에 대한 최신 뉴스 Wintrust Financial (NASDAQ:WTFC) 주식

WINTRUST FINANCIAL CORP

Wintrust Financial

Wintrust Finl

Wintrust Financial Corp is a financial holding company that provides community-oriented, personal, and commercial banking services to customers generally located in the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, northwest Indiana, and western Michigan. The company provides specialty finance services, including financing for the payment of property and casualty insurance premiums and life insurance premiums, and wealth management services to customers in its market area. The company's operations consist of three primary segments: community banking, specialty finance, and wealth management. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the community banking segment.

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트루이스트 증권의 애널리스트들은 24개의 대형은행, 지역은행, 신탁은행과 신용카드 회사에 대한 커버리지를 개시했다. 이들은 향후 2년간 강력한 수익 성장을 예상하며 대출 성장률 개선, 가파른 수익률 곡선, 충분한 자본 확충 등의 요인에 힘입어 연간 12~15%의 수익 증가를 예상하고 있다.

트루이스트: 2025년 수익률 곡선 정상화, 저렴한 가치평가, EPS 성장 속 은행주 상승할 것

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미국 은행들의 3분기 실적 발표 시즌이 이번 금요일에 공식적으로 시작된다. JP모건 체이스(NYSE:JPM), 웰스 파고(NYSE:WFC) 및 뉴욕 멜론 은행(NYSE:BK)과 같은 주요 금융 기관들이 실적을 발표할 예정이다.

美 은행들, 실적 시즌 준비: 씨티그룹, 모건 스탠리, 트루이스트 등 15개의 주식 추천

Wintrust Financial Corporation - Common Stock

Wintrust Financial Corp

Wintrust Financial Corporation - Fixed-to-Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series D

Wintrust Financial Corporation - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/1,000th Interest in a Share of 6.875% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series E

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Shares of banking companies are trading lower in response to President Trump's sweeping Liberation tariffs and retaliatory responses. The industry is now facing greater macroeconomic uncertainty and recession fears.

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Shares of banking companies are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.

Wintrust Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 9.69% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 29.56%. Currently, Wintrust Financial has a market capitalization of $7.37 billion. 
Buying $1000 In WTFC: If an investor had bought $1000 of WTFC stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $3,697.57 today based on a price of $110.85 for WTFC at the time of writing.
<h3>Wintrust Financial's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742221810_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

If You Invested $1000 In This Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 4.29% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 18.91%. Currently, Wintrust Finl has a market capitalization of $8.20 billion. 
Buying $1000 In WTFC: If an investor had bought $1000 of WTFC stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $2,224.77 today based on a price of $123.30 for WTFC at the time of writing.
<h3>Wintrust Finl's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1740674709_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 2.66% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 15.21%. Currently, Wintrust Finl has a market capitalization of $8.62 billion. 
Buying $100 In WTFC: If an investor had bought $100 of WTFC stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $204.08 today based on a price of $129.61 for WTFC at the time of writing.
<h3>Wintrust Finl's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1738860385_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$100 Invested In Wintrust Finl 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

Wintrust Finl's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NYSE">WTFC</a>) short percent of float has risen 15.71% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 969 thousand shares sold short, which is 1.62% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 2.36 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Wintrust Finl Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1738174516_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Wintrust Finl has grown since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to fall in the near-term but traders should be aware that more shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Wintrust Finl's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Wintrust Finl's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 4.05%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

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Peering Into Wintrust Finl's Recent Short Interest

