Huntington Ingalls Indus 주식 (NYSE: HII)

에 대한 최신 뉴스 Huntington Ingalls Indus (NYSE:HII) 주식

Huntington Ingalls Indus

Huntington Ingalls Industries is the largest independent military shipbuilder in the US, spun off of Northrop Grumman in 2011. It operates three segments, two of which are storied shipyards: Ingalls produces non-nuclear-powered ships including amphibious landing ships and Arleigh Burke-class destroyers while Newport News produces nuclear-powered ships as the only producer of Gerald Ford-class aircraft carriers and a major subcontractor on Virginia and Columbia-class nuclear submarines. Huntington Ingalls shares production of destroyers and nuclear submarines with General Dynamics' Bath Iron Works and Electric Boat shipyards, respectively. The company's Mission Technologies segment produces uncrewed sea vessels and provides a range of IT and other services to US government agencies.

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도널드 트럼프 대통령은 여러 분야에서 지출을 줄이겠다고 약속했지만, 국방부는 예산이 증가할 가능성이 높은 곳 중 하나이다. 국방비 증가는 워싱턴에서 양당의 합의에 도달한 몇 안 되는 이슈 중 하나로, 최근 퇴임한 로이드 오스틴 국방장관이 500억 달러 증액을 2026년 현재 예측치에 추가로 권고했다.

트럼프 2.0에 매수할 방산주 5종목

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미국 방산 부문은 2025년의 혼란을 대비하고 있다. 이는 골드만삭스가 방산 산업의 주요 기업들을 하향 조정하고, 펜타곤 예산 감소 및 마진 압박과 관련된 위험을 언급하며 다른 방산 주식에 대해 부정적인 전망을 재확인한 데 따른 것다.

트럼프 DOGE의 지출 삭감 목표에 방산주는 역풍에 직면: 골드만삭스

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United States Oil Fund(NYSE:USO)가 추적하는 서부 텍사스 중질유(WTI) 원유 선물은 중동의 긴장이 고조되는 가운데 월요일 3.6% 급등하여 배럴당 79.60달러로 마감했다.

중동 긴장에 유가가 $80까지 상승, 미국은 지역에 군사력 증강: 방산주 5종목에 주목

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. Common Stock

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc

HIDILI INDUSTRY INTL DEV by Hidili Industry International Development Ltd.

Hidili Industry International Development Ltd

Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR

HIDILI INDS I/D UNSP/ADR by Hidili Industry International Development Ltd.

Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak maintains Huntington Ingalls Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) with a Sell and lowers the price target from $188 to $145.

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Goldman Sachs Maintains Sell on Huntington Ingalls Indus, Lowers Price Target to $145

Barclays analyst David Strauss maintains Huntington Ingalls Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $220 to $200.

Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Huntington Ingalls Indus, Lowers Price Target to $200

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Liquidity Services (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LQDT#NASDAQ">LQDT</a>) shares rose 24.7% to $39.71 during Thursday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $1.2 billion. As per the news, the Q1 earnings report came out today. </li>
<li>Urban-gro (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UGRO#NASDAQ">UGRO</a>) stock increased by 17.85% to $0.99. The company's market cap stands at $12.1 million. </li>
<li>Matthews International (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MATW#NASDAQ">MATW</a>) stock increased by 15.93% to $31.0. The company's market cap stands at $959.0 million. As per the news, the Q1 earnings report came out today. </li>
<li>American Superconductor (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMSC#NASDAQ">AMSC</a>) stock rose 10.3% to $28.15. The company's market cap stands at $1.1 billion. The company's, Q3 earnings came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Lakeside Holding (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LSH#NASDAQ">LSH</a>) shares rose 8.91% to $2.2. The company's market cap stands at $16.5 million. </li>
<li>Professional Diversity (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IPDN#NASDAQ">IPDN</a>) stock increased by 8.06% to $0.36. The company's market cap stands at $5.6 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Symbotic (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYM#NASDAQ">SYM</a>) shares decreased by 16.7% to $25.75 during Thursday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $2.7 billion. As per the press release, Q1 earnings came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Matrix Service (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTRX#NASDAQ">MTRX</a>) shares decreased by 15.6% to $11.85. The company's market cap stands at $326.5 million. As per the press release, Q2 earnings came out yesterday. </li>
<li>Huntington Ingalls Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) shares decreased by 13.08% to $170.0. The company's market cap stands at $6.6 billion. As per the press release, Q4 earnings came out today. </li>
<li>Decent Holding (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DXST#NASDAQ">DXST</a>) stock fell 7.31% to $1.65. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $26.8 million. </li>
<li>Equifax (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EFX#NYSE">EFX</a>) shares decreased by 6.75% to $252.0. The company's market cap stands at $31.2 billion. As per the press release, Q4 earnings came out today. </li>
<li>CEA Industries (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CEAD#NASDAQ">CEAD</a>) stock fell 6.33% to $7.11. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $5.7 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Thursday's Pre-Market Session

