에 대한 최신 뉴스 Allstate (NYSE:ALL) 주식

Allstate

Allstate is one of the largest us property-casualty insurers in the us. Personal auto represents the largest percentage of revenue, but the company offers homeowners insurance and other insurance products. Allstate products are sold in North America primarily by about 6,000 exclusive agents.

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실적 시즌이 시작됨에 따라, BofA 증권의 애널리스트들이 주요 보험사들의 4분기 보고서에 대한 전망을 금요일에 발표했다. 이 증권사는 또한 로스앤젤레스 지역의 산불이 현재 분기에 해당 회사들에 미칠 영향을 살펴보았다.

올스테이트·처브·프로그레시브: 4분기 보고서 전에 산불과 기상 사건으로 중대한 손실 예상

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캘리포니아의 10조 달러의 부동산 시장, 산불로 인한 전례없는 위기에 직면

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이번 주 월스트리트는 선거 후 랠리를 모두 상실했다. 이는 도널드 트럼프의 백악관 복귀를 앞두고 뜨거운 노동 시장, 급증하는 인플레이션 기대감 그리고 지정학적 긴장 상승으로 인해 금리 인상 우려가 커졌기 때문이다. 목요일 전직 대통령 지미 카터의 장례식으로 거래가 축소된 주간 동안, 시장 활동은 금요일에 극도로 과열되었다.

이번 주 시장 동향: 美 노동 시장이 예상 초과, 인플레 우려 증가로 선거 후 랠리 소멸

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The Hughes fire has grown to more than 10,000 acres Thursday and forced more than 31,000 Californians to evacuate an area near Castaic Lake, about 45 miles <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/43149396/new-fire-breaks-out-in-los-angeles-county">northwest of Los Angeles.</a>&nbsp;
What To Know: The latest fire to ravage the L.A. area broke out just before 11 a.m. PT on Wednesday and spread quickly under dry conditions and high winds.&nbsp;
&#8220;This vegetation is extremely dry," said LA County Fire public information officer Fred Fielding, as reported by NBC Los Angeles.&nbsp;
"We&#8217;ve had two years of above average rainfall (2023 and 2024)&#8230; so you&#8217;ve got a lot of these light grasses where these fires can start, and if it gets into that old growth vegetation there&#8217;s a lot of energy there. Combine that with the winds, and you&#8217;ve got a recipe for a very high rate of spread.&#8221;
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As of Wednesday night, the Hughes fire was 14% contained, according to the Los Angeles County Fire Department. A red flag warning has been extended through 10 a.m. Friday in Los Angeles and Ventura counties. 
What To Watch: AccuWeather estimates the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/25/01/42953761/santa-ana-winds-return-as-la-wildfire-damage-estimates-rise-to-at-least-250-billion-fire-officials-investigate-downed-power-lines"> total damage</a> and economic loss from the wildfires to be between $250 billion and $275 billion and could increase as fires continue to burn. 
Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>), one of the major insurers in Southern California, addressed the California wildfires on its quarterly earnings call on Wednesday. 
Travelers' CFO Dan Frey said that the wildfires "are going to be a material event for the industry" and will have a "material impact on our first-quarter earnings."&nbsp;
Other insurance companies<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/43068088/allstate-chubb-progressive-face-significant-losses-from-wildfires-weather-events-say-analysts-ahead-of-q4-reports"> with exposure</a> to the wildfires include Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>), Chubb Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>), and Progressive Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PGR#NYSE">PGR</a>). All three companies will report fourth-quarter earnings at the end of January and beginning of February. 
Investors will watch for guidance and early estimates of how the fires will impact first-quarter results. 
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Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings

LA Wildfire Update: Hughes Fire Burns 10,000 Acres, Travelers Insurance Says Fires Will Have 'Material Impact' On Q1 Earnings

As the earnings season gets underway, analysts from BofA Securities released a preview on Friday of what to expect from major insurers' fourth-quarter reports. 
The firm also took a look at how the Los Angeles area wildfires will affect the companies<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/25/01/42953761/santa-ana-winds-return-as-la-wildfire-damage-estimates-rise-to-at-least-250-billion-fire-officials-investigate-downed-power-lines"> in the current quarter. </a>
Allstate: BofA expects Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) to report $764 million in catastrophe losses for the fourth quarter, equaling a catastrophe load of 5.5%. The firm noted that Allstate reported net catastrophe losses of $286 million in October, which included losses from Hurricane Milton, unfavorable reserve re-estimates from Hurricane Helene and losses from other inclement weather events in North America.
BofA currently sees first-quarter catastrophe losses of $1.46 billion — 10.3% catastrophe load —  which includes $700 million from the California wildfires, where the firm expects Allstate to incur more losses from the Eaton fire as compared to the Palisades fire.  
BofA Securities maintained a Buy rating on Allstate shares but lowered its price target from $285 to $279. 
Allstate is set to report its fourth-quarter financial results on Feb. 5 after the closing bell. Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $5.95 per share and revenue of $14.7 billion for the quarter.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/25/01/43041254/unitedhealth-ceo-highlights-hospitals-doctors-pharmas-role-in-soaring-health-care-costs">UnitedHealth CEO Highlights Hospitals, Doctors, Pharma&#8217;s Role In Soaring Health Care Costs</a>&nbsp;
Chubb: The firm sees Chubb Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>) reporting $851 million in catastrophe losses, or an 8.1% loss ratio impact, for the first quarter. Chubb was exposed to adverse weather events around the world including European flooding, Hurricane Milton and other weather events in the U.S.
BofA pointed to Chubb as a major underwriter of high-net-worth homeowners' insurance and is modeling $1.9 billion, a 17.5% catastrophe load, of first-quarter catastrophe losses for the insurer. The California wildfires account for $1.3 billion of those projected first-quarter catastrophe losses.&nbsp;&nbsp;
BofA Securities maintained an Underperform rating on Chubb and lowered its price target from $272 to $266. 
Chubb is set to report its fourth-quarter financial results on Jan. 28 after the market close. According to estimates from <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/?gspk=YWRhbWVja2VydDUzMzY&amp;gsxid=zBMR4PKmcgBw">Benzingo Pro</a>, analysts expect the company to report earnings of $5.46 per share on revenue of $12.277 billion.&nbsp;
Progressive: The analysts expect Progressive to report $104 million in catastrophe losses in December, which would bring its fourth-quarter catastrophe losses to $340 million. 
BofA models first-quarter catastrophe losses of $584 million, including $90 million from the California wildfires, with two-thirds of those losses from the auto segment.&nbsp;
BofA Securities maintained Progressive with a Buy rating and lowered its price target from $339 to $322. 
Progressive is set to report its fourth-quarter results before the opening bell on Jan. 29. Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $3.52 per share and revenue of $18.357 billion for the quarter.&nbsp;
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Photo: Shutterstock

Allstate, Chubb, Progressive Face Significant Losses From Wildfires, Weather Events Say Analysts Ahead Of Q4 Reports