Dividends

Wintrust Financial Corporation Increases Dividend From $0.45 To $0.50/Share

6 analysts have shared their evaluations of Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) during the recent three months, expressing a mix of bullish and bearish perspectives.
The table below summarizes their recent ratings, showcasing the evolving sentiments within the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Analysts have recently evaluated Wintrust Finl and provided 12-month price targets. The average target is $153.5, accompanied by a high estimate of $157.00 and a low estimate of $150.00. This current average reflects an increase of 6.75% from the previous average price target of $143.80. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1737658830_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Exploring Analyst Ratings: An In-Depth Overview</h2>
An in-depth analysis of recent analyst actions unveils how financial experts perceive Wintrust Finl. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Karl Shepard</td>
<td>RBC Capital</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$152.00</td>
<td>$152.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nathan Race</td>
<td>Piper Sandler</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$156.00</td>
<td>$151.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>David Long</td>
<td>Raymond James</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Strong Buy</td>
<td>$150.00</td>
<td>$135.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jared Shaw</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$155.00</td>
<td>$151.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicholas Holowko</td>
<td>UBS</td>
<td>Announces</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$157.00</td>
<td>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jared Shaw</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$151.00</td>
<td>$130.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Responding to changing market dynamics and company performance, analysts update their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise', or 'Lower' their stance, it signifies their response to recent developments related to Wintrust Finl. This offers insight into analysts' perspectives on the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Analysts assign qualitative assessments to stocks, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings convey the analysts' expectations for the relative performance of Wintrust Finl compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Analysts gauge the dynamics of price targets, providing estimates for the future value of Wintrust Finl's stock. This comparison reveals trends in analysts' expectations over time.</li>
</ul>
Capture valuable insights into Wintrust Finl's market standing by understanding these analyst evaluations alongside pertinent financial indicators. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/WTFC/analyst-ratings?utm_source=Benzinga Insights">Stay up to date on Wintrust Finl analyst ratings.</a>
<h2>About Wintrust Finl</h2>
Wintrust Financial Corp is a financial holding company operating in the Chicago metropolitan area and southern Wisconsin through its wholly-owned banking subsidiaries. Wintrust conducts its business through three segments: community banking, specialty finance, and wealth management. Among other services, the company provides community-oriented, personal, and commercial banking, as well as the origination and purchase of residential mortgages for sale into the secondary market. A majority of its banks are banks chartered by the state of Illinois with scores of locations. The company has historically grown through both de novo organization and acquisitions. A majority of its loan portfolio is commercial, mostly in real estate. A majority of Wintrust's net revenue is net interest income.
<h3>Wintrust Finl's Economic Impact: An Analysis</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: Below industry benchmarks, the company's market capitalization reflects a smaller scale relative to peers. This could be attributed to factors such as growth expectations or operational capacity.
Positive Revenue Trend: Examining Wintrust Finl's financials over 3 months reveals a positive narrative. The company achieved a noteworthy revenue growth rate of 3.72% as of 31 December, 2024, showcasing a substantial increase in top-line earnings. As compared to its peers, the revenue growth lags behind its industry peers. The company achieved a growth rate lower than the average among peers in Financials sector.
Net Margin: Wintrust Finl's net margin is below industry standards, pointing towards difficulties in achieving strong profitability. With a net margin of 27.93%, the company may encounter challenges in effective cost control.
Return on Equity (ROE): Wintrust Finl's ROE surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 2.99% ROE, the company effectively utilizes shareholder equity capital.
Return on Assets (ROA): Wintrust Finl's ROA falls below industry averages, indicating challenges in efficiently utilizing assets. With an ROA of 0.28%, the company may face hurdles in generating optimal returns from its assets.
Debt Management: Wintrust Finl's debt-to-equity ratio surpasses industry norms, standing at 0.71. This suggests the company carries a substantial amount of debt, posing potential financial challenges.
<h2>Analyst Ratings: Simplified</h2>
Benzinga tracks 150 analyst firms and reports on their stock expectations. Analysts typically arrive at their conclusions by predicting how much money a company will make in the future, usually the upcoming five years, and how risky or predictable that company's revenue streams are.
Analysts attend company conference calls and meetings, research company financial statements, and communicate with insiders to publish their ratings on stocks. Analysts typically rate each stock once per quarter or whenever the company has a major update.
In addition to their assessments, some analysts extend their insights by offering predictions for key metrics such as earnings, revenue, and growth estimates. This supplementary information provides further guidance for traders. It is crucial to recognize that, despite their specialization, analysts are human and can only provide forecasts based on their beliefs.
Which Stocks Are Analysts Recommending Now?
Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets. Sort by accuracy, upside potential, and more. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=be8be9arja3be22bz21&amp;utm_source=benzinga-insights">Click here to stay ahead of the market</a>.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Expert Outlook: Wintrust Finl Through The Eyes Of 6 Analysts

RBC Capital analyst Karl Shepard maintains Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) with a Outperform and maintains $152 price target.

RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Wintrust Finl, Maintains $152 Price Target

Piper Sandler analyst Nathan Race maintains Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $151 to $156.

Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Wintrust Finl, Raises Price Target to $156

Raymond James analyst David Long reiterates Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) with a Strong Buy and raises the price target from $135 to $150.

Reiteration

Raymond James Reiterates Strong Buy on Wintrust Finl, Raises Price Target to $150

Barclays analyst Jared Shaw maintains Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $151 to $155.

Barclays Maintains Overweight on Wintrust Finl, Raises Price Target to $155

Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $2.63 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $2.49 by 5.62 percent. The company reported quarterly sales of $638.60 million which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $640.96 million by 0.37 percent. This is a 11.88 percent increase over sales of $570.80 million the same period last year.