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) shares are trading lower after it reported&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/02/g43524381/hii-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2024-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">fourth-quarter&nbsp;FY24&nbsp;results</a>.
Sales and service revenue increased&nbsp;5.4%&nbsp;year-over-year to&nbsp;$3.00 billion, missing the&nbsp;consensus of&nbsp;$3.05 billion.
Ingalls Shipbuilding&nbsp;$736 million&nbsp;(-8.0%&nbsp;Y/Y), Newport News Shipbuilding&nbsp;$1.59 billion&nbsp;(-4.6%&nbsp;Y/Y), and Mission Technologies&nbsp;$713 million&nbsp;(-4.3%&nbsp;Y/Y).
Operating income decreased 64.7% Y/Y to $110 million, and the margin contracted by 616 bps to 3.7%. Segment operating income was $103 million (-68.8% Y/Y), and the margin was 3.4%, down 696 bps Y/Y.
EPS of&nbsp;$3.15, down 54.3%&nbsp;Y/Y, missing the&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/earnings" rel="noreferrer noopener">consensus of&nbsp;$3.31</a>.&nbsp;
Operating cash flow plunged to $393 million&nbsp;in 2024 and free cash flow&nbsp;to $40 million, compared to&nbsp;$970 million&nbsp;and&nbsp;$692 million, respectively, in 2023.
New contract awards for 2024&nbsp;were&nbsp;$12.1&nbsp;billion, with a total backlog of around&nbsp;$48.7&nbsp;billion&nbsp;as of December 31, 2024.
Chris Kastner, president and CEO said, &#8220;We continue to make progress on ships put under contract pre-COVID, and are working diligently with our customers to put over $50 billion of new work under contract. Mission Technologies continued its strong track record of top line growth and margin expansion and secured an impressive $12 billion in total future contract value during 2024.&#8221;
FY25&nbsp;Outlook: Huntington Ingalls Industries sees sales of around $11.80 billion &#8211; $12.20 billion (vs. consensus of $12.10 billion), with expected Shipbuilding revenue of&nbsp;$8.9 billion &#8211; $9.1&nbsp;billion and the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">corresponding&nbsp;operating margin of&nbsp;5.5% &#8211; 6.5%</a>.
Huntington&nbsp;Ingalls sees Mission&nbsp;Technologies&#8217;&nbsp;revenue of&nbsp;$2.9 billion &#8211; $3.1 billion, with an operating margin of&nbsp;4.0% &#8211; 4.5%&nbsp;and&nbsp;EBITDA margin of&nbsp;8.0% &#8211; 8.5%.
The company expects FY25 free cash flow of&nbsp;$300 million &#8211; $500 million.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via&nbsp;The Advisors&#8217; Inner Circle Fund III Strategas Global Policy Opportunities ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAGP#NYSE">SAGP</a>).
Price Action: HII shares are down 16.5% at $163.23 at the last check Thursday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/12/42468190/defense-stocks-face-headwinds-as-trumps-doge-targets-spending-cuts-goldman-sachs-downgrades-general-dynamics-to-sell" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Defense Stocks Face Headwinds As Trump&#8217;s DOGE Targets Spending Cuts: Goldman Sachs Downgrades General Dynamics</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock.

Earnings

Guidance

The Advisors' Inner Circle Fund III Strategas Global Policy Opportunities ETF

SAGP

Huntington Ingalls Sinks On Q4 Earnings Miss, Margins & Cash Flow Take A Hit

WIIM

Huntington Ingalls Industries shares are trading lower after the company reported worse-than-expected Q4 financial results.

HII's Financial Outlook1 includes the following expectations:
<ul>
<li>Mid to long term5 HII revenue growth of 4%+</li>
<li>Mid to long term5 shipbuilding revenue2 growth of approximately 4%</li>
<li>Mid to long term5 Mission Technologies revenue growth of approximately 5%</li>
<li>FY25 shipbuilding revenue2 between $8.9 and $9.1 billion; expect shipbuilding operating margin2 between 5.5% and 6.5%</li>
<li>FY25 Mission Technologies revenue between $2.9 to $3.1 billion, Mission Technologies segment operating margin2 between 4.0% and 4.5%; and Mission Technologies EBITDA margin2 between 8.0% and 8.5%</li>
<li>FY25 free cash flow2,3 between $300 and $500 million</li>
</ul>
<figure class="table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>FY25 Outlook1</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Shipbuilding Revenue2</td>
<td>$8.9B - $9.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Shipbuilding Operating Margin2</td>
<td>5.5% - 6.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mission Technologies Revenue</td>
<td>$2.9B - $3.1B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mission Technologies Segment Operating Margin2</td>
<td>4.0% - 4.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mission Technologies EBITDA Margin2</td>
<td>8.0% - 8.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Operating FAS/CAS Adjustment</td>
<td>($43M)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Non-current State Income Tax Benefit/Expense4</td>
<td>~$0M</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Interest Expense</td>
<td>($130M)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Non-operating Retirement Benefit</td>
<td>$191M</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Effective Tax Rate</td>
<td>~21%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Depreciation &amp; Amortization</td>
<td>~$340M</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Capital Expenditures</td>
<td>~4% of Sales</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Free Cash Flow2, 3</td>
<td>$300M - $500M</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>

Huntington Ingalls Indus Sees FY2025 Sales $11.800B-$12.200B vs $12.10B Est

Huntington Ingalls Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $3.15 per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $3.31 by 4.83 percent. This is a 54.35 percent decrease over earnings of $6.90 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $3.00 billion which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $3.05 billion by 1.65 percent. This is a 5.45 percent decrease over sales of $3.18 billion the same period last year.

Earnings Misses

Huntington Ingalls Indus Q4 2024 GAAP EPS $3.15 Misses $3.31 Estimate, Sales $3.00B Miss $3.05B Estimate

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Earnings Scheduled For February 6, 2025

HII Ingalls Shipbuilding Division Commences Fabrication of Amphibious Transport Dock Philadelphia