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities.
Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner.
Traders often look for circumstances when the market estimation of an option diverges away from its normal worth. Abnormal amounts of trading activity could push option prices to hyperbolic or underperforming levels. 
Below are some instances of options activity happening in the Financials sector: 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>C</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>03/21/25</td>
<td>$80.00</td>
<td>$42.2K</td>
<td>5.8K</td>
<td>1.6K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USB</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/17/25</td>
<td>$48.50</td>
<td>$26.0K</td>
<td>1.3K</td>
<td>1.4K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MS</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/24/25</td>
<td>$134.00</td>
<td>$26.0K</td>
<td>1.0K</td>
<td>922</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>FLG</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>04/17/25</td>
<td>$9.00</td>
<td>$26.3K</td>
<td>3.5K</td>
<td>319</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ALL</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/17/25</td>
<td>$190.00</td>
<td>$27.5K</td>
<td>1.3K</td>
<td>224</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>COIN</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/31/25</td>
<td>$315.00</td>
<td>$60.5K</td>
<td>144</td>
<td>174</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>HOOD</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/17/25</td>
<td>$28.00</td>
<td>$46.6K</td>
<td>2.6K</td>
<td>129</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>GS</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>03/21/25</td>
<td>$625.00</td>
<td>$58.1K</td>
<td>3</td>
<td>61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>AIG</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/17/25</td>
<td>$62.50</td>
<td>$40.2K</td>
<td>268</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>JPM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$210.00</td>
<td>$27.2K</td>
<td>5.9K</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h2>Explanation</h2>
These bullet-by-bullet explanations have been constructed using the accompanying table. 
• For C (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 64 day(s) on March 21, 2025. This event was a transfer of 200 contract(s) at a $80.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 20 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $42.2K, with a price of $211.0 per contract. There were 5897 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 1663 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding USB (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>), we observe a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 1 day(s) on January 17, 2025. Parties traded 1128 contract(s) at a $48.50 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 9 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $26.0K, with a price of $23.0 per contract. There were 1346 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 1467 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For MS (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 8 day(s) on January 24, 2025. This event was a transfer of 100 contract(s) at a $134.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $26.0K, with a price of $262.0 per contract. There were 1018 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 922 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding FLG (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLG#NYSE">FLG</a>), we observe a call option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 91 day(s) on April 17, 2025. Parties traded 246 contract(s) at a $9.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $26.3K, with a price of $107.0 per contract. There were 3596 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 319 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For ALL (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 91 day(s) on April 17, 2025. This event was a transfer of 27 contract(s) at a $190.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 8 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $27.5K, with a price of $1020.0 per contract. There were 1342 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 224 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding COIN (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>), we observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 15 day(s) on January 31, 2025. Parties traded 100 contract(s) at a $315.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $60.5K, with a price of $605.0 per contract. There were 144 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 174 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For HOOD (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>), we notice a call option trade that happens to be bullish, expiring in 1 day(s) on January 17, 2025. This event was a transfer of 25 contract(s) at a $28.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $46.6K, with a price of $1867.0 per contract. There were 2637 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 129 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For GS (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), we notice a put option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 64 day(s) on March 21, 2025. This event was a transfer of 20 contract(s) at a $625.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 12 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $58.1K, with a price of $2910.0 per contract. There were 3 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 61 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding AIG (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIG#NYSE">AIG</a>), we observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 1 day(s) on January 17, 2025. Parties traded 35 contract(s) at a $62.50 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $40.2K, with a price of $1150.0 per contract. There were 268 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 60 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding JPM (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), we observe a put option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 365 day(s) on January 16, 2026. Parties traded 40 contract(s) at a $210.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $27.2K, with a price of $680.0 per contract. There were 5957 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 40 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
Options Alert Terminology 
 - Call Contracts: The right to buy shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Put Contracts: The right to sell shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Expiration Date: When the contract expires. One must act on the contract by this date if one wants to use it. 
 - Premium/Option Price: The price of the contract. 
For more information, visit our <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/blog/how-to-understand-option-alerts/">Guide to Understanding Options Alerts</a> or read <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/options">more about unusual options activity</a>. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Options

COIN

HOOD

10 Financials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today's Session

In the latest quarter, 14 analysts provided ratings for Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>), showcasing a mix of bullish and bearish perspectives.
In the table below, you'll find a summary of their recent ratings, revealing the shifting sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the previous months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Analysts provide deeper insights through their assessments of 12-month price targets, revealing an average target of $219.07, a high estimate of $267.00, and a low estimate of $183.00. This current average has increased by 6.31% from the previous average price target of $206.07. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1736881227_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Understanding Analyst Ratings: A Comprehensive Breakdown</h2>
An in-depth analysis of recent analyst actions unveils how financial experts perceive Allstate. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Elyse Greenspan</td>
<td>Wells Fargo</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$187.00</td>
<td>$186.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Meyer Shields</td>
<td>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$243.00</td>
<td>$235.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alex Scott</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Underweight</td>
<td>$183.00</td>
<td>$187.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paul Newsome</td>
<td>Piper Sandler</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$244.00</td>
<td>$206.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alex Scott</td>
<td>Goldman Sachs</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$230.00</td>
<td>$209.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yaron Kinar</td>
<td>Jefferies</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$267.00</td>
<td>$231.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bob Huang</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$228.00</td>
<td>$220.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Meyer Shields</td>
<td>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$225.00</td>
<td>$222.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Elyse Greenspan</td>
<td>Wells Fargo</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$186.00</td>
<td>$175.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brian Meredith</td>
<td>UBS</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$225.00</td>
<td>$216.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Alex Scott</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Underweight</td>
<td>$187.00</td>
<td>$175.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bob Huang</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$215.00</td>
<td>$202.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Joshua Shanker</td>
<td>B of A Securities</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233.00</td>
<td>$216.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Michael Zaremski</td>
<td>BMO Capital</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$214.00</td>
<td>$205.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Analysts frequently update their recommendations based on evolving market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their reaction to recent developments related to Allstate. This information provides a snapshot of how analysts perceive the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Analysts assign qualitative assessments to stocks, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings convey the analysts' expectations for the relative performance of Allstate compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Analysts predict movements in price targets, offering estimates for Allstate's future value. Examining the current and prior targets offers insights into analysts' evolving expectations.</li>
</ul>
Navigating through these analyst evaluations alongside other financial indicators can contribute to a holistic understanding of Allstate's market standing. Stay informed and make data-driven decisions with our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/ALL/analyst-ratings?utm_source=Benzinga Insights">Stay up to date on Allstate analyst ratings.</a>
<h2>Get to Know Allstate Better</h2>
Allstate is one of the largest us property-casualty insurers in the us. Personal auto represents the largest percentage of revenue, but the company offers homeowners insurance and other insurance products. Allstate products are sold in North America primarily by about 6,000 exclusive agents.
<h3>Financial Insights: Allstate</h3>
Market Capitalization: Positioned above industry average, the company's market capitalization underscores its superiority in size, indicative of a strong market presence.
Revenue Growth: Over the 3 months period, Allstate showcased positive performance, achieving a revenue growth rate of 14.69% as of 30 September, 2024. This reflects a substantial increase in the company's top-line earnings. When compared to others in the Financials sector, the company faces challenges, achieving a growth rate lower than the average among peers.
Net Margin: Allstate's net margin is below industry averages, indicating potential challenges in maintaining strong profitability. With a net margin of 6.98%, the company may face hurdles in effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): Allstate's ROE excels beyond industry benchmarks, reaching 6.55%. This signifies robust financial management and efficient use of shareholder equity capital.
Return on Assets (ROA): Allstate's ROA is below industry averages, indicating potential challenges in efficiently utilizing assets. With an ROA of 1.05%, the company may face hurdles in achieving optimal financial returns.
Debt Management: With a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, Allstate faces challenges in effectively managing its debt levels, indicating potential financial strain.
<h2>Analyst Ratings: What Are They?</h2>
Benzinga tracks 150 analyst firms and reports on their stock expectations. Analysts typically arrive at their conclusions by predicting how much money a company will make in the future, usually the upcoming five years, and how risky or predictable that company's revenue streams are.
Analysts attend company conference calls and meetings, research company financial statements, and communicate with insiders to publish their ratings on stocks. Analysts typically rate each stock once per quarter or whenever the company has a major update.
Some analysts publish their predictions for metrics such as growth estimates, earnings, and revenue to provide additional guidance with their ratings. When using analyst ratings, it is important to keep in mind that stock and sector analysts are also human and are only offering their opinions to investors.
If you want to keep track of which analysts are outperforming others, you can view updated analyst ratings along withanalyst success scores in <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Breaking: Wall Street's Next Big Mover
Benzinga's #1 analyst just identified a stock poised for explosive growth. This under-the-radar company could surge 200%+ as major market shifts unfold. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/turning-point-trader-checkout-2/?t=Tu1tu3arja3be22tu36&amp;utm_source=benzinga-insights">Click here for urgent details</a>.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Demystifying Allstate: Insights From 14 Analyst Reviews

Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan maintains Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $186 to $187.