Earnings Beats

Earnings Misses

Wintrust Finl Q4 2024 GAAP EPS $2.63 Beats $2.49 Estimate, Sales $638.60M Miss $640.96M Estimate

<h3>Companies Reporting Before The Bell</h3>
• 3M (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MMM#NYSE">MMM</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.66 per share on revenue of $5.78 billion. 
• United Microelectronics (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UMC#NYSE">UMC</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.15 per share on revenue of $1.87 billion. 
• Complete Solaria (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSLR#NASDAQ">CSLR</a>) is expected to report quarterly loss at $0.21 per share on revenue of $76.50 million. 
• Old National (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ONB#NASDAQ">ONB</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.46 per share on revenue of $485.57 million. 
• Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.88 per share on revenue of $2.21 billion. 
• FB Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FBK#NYSE">FBK</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.83 per share on revenue of $131.14 million. 
• KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.32 per share on revenue of $1.75 billion. 
• Mercantile Bank (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MBWM#NASDAQ">MBWM</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.14 per share on revenue of $57.33 million. 
• Prologis (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLD#NYSE">PLD</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.38 per share on revenue of $1.94 billion. 
• Guaranty Bancshares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNTY#NYSE">GNTY</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.61 per share on revenue of $29.49 million. 
• Charles Schwab (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.89 per share on revenue of $5.13 billion. 
• Peoples Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PEBO#NASDAQ">PEBO</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.75 per share on revenue of $109.93 million. 
• Forestar Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FOR#NYSE">FOR</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.70 per share on revenue of $328.44 million. 
• New Oriental Education (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EDU#NYSE">EDU</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.33 per share on revenue of $1.06 billion. 
• Community Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBU#NYSE">CBU</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.89 per share on revenue of $192.78 million. 
• D.R. Horton (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $2.39 per share on revenue of $7.12 billion. 
<h3>Companies Reporting After The Bell</h3>
• Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.26 per share on revenue of $787.50 million. 
• United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $3.01 per share on revenue of $14.34 billion. 
• SmartFinancial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMBK#NYSE">SMBK</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.50 per share on revenue of $44.37 million. 
• Simmons First Ntl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SFNC#NASDAQ">SFNC</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $0.35 per share on revenue of $208.67 million. 
• Netflix (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NFLX#NASDAQ">NFLX</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $4.20 per share on revenue of $10.13 billion. 
• Trustco Bank (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRST#NASDAQ">TRST</a>) is likely to report earnings for its fourth quarter. 
• Progress Software (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PRGS#NASDAQ">PRGS</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $1.22 per share on revenue of $211.34 million. 
• Interactive Brokers Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBKR#NASDAQ">IBKR</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.82 per share on revenue of $1.37 billion. 
• Hancock Whitney (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HWC#NASDAQ">HWC</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $1.28 per share on revenue of $365.13 million. 
• Pinnacle Finl Partners (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.78 per share on revenue of $470.83 million. 
• Agilysys (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGYS#NASDAQ">AGYS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.34 per share on revenue of $73.15 million. 
• Seagate Tech Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STX#NASDAQ">STX</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.87 per share on revenue of $2.32 billion. 
• Pathward Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CASH#NASDAQ">CASH</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.24 per share on revenue of $171.35 million. 
• Fulton Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FULT#NASDAQ">FULT</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.42 per share on revenue of $315.73 million. 
• Great Southern Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GSBC#NASDAQ">GSBC</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.32 per share on revenue of $55.33 million. 
• Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $2.49 per share on revenue of $632.53 million. 
• Capital One Finl (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $2.71 per share on revenue of $10.21 billion. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

AGYS

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New Oriental Education & Technology Group

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Earnings Scheduled For January 21, 2025

