C;--------------------&#x7C; 
&#x7C;Stephen Scouten &#x7C;Piper Sandler &#x7C;Lowers &#x7C;Neutral &#x7C; $74.00&#x7C;$84.00 &#x7C; 
&#x7C;Jared Shaw &#x7C;Barclays &#x7C;Lowers &#x7C;Underweight &#x7C; $70.00&#x7C;$73.00 &#x7C; 
&#x7C;Wood Lay &#x7C;Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods&#x7C;Lowers &#x7C;Outperform &#x7C; $95.00&#x7C;$100.00 &#x7C; 
&#x7C;Matt Olney &#x7C;Stephens &amp; Co. &#x7C;Lowers &#x7C;Overweight &#x7C; $97.00&#x7C;$102.00 &#x7C; 
&#x7C;Anthony Elian &#x7C;JP Morgan &#x7C;Lowers &#x7C;Underweight &#x7C; $80.00&#x7C;$81.00 &#x7C; 
&#x7C;Gary Tenner &#x7C;DA Davidson &#x7C;Lowers &#x7C;Neutral &#x7C; $87.00&#x7C;$90.00 &#x7C;
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Analysts adapt their recommendations to changing market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their response to recent developments related to Texas Capital Bancshares. This information provides a snapshot of how analysts perceive the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Analysts assign qualitative assessments to stocks, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings convey the analysts' expectations for the relative performance of Texas Capital Bancshares compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Understanding forecasts, analysts offer estimates for Texas Capital Bancshares's future value. Examining the current and prior targets provides insight into analysts' changing expectations.</li>
</ul>
Considering these analyst evaluations in conjunction with other financial indicators can offer a comprehensive understanding of Texas Capital Bancshares's market position. Stay informed and make well-informed decisions with our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/TCBI/analyst-ratings?adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=analyst-ratings&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Stay up to date on Texas Capital Bancshares analyst ratings.</a>
<h2>Discovering Texas Capital Bancshares: A Closer Look</h2>
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc is a registered bank holding company and a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs and individual customers. It is a secured lender with the majority of the loans held for investment excluding mortgage finance loans and other national lines of business. The bank operates in Texas main metropolitan areas like Austin Dallas Fort Worth Houston and San Antonio.
<h3>Texas Capital Bancshares: Delving into Financials</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: The company's market capitalization is below the industry average, suggesting that it is relatively smaller compared to peers. This could be due to various factors, including perceived growth potential or operational scale.
Revenue Growth: Texas Capital Bancshares's revenue growth over a period of 3M has been noteworthy. As of 31 March, 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth rate of approximately 9.42%. This indicates a substantial increase in the company's top-line earnings. In comparison to its industry peers, the company stands out with a growth rate higher than the average among peers in the Financials sector.
Net Margin: Texas Capital Bancshares's net margin falls below industry averages, indicating challenges in achieving strong profitability. With a net margin of 15.24%, the company may face hurdles in effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): Texas Capital Bancshares's ROE lags behind industry averages, suggesting challenges in maximizing returns on equity capital. With an ROE of 1.38%, the company may face hurdles in achieving optimal financial performance.
Return on Assets (ROA): Texas Capital Bancshares's ROA is below industry standards, pointing towards difficulties in efficiently utilizing assets. With an ROA of 0.14%, the company may encounter challenges in delivering satisfactory returns from its assets.
Debt Management: Texas Capital Bancshares's debt-to-equity ratio is notably higher than the industry average. With a ratio of 0.45, the company relies more heavily on borrowed funds, indicating a higher level of financial risk.
<h2>Analyst Ratings: What Are They?</h2>
Experts in banking and financial systems, analysts specialize in reporting for specific stocks or defined sectors. Their comprehensive research involves attending company conference calls and meetings, analyzing financial statements, and engaging with insiders to generate what are known as analyst ratings for stocks. Typically, analysts assess and rate each stock once per quarter.
Analysts may supplement their ratings with predictions for metrics like growth estimates, earnings, and revenue, offering investors a more comprehensive outlook. However, investors should be mindful that analysts, like any human, can have subjective perspectives influencing their forecasts.
Which Stocks Are Analysts Recommending Now?
Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets. Sort by accuracy, upside potential, and more. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=be8be9arja3be22bz21&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=analyst-ratings&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here to stay ahead of the market</a>.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

What 6 Analyst Ratings Have To Say About Texas Capital Bancshares

Piper Sandler analyst Brad Milsaps maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $84 to $74.

Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $74

Axxess And Texas Capital Unveil Integration To Speed Up Payer Remittance For Care At Home Providers

Axxess, the leading global technology platform for healthcare at home, and Texas Capital, a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs and individual customers, announced a product integration that will enable faster payment reconciliation for home health and hospice providers. The integration between Texas Capital's RevNow product and Axxess RCM optimizes the back-office payer reconciliation workflow using sophisticated automation that matches payments and remittances, eliminating the need for manually tracking payments.

Axxess and Texas Capital Launch Automation to Simplify Payment Tracking for Healthcare Providers

Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.92 per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.98 by 6.12 percent. This is a 48.39 percent increase over earnings of $0.62 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $280.48 million which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $284.80 million by 1.52 percent. This is a 9.42 percent increase over sales of $256.33 million the same period last year.

Earnings Misses

Texas Capital Bancshares Q1 2025 Adj EPS $0.92 Misses $0.98 Estimate, Sales $280.48M Miss $284.80M Estimate

<h3>Companies Reporting Before The Bell</h3>
• Evotec (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EVO#NASDAQ">EVO</a>) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.01 per share on revenue of $250.69 million. 
• Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.82 per share on revenue of $23.92 billion. 
• Badger Meter (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BMI#NYSE">BMI</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.05 per share on revenue of $220.76 million. 
• Charles Schwab (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.01 per share on revenue of $5.54 billion. 
• Ally Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.42 per share on revenue of $1.97 billion. 
• ManpowerGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAN#NYSE">MAN</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.50 per share on revenue of $3.96 billion. 
• State Street (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $2.01 per share on revenue of $3.32 billion. 
• American Express (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $3.47 per share on revenue of $16.93 billion. 
• Marsh &amp; McLennan Cos (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MMC#NYSE">MMC</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $3.00 per share on revenue of $7.08 billion. 
• D.R. Horton (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $2.65 per share on revenue of $8.03 billion. 
• Snap-on (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNA#NYSE">SNA</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $4.82 per share on revenue of $1.21 billion. 
• Forestar Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FOR#NYSE">FOR</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.73 per share on revenue of $363.15 million. 
• Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.70 per share on revenue of $2.16 billion. 
• Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.95 per share on revenue of $283.30 million. 
• Regions Finl (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.51 per share on revenue of $1.83 billion. 
• Blackstone (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BX#NYSE">BX</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $1.06 per share on revenue of $2.68 billion. 
• Truist Finl (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.87 per share on revenue of $4.94 billion. 
• UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $7.29 per share on revenue of $111.60 billion. 
• Insteel Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IIIN#NYSE">IIIN</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.29 per share on revenue of $149.85 million. 
• Hooker Furnishings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOFT#NASDAQ">HOFT</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.16 per share on revenue of $101.16 million. 
• Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.31 per share on revenue of $1.89 billion. 
• Infosys (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INFY#NYSE">INFY</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.19 per share on revenue of $4.90 billion. 
• KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.32 per share on revenue of $1.75 billion. 
<h3>Companies Reporting After The Bell</h3>
• Netflix (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NFLX#NASDAQ">NFLX</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $5.72 per share on revenue of $10.51 billion. 
• Independent Bank (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDB#NASDAQ">INDB</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.16 per share on revenue of $175.04 million. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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Earnings Scheduled For April 17, 2025

Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) will release its quarterly earnings report on Thursday, 2025-04-17. Here's a brief overview for investors ahead of the announcement.
Analysts anticipate Texas Capital Bancshares to report an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.99.
Anticipation surrounds Texas Capital Bancshares's announcement, with investors hoping to hear about both surpassing estimates and receiving positive guidance for the next quarter.
New investors should understand that while earnings performance is important, market reactions are often driven by guidance.
<h3>Performance in Previous Earnings</h3>
In the previous earnings release, the company beat EPS by $0.35, leading to a 0.65% increase in the share price the following trading session.
Here's a look at Texas Capital Bancshares's past performance and the resulting price change:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q4 2024</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>1.08</td>
<td>0.94</td>
<td>0.86</td>
<td>0.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>1.43</td>
<td>1.60</td>
<td>0.80</td>
<td>0.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Price Change %</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>-2.0%</td>
<td>-0.0%</td>
<td>5.0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1744819241_0.png" alt="eps graph" />
<h3>Performance of Texas Capital Bancshares Shares</h3>
Shares of Texas Capital Bancshares were trading at $64.21 as of April 15. Over the last 52-week period, shares are up 15.61%. Given that these returns are generally positive, long-term shareholders are likely bullish going into this earnings release. 
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/TCBI/earnings">To track all earnings releases for Texas Capital Bancshares visit their earnings calendar on our site.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Uncovering Potential: Texas Capital Bancshares's Earnings Preview

