SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product (ARCA: XOP)

에 대한 최신 뉴스 SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product (ARCA:XOP)

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product

Energy

Basic Materials

Consumer Cyclical

Healthcare

In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the oil and gas exploration and production segment of the S&P Total Market Index (S&P TMI).

Apa Corp.

Matador Resources Co

Exxon Mobil Corp.

Diamondback Energy Inc.

Civitas Solutions Inc

Eog Resources Inc

Hess Corp.

Valero Energy Corp.

Phillips 66

Chord Energy Corp.

Texas Pacific Land Trust

Antero Resources Corp

Eqt Corp

Coterra Energy Inc

Range Resources Corp

Devon Energy Corp.

Chesapeake Energy Corp

Chevron Corp.

Murphy Oil Corp

Cnx Resources Corp

Ovintiv Inc.

Hf Sinclair Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corp.

Conocophillips Co

Permian Resources Corp

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

Conceptual,Image,Of,War,Between,Israel,And,Iran,Using,Chess

Equities

News

Commodities

Politics

Global

Markets

GENC

이스라엘의 이란 선제공격 이후 중동 지역 긴장이 계속 고조되면서 목요일(12일) 저녁 미국 지수 선물이 하락했다.이 글을 쓰는 시점에 S&amp;P 500 선물은 1.68% 하락한 5,948.00포인트, 나스닥 선물은 1.77% 하락한 21,545.00포인트, 다우존스 선물은 1.49% 하락한 42,350.00포인트에 거래되고 있다.

중동 긴장 속 흔들리는 시장: 미국 지수 선물 하락, 유가 9% 급등, 금 $3400 이상으로 상승

Oil,Production,Rig,In,The,Sea,,Landscape.,Red,Sea,,Egypt,

ETFs

중동의 긴장이 고조되면서 유가와 유가를 추종하는 ETF가 급등하여 2개월 만에 최고치를 기록했다.무슨 일 있었나: 수요일(11일) 미국과 이란 간의 긴장이 고조되면서 유가가 4% 이상 급등했으며, 미국은 중동 지역 전역에 위치한 기지와 대사관에서 비긴급 인력을 대피시켰다. 

미국-이란 긴장 고조와 일부 중동 인력 철수···유가 및 원유 ETF는 급등

Oil drilling

Sector ETFs

지난 주말 OPEC+의 원유 생산 쿼터 증산 결정 이후 에너지 ETF가 다시 주목받고 있다. 일부는 긍정적인 분위기를 타고, 일부는 지정학적 불확실성에 대비해 투자하고 있다.미국과 영국의 무역 관계 개선과 미중 관세 전쟁 해결 가능성으로 유가가 급등하면서 원유 선물 및 에너지 주식을 추종하는 ETF의 거래량과 변동성이 증가했다.

OPEC+ 증산 결정, 미영 무역 협정, 미중 무역 회담 예정···원유 ETF 상승세

U.S. stock futures slipped Thursday evening as tensions continued to flare in the Middle East, following Israel&#8217;s preemptive strike against Iran. 
Starting with the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 Futures, which trades at 5,959.25, down 1.49%, followed by&nbsp;Nasdaq Futures&nbsp;at 21,580.25, down 1.59%, and&nbsp;Dow Jones Futures&nbsp;down 1.36%, trading at 42,404.00, at the time of writing this.
The futures markets dipped following Israel&#8217;s Defense Minister, Israel Katz declared a state of emergency, following the attack on Iran. Katz said, &#8220;Following the State of Israel's preemptive strike against Iran, a missile and drone attack against the State of Israel and its civilian population is expected in the immediate future,&#8221; according <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/12/israels-defense-minister-announces-special-situation-after-israeli-attack-on-iran.html">to</a> CNBC.
On Wednesday, President Donald Trump announced that all non-emergency U.S. personnel located at its bases and embassies in the Middle East <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45897276/oil-etfs-surge-over-6-as-trump-orders-middle-east-evacuation-amid-iran-tensions-warns-region-could-be-dangerous">will be evacuated</a>, saying that it &#8220;could be a dangerous place.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/politics/25/06/45916986/walmart-heiress-takes-on-trump-with-no-kings-ad-white-house-calls-it-burning-some-of-her-inheritance-for-a-pr-stunt">Walmart Heiress Takes On Trump With &#8216;No Kings&#8217; Ad: White House Calls It &#8216;Burning Some Of Her Inheritance For A PR Stunt&#8217;</a>
Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a statement following Israel&#8217;s unilateral strikes, stating that the U.S. was not involved in the strikes against Iran and that the government&#8217;s top priority is protecting American troops in the region. &#8220;Let me be clear,&#8221; he said, &#8220;Iran should not target U.S. interests or personnel.&#8221;
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true"><a href="https://t.co/aqh7QXYtiy">pic.twitter.com/aqh7QXYtiy</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1933324586214395966?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 13, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Asian markets opened lower on Friday, with Japan&#8217;s benchmark Nikkei 225 down 1.44%, trading at 37,625.30, with services, electronics, and export-oriented industries leading the decline. South Korea&#8217;s KOSPI Composite Index is following suit, down 0.97% in early-morning trade, at 2,891.73.
Crude oil prices are up 8% on Friday, trading at $73.36 a barrel, marking a steep ascent from its 52-week low of $58.4 in early May. 
Oil ETFs are once again on the ascent after hours, with the United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) up 1.68%, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (ARCA: UCO) up 2.75%, and finally the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) up 0.41%.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.21%, trading at 98.105 against a basket of foreign currencies, in a rather volatile trading session, as geopolitical concerns weigh.
Gold spot prices have surged 3.33%, trading at $3,435.68 per ounce, as investors pursue safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical risks.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="192" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/12215155/Screenshot-2025-06-13-at-7.21.28-AM-1024x192.png" alt="" class="wp-image-948339" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/12215155/Screenshot-2025-06-13-at-7.21.28-AM-1024x192.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/12215155/Screenshot-2025-06-13-at-7.21.28-AM-300x56.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/12215155/Screenshot-2025-06-13-at-7.21.28-AM-768x144.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/12215155/Screenshot-2025-06-13-at-7.21.28-AM.png 1176w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></figure>
The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF, one of the leading ETFs to track crude oil prices, has a momentum of 21.13. It has a favorable price trend in the short, medium, and long term, but how does it compare with other energy and crude oil ETFs? Click <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound">here</a> to find out. 
Read More: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/emerging-markets/25/06/45913847/the-dollar-is-crumbling-and-hedge-fund-analyst-says-a-new-global-trade-is-brewing">The Dollar Is Crumbling, And Hedge Fund Analyst Says A New Global Trade Is Brewing</a></li>
</ul>
Image Via Shutterstock

Middle East Tensions Rattle Markets: US Stock Futures Slide, Oil Jumps 8%, Gold Surges Above $3,400 After Israel Strikes Iran

Crude oil prices and the ETFs that track the commodity are surging higher amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, sending prices to a two-month high.
What Happened: On Wednesday, crude oil prices soared over 4% amid heightened tensions between the United States and Iran, prompting Washington to evacuate non-emergency personnel from its bases and embassies located across the Middle East region. 
President Donald Trump announced that U.S. personnel stationed in the Middle East were being moved out, because &#8220;it could be a dangerous place.&#8221;
Trump further expressed his doubts regarding whether the U.S. and Iran could reach a nuclear deal, saying that &#8220;they can&#8217;t have a nuclear weapon, very simple.&#8221; 
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">.<a href="https://twitter.com/POTUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@POTUS</a> on Iran: &quot;They can&#39;t have a nuclear weapon. Very simple. They can&#39;t have a nuclear weapon. We&#39;re not going to allow that.&quot; <a href="https://t.co/iCpyyYJeBh">pic.twitter.com/iCpyyYJeBh</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1932939773984878952?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 11, 2025</a></blockquote>
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See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/25/06/45896715/meta-tiktok-challenge-eus-digital-services-act-fees-call-them-absurd-discriminatory-and-based-on-flawed-calculations">Meta, TikTok Challenge EU&#8217;s Digital Services Act Fees, Call Them &#8216;Absurd,&#8217; &#8216;Discriminatory&#8217; And Based On Flawed Calculations</a>
Brent crude futures reacted swiftly to the news, rallying 4.81% during the day and ending at $69.81 per barrel. The commodity crossed $70 on Thursday, but has since witnessed a pullback, currently trading at $69.46 per barrel, down 0.46% at the time of writing this.
Why It Matters: News of the evacuation <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/topics/25/06/45893521/us-embassy-evacuations-spark-middle-east-risks-and-markets-are-noticing">took a toll</a> on the markets, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;dropping nearly 300 points from its earlier peak of 43,115, dipping to 42,860 late in the session.
The rise in crude oil prices lifted ETFs that track the commodity, such as the United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), which soared 4.50% on Wednesday, followed by the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), up 6.56% and 1.90%, respectively.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table class="has-fixed-layout">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Funds &amp; ETFs</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">1-Day Returns</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Year-To-Date Returns</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">United States Oil Fund LP </td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+4.50%</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-2.74%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil </td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+6.56%</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-15.41%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF </td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+1.90%</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-4.69%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Crude oil prices are nonetheless expected to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/05/45135059/oil-sinks-below-57-on-opec-supply-speculation-bear-market-deepens">remain under pressure</a>, with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries or OPEC+ unwinding supply despite falling prices.
According to Benzinga&#8217;s Edge Rankings, the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil fund fares poorly on Momentum, ranked in the 21st percentile, with a weak price trend in the medium and long term. Click <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound">here for deeper insights into the fund</a>, its peers, and competitors.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-2#:~:text=Turn%20Market%20Chaos,when%20markets%20rebound"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="192" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/11235654/Screenshot-2025-06-12-at-9.26.39-AM-1024x192.png" alt="" class="wp-image-946953" style="width:920px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/11235654/Screenshot-2025-06-12-at-9.26.39-AM-1024x192.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/11235654/Screenshot-2025-06-12-at-9.26.39-AM-300x56.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/11235654/Screenshot-2025-06-12-at-9.26.39-AM-768x144.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/11235654/Screenshot-2025-06-12-at-9.26.39-AM.png 1176w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></figure>
Read More:
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/25/06/45896615/us-recession-odds-tumble-to-23-on-crypto-betting-market-after-trump-confirms-china-trade-deal-softer-inflation-numbers">US Recession Odds Tumble To 23% On Crypto Betting Market After Trump Confirms China Trade Deal, Softer Inflation Numbers</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Oil ETFs Surge Over 6% As Trump Orders Middle East Evacuation Amid Iran Tensions, Warns Region 'Could Be Dangerous'

