에 대한 최신 뉴스 Truist Finl (NYSE:TFC) 주식

Truist Finl

Based in Charlotte, North Carolina, Truist is the combination of BB&T and SunTrust. Truist is a regional bank with a presence primarily in the Southeastern United States. In addition to commercial banking, retail banking, and investment banking operations, the company operates several nonbank segments.

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지역 은행 부문은 지난 2년 동안 잘못된 이유로 많은 헤드라인을 장식했다. 실리콘밸리 은행, 시그니처 은행 및 퍼스트 리퍼블릭 은행과 같은 은행 파산 사건은 이 부문에 큰 충격을 주었고, 2023년 말 SPDR 지역은행 ETF(NYSE:KRE)는 40% 이상 하락했다.

트럼프가 증권거래위원회 새 리더십을 지명하기 전에 사야 할 6개 지역 은행주

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미국 은행들의 3분기 실적 발표 시즌이 이번 금요일에 공식적으로 시작된다. JP모건 체이스(NYSE:JPM), 웰스 파고(NYSE:WFC) 및 뉴욕 멜론 은행(NYSE:BK)과 같은 주요 금융 기관들이 실적을 발표할 예정이다.

美 은행들, 실적 시즌 준비: 씨티그룹, 모건 스탠리, 트루이스트 등 15개의 주식 추천

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미국 은행들이 3분기 실적을 발표할 준비를 하면서, 투자자들은 경제의 연착륙 가능성, 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하, 그리고 이들이 은행 가치 평가에 미치는 영향에 주목하고 있다.

미국 은행 실적 미리보기: 연착륙 희망, 금리 인하, 주가의 주요 촉매제

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Chinese startup DeepSeek has upended the artificial intelligence industry&#8217;s assumptions about costs and computing power, just as OpenAI announced its latest model can cost up to $3,000 per query.
DeepSeek&#8217;s R1 model, which rivals top U.S. systems in performance, reportedly cost just $5.6 million to develop. The breakthrough sent shocks through global markets Monday, erasing nearly $1 trillion in U.S. and European tech stock value, including a record $589 billion drop in Nvidia&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) market capitalization.
&#8220;It&#8217;s a paradigm shift,&#8221; Ali Ghodsi, CEO of Databricks Inc., said to Bloomberg. &#8220;These models that can reason are so much cheaper to produce that you will see it be democratized. You&#8217;ll see innovations from unexpected corners of the world.&#8221;
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Meanwhile, OpenAI&#8217;s new o3 model, announced just before Christmas, signals a contrary trend—achieving breakthrough performance but at staggering costs. The model requires up to $3,000 to solve a single query that humans complete in seconds, using 172 times more computing power than previous approaches.
&#8220;One very important thing to understand about the future: the economics of AI are about to change completely,&#8221; François Chollet, an AI researcher, said on X when o3 went public.
The model&#8217;s success came from its &#8220;test-time compute&#8221; approach, allowing it to think harder about each question. While this produced superior results, including a 91.5% score on Chollet&#8217;s challenging ARC test, it shattered previous cost assumptions about AI services.
Trending: Built on the trusted network of Fortune 500 companies, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/web3-enabler-the-most-boring-blockchain-company-partners-with-salesforce">this blockchain company partners with Salesforce to uproot lengthy and expensive B2B transactions, and you can invest with just $100.</a>
OpenAI, valued at $157 billion, may charge up to $2,000 monthly for full access to o3, according to The Economist, which cited New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu. Even the company&#8217;s current &#8220;pro&#8221; version of o1 loses money on its $200 monthly subscription tier due to higher-than-expected usage.
The cost structure challenges the traditional tech industry model of providing services at near-zero marginal cost. It also strengthens the position of suppliers like Nvidia and cloud providers like Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and Alphabet (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>, GOOGL)), which control the essential computing infrastructure. DeepSeek&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/25/01/43243584/deepseek-r1-vs-openai-what-consumers-need-to-know-about-ais-latest-challenger">success suggests an alternative path</a>. Founded by Liang Wenfeng in 2023, the company achieved its results through efficiency innovations and reinforcement learning techniques, despite limited access to advanced U.S. chips.
See Also: ‘Scrolling To UBI' — Deloitte's #1 fastest-growing software company allows users to earn money on their phones. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 minimum.</a>
&#8220;More investment does not necessarily lead to more innovation,&#8221; Liang told Chinese media outlet 36kr. &#8220;Otherwise, large companies would take over all innovation.&#8221;
The development is catching Silicon Valley&#8217;s attention. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman noted the shift, calling DeepSeek&#8217;s R1 &#8220;an impressive model&#8221; and &#8220;invigorating.&#8221; Meta established an internal team to analyze DeepSeek&#8217;s methods, according to Bloomberg, which cited people familiar with the matter.
Instead of a winner-take-all market, experts predict an oligopoly where multiple firms compete based on specialized applications. Companies like Anthropic, valued at $60 billion, and xAI at $45 billion, suggest investors see room for multiple players despite the high costs.
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'The Economics Of AI Are About To Change Completely': Why OpenAI's o3 Could Reshape The Industry — Costing Up To $3000 Per Query

A recent analysis by The Commonwealth Fund has revealed what many Americans may already suspect: the United States health care system ranks last among wealthy nations. Despite spending more on health care than any other country, the US continues to underperform in critical areas like accessibility, efficiency, equity, and health outcomes.
A Troubling Report Card
In the "Mirror, Mirror 2024: A Portrait of the Failing U.S. Health System" <a href="https://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/fund-reports/2024/sep/mirror-mirror-2024">report</a>, researchers compared health care systems across 10 high-income countries—Australia, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The US came in last place overall, ranking 10th in accessibility and health outcomes, and poorly in administrative efficiency and equity.
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According to a September article in AJMC, Joseph Betancourt, MD, president of The Commonwealth Fund, summed it up saying: "The US is failing one of its principal obligations as a nation: to protect the health and welfare of its people… Continually spending the most and getting the least for our health care dollars is not sustainable."
What's Holding the US Back?
One of the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/01/43218719/medicares-at-home-care-and-telehealth-restrictions-in-2025-could-limit-access-to-affordable-healthcare-heres-what-you-need-to-know">biggest issues is access to care</a>. With 26 million uninsured Americans and sky-high out-of-pocket costs, health care remains out of reach for many. In contrast, countries like the Netherlands and Germany offer universal coverage and affordable care, making access far more equitable.
The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/12/42742855/mark-cuban-says-this-is-single-payer-how-his-healthcare-model-could-transform-the-u-s-healthcare-system">shortcomings of the US health care system</a> are further evident in its unparalleled spending. According to the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, in 2022, the United States spent an estimated $12,742 per person on health care—the highest per capita spending among wealthy nations. For comparison, Switzerland, the second-highest spender, allocated $9,044 per person, while the average for other Organization for Economic Development Cooperative and Development countries, excluding the US, was just $6,850.&nbsp;
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Administrative inefficiency is another key weakness. The US ranked ninth in the category due to its complex insurance system, which forces patients and providers to navigate endless denials, appeals, and paperwork.&nbsp;
In terms of equity, the US fared poorly as well, with widespread disparities in care based on race, ethnicity, and income. Issues like racial discrimination and uneven access to resources disproportionately impact vulnerable communities, worsening health outcomes for millions.
Finally, the US performed the worst in health outcomes. The country has the highest rate of preventable deaths, along with a lower-than-average life expectancy, driven by factors like the opioid crisis, gun violence, and chronic diseases.
Trending: The average 401(k) balance soars to a record-breaking high – <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/average-401k-balances-soars-to-record-high">Here's how to know if your nest egg is keeping pace.</a>
What Can Be Done?
The report emphasizes that the US health care system could learn a lot from other nations. Here's what researchers suggest:
<ul>
<li>Reduce financial barriers: Expand insurance coverage and ensure it protects against high out-of-pocket costs.</li>
<li>Simplify the system: Streamline administrative processes to reduce inefficiencies for both patients and providers.</li>
<li>Strengthen primary care: Invest in training and compensation for primary care providers to improve access and outcomes.</li>
<li>Address inequities: Combat racial and socioeconomic disparities by expanding social safety nets and addressing social determinants of health, like housing and food security.</li>
<li>Tackle market consolidation: Regulate health care mergers to reduce costs and improve access.</li>
</ul>
As Betancourt put it, "This report underscores the many lessons we could learn from others on how to strengthen our health care delivery and outcomes."
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/suze-orman-retirement-bucket">&#8216;Which Bucket Do I Draw From First?&#8217; Suze Orman Explains To 67-Year-Old The Best Order For Tapping Into Her Retirement Accounts</a>
The Bottom Line
The US health care system's high spending has not translated into better health outcomes or broader access. It's clear that reform is overdue, with opportunities to build a system that is more equitable, efficient, and effective for all Americans. By learning from other nations, the US could finally turn its spending into meaningful improvements for its citizens.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/62-years-old-with-1-mil-saved">I&#8217;m 62 Years Old And Have $1.2 Million Saved. Is This Enough to Retire Stress-Free?</a> </li>
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Personal Finance

US Health Care Ranks Last Among Wealthy Nations — Study Reveals Despite Highest Spending, People Have Lower-Than-Average Life Expectancies