Regional banks still have room to run and thrive even as it is &#8220;easy to overstate the advantage&#8221; for big banks, says Truist Securities in its latest note, highlighting three key paths for regional banks to succeed.
What Happened: Big banks have clear economies of scale, and they have been re-rated relative to small banks with the top five U.S. banks holding about 47% market share for a decade. According to the Truist Securities note, dated Jan. 6, the big banks are in a better position, but at the same time, individual regionals can position themselves to thrive.
Truist initiated coverage on 14 regional financial companies outlining three key strategies relating to pace, magnitude, and quality for the regional banks to remain competitive.
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Growth: Focus on unique and sustainable growth opportunities via differentiated customer base, a different form of fee Income and a niche business with competitive moat. </li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Disciplined Capital Allocation: Efficiently deploy capital to support growth and enhance shareholder value.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Navigating the Evolving Landscape: Adapt to changing market conditions, including interest rates, yield curve shifts, loan and deposit growth, and commercial real estate market dynamics.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Regional Banks</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>M&amp;T Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wintrust Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$151</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citizens Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comerica Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$2,303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regions Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$25</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Cards</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ally Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Express (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$350</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Capital One Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$229</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Discover Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$72</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/01/42867184/yield-curve-normalization-cheap-valuation-eps-growth-to-boost-banks-in-2025-truist-initiates-coverage-on-these-14-regional-names">Yield Curve Normalization, Cheap Valuation, EPS Growth To Boost Banks In 2025: Truist Initiates Coverage On These 14 Regional Names</a>
Why It Matters: The three listed key paths for regional banks and card companies to thrive can be differentiated and linked to the stocks as mentioned by Truist in their research note.
Differentiated Growth Stories
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Customer Base: American Express Co has an exclusive high-end customer base, which would require an investment of over $100 billion to replicate, according to Truist. On the other hand, Fifth Third Bancorp has a unique ability to organically build a strong deposit market share.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Form of Fee Income: Capital One Financial Corp has seen an expansion of network revenues following the acquisition of Discover. While, KeyCorp&#8217;s leading regional investment banking franchise will be favored by given the potential for increased deal activity driven by the Federal Reserve&#8217;s interest rate cuts and anticipated political changes.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Niche Business with Competitive Moat: Wintrust Financial Corp secures a dominant position in the highly profitable insurance premium finance market. Whereas, Huntington Bancshares Inc&#8216;s differentiated approach, including its expansion into new lending areas, will support its continued strong performance in loan, deposit, and fee growth across high-quality markets.</li>
</ul>
Disciplined Capital Deployment
<ul>
<li>Another way in which the regional banks could thrive includes a disciplined capital deployment which typically follows organic growth first, followed by dividends and buybacks, and potentially mergers and acquisitions. However, the key lies not in the order itself, but in the flexibility and agility with which banks can adjust their capital allocation strategy in response to evolving company, industry, and macroeconomic conditions.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Truist believes some banks are attractively valued for share repurchases. M&amp;T Bank Corp&#8216;s CFO in a recent conference hinted at higher buybacks in 2025.</li>
</ul>
Navigating The Evolving Landscape
<ul>
<li>According to Truist, it&#8217;s not unusual for multiple challenges to arise simultaneously. The current environment has witnessed sluggish loan and deposit growth amidst rapid interest rate hikes. However, it is anticipated that at least some of these headwinds will begin to abate in the coming year, leading to a more favorable environment for the banking sector</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>CRE Valuation: Banks with significant commercial real estate exposure in high-growth, high-income markets, such as Fifth Third and Huntington, are well-positioned for future CRE origination opportunities. M&amp;T and Citizens Financial Group Inc. will also benefit from an eventual improvement in market conditions.</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42836744/baby-its-cold-outside-these-5-winter-ready-stocks-have-what-it-takes-to-make-you-feel-warm-and-cozy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Baby, It's Cold Outside: These 5 Winter-Ready Stocks Have What It Takes To Make You Feel Warm And Cozy</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Regional Banks Can Thrive Despite Big Bank Dominance: Truist Securities Highlights Three Key Paths For Thriving Regional Banks