As crude prices edge higher, several <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">oil-focused ETFs </a>are showing signs of life, offering investors a tactical opportunity amid supply tightness and improving sentiment.
Oil may have spent most of this year trapped in a range, but that hasn't stopped a few well-positioned ETFs from warming up. A recent 4% climb in Brent prices, optimism around renewed US-China trade negotiations, and signs of tightening short-term supply are giving the energy trade fresh fuel <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-08/latest-oil-market-news-and-analysis-for-june-9?sref=TBDibEcD">according </a>to Bloomberg, just in time for summer.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/management/25/06/45842911/exclusive-why-eric-lutton-says-sitting-in-cash-could-cost-you-big">EXCLUSIVE: Why Eric Lutton Says Sitting In Cash Could Cost You Big</a>
For investors looking to play this setup, here's a look at some top oil-linked ETFs gaining traction:
United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>): 
What it does: Tracks front-month WTI crude oil futures Why it matters now: USO is a barometer for short-term crude price moves. With backwardation (near-term futures priced higher than later months) back in play, the fund faces less drag from roll costs. If crude stays firm or trends upward, USO could reflect gains more efficiently than it did during contango-heavy periods.
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)
What it does: Tracks large-cap U.S. energy stocks like ExxonMobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) and Chevron (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) Why it matters now: While XLE isn't a direct oil proxy, it&#8217;s sensitive to crude price trends via energy sector profitability. It also serves as a relatively stable option for those seeking sector exposure without the futures complexity of USO.
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)
What it does: Provides 2x leveraged exposure to daily WTI crude moves Why it matters now: For tactical traders, UCO offers a leveraged way to bet on oil upside during short-term rallies. With crude holding above $66 and volatility low, UCO could see amplified gains, though it's not for the risk-averse.
VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>)
What it does: Tracks oilfield services companies like Halliburton and Schlumberger Why it matters now: Services firms benefit when producers ramp up drilling and production. If summer demand drives more activity and OPEC+ production hikes stick, OIH constituents could see revenue and margin boosts.
SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)
What it does: Focuses on smaller exploration and production companies Why it matters now: These firms are highly sensitive to oil prices. In a bullish cycle, they often outperform due to greater operating leverage—but that also means steeper losses during downturns.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why Oil Is Moving Now</h2>
Brent crude is holding above $64 after a strong 4% gain last week, lifted by renewed optimism around U.S.-China trade talks, with negotiators meeting in London to dial down geopolitical friction that has weighed on global growth.
But crude's rally isn't just about diplomacy. Supply signals are tightening, too. U.S. futures are in backwardation, a bullish curve structure that points to stronger near-term demand. Meanwhile, volatility gauges are near their lowest since April (VIX is around 17), suggesting markets are stabilizing.
Still, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-08/latest-oil-market-news-and-analysis-for-june-9">crude </a>is down 15% year-to-date, and the rally remains fragile. OPEC+'s surprise production bump could cap gains, and macro risks, from softening Chinese demand to election-season volatility in the U.S., still lurk.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Final Takeaway</h2>
ETF investors need to weigh short-term tailwinds like trade optimism, summer driving season, tight supply, against longer-term risks. With spot signals flashing green, now may be a time to nibble at energy exposure. But keep your stop-losses tight and your macro radar on.
Read Next: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45842761/silver-just-shattered-a-14-year-ceiling-could-50-be-next">Silver Just Shattered A 14-Year Ceiling &#8211; Could $50 Be Next?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Specialty ETFs

These 5 Oil ETFs Can Ride The Summer Demand Wave Amid Trade Talk Tailwinds

Drillers are packing up their gear, and investors should be paying attention, especially those invested <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-oil-stocks">in oil stocks</a>.
According to the latest Baker Hughes <a href="https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/static-files/02aaefec-4ede-4ded-bcbb-de2c28d3e93a">report</a>, the number of <a href="https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/intl-rig-count">international oil rigs</a> (excluding North America) fell by six rigs in May to 653, marking the lowest count in two decades outside of the COVID-19 pandemic collapse. 
That's not just a statistic, it's a potential signal of tighter oil supply ahead.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/05/45580812/trump-may-want-a-recession-market-observers-say-it-serves-his-economic-agendalower-rates-inflation-and-trade-deficit">Trump May &#8216;Want&#8217; A Recession: Market Observer Says It Serves His Economic Agenda—Lower Rates, Oil Prices, And Trade Deficit</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Fewer Rigs, Supply Squeeze, Price Boost</h1>
Fewer rigs today often mean lower production tomorrow, especially when it comes to long-lead international projects. With global demand holding steady — and OPEC+ keeping barrels off the market — this dip in drilling activity could tilt the oil market toward another supply squeeze.
For investors, this backdrop favors upstream oil producers that can operate efficiently, maintain capital discipline and generate strong cash flow even when rigs are idled.
Diamondback Energy Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FANG#NASDAQ">FANG</a>) is a textbook example. Despite plans to drop three rigs in the second quarter due to soft prices, its focus on the Permian Basin, industry-leading cost structure and resilient profitability — net income rose 7% from 2014 to 2023 despite falling oil prices — makes it a standout.
Coterra Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CTRA#NYSE">CTRA</a>) is also dialing back rig activity in the Permian but brings a diversified mix to the table, thanks to its Marcellus shale gas assets. That combo helps cushion the company against crude price volatility while continuing to deliver shareholder returns.
EOG Resources Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EOG#NYSE">EOG</a>) remains the shale innovator to watch. With top-tier assets in the Permian and Eagle Ford, EOG's commitment to per-well recoveries, capital efficiency and data-driven development makes it well-suited to thrive in a post-drilling-boom world.
And don't count out Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>) — Warren Buffett certainly hasn't. Its deep Permian presence and focus on carbon capture and enhanced oil recovery position it for both near-term gains and long-term relevance.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Energy ETFs Could See Renewed Investor Interest</h1>
Meanwhile, ETFs such as the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) — which track large-cap and exploration and production energy stocks, respectively — could see renewed investor interest if crude prices move higher on supply-tightening signals.
For energy investors, this 20-year rig count low might just be the rallying cry.
Read Next: 
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/dividends/25/06/45789249/wall-streets-most-accurate-analysts-spotlight-on-3-energy-stocks-with-over-7-dividend-yields">Wall Street&#8217;s Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Energy Stocks With Over 7% Dividend Yields</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Long Ideas

Trading Ideas

CTRA

FANG

20-Year Low In Rig Counts Could Fire Up Oil Prices — And These Stocks

In the wake of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/opec">OPEC+&#8217;s weekend decision</a> to increase oil production quotas, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">energy ETFs are back</a> in the spotlight—some surfing the wave of positive sentiment, others protecting against geopolitical uncertainty. As oil prices surged on the U.S.-UK trade relations and potential resolutions to the U.S.-China tariff war, ETFs tracking oil futures and energy stocks have experienced rising volume and volatility.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44799117/us-iran-talks-fuel-oil-rally-here-are-5-energy-etfs-in-the-radar">US-Iran Talks Fuel Oil Rally: Here Are 3 Energy ETFs In The Radar</a>
<ol>
<li>United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) The USO is perhaps the most direct play on crude oil prices. It tracks daily price movements of WTI futures. In the past week, USO has climbed in tandem with WTI's 3%+ rally, and daily trading volumes have surged. But with its exposure to short-term futures, the fund is vulnerable to contango risk, a drag on costs that can cut into returns when longer-dated futures are trading at a premium to near-term contracts. Investors are keen to observe whether the OPEC+ production increase smoothes the front of the curve, lowering the drag. </li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) The XOP ETF provides exposure to a basket of upstream energy companies—those that drill, explore, and produce. With CNX Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNX#NYSE">CNX</a>) and Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) among its holdings, XOP is prone to magnifying the effect of oil price volatility. The ETF advanced more than 3% following the trade deal and production news. That&#8217;s a sign of investor optimism. Exploration companies could gain from stabilized demand and more transparent global trade flows. </li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) For the adventurous, UCO offers 2x leveraged exposure to WTI futures&#8217; daily performance. It&#8217;s become popular with short-term speculators attempting to catch news events, such as the OPEC+ output boost or US-Iran nuclear talks. While potentially profitable in robust upswings, UCO can be brutal in reversals, and thus a weapon best reserved for experienced traders. The fund advanced more than 5% on Thursday following the US-UK trade deal.</li>
</ol>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What&#8217;s Going On Today On The Oil Front?</h2>
As the market prices in the possibility of looser supply conditions from OPEC+ and stronger global trade relationships, oil ETFs sit in the middle of this macroeconomic tug-of-war.
OPEC+ said at the weekend it will raise its oil production quotas, speeding the rollback of previous supply cuts as part of its continuing strategy to balance market recovery with geopolitical necessities. The step, which occurs after April production slipped by a small margin due to stoppages in Venezuela, Iraq, and Libya, as discovered by a Reuters Survey, is a measure of the group&#8217;s faith in the resilience of demand as the trade environment looks up. 
In the meantime, wider macroeconomic mood has been given a significant boost by renewed momentum in global trade diplomacy. The<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45293839/trump-starmer-strike-us-uk-trade-deal-steel-cars-beef"> just-announced U.S.-UK trade deal</a>, touted by President Trump as a &#8220;breakthrough,&#8221; is set to cut tariffs on major goods—including a major cut on UK car exports and complete removal of duties on steel and aluminum. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer described the agreement as a &#8220;catalyst for deeper bilateral trade,&#8221; while U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick put new opportunities for American exporters at $5 billion. The good news precedes a high-stakes meeting between <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/05/45290148/oil-bulls-eye-rebound-as-us-china-talks-spark-hope-yardeni">U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China&#8217;s highest-ranking economic official</a> on May 10 in Switzerland to work out long-standing trade tensions. Collectively, these negotiations are sparking hope that a de-escalation of tariff wars can rekindle world demand, specifically for energy-intensive industries, offering a backstop of support for oil prices and commodity-linked ETFs.
While Citi Research trimmed Brent forecasts to $55 for the next three months, the firm maintained that price levels will stabilize later this year at around $60 per barrel, according to another Reuters report. That is good news for energy-themed ETFs, particularly those with less exposure to futures roll costs and more diversification throughout the oil value chain.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/05/45297474/imtm-etf-tanks-then-soars-why-global-momentum-is-making-a-comeback">IMTM ETF Tanks, Then Soars: Why Global Momentum Is Making A Comeback</a></li>
</ul>

Oil ETFs Heat Up As OPEC+ Pump-Up, US-UK Trade Deal, China Talks Fuel Rally

While crude prices continue to decline,<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> oil-linked ETFs</a> are not only being watched for their price action but also for the insight they provide into sentiment across various segments of the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/oil" target="_blank" rel="noopener">energy sector</a>. Two of the most heavily followed funds—United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)—provide different perspectives on how market players are positioned on oil volatility.
United States Oil Fund
USO is intended to replicate the daily movements of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures. It does this mainly through holding near-month NYMEX futures contracts, and as such, it is extremely vulnerable to short-term changes in the price of oil. The ETF <a href="https://www.uscfinvestments.com/uso">owns </a>a series of front-month WTI futures contracts and rolls them over on a monthly basis. This exposes the fund to contango and backwardation, two states in the futures curve that can either drain or enhance returns independent of spot price direction.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/45018013/oil-drops-below-key-support-is-55-the-next-stop-for-west-texas-intermediate">Oil Drops Below Key Support: Is $55 The Next Stop For West Texas Intermediate?</a>
Through April 29, USO has dropped almost 3% as of writing, echoing weakness in crude. For the past month, its decline, at more than 14%, has intensified as Brent and WTI are on track for a bad month.
USO tends to function as a short-term tactical trading tool instead of a long-term investment tool. Its April movement indicates increasing angst regarding short-term demand destruction with trade disruptions, risk of oversupply, and macroeconomic weakness.
SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF
Whereas USO tracks the commodity, XOP <a href="https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/spdr-sp-oil-gas-exploration-production-etf-xop">invests </a>in an equal-weighted index of U.S. energy stocks that are engaged in upstream oil and gas production. The ETF offers diversified exposure to small- and mid-cap exploration and production (E&amp;P) companies. Its equal-weighting approach minimizes concentration risk but maximizes volatility, particularly in times of declining oil prices.
Top Holdings: CNX Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNX#NYSE">CNX</a>), Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MPC#NYSE">MPC</a>), and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) are among the fund&#8217;s top holdings—companies that are more exposed to commodity price fluctuations because of their relatively high-cost production and capital sensitivity.
XOP fell 0.9% Tuesday afternoon, although it has beaten USO on a relative basis over the last few weeks. That is possibly driven by a perception that equities—particularly those with solid balance sheets—can better withstand short-term price dips than the futures curve.
XOP will be ideal for investors looking for leveraged exposure to oil prices through equities when prices are moving higher. Yet, in a bear market like the current one, its small-cap bias makes it a riskier play.
Sentiment Shifts
Brent crude&nbsp;dropped&nbsp;below $63.96 a barrel on Tuesday afternoon, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI)&nbsp;was&nbsp;around $60.34—both&nbsp;<a href="https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/">lower&nbsp;</a>for a second&nbsp;straight&nbsp;session. Brent, which has dropped 16% year-to-date, is now set to register its biggest monthly drop&nbsp;since 2021, a reflection of&nbsp;growing&nbsp;worries&nbsp;over&nbsp;weakening&nbsp;demand and geopolitical&nbsp;uncertainty.
At the same time, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-28/latest-oil-market-news-and-analysis-for-april-29">OPEC+&#8217;s</a> hint at bringing production levels back online is exerting downward pressure on prices, with oversupply fears rising as much as the demand outlook weakens, according to Bloomberg.
Geopolitical events are further complicating matters. Negotiations between Tehran and Washington on Iran&#8217;s nuclear program have given tentative indications of progress. If diplomatic efforts result in sanctions easing, Iranian crude might return to global markets—a bearish oil price catalyst once again.
Investors in oil ETFs are also getting hit. As their prices decline, USO and XOP are experiencing increased volume as investors rethink their energy exposure in light of the increased uncertainty.
Looking forward, markets will be waiting to see economic data this week that can provide more clarity on trading conditions. Meanwhile, oil ETFs remain an important gauge of investor sentiment, capturing the fine balancing act of forces at play in the global energy market.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/04/45075953/exclusive-inside-the-bond-etf-that-thrives-in-volatility-mackay-shields-zachary-aronson-on-ho">EXCLUSIVE: Inside The Bond ETF That Thrives In Volatility—MacKay Shields&#8217; Zachary Aronson On How SECR Is Quietly Crushing It</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Oil's Slippery Slide: What USO And XOP ETFs Reveal About Energy Market Panic