It's been over seven years since Elon Musk first teased the second-generation Tesla Roadster, a futuristic sports car promising jaw-dropping acceleration and a rocket-powered boost.&nbsp;
Yet, here we are in 2025 and the Roadster is still nowhere to be seen on public roads. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/01/43048198/in-2011-elon-musk-mocked-tesla-rival-byd-fast-forward-to-2024-the-chinese-automaker-is-the-only-real-contender-to-tslas-global-dominance">Chinese automaker BYD</a> has stolen the spotlight with a real, functioning electric hypercar that performs like a beast and comes with an outrageous party trick: it can jump over potholes, police spikes and other obstacles.
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<li>Built on the trusted network of Fortune 500 companies, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/web3-enabler-the-most-boring-blockchain-company-partners-with-salesforce">this blockchain company partners with Salesforce to uproot lengthy and expensive B2B transactions, and you can invest with just $100.</a></li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tesla's Elusive Roadster</h2>
Back in 2017, Musk confidently declared that the Tesla Roadster would launch in 2020, setting performance standards no other car could touch. It was supposed to accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in 1.9 seconds, hit a top speed of over 250 mph and finish a quarter-mile in just 8.8 seconds. Musk now says the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/07/39924101/new-tesla-roadster-will-be-something-special-says-ceo-elon-musk-production-to-commence-in-2025">Roadster will launch in 2025</a> with even more outrageous features, such as SpaceX-sourced rocket technology and a sub-second time to 60 mph.
But is it realistic? Experts think not. Achieving such acceleration would require forces 2.8 times stronger than gravity, which would likely leave drivers feeling dizzy or worse. Adding rockets may sound cool, but making them practical – or safe – on public roads is another story. And the idea of a "flying car" raises even more questions, from engineering challenges to FAA regulations. In short, the Tesla Roadster feels more like a fantasy than a car you'll see in your driveway anytime soon.
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">BYD's Yangwang U9 – A Real-Life Marvel</h2>
While Tesla's Roadster remains a promise, BYD has delivered the goods. Their <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/41043074/byd-makes-a-red-yangwang-u9-supercar-for-its-9-millionth-new-energy-vehicle">Yangwang U9</a> is an all-electric hypercar with jaw-dropping capabilities. Priced at $236,000, the U9 features a 1,287-horsepower drivetrain that goes from 0 to 60 mph in 2.36 seconds, rivaling Tesla's Model S Plaid. But it's the car's suspension system that sets it apart.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">BYD&#39;s new &quot;jumping suspension&quot; feature on its Yangwang U9 supercar allows it to clear potholes&#8230;and road spikes <a href="https://t.co/4dKQmqJFOM">pic.twitter.com/4dKQmqJFOM</a>
&mdash; Electrek.co (@ElectrekCo) <a href="https://twitter.com/ElectrekCo/status/1876654085195304972?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 7, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Using BYD's DiSus-X intelligent suspension, the U9 can leap up to six meters forward to clear potholes, road spikes and other obstacles. In a recent demo, the self-driving car hit 75 mph and jumped over an eight-foot pothole without a human behind the wheel. This system also lets the car "dance" to music and even drive with three wheels, making it a true engineering showpiece.
See Also: ‘Scrolling To UBI' — Deloitte's #1 fastest-growing software company allows users to earn money on their phones. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 minimum.</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/03/37502601/tesla-rival-byd-drops-price-of-its-cheapest-ev-model-in-china-amid-fierce-war-for-market-share">BYD is known for its affordable EVs</a>, but the Yangwang brand represents its move into the luxury space. In addition to the U9, the range features unusual cars like an SUV that can float on water for 30 minutes in an emergency. The company's innovations aren't just for show – they're part of a larger strategy to challenge Tesla's dominance in high-end and affordable EV markets.
While Musk's Tesla continues to grab headlines with bold claims and delayed promises, BYD is quietly reshaping the EV landscape with practical, high-performance vehicles that push boundaries. The U9 may not fly or reach rocket-assisted speeds, but it's a real car you can buy.
The question is: will Tesla's elusive Roadster ever live up to its hype or has BYD already leaped ahead in the EV race?
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<li>According to Juniper Research, the total value of B2B cross-border payments stored on the blockchain is projected to exceed $4.4 trillion — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/web3-enabler-future-of-enterprise-transactions">Join the first company to bring blockchain payments to Salesforce early with just $100.</a></li>
<li>Deloitte's fastest-growing software company partners with Amazon, Walmart &amp; Target – <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">Many are rushing to grab 4,000 of its pre-IPO shares for just $0.26/share!</a></li>
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News

Musk's Rocket-Powered Tesla Roadster Is MIA, But A Chinese Automaker Unveils A $236k Self-Driving Car That Can Jump Over Potholes And Spikes

The Trump administration is mounting an aggressive push this weekend to secure Senate support for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tulsi-gabbard" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tulsi Gabbard</a>'s nomination as Director of National Intelligence (DNI), according to Axios. With the Senate Intelligence Committee vote looming, officials are scrambling to ensure Gabbard, a former Democratic congresswoman and military veteran, clears the crucial first hurdle in her confirmation process.
Senate Republican Conference Chairman Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) has transformed the conference's official X account into a makeshift Gabbard "war room," underscoring the urgency of the administration's efforts. To advance her nomination to the full Senate, Gabbard needs to secure every Republican vote on the Intelligence Committee, though skepticism among some GOP senators threatens to derail her path. The committee includes nine Republicans and eight Democrats.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What's The Problem? Mostly Edward Snowden</h2>
The administration's lobbying efforts are reportedly focused on persuading Sen. Todd Young (R-Ind.), who, along with other senators, pressed Gabbard during her confirmation hearing over her reluctance to label whistleblower Edward Snowden a "traitor."
It seems no one has forgotten that Gabbard <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/12/42257381/snowden-finds-unexpected-allies-in-trumps-new-team">co-sponsored a resolution</a> in 2020 calling for the U.S. to dismiss all charges against Snowden, who has been living in Russia since 2013 after he leaked of classified documents from the National Security Agency.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Will Trump Step In? Most Likely</h2>
President Donald Trump is apparently considering direct outreach to the committee's Republicans to reassure them he has no intention of pardoning Snowden. 
"The president isn&#8217;t really talking about pardoning Snowden, but if that&#8217;s a guarantee they want to get Tulsi confirmed, the president will have those conversations,&#8221; an anonymous senior White House official <a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/02/01/trump-tulsi-gabbard-senate-intelligence">told</a> Axios.
A member of the Hawaii Army National Guard who deployed to Iraq with a medical unit, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/23/02/30743988/breaking-the-chains-of-cannabis-criminalization-tulsi-gabbards-fight-for-legalization-from-grine">Gabbard also supports</a> federal legalization of marijuana. Her outspoken stances over the years, including opposing mainstream intelligence views on Russia, are now raising questions about how she would oversee the nation&#8217;s 18 intelligence agencies with a combined budget of approximately $70 billion.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Get On Board Or You&#8217;re Out</h2>
Meanwhile, MAGA-aligned activists are warning of primary challenges against any Republican senator who opposes Gabbard. "We are 100% serious," Turning Point Action spokesperson Andrew Kolvet said in a statement reported by Axios. "GOP senators in red states will open themselves up to well-funded, well-organized primary challenges if they stand in the way of confirming the Cabinet the president wants and the American people voted for."
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43418661/trump-announces-new-tariffs-on-goods-from-canada-mexico-and-china-will-go-into-effect-from-feb-1">Trump Announces New Tariffs On Goods From Canada, Mexico And China: Will Go Into Effect From Feb 1</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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Trump Camp Threatens GOP Holdouts: Confirm Tulsi Gabbard For DNI Or Face Reelection Backlash

Esteemed American financier Peter Lynch imparted some key investment wisdom, underscoring the significance of patience, basic arithmetic, and a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/stock-split/25/01/42804677/investment-guru-peter-lynch-if-you-invest-only-in-an-index-youll-never-beat-it-brushing-up-on-stock-picking-skills-is-wise">keen focus on a company&#8217;s fundamentals</a>.
What Happened: In one of his books, One Up on Wall Street, he has highlighted some of the most insightful investment thoughts and guideances. 
Lynch, who achieved an impressive 29.2% annual return during his time at the Fidelity Magellan Fund, underscored the crucial role of patience in investment. He said in the book, &#8220;If&nbsp;you invest $1,000 in a&nbsp;stock, all you can lose&nbsp;is $1,000, but you stand&nbsp;to gain $10,000 or even&nbsp;$50,000 over time if you're&nbsp;patient.&#8221;
Contrary to widespread belief, Lynch argued that basic arithmetic skills are all one needs for successful investing. He stated, &#8220;All&nbsp;the math you need in&nbsp;the stock market you get&nbsp;in the fourth grade.&#8221; He emphasized the importance of understanding a company&#8217;s fundamentals rather than relying on intricate mathematical analysis.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42935107/peter-lynchs-money-making-advice-when-things-go-from-terrible-to-semi-terrible-to-ok-you-can-make-a-lot-of-money">Peter Lynch&#8217;s Money-Making Advice: &#8216;When Things Go From Terrible to Semi-Terrible to OK, You Can Make a Lot of Money&#8217;</a>
Lynch also encouraged investors to concentrate on the companies themselves, rather than the stocks. He argued that aspects such as a company&#8217;s product lineup,&nbsp;growth potential, competitive advantages, and&nbsp;financial health are more indicative of its long-term performance than short-term market fluctuations.
Lynch reminded investors that losses are an inevitable part of investing and that there&#8217;s no disgrace&nbsp;in losing money on a&nbsp;stock. He stressed the importance of focusing&nbsp;on company fundamentals and industry&nbsp;outlook over short-term performance.
"There's no shame in losing money on a stock. Everybody does it. What is shameful is to hold on to a stock, or worse, to buy more of it when the fundamentals are deteriorating," he wrote in the book. &nbsp;
Why It Matters: Lynch&#8217;s insights serve as a timely reminder for investors, particularly those in their 60s, to focus on the long-term potential of their investments. His emphasis on patience, basic math, and company fundamentals over complex analysis and short-term market shifts provides a valuable perspective in today&#8217;s volatile market environment. 
His advice could potentially help investors make more informed decisions, mitigate losses, and maximize returns.
Read Next
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/12/42499608/investment-guru-peter-lynch-if-you-cant-explain-to-an-11-year-old-in-2-minutes-or-less-why-you-own-t" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Investment Guru Peter Lynch: ‘If You Can&#8217;t Explain To An 11-Year-Old In 2 Minutes Or Less Why You Own The Stock, You Shouldn&#8217;t Own It&#8217;</a>

Success Stories

Markets

Peter Lynch's Stock Tips: 'There's No Shame In Losing Money On A Stock, What Is Shameful Is To Hold On To A Stock When Fundamentals Are Deteriorating'

Famed investor&nbsp;Ray Dalio&nbsp;has forecasted China&#8217;s supremacy in the AI industry. Concurrently, Chinese AI startup&nbsp;DeepSeek&nbsp;has caused a significant disturbance in the tech market.
What Happened: Dalio expects&nbsp;China to leverage its manufacturing&nbsp;capabilities in the AI race, similar to its strategy with electric vehicles. He pointed out that leading AI firms like&nbsp;Nvidia Corporation&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) are confronted with &#8220;risk issues.&#8221;
Dalio underscored China&#8217;s potential in the AI sector, saying,&nbsp;&#8220;I think the Chinese are&nbsp;a bit behind in the&nbsp;chips, but they&#8217;re ahead in&nbsp;the applications.&#8221; He envisions China&#8217;s plan to involve low-cost chips integrated into manufactured products, such as robotics.
&#8220;You want to invest in productivity, but there&#8217;s great disruption, great disruption, that&#8217;s going to take place, and they&#8217;re going to be the disruptors and the disruptees,&#8221; Dalio told the outlet.
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, recently grabbed headlines with the launch of its R1 model, creating a buzz in Silicon Valley and resulting in a significant decline in tech stocks. Nvidia&#8217;s market cap plummeted by nearly $600 billion in the aftermath of the news, reports <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ray-dalio-deepseek-china-chips-nvidia-2025-1">the</a> Insider.
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Investors are now reevaluating the substantial&nbsp;investments in AI infrastructure and&nbsp;capital expenditures by companies, particularly in light of potentially cheaper models like DeepSeek&#8217;s. An Nvidia spokesperson recognized DeepSeek as an &#8220;excellent AI advancement.&#8221;
Dalio also cautioned investors about the inflated share prices of AI and technology companies, drawing comparisons with the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s.
Why It Matters: The rise of China in the AI sector and the disruptive innovation by DeepSeek have significant implications for the tech industry. China&#8217;s strategy of integrating low-cost chips into manufactured goods could potentially reshape the AI landscape. 
Furthermore, the success of DeepSeek&#8217;s R1 model raises questions about the viability of&nbsp;massive investments in AI infrastructure&nbsp;by companies. 
The market response to these developments, as evidenced by the drop in Nvidia&#8217;s market cap, indicates the potential for a shift in the tech market dynamics.
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Image: Shutterstock