Price Target

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Allstate, Raises Price Target to $187

Legal

Texas Sues Allstate, Accusing It Of Unlawfully Collecting And Selling Data About The Location And Movement Of Texans' Cellphones

California&#8217;s $10 trillion residential property market is under siege as wildfires wreak havoc across the southern part of the state.
What Happened: The fires, which have already destroyed more than 5,000 buildings, pose a potential risk to the stability of the state&#8217;s insurance market.
A report <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-los-angeles-wildfires-insurance/?srnd=homepage-americas&amp;sref=TBDibEcD">by</a> Bloomberg said that the wildfires have struck three areas identified as particularly susceptible. One of these is the Pacific Palisades neighborhood in Los Angeles.
Michael Wara,&nbsp;a senior researcher and wildfire&nbsp;expert at Stanford University told the outlet, &#8220;Pacific&nbsp;Palisades really jumps out, even&nbsp;in the context of high-risk&nbsp;areas in California.&#8221;
As of Friday, more than 57,000 structures were in severe danger, and more than 150,000 people were under evacuation.  JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) estimated on Thursday that the insured damages could surpass $20 billion, making it the most expensive wildfire in US history.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42922091/spacex-apple-airbnb-and-more-companies-pitch-in-to-support-california-residents-after-wildfires-we-want-to-help">SpaceX, Apple, Airbnb And More Companies Pitch In To Support California Residents After Wildfires: &#8216;We Want To Help&#8217;</a>
The wildfires have sparked concerns about the future of insurance for&nbsp;homes in one of the&nbsp;world&#8217;s most valuable property markets. 
"This sustainable insurance strategy is built for events like this," Michael Soller, deputy commissioner of the Department of Insurance said. "It is intended to stabilize the insurance market for the long term."
Daniel Swain, a climatologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, said, &#8220;Could a single event cause insurers to become insolvent? That&#8217;s the great fear.&#8221;
The escalating departure&nbsp;of private insurers has left&nbsp;the state-backed insurer of last&nbsp;resort, the California FAIR Plan,&nbsp;in a precarious position. 
The FAIR Plan&nbsp;could be on the hook&nbsp;for billions, as&nbsp;it estimated its own exposure&nbsp;in the larger Pacific Palisades&nbsp;area at nearly $6 billion.
According to the report, the State Farm, California's largest insurer, reduced nearly 70% of its policies in a Pacific Palisades ZIP code last year, while FAIR saw its policy count in the same area surge by 85%. 
This shift has left FAIR potentially liable for billions. As of September, the plan estimated its exposure in the broader Pacific Palisades region at nearly $6 billion. 
However, its most recent public financial report from spring of last year revealed just $200 million in surplus cash reserves and $2.5 billion in reinsurance—coverage designed to protect insurers in catastrophic scenarios—leaving a significant gap in resources.
Insurers with significant exposure to California&#8217;s homeowners' market faced sharp declines on Friday, as the devastation caused by the Los Angeles wildfires escalated.
Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) shares plunged 6%, while Chubb Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>) and Travelers Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>) both dropped more than 3%, ranking among the biggest losers in the S&amp;P 500. Meanwhile, American International Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIG#NYSE">AIG</a>) and Progressive Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PGR#NYSE">PGR</a>) saw declines exceeding 1%.
According to JPMorgan, Allstate, Chubb, and Travelers are the insurers most exposed to the financial impact of the wildfires. The firm highlighted that Chubb&#8217;s focus on high-net-worth clientele in the region could lead to particularly elevated exposure.
Why It Matters: The current wildfires and the looming insurance crisis underscore the increasing threat of climate change. With the fires continuing largely unchecked, many are left pondering&nbsp;if this event will permanently&nbsp;alter the relationship between climate&nbsp;risk and homes in California. 
The escalating crisis not only threatens the property market but also poses a significant risk to the state&#8217;s economy.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/25/01/42888380/los-angeles-fires-shut-down-production-of-tv-shows-fallout-abbott-elementary-hacks-film-premieres-canceled-critics-choice-awards-delayed" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Los Angeles Fires Shut Down Production Of TV Shows ‘Fallout,' ‘Abbott Elementary,' ‘Hacks'; Film Premieres Canceled, Critics Choice Awards Delayed</a></li>
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Image: Wikimedia Commons

California's $10 Trillion Property Market Faces Unprecedented Threat From Wildfires

Wall Street wiped out its entire post-election rally this week as mounting interest-rate fears were stoked by a red-hot labor market, surging inflation expectations and escalating geopolitical tensions ahead of Donald Trump&#8216;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42916780/donald-trump-receives-unconditional-discharge-in-new-york-hush-money-case-will-enter-white-house-as-convicted-felon">return to the White House</a>. 
In a shortened trading week due to Thursday&#8217;s funeral for former President Jimmy Carter, market activity reached a<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42922299/wall-street-tumbles-on-blowout-payrolls-oil-rallies-to-76-us-dollar-hits-26-month-highs-whats-driving-markets-friday"> fever pitch on Friday.</a>
The U.S. economy boasted an impressive <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42912480/us-economy-adds-256000-payrolls-in-december-as-tight-labor-market-tops-forecasts-dollar-treasury-yields-spike">256,000 nonfarm payrolls</a> in December — a figure that made the consensus economist forecast of 160,000 jobs pale in comparison. This marked the strongest employment growth since March. Additionally, the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, beating forecasts of 4.2%.
In simple terms, the U.S. labor market ended 2024 firing on all cylinders. While this robust performance bodes well for consumer spending, it poses a significant challenge for the Federal Reserve, which now faces mounting pressure to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42913622/dollar-soars-to-27-month-highs-30-year-yields-hit-5-stocks-tumble-jobs-report-oil-spike-darken-feds-interest-rate-cut-hopes">keep inflation in check.</a>
Expectations for a new interest rate cut were further pushed down the road to September 2025 in reactions to new economic developments. For stocks, this represented a setback, as indices tumbled across the board.
Earlier in the week, President-elect Trump, in a one-hour speech at Mar-a-Lago, floated provocative ideas, including annexing <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/25/01/42860583/trump-floats-canada-as-51st-us-state-says-hes-ready-to-use-economic-force-to-achieve-it">Canada as a 51st state</a>, imposing stringent tariffs on Mexico and demanding NATO members increase military spending to 5% of GDP.
On Friday, the Biden administration announced <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/01/42919047/oil-nears-80-as-us-prepares-new-russia-sanctions">new sanctions targeting Russian oil </a>giants Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, shadow fleet vessels and opaque traders. These measures triggered a sharp rise in oil prices, further unsettling markets.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Inflation Fears Surge</h3>
Consumer inflation expectations for the next five years reached 3.3% in January 2025, hitting their highest levels since June 2008, according to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42917321/consumer-inflation-worries-highest-since-2008-u-of-m-survey-says-wall-street-tumbles-to-2-month-lows">a University of Michigan survey</a>. Rising inflation anxiety may reflect concerns over the incoming Trump administration&#8217;s planned tariff hikes.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wildfires Impact Insurers</h3>
California wildfires destroyed over 10,000 structures, intensifying pressure on property insurers like Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and Travelers Companies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>). Economic losses could reach $57 billion, with insurance <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42906089/california-wildfires-ignite-concerns-for-insurance-stocks-here-are-some-insurance-etfs-which-could-be-impacted">stocks under market focus.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Rate Hike Panic</h3>
The blowout December jobs report forced Bank of America Securities to scrap expectations for further interest-rate cuts. It marks a notable U-turn from a top investment bank. Economist Aditya Bhave floated the risk of rising discussions towards interest rate cuts, should core inflation <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/42926956/bank-of-america-scraps-interest-rate-cut-calls-betting-markets-go-haywire-as-hiking-panic-mounts">surges above 3% again. </a>
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Image: Shutterstock

US Labor Market Smashes Expectations, Wall Street Erases Post-Election Rally As Interest Rate Anxiety Grows: This Week In The Markets

