US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (NASDAQ: UTEN)

에 대한 최신 뉴스 US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (NASDAQ:UTEN)

Fund invests at least 80 percent of the UST 10 Year Note Funds net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in the component securities of the Underlying Index.

US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF

Federal Reserve

UTEN

미국 장기 인플레이션 기대치를 측정하는 주요 시장 지표가 2023년 10월 이후 가장 높은 수준으로 급등하여, 더 지속적인 가격 압박에 대한 투자자 우려가 커지고 있음을 나타냈다. 이러한 시장 심리의 변화는 도널드 트럼프 행정부 하의 무역 정책 불확실성에 의해 촉발되었으며, 이미 연방준비제도(연준) 금리 기대치와 채권 시장의 포지셔닝에 영향을 미치고 있다.

10년 만기 물가평균 인플레이션율가 16개월 만에 최고치를 기록, 시장 인플레이션 기대 급증

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예상보다 강한 미국 경제 데이터와 급등하는 유가가 연방준비제도(연준)의 11월 회의에 대한 시장 기대를 재편하고 있다. 당초 50bp(베이시스 포인트)의 공격적인 금리 인하를 예상했던 트레이더들은 이제 25bp의 소폭 인하로 선회하고 있으며, 최근 몇 시간 동안 금리 인하 사이클의 중단 가능성에 대한 기대가 급격히 상승했다.

11월 연준 금리 인하는 위험에 직면: 강력한 데이터, 유가 상승에 유명 투자자가 동결을 예상

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iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

피치 레이팅스(Fitch Ratings)는 목요일 미국 국가신용등급을 &#39;AA+&#39;로 재확인하고 안정적인 전망을 제시하며 높은 1인당 국민소득과 미국 달러가 제공하는 재정적 유연성 등의 장점을 언급했다.

피치는 미국의 &#39;AA+&#39; 신용등급을 재확인하면서, &#34;부채 부담이 커지고 있다&#34;고 경고

The U.S. government has reportedly issued a diplomatic questionnaire to European leaders. The questionnaire seeks to understand their position on Ukraine&#8217;s security and their readiness to defend <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42935659/mary-trump-blasts-uncle-over-wildfire-comments-if-donald-trump-can-profit-from-your-death-he-will-facilitate-it">Ukraine without U.S. leadership</a>.
What Happened: The questionnaire is seen as a measure of European leaders&#8217; determination amidst the ongoing Ukraine conflict. It included questions like, &#8220;Are&nbsp;there any countries you believe&nbsp;would be indispensable, like maybe&nbsp;the United States of America?&#8221; and &#8220;Specifically,&nbsp;what short-term and long-term resources&nbsp;do you think will be&nbsp;required from the United States?&#8221;
According to Mary Trump, President Donald Trump's estranged niece, some have found these questions offensive, suggesting that the US is reconsidering its role in the conflict. This change in stance is believed to be due to&nbsp;Trump&nbsp;and his administration aligning with&nbsp;Vladimir Putin&#8216;s Moscow agenda.
&#8220;Why suddenly is the United States riddled with such uncertainty about its role in the conflict? That's simple: it's because Donald Trump and his corrupt fascist regime are aligned with the agenda of Vladimir Putin and Moscow. This is a travesty. And it's a travesty that the people in charge, including those at the State Department, care nothing and know nothing about diplomacy and statecraft,&#8221; Mary Trump wrote in her latest blog <a href="https://www.marytrump.org/p/at-the-fulcrum-of-history">post</a>. 
In response, European leaders are escalating their efforts to counteract US foreign policy. An emergency summit was convened in Paris last week, attended by France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, the Netherlands and Denmark, along with top EU and NATO officials, to devise a response to these developments.
Also Read:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/02/43581792/mary-trump-slams-uncle-says-president-isnt-just-destroying-democracy-hes-handing-unchecked-power-to-people-like-elon-musk" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Mary Trump Slams Uncle, Says President ‘Isn't Just Destroying Democracy, He's Handing Unchecked Power to People Like Elon Musk'</a>
The U.S. seems to be shifting its responsibilities onto its allies, waiting to see who will stand for it. This change in U.S. policy has created increasing&nbsp;uncertainty about its role in&nbsp;the conflict, leaving&nbsp;European leaders scrambling to respond.
&#8220;Donald's increasingly hostile stance towards Ukraine and continuing appeasement of Putin has European leaders scrambling to respond to yet another reckless move by the United States,&#8221; she added in the post. 
Mary Trump mentioned that President Volodomyr Zelensky has remained clear himself as to&nbsp;Ukraine&#8217;s&nbsp;position on what the future of Ukraine looks like.
&#8220;Donald is calling this the grotesque display that occurred in Saudi Arabia a "peace negotiation," but Zelensky very properly is calling bullshit. He originally had scheduled a visit Saudi Arabia but canceled it when he realized that the United States and Russia planned to meet without giving Ukraine, the aggrieved party, a seat at the negotiating table,&#8221; she said. 
Why It Matters: The US&#8217;s shift in stance towards the Ukraine conflict is a significant development. The questionnaire, seen as a test of European resolve, has implications for the global balance of power and the future of international diplomacy. 
The response of European leaders to this questionnaire and the subsequent actions will be crucial in shaping the course of the Ukraine conflict and the role of the US in global conflicts.
Read Next
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/02/43758634/mary-trump-warns-dni-gabbard-could-lead-to-catastrophic-outcome-a-known-russian-asset-defender-of-murderous-dictator-assad">Mary Trump Warns DNI Gabbard Could Lead To &#8216;Catastrophic Outcome&#8217;: &#8216;A Known Russian Asset,&#8217; Defender of &#8216;Murderous Dictator&#8217; Assad</a>
Image: Shutterstock

News

Mary Trump Slams Uncle: 'Trump and His Corrupt Fascist Regime Are Aligned With the Agenda of Vladimir Putin and Moscow'