Analysts at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/truist-securities">Truist Securities</a> initiated coverage on 24 large-cap, regional, and trust banks, as well as credit card companies. They anticipate strong earnings growth over the next two years, projecting an annual increase of 12-15% fueled by factors like improving loan growth, a steeper yield curve, and ample capital for expansion.
What Happened: Forecasting a favorable environment for banks in 2025 and 2026, the analysts at Truist foresee a less stringent regulatory environment, with more clarity and flexibility for banks regarding mergers and acquisitions, and the deployment of excess capital.
The note highlighted that the banking stocks were de-rated during the first two years of Trump 1.0 because the yield curve was flattened and late-cycle macro concerns surfaced, even as the administration enacted bank-friendly tax reform and regulatory tailoring. However, according to the brokerage, a little Fed easing and a steeper curve are necessary for the stocks to be re-rated and two rate cuts are expected in 2025, as hinted by Fed during their December meeting. 
According to Truist, while bank valuations have increased, they remain relatively attractive compared to historical levels. They currently trade at a price-to-book value (P/TBV) below their post-financial crisis average, and at a significant discount to the broader market. The note adds that given the current market valuations, bank stocks appear undervalued relative to the S&amp;P 500.
However, despite Truist beliefs that the sector offers attractive opportunities, careful stock selection is crucial according to them. &#8220;While we're not at &#8216;close your eyes and buy ‘em levels,&#8217; we still see attractive opportunities across the sector and view stock selection as increasingly important,&#8221; the note said.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42836744/baby-its-cold-outside-these-5-winter-ready-stocks-have-what-it-takes-to-make-you-feel-warm-and-cozy">Baby, It&#8217;s Cold Outside: These 5 Winter-Ready Stocks Have What It Takes To Make You Feel Warm And Cozy</a>
Why It Matters: Truist&#8217;s coverage on 24 financial stocks is spread across three subgroups namely, large-cap, regional, and trust banks, which is initiated with a positive outlook.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Large-Cap Banks</h3>
The research note examines long-term investment potential of large U.S. banks as these institutions possess significant advantages, including, &#8220;embedded offense&#8221; with the presence of strong existing businesses and customer relationships.
It also anticipates cyclical tailwinds and capital leverage for such banks given a favorable economic environment and the ability to effectively utilize capital for growth.
These factors position large U.S. banks to achieve organic growth by the expansion of core businesses, double-digit earnings growth and an attractive returns on equity.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Large Cap Banks</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bank of America (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citigroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wells Fargo (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$260</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>PNC Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$215</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$54</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Regional Banks And Cards</h3>
Truist also initiated coverage on 14 regional financial companies outlining three key strategies for regional banks to remain competitive.
<ul>
<li>Differentiated Growth: Focus on unique and sustainable growth opportunities.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Disciplined Capital Allocation: Efficiently deploy capital to support growth and enhance shareholder value.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Navigating the Evolving Landscape: Adapt to changing market conditions, including interest rates, yield curve shifts, loan and deposit growth, and commercial real estate market dynamics.</li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Regional Banks</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>M&amp;T Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wintrust Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$151</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citizens Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comerica Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$2,303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regions Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$25</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Cards</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ally Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Express (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$350</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Capital One Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$229</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Discover Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$72</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trust Banks And Capital Markets</h3>
Truist anticipates gradual interest rate decreases, the eventual end of quantitative tightening, and a healthy economy and capital markets providing a competitive landscape to trust banks.
According to the analysts, investors should prioritize stocks with the potential for sustained operating leverage. Which is the ability to increase profitability significantly with relatively small increases in revenue. And stocks with strong capital returns, with high levels of income through dividends and share buybacks.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Trust Banks And Capital Markets</td>
<td>Rating</td>
<td>Price Target</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Charles Schwab (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>)</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Northern Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NTRS#NASDAQ">NTRS</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$110</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>State Street (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>)</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$106</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Image via Shutterstock
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42813271/as-billionaires-load-up-on-energy-stocks-given-trumps-proposed-policies-this-analyst-highlights-charlie-mungers-1962-oil-investment-which-can-outperform-all-the-rest">As Warren Buffett And Other Billionaires Load Up On Energy Stocks, This Analyst Highlights Charlie Munger&#8217;s 1962 Oil Investment Which Can &#8216;Outperform All The Rest&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>

Yield Curve Normalization, Cheap Valuation, EPS Growth To Boost Banks In 2025: Truist Initiates Coverage On These 14 Regional Names

Wintrust Finl's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NYSE">WTFC</a>) short percent of float has risen 24.22% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 951 thousand shares sold short, which is 1.59% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 2.45 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Wintrust Finl Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1735754422_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Wintrust Finl has grown since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to fall in the near-term but traders should be aware that more shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Wintrust Finl's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Wintrust Finl's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 3.68%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

(WTFC) - Analyzing Wintrust Finl's Short Interest

UBS analyst Nicholas Holowko assumes Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) with a Buy rating and announces Price Target of $157.

UBS Assumes Wintrust Finl at Buy, Announces Price Target of $157

Barclays analyst Jared Shaw maintains Wintrust Finl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $130 to $151.

Barclays Maintains Overweight on Wintrust Finl, Raises Price Target to $151

Wintrust Finl's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NYSE">WTFC</a>) short percent of float has fallen 17.91% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 654 thousand shares sold short, which is 1.1% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 1.42 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Wintrust Finl Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1733336117_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Wintrust Finl has declined since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to rise in the near-term but traders should be aware that less shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Wintrust Finl's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Wintrust Finl's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 3.49%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

How Is The Market Feeling About Wintrust Finl?