Tech

Ray Dalio Predicts China's Rise in AI: Chinese 'Are a Bit Behind in the Chips, But They're Ahead in the Applications'

President Donald Trump&#8217;s pledge to launch America&#8217;s largest deportation operation could face hurdles and could cost nearly $1 trillion over a decade, immigration experts and former officials warn.
The American Immigration Council estimates that deporting 11 million unauthorized immigrants would require building 216 new detention facilities yearly for more than a decade, each costing $36 million to build and $48 million annually to operate.
&#8220;It&#8217;s going to be impossible for them to achieve the goal that they set out — which is really getting rid of all the illegal immigrants in the United States,&#8221; David Bier, director of immigration studies at the Cato Institute, said to the Financial Times.
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Early enforcement actions show the scale of the challenge. ICE <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/43219483/trumps-immigration-enforcement-raids-begin-in-chicago-gov-pritzker-concerned-innocent-could-be-targeted">arrested 956 people Sunday</a>, the largest single-day total under the new administration. Yet even at the heightened pace, deportations would fall far short of Trump&#8217;s targets.
Immigration facilities already strain under current operations. ICE can detain 41,500 people at once, while border czar Tom Homan says he needs &#8220;at least 100,000 beds&#8221; to meet the administration&#8217;s goals.
&#8220;It&#8217;s not like you just flip a switch and immediately start rounding people up and sending them to the border,&#8221; John Torres, former ICE acting director during the George W. Bush and Obama administrations, said to the Financial Times.&nbsp;
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Current deportation numbers—271,484 in fiscal 2024—pale against Trump&#8217;s million-plus annual target.
The court system presents another bottleneck. Immigration courts face a 3.6-million-case backlog, up from 656,000 in 2017. Most deportations require court proceedings unless immigrants have existing removal orders.
Private prison companies like GEO Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEO#NYSE">GEO</a>) and CoreCivic Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CXW#NYSE">CXW</a>) have seen their stock prices surge since the election. CoreCivic CEO Damon Hininger said his company could quadruple its current 10,000-bed capacity within six months, but building and staffing new facilities would strain federal resources.
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Republicans promise $100 billion for border security and enforcement, but experts say it falls far short. Former ICE Chief of Staff Jason Houser said, &#8220;There is no way they have the staff, the money and the resources and the legal authority&#8221; for mass deportations. The plan faces additional resistance from &#8220;sanctuary&#8221; jurisdictions that refuse to cooperate with federal immigration enforcement. While <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/43216758/well-go-as-far-as-im-allowed-trumps-plan-with-immigrants-starts-with-1-million-deportations">Trump threatens to withhold federal funding from those areas</a>, similar attempts during his first term were blocked by courts.
Constitutional hurdles also loom. The administration&#8217;s expanded &#8220;expedited removal&#8221; policy, allowing deportations without court review for those who can&#8217;t prove two years of U.S. residency, already faces legal challenges.&nbsp;
The American Civil Liberties Union calls it a &#8220;cheat code to circumvent due process and the constitution.&#8221;
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'It's Going To Be Impossible': Experts Doubt Feasibility Of Trump's Deportation Plan — Experts Estimate Nearly $1 Trillion Spend In 10 Years

Arab foreign ministers have reportedly rejected U.S. President Donald Trump&#8217;s suggestion to transfer Palestinians from Gaza to neighboring Egypt and Jordan, calling it a destabilizing<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43011383/israel-gaza-ceasefire-hostage-exchange" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> move that would threaten peace in the region</a>,
In order to reaffirm their commitment to upholding Palestinians&#8217; rights to their land, ministers from Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, the Palestinian Authority, and the Arab League issued a joint statement following a meeting in Cairo, Reuters reports.
The statement condemned any attempts to displace Palestinians or alter the status of Gaza, which they consider an integral part of a future independent Palestinian state.
Trump&#8217;s suggestion came after 15 months of Israeli bombardment that left much of Gaza in ruins and millions homeless.
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He had proposed that Egypt and Jordan take in Gazans, a proposal quickly rejected by both countries, as well as by Egypt&#8217;s President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi.
&#8220;Displacement of the Palestinian people from their land is an injustice that we cannot take part in,&#8221; Fattah al-Sisi added, Al Jazeera <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/2/1/arab-ministers-reject-trumps-call-to-displace-palestinians-from-gaza">reports</a>.
Critics argue that the proposal could lead to ethnic cleansing, as it would force Palestinians to leave their homeland.
The Arab foreign ministers also expressed support for Egypt&#8217;s efforts to host an international conference with the United Nations to rebuild Gaza, although no date has been set.
They emphasized the need for a peaceful resolution based on a two-state solution, reaffirming their desire to work with the U.S. administration to achieve lasting peace in the Middle East.
The rejection of Trump&#8217;s idea underscores the deep sensitivities surrounding the fate of Palestinians and the ongoing conflict in Gaza.
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Arab Nations Reject Trump's Controversial Gaza Plan: Here's Why

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Federal Judge Orders $5.9 Billion Fine In Ponzi Scheme Case </h2>
Chief Judge David Godbey of the Dallas federal court on Wednesday ordered Allen Stanford to pay a $5.9 billion civil fine, ending the Securities and Exchange Commission&#8217;s 16-year<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/23/11/35615187/sam-bankman-fried-joins-the-list-of-convicted-billionaires-but-who-leads-the-winnerslosers"> lawsuit against Stanford. </a>
Stanford is serving a 110-year prison sentence after being convicted in 2012 of defrauding investors in a $7.6 billion ponzi scheme, according to a Reuters report. Authorities said Stanford operated an Antigua-based financial institution, Stanford International Bank, and sold fraudulent high-yielding certificates of deposit over a 20 year period. 
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Judge Godbey also ordered Stanford Financial Group's former CFO James Davis to pay $17.66 million and its former chief accounting officer Gilberto Lopez to pay $3.42 million related to their roles in the fraud.&nbsp;
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">SEC Chairman Appoints New Staff Members</h2>
The Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday <a href="https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2025-34">announced </a>Acting Chairman&nbsp;
Mark T. Uyeda has named Natalia Díez Riggin as Senior Advisor and Acting Director of the Office of Legislative and Intergovernmental Affairs.&nbsp;&nbsp;
"I'm thrilled that Natalia has joined us after her tenure working for Chairman Scott on the Senate Banking Committee," Acting Chairman Uyeda said. "Her expertise will help guide us as we focus our efforts at the SEC on capital formation and ensuring companies aren't impeded by ineffective regulation."
Last Saturday, Acting Chairman Uyeda selected several senior staff members to replace recent departures from the SEC.&nbsp;
The SEC senior staff selected by Acting Chairman Uyeda include:
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<li>Jeffrey Finnell, Acting General Counsel</li>
<li>Robert Fisher, Acting Director of the Division of Economic and Risk Analysis</li>
<li>Kathleen Hutchinson, Acting Director of the Office of International Affairs</li>
<li>Samuel Waldon, Acting Director of the Division of Enforcement</li>
<li>Ryan Wolfe, Acting Chief Accountant </li>
</ul>
"These talented individuals are committed to protecting the investing public, building trust with American companies and market participants, and promoting capital formation," Acting Chairman Uyeda said.
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Legal

Financial Crime Weekly: Judge Orders $5.9 Billion Fine In Ponzi Scheme Case, SEC Chairman Appoints New Staff Members

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>), the AI behemoth that has been in the headlines for its artificial intelligence platform, has been the forerunner in providing data analytics tools to government customers for intelligence gathering,<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/02/43420044/benzinga-bulls-and-bears-nvidia-palantir-rigetti-computing-and-shiba-inu-hints-at-major-partnership" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> counterterrorism, and military purposes</a>.
The rise of China&#8217;s DeepSeek, with its open-source AI model and lower development costs, raises the question of how it might impact the future growth of Palantir&#8217;s <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/43267966/deepseeks-low-cost-model-reshapes-ai-landscape-experts-predict-shift-to-application-layer" rel="noreferrer noopener">stock in an increasingly competitive market</a>.
CEO Alex Karp recently discussed the growing competition in artificial intelligence from DeepSeek, which has raised apprehensions about the U.S.&#8217;s position in the AI race.
In an <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/31/palantir-ceo-says-chinas-deepseek-shows-need-for-all-country-effort.html" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">interview</a> with CNBC, Karp stressed the urgency for the U.S. to accelerate its AI development in light of these emerging threats. He acknowledged that technology, while beneficial, could be misused, especially in the hands of adversaries, and emphasized the need for a coordinated national effort to safeguard American innovation.
Karp remains optimistic that national security will help protect U.S. advancements from manipulation or theft.
Palantir is set to report its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">fourth-quarter earnings on Monday</a>. The street view for the adjusted earnings per share stands at 11 cents, while the analyst consensus estimate for revenues is $775.907 million.
DeepSeek, an open-source AI model, recently overtook OpenAI&#8217;s ChatGPT as the top free app on Apple&#8217;s U.S. App Store, shaking the tech world.
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This success raised questions about the costs of developing AI models, particularly in comparison to the enormous investments made by tech giants like NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
Karp expressed doubt about the reported low cost of DDeepSeek&#8217;sdevelopment, stating that he does not fully believe the estimates surrounding the mmodel&#8217;screation.
Palantir, a company valued at nearly $200 billion, has seen substantial growth, largely due to increasing demand for AI solutions.
Karp credited the ccompany&#8217;ssuccess to the focus on improving U.S. technological capabilities, positioning Palantir as a leader in the AI space.
In addition to discussing AI, Karp also addressed political controversies, offering support for Israel following the October 7 attack and defending Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) CEO Elon Musk against allegations related to political gestures. Karp also took a firm stance on illegal immigration, asserting that individuals who enter the U.S. illegally, particularly those engaged in criminal activity, should not be allowed to stay.
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TSLA

Palantir CEO Alex Karp Sounds Alarm on China's Deepseek – Could This Threaten Palantir's AI Dominance?