Contracts

HII Awarded Up To $296M Task Order To Support US And Europe Air Forces In Africa

President Donald Trump has pledged to cut spending in a number of areas, but one place that's likely to see a budget increase is the Department of Defense. Increased defense spending is one of the few issues reaching bipartisan agreement in Washington, as outgoing Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin recently recommended a <a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2025-01-13/austin-recommends-defense-spending-boost-by-more-than-50-billion-in-2026-bloomberg-news-reports">$50 billion boost</a> over current 2026 projections.
As global geopolitics becomes increasingly volatile and the nature of conflicts changes, upgrades are especially needed in certain critical areas like missile defense systems, autonomous drone technology, and cybersecurity.
These five companies are set to benefit the most from the drive to modernize America&#8217;s defense.
These five stocks were chosen based on their past success with federal projects, current financial and technical standing, and likelihood of avoiding any axes from the incoming Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Huntington Ingalls Industries (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>)</h2>
Huntington Ingalls is one of the largest manufacturers of nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers, with two major manufacturing facilities in Virginia and Mississippi and a large cybersecurity and IT facility outside the Pentagon in Fairfax, VA. The company also manufactures autonomous amphibious technology, such as unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs).&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="298" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-1024x298.png" alt="" class="wp-image-741406" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII.png 1302w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
HII stock had a rough 2024 despite a promising start. Shares hit an all-time high of $299 in early March before tumbling below $200 by the end of the year. Despite this recent decline, there's reason for optimism moving forward.
Gross profits have returned to pre-pandemic levels and the stock currently trades with a 11.2 price-to-earnings ratio, 1.84 price-to-book value, and 0.67 price-to-sales ratio; all metrics showing a cheaper valuation than competitors like Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, and Northrop Grumman. The stock also pays a 2.74% dividend yield.
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">L3Harris Technologies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>)</h2>
L3Harris has been a public company for only five years, but they're already making a mark on the defense industry through innovations in command and control systems, intelligence and surveillance equipment, and navigation products for both commercial and government clients.
Formed through a merger of L3 Technologies and Harris Corp in 2019, the company is now one of the 10 largest US defense contractors and has shown impressive growth since the two original firms combined forces.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="298" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-1024x298.png" alt="" class="wp-image-741407" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX.png 1302w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
L3Harris has a loftier valuation than Huntington Ingalls, but it&#8217;s justified considering the company's revenue growth of 7.7% year-over-year, outpacing larger competitors like Lockheed and Northrop while maintaining healthy cash flow.
Last quarter, the company saw gross margins of 26.4% (far above industry average) and $5.52 billion in institutional money has flowed into the stock in the last 12 months. LHX has a $40.6 billion market cap and pays a 2.2% dividend yield. The stock chart shows upward momentum has petered out recently, but the RSI indicates it could be time to start accumulating shares again.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>)</h2>
The future of defense isn't just on land, air, and water, but also online through the various information networks connecting governments and businesses all over the globe. Protecting private information is a crucial aspect for any large organization, and Palo Alto Networks has been providing cybersecurity solutions to public and private clients for nearly 20 years.
The company's main product is a line of firewalls designed to protect networks of all shapes and sizes, but it also operates Unit 42, an advance threat detection team. The FBI has credited Unit 42 with catching numerous hacking groups and cybercriminals, including the Gorgon hacking syndicate and the Xbash ransomware program.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="298" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-1024x298.png" alt="" class="wp-image-741408" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW.png 1302w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Palo Alto Networks has a few tailwinds working for it that investors should keep an eye on. For starters, the company is a serial acquirer of smaller cybersecurity firms, with seven major acquisition announcements since 2020 (six have closed as of this writing). The incoming administration is expected to be much friendlier to merger and acquisition activity, which could greenlight Palo Alto to dig deeper into its cash horde for new companies.
Cybersecurity firms also have less capital expenditures since they aren't building ships or planes or tanks, but computer programs to protect from invisible threats. This allows companies like Palo Alto to operate leaner than traditional defense firms, and retain more of their revenue as profit.
But even compared to other cybersecurity firms, Palo Alto stands out. The company has 33% profit margins and quarterly revenue growth of 12% year-over-year.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">General Dynamics Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GD#NYSE">GD</a>)</h2>
General Dynamics has roots tracing back to the Electric Boat Company in 1899, but stands today as the fifth largest defense contractor in the United States. The company manufactures five major product lines: aircraft systems like the Aardvark and Fighting Falcon, marine systems like Electric Boat and Bath Iron Works, missile systems like the Redeye and Stinger, combat systems like the M1 Abrams and LAV series, and launch vehicles like the Atlas system.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="306" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-1024x306.png" alt="" class="wp-image-741410" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-1024x306.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-300x90.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-768x229.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD.png 1303w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
GD shares are down 11% over the last three months, but this correction could be a chance for investors to add shares. The company has grown revenue 10.4% year-over-year and has profit margins of 7.9%, higher than Northrop Grumman, RTX, and even L3Harris. Shares are trading below the 50-day moving average for the first time since October 2023, but other technical indicators show that the long-term uptrend remains in place.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAH#NYSE">BAH</a>)</h2>
Booz Allen Hamilton might sound like an upscale clothing store, but it&#8217;s actually another major defense contractor, although not as well-known (or capitalized) as the big boys like Lockheed or Raytheon.
Founded at Northwestern University in 1914, Booz Allen Hamilton specializes in consulting, analytics, engineering, and cybersecurity services for governments, nonprofits, and private sector clients. The company has a $17.4 billion market cap and 1.5% dividend yield.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="298" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-1024x298.png" alt="" class="wp-image-741411" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH.png 1302w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
The BAH stock chart looks very similar to GD&#8217;s, only with a more pronounced dip. Shares are down 16% in the last three months despite consistent revenue growth and a 7.2% profit margin in the most recent quarter. Like GD shares, the stock has dipped below the 50-day moving average for the first time in over a year, but the long-term uptrend still looks strong. If defense contractors get a boost under the second Trump administration, Booz Allen Hamilton already has the stock momentum in place.
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Image via Defence.gov

5 Defense Stocks to Buy for Trump 2.0

The U.S. defense sector is bracing for turbulence in 2025 as Goldman Sachs downgraded a key player in the industry and reiterated a bearish outlook on other defense stocks, citing risks tied to a slowing Pentagon <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">budget and margin pressures.</a>
The defense budget, which has more than doubled over the past decade, could see deceleration — or even contraction — under the watch of Donald Trump's newly formed Department of Government Efficiency led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. 
"We remain cautious on defense stocks as we see decelerating and potentially negative growth in the forward U.S. Department of Defense budget," Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak said in a note Thursday. 
Goldman downgraded General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GD#NYSE">GD</a>) from Neutral to Sell, citing fundamental challenges across all four of its business segments.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Can The Defense Budget Escape DOGE Spending Cuts?</h1>
Goldman warned that defense spending may have peaked, creating "tough compares" for future growth. 
Historically, defense spending has moved in decade-long cycles, and the current high base of investment means the next phase could be one of contraction. 
Poponak also highlighted the incoming Trump administration appears eager to wind down U.S. involvement in foreign conflicts, further reducing the case for large-scale defense spending.
Poponak indicated the Pentagon's procurement efficiency as "imperfect," which could make defense spending an attractive target for cuts. Given that defense represents a significant chunk of the federal budget, trimming it may be unavoidable as DOGE seeks to deliver cost savings.
&#8220;If DOGE wants to substantially reduce total U.S. government spending, it is hard to avoid DoD,&#8221; Goldman Sachs wrote.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Structural Margin Pressures And Valuation Risks</h1>
Beyond the potential for lower top-line growth, defense contractors are grappling with long-term pressures on profitability. Over the past few years, the Pentagon has tightened contractual terms, effectively shifting cost risks to contractors.
"While the rate of decline may be slowing, we think margins are now structurally lower moving forward vs. the last decade," Poponak said.
DOGE could exacerbate this trend by advocating for more fixed-price contracts, even in the early stages of programs, a move that would further constrain profitability. 
Yet despite these challenges, defense stocks as a group continue to trade above their historical valuation averages. 
"Defense stocks trade above their historical average valuation level as a group, with some individual names at their high-end and a premium to the equity market," Poponak commented. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs Reiterates Sell Recommendations On Defense Contractors</h1>
According to Goldman Sachs, the General Dynamics downgrade reflects weaker-than-peer growth in its Technologies division, margin pressures in Marine shipbuilding, reduced supplemental funding at Combat, and delivery challenges at Gulfstream that are weighing on profitability.
"While General Dynamics trades at a discount to Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) and Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), valuation is at a level where it could derate if earnings power is disappointing the market," Poponak said.
Goldman Sachs also trimmed the 12-month price target on General Dynamics from $283 to $245. 
Lockheed Martin, often seen as the bellwether of the defense industry, also remains on the Sell list from Goldman Sachs. 
The analyst flagged risks related to the F-35 program, which has already been named as a potential target by DOGE leadership. 
"LMT currently has a large positive net pension benefit in its free cash flow, and we expect free cash to be near flat the next several years," Poponak said, adding that the company trades at 23 times estimated 2025 earnings, a steep premium for a stock facing margin and spending risks.
Northrop Grumman holds a similar Sell rating, with Goldman expressing concerns about slowing growth in its flagship B-21 bomber program. Poponak highlighted that NOC trades at 20 times the estimated 2025 earnings and warned of "incremental margin risk" ahead.
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) is also struggling under margin pressures. Its shipbuilding business, plagued by labor shortages and cost overruns, could see profitability erode further, according to the investment bank. 
The company's recent results revealed weaker recurring margins than previously assumed, with guidance pointing to near-term margins as low as 5%, far below historical levels.
Goldman also reaffirmed its Sell ratings on L3 Harris Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>) and Mercury Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRCY#NASDAQ">MRCY</a>), citing slower growth, operational risks, and valuation concerns.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h1>
Shares of General Dynamics fell 1.01% on Thursday, while the broader industry — as tracked by the iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#NYSE">ITA</a>) – fell 0.64%.
Lockheed Martin fell 1.52%, hitting lows last seen on July 23, 2024.
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Photo: Courtesy General Dynamics