Each week,&nbsp;Benzinga&#8217;s Stock Whisper Index&nbsp;uses a combination of proprietary data and pattern recognition to showcase five stocks that are just under the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/stock-whisper-index" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">surface and deserve attention</a>.
Investors are constantly on the hunt for undervalued, under-followed and emerging stocks. With countless methods available to retail traders, the challenge often lies in sifting through the abundance of information to uncover new opportunities and understand why certain stocks should be of interest.
Read Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/01/42802731/exclusive-top-20-most-searched-tickers-on-benzinga-pro-in-2024-where-do-tesla-nvidia-gamestop-trump-media-stocks-rank" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">EXCLUSIVE: Top 20 Most-Searched Tickers On Benzinga Pro In 2024 — Where Do Tesla, Nvidia, GameStop, Trump Media Stocks Rank?</a>
Here's a look at the Benzinga Stock Whisper Index for the week ending Feb. 21:
 Sempra (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRE#NYSE">SRE</a>): The utility company saw an increase of interest from Benzinga readers during the week. The company will report fourth-quarter financial results next week. Analysts expect the company to report earnings per share of $1.60, up from $1.13 in last year's fourth quarter according to data <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">from Benzinga Pro. </a>The company has missed analyst estimates for earnings per share in two straight quarters, while beating in eight of the last 10 quarters overall. Analysts expect the company to report fourth-quarter revenue of $4.36 billion. The company has missed analyst estimates in six straight quarters and seven of the last 10 quarters overall. Sempra's report could be followed closer than normal given the company's presence in the California market where<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42899953/five-dead-in-los-angeles-wildfires-utilities-face-scrutiny"> wildfires took place.</a>
The stock was up around 3% for the week, as seen in the <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro chart </a>below. Shares are up 21% over the last year.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1001" height="464" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171734/Screenshot-334.png" alt="" class="wp-image-793864" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171734/Screenshot-334.png 1001w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171734/Screenshot-334-300x139.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171734/Screenshot-334-768x356.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1001px) 100vw, 1001px" /></a></figure>
Vistra Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VST#NYSE">VST</a>): Investors paid close attention to the energy company this week, which has been a top performing stock over the last year. With ties to the nuclear energy business, the stock has soared and is up over 200% in the last year. JPMorgan <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/43039348/are-utilities-the-new-tech-why-entergy-nisource-vistra-are-jpmorgans-top-picks-for-2025">named the stock</a> one of the top utility stocks for 2025 earlier this year. The company is scheduled to report fourth-quarter financial results Thursday Feb. 27. Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings of $1.14 per share. The company has beat analyst estimates in two straight quarter and four of the last 10 quarters. Analysts expect the company to report quarterly revenue of $3.89 billion. The company has beaten analyst estimates in two of the last three quarters, but missed estimates in seven of the last 10 quarters. Several analyst <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/VST/analyst-ratings">reiterated bullish ratings </a>on the stock in recent weeks with BMO maintaining an Outperform and raising the price target from $151 to $191.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="999" height="504" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171749/Screenshot-335.png" alt="" class="wp-image-793865" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171749/Screenshot-335.png 999w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171749/Screenshot-335-300x151.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171749/Screenshot-335-768x387.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 999px) 100vw, 999px" /></a></figure>
Alibaba Group Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BABA#NYSE">BABA</a>): The large Chinese e-commerce stock saw strong interest over the week thanks to earnings results and increased investments in the artificial intelligence sector. The company <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/02/43846533/alibaba-q3-earnings-revenue-and-eps-beat-eyes-global-e-commerce-profitability-in-fy25-increase-investments-in-ai">beat third-quarter </a>revenue and earnings per share estimates. The company has now beaten analyst estimates for earnings per share in nine of the last 10 quarters, while missing revenue estimates in seven of the last 10 quarters. In the quarterly results, Alibaba saw revenue grow across many segments on a year-over-year basis. Alibaba said it expects its international e-commerce unit to be profitable in the next quarter. The company also said it <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43874037/alibaba-sees-ai-gold-rush-in-cloud-computing-not-open-and-closed-source-modelshints-monetization-lies-in-powering-ai-not-selling-it">expects to invest</a> more in Cloud and AI in the next three years than in the last decade. Alibaba is focusing on cloud computing as the primary monetization effort for its AI efforts instead of AI models.
Multiple Alibaba analysts<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/BABA/analyst-ratings"> raised their price targets </a>on the stock after the quarterly results, including Benchmark's Fawne Jiang who <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/25/02/43888574/alibabas-ai-expansion-e-commerce-growth-reinforce-bullish-analyst-outlook">maintained a Buy rating</a> and raised the target from $118 to $190. Jiang said the company's e-commerce business is rebounding along with the investments in cloud and AI.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="995" height="506" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171806/Screenshot-336.png" alt="" class="wp-image-793866" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171806/Screenshot-336.png 995w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171806/Screenshot-336-300x153.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171806/Screenshot-336-768x391.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px" /></a></figure>
AptarGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ATR#NYSE">ATR</a>): The dispensing systems company saw strong interest from Benzinga readers during the week. The company recently reported fourth-quarter financial results with earnings per share beating analyst estimates and revenue missing analyst estimates. The company <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/ATR/analyst-ratings">saw several analysts </a>recently maintain bullish ratings, while lowering their price targets. Given the rising interest in the stock and the $10 billion market capitalization, AptarGroup could be a stock to watch for investors. The stock was up around 2% in the last week and shares are up 5% over the last year.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="995" height="505" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171821/Screenshot-337.png" alt="" class="wp-image-793868" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171821/Screenshot-337.png 995w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171821/Screenshot-337-300x152.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171821/Screenshot-337-768x390.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px" /></a></figure>
Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HWM#NYSE">HWM</a>): The aerospace company recently reported <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43697801/howmet-aerospace-q4-revenue-up-92-beats-estimatesprovides-2025-outlook-amid-boeing-and-airbus-uncertainty">fourth-quarter financial results </a>with earnings per share and revenue topping estimates. The company has now beat analyst estimates for earnings per share in eight straight quarters and for revenue in nine of the last 10 quarters. In the quarter, the company saw double-digit growth across many of the reporting segments on a year-over-year basis. Several analysts <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/HWM/analyst-ratings">raised their price targets </a>on the stock after the financial results. Howmet executives said they expect aftermarket growth for spares of 20% to 25% year-over-year in 2025. Executives also cautioned on renegotiations of long-term contracts and the potential tariff impact.
The stock was up slightly during the week and shares are up over 100% in the last year.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="995" height="502" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171835/Screenshot-338.png" alt="" class="wp-image-793869" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171835/Screenshot-338.png 995w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171835/Screenshot-338-300x151.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/21171835/Screenshot-338-768x387.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px" /></a></figure>
Stay tuned for next week&#8217;s report, and follow Benzinga Pro for all the latest headlines and <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent022125&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">top market-moving stories here.</a>
Read the latest Stock Whisper Index reports here:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43066466/benzingas-stock-whisper-index-5-stocks-investors-secretly-monitor-but-dont-talk-about-yet" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">January 17</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/01/43201590/benzinga-stock-whisper-index-5-stocks-investors-secretly-monitor-but-dont-talk-about-yet-2" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">January 24</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/02/43419547/benzingas-stock-whisper-index-5-stocks-investors-secretly-monitor-but-dont-talk-about-yet-52" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">January 31</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/02/43578212/benzingas-stock-whisper-index-5-stocks-investors-secretly-monitor-but-dont-talk-about-yet-53">February 7</a></li>
</ul>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/01/43041374/exclusive-how-high-will-sp-500-go-under-donald-trump-in-2025-readers-are-optimistic-26-say-this" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">EXCLUSIVE: How High Will S&amp;P 500 Go Under Donald Trump In 2025? Readers Are Optimistic, 26% Say This…</a></li>
</ul>

Exclusives

Trading Ideas

BABA

Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: 5 Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yet

On Friday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades involving Beam Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BEAM#NASDAQ">BEAM</a>), Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NU#NYSE">NU</a>), MercadoLibre Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MELI#NASDAQ">MELI</a>), and Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADPT#NASDAQ">ADPT</a>).
The BEAM Trade
Ark Invest, through its ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARKG#BATS">ARKG</a>) and ARK Innovation ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARKK#NYSE">ARKK</a>), bought a total of 24,640 shares of Beam Therapeutics.
This comes after the firm&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43755344/cathie-woods-ark-invest-loads-up-on-iridium-twist-bioscience-offloads-roku-here-are-key-ark-trades-this-friday">previous acquisition</a> of Beam Therapeutics shares just a week prior. The value of this trade, calculated from the latest closing price is nearly $750,000.
The NU Trade
Ark Invest, through its ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARKF#NYSE">ARKF</a>), bought 162,143 shares of Nu Holdings Ltd. This marks a significant investment in the fintech company, reflecting Ark&#8217;s strategic positioning in the dynamic tech sector.
The value of this trade, calculated from the latest closing price is over $1.75 million.
The MELI and ADPT Trades
On the same day, Ark Invest also sold shares of MercadoLibre Inc and Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp. Through its ARK Fintech Innovation ETF, Ark sold 347 shares of MercadoLibre.
Meanwhile, through its ARK Genomic Revolution ETF, Ark offloaded 8,129 shares of Adaptive Biotechnologies.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43900360/bill-gates-has-a-warning-for-the-next-generation-says-be-very-afraid-of-these-4-issues">Bill Gates Has A Warning For The Next Generation, Says Be ‘Very Afraid&#8217; Of These 4 Issues</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Ark Invest

Equities

Markets

ADPT

ARKF

ARKG

ARKK

BEAM

MELI

Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Loads Up On Beam Therapeutics, Nu Holdings: Offloads MercadoLibre, Adaptive Biotechnologies

Market intelligence firm&nbsp;Santiment&nbsp;has identified three key metrics suggesting a potential bullish move for&nbsp;Bitcoin&nbsp;(CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>).
What Happened: The analytics platform highlights&nbsp;that the average returns of&nbsp;wallets, the dormancy period of coins, and Bitcoin&#8217;s supply on exchanges all indicate a possible upward swing for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap.
Santiment <a href="https://insights.santiment.net/read/biweekly-market-update-crypto-markets-react-to-inflation-and-scandals-8485">notes</a> that historically, accumulating BTC when wallets&#8217; average returns are below 0% has proven to be a strong strategy. Currently, wallets&nbsp;active in the past 30&nbsp;days show average returns of approximately -2.9%.
This suggests that buying or adding to positions could be statistically advantageous.
Additionally,&nbsp;older BTC tokens are circulating&nbsp;at a &#8220;healthy rate,&#8221; which is often a precursor to a rally. Santiment explains that when dormant tokens move frequently, it signals a healthy circulation, typically seen during prolonged bull runs.
Finally, Santiment points out that the amount of BTC on exchanges remains low after a significant withdrawal of coins into cold wallets in late 2024.
Currently, 7.6% of Bitcoin is held in known exchange wallets, compared to 9.92% six months ago.
Why It Matters: The potential bullish signals for Bitcoin come amid broader discussions about its role in economic strategies.&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43878748/michael-saylor-bitcoin-is-economic-armor-calls-on-us-to-accumulate-btc">Michael Saylor</a>, a prominent Bitcoin advocate, recently called on the U.S. government to accumulate Bitcoin, suggesting it could serve as &#8220;economic armor&#8221; and help eliminate national debt.
This perspective aligns with&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43889897/bitcoin-strategic-reserve-with-1-million-btc-could-offset-21-trillion-national-debt">Matthew Sigel&#8217;s</a>&nbsp;vision of using Bitcoin as a strategic reserve to offset the national debt by 2049.
However, not all outlooks are positive.&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43852658/bitcoin-ethereum-face-downside-risk-as-institutional-demand-fades-jpmorgan-says">JPMorgan analysts</a>&nbsp;have expressed concerns over declining institutional demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum futures, which could signal broader market weakness.
This decline in demand has been associated with futures contracts nearing backwardation, a condition where futures prices fall below spot prices, often seen during market downturns.
Price Action: Bitcoin was trading at $96,204 at the time of writing, declining by nearly 2% in the last 24 hours, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
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Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Coverage of Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple and all the latest digital currencies.