Elon Musk&#8216;s X has expanded its antitrust lawsuit, incorporating more prominent advertisers into the list of defendants. The lawsuit charges these advertisers with a collective conspiracy to boycott advertising<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/02/37301290/elon-musk-is-still-attempting-to-defend-hateful-speech-amid-xs-growing-pains-and-public-backlash-rep"> on the platform after Musk&#8217;s takeover</a>.
What Happened:&nbsp;X has now included&nbsp;Nestlé, Abbott Laboratories, Colgate, Lego,&nbsp;Pinterest, Tyson Foods, and Shell&nbsp;in its lawsuit, which was initially filed in August. The lawsuit&nbsp;alleges that members of the&nbsp;now-dissolved&nbsp;Global Alliance for Responsible Media&nbsp;(GARM) unlawfully conspired to withhold billions in advertising revenue from X.
The&nbsp;World Federation of Advertisers (WFA),&nbsp;CVS Health, Mars, Ørsted, and&nbsp;Twitch are also named as&nbsp;defendants in the case. The&nbsp;WFA has previously declared its intention to fight the suit, asserting its compliance with competition law.
As <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-x-adds-more-advertisers-to-antitrust-lawsuit-2025-2">per </a>Business Insider, the lawsuit&nbsp;claims that at least 18&nbsp;GARM members stopped advertising on Twitter between November and December 2022, following Musk&#8217;s acquisition of the platform. 
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This boycott allegedly led to X becoming a less competitive entity in the digital advertising space and a decrease in user engagement on its platform.
X is demanding trebled compensatory damages&nbsp;and injunctive relief for what&nbsp;it alleges are breaches&nbsp;of US antitrust laws. The&nbsp;WFA, Diageo, and&nbsp;WPP are also facing a&nbsp;similar lawsuit from video site Rumble.
Why It Matters: The expansion of this lawsuit underscores the ongoing tension between X and major advertisers following Musk&#8217;s takeover. The outcome of this case could have significant implications for the digital advertising industry and competition law. 
If X&#8217;s allegations are proven, it could potentially reshape the dynamics of the digital advertising space and set a precedent for future cases involving alleged anti-competitive behavior.
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Elon Musk's X Bolsters Antitrust Lawsuit With Additional Advertisers

Tom Brady's exclusive Indian Creek Island mansion is making waves in the Miami real estate scene, with bids reportedly topping $150 million, according to Bloomberg. If the sale goes through, it could shatter Miami's single-family home sale record, previously set at $107 million in 2022 when Ken Griffin purchased a Coconut Grove estate.
The football legend's two-acre estate, which he built from the ground up, is located on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/10/41119140/how-indian-creek-village-became-a-fortress-for-the-ultra-wealthy-home-to-50-million-mansions-and-247">Indian Creek Island</a>, often referred to as the "Billionaire Bunker." Brady originally bought the vacant lot for $17 million in 2020 alongside his then-wife, supermodel Gisele Bündchen. Since then, he has designed a sprawling waterfront property featuring a two-story home, a private gym, a cabana and a pool, among other high-end amenities, as reported by property records.
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According to sources familiar with the luxury real estate market, Brady's mansion isn't officially listed but is being quietly shopped to select buyers. Bloomberg's sources revealed that offers exceeding $150 million are already on the table, showcasing just how much demand there is for prime real estate on Indian Creek Island.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Bezos Effect</h2>
Indian Creek has always been a haven for the ultra-wealthy, but property values have skyrocketed in recent years, in part <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/04/38075377/jeff-bezos-buys-90-million-florida-mansion-to-live-in-while-his-other-newly-purchased-147-million-ho">due to Jeff Bezos</a>. The Amazon founder has spent $230 million acquiring three properties on the island since 2023, boosting its already sky-high real estate profile. According to Bloomberg, a nearby vacant lot purchased for $27.5 million in 2018 is now being <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/12/42715900/jeff-bezos-neighbor-lists-vacant-miami-lot-for-200-million-after-buying-it-for-just-27-5m">marketed for an eye-popping $200 million</a>.
Luxury broker Ilya Reznik told Business Insider in December that new builds on the island command a premium, with buyers willing to pay enormous sums for modern amenities and exclusivity. &#8220;This is just what&#8217;s going on in Miami,&#8221; Reznik told BI. Brady's estate fits this mold perfectly and could reset the bar for high-end Miami real estate.
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Record-Breaking Sale?</h2>
If Brady's property sells for more than $150 million, it would set a record for single-family homes in Miami. The potential sale highlights Indian Creek's growing reputation as one of the most expensive and exclusive communities in the United States.
The human-made island is home to just 40 residences spread across 300 acres, offering unmatched privacy and security. Its single-access bridge is guarded by a dedicated police force, ensuring the utmost discretion for its billionaire residents who include Carl Icahn, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/11/41912517/inside-ivankas-24-million-billionaire-bunker-mansion-with-a-15-million-mortgage">Ivanka Trump, Jared Kushner</a> and, of course, Jeff Bezos.
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Tom Brady's Billionaire Bunker Estate Gets $150 Million Offers – Could Break Miami Single-Family Home Sale Record In Part Thanks To Jeff Bezos

Secretary of State <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/marco-rubio" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Marco Rubio</a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/marco-rubio" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&#8216;s</a> upcoming visit to Panama is expected to offer crucial insight into the direction of U.S. foreign policy, particularly in Latin America, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/startups/25/01/43036986/trumps-2-5-billion-power-play-what-seizing-the-panama-canal-would-cost" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">under the Trump administration</a>.
Amid rising tensions over the Panama Canal, the visit could signal whether U.S. policy will take a more aggressive, imperial approach or a pragmatic, negotiation-focused stance, Reuters reports.
The controversy began when President Trump made threatening remarks regarding Panama&#8217;s control over the canal, raising fears of a potential American invasion. Former Panama President Ernesto Pérez Balladares voiced concerns about the potential for significant casualties and international condemnation if U.S. aggression escalates.
Despite the heightened rhetoric, Trump&#8217;s envoy to Latin America, Mauricio Claver-Carone, appeared to offer a more practical solution by suggesting that Panama might preemptively offer the U.S. Navy and Coast Guard free transit through the canal as a means to avoid further tension, Reuters adds.
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Despite these efforts, there remains significant uncertainty about the future of U.S.-Panama relations.
In private conversations, Panamanian officials have dismissed Trump&#8217;s claims about a Chinese military presence in the canal, emphasizing that transit fees are legally set and apply to all nations.
Panama&#8217;s political elite has made it clear that the canal&#8217;s status is non-negotiable, with President José Raúl Mulino strongly defending Panama&#8217;s sovereignty over the waterway, which was handed over from the U.S. in 1999.
In response to Trump&#8217;s threats, Panama has already taken some conciliatory steps, including increasing audits on the port operations managed by Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison Holdings LTD (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CKHUY#OTC">CKHUY</a>), a company involved in the canal&#8217;s operations.
However, these moves have done little to calm the diplomatic storm. While some within the Trump administration suggest that the rhetoric should not be taken literally, others remain firm in asserting U.S. dominance in the region.
As Rubio prepares to visit Panama, there is a glimmer of hope that diplomacy may de-escalate the situation.
The U.S. State Department recently indicated a shift towards fostering a more cooperative relationship with Panama, emphasizing the mutual benefits of a strong partnership rather than attempting to exert unilateral pressure.
Ultimately, Rubio&#8217;s visit will be a critical test of whether the Trump administration can balance aggressive rhetoric with practical diplomacy, ensuring that both U.S. interests and Panamanian sovereignty are respected moving forward.
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CKHUY

Marco Rubio's Panama Visit: Will Trump's Aggressive Rhetoric Lead to War or Diplomacy?

On Jan. 26, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPso1-N9O9s">Face the Nation </a>host Margaret Brennan grilled Vice President JD Vance on the administration's plans to tackle rising grocery prices. Her question was straightforward: "You campaigned on lowering prices for consumers. Which executive order lowers prices?"
Vance, however, sidestepped specifics, focusing instead on broader goals. "We've done a lot, and there have been a number of executive orders that have already caused jobs to start coming back into our country, which is a core part of lowering prices," he said. But he didn't name a single order targeting grocery costs directly.
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Brennan didn't let up, pushing him on when Americans might see relief, particularly for staples like eggs—an item that became a hot-button issue on the campaign trail. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/10/41250565/trump-and-dave-ramsey-break-down-8-eggs-5-gas-and-7-interest-rates-can-anyone-afford-a-house-in-">Egg prices</a> have been through the roof.&nbsp;
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, they jumped a whopping 36.8% between December 2023 and December 2024. A combination of an ongoing bird flu outbreak and state laws requiring cage-free production has put intense pressure on supplies.
"Prices are going to come down, but it's going to take a little bit of time," Vance assured, adding, "The president has been president for all of five days, and in those five days, he's accomplished more than Joe Biden did in four years."
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Still, many experts say lowering food prices isn't as simple as signing executive orders. Patrick Penfield, a supply chain expert at Syracuse University, told the New York Post that egg prices could climb another 20% this year, possibly reaching $5 a dozen in some areas.
"The avian flu outbreak has been devastating, and complying with cage-free laws adds significant costs," he explained.
Brennan also called out the administration's priorities, noting that most of Trump's recent executive orders haven't focused on the economy. While Vance claimed "many of them were," he didn't back it up with examples.
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Meanwhile, broader inflation trends add to the complexity. Food prices rose by 2.5% overall last year, and the current inflation rate sits at 2.9%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.&nbsp;
While that's within manageable levels, experts like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warn against aiming for outright deflation, which historically has led to economic crises like the Great Depression.
To make matters trickier, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42213610/hasbro-best-buy-brace-as-trumps-tariffs-loom-could-retail-margins-hit-rock-bottom">proposed tariffs on imports</a> from major trading partners like Canada and Mexico could push grocery prices higher. The U.S. imports roughly 15% of its food supply, and new tariffs could make everyday items like beef, tomatoes, and avocados even more expensive, according to Eater.
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'Which Executive Order Lowers Prices?': CBS Host Brennan Grills JD Vance On Trump's Economic Promises

The crypto market might be in for a surprise as a well-known crypto analyst predicts a significant rally for a competitor of&nbsp;Dogecoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>) and Shiba Inu&nbsp;(CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/shib/usd">SHIB</a>).
What Happened: The analyst, known as Inmortal, shared on X platform that the meme coin Floki (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/">FLOKI</a>) is showing a Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern similar to one that previously resulted in a 200% price surge. 
&#8220;Last&nbsp;time we reached this RSI&nbsp;level we bottomed and pumped&nbsp;200% One of my fav&nbsp;charts right now,&#8221; Inmortal stated.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Last time we reached this RSI level we bottomed and pumped 200% One of my fav charts right now.<a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24FLOKI&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$FLOKI</a> <a href="https://t.co/qyRlm2SLJp">pic.twitter.com/qyRlm2SLJp</a>
&mdash; Inmortal (@inmortalcrypto) <a href="https://twitter.com/inmortalcrypto/status/1884709100640231670?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 29, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The RSI is a tool used to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. At the time of the report, FLOKI was trading at $0.000144, marking a 13.2% increase in the last 24 hours.
Inmortal also pointed out a change in the altcoin cycle, forecasting multiple altseasons with funds moving in and out of digital assets, as opposed to a simultaneous rise of most tokens. 
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He concluded his analysis by emphasizing the current &#8220;brutal&#8221; market conditions, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) needing only a 5% increase&nbsp;to hit a new all-time&nbsp;high, while many altcoins need a 500% surge to match that.
Why It Matters: The predicted rally for FLOKI is significant as it comes amidst a volatile crypto market. The analyst&#8217;s observation of a shift in the altcoin cycle could indicate a new trend in the crypto market, with funds moving in and out of digital assets rather than a simultaneous surge. 
This could potentially lead to more opportunities for investors to profit from different altcoins at different times. 
Furthermore, the current market conditions, described as &#8220;brutal&#8221; by Inmortal, highlight the potential for significant gains for many altcoins, despite the relatively small increase needed for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high.
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Coverage of Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple and all the latest digital currencies.