Defense Stocks Face Headwinds As Trump's DOGE Targets Spending Cuts: Goldman Sachs Downgrades General Dynamics

HII (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) was awarded a $6.7 billion contract to provide electronic warfare engineering and technical services support for the U.S. Air Force. The indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity contract is the largest ever awarded to HII's Mission Technologies division.

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President-elect Donald Trump's proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, is raising questions about the future of U.S. defense contractors <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41927289/trump-appoints-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-to-lead-doge-targeting-bureaucracy-and-65-trillion-federal-spending-we-will-not-go-gently">and government IT firms. </a>
Could the defense budget flatten—or even fall? And who stands to gain in this new sector shake up?
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">DOGE Puts Defense Budget Under Pressure</h3>
Trump's plan to restructure federal agencies and reduce wasteful spending through DOGE is a bold move, and its potential ripple effects are hard to ignore—especially for defense and government IT companies. 
With the Department of Defense (DoD) being one of the largest slices of federal spending, investors are understandably focused on what's next for defense stocks in a DOGE-driven world.
On one hand, Trump's campaign has consistently expressed support for strengthening the U.S. military. 
On the other, it's hard to make sweeping government cuts without touching the $877 billion defense budget, which accounts for 13% of federal spending as of 2023.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/41965420/department-of-government-efficiency-led-by-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-opens-x-account-with-username-doge">Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy-Led Department Of Government Efficiency Opens Account On X</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Defense Spending At All-Time Highs Spells Risks</h3>
Historically, defense spending runs in decades-long cycles. Investment in the sector experiences periods of growth followed by downturns, and we may be nearing the peak of the current cycle, according to Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak.
 &#8220;The defense budget is at an all-time high, which creates difficult comparisons and challenging base effects,&#8221; the analyst said in a note published Friday. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Risks For Defense Stocks</h3>
<ol>
<li>Peak Spending: The defense budget is hovering at historical highs, making future growth difficult.</li>
<li>Geopolitical Shifts: If major conflicts ease, defense spending could decline.</li>
<li>Government Debt: U.S. debt-to-GDP ratios are near record levels, increasing pressure to curb federal spending.</li>
</ol>
Margins in the defense industry are already under pressure due to Pentagon efforts to shift risks onto contractors. Fixed pricing on long-term contracts, for example, has eroded unit economics. 
At the same time, defense stocks – as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAR#NYSE">XAR</a>) – are trading at valuations above historical averages, leaving them vulnerable to a "de-rating" if the budget flattens or falls.
&#8220;It is difficult to embark on any large government spending reduction effort without touching defense, and there are potentially enough inefficiencies within the defense budget to reduce its total level without necessarily reducing military readiness or capability,&#8221; Poponak said. 
The investment bank maintains a cautious stance on the defense sector, issuing Sell ratings for Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), L3Harris Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>), and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Government IT: Winners In The Efficiency Game?</h3>
While defense hardware could take a hit, government IT firms might find themselves potentially on the winning side of DOGE. 
The sector has been outperforming traditional defense industries in revenue growth, driven by a market share shift toward advanced technologies like artificial intelligence, data analytics, and cybersecurity.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Why IT Could Shine:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Tech-Driven Efficiency: DOGE's focus on cutting waste could emphasize the adoption of technologies that streamline government operations.</li>
<li>Advanced Capabilities: Firms offering cutting-edge solutions may be seen as key enablers of government efficiency.</li>
<li>Resilient Demand: Even with DoD cuts, IT spending for Operations &amp; Maintenance and national security could remain strong.</li>
</ul>
Goldman Sachs believes that companies like Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAH#NYSE">BAH</a>) and Leidos Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LDOS#NYSE">LDOS</a>) are well-positioned to benefit.
On the flip side, SAIC Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAIC#NYSE">SAIC</a>) faces challenges due to slower growth and tougher competition, earning it a Sell rating from Goldman Sachs.
The bottom line is that Investors should prepare for a sector shakeup, as the creation of DOGE could mark a significant shift in federal spending priorities.
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Photo: Shutterstock

Regulations

Tech

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SAIC

Trump's DOGE Plan: Goldman Sachs Says Defense Stocks Face Risks, IT Firms Could Win