President Donald Trump has expressed fury over recent remarks by Russian President Vladimir Putin suggesting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy should be replaced. 
What Happened: In a weekend interview, Trump said he was "very angry" and warned of economic retaliation if Russia fails to cooperate on halting the Ukraine war.
Putin proposed a transitional government for Ukraine, which would effectively push out Zelenskyy. Trump, in response, threatened to impose sweeping &#8220;secondary tariffs&#8221; on any country purchasing Russian oil, including a 25% to 50% tariff on Russian crude and related products.
Trump made Ukraine a centerpiece of his foreign policy agenda and has pushed for an end to the war. His team helped broker a partial ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, allowing safe passage in the Black Sea and a halt on attacks targeting energy infrastructure. But tensions with Moscow remain high.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/03/44450604/putin-prayed-for-his-friend-trump-at-church-after-assassination-attempt">Putin Prayed for &#8216;His Friend&#8217; Trump at Church After Assassination Attempt</a>
"If Russia and I are unable to make a deal on stopping the bloodshed in Ukraine, and if I think it was Russia's fault — which it might not be — but if I think it was Russia's fault, I am going to put secondary tariffs on oil, on all oil coming out of Russia," Trump <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-angry-putin-zelenskyy-iran-sanctions-rcna198729">told </a>to NBC News.
Despite previous criticism of Zelenskyy, Trump signaled he would act against Putin if diplomacy fails. He also said he plans to speak with Putin again this week. "The anger dissipates quickly… if he does the right thing," Trump said, describing their relationship as "very good."
Trump said he also "was pissed off" about Putin's comments about temporary governance and that his anger about Putin's comments had been made known to Moscow.
Trump's tariff threats echo a similar strategy he applied to Venezuela, where countries importing oil from Caracas risked U.S. trade penalties. The same could apply to top buyers of Russian oil such as China, India, Turkey, and Brazil.
Read Next
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/01/43216865/putin-agrees-with-trump-ukraine-war-avoidable-if-trump-had-been-in-office" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Putin Agrees With Trump: Ukraine War Avoidable if Trump Had Been in Office</a>
Image: Shutterstock

Trump Threatens Russian Oil Tariffs, Says He's 'Very Angry' At Putin

Officials from the U.S. and Russia have commenced discussions in Saudi Arabia. The goal of these talks is to establish a comprehensive ceasefire in Ukraine and a distinct Black Sea maritime agreement.
What Happened: These talks come on the heels of U.S. negotiations with Ukraine that took place in Saudi Arabia on Sunday. The discussions are a part of U.S. President Donald Trump&#8216;s escalated efforts to resolve the conflict that has been ongoing for three years. The U.S. delegation is spearheaded by Andrew Peek, a senior director at the White House National Security Council, and Michael Anton, a senior State Department official, reported the Reuters on Monday.
The talks primarily aim to secure a maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea to enable free shipping. Russia&#8217;s delegation features Grigory Karasin, the chair of the Foreign Affairs Committee in the upper house of parliament, and Sergei Beseda, an adviser to the Federal Security Service&#8217;s director.
Trump has expressed satisfaction with the progress of the talks and lauded Russian President Vladimir Putin&#8216;s involvement. However, major European powers remain doubtful about Putin&#8217;s readiness to make significant concessions.
The talks also aim to discuss &#8220;the line of control&#8221; between the two countries, peacekeeping, and &#8220;confidence-building measures,&#8221; including the repatriation of Ukrainian children taken by Russia.
About Ukraine honoring the terms of the Black Sea Grain Deal, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated, &#8220;But if you remember the initiative in its previous form, there was quite a large part of the obligations to our country that were not fulfilled last time. Therefore, this will also be on the agenda today.&#8221;
SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/25/03/44454270/crypto-tycoon-joins-forces-with-elon-musks-spacex-to-launch-first-private-space-station">Crypto Tycoon Joins Forces With Elon Musk&#8217;s SpaceX To Launch First Private Space Station</a>
Why It Matters: These discussions follow the Trump administration&#8217;s push for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44435337/trump-administration-pushes-for-revised-terms-to-access-ukraines-critical-resources-amid-peace-talks-report">revised terms to access </a>Ukraine&#8217;s critical resources amid peace talks. The U.S. is persuading Kyiv to agree to comprehensive terms about the ownership and control of a joint investment fund. This could potentially extend to U.S. ownership of other economic assets in Ukraine, such as nuclear power plants.
 Trump announced that the U.S. is aiming to establish agreements on rare earths and minerals globally, with a special focus on Ukraine. This initiative is part of a larger strategy to secure a peace agreement with Russia.
Following the reports of the peace talks, oil prices climbed on Monday as the Brent crude futures gained 54 cents at $72.18 a barrel by 1102 GMT. IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong told Reuters, &#8220;&#8230;the broader demand-supply outlook still remains mixed. Ukraine-Russia ceasefire talks raise the prospects of increased Russian exports on an eventual resolution, while the OPEC+ production hike as early as April points to further supply additions.&#8221; 
These developments, along with U.S. sanctions on Iranian exports, make energy ETFs a key area of investor interest. iShares U.S. Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYE#NYSE">IYE</a>) climbed 0.75% over the past month, while SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) dropped 2.57% during the same period. 
<ul>
<li>READ MORE: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/forex/25/03/44454065/india-china-markets-gain-in-asia-europe-mixed-dollar-eases-global-markets-today-while-us-slept">India, China Markets Gain In Asia, Europe Mixed; Dollar Eases &#8211; Global Markets Today While US Slept</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
<a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/xop" target="_blank"></a>

iShares Dow Jones US Energy Sector Index Fund

Oil Rises As US And Russia Begin Talks In Saudi Arabia For Ukraine Ceasefire, Black Sea Deal

Oil prices fell 1% Tuesday with geopolitical change and economic uncertainty contributing to market expectations. 
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/03/44384160/oil-prices-slip-energy-stocks-pause-as-trump-putin-call-signals-ukraine-ceasefire-progress">Diplomatic talks between</a> U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin encouraged the prospect of a Ukraine ceasefire that might relax sanctions on Russian fuel exports, according to Reuters. But analysts warn it will take time for a meaningful recovery in Russian oil output. While this is, at least in part, due to the effects of Trump&#8217;s trade tariffs on energy demand, there are a number of other factors coming into play. These combine to create a complicated energy scenario, making <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">energy ETFs</a> a focal point of investor interest.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">How Energy ETFs Fit Into The Picture</h1>
ETFs provide exposure to the energy sector with risk management against changing oil prices and geopolitical events. Here&#8217;s how various kinds of energy ETFs could be impacted:
Diversified Energy ETFs: These offer diversified exposure to exploration, production, refining and transport, enabling investors to control volatility. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) and the iShares U.S. Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYE#NYSE">IYE</a>) are options to consider, with expense ratios of 0.08% and 0.4%, respectively.
Exploration and Production (E&amp;P) ETFs: Concentrated on extracting oil and gas, these ETFs can experience volatility due to changes in supply and demand. Investors may look at the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) and the iShares U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IEO#BATS">IEO</a>). The ETFs carry an expense ratio of 0.35% and 0.4%, respectively.
Midstream ETFs: Comprising less price-volatile components, these may be rewarded with higher oil transport and storage requirements. Examples include the Alerian MLP ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMLP#NYSE">AMLP</a>) and the Global X MLP ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLPA#NYSE">MLPA</a>), with expense ratios of 0.85% and 0.45%, respectively.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44217245/us-shale-industry-set-to-boost-oil-output-despite-falling-prices-says-energy-secretary-the-economics-of-shale-dont-work-says-expert">US Shale Industry Can Deliver Trump&#8217;s Pledge For &#8216;Drill, Baby, Drill&#8217; Despite Falling Prices, Says Energy Secretary: &#8216;The Economics Of Shale Don&#8217;t Work,&#8217; Says Expert</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Contributing Factors To Slowing Oil Prices</h1>
• If sanctions against Russia are relaxed, its crude output — presently at 9.2 million barrels per day (bpd), from 10.6 million bpd in 2016 — might rise. But significant supply shifts might not be immediate, per the Reuters report.
• Trump's tariffs are pressuring global growth. The OECD warns of slower growth, while Wood Mackenzie cut its 2025 Brent crude forecast by $7 to $73 per barrel, according to Reuters.
• OPEC+ is going ahead with its scheduled April output increase, pumping additional supply into the market.
• Middle East uncertainty is another underpinning factor in oil prices. Trump&#8217;s military intervention in support of Iran-aligned Houthis in Yemen and Israeli airstrikes on Gaza inject volatility into the global oil supply.
• Chinese and German economic stimulus may be able to sustain oil demand, offsetting some of the pressure on prices lower.
• This week, the American Petroleum Institute (API) and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will report on oil inventories. Reuters reported that a 0.9 million barrel build is expected by analysts, which may have an impact on short-term price action.
Oil prices continue to be very volatile based on geopolitical and economic reasons. Energy ETFs provide investors with the means to ride out these changes, managing risk while achieving opportunity. Monitoring worldwide trends and inventory reports will be paramount in making smart investment decisions.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/03/44382780/3-best-performing-semiconductor-etfs-since-last-gtc-and-why-this-time-is-different">3 Best-Performing Semiconductor ETFs Since Last GTC And Why This Time Is Different</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

AMLP

iShares Dow Jones US Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index Fund

MLPA

Oil Prices Ease: What It Means For Energy ETFs, Investors

The Trump administration is exploring a strategy to halt and examine Iranian oil tankers at sea as part of an international agreement aimed at curbing the spread of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43480859/trump-confirms-maximum-economic-pressure-on-iran-calls-chinas-tariff-retaliation-fine">weapons of mass destruction</a>.
What Happened: According to Reuters, Trump officials are considering enabling allied nations to stop and inspect vessels passing through critical maritime routes such as Asia's Malacca Strait.
Such actions could delay crude deliveries to refiners and potentially damage the reputations of those involved in facilitating these trades.
The administration is evaluating whether these sea inspections could be conducted under the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), a U.S.-led program launched in 2003 with the participation of over 100 countries to prevent the movement of weapons of mass destruction. 
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44157043/jim-cramer-doubles-down-on-crowdstrike-despite-drop-analysts-who-were-so-negativehad-it-wrong">Jim Cramer Doubles Down On CrowdStrike Despite Drop: &#8216;Analysts Who Were So Negative…Had It Wrong&#8217;</a>
Why It Matters: Opponents of Tehran's oil revenue say it supports nuclear proliferation as well as terrorism.
However, past attempts to seize Iranian oil have sparked retaliation from Tehran. In 2023, Iran seized foreign ships—one chartered by Chevron (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>)—after the U.S. attempted to intercept Iranian oil cargoes.
&#8220;You don't have to sink ships or arrest people to have that chilling effect that this is just not worth the risk,&#8221; said one source, emphasizing that delivery delays could sow uncertainty in illicit trade networks. 
Analysts warn that the longer sanctions remain in place, the more Iran and its oil buyers will find ways to circumvent them.
With Iran's oil revenues largely tied to exports to China, any prolonged disruption could have significant economic impacts. 
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">ETFs To Watch</h2>
During pre-market hours on Thursday, <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a> showed: 
<ul>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) fell by 0.17%,</li>
<li>United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) dropped 2.58%,</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) decreased by 0.39%, and</li>
<li>MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 0.28% drop,</li>
</ul>
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/forex/25/03/44161314/us-stocks-likely-to-open-lower-after-wednesdays-blip-be-patient-but-be-ready-to-act-says-analyst-as-market-uncertainties-can-create-opportunities">US Stocks Likely To Open Lower After Wednesday&#8217;s Blip: &#8216;Be Patient, But Be Ready To Act,&#8217; Says Analyst As Market Uncertainties Can Create &#8216;Opportunities&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Government