Cryptocurrency

$BTC

$DOGE

$FLOKI

$SHIB

DOGE

Analyst Forecasts Mammoth 200% Surge for This Dogecoin and Shiba Inu Competitor

Tesla Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), owned by Elon Musk, experienced an 8% surge in its stock following an earnings miss, leaving JPMorgan analysts scratching their heads.
What Happened: JPMorgan analyst Ryan Brinkman was left perplexed by Tesla&#8217;s stock performance. Despite a 38% shortfall&nbsp;in earnings before interest and&nbsp;taxes and the lowest profit&nbsp;margin in years, Tesla&#8217;s shares soared.
According to the report <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-outlook-jpmorgan-tsla-earnings-fundamentals-profit-miss-2025-1">by</a> Market Insider, Brinkman offered several theories for the stock&#8217;s rise, including CEO Elon Musk&#8217;s ambitious projections during the earnings call. However, he remained skeptical, maintaining his $135 price target for Tesla, indicating a potential 68% downside from current levels.
&#8220;The move higher in Tesla shares bore no relation whatsoever to the company&#8217;s financial performance in the quarter just completed or to its outlook for growth in the coming year,&#8221; Brinkman told the outlet.
On Wednesday, Tesla reported its first annual&nbsp;sales decline since 2008, with&nbsp;fourth-quarter revenue of $25.7 billion,&nbsp;missing estimates by $1.4 billion,&nbsp;and earnings per share of&nbsp;$0.73, missing estimates by $0.02.
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Brinkman also expressed concern over Tesla&#8217;s&nbsp;guidance for a return to&nbsp;growth in 2025, noting that&nbsp;the company&#8217;s financial performance and&nbsp;analyst price targets seem to be moving in opposite directions.
&#8220;Tesla shares continue to strike&nbsp;us as having become completely&nbsp;divorced from the fundamentals,&#8221; Brinkman concluded.
Why It Matters: The unexpected rally in Tesla&#8217;s stock despite the earnings miss raises questions about the factors driving investor sentiment. While Brinkman&#8217;s analysis points to a disconnect between&nbsp;the company&#8217;s financial performance and&nbsp;its stock price, the market seems to be responding to other factors, possibly including CEO Elon Musk&#8217;s ambitious growth projections.
As Tesla navigates the challenges of missed earnings and a declining sales trend, the market&#8217;s response will continue to be closely watched. 
The divergence between analyst price targets and actual stock performance underscores the complexities of the current investment landscape.
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Why Is Tesla's Stock Rallying Despite Earnings Miss? JPMorgan Analyst Puzzled

January 27 stands as one of the most eye-opening days in recent Wall Street history.
That's when the markets realized Western technology consumers had been lining up to download a low-cost yet advanced AI assistant app called DeepSeek-V3.
See, DeepSeek isn't just another ChatGPT-like AI assistant — it performs just as well as but the Chinese developers behind DeepSeek claim they spent just $5.6 million in semiconductor chips, about one-tenth of the astronomical development costs companies like OpenAI and Meta Platforms have spent on chips for their AI apps.
As markets realized the same AI performance can be achieved with fewer, and slower, chips, the companies supplying the expensive chips, and the companies that have spent billions on AI already, took a beating. But that's just the beginning.
Here are three other stocks that will struggle in this new DeepSeek era.
See, DeepSeek engineers leveraged Nvidia's (NVDA) reduced-capacity H800 graphics processing units (GPUs) to train its AI model, which achieved more robust performance outputs with lower development costs. That's a departure from usual AI model construction, as many US companies used significantly more powerful – and way more expensive &#8211; Nvidia H100 GPUs to get, as DeepSeek claims, more or less the same performance results.
On Wall Street, the market carnage rolled in fast and furious.
On January 27, Nvidia shares plummeted 17%, while competitors like Broadcom (AVGO) fell 17.4% and Marvel Technology (MRVL) face-planted by 19.1%. Chip stocks and the companies using those chips for AI technology development rebounded modestly in the days following the DeepSeek news. By January 30, NVDA was only down 15% for the previous five days, while Broadcom (-10.25%) and Marvel (-12.50%) followed suit.
Still, the damage hasn't been contained, at least while the notion of a cheaper and equally effective way of building AI models lingers.
"DeepSeek AI's entry into the market offers a disruptive combination of high-level capabilities at a fraction of the cost of industry giants like OpenAI," said Mel Morris, CEO at Corpora.ai, a London-based research engine technology firm. "This affordability opens the door for smaller companies and startups to leverage advanced AI technology that was previously inaccessible. Additionally, the open-source model empowers developers to fine-tune and experiment with the system, fostering greater flexibility and innovation." Morris said that the emergence of DeepSeek AI could challenge the current competitive landscape and push major players like OpenAI to adapt quickly. "The idea that competition drives innovation is particularly relevant here, as DeepSeek's presence is likely to spur faster advancements in AI technology, leading to more efficient and accessible solutions to meet the growing demand," he notes.
Even so, DeepSeek and similar companies in the AI development pipeline may not be the tech sector wrecking ball investors think.
"Many people felt the rising tech giants&#8217; capital expenditures would likely lead to a bubble, but instead, DeepSeek&#8217;s breakthrough will likely extend the rally for AI over time," said James Wo, founder and CEO of Digital Finance Group (DFG), a global blockchain and digital asset investment firm with more than $1 billion in assets under management.
Wo says the DeepSeek long-term model sustainability is no guarantee as the company (and others like it) must also keep up with market shifts.
"Relying on a single breakthrough of training efficiency without consistent innovation will cause it to plateau and lose its competitive edge over time," he noted. "Overall, DeepSeek&#8217;s breakthrough may not completely replace high-performant AI systems entirely but rather coexist in a hybrid ecosystem where different tools are optimized for specific use cases."
Three Stocks That May Have a Problem With the Ascent of AI
It's early in the game, and pinpointing stocks that will suffer at the hands of the DeepSeek saga is a tall task, as the technology and financial facts linked to the story are still being sorted out. Based on the idea that DeepSeek represents a more efficient way of building AI models, however, the following stocks would be at risk.
Nvidia. Perhaps the biggest DeepSeek-related concern is for manufacturing companies that depend heavily on high-end AI hardware sales. "Nvidia is the obvious choice here, but others, like AMD and certain semiconductor manufacturers, could also face headwinds if AI-reliant companies shift toward more cost-effective solutions," says Drew Cohen, marketing lead at the cryptocurrency company GME Ethereum
Oracle. Technology billionaires took a big financial hit from the DeepSeek dip, with Oracle's Larry Ellison, who saw his net worth fall by $27.6 billion early last week. (Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang wasn't far behind, with his net worth down by $20.8 billion.)
Oracle's stock value fell by $70 billion in the DeepSeek melee, although ORCL recouped half of those losses by the week's end. The longer-term problem is that Oracles has been investing heavily in data center development to match up with AI heavyweights like Amazon and Microsoft. A cheaper way to develop AI models threatens that model, mainly by curbing the need for pricey data center operations.
Broadcom. Broadcom has emerged as a powerful force in the AI network technology realm. If DeepSeek's impact on AI development sticks, it will hurt chip companies developing AI semiconductors and crimp their share performance. This week, Morgan Stanley cut its target price on AVGO from $265 to $246, citing "deflationary" AI evolutionary innovations and reduced AI spending enthusiasm.
The Takeaway on DeepSeek and Impacted AI and Chip Stocks
Even if DeepSeek doesn't see widespread adoption by enterprises in the US, it represents a tipping point.
"The technology industry is waking up to the fact they don't need to rely on the walled gardens and expensive fees of hyperscalers to access highly-advanced and innovative AI capabilities," said Marc Suidan, chief financial officer at Backblaze (BLZE), a data storage cloud company in San Mateo, Cal.
Up until a few days ago, it was conventional wisdom for most that AI innovation required a massive amount of capital and infrastructure that only multi-trillion dollar tech giants could provide. But that was an illusion, Suidan said.
 "Using concepts and practices of the past that would eventually get chips to be way more productive, or disruptive innovation using open source solutions, DeepSeek mastered the second one, and proved that with limited resources, they can develop a powerful AI solution," he noted.
What if you could pinpoint stocks with massive profit potential like Matador Resources, which soared 2,100% in just two years? Or Photronics, a semiconductor stock that doubled in under a year?
That&#8217;s the power of our new <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/trade-alerts//?utm_source=WebRD-0203&amp;el=ResearchDaily&amp;he={{email}}&amp;adt_ei={{email}}">‘Benzinga Trade Alerts'</a>.
Photo Courtesy: Mamun_Sheikh On Shutterstock.com

Sell These 3 Stocks Most at Risk From China's AI Innovation

&nbsp;Warren Buffett is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/01/43166526/billionaire-warren-buffetts-first-wife-said-he-cared-about-the-win-not-the-money-its-all-mental-with-him-and-money-is-his-scorecard">known for playing the long game</a>, but as a teenager, he wasn't exactly practicing what he preaches today. Long before he became the Oracle of Omaha, Buffett was just a 16-year-old with a knack for numbers, a rebellious streak and a taste for risk. While other kids were busy memorizing equations, Buffett skipped school to bet on horse races and lost a lot. But what he learned from those missteps? Priceless.
In 1946, Buffett, living in Washington, D.C., while his father was serving in Congress, was already fascinated by probability. He wasn't drawn to gambling for the thrill; instead, he was obsessed with how the odds worked. He convinced his father to borrow every book on horse handicapping from the Library of Congress so he could study them as a future hedge fund manager might pore over balance sheets. But theories on paper didn't always translate to wins on the racetrack.
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Buffett's partner in these horse racing escapades was his high school golf coach, Bob Dwyer, who shared his passion for analyzing tip sheets. Together, they'd sneak off to the Charles Town racetrack in West Virginia. Here, Buffett started experimenting with his early models of assessing value – whether a horse was <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/04/38275323/warren-buffett-warns-dont-watch-the-market-closely-urges-not-to-obsessively-check-stock-prices-i">"undervalued" or "overvalued"</a> by the odds. Sometimes, his calculations paid off. Often, they didn't.
On one fateful solo trip, Buffett lost all his money after betting on every race to try and recover his earlier losses – breaking what he'd later call the cardinal sin of gambling. By the end of the day, he was down $175, which in 1946 was the equivalent of more than a week's worth of delivering newspapers (his side hustle). With no way to claw back his losses, Buffett made the only reasonable choice: he treated himself to a giant hot fudge sundae at the Hot Shoppe with the last cash.
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While savoring that sundae, Buffett reflected on his mistakes and came to two realizations that would shape his investment philosophy forever: "Nobody goes home after the first race" – a nod to how gamblers (and investors) keep chasing losses – and "You don't have to make it back the way you lost it." In other words, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/03/37589669/warren-buffett-explains-the-stock-doesnt-know-you-own-it-stocks-cant-love-you-back-and-your-feel">doubling down on a bad hand</a> or investment is rarely the smartest move. He also realized that impatience and emotional decision-making were a recipe for disaster.
Buffett never returned to the racetrack after that day, but those hard-learned lessons stayed with him. The discipline to sit out bad opportunities, the patience to wait for the right ones and the awareness that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/24/03/37563241/warren-buffett-says-hed-trade-a-significant-percentage-of-his-net-worth-for-some-extra-years-of-">losses are part of the game</a> became pillars of his investment philosophy. Unlike gamblers who bet impulsively, Buffett developed a reputation for waiting for the perfect pitch before swinging – whether that's an undervalued stock or an acquisition opportunity.
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Despite this youthful flirtation with horse betting, Buffett is no fan of gambling. He's called it a "tax on ignorance" in 2007 and criticized it for preying on people who don't understand the odds. For Buffett, it's not about luck but about stacking the deck in your favor with careful planning and informed decisions.
So, while Buffett's days of sneaking off to the races may have been short-lived, the lessons they taught him had a long-lasting impact. Who would've thought that a teenage misadventure involving lost bets and a fudge sundae would help build one of the most successful investing careers ever? Sometimes, the track isn't just a place for horses to run – it's a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/are-you-rich">place where billionaires are made</a>.
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Warren Buffett Skipped School To Bet On Horse Races With His Teacher – He Lost All His Money Then Treated Himself To A Hot Fudge Sundae