Press Releases

Wintrust Financial Corporation Reports Record Full Year Net Income

Wintrust Financial Corporation Announces Cash Dividends, Increasing Quarterly Common Stock Dividend Rate by 11.1%

Wintrust Financial Corporation Completes Integration with LPL Platform

Wintrust Financial Corporation to Present at Raymond James  46th Annual Institutional Investors Conference

Wintrust Financial Corporation to Present at RBC Capital Markets Global Financial Institutions Conference on March 4, 2025

Wintrust Recognized with 14 Coalition Greenwich Best Bank Awards in Middle Market Banking

Management

Wintrust Names New Leader for Brand, Engagement, and Impact

Wintrust Financial Corporation Announces First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Schedule

Wintrust Board Members Edward Wehmer and Scott Heitmann  to Conclude Long-time Board Service

Wintrust Financial Corporation Announces Cash Dividends

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Wintrust Fin

<a href=""https://www.benzinga.com/topic/truist-securities"">트루이스트 증권</a>의 애널리스트들은 24개의 대형은행, 지역은행, 신탁은행과 신용카드 회사에 대한 커버리지를 개시했다. 이들은 향후 2년간 강력한 수익 성장을 예상하며 대출 성장률 개선, 가파른 수익률 곡선, 충분한 자본 확충 등의 요인에 힘입어 연간 12~15%의 수익 증가를 예상하고 있다.
무슨 일 있었나: 2025년과 2026년에 은행에 우호적인 환경이 조성될 것으로 전망한 트루이스트 애널리스트들은 은행의 인수합병과 초과 자본의 활용에 관한 규제 환경이 보다 명확하고 유연해지면서 은행에 유리할 것으로 예상했다.
이번 메모는 행정부가 은행 친화적인 세제 개혁과 규제 조정을 시행했음에도 불구하고 수익률 곡선이 평평해지고 경기 후반기 거시적 우려가 부각되면서 트럼프 1기 행정부의 첫 2년 동안 은행주에 대한 투자의견이 하향 조정되었음을 강조했다. 그러나 트루이스트에 따르면 연준이 12월 회의에서 암시한 것처럼 주식이 재평가되기 위해서는 약간의 양적완화와 가파른 곡선이 필요하며, 2025년에 두 차례 금리 인하가 예상된다.
트루이스트에 따르면, 은행 밸류에이션은 상승했지만 과거 수준에 비해 여전히 상대적으로 매력적이다. 현재 은행은 금융위기 이후 평균보다 낮은 주가순자산비율(P/TBV)로 거래되고 있으며, 시장 전체에 비해 상당히 할인된 가격에 거래 중이다. 해당 메모는 현재 시장 밸류에이션을 고려할 때 은행 주식은 S&amp;P 500 지수에 비해 저평가된 것으로 보인다고 덧붙였다.
하지만 트루이스트는 은행 업종이 매력적인 기회를 제공하지만 신중한 종목 선택이 중요하다고 강조한다. "우리는 &#8216;눈 감고 사자&#8217; 수준은 아니지만, 여전히 섹터 전반에 걸쳐 매력적인 기회를 보고 있다. 주식 선택이 점점 더 중요해지고 있다고 생각한다.&#8221;
왜 중요한가: 24개 금융주에 대한 트루이스트의 커버리지 개시는 대형은행, 지역은행, 신탁은행의 세 가지 하위 그룹으로 나뉘며, 긍정적인 전망으로 시작된다.
<h3>대형은행</h3>
해당 리서치 메모는 미국 대형은행의 장기 투자 잠재력을 검토한다. 대형은행 기관은 강력한 기존 비즈니스와 고객 관계를 보유한 &#8216;내재된 공격&#8217;을 포함한 상당한 이점을 보유하고 있다.
또한 우호적인 경제 환경과 성장을 위해 자본을 효과적으로 활용할 수 있는 능력을 고려할 때 대형은행이 주기적인 순풍과 자본 레버리지를 기대할 수 있을 것으로 예상한다.
이러한 요인으로 인해 미국 대형은행들은 핵심 비즈니스의 확장을 통한 유기적 성장, 두 자릿수 수익 성장, 매력적인 자기자본 수익률을 달성할 수 있을 것으로 보인다.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>대형은행</td>
<td>투자의견</td>
<td>목표주가</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>뱅크오브아메리카 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>씨티그룹 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>웰스파고 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>JP모건 체이스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$260</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>PNC 파이낸셜(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$215</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US 뱅코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$54</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">지역은행 및 카드사</h3>
또한, 트루이스트는 14개 지역 금융사에 대한 분석도 시작했고, 지역은행이 경쟁력을 유지하기 위한 세 가지 핵심 전략을 제시했다.
<ul>
<li>차별화된 성장: 독특하고 지속 가능한 성장 기회에 집중한다.</li>
<li>체계적인 자본 배분: 자본을 효율적으로 배분하여 성장을 지원하고 주주 가치를 높인다.</li>
<li>변화하는 환경 탐색: 금리, 수익률 곡선 변화, 대출 및 예금 증가, 상업용 부동산 시장 역학 등 변화하는 시장 상황에 적응한다.</li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>지역은행</td>
<td>투자의견</td>
<td>목표주가</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>피프스 서드 뱅코프 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NASDAQ">FITB</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>헌팅턴 뱅크셰어스 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>M&amp;T 뱅크 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>윈트러스트 파이낸셜 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$151</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>씨티즌스 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>코메리카 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>퍼스트 씨티즌스 뱅크셰어스 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$2,303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>키코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$19</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>리전스 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$25</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>신용카드사</td>