OILU

Trump Administration Weighs Sea Inspections Of Iranian Oil Tankers

Editor's Note: This article has been updated to clarify that Elliott Investment Management purchased convertible senior notes of Wolfspeed and MicroStrategy.
Elliott Investment Management made several portfolio moves in the fourth quarter, closing multiple options positions and shaking up the activist firm&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/02/43811538/5-top-tech-stocks-hedge-funds-have-been-bullish-on-in-q4-hint-its-not-nvidia">technology exposure</a>.
According to a new&nbsp;<a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1791786/000101359425000294/xslForm13F_X02/primary_doc.xml" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">13-F</a>&nbsp;filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Elliott added the following new positions in the fourth quarter:
<ul>
<li>Wolfspeed Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WOLF#NYSE">WOLF</a>) 0.25% and 1.875% convertible senior notes</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) put options</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>SPDR Select Sector Fund Industrial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>) put options</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) put options</li>
</ul>
Here's a look at all of the positions Elliott added to during the fourth quarter:
<ul>
<li>Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) increased by 369%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>MicroStrategy Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) increased convertible senior notes by 200%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>CorMedix Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRMD#NASDAQ">CRMD</a>) increased by 85%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>HDFC Bank Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HDB#NYSE">HDB</a>) increased by 6%</li>
</ul>
Here&#8217;s a look at all of the positions Elliott closed during the fourth quarter:
<ul>
<li>Catalent Inc (CTLC) </li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Cardinal Health Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAH#NYSE">CAH</a>)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Unity Software Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/U#NYSE">U</a>)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>BILL Holdings Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BILL#NYSE">BILL</a>)</li>
</ul>
Elliott closed out of calls in several names including Arm Holdings, American Airlines and Alaska Air Group. The firm also closed multiple put positions including Equinix, Hyatt Hotels and Host Hotels.
Here's a look at all of the positions Elliott trimmed during the fourth quarter:
<ul>
<li>ICON Plc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICLR#NASDAQ">ICLR</a>) decreased by 62%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>RingCentral Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RING#NYSE">RING</a>) decreased by 55%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>NRG Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NRG#NYSE">NRG</a>) decreased by 50%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Confluent Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFLT#NASDAQ">CFLT</a>) decreased by 37%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) decreased by 2%</li>
</ul>
The above information does not include call or put options that were added to or trimmed&nbsp;during the quarter.
This information was gathered using comparison tools from&nbsp;<a href="https://13f.info/13f/000101359425000294/compare/000101359424000968" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">13f.info</a>.
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This illustration was generated using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

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Elliott Investment Management Bets Against Nvidia In Q4 (CORRECTED)

President Donald Trump, while hosting a White House meeting with Jordan&#8217;s King Abdullah at the White House Tuesday, reiterated his threat that the U.S. will take control of the Gaza Strip and move the nearly two million Palestinians living there to either Jordan <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/gaza">or Egypt or somewhere</a>.
Asked whether the U.S. would cut billions in financial aid to the two countries if they refused to accept the transfer of Palestinians, Trump sounded confident that Jordan and Egypt would carry out his wishes.
"I don't have to threaten that. I do believe we're above that," Trump said, contradicting his previous suggestion that holding back aid was a possibility.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How Will The US Attain Gaza?</h2>
Trump said the US could come to control Gaza without committing any money. 
&#8220;We are not going to buy Gaza&#8230;we are going to take it and cherish it,&#8221; Trump said. &#8221; It will bring peace to the Middle East. It is going to be a tremendous thing and put a lot of people to work.&#8221; 
Speaking in broad strokes, Trump insisted that there has been overwhelming support for his plan to turn Gaza into a resort, though in fact most world leaders <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/02/43503385/trumps-gaza-plan-for-seaside-resort-faces-global-pushback">criticized his plan</a> when it was first announced.
Trump suggested that the redeveloped area could have new hotels, office buildings and houses and "and we'll make it exciting." 
Trump then waxed on about what a successful real estate magnate he is. "I can tell you about real estate. They're going to be in love with it," he said.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">King Abdullah, What Say You? </h2>
When pressed by reporters specifically as to whether he agreed to the transfer of Palestinians from Gaza, King Adbullah said that more talks will be held soon with Egypt to discuss the issue. Egypt has also condemned Trump&#8217;s plan. 
The King said that Jordan would need to take into consideration how it could or would be able to take Palestinians into his country. The kingdom already shelters 700,000 Syrian refugees and lacks the oil wealth of its neighbors, making continued U.S. aid crucial. Jordan receives nearly $2 billion in foreign aid to Jordan, which contributes at least 42% to the country&#8217;s total economy
&#8220;This is something that we as Arabs will discuss later and talk about the options,&#8221; King Abdullah said. 
Two Palestinians from Michigan told Benzinga that they thought the King played his cards close to his chest and that deferring to upcoming talks with Egypt &#8220;was a good idea. He [Trump] already walked back the threat of cutting aid to both Egypt and Jordan.&#8221;
Analysts from various outlets agreed that King Abdullah held back in the short press briefing during which Trump did most of the talking. Though ahead of Tuesday's meeting, King Abdullah had reaffirmed his commitment to a two-state solution and the need for a "just and comprehensive peace" in the region. 
In terms of Israel&#8217;s plan to annex the mostly Palestinian West Bank, Trump said, &#8220;That&#8217;s going to work out.&#8221;
Abdullah also announced that Jordan was intending to bring to Jordan 2,000 Palestinian children from Gaza in need of cancer treatment, which Trump said was a beautiful thing.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">ETFs To Watch</h3>
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, oil ETFs were in the green at last check Tuesday:
<ul>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) is up by 2.65%</li>
<li>United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) is up by 1.25%</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) is up by 0.9%</li>
<li>MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 2.94% uptick</li>
</ul>
Now Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/02/43621302/justin-trudeau-slams-unacceptable-us-tariffs-after-trump-imposes-25-levy-on-metal-imports-canadians-will-stand-up-strongly-and-firmly-if-we-need-to">Justin Trudeau Slams &#8216;Unacceptable&#8217; US Tariffs After Trump Imposes 25% Levy On Metal Imports : &#8216;Canadians Will Stand Up Strongly And Firmly If We Need To&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Palestinian refugees in Gaza: Shutterstock

Trump Says We Will 'Take Gaza' And 'Cherish It' In White House Meeting With Jordan's King Abdullah

Trump's first day in office brought a wave of executive orders targeting immigration, energy, social policies, and announcing the withdrawal from global agreements like the Paris Climate Accord and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">the World Health Organization. </a>
Trump also pledged to raise tariffs up to 25% on both Canada and Mexico starting Feb. 1, but fell short of announcing universal tariffs on all imports.
Following Monday&#8217;s market closure for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, investors began assessing how Trump's new policy measures could impact sectors across the board. 
Gold miners and defense stocks outperformed, while solar energy companies were among the hardest hit.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wall Street&#8217;s Winners And Losers After Trump&#8217;s Day 1</h3>
Gold miners were among the standout performers, amid rising trade fears between the U.S. and Canada. 
The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>) climbed 2.6% by 1:30 p.m. ET Tuesday. Leading gains were Harmony Gold Mining Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HMY#NYSE">HMY</a>), up 4.3% and Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXK#NYSE">EXK</a>), up 3.1%.
&#8220;While President Trump's Inauguration Day policy announcements on tariffs were more benign than expected, we continue to expect the White House to increase tariff rates on autos and imports from China, and we see other tariff proposals as a risk,&#8221; Goldman Sach&#8217;s analyst Elsie Peng wrote in a note Tuesday.
Defense stocks also surged as Trump's policies emphasized national security and border protection declaring a &#8220;national emergency&#8221; at the southern border with Mexico. The iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#NYSE">ITA</a>) rose 3.3%.
Other notable movers included the U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JETS#NYSE">JETS</a>), up 2%, and the SPDR S&amp;P Metals &amp; Mining ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XME#NYSE">XME</a>), which rose 1.6% as investors bet on increased demand for industrial materials.
Oil and gas exploration companies saw declines despite <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/01/43097430/trumps-drill-baby-drill-era-begins-oil-prices-tumble-us-energy-stocks-edge-up">Trump's "Drill, Baby, Drill"</a> push to unleash U.S. energy resources. The SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) dropped 1.1%, signaling concerns about potential oversupply.
Clean energy and solar stocks, however, suffered from Trump's decision to halt offshore wind leasing and withdraw the U.S. from the Paris Climate Accord. 
The Invesco Solar ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TAN#NYSE">TAN</a>) fell 3.1%, with losses from Daqo New Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DQ#NYSE">DQ</a>), down 6.7%, and First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>), which dropped 5.4%. The Invesco WilderHill Clean Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PBW#NYSE">PBW</a>) slipped 1%.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43103527/mexican-peso-canadian-dollar-slide-as-trump-threatens-25-tariffs-expert-eyes-price-hikes-on-typical-us-breakfast">Mexican Peso, Canadian Dollar Slide As Trump Threatens 25% Tariffs, Economist Eyes Price Hikes On &#8216;Typical US Breakfast&#8217;</a></li>
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Photo: Shutterstock

Large Cap

Mid Cap

Regulations

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FSLR

Market Vectors ETF Trust Market Vectors Gold Miners

iShares Dow Jones US Aerospace & Defense Index Fund

JETS

PowerShares Exchange Traded Fund Trust WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio

Trump's First Day Sends Gold Miners, Defense Stocks Soaring, Solar Sliding

Donald Trump wasted no time in his return to the White House, signing a flurry of executive orders, and, most notably, declaring <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/01/43086509/trump-unleashes-executive-orders-on-border-security-oil-drilling-domestic-manufacturing-in-first-acts-as-president">a national energy emergency. </a>
During his inauguration speech on Monday, he reaffirmed his commitment to fossil fuels, pledging to &#8220;drill, baby, drill&#8221; and revoke the electric vehicle mandate. 
&#8220;The inflation crisis was caused by massive overspending and escalating energy prices. And that is why today I will also declare a national energy emergency. We will drill, baby, drill,&#8221; Trump said. 
Trump also announced his intent to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris Climate Accord, calling wind turbines "ugly" and reiterating his policy against renewable energy expansion. His focus is clear: expand drilling, restore the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and flood global markets with U.S. oil and gas.
Oil markets are already reacting, but will this push for American energy dominance send crude prices soaring or lead to an oversupply crisis?
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What Happens To Oil Prices?</h3>
The immediate impact of Trump's pro-drilling stance on oil markets has been strong, with traders already reassessing their outlooks on crude prices. 
The U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude – as tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) – tumbled by 2.6% during morning trading on Tuesday, heading for a third straight session of losses. 
"Mr. Trump's full-throated yell for U.S. producers to: ‘Drill, baby, drill!' is not new. And it's perfectly logical that prices should fall at the prospect of increased supply. But producers are highly price-sensitive, and there comes a time/price where it's uneconomical to raise production," commented David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation.
&#8220;Day 1 executive orders in these areas are expected to be followed by further action in the coming days and weeks, with Trump set to test the limits of presidential authority to pursue an agenda that aims to unravel Biden's energy and climate policies,&#8221; wrote Energy Intelligence in a note Tuesday. 
David Goldman, head of trading at Novion said Trump's policy shift "is unlikely to have any significant impact in the short term but may have bearish repercussions in the long term."
Goldman highlighted that a sharp increase in U.S. production, particularly if global demand slows due to the ongoing transition to renewable energy, could weigh on prices. "Increased production without sufficient export infrastructure risks bottlenecks, while protectionist trade measures could stifle international cooperation and reduce market efficiency."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Energy Stocks See A Small Lift</h3>
Oil and gas stocks saw modest gains in premarket trading Tuesday as investors weighed the potential for increased drilling activity. 
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which tracks major oil companies, was up 0.1% during premarket trading, while the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) saw similar gains.
Among individual stocks:
<ul>
<li>Halliburton Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAL#NYSE">HAL</a>) rose 1.67% </li>
<li>Texas Pacific Land Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPL#NYSE">TPL</a>) gained 1.04%</li>
<li>Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) climbed 1.04% to $44.03</li>
<li>Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KMI#NYSE">KMI</a>) increased 0.96% to $30.60</li>
<li>Baker Hughes Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>) moved 0.90% higher to $46.96</li>
</ul>
Smaller energy players saw sharper moves, with Gulfport Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GPOR#NYSE">GPOR</a>) surging 9.13% to $213.25 and Sable Offshore Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOC#NYSE">SOC</a>) jumping 5.20% to $25.77.
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</ul>
Photo Shutterstock