Cryptocurrency

$BTC

Bitcoin's Bullish Signals: These 3 Key Metrics Indicate Potential Upswing, Says Research Firm

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has reported a dramatic increase in measles cases across the nation, raising alarms about potential public health implications.
What Happened: The CDC reported a significant increase in measles cases, with numbers rising to 93 from 14 in just one week, according to a Reuters report.
This surge is primarily attributed to an&nbsp;outbreak in Gaines County, Texas,&nbsp;where cases have escalated to 57 from 22 since February 11.
Texas has reported a total of 90 cases, prompting concerns about the potential spread to other regions within the state. The&nbsp;Texas Department of State Health&nbsp;Services&nbsp;has warned of more cases emerging due to the outbreak in Gaines County.
The CDC has identified cases in several states, including&nbsp;Alaska, California, Georgia, New Jersey,&nbsp;New Mexico, New York City,&nbsp;Rhode Island, and Texas.
Notably, 95% of those affected were either unvaccinated or had an unknown&nbsp;vaccination status.
Only 4% had received&nbsp;one dose of the measles-mumps-rubella&nbsp;vaccine, and none had received the two doses recommended by the agency.
Among the reported cases, 28 involved children under two years old, and 48 were individuals aged five to 19.
Although measles&nbsp;was declared eliminated in the&nbsp;U.S. in 2000, the virus can still spread through&nbsp;travelers from countries where measles&nbsp;is prevalent. The CDC noted three outbreaks in 2025, compared to 16 in 2024, which saw 285 cases.
Why It Matters: The recent surge in measles cases is part of a broader pattern of emerging infectious diseases that have been challenging public health systems.
Earlier this year, a&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/25/01/42854890/us-records-first-human-bird-flu-death-high-levels-of-respiratory-illnesses-vaccine-stocks-rally">bird flu strain</a>&nbsp;was detected in Nevada, marking the first human death in the U.S. related to the H5N1 virus.
Additionally, the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/24/08/40381585/who-declares-mpox-public-health-emergency-coordinated-international-response-essential-to-hal">World Health Organization</a>&nbsp;declared Mpox a public health emergency in 2024, emphasizing the need for a coordinated international response.
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Health Care

General

Measles Cases Surge 5x In US In A Week, CDC Reports: Outbreak Primarily Originating From A Texas County

Bill Gates&nbsp;has outlined critical challenges for future generations, emphasizing the importance of addressing bioterrorism, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
What Happened: The Microsoft Corp. co-founder, reflecting on his fears from the 1950s, also noted the persistent threat of nuclear war.
However, he highlighted additional concerns for younger generations, including the potential dangers of bioterrorism and the improper development of AI. Gates also stressed the need for societal unity to combat polarization.
"A nuclear war or a super bad bioterrorism event, or not shaping AI properly or not bringing society together a little bit around the polarization. Those four things, yes, the younger generation has to be very afraid of those things," he said.
Gates shared these insights during a conversation with Patrick Collison at&nbsp;the Computer History Museum last&nbsp;week.
"It's fine that people are worrying about the problems we face, including how we shape AI and polarization and we're arguably less ready for a pandemic now than after the last one because of the divisiveness that's come in around that."
Gates, 69,&nbsp;added climate change to the&nbsp;list of pressing issues&nbsp;for millennials and Gen Z. Despite these challenges, he expressed optimism about the future, citing advancements in health and literacy.
Subscribe to the&nbsp;<a href="https://bztechtrends.beehiiv.com/subscribe" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Tech Trends newsletter</a>&nbsp;to get all the latest tech developments delivered to your inbox.
"The&nbsp;big headline is people are&nbsp;living longer, people are learning&nbsp;more, people are more literate."
Gates, who also co-founded the&nbsp;Gates Foundation, suggested that emphasizing these issues might sometimes involve exaggerating their impact to motivate action.
He remains hopeful, predicting breakthroughs in diseases like Alzheimer&#8217;s and HIV, and the eradication of polio and malaria.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43755136/bill-gates-wanted-a-friend-to-take-charge-of-microsoft-due-to-regret-over-leaving-harvard-but-heres-why-he-panicked-and-dropped-out">Bill Gates Wanted A Friend To &#8216;Take Charge&#8217; Of Microsoft Due To Regret Over Leaving Harvard, But Here&#8217;s Why He Panicked And Dropped Out</a>
Why It Matters: Gates&#8217; emphasis on artificial intelligence aligns with his previous discussions on the topic.
Earlier, Gates highlighted&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/12/36322815/bill-gates-reveals-five-cutting-edge-ai-innovations-he-is-excited-about">AI&#8217;s transformative potential</a>&nbsp;in healthcare, underscoring its role in consumer applications.
However, he also acknowledged AI&#8217;s limitations, noting that while it is not a panacea, its benefits are substantial. He elaborated on AI&#8217;s strengths and weaknesses during an interview, emphasizing its potential despite current shortcomings.
Gates further explored AI&#8217;s societal impact, predicting that its integration into the workforce could lead to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/12/42438799/bill-gates-predicts-ai-in-the-workforce-will-lead-to-so-much-leisure-time-but-itll-create-a-what-do-we-do-with-all-that-time-problem">increased leisure time</a>.
However, he raised concerns about the societal implications of this shift, questioning how people will utilize the additional time.
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Check out more of Benzinga's Consumer Tech coverage by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/consumer-tech" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">following this link</a>.
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Tech

Bill Gates Has A Warning For The Next Generation, Says Be 'Very Afraid' Of These 4 Issues

Uber Technologies Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UBER#NYSE">UBER</a>) CEO,&nbsp;Dara Khosrowshahi, stated that&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;has no plans to integrate&nbsp;Tesla Inc.&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>)&#8217;s forthcoming robotaxis into Uber&#8217;s platform.
What Happened: Speaking <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-21/uber-ceo-says-musk-wants-to-go-alone-on-tesla-robotaxi-rollout">with</a> Bloomberg TV at the FII conference in Miami on Friday, Khosrowshahi revealed that Musk plans to roll out Tesla's robotaxi service without external partnerships.
&#8220;They want to build it alone, so to some extent in Austin, we and Waymo will be competing with Tesla when they launch,&#8221; he said, referencing Alphabet Inc.&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) autonomous vehicle unit.
Khosrowshahi believes that Uber would be a logical platform for Tesla drivers, as it introduces variable demand to the autonomous vehicle (AV) ecosystem. 
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/25/02/43899750/trump-team-threatens-to-cut-ukraines-access-to-elon-musks-starlink-over-minerals-dispute-report">Trump Team Threatens To Cut Ukraine&#8217;s Access To Elon Musk&#8217;s Starlink Over Minerals Dispute: Report</a>
Uber has intensified its focus on autonomous vehicle (AV) technology in recent years, forging over a dozen manufacturing partnerships and investing in multiple self-driving tech firms since 2023. The company is preparing to roll out autonomous rides with Waymo in Austin next month, followed by an expansion to Atlanta this summer.
Why It Matters: This revelation comes after <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43724986/uber-ceo-looks-forward-to-tesla-partnership-for-robotaxis-no-one-wants-to-compete-against-tesla-or-elon">Khosrowshahi expressed optimism </a>about a potential partnership between Uber and Tesla for robotaxis. In a recent interview, he stated that he hoped to convince Tesla to work with Uber, emphasizing that no one wants to compete against Tesla if they can help it.
Uber halted its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/01/42801896/uber-ceo-dara-khosrowshahi-resigns-from-board-of-autonomous-vehicle-tech-company-aurora">in-house self-driving car development</a> in 2020, selling its autonomous vehicle division to Aurora. Reflecting on the decision, the CEO explained that during the pandemic, he prioritized capital efficiency, as the company was incurring massive losses in robotaxi development. He acknowledged that hardware was not Uber's core strength.
The launch of Tesla's robotaxis and Waymo's expanded operations could impact Uber's ride volume growth and reduce its commission rates, according to Bloomberg. Additionally, Waymo offers driverless rides through its app in key markets like San Francisco and is set to expand to Miami next year.
Check out more of Benzinga&#8217;s Future Of Mobility coverage by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/mobility" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">following this link.</a>
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Tesla

GOOG

GOOGL

TSLA

UBER

Will Elon Musk's Tesla Team Up With Uber To Roll Out Robotaxis? CEO Dara Khosrowshahi Spills The Beans

Goldman Sachs estimates that a proposed 10%<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/startups/25/02/43690898/trade-war-2-0-why-trumps-tariff-plans-could-be-worse-than-2018"> U.S. oil tariff</a> could lead to a $10 billion annual loss for foreign producers, posing a significant threat to Canadian and Latin American heavy crude suppliers that depend on U.S. refiners.
What Happened: The proposed tariff stems from the reliance of Canadian and Latin American heavy crude on U.S. refiners, given their limited alternative buyers and processing options. 
President Donald Trump is now considering a 25% tariff on Mexican crude and a 10% levy on Canadian crude starting in March, after delaying his initial proposal. Despite this, Goldman Sachs anticipates that the U.S. will remain the dominant market for heavy crude due to its advanced refining infrastructure and cost efficiency.
Analysts also estimate that light oil prices would need to increase by 50 cents per barrel for medium crude from the Middle East to become more appealing to Asian refiners. This shift is driven by U.S. Gulf Coast refiners favoring domestic light crude over imported medium grades.
It projects that U.S. consumers could face an annual tariff burden of $22 billion, while the government stands to generate $20 billion in revenue. Meanwhile, refiners and traders could gain $12 billion by leveraging discounted U.S. light crude and foreign heavy crude in premium coastal markets.
SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43805107/vivek-ramaswamy-foresees-bitcoin-as-a-more-common-corporate-treasury-holding-as-era-of-easy-money-ends" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;Vivek Ramaswamy Foresees Bitcoin As A ‘More Common' Corporate Treasury Holding As Era Of Easy Money Ends</a> 
Why It Matters: Trump&#8217;s proposed oil tariffs are part of a broader strategy to reshape global trade. Earlier in the week, he announced plans to impose a&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43805852/trump-shakes-global-trade-with-25-auto-chip-and-pharma-tariffs-announcement-asian-stocks-pare-their-five-day-rally">25% tariff on auto imports, alongside chips and pharmaceuticals</a>, causing a stir in international trade. This move is expected to take effect in April.
The President also&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/02/43899444/trump-moves-to-impose-tariffs-on-countries-with-digital-taxes-defending-apple-amazon-meta-google-and-other-us-tech-giants">ordered his trade chief to reopen investigations into digital service taxes</a>&nbsp;imposed on U.S. tech firms, a move that could result in new tariffs on affected countries. These actions are part of Trump&#8217;s efforts to address what he calls an unfair trade balance with other nations.
Trump&#8217;s tariff plans have sparked a debate about their potential impact on the stock market. A recent&nbsp;<a href="https://in.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/02/43827291/exclusive-will-trumps-tariffs-hurt-or-help-stock-market-59-say-this">Benzinga poll</a>&nbsp;showed that 59% of respondents believe that Trump&#8217;s tariffs could hurt the stock market.
Meanwhile, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both tumbled 1.7% on Friday, recording their steepest single-day losses since Dec. 18. At the same time Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) ended 2.07% lower, according to data from <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro.</a>
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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Commodities