<td>투자의견</td>
<td>목표주가</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>얼라이 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>아메리칸 익스프레스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$350</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>캐피털 원 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$229</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>디스커버 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$233</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>싱크로니 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$72</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">신탁은행 및 자본시장</h3>
트루이스트는 점진적인 금리 인하, 양적 긴축의 궁극적 종식, 건전한 경제와 자본 시장이 신탁은행에 경쟁 환경을 제공할 것으로 예상한다.
애널리스트들은 투자자들이 지속적인 영업 레버리지가 가능한 종목에 우선순위를 두어야 한다고 말한다. 이는 상대적으로 적은 매출 증가로 수익성을 크게 높일 수 있는 능력을 의미한다. 또한 배당금과 자사주 매입을 통해 높은 수준의 소득을 창출하는 자본 수익률이 높은 주식이다.
트루이스트는 금리가 점진적으로 하락하고 양적 긴축이 끝나며 건강한 경제와 자본 시장이 신탁은행들에게 경쟁력을 제공할 것이라고 예상한다.
애널리스트들은 투자자들이 지속적인 운영 레버리지(매출의 상대적으로 작은 증가로 수익성을 크게 증가시킬 수 있는 능력)와 높은 배당금 및 자사주 매입을 통한 높은 수익률을 가진 주식을 우선시해야 한다고 조언한다.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes">
<table style="overflow:auto; height: 90px; display: block;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>신탁은행 및 자본시장</td>
<td>투자의견</td>
<td>목표주가</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>뱅크오브뉴욕멜론 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>찰스 슈왑 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>)</td>
<td>매수</td>
<td>$86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>노던 트러스트(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NTRS#NASDAQ">NTRS</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$110</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>스테이트 스트리트 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>)</td>
<td>보유</td>
<td>$106</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
이미지 출처: Shutterstock
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미국 은행들의 3분기 실적 발표 시즌이 이번 금요일에 공식적으로 시작된다. JP모건 체이스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), 웰스 파고(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) 및 뉴욕 멜론 은행(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>)과 같은 주요 금융 기관들이 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41216873/us-banks-earnings-preview-soft-landing-hopes-interest-rate-cuts-key-catalysts-for-stocks">실적을 발표할 예정</a>이다.
다음 주 화요일에는 뱅크 오브 아메리카(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), 골드만삭스(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) 그리고 씨티그룹(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)과 같은 대형 은행들의 추가적인 실적 발표가 있을 예정이며, 일부 지역 은행들도 포함된다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">2024년 현재 은행 부문 성과</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-587909" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1024x447.png" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1024x447.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104755/image-66-300x131.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104755/image-66-768x336.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104755/image-66-1536x671.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66.png 1920w" alt="" width="1024" height="447" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">차트: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent100924&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