At least 10 people have been killed in the Los Angeles fires this week, with over 9,000 structures destroyed, according to the latest estimates <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/live/pacific-palisades-fire-updates-los-angeles">cited</a> by the L.A. Times.
What Happened: Several wildfires broke out on Tuesday and Wednesday in Los Angeles following <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42855962/los-angeles-ventura-counties-brace-for-windstorm-as-bad-as-it-gets-for-fire-weather">a strong windstorm</a>. While officials are slowly containing the blaze, the economic damage amounts to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42922091/spacex-apple-airbnb-and-more-companies-pitch-in-to-support-california-residents-after-wildfires-we-want-to-help">the most devastating</a> in the city&#8217;s history.
The windstorm created a severe fire risk and several fires are still burning on Friday, the Los Angeles Times <a href="https://www.latimes.com/wildfires-map/?fire=palisades">reported</a>.
The blaze that began in Pacific Palisades burned over 20,000 acres of land. As of Friday, it is 8% contained.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Every kid in the US learns of the Great Chicago Fire (2,112 acres) in school and how modern building codes &amp; fire depts have made this impossible, yet both the 2023 Lahaina &amp; the current Palisades Fire crossed 17,000 acres &#8211; 8x the size! I marked up a map of Chicago to compare. <a href="https://t.co/jXiRWUosCE">pic.twitter.com/jXiRWUosCE</a>
&mdash; Shaun Cooley (@shauncooley) <a href="https://twitter.com/shauncooley/status/1877410391443255485?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 9, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">The fire is nearly 10 times larger than the Great Chicago Fire of 1871. Analysts project the total economic damage to range from $50 billion to $150 billion, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/01/09/los-angeles-wildfire-economic-losses/">according </a>to the Washington Post.</figcaption></figure>
The Eaton Fire in Altadena and the San Gabriel Valley has burned over 13,000 acres and is merely 3% contained. Other fires are burning north of Calabasas and near Santa Clarita.
Over 200,000 Californians were without power on Friday, <a href="https://poweroutage.us/">according </a>to Power Outage.
Experts <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0ewe4p9128o">attribute </a>the increase in wildfires in recent years to the effects of climate change.
Why it Matters: Several companies with operations in Los Angeles are exposed to the fires.
Shares of Edison International (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EIX#NYSE">EIX</a>), the region&#8217;s utility provider, have tumbled more than 18% since Monday. Sempra (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRE#NYSE">SRE</a>), another utility provider, saw its shares sink more than 10%.
Insurance providers Chubb Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>), Travelers Companies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>) and Allstate Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) saw their share prices deep in the red on Friday. Shares of Mercury General Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCY#NYSE">MCY</a>) fell over 20%.
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Image: Shutterstock

Equities

Markets

10 Dead, 9,000 Structures Damaged In Los Angeles Wildfires: The Latest

Wall Street faced heavy selling pressure in its first trading session after former President Jimmy Carter's funeral, as a series of economic developments rattled interest rate and energy markets, sparking heightened <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">risk aversion among investors.</a>
The U.S. economy added 256,000 jobs in December, far exceeding expectations of a slowdown to 160,000. The unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%, defying forecasts that had anticipated it to remain at 4.2%.
This red-hot labor market data spurred traders to recalibrate their interest-rate projections. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, expectations for a rate cut have been postponed even further, with markets now fully pricing in a reduction only by September 2025.
Adding to market turmoil, oil prices — as tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) — surged more than 3% to $76 per barrel after the Biden administration imposed stricter sanctions on Russian oil exports. These measures targeted major Russian oil companies, shadow fleet tankers and opaque trading networks, intensifying pressure on Moscow&#8217;s energy revenues.
Rising interest rate concerns and inflation uncertainty weighed heavily on equities. The latest University of Michigan consumer survey showed five-year inflation expectations rise to 3.3%, the highest since June 2008.
The S&amp;P 500 dropped nearly 2%, hovering around the 5,800-point level, fully erasing gains made since the election. 
Technology and small-cap stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off, with sharper declines across both sectors.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbed to 109.70, marking its highest level since November 2022. The greenback is on track to notch its sixth consecutive weekly gain and has risen in 14 of the past 15 weeks, underscoring its dominance as a safe haven amid market turbulence.
Treasury yields climbed further as fixed-income investors braced for the possibility of persistent inflation. The 10-year Treasury yield rose seven basis points to 4.76%, nearing its late October 2023 highs.
The 30-year Treasury yield briefly touched the 5% mark, a level last seen in October 2023 and previously in August 2007.
Gold prices offered a haven for risk-averse investors, climbing 0.9% as geopolitical uncertainties mounted.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) saw some dip-buying activity, up by 1.2%, snapping a three-day losing streak during which it shed 10% of its value. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,812.53</td>
<td>-1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>41,837.77</td>
<td>-1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,744.86</td>
<td>-2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,173.84</td>
<td>-2.9%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent010625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) flattened at $588.43.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;was unchanged at $425.08.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) eased 0.1% to $514.72.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) dipped 1% to $220.91.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) outperformed, up 0.4%; the&nbsp;Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) lagged, down 0.9%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) tumbled 5% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral.</li>
<li>Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>) soared over 10%, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42912208/delta-stock-jumps-after-record-q4-earnings-and-strong-2025-outlook">following the release of stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results</a>. Industry peers American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) and United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) rose 4% and 5%, respectively.</li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>), down 12%; Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STZ#NYSE">STZ</a>), down 16%; TD Synnex Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNX#NYSE">SNX</a>), up 6.2% and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBA#NASDAQ">WBA</a>), up 26%,</li>
<li>Insurance-linked stocks faced losses as damage from California&#8217;s wildfires continues to mount. Shares of American International Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIG#NYSE">AIG</a>) fell nearly 2%. Meanwhile, Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and Chubb Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>) plummeted by 7.4% and 4.8%, respectively.</li>
<li>Energy stocks rose in response to soaring oil prices. Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) soared 2%, buoyed by a bullish note from Bank of America Securities. </li>
</ul>
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Photo: Shutterstock

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Wall Street Tumbles On Blowout Payrolls, Oil Rallies To $76, US Dollar Hits 26-Month Highs: What's Driving Markets Friday?

WIIM

CINF

ERIE

HRTG

Shares of insurance stocks are trading lower amid California wildfires.

Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods analyst Meyer Shields maintains Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) with a Outperform and raises the price target from $235 to $243.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on Allstate, Raises Price Target to $243

Amid the ongoing devastation caused by wildfires in Los Angeles, Warren Buffett&#8216;s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>) (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>), the nation&#8217;s largest property and casualty insurer, is expected to experience minimal financial impact, while other insurers face significant exposure due to its substantial presence in California&#8217;s homeowners insurance market.
What Happened: Berkshire Hathaway&nbsp;is not a major player in the California homeowners insurance market, hence the impact of the wildfires is expected to be minimal. However, other insurers like&nbsp;Mercury General Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCY#NYSE">MCY</a>),&nbsp;Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>),&nbsp;Chubb Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>), and&nbsp;Travelers Companies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>)&nbsp;could face substantial losses, Barron&#8217;s <a href="https://www.barrons.com/amp/articles/berkshire-hathaway-los-angeles-fire-losses-8e0e5591">reported </a>on Friday.
J.P. Morgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar&nbsp;noted on Thursday that insured losses from the fires might surpass $20 billion, setting a new record for wildfire losses in California. 
Mercury General, heavily reliant on California for its premiums, could be the most vulnerable relative to its size. The company wrote over $700 million in homeowners insurance&nbsp;premiums in the state during&nbsp;the first nine months of&nbsp;2024. Mercury&#8217;s stock fell 6.5% on Wednesday, reflecting investor concerns about its exposure to the fires.
Meanwhile,&nbsp;Berkshire Hathaway could see losses of about $600 million, a minor fraction of its insurance capital. The company might benefit from potential increases in insurance pricing following the fires.
Why It Matters: The ongoing wildfires in Los Angeles have <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42899028/la-wildfire-damages-estimated-above-52-billion-california-property-insurance-crisis">caused extensive damage</a>, with estimates suggesting total damages could exceed $52 billion, according to&nbsp;Accuweather. More than 2,000 structures have been damaged or destroyed, with further destruction anticipated as red flag warnings persist.
The fires have ignited concerns among investors regarding the stability of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42906089/california-wildfires-ignite-concerns-for-insurance-stocks-here-are-some-insurance-etfs-which-could-be-impacted">California-based insurance stocks</a> and ETFs. The Eaton and Palisades fires alone have ravaged over 10,000 structures, leading to 10 confirmed fire-related deaths. As the crisis unfolds, insurers like&nbsp;Allstate&nbsp;and&nbsp;Travelers&nbsp;are under scrutiny, given their significant roles in the California market. The California FAIR Plan, a state-backed insurer of last resort, is also heavily involved in insuring homes in the affected areas.
Price Action: As per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, on Friday during pre-market hours, Berkshire Hathaway was showing minimal upward movement by 0.022% while Chubb had dropped by 3.60%, Travelers Company was down by 4.85% while Allstate fell by 6.15%. 
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Representative Image via Wikimedia Commons