Trump's 10% Oil Tariff Could Deal $10 Billion Annual Blow To Canada And Other Foreign Producers, Goldman Sachs Warns

President Donald Trump is reportedly moving closer to securing a deal that would grant the U.S. substantial mineral rights in Ukraine. This comes amid escalating tensions between the two nations.
What Happened: On Friday, Trump&nbsp;expressed optimism about finalizing an agreement that could potentially bring $500 billion to the U.S. as part of a broader strategy to align with Russia to end the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, according to a report <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/21/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-minerals-peace.html">by</a> the New York Times.
"So, we're signing an agreement, hopefully in the next fairly short period of time," he said, according to the report.
Meanwhile,&nbsp;Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed that efforts are underway to draft an agreement, aiming to ease tensions with the U.S. over the proposed deal.
"This agreement can add value to our relations — what matters most is getting the details right to ensure it truly works," he said in a post on X, formerly Twitter.
Trump is focusing on securing&nbsp;rare earth and other minerals&nbsp;from Ukraine in exchange for&nbsp;American support. The negotiations have seen Ukraine strengthening its position as the U.S. and Russia engage in talks to end the conflict.
Despite initial resistance, some Ukrainian officials have advised Zelensky to proceed with the deal after addressing concerns over mineral profits and security commitments.
As negotiations continue, Zelensky remains focused on ensuring the agreement&#8217;s effectiveness, while simultaneously seeking support from European allies to fill potential gaps if U.S. backing wanes.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Today, Ukrainian and U.S. teams are working on a draft agreement between our governments. This agreement can add value to our relations—what matters most is getting the details right to ensure it truly works. I look forward to a just results. <a href="https://t.co/o9jbiiiJTq">pic.twitter.com/o9jbiiiJTq</a>
&mdash; Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) <a href="https://twitter.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1893056463431483526?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 21, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Why It Matters: The ongoing negotiations over Ukraine&#8217;s mineral rights have been contentious, with the U.S. reportedly threatening to cut Ukraine&#8217;s access to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/25/02/43899750/trump-team-threatens-to-cut-ukraines-access-to-elon-musks-starlink-over-minerals-dispute-report">SpaceX&#8217;s Starlink</a>&nbsp;satellite internet service as a bargaining chip. This move followed the rejection of an initial proposal by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
Earlier, Trump had warned Zelensky to negotiate an end to Russia&#8217;s invasion swiftly or risk losing Ukraine entirely. In a&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43837157/trump-labels-zelenskyy-a-dictator-without-elections-urges-ukraine-to-negotiate-or-risk-losing-war">Truth Social post</a>, Trump labeled Zelensky a &#8220;dictator without elections,&#8221; accusing him of misusing U.S. aid.
Ukraine had previously rejected Trump&#8217;s offer to take 50% ownership of its rare earth minerals, calling it a&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/02/43788546/ukraine-officials-stall-trumps-colonial-rare-earths-bid-prefer-mutually-beneficial-deal">&#8220;colonial agreement.&#8221;</a>&nbsp;As negotiations continue, the outcome of this deal could significantly impact U.S.-Ukraine relations and the broader geopolitical landscape.
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Global

Trump Administration Eyes Mineral Rights Deal With Ukraine Amid Rising Tensions: 'We're Signing An Agreement'

In a significant shift in military leadership, President&nbsp;Donald Trump&nbsp;has removed Air Force General&nbsp;C.Q. Brown&nbsp;from his role as&nbsp;chairman of the Joint Chiefs&nbsp;of Staff. This decision, announced on Friday, has led to a reshuffle within the U.S. military&#8217;s top ranks.
What Happened: Trump revealed on Truth Social his intention to nominate former Lieutenant General&nbsp;Dan &#8220;Razin&#8221; Caine&nbsp;as Brown&#8217;s successor. This marks the first time a retired officer has been nominated for this prestigious position.
The reshuffle extends beyond Brown&#8217;s dismissal. Admiral&nbsp;Lisa Franchetti,&nbsp;the first woman to lead&nbsp;a military service, will be replaced&nbsp;as head of the U.S.&nbsp;Navy.
Additionally,&nbsp;the air force vice chief&nbsp;of staff and&nbsp;judge advocates general for the&nbsp;Army, Navy, and Air Force are also being removed, as confirmed by the Pentagon.
Trump&#8217;s actions have drawn criticism from Democratic lawmakers. Senator&nbsp;Jack Reed&nbsp;and Representative&nbsp;Seth Moulton&nbsp;have voiced their concerns, citing potential politicization and risks to national security, according to a report by Reuters.
Defense Secretary&nbsp;Pete Hegseth&nbsp;had expressed doubts regarding Brown&#8217;s appointment, questioning whether it was based on merit or race.&nbsp;Brown, a former fighter pilot, has previously spoken about facing discrimination in the military.
Why It Matters: This reshuffle comes amid Trump&#8217;s broader efforts to reshape military policies.
In January, Trump signed executive orders aimed at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/43266467/trumps-executive-orders-make-us-most-lethal-fighting-force-in-the-world-iron-dome-defense-system-get-woke-policies-out-of-military">strengthening</a> U.S. military capabilities, including the construction of an Iron Dome missile defense system, modeled after Israel&#8217;s defense technology.
Trump emphasized the need for a &#8220;strong, strong defense&#8221; to ensure the U.S. remains the &#8220;most lethal fighting force in the world.&#8221;
Additionally, Trump has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/02/43752207/were-going-to-find-billions-trump-targets-pentagon-for-deep-spending-cuts">targeted</a> the Pentagon&#8217;s $800 billion budget for deep spending cuts, aligning with&nbsp;Elon Musk&#8216;s efforts to uncover potential &#8220;fraud and abuse.&#8221;
This move has raised <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/02/43578729/court-halts-musks-doge-squad-from-gaining-access-to-treasury-payment-systems-a-risk-of-irreparable-harm">concerns</a> about conflicts of interest, given Musk&#8217;s government contracts. However, National Security Adviser&nbsp;Mike Waltz&nbsp;assured that &#8220;appropriate firewalls&#8221; would be in place.
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Trump Dismisses Top US General, Breaks From Tradition To Nominate Retired Officer As Top Military Officer

Goldman Sachs expert Scott Rubner has cautioned that Wall Street stocks may face a downturn, citing growing instability in the options market as a key factor behind his prediction.
What Happened: According to a note from Scott Rubner, the stock market could come under pressure as nearly $2.7 trillion in U.S. stock market derivatives approach expiration, reported by Reuters on Friday. If these contracts remain unexercised, heightened volatility may follow.
Rubner also highlighted additional factors that could slow stock buying, including the impending annual tax payments by U.S. retail traders and the seasonal decline in retirement fund contributions to mutual and exchange-traded funds in March.
SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/02/43805107/vivek-ramaswamy-foresees-bitcoin-as-a-more-common-corporate-treasury-holding-as-era-of-easy-money-ends" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> Vivek Ramaswamy Foresees Bitcoin As A ‘More Common' Corporate Treasury Holding As Era Of Easy Money Ends</a>
Approximately $2.7 trillion in equity options were set to expire on Friday, covering bets on the S&amp;P 500, U.S. exchange-traded funds, and individual stocks. According to a Goldman Sachs note, banks and intermediaries holding over $9 billion in hedges for these trades have helped stabilize market volatility.
Dan Izzo, founder of hedge fund BLKBRD Asset Management and a former bank trader, explained that if investors fail to renew their options bets, intermediaries will be forced to unwind their hedges. This creates significant short-term pressure. The bigger risk is if &#8220;no one willing to buy that impact, we could see it trigger a larger sell off,&#8221; Izzo warned.
Why It Matters: Although the S&amp;P 500 and European stock markets reached record highs on Tuesday, they have since retreated. The decline is partly driven by President Donald Trump&#8216;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43805852/trump-shakes-global-trade-with-25-auto-chip-and-pharma-tariffs-announcement-asian-stocks-pare-their-five-day-rally">tariff warning on pharmaceuticals, semiconductor </a>chips, and wood, fueling trade war concerns and rattling investors.
The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration raised concerns for many giants including Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), and Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), among others. 
In a poll conducted by Benzinga,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/02/43827658/exclusive-apple-nvidia-tesla-or-boeing-which-company-faces-the-biggest-risk-from-trumps-china-tariffs-35-say-this-stock" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">35% of the respondents&nbsp;</a>believed that Apple would see maximum impact from Trump's tariffs due to its reliance on Chinese supply chains. Most respondents also feel that these plans could provoke retaliation from other nations. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/02/43839627/apple-may-hike-iphone-prices-by-9-due-to-trumps-tariffs-says-bank-of-america" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Analysts at the Bank of America</a>&nbsp;securities have suggested that Apple may need to increase iPhone prices by 9% to counter the tariffs.
Meanwhile, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both tumbled 1.7% on Friday, recording their steepest single-day losses since Dec. 18. At the same time Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) ended 2.07% lower, according to data from <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro.</a>
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

AAPL

NVDA

Top Analyst Warns Of Looming Stock Market Correction As S&P 500 Records Biggest Single Day Loss Since December: 'We Could See It Trigger A Larger Sell Off'