U.S. stocks were slightly lower, with the Dow Jones index falling around 0.1% on Thursday.
Shares of Hillenbrand, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HI#NYSE">HI</a>) rose sharply in today's session following <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/HI/earnings">upbeat quarterly results</a>.
Hillenbrand reported quarterly earnings of $1.01 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of 92 cents per share. The company reported quarterly sales of $837.60 million which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $792.98 million.
Hillenbrand shares surged 14.7% to $34.60 on Thursday.
Here are some other big stocks recording gains in today's session.
<ul>
<li>AC Immune SA (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACIU#NASDAQ">ACIU</a>) gained 18% to $3.6844 after the company announced interim safety and immunogenicity data from the Phase 2 VacSYn clinical trial evaluating ACI-7104.056 for the treatment of patients with early Parkinson&#8217;s disease.</li>
<li>NextNav Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NN#NASDAQ">NN</a>) gained 16.8% to $15.85 after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly financial results.</li>
<li>DLocal Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLO#NASDAQ">DLO</a>) shares jumped 16.1% to $10.50 after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter revenue results.</li>
<li>Oscar Health, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OSCR#NYSE">OSCR</a>) rose 14.6% to $15.44.</li>
<li>Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSHA#NASDAQ">TSHA</a>) gained 14.4% to $2.5300 following third-quarter results.</li>
<li>Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BZH#NYSE">BZH</a>) shares rose 13.9% to $36.41 after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly financial results.</li>
<li>Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPR#NYSE">TPR</a>) gained 11.2% to $57.00 after the company announced plans for an additional $2 billion share repurchase program.</li>
<li>Spire Global, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPIR#NYSE">SPIR</a>) rose 10.9% to $14.91. Spire Global agreed to sell its maritime business to Kpler for roughly $241 million.</li>
<li>Wynn Resorts, Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WYNN#NASDAQ">WYNN</a>) gained 9.2% to $93.69.</li>
<li>ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZIM#NYSE">ZIM</a>) climbed 9.1% to $27.28.</li>
<li>Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAP#NYSE">AAP</a>) gained 8.9% to $44.60 following third-quarter results.</li>
<li>The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIS#NYSE">DIS</a>) rose 8.8% to $111.75 following upbeat earnings.</li>
<li>JetBlue Airways Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBLU#NASDAQ">JBLU</a>) gained 6.3% to $7.38.</li>
</ul>
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Intraday Update

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B of A Securities analyst Ronald Epstein maintains Huntington Ingalls Indus (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>) with a Underperform and lowers the price target from $250 to $195.

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The most oversold stocks in the industrials sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.
The RSI is a momentum indicator, which compares a stock&#8217;s strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down. When compared to a stock&#8217;s price action, it can give traders a better sense of how a stock may perform in the short term. An asset is typically considered oversold when the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/rsi"> RSI is below 30</a>, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Here's the latest list of major oversold players in this sector, having an RSI near or below 30.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Verra Mobility Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRRM#NASDAQ">VRRM</a>)</h3>
<ul>
<li>On Oct. 31, Verra Mobility reported worse-than-expected third-quarter revenue results and issued FY24 revenue guidance below estimates. &#8220;We delivered a solid third quarter, highlighted by strong revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation,&#8221; said David Roberts, President and CEO, Verra Mobility. The company's stock fell around 12% over the past five days and has a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/VRRM">52-week low of $18.76</a>.</li>
<li>RSI Value: 27.83&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>VRRM Price Action: Shares of Verra Mobility gained 1.4% to close at $23.12 on Tuesday.</li>
<li>Benzinga Pro's real-time newsfeed alerted to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">latest VRRM news.</a> </li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="903" height="835" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024332/image-44.png" alt="" class="wp-image-632085" style="width:738px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024332/image-44.png 903w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024332/image-44-300x277.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024332/image-44-768x710.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 903px) 100vw, 903px" /></a></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</h3>
<ul>
<li>On Oct. 31, Huntington Ingalls Industries reported worse-than-expected third-quarter financial results. It also revised FY24 revenue outlook and withdrew 5-year free cash flow outlook. The company's stock fell around 24% over the past five days and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/HII">has a 52-week low</a> of $184.29.</li>
<li>RSI Value: 20.66</li>
<li>HII Price Action: Shares of Huntington Ingalls rose 1.2% to close at $193.24 on Tuesday.</li>
<li>Benzinga Pro&#8217;s charting tool helped identify the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">trend in HII stock</a>. </li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="916" height="835" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024404/image-45.png" alt="" class="wp-image-632087" style="width:632px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024404/image-45.png 916w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024404/image-45-300x273.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06024404/image-45-768x700.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 916px) 100vw, 916px" /></a></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Janus International Group Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBI#NYSE">JBI</a>)</h3>
<ul>
<li>On Oct. 29, Janus International Group reported worse-than-expected third-quarter financial results and cut its FY24 sales guidance below estimates. &#8220;We saw continued pressure in the third quarter as headwinds from macroeconomic factors, interest rate uncertainty and project delays persisted,&#8221; said Ramey Jackson, Chief Executive Officer. The company's stock fell around 28% over the past month and has a 52-week <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/JBI">low of $6.68</a>.</li>
<li>RSI Value: 20.90</li>
<li>JBI Price Action: Shares of Janus International Group fell 0.3% to close at $7.02 on Tuesday.</li>
<li>Benzinga Pro&#8217;s signals feature notified of a potential <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">breakout in JBI shares</a>.</li>
</ul>
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Long Ideas

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On CNBC's &#8220;Mad Money Lightning Round,&#8221; Jim Cramer recommended buying CyberArk Software Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CYBR#NASDAQ">CYBR</a>). &#8220;That is a terrific situation, I've liked it for many, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/CYBR/analyst-ratings">many years,&#8221; he added</a>.
On Oct. 29, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Jonathan Ruykhaver maintained CyberArk Software with an Overweight and raised the price target from $300 to $335.
&#8220;Any time I get into self-driving technology,&#8221; Cramer said when asked about Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AUR#NASDAQ">AUR</a>). &#8220;I like to go with Tesla (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>)."
On Oct. 30, Aurora Innovation reported a quarterly loss of 13 cents per share, compared to market estimates of a loss of 13 cents per share.
Cramer recommended buying Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COST#NASDAQ">COST</a>).
On Oct. 16, Costco declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.16 per share.
SharkNinja (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SN#NYSE">SN</a>) is a &#8220;terrific&#8221; company, Cramer said. &#8220;If Trump wins, the tariffs are going to be so high that their earnings are just going to be shot. He added, &#8220;It is the stock to buy, actually the stock to buy if you think that Harris is going to be the next president of the United States.&#8221;
&#8220;I have to find out what the heck happened to that quarter,&#8221; Cramer said about Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>).
On Oct. 31, Huntington Ingalls reported worse-than-expected third-quarter financial results. It also revised FY24 revenue outlook and withdrew 5-year free cash flow outlook.
Price Action:
<ul>
<li>CyberArk shares fell 0.1% to settle at $276.16 on Friday.</li>
<li>Aurora Innovation shares jumped 11.8% to close at $5.81 on Friday.</li>
<li>Costco shares gained 0.5% to settle at $877.31 during the session.</li>
<li>Huntington Ingalls gained 2.3% to settle at $189.23 on Friday.</li>
<li>SharkNinja shares fell 3.4% to close at $89.12.</li>
</ul>
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HII Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results