General

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway To Have Minimal Impact From LA Wildfires, But Insurers Like Mercury General, Chubb Face Higher Risk

California-based property and casualty insurance stocks and exchange-traded funds are in focus as the Los Angeles <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42899953/five-dead-in-los-angeles-wildfires-utilities-face-scrutiny">wildfires</a> have wreaked havoc and ruined over 10,000 structures.
What Happened: As five fires continue to burn LA County, the Eaton and Palisades fires have caused significant damage, destroying over 10,000 structures, including homes, businesses, and smaller buildings, <a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2025/01/09/los-angeles-california-wildfires-thursday-live-updates/77560180007/">reported </a>USA Today. The County of Los Angeles Department of Medical Examiner said that 10 fire-related deaths have been reported. 
Allstate Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and Travelers Companies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>) are prominent California-based property insurers. As <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42899028/la-wildfire-damages-estimated-above-52-billion-california-property-insurance-crisis">reported</a> by Benzinga, many homes in the affected areas are insured by the state-backed insurer of last resort, the California FAIR Plan.
California&#8217;s insurance market was already in crisis before the recent wildfires. Insurers withdrew from the state due to mounting losses from increasingly frequent and severe fires. This issue was highlighted by actor James Woods, who <a href="https://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/1876875152236941482">revealed </a>that his neighborhood recently lost its insurance coverage.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42902506/charlie-mungers-top-pick-costco-reports-strong-december-sales-analysts-expect-a-7-jump-in-january">Charlie Munger&#8217;s Top Pick Costco Reports Strong December Sales: Analysts Expect A 7% Jump In January </a>
Why It Matters: AccuWeather <a href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/blogs-webinars/california-wildfires-52-57b-damage-estimate-accuweather-report/1731718">estimates</a> the economic toll of the Southern California wildfires at a staggering $52 billion to $57 billion. This figure includes damage to property and the disruption of daily life. Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter warns that this could become the most devastating wildfire in California history if the fires continue to spread.
The ETFs holding Allstate and Travelers include iShares U.S. Insurance ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAK#NYSE">IAK</a>), Invesco Dow Jones US Insurance UCITS ETF Acc (LON: INSU), and Invesco KBW Property &amp; Casualty Insurance ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBWP#NASDAQ">KBWP</a>). These two stocks are part of the top five holdings of IAK, INSU, and KBWP, and they will be in focus as markets open on Friday.
Following are the weights of these stocks in the mentioned ETF.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>ETFs</td>
<td>Allstate Corp (Weight)</td>
<td>Travelers Companies (Weight)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>iShares U.S. Insurance ETF</td>
<td>6.33%</td>
<td>5.30%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Invesco Dow Jones US Insurance UCITS ETF Acc</td>
<td>5.31%</td>
<td>6.33%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Invesco KBW Property &amp; Casualty Insurance ETF</td>
<td>8.17%</td>
<td>8.06%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
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Photo courtesy: Wikimedia

iShares Dow Jones US Insurance Index Fund

KBWP

California Wildfires Ignite Concerns For Insurance Stocks: Here Are Some Insurance ETFs Which Could Be Impacted

Wildfires continue to ravage Los Angeles county on Thursday, causing billions of dollars in damage to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42894683/los-angeles-wildfires-stoke-investor-fears-edison-internationals-stock-ended-10-lower-on-wednesday-amid-concerns-over-possible-equipment-links-to-forest-fires">homes and businesses</a>. 
What To Know: Accuweather on Wednesday<a href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/blogs-webinars/california-wildfires-52-57b-damage-estimate-accuweather-report/1731718"> issued a</a> preliminary estimate of the total damage and economic loss from the Southern California wildfires to be between $52 billion and $57 billion.&nbsp;
More than 2,000 structures have been damaged or destroyed and additional damages are expected as red flag warnings continue through Thursday.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42878466/wildfire-rips-through-las-pacific-palisades-neighborhood-3000-acres-burned-30000-evacuated-homes-destroyed">Wildfire Rips Through LA&#8217;s Pacific Palisades Neighborhood Destroying Homes: 3,000 Acres Burned As 30,000 Residents Evacuate&nbsp;</a>
Five fires continue to burn in Los Angeles County on Thursday, with officials reporting the Palisades fire and the Eaton fire remain at zero containment,<a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-01-08/fire-weather-fierce-winds-los-angeles"> according </a>to the Los Angeles Times.&nbsp;
"This is already one of the worst wildfires in California history. Should a large number of additional structures be burned in the coming days, it may become the worst wildfire in modern California history based on the number of structures burned and economic loss," AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter said.
California Insurance Industry: California faced an insurance crisis before the fires began, as insurers were already fleeing the state due to massive losses caused by larger and more frequent wildfires.&nbsp;
Actor James Woods highlighted the problem in a social media post, saying that a major insurance company had recently canceled the policies in his neighborhood.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Actually one of the major insurances companies canceled all the policies in our neighborhood about four months ago. <a href="https://t.co/JS03dsV9rF">https://t.co/JS03dsV9rF</a>
&mdash; James Woods (@RealJamesWoods) <a href="https://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/1876875152236941482?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 8, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Many homes in the affected areas are insured by the state-backed insurer of last resort, the California FAIR Plan. The plans are more expensive and provide less coverage than traditional private plans.
Tim Zawacki, an insurance sector strategist at S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence,<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/08/climate/california-homeowners-insurance-fires.html"> told The</a> New York Times the number of homes in the ZIP code affected by the Palisades fire that are enrolled in the FAIR Plan has nearly doubled over the last year.
Experts are concerned the destruction caused by the ongoing fires could exacerbate the insurance crisis in the state. Equity analysts are forecasting potential insurance industry losses of between $6 billion and $13 billion, <a href="https://www.reinsurancene.ws/analysts-peg-insured-la-wildfire-losses-at-up-to-13bn-economic-loss-put-at-more-than-52bn/">according to</a> Reinsurance News.&nbsp;
Some of the largest property insurers in California include Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>).
BMO Capital Markets analysts estimate that at around a $3.5 billion insured loss, the fires could add risk to first-quarter earnings per share estimates for reinsurers, per Reinsurance News.&nbsp;
The analysts added that a loss of more than $7 billion, would affect first-quarter earnings results across the insurance and reinsurance sector.
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Photo via Shutterstock.

LA Wildfire Damages Could Top $52 Billion As California Faces Property Insurance Crisis