US negotiators have reportedly threatened to cut Ukraine&#8217;s access to SpaceX&#8217;s Starlink satellite internet service. This move comes amid ongoing negotiations over <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/02/43788546/ukraine-officials-stall-trumps-colonial-rare-earths-bid-prefer-mutually-beneficial-deal">access to Ukraine&#8217;s critical minerals.</a>
What Happened: Negotiators from the U.S. have been pushing Ukraine to provide access to its vital minerals. As a bargaining chip, they have raised the prospect of revoking <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/12/42719245/elon-musks-starlink-to-bring-space-based-mobile-connectivity-to-ukraine">Ukraine&#8217;s access to the Starlink</a> internet system, which is owned by Elon Musk&#8216;s&nbsp;SpaceX,&nbsp;Reuters&nbsp;reported.
This development follows the rejection of an initial proposal from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
During a meeting between U.S. special Ukraine envoy&nbsp;Keith Kellogg&nbsp;and Zelenskiy, Ukraine was warned of a potential shutdown of the Starlink service if a deal on critical minerals was not reached, according to the report. 
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/25/02/43807232/trump-praises-elon-musks-starlink-rollout-says-spacex-rocket-recovery-is-like-you-grab-a-beautiful-little-babyclaims-us-russia-china-cant-compete">Trump Praises Elon Musk&#8217;s Starlink Rollout, Says SpaceX Rocket Recovery Is &#8216;Like You Grab A Beautiful Little Baby:&#8217; &#8216;Nobody Else Can Do It&#8217;</a>
Starlink has been vital in maintaining Ukraine's internet access amid the ongoing conflict. &#8220;Ukraine&nbsp;runs on Starlink. They consider&nbsp;it their North Star,&#8221; a source told the publication. 
&#8220;Losing&nbsp;Starlink &#8230; would be a&nbsp;massive blow.&#8221;
Melinda Haring, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, stressed that Starlink is crucial for Ukraine's drone operations, a cornerstone of its military strategy. &#8220;Losing Starlink would be a game changer,&#8221; she warned.
Why It Matters: The U.S. has been actively involved in the Ukraine-Russia conflict, with President Trump&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43837157/trump-labels-zelenskyy-a-dictator-without-elections-urges-ukraine-to-negotiate-or-risk-losing-war">warning Zelenskyy </a>to negotiate an end to the war or risk losing Ukraine entirely. 
Zelenskyy has rejected the Trump administration&#8217;s demand for $500 billion in Ukrainian mineral resources as repayment for wartime aid. On Friday, he confirmed that U.S. and Ukrainian teams are negotiating an agreement, while President Trump voiced optimism that a deal will be finalized soon.
This has led to a rift between the two leaders, with Trump&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43837157/trump-labels-zelenskyy-a-dictator-without-elections-urges-ukraine-to-negotiate-or-risk-losing-war">denouncing Zelenskyy</a>&nbsp;as &#8220;a dictator without elections.&#8221;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/02/43582884/elon-musks-spacex-and-t-mobile-go-live-with-starlink-powered-satellite-to-cell-service-heres-how-much-it-will-cost">Elon Musk&#8217;s SpaceX And T-Mobile Go Live With Starlink-Powered Satellite-To-Cell Service: Here&#8217;s How Much It Will Cost</a>
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

SPACE

Trump Team Threatens To Cut Ukraine's Access To Elon Musk's Starlink Over Minerals Dispute: Report

President Donald Trump ordered his trade chief to reopen investigations into<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/24/10/41147159/netflix-disney-amazon-hit-by-philippines-new-12-tax-on-digital-providers"> digital service taxes</a> imposed on U.S. tech firms, a move that could result in new tariffs on affected countries. 
What Happened: Trump&#8217;s order, issued on Friday, is aimed at countering the DSTs,&nbsp;fines, practices, and policies that&nbsp;foreign governments impose on American companies. 
The directive calls on the U.S. Trade Representative&#8217;s office to reopen past digital service tax investigations from Trump's first term and examine any new cases where digital taxes may unfairly target U.S. companies.
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43806703/mark-zuckerbergs-meta-platforms-dips-below-short-term-average-as-it-snaps-20-day-winning-run" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Meta Stock Dips Below Short-Term Average As Mark Zuckerberg-Led Tech Giant Snaps 20-Day Winning Streak</a>
Digital service taxes, aimed at major U.S. tech firms like Google (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), and Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), have been a persistent trade issue for multiple U.S. administrations.
Countries including Britain, France, Italy, Spain, Turkey, India, Austria, and Canada have implemented these taxes on the local sales revenue of these and other digital service providers.
During Trump's first term, the U.S. Trade Representative's office launched Section 301 investigations into these policies, resulting in retaliatory tariffs on select imports.
Why It Matters: This move by Trump comes in the wake of his recent announcement to impose a&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43805852/trump-shakes-global-trade-with-25-auto-chip-and-pharma-tariffs-announcement-asian-stocks-pare-their-five-day-rally">25% tariff on auto imports, chips, and pharmaceuticals</a>, causing a stir in international trade. The tariffs are expected to take effect as early as April 2, following a report from his cabinet members outlining options for import duties.
Amid escalating <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/02/43876173/apple-ceo-tim-cook-reportedly-meets-trump-as-tariff-impact-looms-on-iphone-sales-and-companys-china-strategy">trade tensions between the U.S.</a> and China, Apple&#8217;s CEO Tim Cook is said to have met President Trump. According to Trump, Cook discussed investing &#8220;hundreds of billions of dollars&#8221; in the U.S. amid tariff threat.
Trump&#8217;s memo instructs his administration to assess whether any European Union or British policies encourage U.S. companies to adopt practices that restrict free speech or promote censorship. According to a White House fact sheet, special attention will be given to how U.S. firms are impacted by the EU&#8217;s Digital Markets Act and Digital Services Act.
This comes amid ongoing <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/09/40915828/google-wins-1-7b-eu-antitrust-fine-appeal-over-5-year-old-online-search-advertising-case">tension between tech giants and the EU. </a>
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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

AMZN

Trump Moves To Impose Tariffs On Countries With Digital Taxes, Defending Apple, Amazon, Meta, Google And Other US Tech Giants

Michael Jordan's legendary Chicago estate has taken on a new life under its latest owner. After <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/12/42638801/before-his-180-on-climate-change-elon-musk-advocated-for-action-cautioning-that-oceanfront-real-estate-values-would-plummet-2">sitting on the market</a> for over a decade, the sprawling Highland Park mansion finally sold for $9.5 million in December. But instead of keeping it as a private home, the new buyer, John Cooper, is already shaking things up—turning it into a luxury rental at a jaw-dropping $230,000 per month and selling off shares of the property in a unique timeshare model.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Discounted Sale After 12 Years on the Market</h2>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Michael Jordan&#39;s mansion sitting seven acres with nine beds and 19 baths &#x1f92f; <a href="https://t.co/ZjQV0wDOdq">pic.twitter.com/ZjQV0wDOdq</a>
&mdash; The Instigator (@Am_Blujay) <a href="https://twitter.com/Am_Blujay/status/1787188879541317787?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 5, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
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Jordan originally listed the 56,000-square-foot estate in 2012 for $29 million, but it <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/12/42678673/michael-jordan-sells-his-massive-luxury-mansion-for-9-5-million-but-it-took-12-years-to-find-a-buyer-and-he-spent-50-million-building-it">struggled to attract buyers</a>, despite multiple price cuts and the home's deep ties to the basketball legend. The mansion, known as Legend Point, boasts nine bedrooms, 19 bathrooms, a full-size basketball court, a cigar lounge, and even doors from the original Playboy Mansion. After years of markdowns, Cooper, a real estate investor from Nebraska, purchased the property for $9.5 million—a significant drop from its original asking price.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Turning Legend Point Into A Business</h2>
Rather than using the mansion as his primary residence, Cooper quickly set plans in motion to monetize the iconic home. Per Realtor.com, just weeks after closing the deal, he announced that portions of the property would be sold as luxury timeshares under the name &#8220;Champions Point.&#8221; Co-owners can buy a share for at least $1 million, granting them access to the estate for a designated week each year. Owners can invite up to 24 guests and even host high-end events for an extra fee.
Trending: Many don&#8217;t know there are tax benefits when buying a unit as an investment —<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/casa-shares-y2"> Here&#8217;s how to invest in real estate by mirroring BlackRock's big move</a>
Now, in addition to selling shares, Cooper has listed the entire estate for rent, offering anyone with deep enough pockets the chance to live in Jordan's former home for $230,000 a month. The listing describes it as a &#8220;once-in-a-lifetime opportunity&#8221; for those who &#8220;live and breathe sports.&#8221;
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Renters and Co-Owners Get</h2>
The mansion's amenities are as grand as its history. Renters and co-owners gain access to a regulation-size basketball court, an infinity pool with an island, a tennis court, a putting green, a state-of-the-art home theater, a wine cellar, a commercial-grade fitness center, and a cigar room with a custom humidor. High-end add-ons, including private chefs, on-site entertainment, and luxury transportation, are also available for an extra cost.
Cooper, a longtime Bulls fan who has lived in Chicago for the past decade, says he wants to preserve the property's legacy while also making it more accessible to sports enthusiasts, celebrities, and businesses looking for a one-of-a-kind luxury experience.
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Michael Jordan's Former $9.5 Million Chicago Megamansion Is Now A $230,000/Month Rental As Its New Owner Sells Off Pieces Of The Property