2024년 현재까지 은행 부문은 강력한 성과를 보이고 있다. 주요 금융 주식을 추적하는 Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>)는 연초 대비 21% 상승하였으며, 이는 SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)로 대표되는 전체 시장의 성과와 일치한다.
하지만 지역 은행들은 대형 은행들에 비해 뒤처졌다. SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>)는 연초 대비 6.7% 상승에 그쳤으나, 최근 3개월 동안은 더 나은 성과를 보였다. 이 최근의 반등은 인플레이션 하락과 연방준비제도(연준)의 금리 인하 기대 증가에 주로 기인한다.
실적 발표 시즌을 맞아 많은 투자자들은 대형 은행들이 지역 은행들에 대한 긍정적인 성과 차이를 유지할 것인지, 아니면 최근의 시장 발전이 그들의 실적과 전망에 영향을 미칠 것인지에 대한 질문을 가지고 있다.
다음은 은행 실적 발표 시즌을 앞두고 월스트리트 애널리스트들이 말하는 내용이다.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">애널리스트들의 기대와 추천 종목</h3>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">RBC 캐피털 마켓 – 제럴드 캐시디(Gerard Cassidy), 글로벌 금융 연구 공동 책임자</h4>
&#8220;우리는 향후 12-18개월 동안 은행에 대한 전망이 매우 좋다고 생각한다. 우리는 연준이 이 기간 동안 단기 금리를 200-250bp(베이시스 포인트) 인하할 것으로 예상하며, 바젤 III &#8216;엔드게임&#8217; 제안의 최종화가 은행들이 잉여 자본을 자사주 매입과 배당으로 환원할 수 있게 할 것이다. 우리는 은행 주식에 대한 비중 확대를 지속적으로 추천한다.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>추천 종목 (RBC는 3분기 대해 모두 애널리스트들의 컨센서스를 상회하는 주당순이익(EPS) 추정치를 보유하고 있다.)
<ul>
<li>트루이스트 파이낸셜 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</li>
<li>키코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">JP모건 체이스 – 안토니 엘리(Anthony Elian), CFA</h4>
&#8220;연준 금리를 인하함에 따라 여러 산업의 역풍이 순풍으로 전환될 수 있다.&#8221; 여기에는 다음이 포함다:
<ol>
<li>예금 비용 감소, 순이자 마진(NIM) 개선</li>
<li>상업 대출 수요 증가</li>
<li>상업용 부동산(CRE) 노출이 있는 은행에 대한 신용 품질 우려 완화</li>
<li>준비금이 방출되어 자사주 매입 프로그램 재개</li>
<li>인수 시장과 벤처 캐피탈 활동 증가</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>퍼스트 시티즌스 뱅크셰어스 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NYSE">FCNCA</a>)</li>
<li>웨스턴 얼라이언스 뱅코퍼레이션 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>)</li>
<li>피나클 파이낸셜 파트너스 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">웨드부시 증권 – 데이비드 J. 치아베리니(David J. Chiaverini), CFA</h4>
&#8220;우리는 3분기 동안 은행의 혼재된 추세를 예상하며, 대출 및 예금의 완만한 성장, 예금 혼합 변화의 안정화, 고정 자산 재가격으로 인한 NIM 개선을 기대한다. 이 환경에서 일부 은행들이 더 긍정적인 위치에 있을 것이다.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>M&amp;T 뱅크 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</li>
<li>윈트러스트 파이낸셜 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</li>
<li>컬럼비아 뱅킹 시스템 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COLB#NASDAQ">COLB</a>) 
웨드부시는 컬럼비아 뱅킹 시스템이 부채 민감성으로 인해 낮은 금리 환경에서 혜택을 받을 것이라고 믿고 있다. 대부분의 은행들은 자산 민감성이다.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">뱅크 오브 아메리카 – 에브라힘 푸나왈라(Ebrahim H. Poonawala)</h4>
&#8220;우리는 3분기 실적 발표를 앞두고 대형 머니 센터보다 지역 은행을 선호한다. 이는 순이자수익(NII)의 방어력과 채권 보유의 시장가치 손실 감소로 인한 자본 완화가 더 크기 때문이다. 3분기 실적을 앞두고 우리의 주요 아이디어는 지역 은행들과 대형 금융 기관들의 혼합이다.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>U.S. 뱅코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</li>
<li>웨스턴 얼라이언스 뱅코퍼레이션</li>
<li>PNC 파이낸셜 서비스 그룹 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</li>
<li>피프스 서드 뱅코프 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NYSE">FITB</a>)</li>
<li>M&amp;T 뱅크</li>
<li>트루이스트 파이낸셜</li>
<li>모건 스탠리 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>)</li>
<li>골드만삭</li>
<li>뉴욕 멜론 은행</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">골드만삭스 – 리처드 램스든(Richard Ramsden)</h4>
골드만삭스는 씨티그룹에 대해 3분기 실적을 앞두고 특히 낙관적이다. 이는 은행이 2024년 목표를 향한 진전을 강력한 수수료 성장, 탄탄한 자본 시장 활동 및 견고한 카드 거래량에 의해 추진되고 있기 때문이다.
램스든은 씨티그룹의 3분기 전 대손충당 전 순수익(PPNR)에 대해 컨센서스를 상회하는 전망을 제시하고 있으며, 이는 주로 더 높은 수수료와 자본 시장 활동에 대한 기대 때문이다.
<ul>
<li>추천 종목:
<ul>
<li>씨티그룹 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
다음 읽어보기:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://kr.benzinga.com/news/usa/stocks/sp-500-%EC%8B%A4%EC%A0%81-%EC%8B%9C%EC%A6%8C-%EC%8B%9C%EC%9E%91-%EC%99%9C-%EB%B6%84%EC%84%9D%EA%B0%80%EB%93%A4%EC%9D%80-%EC%9D%B4%EB%B2%88-%EB%B6%84%EA%B8%B0%EB%A5%BC-%EC%A3%BC%EC%8B%9D/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 실적 발표 시즌 시작: 왜 애널리스트들이 이번 분기를 &#8216;주식 선택자의 천국&#8217;이라고 부르는가?</a></li>
</ul>
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