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"></h2>
President Donald Trump has said that the U.S. will impose tariffs on a variety of imports including computer chips, pharmaceuticals, steel, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/12/42635605/exclusive-eric-trump-predicts-inflation-drop-through-energy-policies-and-spending-cuts">aluminum, copper, oil, and gas</a> starting on Feb. 1.
What Happened: President Trump has declared that the U.S. will impose tariffs on a wide range of imports. These tariffs, which could be implemented as soon as mid-February, will target computer chips, pharmaceuticals, steel, aluminum, copper, oil, and gas.
Trump also indicated his intent to raise&nbsp;tariffs on the European Union,&nbsp;citing their unfair treatment of the U.S., but did not provide specifics on the timeline or the extent of the increase. The European Union has yet to respond to these comments.
These newly announced tariffs are separate from the previously announced 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% tariffs on China, which are set to be implemented on Saturday, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-says-tariffs-are-coming-on-computer-chips-steel-and-more-cef9974c">reports</a> The Wall Street Journal.
Trump dismissed concerns about the potential impact of these tariffs on inflation or global supply chains, stating that any disruption would be temporary and that the tariffs would strengthen the U.S. economy.
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"I think there could be some temporary, short term disruption and people will understand that. The tariffs are going to make us very rich and very strong," said Trump. 
Leaders in Mexico, Canada, and China, as well as CEOs of American companies, are closely monitoring the situation, particularly regarding potential exemptions for major industries. Trump&#8217;s team is currently&nbsp;in negotiations over how to&nbsp;potentially reduce tariffs on these countries, but&nbsp;Trump may still decide to&nbsp;proceed with a full-scale approach.
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that the tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China were imminent, but declined to comment on potential exemptions or what the trading partners could do to avoid the duties.
Trump&#8217;s announcement led to a negative turn in the stock market, with stocks losing morning gains following Leavitt&#8217;s remarks. Trump stated&nbsp;that there was nothing Canada,&nbsp;Mexico, and China&nbsp;could do to avoid the&nbsp;tariffs before Saturday, but mentioned the possibility of&nbsp;a lower tariff on Canadian&nbsp;crude oil.
Why It Matters: The new tariffs mark a significant escalation in Trump&#8217;s second-term trade wars. The move will likely have a substantial impact on global supply chains and could lead to increased inflation. The tariffs could also strain relations with key trading partners, including the European Union, Canada, Mexico, and China. 
The potential for exemptions for major industries adds another layer of uncertainty to the situation. The impact of these tariffs on the U.S. economy and the global market will be closely watched in the coming weeks.
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Trump May Enforce New Tariffs on Key Sectors Starting Saturday — Chips, Steel Among Potential Targets

President Donald Trump unveiled a $500 billion private-sector AI investment package on his second day in office last week, just as Chinese startup DeepSeek demonstrated it can match U.S. technology at a fraction of the cost.
The &#8220;Stargate&#8221; project, backed by OpenAI&#8217;s Sam Altman, SoftBank&#8217;s Masayoshi Son, and Oracle&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORCL#NASDAQ">ORCL</a>) Larry Ellison, aims to build massive data centers in Texas over four years. &#8220;This is money that normally would have gone to China,&#8221; Trump said during the announcement.
DeepSeek&#8217;s breakthrough <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/01/43253190/deepseek-ai-etfs-take-a-hard-hit-amid">threatens to upend the AI landscape</a>. The nascent Chinese company&#8217;s latest models match leading U.S. chatbots while using fewer resources, challenging the assumption that AI advances require ever-increasing computing power and investment.
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The timing heightens tensions in the U.S.-China tech rivalry. Trump&#8217;s administration includes China hawks like AI czar David Sacks and Under Secretary of State nominee Jacob Helberg, who each view the AI race as crucial to national security.
Silicon Valley executives hope Trump will loosen domestic regulations while maintaining pressure on China. The president already scrapped Biden-era requirements for AI companies to share information with the government, promising Stargate partners to make development &#8220;as easy as it can be.&#8221;
DeepSeek&#8217;s rise suggests U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductors haven&#8217;t prevented Chinese innovation, according to a report by The Economist. The company&#8217;s mobile app topped U.S. iPhone downloads in January, with investor Marc Andreessen calling it &#8220;AI&#8217;s Sputnik moment.&#8221;
Trending: Nancy Pelosi Invested $5 Million In An AI Company Last Year — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/elf-labs-nancy-pelosi">Here's How You Can Invest In Multiple Pre-IPO AI Startups With Just $1,000</a>
&#8220;More investment does not necessarily lead to more innovation. Otherwise, large companies would take over all innovation,&#8221; DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng told Chinese media, noting U.S. chip restrictions remain his main challenge.
The contrast between Trump&#8217;s massive investment push and DeepSeek&#8217;s efficient approach highlights diverging strategies in the AI race. While U.S. firms bet on overwhelming resources, Chinese companies focus on maximizing limited computing power.
The battle extends beyond raw investment numbers. The Biden administration&#8217;s &#8220;Framework for Artificial Intelligence Diffusion,&#8221; now under Trump&#8217;s review, aims to tighten controls on GPU exports and AI data sharing. Critics, including semiconductor giant Nvidia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), argue such restrictions could backfire, pushing allies toward Chinese technology.
Meanwhile, DeepSeek&#8217;s models remain constrained by Chinese censorship, automatically deflecting queries about sensitive topics like the Tiananmen Square protests or President Xi Jinping. The company also faces infrastructure challenges, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43257133/chinese-ai-startup-deepseek-hit-by-cyberattacks-after-toppling-us-giants-like-nvidia-with-new-ai-model-dubbed-as-chatgpt-killer">experiencing outages as user numbers surge</a>.
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지역 은행 부문은 지난 2년 동안 잘못된 이유로 많은 헤드라인을 장식했다. 실리콘밸리 은행, 시그니처 은행 및 퍼스트 리퍼블릭 은행과 같은 <a href="https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/in-brief/2023" target="_blank" rel="noopener">은행 파산</a> 사건은 이 부문에 큰 충격을 주었고, 2023년 말 SPDR 지역은행 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>)는 40% 이상 하락했다.
2024년 초에도 또 다른 두 건의 실패 사건이 발생한 후 투자자들은 긴장 상태를 유지했지만, 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하 전략과 2024년 미국 대통령 선거 결과에 따라 이 부문은 반등했다.
트럼프 행정부의 출범은 린다 칸(연방거래위원회, FTC), 로힛 초프라(소비자금융보호국, CFPB) 그리고 개리 겐슬러(증권거래위원회, SEC) 등 여러 주요 규제 당국을 교체할 것으로 예상되며, 이는 규제를 완화하여 인수합병을 더 용이하게 할 수 있는 분위기를 조성할 수 있다.
지역 은행들은 이러한 태도 변화의 최대 수혜자가 될 가능성이 높으며, KRE는 이미 지난 한 달 동안 18% 상승했다.
새로운 규제 당국이 들어서기 전에 사야 할 가장 유망한 지역 은행 주식 5종목을 살펴보겠다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">어떻게 6종목을 선별했는가?</h2>
자본 기준 완화와 규제 심사의 완화는 금융 부문에 많은 기업들에게 이익이 될 것이다. 우리는 다음 기준에 따라 지역 은행 주식 리스트를 5개로 압축했다:
<ul>
<li>규제 완화의 수혜자 &#8211; 트럼프 행정부 2기 동안 자본 요건(바젤 III와 같은)과 유동성 기준을 완화하고 인수합병 환경을 우호적으로 만들 수 있다. 지역 은행은 이러한 요건을 대형 국책 은행보다 효율적으로 충족할 수 없기 때문에 규제 완화는 종종 소형 은행에 유리하다.</li>
<li>평가 지표 &#8211; 우리 리스트에 있는 은행들은 동종 업계의 동료들에 비해 저렴한 주가를 보이고 있으며, 주가수익비율(P/E), 주가매출비율(P/S) 및 주가순자산비율(P/B) 등의 지표를 기준으로 한다.</li>
<li>배당 수익률 &#8211; 은행 주식을 보유하고 있다면 주가 상승과 배당 소득으로 보상을 받고 싶다. 이 지역 은행들은 모두 업계 평균보다 높은 배당 수익률을 제공한다.</li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">구매할 지역 은행 6종목</h2>
위의 기준에 따라, 트럼프 행정부 2기와 새로운 규제 당국이 워싱턴에 들어서기 전에 포트폴리오에 추가할 것을 고려할 수 있는 5개 지역 은행 주식이 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US 뱅코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</h3>
US 뱅코프의 뿌리는 남북전쟁 시기로 거슬러 올라가며, 미국의 24번째 국립은행 허가를 받았다. 오늘날 이 은행은 830억 달러 이상의 시장 가치를 지니고 있으며, 68,000명의 직원을 둔 미국 최대의 지역 은행 중 하나이다. USB 주식은 2024년 동안 23%의 연초 대비 상승률을 기록하며 KRE의 30% 상승률보다 뒤처졌지만, 규제가 완화되면 2022년에 <a href="https://www.usbank.com/about-us-bank/company-blog/article-library/us-bancorp-completes-acquisition-of-union-bank.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MUFG 유니언 뱅크를 인수</a>하여 캘리포니아, 오리건 및 워싱턴으로 운영을 확장한 은행에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 이 주식은 16.5의 P/E 비율과 1.97의 P/S 비율과 같은 합리적인 기본 지표를 가지며, 3.73%의 배당 수익률을 제공한다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-670667" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-1024x395.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB.png 1364w" alt="" width="1024" height="395" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">키코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</h3>
키코프는 시가총액이 200억 달러 이하이며 US 뱅코프와 같은 대형 지역 은행보다 영향력이 적지만, 주식은 가치, 높은 배당 수익률 및 규제 완화로 인한 잠재적 성장의 조합 덕분에 우리 리스트에 올라왔다. 이 은행은 소비자 은행과 상업 은행의 두 가지 부문으로 나뉘며, 상업 부문은 중소기업 서비스에 초점을 맞추고 있다. 키뱅크 캐피털 마켓(KeyBanc Capital Markets)는 중소기업 인수합병(M&amp;A) 시장에서 500개 이상의 고객과 협상한 M&amp;A 전문 기관이다. KEY 주식은 리스트에 있는 은행 중 가장 높은 P/E 비율인 19.4를 기록하지만, 주주들에게는 4.17%의 배당 수익률을 제공하며, P/B 비율은 업계 하위 3분의 1인 1.3이다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-670668" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-1024x395.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY.png 1364w" alt="" width="1024" height="395" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">리전스 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</h3>
리전스 파이낸셜은 US 뱅코프나 키코프와 같이 100년 이상의 역사를 가지고 있지는 않지만, 남부 지역의 고객들에게 다양한 은행 및 자산 관리 서비스를 제공합니다. RF 주식은 실제로 2024년 동안 KRE를 초과하는 성과를 보였으며(42% 대 30%), 부채/자본 비율이 0.35로 우리 선택지 중 가장 낮아 잘 자본화된 은행임을 나타내어 더 많은 위험 감수를 통해 이익을 볼 수 있다. 이 주식은 3.66%의 배당 수익률을 제공하며, 13.4의 P/E 비율과 1.48의 P/B 비율을 가지고 있다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-670669" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-1024x395.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF.png 1364w" alt="" width="1024" height="395" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">트루이스트 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</h3>
선트러스트 뱅크(SunTrust Bank)와 BB&amp;T 코퍼레이션의 합병으로 형성된 트루이스트 파이낸셜(Truist Financial)은 우리 리스트에서 두 번째로 큰 지역 은행이며, KRE가 올해 30% 이상 상승한 이유 중 하나이다. TFC 주식은 2024년 동안 지역 은행 ETF 성과와 거의 동일한 수준으로 상승했지만, 주식은 2022년 사상 최고가에는 한참 못 미치고 있다. 트루이스트는 우리 리스트에서 가장 낮은 P/B 비율인 1.08을 기록하며, 4.36%의 배당 수익률을 제공하며 최근에는 보험 및 자산 관리 자회사를 매각하여 유동성과 자본 상황을 개선했다. 트루이스트는 주로 미시시피 강 동쪽의 주들을 서비스하지만, 선벨트 지역으로 운영을 확장할 계획이다. 이러한 계획은 향후 몇 년 동안 인수합병 활동 증가와 규제 완화의 혜택을 받을 수 있다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-670670" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-1024x395.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC.png 1364w" alt="" width="1024" height="395" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">M&amp;T 뱅크 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</h3>
M&amp;T 뱅크(제조업체 및 거래업체 은행)는 1856년까지 거슬러 올라가는 역사를 가진 미국의 가장 오래된 은행 중 하나이다. MTB는 360억 달러의 시장 가치를 가지고 있으며, 2.45%의 배당금을 지급하는데, 이는 리스트에서 가장 낮지만 회사의 수익으로 쉽게 유지될 수 있다. 이 주식은 2024년의 가장 큰 성공 사례 중 하나로, 2024년에 60%라는 놀라운 상승률을 기록하여 지역 은행 ETF의 두 배를 기록했다. 은행의 10월 실적 발표 이후 추가 상승이 있을 수 있으며, 이는 많은 분석가들이 평가와 목표 주가를 상향 조정하게 만들 수 있다. M&amp;T 뱅크는 16.3의 P/E 비율과 1.4의 P/B 비율을 기록하였고, 18.7의 순이익률은 리전스 파이낸셜에만 뒤쳐졌다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-670671" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-1024x395.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB.png 1364w" alt="" width="1024" height="395" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">디스커버 파이낸셜 서비스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)</h3>
디스커버 파이낸셜 서비스는 캐피털 원(Capital One)과 연결되어 있으며, 후자가 전자를 350억 달러에 인수하겠다고 발표한 이후로 거래가 중단되었다. 그러나 뉴욕 규제 당국이 인수합병을 반독점 위반으로 조사하기 시작하면서 거래는 정체되었다. DFS 주식은 7월부터 선거 주간까지 좁은 범위에서 거래되었지만, 트럼프의 승리 다음 날 수요일에 DFS와 COF 주식이 모두 즉시 상승했다. 투자자들은 규제 환경이 완화되면 거래가 성사될 것으로 예상하고 있어, DFS 주식은 앞으로 몇 주 동안 계속 상승할 가능성이 있다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-670672" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-1024x395.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS.png 1364w" alt="" width="1024" height="395" /></figure>
캠페인 공약이 항상 현실로 이어지지는 않으며, 이전 트럼프 행정부는 종종 말로만 그치는 경우도 있었음을 명심하세요. 규제 완화와 인수합병(M&amp;A)이 예상되지만, 정치적 발언에 기반한 투자들은 본질적으로 단기 투자입니다. 예상과 다른 규제 환경이 나오면 손실 주식은 매각해야 합니다.
2024년, 매트 말리(Matt Maley)의 회원들은 TLT에서 24시간 안에 570%, GDX에서 1주일 만에 460%의 수익을 올릴 수 있는 기회를 가졌으며, 하루에 5건의 수익 거래를 경험했습니다. 이번 블랙프라이데이에 1000달러를 절약하고 월스트리트 전설과 함께 실시간 알림 및 검증된 전략으로 거래하세요. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/matt-options-inner-circle-checkout-black-friday/?utm_source=WebRD-1129">여기를 클릭하여 시작하세요.</a>
이미지 출처: Midjourney
다른 트레이더들보다 30분 일찍 독점 시장 움직임 뉴스를 받아보세요. 
Benzinga Pro의 14일 무료 체험을 통해 독점 뉴스 기사를 이용할 수 있어 수백만 명의 다른 트레이더보다 먼저 실행 가능한 거래 뉴스를 얻을 수 있습니다. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