HII's Ingalls Shipbuilding Awards $95,600 in STEM Grants

HII to Participate in Citi's 2025 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on Feb. 18

Archer Aviation Inc. Class A Common Stock

Archer Aviation

AeroVironment

Axon Enterprise

Boeing

BWX Technologies

Curtiss-Wright

Leonardo DRS

Embraer

General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock

General Dynamics

GE Aerospace

Heico

Heico Corporation Common Stock

Howmet Aerospace

Hexcel

L3Harris Technologies

Lockheed Martin

Loar Holdings

Moog Inc. Class A Common Stock

Northrop Grumman Corporation Common Stock

Northrop Grumman

Rocket Lab USA

StandardAero

Transdigm Group Incorporated Common Stock

TransDigm Gr

Textron

Woodward

Goldman Sachs

Barclays

B of A Securities

Alembic Global

Deutsche Bank

도널드 트럼프 대통령은 여러 분야에서 지출을 줄이겠다고 약속했지만, 국방부는 예산이 증가할 가능성이 높은 곳 중 하나이다. 국방비 증가는 워싱턴에서 양당의 합의에 도달한 몇 안 되는 이슈 중 하나로, 최근 퇴임한 로이드 오스틴 국방장관이 <a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2025-01-13/austin-recommends-defense-spending-boost-by-more-than-50-billion-in-2026-bloomberg-news-reports">500억 달러 증액</a>을 2026년 현재 예측치에 추가로 권고했다.
세계 지정학적 상황이 점점 더 불안정해지고 갈등의 성격이 변화함에 따라, 미사일 방어 시스템, 자율 드론 기술, 사이버 보안과 같은 특정 중요한 분야에서의 업그레이드가 특히 필요해지고 있다.
미국의 방어력을 현대화하려는 노력에서 가장 큰 혜택을 볼 다섯 개의 회사는 다음과 같다.
이 다섯 개의 주식은 과거 연방 프로젝트에서의 성공, 현재의 재무 및 기술적 상태 그리고 새로운 정부 효율성 부서(DOGE)에서 제외될 가능성을 기반으로 선정되었다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">헌팅턴 잉걸스 인더스트리즈 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>)</h2>
헌팅턴 잉걸스는 핵 잠수함과 항공모함의 가장 큰 제조업체 중 하나로, 버지니아와 미시시피에 두 개의 주요 제조 시설과 펜타곤 외곽의 페어팩스, VA에 대규모 사이버 보안 및 IT 시설을 운영하고 있다. 이 회사는 무인 수중 차량(UUV)과 같은 자율 수륙 양용 기술도 제조한다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-741406" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-1024x298.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123041/HII.png 1302w" alt="" width="1024" height="298" /></figure>
HII 주식은 2024년 초에 299달러의 사상 최고가를 기록한 후, 연말까지 200달러 이하로 급락하는 등 힘든 한 해를 보냈다. 최근의 하락에도 불구하고 앞으로는 긍정적인 이유가 있다.
총 이익이 팬데믹 이전 수준으로 돌아왔고, 현재 주가는 11.2의 주가수익비율, 1.84의 주가순자산비율, 0.67의 주가매출비율로 거래되고 있으며, 이는 모두 록히드 마틴, 제너럴 다이내믹스 및 노스롭 그루먼과 같은 경쟁사들보다 낮은 평가를 보여준다. 또한 주식은 2.74%의 배당 수익률을 지급한다.
[매일 신중하게 선정된 주식 픽을 통해 전략을 간소화하고 수익 잠재력을 높이세요. 전문가 분석과 실행 가능한 통찰력이 포함되어 있습니다. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge/?utm_source=WebRD-0121&amp;el=ResearchDaily&amp;he={{email}}&amp;adt_ei={{email}}">거래를 받으려면 여기를 클릭하세요.</a>]
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">L3 해리스 테크놀로지스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>)</h2>
L3 해리스는 상장된 지 단 5년밖에 되지 않았지만, 명령 및 제어 시스템, 정보 및 감시 장비, 상업 및 정부 고객을 위한 내비게이션 제품에서 혁신을 통해 방산 산업에 이미 큰 영향을 미치고 있다.
2019년 L3 테크놀로지스와 해리스 코퍼레이션의 합병으로 형성된 이 회사는 현재 미국 방산 계약자 중 10위 안에 들며, 두 원래 회사가 합쳐진 이후 인상적인 성장을 보여주고 있다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-741407" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-1024x298.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123047/LHX.png 1302w" alt="" width="1024" height="298" /></figure>
L3 해리스는 헌팅턴 잉걸스보다 높은 평가를 받고 있지만, 이는 회사의 매출 성장률이 7.7%로, 록히드와 노스롭과 같은 대형 경쟁사들을 초과하면서도 건전한 현금 흐름을 유지하고 있기 때문에 정당화된다.
지난 분기, 이 회사는 26.4%의 총 이익률(산업 평균보다 훨씬 높음)을 기록했으며, 지난 12개월 동안 55억 2천만 달러의 기관 자금이 주식에 유입되었다. LHX의 시가 총액은 406억 달러이며, 2.2%의 배당 수익률을 제공한다. 주식 차트는 최근 상승 모멘텀이 줄어들었지만, 상대 강도 지수(RSI)는 다시 주식을 매집할 때가 될 수 있음을 나타낸다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">팔로알토 네트웍스 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>)</h2>
방어의 미래는 육상, 공중 및 수역에 국한되지 않고, 정부와 기업을 연결하는 다양한 정보 네트워크의 온라인 공간에서도 중요하다. 민감한 정보를 보호하는 것은 모든 대규모 조직의 중요한 측면이며, 팔로알토 네트웍스는 거의 20년 동안 공공 및 민간 고객에게 사이버 보안 솔루션을 제공해왔다.