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) CEO Tim Cook has reportedly pledged a significant investment in the United States and a shift in manufacturing from Mexico to the U.S. President Donald Trump made this announcement during a meeting with governors.
What Happened: After <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/02/43876173/apple-ceo-tim-cook-reportedly-meets-trump-as-tariff-impact-looms-on-iphone-sales-and-companys-china-strategy">meeting Cook at the White House </a>this week, Trump revealed that the Apple CEO had assured him of moving iPhone maker&#8217;s manufacturing from Mexico to the U.S.
 &#8220;He&#8217;s&nbsp;investing hundreds of billions of&nbsp;dollars&#8230; That&#8217;s&nbsp;what he told me. Now&nbsp;he has to do it,&#8221; Trump said.
Trump also mentioned that Cook had halted two plants in Mexico and would now be producing Apple products in the U.S. However, Cook has not yet publicly announced any such investment.
"They don't want to be in the tariffs," Trump said.
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://in.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/02/43873396/apple-stock-has-run-up-over-10-in-a-month-jim-cramer-says-iphone-maker-is-ramping-and-the-credit-goes-to-chinese-subsidies" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Apple Stock Has Run Up Over 10% In A Month, Jim Cramer Says iPhone Maker Is ‘Ramping' And The Credit Goes To Chinese Subsidies</a>
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<iframe loading="lazy" title="TRUMP DOGE EFFECT: President Trump FULL REMARKS on Spending, Ukraine War, Taxes, Migrants" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/b92O_a3MkpA?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>
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It's unclear which manufacturing facilities Trump was referring to. Foxconn Technology Group, the maker of Apple's iPhones, already has a strong presence in Mexico and plans to expand further.
Apple did not immediately respond to <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga&#8217;s</a> request for comment. 
Why It Matters: The news of Apple&#8217;s potential shift in manufacturing and significant U.S. investment comes at a crucial time for the tech giant. Like other tech giants, Apple is grappling with <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/25/02/43827658/exclusive-apple-nvidia-tesla-or-boeing-which-company-faces-the-biggest-risk-from-trumps-china-tariffs-35-say-this-stock">rising U.S.-China trade tensions.</a> Trump&#8217;s 10% tariff on Chinese-made goods poses a significant challenge, as China remains Apple's primary manufacturing hub, and the U.S., is its largest market.
According to an analyst at Bank of America, the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/02/43839627/apple-may-hike-iphone-prices-by-9-due-to-trumps-tariffs-says-bank-of-america">iPhone maker will need to hike prices</a> on iPhones, iPads, and other products by approximately 9% to counter the effect of tariffs. assuming a minimum 10% tariff applies to all of them. The analyst also expects a potential hit on the sales volume.
On Wednesday, Apple unveiled the iPhone 16e, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/02/43820197/apple-unveils-iphone-16e-with-a18-chip-ai-features-599-price-tag">a budget-friendly successor</a> to the third-generation iPhone SE. Priced at $599, the device is designed to run artificial intelligence efficiently.
Check out more of Benzinga&#8217;s Consumer Tech coverage by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/consumer-tech" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">following this link</a>.
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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Tim Cook Reportedly Tells Trump Apple Will Invest 'Hundreds Of Billions' In US: 'They Don't Want To Be In The Tariffs'

Elon Musk&#8217;s unsolicited $97 billion bid for OpenAI&#8216;s assets has created a valuation challenge for the artificial intelligence leader, potentially complicating its planned transition to a for-profit structure.
Legal experts suggest the offer, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43755069/openai-board-rejects-elon-musks-97-billion-acquisition-proposal-days-after-sam-altman-calls-it-a-move-to-slow-down-a-competitor#:~:text=OpenAI%20Board%20Rejects%20Elon%20Musk's,Slow%20Down'%20A%20Competitor%20%2D%20Benzinga">though swiftly rejected</a>, could force regulators to scrutinize OpenAI&#8217;s corporate restructuring more closely. The bid &#8220;will be more difficult to justify valuing the nonprofit&#8217;s assets at less than $97 billion if there is a concrete offer for that sum,&#8221; <a href="https://www.economist.com/business/2025/02/11/elon-musks-97bn-offer-is-a-headache-for-sam-altmans-openai">according to a report by The Economist</a>.
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Musk, OpenAI&#8217;s co-founder and now rival, submitted the bid through a consortium on Feb. 11, targeting the non-profit entity that controls the company. The move escalates his feud with CEO Sam Altman over the company&#8217;s shift toward a more traditional corporate structure.
&#8220;OpenAI is not for sale,&#8221; company spokesman Chris Lehane told The Economist.
The timing appears strategic, as OpenAI reportedly seeks to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/media/25/01/43374528/softbank-may-lead-openais-40-billion-funding-round-at-a-300-billion-valuation-despite-deepseek-disruption-report">raise approximately $40 billion from investors, including SoftBank</a>. Musk&#8217;s bid could potentially disrupt the fundraising efforts by raising questions about proper valuation during the company&#8217;s restructuring.
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Jill Horwitz, law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, said that the nonprofit board&#8217;s fiduciary duty is to act according to OpenAI&#8217;s legal purpose—building safe artificial intelligence that &#8220;benefits all of humanity.&#8221; The mission-focused obligation may provide flexibility in responding to acquisition offers.
Musk&#8217;s legal team has urged attorneys general in California and Delaware, where OpenAI operates, to ensure the nonprofit surrenders control at fair market value during any restructuring.&nbsp;
While company insiders doubt state officials will acquiesce to Musk, Horwitz noted they have &#8220;clear law to apply&#8221; regarding proper valuation.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/elon-musk-told-the-u-n-if-they-could-show-a-plan-for-ending-world-hunger-hed-donate-6-billion-i-will-sell-tesla-stock-right-now-and-do-it">Elon Musk Told The U.N. If They Could Show A Plan For Ending World Hunger He'd Donate $6 Billion – ‘I Will Sell Tesla Stock Right Now And Do It'</a>
The bid follows recent tensions over the &#8220;Stargate Project,&#8221; a $100 billion data center investment fund announced by Altman and President Donald Trump on Jan. 21. Musk publicly questioned whether the project&#8217;s backers had sufficient funding, allegations they denied.
Altman responded to Musk&#8217;s bid with a facetious counteroffer on X—$9.7 billion to &#8220;buy Twitter,&#8221; as Musk&#8217;s social network was previously known. &#8220;I think he&#8217;s just trying to slow us down,&#8221; <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-02-11/altman-says-musk-probably-just-trying-to-slow-us-down-video">Altman told Bloomberg</a>. &#8220;I feel for the guy. I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;s a happy person.&#8221;
The offer represents another front in Musk&#8217;s competitive strategy against his largest AI rival. He launched xAI in 2023, positioning it as a direct competitor to OpenAI.
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Experts Say Musk's $97 Billion Offer Could Force OpenAI To Reassess Its Value