A destructive wildfire continues to rage through the Pacific Palisades section of Los Angeles on Wednesday, forcing more than 30,000 people to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42855962/los-angeles-ventura-counties-brace-for-windstorm-as-bad-as-it-gets-for-fire-weather">evacuate the area. </a>
The Details: Before the fire started, the National Weather Service issued an alert for extreme fire conditions, including wind gusts of between 50 and 80 miles per hour, for Los Angeles County from Tuesday through Thursday.  
From Tuesday morning to Wednesday morning, the fire burned more than 3,000 acres, according to Reuters. 
The Pacific Palisades fire, 0% contained, grew to encompass more than 4.5 square miles Wednesday morning, <a href="https://weather.com/news/weather/news/2025-01-07-los-angeles-palisades-fire-santa-ana-wind-california">according</a> to the Weather Channel. Authorities expect the worst conditions through Wednesday morning with wind gusts possibly reaching 100 miles per hour. 
"This is pretty much the worst possible scenario for a firefight," David Ortiz of the Los Angeles Fire Department told KTLA-TV.
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/25/01/42854890/us-records-first-human-bird-flu-death-high-levels-of-respiratory-illnesses-vaccine-stocks-rally">US Records First Human Bird Flu Death, High Levels Of Respiratory Illnesses: Vaccine Stocks Rally&nbsp;</a>
Los Angeles Fire Chief Kristin Crowley on Tuesday said at a press conference that more than 25,000 people in 10,000 homes were threatened.
Karen Bass, mayor of Los Angeles, encouraged residents to heed warnings from officials in an early Wednesday morning post on social media.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Our <a href="https://twitter.com/LAFD?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@LAFD</a> and <a href="https://twitter.com/LAPDHQ?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@LAPDHQ</a> teams continue to work overnight to protect Angelenos affected by fires in L.A. Angelenos should be advised that the windstorm is expected to worsen through the morning and to heed local warnings, stay vigilant and stay safe. Red flag parking restrictions…
&mdash; Mayor Karen Bass (@MayorOfLA) <a href="https://twitter.com/MayorOfLA/status/1876938290395525605?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 8, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The Los Angeles Times <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/live/pacific-palisades-fire-updates-los-angeles#p=pch-devastated-by-palisades-fire">reported</a> homes and businesses along the Pacific Coast Highway were leveled by the fire Tuesday night as high winds whipped the flames. The National Weather Service reported a gust of 99 mph near Altadena at 10:20 p.m. PT Tuesday and 84 mph at Hollywood Burbank Airport at 8:30 p.m. PT.&nbsp;
More than 160,000 power outages are reported in Los Angeles county, according to<a href="https://poweroutage.us/area/state/california"> data from </a>Poweroutage.us. Pacific Gas &amp; Electric Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PCG#NYSE">PCG</a>) currently has 5,700 customers without power. San Diego Gas &amp; Electric, a subsidiary of Sempra (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRE#NYSE">SRE</a>), has more than 9,000 customers without electricity. 
Los Angeles International Airport is operating with minimal interruptions Wednesday morning. However, some flights have been diverted due to smoke in the area. Total delays stand at 56 with 8 cancellations reported so far on Wednesday, according to <a href="https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/today/KLAX">data from </a>FlightAware. 
Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>), American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) and United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) are the largest airlines with flights out of LAX and could face operations disruptions in the coming days.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom toured part of the affected area in Pacific Palisades on Tuesday.
"Not a few — many structures already destroyed," Newsom said. 
Precise damage estimates will only be available after a thorough assessment once the fire is contained. Some of the largest property insurers in California include Allstate Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>) and could face increased claims resulting from fire damage. 
President Joe Biden announced Tuesday that a federal grant had been approved to reimburse California for the fire response. 
&#8220;I have offered any federal assistance that is needed to help suppress the terrible Pacific Palisades fire,&#8221; Biden said in a statement.
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Image: Shutterstock

Travel

Wildfire Rips Through LA's Pacific Palisades Neighborhood Destroying Homes: 3,000 Acres Burned As 30,000 Residents Evacuate

Barclays analyst Alex Scott maintains Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) with a Underweight and lowers the price target from $187 to $183.

Barclays Maintains Underweight on Allstate, Lowers Price Target to $183

Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 15 years by 1.31% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 12.87%. Currently, Allstate has a market capitalization of $51.12 billion. 
Buying $100 In ALL: If an investor had bought $100 of ALL stock 15 years ago, it would be worth $614.90 today based on a price of $193.05 for ALL at the time of writing.
<h3>Allstate's Performance Over Last 15 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1735937592_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much $100 Invested In Allstate 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

In the wake of the New Year&#8217;s Day <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/media/25/01/42756901/10-killed-dozens-hurt-in-new-orleans-terrorist-attack-truck-drives-into-bourbon-street-new-years-crowd">attack in New Orleans</a> that killed at least 15 and injured dozens, Allstate Sugar Bowl officials said the decision to postpone the game&nbsp;to Thursday at 4 p.m. ET will enable security teams to increase their coverage around the city and especially at the Caesars Superdome.
Allstate Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) and security officials did not specify what the new measures entail. Wednesday&#8217;s postponement was a first in the 91-year history of the Sugar Bowl; officials said &#8220;it was the prudent move.&#8221; The organization said they made the decision &#8220;in coordination with federal, state, and local authorities as well as the two universities, Caesars Superdome and ESPN.&#8221;
"Public safety is paramount," Sugar Bowl CEO Jeff Hundley said at a media briefing alongside federal, state and local officials, including Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry and New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell. "All parties all agree that it's in the best interest of everybody and public safety that we postpone the game," <a href="https://apnews.com/article/sugar-bowl-mass-casualty-650b5773a37f0eaa2b03f4412c835674">reported</a> the Associated Press.
Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIS#NYSE">DIS</a>)-owned ESPN will televise the game, which was initially postponed 24 hours, but both Georgia and Notre Dame requested an earlier start time, <a href="https://www.nola.com/news/crime_police/sugar-bowl-security-bourbon-attack/article_c12b8f2e-c8dc-11ef-9cd9-e73164410f4d.html#tncms-source=featured-2">according</a> to the Times Picayune. 
The postponement meant that many fans holding tickets would not be able to attend the game. Ticket prices online plummeted in some cases to less than $25 as fans were holding them and needed to leave NOLA on Thursday, &#8220;tried to unload them,&#8221; according to the local news outlet.
Both Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>) and Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) are waiving certain fees for travelers affected by the terror attack, allowing flexible rebooking options, <a href="https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/attack-new-orleans-delta-air-lines-waives-fees-some-passengers-changing-flights">reported</a> Fox5.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Notre Dame Coach Speaks</h1>
"What I told the team is in the toughest moments, the culture of any program, of a nation, is revealed," Notre Dame coach Marcus Freeman <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OMmZnmWP75A">told</a> ESPN's Scott Van Pelt on Wednesday&#8217;s SportsCenter. "I have a lot of faith this country will rally around the city of New Orleans and support all the victims and families that were affected today."
Van Pelt asked how he and the team prepared for the game in their first meeting following the tragedy in NOLA. &#8220;The first part of that meeting was to mourn and pray for our country. But the end of the meeting was to redirect our focus to preparing for this game,&#8221; Freeman replied.
The Sugar Bowl has been played annually in New Orleans on New Year&#8217;s Eve or New Year&#8217;s Day since 1935.  The Superdome, of which Caesars Entertainment Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CZR#NASDAQ">CZR</a>) holds the naming rights, has been hosting the Sugar Bowl every year since it was built in 1975, with the exception of 2006 when Hurricane Katrina damaged the facility.
Photo: Shutterstock

Sports

Events

New Orleans Beefs Up Security Ahead Of Sugar Bowl, Tickets Plummet To $25 As Fans Leave Town

Allstate (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 15 years by 1.46% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 13.4%. Currently, Allstate has a market capitalization of $51.91 billion. 
Buying $1000 In ALL: If an investor had bought $1000 of ALL stock 15 years ago, it would be worth $6,650.83 today based on a price of $196.02 for ALL at the time of writing.
<h3>Allstate's Performance Over Last 15 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1734382815_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$1000 Invested In Allstate 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

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ALSN

AVGO

CTRA

ENPH

PYPL

SBAC

SCHW

SMCI

TKOMY

VICI

XLRE

ZFSVF

ZURVY

Press Releases

Allstate and Arlo Team Up to Boost Home Protection Just in Time for The Holidays

Allstate Health Solutions Partners with Intuit QuickBooks, Thatch and Ambetter Health to Provide Expanded Healthcare Offering

Allstate Announces Quarterly Dividend Payable Jan. 2, 2025

Allstate CEO to Present at Goldman Sachs 2024 U.S. Financial Services Conference

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Allstate Announces Preferred Dividends Payable on Jan. 15, 2025

Nick Dawkins Named 2024 Allstate Wuerffel Trophy Recipient and Allstate AFCA Good Works Team Captain

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Allstate Helping Southern California Customers, Communities Recover from Wildfires