미국 은행들의 3분기 실적 발표 시즌이 이번 금요일에 공식적으로 시작된다. JP모건 체이스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), 웰스 파고(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) 및 뉴욕 멜론 은행(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>)과 같은 주요 금융 기관들이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41216873/us-banks-earnings-preview-soft-landing-hopes-interest-rate-cuts-key-catalysts-for-stocks">실적을 발표할 예정</a>이다.
다음 주 화요일에는 뱅크 오브 아메리카(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), 골드만삭스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) 그리고 씨티그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)과 같은 대형 은행들의 추가적인 실적 발표가 있을 예정이며, 일부 지역 은행들도 포함된다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">2024년 현재 은행 부문 성과</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-587909" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1024x447.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1024x447.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104755/image-66-300x131.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104755/image-66-768x336.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104755/image-66-1536x671.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="447" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">차트: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent100924&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
2024년 현재까지 은행 부문은 강력한 성과를 보이고 있다. 주요 금융 주식을 추적하는 Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>)는 연초 대비 21% 상승하였으며, 이는 SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)로 대표되는 전체 시장의 성과와 일치한다.
하지만 지역 은행들은 대형 은행들에 비해 뒤처졌다. SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>)는 연초 대비 6.7% 상승에 그쳤으나, 최근 3개월 동안은 더 나은 성과를 보였다. 이 최근의 반등은 인플레이션 하락과 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하 기대 증가에 주로 기인한다.
실적 발표 시즌을 맞아 많은 투자자들은 대형 은행들이 지역 은행들에 대한 긍정적인 성과 차이를 유지할 것인지, 아니면 최근의 시장 발전이 그들의 실적과 전망에 영향을 미칠 것인지에 대한 질문을 가지고 있다.
다음은 은행 실적 발표 시즌을 앞두고 월스트리트 애널리스트들이 말하는 내용이다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">애널리스트들의 기대와 추천 종목</h3>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">RBC 캐피털 마켓 – 제럴드 캐시디(Gerard Cassidy), 글로벌 금융 연구 공동 책임자</h4>
&#8220;우리는 향후 12-18개월 동안 은행에 대한 전망이 매우 좋다고 생각한다. 우리는 연준이 이 기간 동안 단기 금리를 200-250bp(베이시스 포인트) 인하할 것으로 예상하며, 바젤 III &#8216;엔드게임&#8217; 제안의 최종화가 은행들이 잉여 자본을 자사주 매입과 배당으로 환원할 수 있게 할 것이다. 우리는 은행 주식에 대한 비중 확대를 지속적으로 추천한다.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>추천 종목 (RBC는 3분기 대해 모두 애널리스트들의 컨센서스를 상회하는 주당순이익(EPS) 추정치를 보유하고 있다.)
<ul>
<li>트루이스트 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</li>
<li>키코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">JP모건 체이스 – 안토니 엘리(Anthony Elian), CFA</h4>
&#8220;연준 금리를 인하함에 따라 여러 산업의 역풍이 순풍으로 전환될 수 있다.&#8221; 여기에는 다음이 포함다:
<ol>
<li>예금 비용 감소, 순이자 마진(NIM) 개선</li>
<li>상업 대출 수요 증가</li>
<li>상업용 부동산(CRE) 노출이 있는 은행에 대한 신용 품질 우려 완화</li>
<li>준비금이 방출되어 자사주 매입 프로그램 재개</li>
<li>인수 시장과 벤처 캐피탈 활동 증가</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>퍼스트 시티즌스 뱅크셰어스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NYSE">FCNCA</a>)</li>
<li>웨스턴 얼라이언스 뱅코퍼레이션 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>)</li>
<li>피나클 파이낸셜 파트너스 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">웨드부시 증권 – 데이비드 J. 치아베리니(David J. Chiaverini), CFA</h4>
&#8220;우리는 3분기 동안 은행의 혼재된 추세를 예상하며, 대출 및 예금의 완만한 성장, 예금 혼합 변화의 안정화, 고정 자산 재가격으로 인한 NIM 개선을 기대한다. 이 환경에서 일부 은행들이 더 긍정적인 위치에 있을 것이다.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>M&amp;T 뱅크 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</li>
<li>윈트러스트 파이낸셜 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</li>
<li>컬럼비아 뱅킹 시스템 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COLB#NASDAQ">COLB</a>) 
웨드부시는 컬럼비아 뱅킹 시스템이 부채 민감성으로 인해 낮은 금리 환경에서 혜택을 받을 것이라고 믿고 있다. 대부분의 은행들은 자산 민감성이다.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">뱅크 오브 아메리카 – 에브라힘 푸나왈라(Ebrahim H. Poonawala)</h4>
&#8220;우리는 3분기 실적 발표를 앞두고 대형 머니 센터보다 지역 은행을 선호한다. 이는 순이자수익(NII)의 방어력과 채권 보유의 시장가치 손실 감소로 인한 자본 완화가 더 크기 때문이다. 3분기 실적을 앞두고 우리의 주요 아이디어는 지역 은행들과 대형 금융 기관들의 혼합이다.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>U.S. 뱅코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</li>
<li>웨스턴 얼라이언스 뱅코퍼레이션</li>
<li>PNC 파이낸셜 서비스 그룹 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</li>
<li>피프스 서드 뱅코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NYSE">FITB</a>)</li>
<li>M&amp;T 뱅크</li>
<li>트루이스트 파이낸셜</li>
<li>모건 스탠리 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>)</li>
<li>골드만삭</li>
<li>뉴욕 멜론 은행</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">골드만삭스 – 리처드 램스든(Richard Ramsden)</h4>
골드만삭스는 씨티그룹에 대해 3분기 실적을 앞두고 특히 낙관적이다. 이는 은행이 2024년 목표를 향한 진전을 강력한 수수료 성장, 탄탄한 자본 시장 활동 및 견고한 카드 거래량에 의해 추진되고 있기 때문이다.
램스든은 씨티그룹의 3분기 전 대손충당 전 순수익(PPNR)에 대해 컨센서스를 상회하는 전망을 제시하고 있으며, 이는 주로 더 높은 수수료와 자본 시장 활동에 대한 기대 때문이다.
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>씨티그룹 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
다음 읽어보기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/sp-500-%EC%8B%A4%EC%A0%81-%EC%8B%9C%EC%A6%8C-%EC%8B%9C%EC%9E%91-%EC%99%9C-%EB%B6%84%EC%84%9D%EA%B0%80%EB%93%A4%EC%9D%80-%EC%9D%B4%EB%B2%88-%EB%B6%84%EA%B8%B0%EB%A5%BC-%EC%A3%BC%EC%8B%9D/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 실적 발표 시즌 시작: 왜 애널리스트들이 이번 분기를 &#8216;주식 선택자의 천국&#8217;이라고 부르는가?</a></li>
</ul>
이미지는 인공지능 미드저니를 통해 생성되었습니다.