Trading Halt: Halted at 7:50:00 p.m. ET - Trading Halt: Halt News Pending

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SXTPW

미국 장기 인플레이션 기대치를 측정하는 주요 시장 지표가 2023년 10월 이후 가장 높은 수준으로 급등하여, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">더 지속적인 가격 압박</a>에 대한 투자자 우려가 커지고 있음을 나타냈다.
이러한 시장 심리의 변화는 도널드 트럼프 행정부 하의 무역 정책 불확실성에 의해 촉발되었으며, 이미 연방준비제도(연준) 금리 기대치와 채권 시장의 포지셔닝에 영향을 미치고 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">채권 시장에서 인플레이션 우려 재부각</h3>
미국 10년물 물가연동채권(TIPS)과 명목 국채 수익률 간의 스프레드에서 파생된 10년 물가평균 인플레이션율(breakeven inflation rate)이 월요일 종가 기준으로 2.45%로 상승했다.
이는 투자자들이 향후 10년간 연평균 인플레이션이 2.45%에 이를 것으로 예상하고 있음을 의미한다.
채권 보유자들에게 이 기준선은 매우 중요하다.
연간 인플레이션이 향후 10년 동안 평균 2.45%를 초과하는 경우, iShares TIPS Bond ETF(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/tip" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for TIP" data-google-interstitial="false">TIP</a>)에서 광범위하게 추적하는 TIP 채권은 2.06%의 실질 수익률과 인플레이션 보상을 제공하므로 탁월한 헤지 수단을 제공한다.
반면, U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UTEN#NYSE">UTEN</a>)로 대표되는 명목 10년물 국채는 4.51%의 수익률을 제공하지만, 인플레이션 보호는 없다.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">차트: 10년 물가평균 인플레이션율 2.45%, 2023년 10월 이후 최고치</h4>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-765619" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/04151930/image-30-1024x503.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/04151930/image-30-1024x503.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/04151930/image-30-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/04151930/image-30-768x377.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/04151930/image-30-1536x754.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/04151930/image-30.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="503" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">관세 불확실성</h3>
관세 인상 가능성에 대한 추측이 제기되면서 인플레이션 논의가 심화되었다.
빌 아담스(Bill Adams) 코메리카 은행 수석 이코노미스트에 따르면, 수입품에 대한 관세 인상이 소비자 가격 상승에 기여할 것이며, 수입업체가 비용을 고객에게 전가하고, 국내 제조업체는 경쟁 감소를 이용해 가격을 추가로 인상할 수 있다.
&#8220;관세 인상의 정확한 시기와 규모는 예측할 수 없지만, 코메리카의 전망은 올해 외국산 제품에 대한 미국 구매 시 관세가 인상된다고 가정한다&#8221;라고 아덤스가 화요일에 말했다.
&#8220;월요일에 발생한 수익률 곡선의 하향 평평화는 채권 시장이 관세를 단기 인플레이션 위험으로 보고 있으며, 향후 성장에 대한 잠재적인 문제로 보고 있음을 나타낸다&#8221;라고 크리스티안 커(Kristian Kerr) LPL 파이낸셜 매크로 전략 헤드가 말했다.
월요일에 중국은 트럼프의 10% 수입 관세에 대응하여 주요 광물 수출 제한과 미국 에너지 제품에 대한 새로운 관세를 포함한 반격 조치를 시행했다.
중국은 석탄, 액화 천연가스, 원유, 농기계 및 차량 등의 특정 미국 수입품에 대해 10%-15%의 관세를 인상했다.
골드만삭스는 광범위한 10% 관세 인상이 핵심 개인 소비 지출(핵심 PCE)에 약 1%포인트를 추가할 수 있다고 추정한다—이는 연방준비제도의 선호 인플레이션 지표이다.
&#8220;미국 소비자 가격의 상승은 연방준비제도의 정책 금리 인하를 더욱 둔화시킬 만한 충분한 효과를 가져올 것이다&#8221;라고 브라이언 쿨턴(Brian Coulton) 피치 레이팅스 수석 이코노미스트가 노트에 썼다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">베팅 시장이 2025년 더 높은 인플레이션을 예상</h3>
CFTC 규제 베팅 플랫폼인 칼시(Kalshi)에서 투기자들은 2025년에 인플레이션이 예상치를 초과할 것이라는 내기를 상당히 늘렸다.
시장 암시 확률에 따르면, 연간 소비자 물가 지수가 올해 한 달 이상 4%에 이를 확률은 58%로, 이는 2024년 11월 칼시가 시장을 개설한 이후 가장 높은 확률이다.
<iframe loading="lazy" style="border: 0;" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widgets/events/KXLCPIMAXYOY-25?color_scheme=light&amp;widget_size=large&amp;utm_campaign=benzingawidget" width="100%" height="400px"></iframe>
2025년 1월의 경우, 소비자 물가 상승률이 2.9%를 초과할 가능성이 더 높다.
인플레이션이 2022년에 비해 극단적인 수준 아래에 머물러 있지만, 시장 심리는 가격 상승에 대한 전투가 아직 끝나지 않았음을 시사한다.
<iframe loading="lazy" style="border: 0;" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widgets/events/KXCPIYOY-25JAN?color_scheme=light&amp;widget_size=large&amp;utm_campaign=benzingawidget" width="100%" height="400px"></iframe>
물가평균 인플레이션율이 상승하고, 관세 위험이 다가오며, 베팅 시장이 가격 상승을 반영함에 따라, 투자자들은 이전에 예상보다 더 긴 경제적 불확실성 기간을 대비하고 있을 수 있다.
지금 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/02/43474912/coffee-prices-soar-over-100-near-historic-rally-as-inflation-percolates-through-supply-chain">커피 가격이 100% 이상 급등, 역사적 랠리 근접</a></li>
</ul>
이미지: Shutterstock
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예상보다 강한 미국 경제 데이터와 급등하는 유가가 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">연방준비제도(연준)의 11월 회의에 대한 시장 기대</a>를 재편하고 있다.
당초 50bp(베이시스 포인트)의 공격적인 금리 인하를 예상했던 트레이더들은 이제 25bp의 소폭 인하로 선회하고 있으며, 최근 몇 시간 동안 금리 인하 사이클의 중단 가능성에 대한 기대가 급격히 상승했다.
9월에 50bp 금리 인하가 단행된 후, 금리를 동결하는 것은 연준이 미국 노동 시장의 둔화에 대해 상당히 잘못 판단했을 수 있음을 인정하는 것으로 볼 수 있다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">예상치 못한 경제 회복</h2>
미국 경제는 경기 둔화 예측을 계속해서 무시하고 있다.
9월에 미국 경제는 비농업 부문에서 무려 254,000개의 일자리가 추가되어 140,000개의 예측과 12개월 평균 200,000개를 훨씬 초과했다. 이 실업률은 예상치 못하게 4.1%로 떨어졌고, 임금 증가율도 모든 예상치를 웃돌며 가속화되었다. 이러한 요소들은 연준이 단기적으로 추가적인 공격적인 금리 인하를 정당화하기 어렵게 만들고 있다.
여기에 중동의 지정학적 긴장이 급격히 고조되면서 상황이 더욱 악화되었다.
이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 갈등은 이란의 미사일 공격과 이스라엘의 보복 위협으로 촉발되어, 단 5일 만에 유가가 11% 이상 급등하게 만들었다. 서부 텍사스산 원유(WTI)는 배럴당 77달러를 넘어섰다.
이러한 에너지 가격의 급등으로 인해 인플레이션 압력이 높아지면서 트레이더들은 금리 동결 옵션을 고려하게 되었다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">트레이더들은 연준의 금리 동결에 베팅</h2>
경기가 모든 분야에서 활발히 돌아가고 인플레이션 위험이 높아지면서, 트레이더들은 이제 12월에 50bp 금리 인하 가능성을 가격에 반영하지 않고, 11월에 연준이 금리를 동결할지를 주목하고 있다.
시장 내 금리 동결 확률은 CME의 페드워치(FedWatch) 도구에 따르면 금요일의 2%와 이전 주의 0%에서 14%로 급증했다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">11월 연방준비제도 회의에 대한 시장 내 암시 확률</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>2024년 10월 7일</td>
<td>1일 전 
(2024년 10월 4일)</td>
<td>1주 전 
(2024년 9월 30일)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>50bp 인하</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>34.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>25bp 인하</td>
<td>86%</td>
<td>97.4%</td>
<td>65.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>금리 동결</td>
<td>14%</td>
<td>2.6%</td>
<td>0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">데이터: 2024년 10월 7일 오후 3시(ET) 기준 CME FedWatch</figcaption></figure>
이러한 기대의 변화는 10년 만기 국채 수익률을 4% 이상으로 다시 끌어올렸다. 이는 보통 금리 인하 환경에서는 보기 힘든 일이다. 월요일에 U.S. Treasury 10-Year Note ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UTEN#NYSE">UTEN</a>)는 0.4% 하락하며 4일 연속으로 부정적인 세션을 기록했다.
뱅크 오브 아메리카(Bank of America)의 경제학자인 아딧야 바브(Aditya Bhave)는 &#8220;연준의 9월 50bp 인하 이후 데이터 흐름이 매우 강력했다. 또 다른 50bp 인하는 정당화되지 않는다&#8221;고 말했다. 그는 이제 연준이 더 점진적인 접근 방식을 채택하고 2025년 3월까지 매 회의마다 25bp씩 금리를 인하할 것으로 예상한다고 덧붙였다.
&#8220;현재는 최근 데이터에 기반하여 조건을 정상화하는 데 도움이 될 수 있는 일련의 더 완만한 25bp 인하가 필요하다. 경제가 여전히 좋은 상태일 때 금리를 인하하면 또 다른 인플레이션 위험이 발생할 수 있다&#8221;라고 분석가 마이클 가예드(Michael Gayed), CFA가 말했다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">베테랑 투자자가 연준이 금리를 동결해야 하는 12가지 이유를 설명</h2>
베테랑 월스트리트 투자자 에드 야데니(Ed Yardeni)는 월요일 포스팅에서 연준이 11월에 금리 인하를 중단해야 하는 12가지 이유를 제시했다:
1. 미국 경제는 9월의 50bp 인하가 필요하지 않았으며, 이는 최신 고용 및 PMI 데이터로 입증되었다.
2. 연준 관계자들은 9월에 50bp 인하한 것을 후회할 수 있으며, 이제 추가 데이터를 평가하기 위해 금리를 동결해야 한다.
3. 9월 인하 이후 국채 수익률 상승은 완화가 필요하지 않았음을 시사하며, 더 강한 성장을 촉진할 수 있다.
4. 추가 금리 인하는 주식 시장의 &#8220;급등(meltup)&#8221;을 촉발할 수 있으며, 이미 1990년대 수준에 가까운 밸류에이션다.
5. 중동의 지정학적 위험 상승은 유가를 높여 1970년대의 스태그플레이션 우려를 불러일으켰다.
6. 허리케인 헬렌의 여파는 재건 작업으로 인해 인플레이션 압력을 자극할 수 있다.
7. 최근 부두 노동자들의 임금 협상은 수입 비용을 증가시키고 임금 인플레이션을 유발할 수 있다.
8. 양당의 대선 후보들이 제안하는 재정 프로그램은 연방 적자를 확대하고 인플레이션을 유발할 수 있다.
9. 중국의 경제 부양책은 전 세계 원자재 가격을 상승시켜 인플레이션 위험을 증가시키고 있다.
10. 추가 금리 인하는 달러 가치를 약화시켜 인플레이션을 악화시킬 수 있다.
11. 근원 인플레이션은 연준의 2% 목표를 여전히 초과하고 있으며, &#8220;슈퍼코어&#8221; 인플레이션은 3% 이상에서 정체되어 있다.
12. 실질 중립 연방기금 금리는 연준이 추정하는 것보다 높을 수 있으며, 이는 명목 중립 금리가 4.0%에 가까울 수 있음을 시사한다.
지금 읽어보세요:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/10/41213691/fast-and-furious-rally-pushes-chinese-stocks-to-double-s-p-500-performance-year-to-date">‘빠르고 치열한 반등&#8217;이 중국 주식을 S&amp;P 500의 두 배로 끌어올리다</a></li>
</ul>
해당 이미지는 인공지능을 사용하여 생성되었습니다.
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 더 많은 승리를 거두세요 
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<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