이 회사의 주요 제품은 모든 형태와 크기의 네트워크를 보호하기 위한 방화벽 제품군이지만, 고급 위협 탐지 팀인 유닛 42(Unit 42)도 운영한다. 연방수사국(FBI)는 유닛 42가 고르곤 해킹 신디케이트와 Xbash 랜섬웨어 프로그램을 포함한 수많은 해킹 그룹과 사이버 범죄자를 검거하는 데 기여했다고 인정했다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-741408" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-1024x298.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123053/PANW.png 1302w" alt="" width="1024" height="298" /></figure>
팔로알토 네트웍스는 몇 가지 유리한 요소가 작용하고 있어 투자자들이 주목해야 한다. 첫째, 이 회사는 2020년 이후 7개의 주요 인수 발표를 한 사이버 보안 기업을 계속해서 인수하고 있으며(현재 6개가 마감됨), 새로운 행정부는 인수합병 활동에 대해 더 우호적일 것으로 예상되어 팔로알토가 새로운 회사에 대한 현금 보유고를 더 깊게 사용할 수 있는 기회를 제공할 수 있다.
사이버 보안 기업은 군함, 항공기, 탱크가 아닌 보이지 않는 위협으로부터 보호하는 컴퓨터 프로그램을 구축하기 때문에 자본 지출이 적다. 이는 팔로알토와 같은 회사가 전통적인 방산 기업보다 더 날씬하게 운영되고 수익의 더 많은 부분을 이익으로 유지할 수 있게 한다.
그러나 다른 사이버 보안 기업들과 비교하더라도, 팔로알토는 돋보인다. 이 회사는 33%의 이익률과 분기별 매출 성장률이 전년 대비 12%를 기록했다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">제너럴 다이내믹스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GD#NYSE">GD</a>)</h2>
제너럴 다이내믹스는 1899년 일렉트릭 보트 컴퍼니로부터 시작되었지만, 현재는 미국의 다섯 번째로 큰 방산 계약업체이다. 이 회사는 항공 시스템(Aardvark, Fighting Falcon), 해양 시스템(Electric Boat, Bath Iron Works), 미사일 시스템(Redeye, Stinger), 전투 시스템(M1 Abrams, LAV 시리즈), 발사체(Atlas 시스템) 등 다섯 가지 주요 제품 라인을 제조한다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-741410" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-1024x306.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-1024x306.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-300x90.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD-768x229.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123059/GD.png 1303w" alt="" width="1024" height="306" /></figure>
GD 주가는 최근 3개월 동안 11% 하락했지만, 이 조정은 투자자들이 주식을 추가할 기회가 될 수 있다. 이 회사는 연간 10.4%의 매출 성장을 기록했으며, 7.9%의 이익률이 노스롭 그루먼, RTX, 심지어 L3 해리스보다 높다. 주식은 2023년 10월 이후 처음으로 50일 이동 평균 아래로 거래되고 있지만, 다른 기술적 지표는 장기적인 상승 추세가 여전히 유지되고 있음을 보여준다.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">부즈 알렌 해밀턴 홀딩 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAH#NYSE">BAH</a>)</h2>
부즈 알렌 해밀턴은 고급 의류 매장처럼 들릴 수 있지만, 사실은 주요 방산 계약업체 중 하나이다. 록히드나 레이시온과 같은 대기업만큼 잘 알려져 있거나 자본화되지는 않았다.
1914년 노스웨스턴 대학교에서 설립된 부즈 알렌 해밀턴은 정부, 비영리 단체 및 민간 부문 고객을 위한 컨설팅, 분석, 엔지니어링 및 사이버 보안 서비스를 전문으로 한다. 이 회사는 174억 달러의 시가 총액과 1.5%의 배당 수익률을 보유하고 있다.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-741411" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-1024x298.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-1024x298.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-300x87.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH-768x224.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/20123105/BAH.png 1302w" alt="" width="1024" height="298" /></figure>
BAH 주식 차트는 GD와 매우 유사하지만, 더 뚜렷한 하락세를 보인다. 주식은 최근 3개월 동안 16% 하락했지만, 지속적인 매출 성장과 최근 분기에서 7.2%의 이익률을 기록했다. GD 주식과 마찬가지로 주가는 1년 이상 만에 처음으로 50일 이동 평균 아래로 하락했지만, 장기적인 상승 추세는 여전히 강해 보인다. 방산 계약업체가 트럼프 행정부 2기 하에서 혜택을 받는다면, 부즈 알렌 해밀턴은 이미 주가 모멘텀을 갖추고 있다.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge/?utm_source=WebRD-0121&amp;el=ResearchDaily&amp;he={{email}}&amp;adt_ei={{email}}">매일 새로운 고수익 잠재 거래를 받아보세요.</a>
이미지 출처: Defence.gov
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미국 방산 부문은 2025년의 혼란을 대비하고 있다. 이는 골드만삭스가 방산 산업의 주요 기업들을 하향 조정하고, 펜타곤 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump" target="_blank" rel="noopener">예산 감소 및 마진 압박</a>과 관련된 위험을 언급하며 다른 방산 주식에 대해 부정적인 전망을 재확인한 데 따른 것다.
지난 10년 동안 두 배로 증가한 방산 예산은 도널드 트럼프의 새로 구성된 정부 효율부서(DOGE)를 이끌고 있는 일론 머스크와 비벡 라마스와미의 감시 아래서 둔화되거나 심지어 축소될 가능성이 있다.
골드만삭스의 애널리스트 노아 포포낙(Noah Poponak)은 목요일 메모에서 &#8220;우리는 방산 주식에 대해 신중하게 접근하고 있으며, 미 국방부 예산의 성장 둔화 및 잠재적으로 부정적인 성장이 예상된다&#8221;고 말했다.
골드만은 제너럴 다이내믹스(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/gd" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for GD">GD</a>)을 중립에서 매도 등급으로 하향 조정했다. 이는 회사의 4개 사업 부문 모두에서 기본적인 도전 과제가 존재하기 때문이다.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">방산 예산이 DOGE 지출 삭감을 피할 수 있을까?</h1>