ARLO

Arch Capital Group

American Financial Group, Inc. Common Stock

American Finl Gr

Assured Guaranty

Assurant

Axis Capital Holdings Limited Common Stock

Axis Capital Holdings

Cincinnati Financial Corporation - Common Stock

Cincinnati Financial

CNA Financial

Erie Indemnity Company - Class A Common Stock

Erie Indemnity

First American Corporation (New) Common Stock

First American Financial

FNF Group of Fidelity National Financial, Inc. Common Stock

Fidelity National Finl

Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The) Common Stock

Hartford Finl Servs Gr

Kemper

Kinsale Cap Gr

Loews

Mercury General

Markel Group

Old Republic International Corporation Common Stock

Old Republic Intl

Progressive Corporation (The) Common Stock

Progressive

Palomar Hldgs

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. - Common Stock

Selective Insurance Gr

Hanover Insurance Gr

The Travelers Companies, Inc. Common Stock

Travelers Companies

WR Berkley

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. Common Stock

White Mountains Insurance

Wells Fargo

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Barclays

Piper Sandler

Goldman Sachs

실적 시즌이 시작됨에 따라, BofA 증권의 애널리스트들이 주요 보험사들의 4분기 보고서에 대한 전망을 금요일에 발표했다.
이 증권사는 또한 로스앤젤레스 지역의 산불이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/25/01/42953761/santa-ana-winds-return-as-la-wildfire-damage-estimates-rise-to-at-least-250-billion-fire-officials-investigate-downed-power-lines" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">현재 분기</a>에 해당 회사들에 미칠 영향을 살펴보았다.
올스테이트: BofA는 올스테이트(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>)가 4분기 재해 손실로 7억 6천 4백만 달러를 보고할 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 이는 5.5%의 재해 부담률에 해당한다. 이 회사는 올스테이트가 10월에 2억 8천 6백만 달러의 순 재해 손실을 보고했으며, 여기에는 허리케인 밀턴의 손실, 허리케인 헬렌의 불리한 준비금 재추정, 그리고 북미의 기타 악천후 사건으로 인한 손실이 포함되었다고 언급했다.
BofA는 현재 1분기 재해 손실을 14억 6천만 달러 — 10.3% 재해 부담률 — 로 보고하고 있으며, 여기에는 캘리포니아 산불로 인한 7억 달러가 포함되어 있다고 밝혔다. 이 회사는 올스테이트가 팰리세이즈 화재보다 이튼 화재에서 더 많은 손실을 입을 것으로 예상하고 있다.
BofA 증권은 올스테이트 주식에 대해 매수 등급을 유지했지만, 목표 주가를 285달러에서 279달러로 낮췄다.
올스테이트는 2월 5일 시장 종료 후 4분기 재무 결과를 발표할 예정이다. 애널리스트들은 이 회사가 주당 5.95달러의 이익과 147억 달러의 매출을 보고할 것으로 예상하고 있다.
다음 읽기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/health-care/25/01/43041254/unitedhealth-ceo-highlights-hospitals-doctors-pharmas-role-in-soaring-health-care-costs">유나이티드헬스 CEO가 병원, 의사, 제약사의 역할을 강조하며 건강 관리 비용 급등에 대한 설명</a> 
처브: BofA는 처브(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>)가 1분기 재해 손실로 8천 5백 1십만 달러, 또는 8.1% 손실 비율을 기록할 것으로 예상하고 있다. 처브는 유럽 홍수, 허리케인 밀턴 및 미국 내 기타 기상 사건을 포함한 전 세계의 악천후 사건에 노출되었다.
BofA는 처브가 고액 자산자 주택 보험의 주요 인수자라고 언급하며, 보험사에 대한 1분기 재해 손실을 19억 달러, 17.5%의 재해 부담률로 모델링하고 있다. 캘리포니아 산불이 이 예상 1분기 재해 손실의 13억 달러를 차지다.
BofA 증권은 처브에 대해 언더퍼폼 등급을 유지하고 목표 주가를 272달러에서 266달러로 낮췄다.
처브는 1월 28일 시장 종료 후 4분기 재무 결과를 발표할 예정이다. <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/?gspk=YWRhbWVja2VydDUzMzY&amp;gsxid=zBMR4PKmcgBw">Benzingo Pro</a>의 추정에 따르면 애널리스트들은 이 회사가 주당 5.46달러의 이익과 122억 7,700만 달러의 매출을 보고할 것으로 예상하고 있다.
프로그레시브: 애널리스트들은 프로그레시브가 12월에 1억 4백만 달러의 재해 손실을 보고할 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 이는 4분기 재해 손실을 3억 4천만 달러로 증가시킬 것이다.
BofA는 1분기 재해 손실을 5억 8천 4백만 달러로 모델링하고 있으며, 여기에는 캘리포니아 산불로 인한 9천만 달러가 포함되어 있으며, 손실의 3분의 2는 자동차 부문에서 발생한다고 밝혔다.
BofA 증권은 프로그레시브 주식에 대해 매수 등급을 유지했지만, 목표 주가를 339달러에서 322달러로 낮췄다.
프로그레시브는 1월 29일 시장 개장 전에 4분기 실적을 발표할 예정이다. 애널리스트들은 이 회사가 주당 3.52달러의 이익과 183억 5,700만 달러의 매출을 보고할 것으로 예상하고 있다.
다음 읽기: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43007213/experts-see-the-fed-on-hold-for-now-if-there-are-any-cuts-at-all-in-2025-after-decembers-sticky-consumer-inflation-report">금리 인하가 &#8216;당분간 보류될 것&#8230; 2025년에 인하가 있더라도&#8217; &#8211; 12월 소비자 물가 상승률 보고서 이후 경제학자들</a></li>
</ul>
사진: Shutterstock
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 더 많은 승리를 거두세요 
독점 속보 및 스캐너와 같은 Benzinga Pro의 강력한 도구 세트로 다른 트레이더보다 우위를 점하세요. 
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

산불이 주의 남부 지역을 강타하고 있는 가운데 캘리포니아의 10조 달러 규모의 주택 시장이 이 산불로 인해 위협받고 있다.
무슨 일이 일어났나: 이미 5,000채 이상의 건물이 파괴된 이 산불은 주의 보험 시장의 안정성에 잠재적인 위험을 초래한다.
블룸버그의 <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-los-angeles-wildfires-insurance/?srnd=homepage-americas&amp;sref=TBDibEcD">보도</a>에 따르면, 이 산불은 특히 취약한 세 지역을 강타했다. 그 중 하나는 로스앤젤레스의 퍼시픽 팰리세이즈 지역이다.
마이클 와라(Michael Wara) 스탠포드 대학교의 선임 연구원이자 산불 전문가가 이 매체에 말했다. &#8220;퍼시픽 팰리세이즈는 캘리포니아의 고위험 지역들 중에서도 특히 눈에 띈다.&#8221;
금요일 기준으로 57,000개 이상의 구조물이 심각한 위험에 처해 있었고, 150,000명 이상이 대피 명령을 받았다. JP모건 체이스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>)는 목요일에 보험 피해가 200억 달러를 초과할 것으로 추정하여 미국 역사상 가장 비싼 산불로 기록될 것이라고 밝혔다.
또한 읽어보기: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42922091/spacex-apple-airbnb-and-more-companies-pitch-in-to-support-california-residents-after-wildfires-we-want-to-help">스페이스X, 애플, 에어비앤비 등 많은 회사들이 산불 피해 이후 캘리포니아 주민들을 지원하기 위해 나섰습니다: &#8216;우리는 돕고 싶습니다&#8217;</a>
이 산불은 세계에서 가장 가치 있는 부동산 시장 중 하나인 주택 보험의 미래에 대한 우려를 촉발했다.
&#8220;이 지속 가능한 보험 전략은 이런 사건들을 대비해 설계되었다&#8221;고 마이클 솔러(Michael Soller) 보험청 부국장이 말했다. &#8220;이는 장기적으로 보험 시장을 안정화하기 위한 것이다.&#8221;
다니엘 스웨인(Daniel Swain) UCLA 기후학자는 &#8220;단일 사건이 보험사들을 파산하게 만들 수 있을까? 그게 가장 큰 두려움이다&#8221;고 말했다.
민간 보험사의 이탈이 확대되면서 주 정부가 지원하는 최후의 수단인 보험사인 캘리포니아 FAIR 플랜이 위태로운 위치에 놓이게 되었다.
FAIR 플랜은 수십억 달러에 대한 책임을 져야 할 수도 있으며, 자신이 더 큰 퍼시픽 팰리세이즈 지역에서 거의 60억 달러에 달하는 노출을 가지고 있다고 추정했다.
이 보도에 따르면, 캘리포니아 최대 보험사인 스테이트 팜(State Farm)은 지난해 퍼시픽 팰리세이즈 ZIP 코드에서 약 70%의 보험 정책을 축소했으며, 반면 FAIR는 같은 지역에서 정책 수가 85% 증가한 것으로 나타났다.
이러한 변화는 FAIR가 수십억 달러에 대한 잠재적 책임을 지게 만들었다. 9월 기준으로 FAIR 플랜은 더 넓은 퍼시픽 팰리세이즈 지역에서 거의 60억 달러의 노출을 추정했다.
하지만 지난해 봄의 최근 공개 재무 보고서에 따르면, FAIR 플랜은 단 2억 달러의 잉여 현금 준비금과 25억 달러의 재보험만을 보유하고 있어, 자원에 상당한 격차가 발생했다.
캘리포니아 주택 시장에 상당한 노출을 가진 보험사들은 금요일에 로스앤젤레스 산불로 인한 피해가 심각해지면서 급격한 하락세를 보였다.
올스테이트(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) 주식은 6% 급락했으며, 처브(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>)와 트래블러스 컴퍼니(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>)의 주식도 3% 이상 하락하여 S&amp;P 500에서 가장 큰 손실주로 분류되었다. 한편, 아메리칸 인터내셔널 그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIG#NYSE">AIG</a>)과 프로그레시브(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PGR#NYSE">PGR</a>)는 각각 1% 이상의 하락을 경험했다.
JP모건에 따르면, 올스테이트, 처브 및 트래블러스가 산불의 재정적 영향에 가장 많이 노출된 보험사들이다. 이 회사는 처브가 이 지역의 고액 자산가 고객에 초점을 맞추고 있어 특히 높은 노출을 초래할 수 있다고 강조했다.
왜 이 일이 중요한가: 현재의 산불과 다가오는 보험 위기는 기후 변화의 위협이 증가하고 있음을 강조한다. 산불이 거의 통제되지 않고 계속 발생함에 따라, 많은 사람들은 이 사건이 기후 위험과 캘리포니아 주택 간의 관계를 영구적으로 변화시킬 것인지 고민하고 있다.
이 심각한 위기는 부동산 시장뿐만 아니라 주 경제에도 중대한 위험을 초래한다.
다음 읽기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/la-%ED%99%94%EC%9E%AC%EB%A1%9C-%ED%8F%B4%EC%95%84%EC%9B%83-%EB%93%B1%EC%9D%98-tv-%ED%94%84%EB%A1%9C%EA%B7%B8%EB%9E%A8-%EC%A0%9C%EC%9E%91-%EC%A4%91%EB%8B%A8-%EC%98%81%ED%99%94-%EC%8B%9C%EC%82%AC/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">로스앤젤레스 산불로 인해 &#8216;폴아웃&#8217;, &#8216;핵스&#8217;와 같은 TV 프로그램의 제작이 중단되었고, 영화 시사회가 취소되었으며, 비평가상 시상식이 연기되었습니다.</a></li>
</ul>
이미지: 위키미디어 공용
Benzinga Pro의 독점 뉴스 및 도구로 더 많은 승리를 거두세요 
독점 속보 및 스캐너와 같은 Benzinga Pro의 강력한 도구 세트로 다른 트레이더보다 우위를 점하세요. 
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?t=be2bewe5mibe3bz3&amp;utm_source=bz-kor" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">여기를 클릭</a>하여 14일 무료 체험을 시작하세요.