미국 은행들이 3분기 실적을 발표할 준비를 하면서, 투자자들은 경제의 연착륙 가능성, 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하, 그리고 이들이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/banks" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">은행 가치 평가에 미치는 영향</a>에 주목하고 있다.
뱅크 오브 아메리카(Bank of America)의 애널리스트들은 은행 주식 전망에 대해 조심스러운 낙관을 유지하고 있다. 그들은 연착륙 시나리오가 고객 활동의 반등을 촉발하고, 대출 성장을 개선하며 그리고 섹터의 주가수익비율(P/E) 배수를 긍정적으로 유도할 수 있다고 예측한다. 하지만 연준의 정책 변화와 다가오는 미국 선거와 같은 거시적 불확실성이 이 같은 기대를 완화하고 있다.
뱅크 오브 아메리카의 주식 애널리스트인 에브라힘 푸나왈라(Ebrahim H. Poonawala)는 월요일 노트에서 금리 인하가 은행 주당순이익(EPS) 전망과 주식 P/E 배율에 대해 &#8220;구조적으로 긍정적&#8221;일 수 있다고 강조했다. 금리가 낮아지면 고객 활동이 재활성화될 것으로 예상되며, 특히 투자은행, 주택담보대출 및 대출 성장에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 것이다.
그러나 낮은 금리는 &#8220;자산에 민감한 은행&#8221;에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되며, 대출 수익률이 하락할 것이다.
추가 읽기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41212796/tesla-robotaxi-day-preview-move-over-autonomous-vehicles-analyst-says-this-positive">테슬라 로보택시 데이 미리보기: 자율주행차를 제치고, 애널리스트가 말하는 이 &#8216;긍정적 촉매&#8217;가 더 중요할 수 있다</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">정치적 리스크가 대선을 앞두고 크게 작용</h3>
다가오는 미국 선거는 은행들에게 추가적인 불확실성을 더하고 있다.
&#8220;트럼프의 승리는 규제/M&amp;A 분야에서의 완화로 긍정적으로 작용할 가능성이 높다. 민주당의 압승은 높은 세금, 규제 변화의 지속(또는 악화) 가능성 때문에 섹터에 가장 부정적인 결과로 작용할 가능성이 높다&#8221;라고 애널리스트들이 언급했다.
현재의 가치 평가가 연착륙에 대해 조심스레 낙관적인 모습을 보이고 있지만, 정치적 결과는 섹터에 변동성을 유발할 수 있다. 트럼프가 승리하면 은행 주식은 &#8220;즉각적인&#8221; 긍정적인 반응을 보일 가능성이 높고, 민주당이 승리하면 투자 심리에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">지역 은행이 메인스트리트 은행보다 선호됨</h3>
2024년 3분기에 이 투자 은행은 SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>)에서 추적하는 바와 같이 대형 머니 센터 은행들보다 &#8220;순이자 소득(NII)에 대한 더 나은 방어력&#8221;을 이유로 지역 은행들을 선호했다.
지역 은행들은 예금에 대한 더 큰 유연성, 더 나은 헤징 전략, 그리고 채권 평가손실이 줄어들면서 자본 완화의 가능성이 더 높다.
주요 추천주로는 U.S. 뱅코프(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>), 웨스턴 얼라이언스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>), PNC 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>), 피프스 써드(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>), M&amp;T 뱅크(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>), 그리고 트루이스트 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)이 있다.
퍼스트 뱅코프(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FBP#NYSE">FBP</a>)는 &#8220;현재 금리 기대치를 헤쳐나가기 가장 잘 대비된&#8221; 은행으로 평가되었으며, 텍사스 캐피털 뱅크셰어스(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TCBI#NASDAQ">TCBI</a>)는 가장 큰 영향을 받을 것으로 보인다.
월요일, 뱅크 오브 아메리카는 코메리카(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)를 &#8220;중립&#8221;에서 &#8220;부진&#8221;으로 하향 조정하고 목표 주가를 55달러에서 52달러로 낮췄다. 애널리스트인 브랜든 버만(Brandon Berman)은 코메리카를 지탱하던 긍정적인 금리 거래가 &#8220;그 과정을 마쳤다&#8221;고 강조하며, 이 주식은 이제 역사적 범위의 상단을 넘어서 거래되고 있어 하향 조정된 실적 전망의 위험을 반영하지 않고 있다고 설명했다.
앞으로, 10월 11일 금요일에는 JP모건 체이스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), 웰스 파고(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), 그리고 뉴욕 멜론 은행(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNY#NYSE">BNY</a>)의 주요 실적 보고가 있을 것이다.

다음 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/24/10/41214476/will-kamala-harriss-media-blitz-including-60-minutes-and-call-her-daddy-improve-her-2024-el">카멀라 해리스의 미디어 공세가 2024년 선거 전망을 개선할 수 있을까요?</a></li>
</ul>
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편집자 주: 이 기사에는 연준의 스트레스 테스트 보고서에 언급된 회사인 Citizens Financial Group Inc.가 아닌 Citizens Inc.의 주식 정보가 잘못 포함되어 수정되었습니다.
미국 연방준비제도(연준)의 연례 은행 스트레스 테스트는 수요일에 대형 은행들이 경기 침체 시나리오에서 작년보다 더 큰 예상 손실에 직면하고 있지만, 여전히 심각한 경기 침체를 견디고 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39461418/us-bank-stress-tests-this-week-analyst-expects-improvement-8-stocks-3-etfs-to-watch" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">최소 자본 요건을 유지</a>할 수 있는 좋은 위치에 있음을 보여준다.
"올해의 스트레스 테스트는 대형 은행들이 매우 스트레스가 큰 시나리오에서도 충분한 자본을 보유하고 최소 자본 비율을 충족할 수 있음을 보여준다"고 연준 감독 부문 부의장인 마이클 S. 바(Michael S. Barr)가 말했다.
올해의 스트레스 테스트 부정적 시나리오는 작년과 마찬가지로 심각하지만, 은행 대차대조표의 약간 더 높은 위험과 증가한 비용 때문에 더 큰 손실이 발생했다고 그가 말했다.
2023년 지역 은행 위기를 회상하며, 바는 중요한 교훈이 얻어졌다고 강조했다.
연준은 &#8220;대형 은행들이 일반적으로 예금 이동의 형태로 갑작스러운 자금 충격을 견딜 수 있는 좋은 위치에 있다&#8221;고 밝혔다. 또한, 자금 충격 가정을 감안하더라도 은행의 순이자 수익은 고금리 환경에서 탄력적으로 유지되고 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">2024년 은행 스트레스 테스트 세부사항, 결과</h3>
올해 테스트에서는 31개 은행 모두 총 예상 가상 손실이 약 6850억 달러에 달함에도 불구하고 최소 보통주 자본 비율 1(CET1) 요건을 초과했다.
올해의 테스트 가상 시나리오는 작년의 심각한 세계적 경기 침체 테스트와 유사하며, 상업용 부동산 가격이 40% 하락하고, 사무실 공실률이 크게 증가하며, 주택 가격이 36% 하락하는 상황을 포함한다. 실업률은 스트레스 테스트에서 10%로 정점에 달하며 경제 생산량도 이에 따라 감소했다.
이 스트레스 시나리오 하에서, 총 보통주 자본 비율(CET1)은 12.7%에서 9.9%로 2.8 퍼센트 포인트 하락할 것으로 예상된다. 이는 작년 테스트보다 더 큰 하락이지만 최근 테스트 범위 내에 있다.
올해 테스트에서 더 큰 자본 감소에 기여한 세 가지 주요 요인은 다음과 같다:
<ol>
<li>신용카드 손실 증가: 신용카드 잔액의 상당한 증가와 높은 연체율로 인해 예상되는 신용카드 손실이 증가했다. 신용카드 손실에 가장 많이 노출된 은행은 앨리 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>), 디스커버 파이낸셜 서비스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>) 및 골드만삭스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>)이다.</li>
<li>더 위험한 기업 대출 포트폴리오: 은행들은 기업 대출을 다운그레이드하여 리스크가 증가했음을 반영했고, 이로 인해 예상되는 기업 손실도 증가했다. 기업 대출 잔액에 가장 큰 영향을 받을 것으로 예상되는 은행은 디스커버 파이낸셜 서비스, 바클레이즈(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BCS#NYSE">BCS</a>) 및 시티즌 파이낸셜 그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)이다.</li>
<li>높은 비용과 낮은 수수료 수익: 비용 증가와 수수료 수익 감소로 인해 예상되는 수익이 줄어들면서 자본 감소가 악화되었다.</li>
</ol>
이러한 예상 손실에는 신용카드 손실 1,750억 달러, 상업 및 산업 대출에서 1,420억 달러, 상업용 부동산에서 770억 달러가 포함된다.
&#8220;대형 은행의 상업용 부동산(CRE) 부채 노출은 연방 준비 제도 이사회 감독관들의 주요 관심사로 남아있다&#8221;고 이 보고서에서 밝혔다.
2024년 감독관의 심각한 악화 시나리오에는 상업용 부동산(CRE) 스트레스 증가가 포함되며, CRE 가격은 40% 하락할 것으로 예상된다.
사무실 부문에서의 악화된 기본 요인으로 인해 사무실 건물 대출에 대한 예상 손실이 증가했지만, 연준은 호텔 및 소매 부동산 대출에 대한 예상 손실이 감소하면서 이러한 손실이 균형을 이루고 있다고 밝혔다. 이는 지난 해 동안 이들 부문의 시장 기본 요인이 개선되었기 때문이다.
시장 반응: 미 동부 시간 오후 5:05 기준 캐피탈 원 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>), 시티즌 파이낸셜 그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>) 및 골드만삭스는 Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) 구성 주식들 중 가장 많이 하락했다. 최고의 종목은 1.7% 상승한 트루이스트 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)이었다.
지금 읽기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39506069/yen-plummets-to-160-against-dollar-lowest-since-december-1986-is-bank-of-japan-inte">엔화는 1986년 12월 이후 최저치인 달러 대비 160으로 급락: 일본은행의 개입이 임박?</a>
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