골드만은 방산 지출이 정점을 찍었을 수 있으며, 이는 향후 성장에 대한 &#8220;어려운 비교&#8221;를 초래할 수 있다고 경고했다.
역사적으로 방산 지출은 10년 주기로 움직였으며, 현재 높은 투자 기준선은 다음 단계가 축소 국면이 될 수 있음을 의미한다.
포포낙은 또한 새로 들어선 트럼프 행정부가 미국의 외국 분쟁 개입을 줄이려는 의지를 보이고 있어 대규모 방산 지출의 필요성을 더욱 줄일 것으로 보인다고 강조했다.
포포낙은 펜타곤의 조달 효율성을 &#8220;불완전하다&#8221;고 지적하여 방산 지출이 삭감의 매력적인 대상이 될 수 있음을 언급했다. 방산이 연방 예산의 상당 부분을 차지하므로, 비용 절감을 추구하는 DOGE에 의해 삭감이 불가피할 수 있다.
&#8220;DOGE가 미국 정부 전체 지출을 대폭 줄이려 한다면, 국방부를 피하기는 어렵다&#8221;고 골드만삭스가 작성했다.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">구조적 마진 압박 및 평가 위험</h1>
매출 성장 둔화 가능성 외에도, 방산 계약자들은 수익성에 대한 장기적인 압박을 겪고 있다. 최근 몇 년 동안, 펜타곤은 계약 조건을 강화하여 사실상 비용 위험을 계약자들에게 전가했다.
&#8220;감소 속도는 느려질 수 있지만, 우리는 앞으로의 마진이 지난 10년보다 구조적으로 낮아질 것이라고 생각한다&#8221;고 포포낙이 말했다.
DOGE는 프로그램 초기 단계에서도 더 많은 고정 가격 계약을 지지함으로써 이 추세를 악화시킬 수 있으며, 이는 수익성을 더욱 제약할 것이다.
그럼에도 불구하고 이러한 도전 과제에도 불구하고 방산 주식은 그룹 차원에서 여전히 역사적 가치 평균 이상으로 거래되고 있다.
&#8220;방산 주식은 그룹 차원에서 역사적 평균 가치 수준 이상으로 거래되고 있으며, 일부 개별 종목은 고점에서 거래되며 주식 시장에 대한 프리미엄을 보이고 있다&#8221;고 포포낙이 언급했다.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">골드만삭스, 방산 계약자들에 대한 매도 추천 재확인</h1>
골드만삭스에 따르면, 제너럴 다이내믹스의 하향 조정은 기술 부문의 동종업체 대비 성장 둔화, 해양 조선 부문의 마진 압박, 전투 부문의 보조 자금 감소, 걸프스트림의 인도 문제 등으로 인해 수익성에 부정적인 영향을 미치고 있다.
&#8220;제너럴 다이내믹스는 록히드 마틴(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/lmt" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for LMT">LMT</a>)과 노스럽 그루먼(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/noc" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for NOC">NOC</a>)에 비해 할인 거래되고 있지만, 수익력에 실망스러운 경우에는 가치가 하락할 수 있는 수준이다&#8221;고 포포낙이 말했다.
골드만삭스는 제너럴 다이내믹스에 대한 12개월 목표 주가를 $283에서 $245로 하향 조정했다.
방산 산업의 벤치마크로 자주 여겨지는 록히드 마틴도 골드만삭스의 매도 리스트에 남아 있다.
애널리스트는 F-35 프로그램과 관련된 위험을 지적했다. 이 프로그램은 이미 DOGE 리더십에 의해 잠재적인 목표로 지목된 바 있다.
&#8220;LMT는 현재 잉여 현금 흐름에서 큰 긍정적 순연금 혜택을 가지고 있으며, 우리는 향후 몇 년 동안 자유 현금이 거의 평탄할 것으로 예상한다&#8221;고 포포낙이 말하며, 이 회사가 2025년 예상 이익의 23배로 거래되고 있다고 덧붙였다. 이는 마진과 지출 위험에 직면한 주식에 대한 높은 프리미엄이다.
노스럽 그루먼도 유사한 매도 등급을 유지하고 있으며, 골드만은 주력 B-21 폭격기 프로그램의 성장 둔화에 대한 우려를 표명했다. 포포낙은 NOC가 2025년 예상 이익의 20배로 거래되고 있으며, &#8220;점진적 마진 위험&#8221;이 앞에 있다고 경고했다.
헌팅턴 잉걸스 인더스트리즈(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/hii" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for HII">HII</a>) 또한 마진 압박으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이 회사의 조선 사업은 인력 부족과 비용 초과로 고통받고 있으며, 이 투자은행은 이로 인해 수익성이 더욱 악화될 수 있다고 경고했다.
이 회사의 최근 실적은 이전에 예상한 것보다 낮은 반복적인 마진을 나타냈으며, 가이던스는 단기 마진이 5%로 낮아질 수 있다고 언급했다. 이는 역사적 수준보다 훨씬 낮은 수치이다.
골드만은 또한 L3 해리스 테크놀로지스(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/lhx" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for LHX">LHX</a>) 및 머큐리 시스템즈(NASDAQ:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/mrcy" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for MRCY">MRCY</a>Y)에 대한 매도 등급을 재확인했다. 이는 성장 둔화, 운영 위험 및 가치 평가 우려 때문이다.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">시장 반응</h1>
제너럴 다이내믹스의 주가는 목요일 미국 동부 시간 오후 2시 32분에 0.65% 하락했으며, iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF(NYSE:<a class="items-end ticker-link-wrapper inline-flex" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/ita" target="_blank" rel="dofollow noopener" aria-label="Go to Quote Page for ITA">ITA</a>)에 의해 추적되는 방산 산업 전체는 0.84% 하락했다.
록히드 마틴은 1.52% 하락하여 2024년 7월 23일 이후 최저치를 기록했다.

다음 읽기: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/%EB%AF%B8%EA%B5%AD-%ED%95%AD%EA%B3%B5%EC%82%AC%EB%93%A4%EC%9D%80-2025%EB%85%84%EC%97%90-%EC%9D%B4%EB%A5%99-%EC%A4%80%EB%B9%84-%EC%A4%91-%EB%B6%84%EC%84%9D%EA%B0%80%EB%8A%94-%ED%98%B8%EC%9E%AC/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2025년에 미국 항공사들이 높이 날 것으로 예상됨: 분석가가 말하는 &#8216;완벽한 바람의 순환&#8217;이 산업 성장 촉진</a></li>
</ul>
사진: 제너럴 다이내믹스 제공
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