이번 주 월스트리트는 선거 후 랠리를 모두 상실했다. 이는 도널드 트럼프의 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42916780/donald-trump-receives-unconditional-discharge-in-new-york-hush-money-case-will-enter-white-house-as-convicted-felon">백악관 복귀</a>를 앞두고 뜨거운 노동 시장, 급증하는 인플레이션 기대감 그리고 지정학적 긴장 상승으로 인해 금리 인상 우려가 커졌기 때문이다.
목요일 전직 대통령 지미 카터의 장례식으로 거래가 축소된 주간 동안, 시장 활동은 금요일에 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42922299/wall-street-tumbles-on-blowout-payrolls-oil-rallies-to-76-us-dollar-hits-26-month-highs-whats-driving-markets-friday">극도로 과열</a>되었다.
미국 경제는 12월에 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42912480/us-economy-adds-256000-payrolls-in-december-as-tight-labor-market-tops-forecasts-dollar-treasury-yields-spike">256,000개의 비농업 일자리를 추가</a>하며 인상적인 성과를 보였고, 이는 160,000개의 일자리를 예상한 경제학자들의 예측을 한참 초과하는 수치이다. 또한 실업률은 4.1%로 떨어져 4.2%를 예상한 예측을 상회했다.
간단히 말해, 미국 노동 시장은 2024년을 전방위적으로 마무리하며 활기차게 종료되었다. 이러한 강력한 성과는 소비자 지출에는 긍정적이지만, 연방준비제도(연준)는 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42913622/dollar-soars-to-27-month-highs-30-year-yields-hit-5-stocks-tumble-jobs-report-oil-spike-darken-feds-interest-rate-cut-hopes" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">인플레이션 억제를 위한</a> 압박이 커지면서 중대한 도전에 직면하게 되었다.
새로운 금리 인하 기대는 새로운 경제 발전에 대한 반응으로 2025년 9월로 더 미뤄졌다. 이는 주식에 대한 후퇴를 의미하며, 모든 지수가 하락했다.
주 초에 대통령 당선인 트럼프는 마러라고에서 1시간 동안의 연설에서 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/events/25/01/42860583/trump-floats-canada-as-51st-us-state-says-hes-ready-to-use-economic-force-to-achieve-it">캐나다를 제51주로 편입</a>하는 것, 멕시코에 대한 엄격한 관세 부과, NATO 회원국들에게 GDP의 5%로 군비 지출을 늘릴 것을 요구하는 등의 도발적인 아이디어를 제안했다.
금요일에 바이든 행정부는 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/01/42919047/oil-nears-80-as-us-prepares-new-russia-sanctions">러시아 석유</a> 거대기업인 가스프롬 네프트(Gazprom Neft)와 수르구트네프테가스(Surgutneftegas), 그림자 함선 및 불투명 트레이더들에 대한 새로운 제재를 발표했다. 이 조치는 유가를 급등시켜 시장을 더욱 불안정하게 만들었다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">인플레이션 우려 급증</h3>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42917321/consumer-inflation-worries-highest-since-2008-u-of-m-survey-says-wall-street-tumbles-to-2-month-lows" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-google-interstitial="false">미시간 대학교 조사</a>에 따르면, 소비자 인플레이션 기대치는 2025년 1월 3.3%로 상승하여 2008년 6월 이후 최고치를 기록했다. 상승하는 인플레이션 우려는 새로 들어서는 트럼프 행정부의 예정된 관세 인상 계획에 대한 우려를 반영할 수 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">산불이 보험사에 미치는 영향</h3>
캘리포니아 산불로 10,000개 이상의 구조물이 파괴되어 올스테이트(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>) 및 트래블러스 컴퍼니(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>)와 같은 재산 보험사들에 대한 압박이 강화되었다. 경제적 손실은 570억 달러에 이를 수 있으며, 보험 <a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/%EC%BA%98%EB%A6%AC%ED%8F%AC%EB%8B%88%EC%95%84-%EC%82%B0%EB%B6%88%EB%A1%9C-%EB%B3%B4%ED%97%98-%ED%9A%8C%EC%82%AC%EC%97%90-%EB%8C%80%ED%95%9C-%EC%9A%B0%EB%A0%A4-%EC%A6%9D%ED%8F%AD-%EC%98%81%ED%96%A5/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">주식이 시장의 초점</a>이 되고 있다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">금리 인상 패닉</h3>
12월 고용 보고서의 폭발적인 결과는 뱅크 오브 아메리카 증권이 추가 금리 인하 기대를 철회하게 만들었다. 이는 주요 투자은행의 주목할만한 전환을 의미한다. 경제학자 아딧야 바브(Aditya Bhave)는 핵심 인플레이션이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/42926956/bank-of-america-scraps-interest-rate-cut-calls-betting-markets-go-haywire-as-hiking-panic-mounts">다시 3% 이상으로 상승</a>할 경우 금리 인하 논의가 증가할 위험을 제시했다.
지금 읽어보세요: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/%ED%8C%94%EB%9E%80%ED%8B%B0%EC%96%B4%EC%9D%98-%EA%B3%BC%EB%8C%80-%EC%97%B4%EA%B8%B0%EB%8A%94-%EB%82%98%EC%8A%A4%EB%8B%A5-100-%ED%8E%B8%EC%9E%85-%ED%9B%84-%EC%A3%BC%EA%B0%80%EA%B0%80-15-%ED%95%98/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">팔란티어의 나스닥-100 기대감이 포함 후 주가가 15% 하락하며 사라지고 있습니다</a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/01/42925767/palantirs-nasdaq-100-hype-fades-as-stock-sinks-post-inclusion">.</a></li>
</ul>
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