Economics

GPOR

Trump's 'Drill, Baby, Drill' Era Begins: Oil Prices Tumble, US Energy Stocks Edge Up

Oil prices are heating up, and so are the stocks of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/energy">major energy companies</a>. 
Shares of Chevron Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>), and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>) were trading in the green at the last check on Friday. The rally follows a Reuters report suggesting the U.S. is preparing its most <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/01/42919047/oil-nears-80-as-us-prepares-new-russia-sanctions">stringent sanctions yet</a> against Russian oil.
These sanctions, expected to target 180 vessels, major <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/oil?_gl=1&#x2A;1aeuuae&#x2A;_gcl_au&#x2A;MTQ3Nzg4MTMxMi4xNzM1NTczMTA3&#x2A;_ga&#x2A;R1MxLjEuMTczNjUyMjc2NC4xLjEuMTczNjUyMjg4Ni4wLjAuMA..&#x2A;_ga_V7ZK73W7N0&#x2A;MTczNjUyMDk1NC40Ni4xLjE3MzY1MjY3NDYuMC4wLjA.">oil </a>companies, and top executives, have already pushed oil prices to $80 per barrel — a level not seen since October 2024. 
Traders are responding to the anticipated disruption in global oil supply, and some ETFs with oil and energy exposure stand to reap the benefits.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What This Means For ETFs</h3>
<ul>
<li>The United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) was trading 3.73% higher as of 12.13 P.M. EST</li>
<li>The Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBO#NYSE">DBO</a>) rose about 3.84%. </li>
<li>The United States 12 Month Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USL#NYSE">USL</a>) posted a 2.21% gain.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), with an expense ratio of 0.09% and a 91.26% exposure to the Oil, Gas &amp; Consumable Fuels make it a good bet for investors of oil-focused ETFs. The portfolio includes Exxon Mobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips.</li>
<li>Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDE#NYSE">VDE</a>) has an expense ratio of 0.10% and like XOP, Exxon Mobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips enjoys significant weightage in the fund.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Geopolitics and Market Dynamics</h3>
Sanctions on Russia — one of the world's largest oil producers — are expected to tighten supply. Prices are expected to go higher. Ongoing reduction in U.S. crude stockpiles, particularly at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub, as reported by Reuters, adds to the pressure.
While tighter supplies drive prices upward, concerns about demand persist. China&#8217;s fuel oil imports are likely to fall early 2025 thanks to a hike in oil import tax from Jan. 1. 
Weaker demand from China, one of the biggest crude oil importers, could weigh on prices in the longer term. 
See Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/12/42340255/opec-extends-oil-output-cuts-to-late-2026-what-it-means-for-markets">OPEC+ Extends Oil Output Cuts To Late 2026: What It Means For Markets</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Oil Stocks Rally On Anticipation Of Stricter Russian Sanctions: Here's How ETFs Are Reacting

The United States announced the toughest sanctions yet on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/oil">Russia's oil industry</a> on Friday.
What To Know: The news pushed global oil prices up by 3%, nearing $80 per barrel. The sanctions are part of Washington&#8217;s ongoing measures to penalize Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, aiming to disrupt oil exports to major buyers like India and China.
The measures include the blacklisting of 183 vessels involved in Russian energy exports, which could significantly disrupt the flow of oil. Previously, a Financial Times <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/7c0981bb-9b7a-4737-8f3f-65325a1d768a">analysis </a>showed that the 54 tankers sanctioned by the U.S. were forced to carry dramatically less oil due to heightened risks, hinting at potentially larger ramifications this time.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42913622/dollar-soars-to-27-month-highs-30-year-yields-hit-5-stocks-tumble-jobs-report-oil-spike-darken-feds-interest-rate-cut-hopes">Dollar Soars To 27-Month Highs, 30-Year Yields Hit 5%, Stocks Tumble As Jobs Report, Oil Spike Darken Fed&#8217;s Interest Rate Cut Hopes</a>
Key targets include Russian oil giants Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz, along with insurers Ingosstrakh and Alfastrakhovanie, which cover a significant portion of Russian oil shipments, Reuters reports. This move could intensify challenges for Russia, which has shifted oil exports to Asia since Western sanctions in 2022 curtailed its European markets.
The U.S. Treasury noted that the UK would coordinate and apply sanctions on Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz alongside Washington, FT reports.
The sanctions also target active Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities and foreign organizations that support Russia's oil exports, further expanding the scope of penalties.
The sanctions, issued just days before President-elect Donald Trump takes office, create a challenge for his administration. Trump, who campaigned on quickly ending the war between Russia and Ukraine, has expressed skepticism about imposing additional sanctions, FT reports.
In September, he stated, &#8220;I want to use sanctions as little as possible.&#8221; Reversing these measures could put him at odds with Congress, where Republican members had been urging President Joe Biden to crack down on Russian energy revenues.
What Else: To adapt, Russia has relied on its fleet of tankers and domestic insurance providers. However, Indian refiners indicated they would avoid tankers or insurers under U.S. sanctions.
Per the Reuters report, India refining sources suggest Russia may further discount crude prices to below $60 to align with Western price caps and retain market access.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42912480/us-economy-adds-256000-payrolls-in-december-as-tight-labor-market-tops-forecasts-dollar-treasury-yields-spike">US Economy Adds 256,000 Payrolls In December, Tight Labor Market Tops Forecasts: Dollar, Treasury Yields Spike</a>
Price Action From Key Oil ETFs:
<ul>
<li>Shares of United States Oil Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NASDAQ">USO</a>) are up 4.8% to $80.99.</li>
<li>Shares of Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NASDAQ">XLE</a>) are up 1.2% to $89.08.</li>
<li>Shares of SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NASDAQ">XOP</a>) are up 2% to $140.40.</li>
</ul>
Image created using photos from Shutterstock.

Oil Surges As US Unleashes Toughest Sanctions On Russia's Energy Sector

At least one aspect of Israel&#8217;s multifront war is expected to come to an end if the militant group Hamas comes to ceasefire terms <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global">with Israel</a>.
What Happened: So far, Hamas has yielded at least two of Israel's demands for a cease-fire agreement in Gaza, according to a Thursday <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-gaza-palestine-ceasefire-hostage-negotiations-d599e1d1">Wall Street Journal</a> report. 
The development comes after previous negotiations collapsed. And, just three months ago, certain <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40955425/top-us-officials-skeptical-of-israel-hamas-cease-fire-and-hostage-deal-before-bidens-term-ends-repor">senior U.S. officials were skeptical</a> that a hostage-release deal would occur before the end of President Joe Biden‘s term.
The scenario has changed drastically. 
U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan spoke to the press in Tel Aviv Thursday after meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel.
&#8220;Hamas started this war,&#8221; Sullivan said, optimistic that a ceasefire and hostage release &#8220;can happen.&#8221;
See below.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio"> 
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<iframe loading="lazy" title="LIVE: U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan holds a press availability in Tel Aviv." width="500" height="375" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/QY5Afz4Kt94?start=2036&#038;feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>
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Sullivan said he is set to visit Doha, Qatar and Cairo to close a deal &#8220;this month.&#8221; 
Hamas is reportedly willing to allow Israeli forces to stay in Gaza temporarily when the fighting stops, the WSJ reported. A list of hostages, including U.S. citizens, is expected to be released as part of a ceasefire pact.
Whether the ceasefire would last or be fully enforced remains to be seen.
Israel and Hezbollah were expected to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42199447/netanyahu-backs-cease-fire-deal-with-hezbollah-israeli-hardliner-calls-for-security-zone-inside-lebanon">pause fighting in Lebanon</a> last month, but <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42279102/israel-hezbollah-trade-strikes-in-latest-sign-of-crumbling-ceasefire">attacks continued into December</a>. At least five people were killed in Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon in the last 24 hours, per <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/12/11/israeli-strikes-kill-five-in-southern-lebanon-amid-shaky-ceasefire">Al Jazeera</a>, citing the country's Health Ministry.
Hezbollah began firing rockets toward Israel after Hamas attacked <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">Israel on Oct. 7, 2023</a>.
Why It Matters: The ceasefire agreement would come as the balance of power in the Middle East changes.
This week, Israel seized the buffer zone as Bashar al-Assad&#8216;s rule in Syria collapsed. Al-Assad and his family were subsequently <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42381587/bashar-al-assad-and-his-family-granted-asylum-by-russia-kremlin-source-says-always-spoken-in-favor-of-political-settlement">granted asylum by Russia</a>.
Assad&#8217;s regime was considered a lifeline to Hezbollah.
Traders can gain exposure to oil stocks that are affected by Middle East geopolitcal news via ETFs, or exchange-traded funds. According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>:
<ul>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) is up 0.27% Thursday. </li>
<li>United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) dropped 0.16%.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) decreased by 0.79%.</li>
<li>MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 2.39% drop.</li>
</ul>
Israeli stocks, as monitored through the VanEck Israel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ISRA#NYSE">ISRA</a>), are up 25.34% year-to-date.
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/12/42468190/defense-stocks-face-headwinds-as-trumps-doge-targets-spending-cuts-goldman-sachs-downgrades-general-dynamics-to-sell">Defense Stocks Face Headwinds As Trump&#8217;s DOGE Targets Spending Cuts: Goldman Sachs Downgrades General Dynamics</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

ISRA

Hamas Relents On Israeli Troops In Gaza, Paves Way For Potential Hostage Release

Editor&#8217;s note: This story was updated to add missing detail in the introduction and further updated to reflect approval of a cease-fire deal by Israel&#8217;s cabinet and U.S. President Joe Biden&#8217;s Tuesday afternoon announcement. Stock price action in the story has been updated and exchange and ticker info for the ISRA ETF has been corrected as well. 
The governments of Israel and Lebanon have accepted a cease-fire deal, President Joe Biden said Tuesday. 
&#8220;Today I have some good news to report from the Middle East,&#8221; Biden said, adding that he spoke with the prime ministers of Israel and Lebanon. 
&#8220;I am pleased to announce that their governments have accepted the U.S. proposal to end the devastating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah,&#8221; said Biden, who made the remarks in the White House Rose Garden. 
The cease-fire is set to take effect at 4 a.m. Wednesday, Biden said.
Hezbollah has not immediately commented on the deal announcement, the New York Times reported. Lebanon&#8217;s government does not control the Hezbollah militant group. 
The deal calls for a 60-day truce, The New York Times reported, and would be overseen by the U.S., United Nations and others. Israel would withdraw forces from Lebanon and Hezbollah would move fighters to north of the Litani River.
Strikes between Israel and Hezbollah have continued during the cease-fire negotiations.
What Happened: The short-term proposal is to pause hostilities for 60 days but with the intention of a lasting truce, according to <a href="https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-hezbollah-ceasefire-deal-gaza-war-11-26-24-intl-hnk/index.html">CNN</a>, which cited an Israeli official. 
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu offered three reasons for the cease fire, one being to shift focus to Iran, replenish Israeli troops and put greater pressure on Hamas to release the hostages that were captured <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">on Oct. 7, 2023</a>.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198266/crude-oil-moves-lower-dicks-sporting-goods-earnings-top-views">Crude Oil Moves Lower; Dick&#8217;s Sporting Goods Earnings Top Views</a>
Why It Matters: Not everyone is so confident the cease-fire will work.
Per the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/26/world/israel-hezbollah-lebanon-cease-fire">New York Times</a>, Israel&#8217;s national security minister Itamar Ben-Gvir stressed the need for a "security zone" inside Lebanon to defend against Hezbollah. Otherwise, the two countries risk another war in the future, he said. 
Ben-Gvir did not indicate that a cease-fire decision would cause him to leave Netanyahu's coalition.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Oil prices were trading down Tuesday, with the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) 0.65% lower at last check. 
Israeli stocks, as monitored through the VanEck Israel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ISRA#NYSE">ISRA</a>) are up 23.5% year-to-date.
Other oil ETFs were in the red at last check Tuesday afternoon.
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) fell by 0.93%, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) was down 0.75% ahead of the closing bell and MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 0.45% drop, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198583/will-trump-lead-us-into-trade-war-with-mexico-president-claudia-sheinbaum-rebukes-threats">Will Trump Lead US Into Trade War With Mexico? President Claudia Sheinbaum Rebukes Threats</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock.