DALLAS, April 15, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>), the parent company of Texas Capital, today announced that President &amp; Chief Executive Officer Rob C. Holmes was confirmed as Chairman of the Board of Directors at the conclusion of TCBI's 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Holmes, who has served as President &amp; Chief Executive Officer and a Director of the Board since 2021, was <a href="https://www.globenewswire.com/Tracker?data=Vj1jEHEjeK-hNd5qjOHmDDzsynbSQj0PSgZxpeothZdTu6iJXyzuspcnq9roZWGbWYCcUeBV1gEssKdgU02nMozn3TbjXxxPtlLnhvZLdlowm2QtJYEuLBQcbp11mAqDPdkKBIm1U2VL-GVA9IHV8wPv7HjylkneLdZ6emLGxQAN5yDdN-FQgllOGNY32F-UCJN5xRmyPsm75pgWQmGmfQmf8WuB5G2OPOU7Mm7EnnOR37qjHTafbyF6WwB2kwgNN7IEeJ0SoBW3nsId78yOLg==">unanimously elected</a> to this position by the Board of Directors in January 2025.
Bob Stallings, who served as Chairman since 2023, has officially transitioned into the role of Lead Independent Director.

Management

Texas Capital Bancshares Appoints President & CEO Rob Holmes As Chairman of The Board Of Directors

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Shares of banking companies are trading lower as stocks pull back after surging Wednesday following President Trump's tariff pause announcement.

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Shares of banking companies are trading higher following President Trump's decision to implement a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China.

Barclays analyst Jared Shaw maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Underweight and lowers the price target from $73 to $70.

Barclays Maintains Underweight on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $70

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Shares of banking companies are trading lower in response to President Trump's sweeping Liberation tariffs and retaliatory responses. The industry is now facing greater macroeconomic uncertainty and recession fears.

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Shares of banking companies are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.

Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods analyst Wood Lay reiterates Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $100 to $95.

Reiteration

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Reiterates Outperform on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $95

Stephens &amp; Co. analyst Matt Olney maintains Texas Capital Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $102 to $97.

Stephens & Co. Maintains Overweight on Texas Capital Bancshares, Lowers Price Target to $97

Press Releases

Texas Capital Recognized with Notable Industry Awards

Blue Tide Secures Upsized Revolving Credit Facility

Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas and Texas Capital Bank Award $100K Grant to Help Families Preserve Homeownership

Elk Range Royalties Closes Landmark DJ Basin Acquisition and Launches Elk Range Royalties III

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces Date for Q1 2025 Operating Results

Texas Capital President & Chief Executive Officer Rob C. Holmes Now Serves as Chairman of the Board

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces First Quarter 2025 Results

Fintech

Axxess and Texas Capital Enter Strategic Partnership to Enable Faster Payer Remittance for Care at Home Providers

Dividends

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend for Preferred Stock

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Appoints Ranjana B. Clark to Board of Directors

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WSFS Financial Corporation - Common Stock