피치 레이팅스(Fitch Ratings)는 목요일 미국 국가신용등급을 &#8216;AA+&#8217;로 재확인하고 안정적인 전망을 제시하며 높은 1인당 국민소득과 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/fitch-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noopener">미국 달러가</a> 제공하는 재정적 유연성 등의 장점을 언급했다.
이 신용 평가 기관은 또한 국가 부채 증가와 고조되는 정치적 양극화에 대한 우려가 커지고 있음을 지적했다. 피치에 따르면 이로 인해 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/macro-economic-events" target="_blank" rel="noopener">경제 및 신뢰 충격</a>에 대한 국가의 취약성이 높아진다.
이 피치 보고서는 "정부가 대규모 재정 적자, 부채 부담 증가, 인구 노령화와 관련된 지출 증가를 의미 있게 해결하는 데 실패했다"고 밝혔다.
이러한 이유로 미국의 거버넌스 표준은 비슷한 등급을 받은 국가들의 평균 수준에 미치지 못다.
2024년 8월 현재 피치 레이팅스는 오스트리아, 캐나다, 대만에도 AA+ 등급을 할당했다는 점에 주목할 가치가 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">거버넌스 문제, 재정적 어려움 지속, 피치 분석</h3>
작년 8월 피치는 &#8216;거버넌스 표준의 꾸준한 악화&#8217;를 이유로 미국 국가 신용 등급을 AAA에서 강등했으며 이로 인해 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/23/08/33523662/fitch-slashes-us-credit-rating-5-top-economists-weigh-in-on-economic-fallout" target="_blank" rel="noopener">일반 정부 부채 부담</a>이 높아지고 증가했다.
그러나 그 경우에, 이 신용 평가 기관은 또한 긴축된 신용 상태, 기업 투자 감소, 소비 둔화로 인해 2023년 4분기와 2024년 1분기 동안 미국 경제가 완만하게 침체될 것이라고 예측했다. 하지만 이는 전적으로 빗나간 예측이었다.
피치는 대선 후보 카멀라 해리스 부통령과 도널드 트럼프 전 대통령의 대조적인 경제 목표, 조세 정책, 지출 우선순위에도 불구하고 현재의 불안정한 재정 상태가 대체로 해결되지 않은 상태로 남아 있을 것으로 예상하고 있다.
"우리는 2017년 세금 감면의 대부분이 트럼프나 해리스 하에서 연장될 것으로 예상한다."
이러한 감면은 GDP의 약 1.2%에 해당하며 재정 상태를 악화시킬 것으로 예상된다.
트럼프가 제안한 무역관세나 해리스의 법인세 인상 계획 등 세수 증대 방안이 논의 중인 가운데, 피치는 세금 감면 및 고용법의 연장이나 자녀 세금 공제 시행을 포함한 다른 정책 조치를 통해 이러한 영향이 무력화될 것이라고 믿고 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">경제 둔화 전망, 부채 전망 악화</h3>
미국 경제 성장은 둔화될 것으로 예상되는데, 피치는 평균 성장률을 2023년 2.5%에서 2024년 2.1%로 하향 조정했다. 이러한 둔화는 부분적으로 정부 지출 감소에 기인한다. 2025~2026년 경제 불균형이 점차 해소되면서 성장률은 평균 1.6%로 예상된다.
피치는 2024년에 적당한 수익 증가와 재량 지출 감소에 힘입어 적자가 GDP의 8.1%로 약간 줄어들 것으로 예상한다. 다만 부채비율 증가와 금리 인상으로 이자부담은 늘어날 것으로 예상된다.
"새 정부에서도 재정 정책이 크게 변하지 않을 것이라는 예상을 감안할 때 2025~2026년 GDP 적자는 7.7%에 달할 것으로 예상된다."
부채 한도 유예는 2024년 말까지 지속될 것으로 예상되며, 그 이후에는 부채 한도가 재설정된다. 지난 몇 년간과 마찬가지로 정부는 중요한 x-date 도달을 지연시키기 위해 특별 조치와 현금 준비금에 의존할 수 있다.
&#8220;우리는 의회가 2024년 9월 30일 마감인 FY2025 세출 법안을 선거 이후까지, 그리고 아마도 2025년 3월까지 연장하기 위한 지속적인 결의안을 통과시킬 것으로 기대한다.&#8221;
피치는 GDP 대비 정부 부채 비율이 2026년 말까지 124.4%로 증가할 것으로 예상하고 있는데, 이는 AA 등급 국가들의 중앙값보다 훨씬 높은 수치이다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-521636" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29154132/image-306-1024x508.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29154132/image-306-1024x508.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29154132/image-306-300x149.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29154132/image-306-768x381.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29154132/image-306-1536x762.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/29154132/image-306.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="508" /></figure>
피치는 &#8220;부채 수준이 증가하고 있음에도 불구하고 연방 정부의 자금 조달 유연성은 글로벌 준비금 비중과 무역, 차입, 글로벌 결제에서 가장 중요한 통화인 미국 달러의 역할로 인해 엄청난 이점을 얻고 있다&#8221;고 밝혔다.
통화 정책과 관련하여 피치는 연준이 금리 인하 주기를 시작할 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 2024년 9월에 25bp(베이시스 포인트) 인하하고 2025년 내내 추가로 125bp 인하할 것으로 예상된다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">시장 반응</h3>
피치 레이팅스의 보고서 발표 후, 국채 수익률과 미 달러는 전반적으로 변동이 없었다.
Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>)가 추적하는 미국 달러 지수(DXY)는 미국 동부 시간 목요일 오후 3시 30분에 0.3% 상승했다.
국채 수익률은 곡선 전반에 걸쳐 약 3bp 상승했으며, 2분기 경제 성장이 예상보다 강한 가운데 세션 동안 소폭 상승했다. 국채 연계 상장지수펀드(ETF)가 목요일 하락했다.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>)는 0.33% 하락했으며, US 10 Year Treasury Note ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UTEN#NYSE">UTEN</a>)는 0.19% 하락 마감했다.
뉴욕에서 주식은 오후 거래 중 상승폭이 줄어들었다. SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)는 0.009% 상승했으며, 기술주 중심의 Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)는 목요일 0.15%로 하락 마감했다. QQQ는 시간외 거래에서 0.2% 상승했다.
이미지: Shutterstock
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피치는 미국의 'AA+' 신용등급을 재확인하면서, "부채 부담이 커지고 있다"고 경고

신흥 경제국의 채권 시장은 연방준비제도(연준)가 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">금리 인하</a>를 향한 정책 전환에 가까워지고 있다는 기대감이 커지면서 최근 세션에서 강한 상승세를 보였다.
약 30개 신흥 시장 국가들의 달러 표시 채권을 추적하는 iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EMB#NYSE">EMB</a>)는 2022년 5월 마지막 수준으로 상승하여 지난 10개 세션 중 9개 세션에서 상승을 기록했다.
마찬가지로, 신흥 시장의 현지 통화 표시 채권에 투자하는 iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEMB#NYSE">LEMB</a>)도 1년 만에 최고치로 올랐다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-504542" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20154315/image-172-1024x548.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20154315/image-172-1024x548.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20154315/image-172-300x161.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20154315/image-172-768x411.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20154315/image-172-1536x822.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/20154315/image-172.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="548" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">미국 금리 하락에 눈돌리는 투자자들, 신흥국 채권 랠리: 달러 약세</h3>
골드만삭스의 분석가인 타다스 게드미나스(Tadas Gedminas)에 따르면 현지 통화 국채 시장에서 이러한 뛰어난 성과의 대부분은 올해 대부분 어려움을 겪은 라틴 아메리카와 멕시코, 브라질, 폴란드와 같은 국가에 집중되었다.
게드미나스는 또한 &#8220;미국의 성장 예외주의가 줄어들고 연준의 완화 주기 시작에 대한 신뢰가 높아지면 신흥 시장 정책 입안자들의 제약이 완화되고 이들 경제 전반에 걸쳐 더 광범위한 금리 인하 주기가 지원될 것&#8221;이라고 강조했다.
골드만삭스는 한국, 남아프리카공화국, 인도 중앙은행이 올해 말 이전에 정책금리 완화에 착수할 것으로 예상하고 있다.
트레이더들은 9월 미국의 금리 인하를 완전히 가격에 반영하고 있으며, 시장 내재 확률은 25bp(베이스 포인트) 인하 가능성이 73%이며 11월과 12월에는 추가 인하가 예상된다.
통화 측면에서 미국 달러화는 8월에 특히 아시아 통화 대비 약세를 보였다.
달러 가치는 인도네시아 루피아 대비 월간 누계 5% 하락해 2020년 4월 이후 루피아 환율이 가장 좋은 달을 기록했다.
달러화는 말레이시아 링깃, 태국 바트, 필리핀 페소, 한국 원화에 대해서도 3~4% 정도 평가절하됐다.
라틴 아메리카에서는 달러화 가치가 이번 달 브라질 헤알화 대비 3% 이상 하락해 7개월 연속 강세를 이어갈 것으로 예상된다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">신흥국 경제로의 투자 자금 유입 개선</h3>
지난주 발표된 국제통화기금(IMF) 보고서는 신흥시장과 개발도상국으로의 순자본 유입이 2022년 최저치에서 약간 회복됐음을 강조했지만, 2023년에는 전반적으로 마이너스를 유지했다.
계속해서 마이너스 순 자본 유입의 큰 부분을 차지했던 중국을 제외하면, 다른 신흥 시장 그룹에서는 플러스 유입이 증가했다.
IMF의 고주파 데이터에 따르면 중국을 제외한 신흥 시장으로의 총 포트폴리오 유입은 2024년 첫 몇 달 동안 긍정적이었다.
이러한 자금 유입은 "미국 금융 상황의 변동, 금융 시장의 낙관론, 2023년 4분기 미국 달러의 제한된 평가절하로 인해 신흥 시장으로의 자본 유입이 다시 활성화되는 데 도움이 됐다"고 이 기금이 적었다.
이제 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/08/40469009/a-bar-of-pure-gold-is-now-worth-1-million-what-can-it-buy-you">순금괴의 가치는 현재 100만 달러입니다: 무엇을 살 수 있나요?</a></li>
</ul>
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