Ceasefire Deal Between Israel, Hezbollah Takes Effect Wednesday: Biden

Amid&nbsp;Donald Trump&#8216;s recent pledge to boost U.S. oil production significantly, questions arise about the necessity and impact of such a move.&nbsp;Vikas Dwivedi, a global energy strategist at&nbsp;Macquarie Group, has expressed skepticism regarding the need for an additional 3 million barrels per day.
What Happened: Dwivedi discussed the potential impact of Trump&#8217;s second term on the U.S. oil supply. Talking to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/11/25/us-oil-supply-increases-will-be-marginal-with-trump-2point0-macquarie.html">CNBC</a> &#8220;Squawk Box&#8221;&nbsp;on Monday, he said that anticipates only marginal increases in supply, despite Trump&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42130859/as-trump-backs-drill-baby-drill-his-doge-co-lead-elon-musk-believes-all-energy-generation-will-be-solar-heres-what-ubs-recommends-after-election-dip">&#8220;Drill Baby Drill&#8221; stance.</a>
&#8220;We actually think there will be marginal supply increases from the U.S. The risks to supply will eventually be marginal but in the beginning of the administration, we think, the moves that they will make will increase supply risks,&#8221; Dwivedi said, adding the risks arising particularly through attempts to limit Iranian oil exports. He noted that the Ships Act aims to eliminate entities facilitating Iranian crude sales, but this could inadvertently reduce global oil supply.
Addressing Trump&#8217;s ambitious energy policy, Dwivedi questioned the necessity of increasing U.S. oil production.
&#8220;The real challenge is: does the world need that much oil? And if the U.S. did grow 3 million barrels a day during the Trump Administration, that&#8217;s like 750,000 a day over four years,&#8221; he explained
&#8220;I think the right question to ask energy executives is are you okay with $40 oil because I think that&#8217;s what you would end up with and are you okay with trying to figure out how to maintain production and um you know still be able to do the dividends and the share buybacks that are now not as discretionary as they used to be.&#8221;
Furthermore, Dwivedi highlighted the geopolitical risks associated with a rapid U.S. withdrawal of support for Ukraine. He warned that if Ukraine feels cornered, it might target Russian oil infrastructure, which could further impact the global oil supply.
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42153356/is-warren-buffett-preparing-for-a-market-downturn-with-berkshire-hathaways-325b-cash-pile-analyst-says-internet-bubble-and-2008-crash-may-have-lessons?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Is Warren Buffett Preparing For A Market Downturn With Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s $325B Cash Pile? Analyst Says</a>
Why It Matters: Trump&#8217;s energy strategy, which includes faster permitting and weaker environmental regulations, aims to cut American energy costs significantly. However, experts have warned that these<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40703958/trumps-drill-baby-drill-pledge-may-not-deliver-promised-energy-price-cuts-experts-warn"> promises may not materialize</a> due to the complexities of global and regional energy markets. Many oil drillers remain cautious about increasing production, opting instead to return cash to shareholders. This hesitancy is compounded by factors like weather patterns and global conflicts, which are not easily influenced by policy changes.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk, who has been announced to head the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), continues to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42130859/as-trump-backs-drill-baby-drill-his-doge-co-lead-elon-musk-believes-all-energy-generation-will-be-solar-heres-what-ubs-recommends-after-election-dip">advocate for solar power</a> as the future of energy generation, presenting a different vision from Trump&#8217;s fossil fuel-focused approach. Analysts also see an opportunity for investment in renewables, highlighting the sector&#8217;s potential for growth even amid political shifts.
Price Action: As per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, oil ETFs have seen slight gains in the past one month surrounding the presidential elections. As of Monday, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) increased 3.51%, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) increased by 10.78%, while MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) increased by 20.99%.
Read Next:&nbsp;
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42152947/satellite-images-reveal-north-korea-reportedly-receiving-illicit-oil-from-russia?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Satellite Images Reveal North Korea Reportedly Receiving Illicit Oil from Russia</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

General

Amid Trump's 'Drill Baby, Drill' Pledge, Strategist Predicts US Oil Supply Will See 'Marginal' Increase: 'Does The World Need That Much Oil?'

This year&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/esg/24/05/39012013/noaa-meteorologists-predict-aggressive-hurricane-season-what-it-means-for-home-depot-generac-other-s">hurricane season </a>is a deadly one for the eastern and Gulf Coast of the U.S. Several companies and ETFs could be affected by another tropical storm nearing the Gulf Coast.
The Storm: Tropical Storm Rafael, the 17th named storm of the 2024 season, formed in the Caribbean, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/weather/hurricanes/tropical-storm-rafael-forms-expected-hurricane-rcna178632">according</a> to NBC.
The storm passed by Jamaica on Tuesday. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday near the Cayman Islands and pass over Western Cuba. From there, it will likely weaken into a tropical storm before making landfall near New Orleans. The path may change drastically before impacting the U.S.
The heaviest rain of up to 10 inches is expected in Jamaica.
Market Impacts: With a projected path in the Gulf of Mexico, Rafael could disrupt offshore oil and gas production, which could impact companies operating there.
Potentially affected stocks include major energy companies like Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>), Chevron Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), and Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>), and ETFs like SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>).
Storms in the Gulf of Mexico can also disrupt refining operations, which could impact refiners such as Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MPC#NYSE">MPC</a>), Phillips 66 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PSX#NYSE">PSX</a>) and Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>).
Construction companies like Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VMC#NYSE">VMC</a>) and Martin Marietta Materials Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLM#NYSE">MLM</a>) might benefit from increased demand for repairs and rebuilding.
Recent extreme weather activity is linked to climate change. Hurricanes, which will become even more frequent over time, may encourage homeowners to purchase home generators. Generac Holdings Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNRC#NYSE">GNRC</a>) is the largest producer of home generators in the U.S.
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</ul>
Photo: Tropical Storm Rafael, 11.5.2024. Courtesy NOAA/Public Domain

GNRC

Tropical Storm Rafael Could Make US Landfall: 11 Stocks, ETFs To Watch

SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production ETF

이스라엘의 이란 선제공격 이후 중동 지역 긴장이 계속 고조되면서 목요일(12일) 저녁 미국 지수 선물이 하락했다.
이 글을 쓰는 시점에 S&amp;P 500 선물은 1.68% 하락한 5,948.00포인트, 나스닥 선물은 1.77% 하락한 21,545.00포인트, 다우존스 선물은 1.49% 하락한 42,350.00포인트에 거래되고 있다.
선물 시장은 이스라엘 카츠 이스라엘 국방장관이 이란 공격에 따른 국가비상사태를 선포한 이후 하락세를 보였다. <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/12/israels-defense-minister-announces-special-situation-after-israeli-attack-on-iran.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CNBC</a>에 따르면 카츠 장관은 "이스라엘의 이란 선제 공격에 이어 이스라엘과 민간인에 대한 미사일 및 드론 공격이 가까운 장래에 있을 것으로 예상된다"고 말했다.
수요일(11일) 도널드 트럼프 미국 대통령은 "위험한 장소가 될 수 있다"며 중동에 있는 기지와 대사관에 있는 비긴급 미국인 인력을 모두 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/06/45897276/oil-etfs-surge-over-6-as-trump-orders-middle-east-evacuation-amid-iran-tensions-warns-region-could-be-dangerous" target="_blank" rel="noopener">대피시킬 것</a>이라고 발표한 바 있다.
마르코 루비오 미 국무장관은 이스라엘의 일방적인 공격 이후 성명을 발표하고 미국은 이란에 대한 공격에 관여하지 않았으며 정부의 최우선 과제는 이 지역 내 미군을 보호하는 것이라고 밝혔다. 그는 "분명히 말씀드린다"며 "이란은 미국의 이익이나 인력을 표적으로 삼아서는 안 된다"고 말했다.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
<a href="https://t.co/aqh7QXYtiy">pic.twitter.com/aqh7QXYtiy</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1933324586214395966?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 13, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
아시아 증시는 금요일(13일) 일본 벤치마크인 닛케이225 지수가 1.33% 하락한 37,665.93포인트에 거래되는 등 서비스, 전자, 수출주도 업종이 하락을 주도하며 하락세를 보이고 있다. 한국의 코스피 종합 지수는 1.25%하락한 2,883.43포인트에 거래 중이다.
유가는 금요일 9.51% 상승한 배럴당 74.51달러에 거래되며 5월 초 52주 최저치인 58.4달러에서 가파른 상승세를 보이고 있다.
미국 달러 지수(DXY)는 지정학적 우려로 인해 다소 변동성이 큰 거래 세션이며 0.19% 상승한 98.06 수준에서 거래되고 있다.
금 현물 가격은 지정학적 리스크가 높아지는 가운데 투자자들이 안전자산을 추구하면서 1.31% 급등하여 온스당 3,431.470달러에 거래되고 있다.
이미지 출처: 셔터스톡
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 수익률을 높이세요.
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중동의 긴장이 고조되면서 유가와 유가를 추종하는 ETF가 급등하여 2개월 만에 최고치를 기록했다.
무슨 일 있었나: 수요일(11일) 미국과 이란 간의 긴장이 고조되면서 유가가 4% 이상 급등했으며, 미국은 중동 지역 전역에 위치한 기지와 대사관에서 비긴급 인력을 대피시켰다.
도널드 트럼프 대통령은 "중동은 위험한 지역이 될 수 있다"는 이유로 중동에 주둔하는 미국 인력을 철수한다고 발표했다.
트럼프는 또한 미국과 이란이 핵 협상에 도달할 수 있을지에 대한 의구심을 표현하며, &#8220;그들은 핵무기를 가질 수 없다. 아주 간단하다&#8221;고 말했다.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">
.<a href="https://twitter.com/POTUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@POTUS</a> on Iran: &quot;They can&#39;t have a nuclear weapon. Very simple. They can&#39;t have a nuclear weapon. We&#39;re not going to allow that.&quot; <a href="https://t.co/iCpyyYJeBh">pic.twitter.com/iCpyyYJeBh</a>
&mdash; Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) <a href="https://twitter.com/RapidResponse47/status/1932939773984878952?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 11, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
브렌트 원유 선물은 이 소식에 신속히 반응하며 하루 동안 4.81% 상승해 배럴당 69.81달러에 마감했다. 목요일에는 70달러를 넘었으나 이후 조정이 이루어져 현재 이 글을 쓰는 시점에서 0.46% 하락한 배럴당 69.46달러에 거래되고 있다.
왜 중요한가: 미국 인력 대피 소식은 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/topics/25/06/45893521/us-embassy-evacuations-spark-middle-east-risks-and-markets-are-noticing">시장에 큰 타격을 주었고</a>, 다우존스 산업 평균 지수는 이전 최고치인 43,115포인트에서 300포인트 가까이 하락하여 장 후반 42,860포인트까지 떨어졌다.
유가 상승은 유가를 추적하는 ETF들을 끌어올렸다. 예를 들어 유나이티드 스테이츠 오일 펀드 LP(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)는 수요일에 4.50% 상승했으며, 프로셰어스 울트라 블룸버그 원유(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)와 SPDR S&amp;P 오일 &amp; 가스 탐사 및 생산 ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)는 각각 6.56%와 1.90% 상승했다.
<figure class="wp-block-table">
<table class="has-fixed-layout">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">펀드 &amp; ETF</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">1일 수익률</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">연초 대비 수익률</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">유나이티드 스테이츠 오일 펀드 LP</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+4.50%</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-2.74%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">프로셰어스 울트라 블룸버그 원유</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+6.56%</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-15.41%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">SPDR S&amp;P 오일 &amp; 가스 탐사 및 생산 ETF</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">+1.90%</td>
<td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">-4.69%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
석유수출국기구(OPEC+)는 유가가 하락하는 가운데 공급을 줄이고 있어서 원유 가격은 계속 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/05/45135059/oil-sinks-below-57-on-opec-supply-speculation-bear-market-deepens">압박을 받을 것으로 예상된다.</a>
이미지 출처: Shutterstock
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 수익률을 높이세요.
독점 속보 및 스캐너와 같은 Benzinga Pro의 강력한 도구 세트로 다른 트레이더보다 우위를 점하세요. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