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Raymond James

미국 은행들이 3분기 실적을 발표할 준비를 하면서, 투자자들은 경제의 연착륙 가능성, 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하, 그리고 이들이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/banks" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">은행 가치 평가에 미치는 영향</a>에 주목하고 있다.
뱅크 오브 아메리카(Bank of America)의 애널리스트들은 은행 주식 전망에 대해 조심스러운 낙관을 유지하고 있다. 그들은 연착륙 시나리오가 고객 활동의 반등을 촉발하고, 대출 성장을 개선하며 그리고 섹터의 주가수익비율(P/E) 배수를 긍정적으로 유도할 수 있다고 예측한다. 하지만 연준의 정책 변화와 다가오는 미국 선거와 같은 거시적 불확실성이 이 같은 기대를 완화하고 있다.
뱅크 오브 아메리카의 주식 애널리스트인 에브라힘 푸나왈라(Ebrahim H. Poonawala)는 월요일 노트에서 금리 인하가 은행 주당순이익(EPS) 전망과 주식 P/E 배율에 대해 &#8220;구조적으로 긍정적&#8221;일 수 있다고 강조했다. 금리가 낮아지면 고객 활동이 재활성화될 것으로 예상되며, 특히 투자은행, 주택담보대출 및 대출 성장에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 것이다.
그러나 낮은 금리는 &#8220;자산에 민감한 은행&#8221;에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되며, 대출 수익률이 하락할 것이다.
추가 읽기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41212796/tesla-robotaxi-day-preview-move-over-autonomous-vehicles-analyst-says-this-positive">테슬라 로보택시 데이 미리보기: 자율주행차를 제치고, 애널리스트가 말하는 이 &#8216;긍정적 촉매&#8217;가 더 중요할 수 있다</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">정치적 리스크가 대선을 앞두고 크게 작용</h3>
다가오는 미국 선거는 은행들에게 추가적인 불확실성을 더하고 있다.
&#8220;트럼프의 승리는 규제/M&amp;A 분야에서의 완화로 긍정적으로 작용할 가능성이 높다. 민주당의 압승은 높은 세금, 규제 변화의 지속(또는 악화) 가능성 때문에 섹터에 가장 부정적인 결과로 작용할 가능성이 높다&#8221;라고 애널리스트들이 언급했다.
현재의 가치 평가가 연착륙에 대해 조심스레 낙관적인 모습을 보이고 있지만, 정치적 결과는 섹터에 변동성을 유발할 수 있다. 트럼프가 승리하면 은행 주식은 &#8220;즉각적인&#8221; 긍정적인 반응을 보일 가능성이 높고, 민주당이 승리하면 투자 심리에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">지역 은행이 메인스트리트 은행보다 선호됨</h3>
2024년 3분기에 이 투자 은행은 SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>)에서 추적하는 바와 같이 대형 머니 센터 은행들보다 &#8220;순이자 소득(NII)에 대한 더 나은 방어력&#8221;을 이유로 지역 은행들을 선호했다.
지역 은행들은 예금에 대한 더 큰 유연성, 더 나은 헤징 전략, 그리고 채권 평가손실이 줄어들면서 자본 완화의 가능성이 더 높다.
주요 추천주로는 U.S. 뱅코프(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>), 웨스턴 얼라이언스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>), PNC 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>), 피프스 써드(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>), M&amp;T 뱅크(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>), 그리고 트루이스트 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)이 있다.
퍼스트 뱅코프(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FBP#NYSE">FBP</a>)는 &#8220;현재 금리 기대치를 헤쳐나가기 가장 잘 대비된&#8221; 은행으로 평가되었으며, 텍사스 캐피털 뱅크셰어스(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>)는 가장 큰 영향을 받을 것으로 보인다.
월요일, 뱅크 오브 아메리카는 코메리카(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)를 &#8220;중립&#8221;에서 &#8220;부진&#8221;으로 하향 조정하고 목표 주가를 55달러에서 52달러로 낮췄다. 애널리스트인 브랜든 버만(Brandon Berman)은 코메리카를 지탱하던 긍정적인 금리 거래가 &#8220;그 과정을 마쳤다&#8221;고 강조하며, 이 주식은 이제 역사적 범위의 상단을 넘어서 거래되고 있어 하향 조정된 실적 전망의 위험을 반영하지 않고 있다고 설명했다.
앞으로, 10월 11일 금요일에는 JP모건 체이스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), 웰스 파고(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), 그리고 뉴욕 멜론 은행(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNY#NYSE">BNY</a>)의 주요 실적 보고가 있을 것이다.

다음 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/24/10/41214476/will-kamala-harriss-media-blitz-including-60-minutes-and-call-her-daddy-improve-her-2024-el">카멀라 해리스의 미디어 공세가 2024년 선거 전망을 개선할 수 있을까요?</a></li>
</ul>
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