지난 주말 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/opec" target="_blank" rel="noopener">OPEC+</a>의 원유 생산 쿼터 증산 결정 이후 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">에너지 ETF</a>가 다시 주목받고 있다. 일부는 긍정적인 분위기를 타고, 일부는 지정학적 불확실성에 대비해 투자하고 있다.
미국과 영국의 무역 관계 개선과 미중 관세 전쟁 해결 가능성으로 유가가 급등하면서 원유 선물 및 에너지 주식을 추종하는 ETF의 거래량과 변동성이 증가했다.
<ol>
<li>United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)USO는 원유 가격에 가장 직접적인 영향을 미치는 지표로, WTI 선물의 일일 가격 변동을 추적한다. 지난 한 주 동안 USO는 WTI의 3% 이상 랠리와 함께 상승했고 일일 거래량이 급증했다. 그러나 단기 선물에 노출되어 있는 이 펀드는 장기 선물이 단기 계약에 비해 프리미엄을 받고 거래될 때 수익률을 떨어뜨리는 콘탱고 리스크에 취약하다. 투자자들은 OPEC+의 증산이 곡선의 앞부분을 완화시키고 비용을 낮출지에 주목하고 있다.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)XOP ETF는 시추, 탐사, 생산을 하는 업스트림 에너지 기업들로 구성된 바스켓에 노출된다. CNX 리소스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNX#NYSE">CNX</a>)와 엑손 모빌(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>)을 보유하고 있는 XOP는 유가 변동성의 영향을 크게 받는 경향이 있다. XOP ETF는 무역 협상과 생산 소식에 따라 3% 이상 상승했고, 이는 투자자들의 낙관론의 신호다. 탐사 기업은 안정된 수요와 투명한 글로벌 무역 흐름을 통해 이익을 얻을 수 있다.</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)모험을 즐기는 이들을 위해 UCO는 WTI 선물의 일일 성과에 2배 레버리지 노출을 제공한다. OPEC+의 생산 증가나 미국-이란 핵 회담과 같은 뉴스 이벤트를 포착하려는 단기 투기자들 사이에서 인기를 끌고 있다. 강한 상승세에서는 잠재적으로 수익성이 있지만, UCO는 하락세에서는 매우 힘들 수 있어, 경험이 많은 거래자에게 적합한 도구다. UCO 펀드는 목요일에 미영 무역 협정 발표 이후 5% 이상 상승했다.</li>
</ol>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">오늘 원유 시장에서는 무슨 일이?</h3>
OPEC+의 공급 조건 완화 가능성과 글로벌 무역 관계 강화로 시장 가격이 상승하면서 원유 ETF는 이러한 거시경제 줄다리기의 한가운데에 있다.
OPEC+는 주말에 시장 회복과 지정학적 필요성의 균형을 맞추기 위한 지속적인 전략의 일환으로 원유 생산 쿼터를 늘려 이전 공급량 감축의 롤백을 가속화할 것이라고 밝혔다. 로이터 조사에 따르면 베네수엘라, 이라크, 리비아의 생산 중단으로 4월 생산량이 소폭 감소한 이후 나온 이번 조치는 무역 환경이 회복세를 보임에 따라 수요 회복에 대한 그룹의 믿음을 보여주는 척도라고 할 수 있다.
한편, 글로벌 무역 외교의 새로운 모멘텀으로 인해 거시 경제 분위기가 크게 개선되었다. 트럼프 대통령이 "돌파구"라고 선전한<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45293839/trump-starmer-strike-us-uk-trade-deal-steel-cars-beef" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> 미영 무역 합의</a>는 영국의 자동차 수출에 대한 관세를 대폭 인하하고 철강과 알루미늄에 대한 관세를 완전히 철폐하는 등 주요 상품에 대한 관세를 인하할 예정이다.
키어 스타머 영국 총리는 이번 합의를 "양국 간 무역 심화를 위한 촉매제"라고 설명했고, 하워드 러트닉 미국 상무장관은 미국 수출업체들에게 50억 달러의 새로운 기회를 제공했다고 말했다. 이 좋은 소식은 5월 10일 스위스에서 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/05/45290148/oil-bulls-eye-rebound-as-us-china-talks-spark-hope-yardeni" target="_blank" rel="noopener">스콧 베센트 미국 재무장관과 중국 최고위 경제 관료</a>가 오랜 무역 긴장을 해결하기 위해 고위급 회담을 갖기 전에 나온 것이다. 이러한 협상을 종합하면, 관세 전쟁의 완화가 특히 에너지 집약적 산업에 대한 세계 수요를 다시 불러일으켜 유가와 원자재 연계 ETF를 지지할 수 있다는 희망을 불러일으키고 있다.
로이터의 또 다른 보도에 따르면 씨티 리서치(Citi Research)는 향후 3개월간 브렌트유 전망치를 55달러로 하향 조정했지만, 올해 말에는 배럴당 60달러 내외로 가격 수준이 안정화될 것이라고 주장했다. 이는 에너지 테마 ETF, 특히 선물 롤 비용에 대한 노출이 적고 원유 가치 사슬 전반에 걸쳐 다각화가 이뤄진 ETF에 희소식이다.
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 수익률을 높이세요.
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도널드 트럼프 대통령은 최근 블라디미르 푸틴 러시아 대통령이 볼로디미르 젤렌스키 우크라이나 대통령을 교체해야 한다는 발언에 대해 분노를 표했다.
무슨 일 있었나: 지난 주말 인터뷰에서 트럼프 대통령은 "매우 화가 났다"며 러시아가 우크라이나 전쟁 중단에 협조하지 않을 경우 경제 보복을 경고했다.
푸틴은 젤렌스키를 효과적으로 몰아낼 수 있는 우크라이나 과도정부를 제안했다. 이에 대해 트럼프는 러시아산 원유 및 관련 제품에 25%에서 50%의 관세를 부과하는 등 러시아산 원유를 구매하는 모든 국가에 대해 전면적인 &#8216;2차 관세&#8217;를 부과하겠다고 위협했다.
트럼프는 우크라이나를 외교 정책의 핵심 의제로 삼고 전쟁 종식을 추진했다. 트럼프 팀은 러시아와 우크라이나 간의 부분적인 휴전을 중개하여 흑해의 안전한 통과와 에너지 인프라를 겨냥한 공격 중단을 허용했으나, 러시아와의 긴장은 여전히 높다.
트럼프는 <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-angry-putin-zelenskyy-iran-sanctions-rcna198729" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NBC 뉴스와 인터뷰</a>에서 이렇게 말했다. &#8220;러시아와 내가 우크라이나의 유혈 사태를 멈추기 위한 협상을 할 수 없다면, 그리고 그 원인이 러시아의 잘못이라고 생각한다면(물론 아닐 수도 있지만), 나는 러시아에서 나오는 모든 원유에 대해 2차 관세를 부과할 것이다.&#8221;
젤렌스키에 대한 이전의 비판에도 불구하고 트럼프는 외교가 실패할 경우 푸틴에 맞서 행동하겠다는 신호를 보냈다. 또한 이번 주에 푸틴과 다시 대화할 계획이라고 했다. 트럼프는 "푸틴이 옳은 일을 한다면 분노는 금방 사라질 것"이라며 두 사람의 관계를 "매우 좋다"고 묘사했다.
그리고 트럼프는 푸틴의 과도정부 대한 발언에 대해 "화가 났다"며 푸틴의 발언에 대한 자신의 분노를 러시아에 알렸다고 말했다.
트럼프의 대러시아 관세 위협은 베네수엘라에 적용했던 유사한 전략을 반영한다. 베네수엘라에서 석유를 수입하는 국가들은 미국의 무역 처벌 위험에 직면했으며 같은 방식이 중국, 인도, 터키, 브라질과 같은 러시아산 석유의 주요 구매국에도 적용될 수 있다.
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트럼프, 러시아에 원유 관세 협박..."푸틴에 매우 화났다"

엘리엇 인베스트먼트 매니지먼트는 4분기 동안 여러 포트폴리오 조정을 하였다. 여러 옵션 포지션을 청산하고 이 행동주의 투자 회사의 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/02/43811538/5-top-tech-stocks-hedge-funds-have-been-bullish-on-in-q4-hint-its-not-nvidia">기술 노출</a>을 재편했다.
미국 증권 거래 위원회에 제출된 새로운 <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1791786/000101359425000294/xslForm13F_X02/primary_doc.xml" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">13-F</a> 파일링에 따르면, 엘리엇은 4분기에 다음과 같은 새로운 포지션을 추가했다:
<ul>
<li>울프스피드 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WOLF#NYSE">WOLF</a>)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>엔비디아 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) 풋 옵션</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>SPDR Select Sector Fund Industrial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>) 풋 옵션</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) 풋 옵션</li>
</ul>
다음은 엘리엇이 4분기에 추가한 모든 포지션들이다:
<ul>
<li>Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) 369% 증가</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>마이크로스트레티지 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) 200% 증가</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>코메딕스 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRMD#NASDAQ">CRMD</a>) 85% 증가</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>HDFC 은행 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HDB#NYSE">HDB</a>) 6% 증가</li>
</ul>
다음은 엘리엇이 4분기에 청산한 모든 포지션들이다:
<ul>
<li>캐털렌트 (CTLC)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>카디널 헬스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CAH#NYSE">CAH</a>)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>유니티 소프트웨어 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/U#NYSE">U</a>)</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>빌 홀딩스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BILL#NYSE">BILL</a>)</li>
</ul>
엘리엇은 Arm 홀딩스, 아메리칸 항공 및 알래스카 에어 그룹 등의 여러 종목에서 콜 옵션을 청산했다. 또한 에퀴닉스, 하얏트 호텔 및 호스트 호텔 등의 여러 풋 포지션도 청산했다.
다음은 엘리엇이 4분기에 축소한 모든 포지션들이다:
<ul>
<li>아이콘 Plc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICLR#NASDAQ">ICLR</a>) 62% 감소</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>링센트럴 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RING#NYSE">RING</a>) 55% 감소</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>NRG 에너지 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NRG#NYSE">NRG</a>) 50% 감소</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>컨플루언트 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFLT#NASDAQ">CFLT</a>) 37% 감소</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>사우스웨스트 항공 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) 2% 감소</li>
</ul>
위 정보에는 분기 동안 추가되거나 축소된 콜 또는 풋 옵션이 포함되어 있지 않다.
이 정보는 <a href="https://13f.info/13f/000101359425000294/compare/000101359424000968" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">13f.info</a> 의 비교 도구를 사용하여 수집되었습니다.
다음 읽어보기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/4%EB%B6%84%EA%B8%B0%EC%97%90-%ED%97%A4%EC%A7%80%ED%8E%80%EB%93%9C%EA%B0%80-%EA%B8%8D%EC%A0%95%EC%A0%81%EC%9C%BC%EB%A1%9C-%ED%8F%89%EA%B0%80%ED%95%9C-%EC%83%81%EC%9C%84-5%EA%B0%9C-%EA%B8%B0%EC%88%A0/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">4분기 헤지펀드가 긍정적으로 평가한 5대 기술주 (힌트: NVIDIA가 아닙니다)</a></li>
</ul>
이 그림은 Midjourney를 통해 인공지능으로 생성되었습니다.
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 더 많은 승리를 거두세요 
독점 속보 및 스캐너와 같은 Benzinga Pro의 강력한 도구 세트로 다른 트레이더보다 우위를 점하세요. 
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

엘리엇 인베스트먼트가 울프스피드 주식을 매수하고 4분기에는 엔비디아 풋 옵션에 베팅

이스라엘과 레바논 정부가 휴전 협정을 수용했다고 조 바이든 대통령이 화요일에 밝혔다.
&#8220;오늘 중동에서 좋은 소식을 전할 수 있게 되어 기쁘다,&#8221;라고 바이든이 말하며 이스라엘과 레바논 총리와 대화했다고 덧붙였다.
&#8220;이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 파괴적인 갈등을 종식시키기 위한 미국의 제안을 두 정부가 수용했다고 발표하게 되어 기쁘다,&#8221;라고 바이든이 백악관 로즈가든에서 말했다.
바이든에 따르면, 휴전은 수요일 오전 4시에 발효될 예정이다.
헤즈볼라는 이 거래 발표에 즉각적으로 언급하지 않았다고 뉴욕 타임스가 보도했다. 레바논 정부는 헤즈볼라 무장 세력을 통제하지 않는다.
이 거래는 60일간의 휴전을 요구한다고 뉴욕 타임스가 보도했으며, 미국, 유엔 및 다른 기관들이 이를 감독할 것이다. 이스라엘은 레바논에서 군대를 철수하고, 헤즈볼라는 전투원들을 리타니 강 북쪽으로 이동시킬 것이다.
이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 공습은 휴전 협상 동안에도 계속되었다.
무슨 일이 있었나: 단기 제안은 적대 행위를 60일 동안 중단하자는 것이지만, 지속적인 휴전을 목표로 하고 있다고 <a href="https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-hezbollah-ceasefire-deal-gaza-war-11-26-24-intl-hnk/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CNN</a>이 한 이스라엘 관리를 인용해 보도했다.
베냐민 네타냐후 총리는 휴전의 세 가지 이유를 제시했는데, 그 중 하나는 이란으로 초점을 옮기고, 이스라엘 군을 보충하고, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2023년 10월 7일</a>에 붙잡힌 인질을 석방하도록 하마스에 더 큰 압력을 가하는 것이다.
참고: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198266/crude-oil-moves-lower-dicks-sporting-goods-earnings-top-views">원유 가격 하락; 딕스 스포팅 구즈 실적이 예상치를 상회</a>
왜 중요한가: 모든 사람이 휴전이 효과적일 것이라고 확신하는 것은 아니다.
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/26/world/israel-hezbollah-lebanon-cease-fire" target="_blank" rel="noopener">뉴욕 타임즈</a>에 따르면, 이스라엘의 국가안보 장관인 이타마르 벤그비르는 헤즈볼라를 방어하기 위한 "안전지대"가 레바논 내에 필요하다고 강조했다. 그렇지 않으면 두 나라는 미래에 또 다른 전쟁을 위험에 처하게 될 것이라고 말했다.
벤그비르는 휴전 결정이 그를 네타냐후의 연합에서 떠나게 만들 것이라고는 언급하지 않았다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">시장 반응</h3>
United States Oil Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)를 통해 추적하는 유가가 화요일 0.65% 하락했다. 반면, VanEck Israel ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)를 통해 모니터링된 이스라엘 주식은 올해 들어 23.5% 상승했다.
다른 원유 ETF들은 화요일 오후 하락세를 보였다.
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)는 0.93% 하락했고, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)는 0.75% 감소했으며, MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>)은 0.45% 하락했다.
지금 읽어야 할 것:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/economy/%ED%8A%B8%EB%9F%BC%ED%94%84%EA%B0%80-%EB%AF%B8%EA%B5%AD%EC%9D%84-%EB%A9%95%EC%8B%9C%EC%BD%94%EC%99%80%EC%9D%98-%EB%AC%B4%EC%97%AD-%EC%A0%84%EC%9F%81%EC%9C%BC%EB%A1%9C-%EC%9D%B4%EB%81%8C%EA%B9%8C/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">트럼프가 미국을 멕시코와의 무역 전쟁으로 이끌까요? 클라우디아 셰인바움 대통령이 위협을 반박</a></li>
</ul>
이미지: Shutterstock
다른 트레이더들보다 30분 일찍 독점 시장 움직임 뉴스를 받아보세요. 
Benzinga Pro의 14일 무료 체험을 통해 독점 뉴스 기사를 이용할 수 있어 수백만 명의 다른 트레이더보다 먼저 실행 가능한 거래 뉴스를 얻을 수 있습니다. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 사이의 휴전 합의가 수요일에 발효 - 바이든

이스라엘과 레바논의 무장단체인 헤즈볼라 간의 전투를 종료하기 위한 휴전 협정이 제안되었다.
무슨 일이 있었나: 이 단기 제안은 적대 행위를 60일간 중단하자는 것이지만, 지속적인 휴전을 의도하고 있다고 <a href="https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-hezbollah-ceasefire-deal-gaza-war-11-26-24-intl-hnk/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CNN</a>이 한 이스라엘 관계자를 인용하여 보도했다.
베냐민 네타냐후 총리는 휴전의 세 가지 이유를 제시했는데, 그 중 하나는 이란으로 초점을 옮기고, 이스라엘 군을 보충하고, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2023년 10월 7일</a>에 붙잡힌 인질을 석방하도록 하마스에 더 큰 압력을 가하는 것이다.
관련 기사: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198266/crude-oil-moves-lower-dicks-sporting-goods-earnings-top-views">원유 가격 하락; 딕스 스포팅 구즈 실적 예상 초과</a>
왜 중요한가: 모든 사람이 휴전이 효과적일 것이라고 확신하는 것은 아니다.
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/26/world/israel-hezbollah-lebanon-cease-fire" target="_blank" rel="noopener">뉴욕 타임스</a>에 따르면, 이스라엘의 국가안보 장관인 이타마르 벤그비르는 헤즈볼라를 방어하기 위한 &#8220;안전지대&#8221;가 레바논 내에 필요하다고 강조했다. 그렇지 않으면 두 나라는 미래에 또 다른 전쟁을 위험에 처하게 될 것이라고 말했다.
벤그비르는 휴전 결정이 그를 네타냐후의 연합에서 떠나게 만들 것이라고는 언급하지 않았다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">시장 반응</h3>
United States Oil Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)를 통해 추적하는 유가가 화요일 0.47% 하락했다. 반면, VanEck Israel ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)를 통해 모니터링된 이스라엘 주식은 올해 들어 22.5% 상승했다.
다른 원유 ETF들은 화요일 오후 하락세를 보였다.
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)는 0.93% 하락했고, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)는 0.74% 감소했으며, MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>)은 0.45% 하락했다.
다음 읽어보기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198583/will-trump-lead-us-into-trade-war-with-mexico-president-claudia-sheinbaum-rebukes-threats">트럼프가 미국을 멕시코와의 무역전쟁으로 이끌까요? 클라우디아 쉐인바움 대통령이 위협을 반박하다</a></li>
</ul>
이미지: Shutterstock
다른 트레이더들보다 30분 일찍 독점 시장 움직임 뉴스를 받아보세요. 
Benzinga Pro의 14일 무료 체험을 통해 독점 뉴스 기사를 이용할 수 있어 수백만 명의 다른 트레이더보다 먼저 실행 가능한 거래 뉴스를 얻을 수 있습니다. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

네타냐후, 헤즈볼라와의 휴전 합의 지지; 이스라엘 강경파, 레바논 내부 '보안 구역' 요구

목요일, 원유 가격이 5% 이상 급등했다. 이는 조 바이든 대통령이 미국이 이스라엘과 이란의 석유 시설에 대한 공격 가능성에 대해 논의했다고 언급한 후 발생한 일이다.
&#8220;우리는 그것에 대해 논의 중이다,&#8221;고 바이든이 기자들과의 대화에서 말했다.
바이든은 이란의 석유 시설을 타격하는 아이디어에 대해 긍정적이지 않은 듯 보였으나, 말을 중단했다: &#8220;그것은 조금… 어쨌든.&#8221; 아래 비디오를 참조하세요.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio">
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper"><iframe loading="lazy" title="Biden: Discussing Israeli strikes on Iran oil facilities &#x7C; AJ #shorts" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/InF5MnsXAt0?feature=oembed" width="500" height="281" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></div>
</figure>
한 기자가 바이든에게 &#8220;이스라엘이 이란에 보복하는 것을 ‘허용&#8217;할 것이냐&#8221;고 묻자, 바이든은 즉시 정정했다: &#8220;우리는 이스라엘을 ‘허용&#8217;하지 않는다. 우리는 이스라엘에게 조언한다.&#8221;
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">2023년 10월 7일</a> 이후, 이스라엘은 가자 지구의 하마스와 레바논의 헤즈볼라와 전투를 벌이고 있다. 이들 두 그룹은 미국이 테러 조직으로 간주하는 단체이다.
관련 기사: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41134015/jd-vance-tim-walz-debate-sets-a-different-tone-candidates-discuss-israel-iran-escalation-immigration">JD 밴스와 팀 월즈의 토론이 다른 분위기를 조성하다, 후보들이 이스라엘-이란 격화 논의</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">석유와 이스라엘-이란 갈등</h3>
이란은 세계에서 일곱 번째로 큰 원유 생산국이다. 이란은 헤즈볼라 무장 단체를 지원하며, 생산량의 약 절반을 해외로 수출한다.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/08/40596334/asia-markets-mixed-europe-gains-crude-oil-falls-on-chinese-demand-concerns-global-markets-today-whil">원유 수요가 약세</a>를 보이는 중국은 이란의 주요 고객이다.
이란이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/10/41126038/iran-attacks-israel-with-missiles-middle-east-tensions-escalates-s-p-500-stocks-bitcoin-fall-as-oil">이스라엘을 미사일로 공격한 후</a> 원유 가격은 변동을 보였다. 10월 3일 기준, 서부 텍사스 중질유(WTI) 가격은 배럴당 73.83달러이다. 이는 전일 종가인 70.10달러에 비해 5.32% 상승한 수치이다.
브렌트유 가격은 배럴당 약 77.76달러로, 하루 동안 74.33달러에서 77.58달러 사이에서 변동했다.
바이든 하에 미국은 다른 어떤 미국 대통령 행정부보다 더 많은 원유를 생산하고 있으며, 비축유를 채우고 있다. 바이든 행정부는 이번 주에 추가로 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/eurozone/24/10/41146905/geopolitical-risks-may-be-biggest-threat-to-markets-boe-says">600만 배럴의 원유를 확보</a>했다.
중동에서의 지속적인 폭력 사태는 호르무즈 해협에 위험을 초래한다. 이 해협은 탱커 교통의 3분의 1과 액화천연가스(LNG)의 5분의 1이 통과하는 중요한 경로이다.
미국과 그 동맹국들은 이 해협을 열어 두려는 결심을 하고 있을 가능성이 높다. 이 해협을 차단하려는 시도는 군사적 개입을 유발할 수 있다.
이란은 해협의 대부분의 북쪽 해안을 통제하고 있으며, 제재나 서방 국가들과의 갈등에 대응하여 통행을 차단하겠다고 위협한 적이 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">시장 반응</h3>
현재까지 중동 갈등에 대한 시장 반응은 2022년 2월 러시아가 우크라이나를 침공했을 때에 비해 상대적으로 조용하다.
당시 원유 시장은 큰 변동성과 혼란으로 반응하여 글로벌 가격이 급격히 상승했다.
브렌트유는 2014년 이후 처음으로 배럴당 100달러를 초과했으며, 2022년 3월에는 배럴당 139달러로 잠시 급등하여 사상 최고가에 근접했다.
원유 관련 상장지수펀드(ETF)의 가격은 목요일 상승세를 보였습니다. 현재 가격은 다음과 같다:
<ul>
<li>United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>)는 4.08% 상승하여 75.73달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBO#NYSE">DBO</a>)는 4.08% 상승하여 15.06달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)는 3.29% 상승하여 139.81달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)는 1.76% 상승하여 92.32달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>)는 6.33% 상승하여 28.74달러에 마감했다.</li>
<li>VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>)는 2.19% 상승하여 298.46달러에 마감했다.</li>
</ul>
지금 읽어보세요:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/previews/24/10/41170128/jobs-report-preview-could-september-labor-data-shift-feds-interest-rate-path">일자리 보고서 미리 보기: 9월 노동 데이터가 연준의 금리 경로를 변경할 수 있을까?</a></li>
</ul>
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