United States Steel Option Alert: Apr 17 $43 Calls at the Ask: 10000 vs 36 OI

United States Steel Option Alert: Apr 17 $43 Calls at the Ask: 10000 @ $1.6 vs 36 OI; Ref=$37.95

United States Steel Option Alert: Mar 21 $42 Calls at the Bid: 6801 vs 27008 OI

United States Steel Option Alert: Mar 21 $42 Calls at the Bid: 6801 @ $1.23 vs 27008 OI; Ref=$38.25

United States Steel (NYSE:X) 주식

UNITED STATES STEEL CORP

United States Steel

United States Steel Corp operates in the United States but also has a steelmaking capacity in Slovakia. The company's operating segments include North American Flat-Rolled (Flat-Rolled), Mini Mill, U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), and Tubular Products (Tubular). The Flat-Rolled segment includes U. S. Steel's integrated steel plants and equity investees in North America involved in the production of slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill products, as well as all iron ore and coke production facilities in the United States. It serves North American customers in the service center, conversion, transportation, construction, container, and appliance, and electrical markets.

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벤징가는 지난 한 주 동안 많은 투자자가 선호하는 주식의 전망을 조사했다. 주요 기사 중 일부는 다음과 같다.주식 시장은 혼조세로 마감했다. S&amp;P 500과 다우지수는 하락했지만, 나스닥는 기술주 강세로 소폭 상승했다. 테슬라(NASDAQ:TSLA)는 광범위한 시장 반등에도 불구하고 아홉 번째 연속 주간 하락세를 이어갔다.

벤징가 불스 앤 베어스: 테슬라, 엔비디아, 페덱스 - 그리고 시장이 연준의 금리 결정을 소화

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억만장자 스탠리 드러켄밀러, US스틸 지분 143% 늘려...합병에 베팅?

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Top Wall Street analysts changed their outlook on these top names. For a complete view of all analyst rating changes, including upgrades, downgrades and initiations, please see our <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings">analyst ratings page</a>.
<ul>
<li>BMO Capital analyst Katja Jancic downgraded the rating for United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) from Outperform to Market Perform and maintained the price target of $45. United States Steel shares closed at $43.00 on Friday. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/X/analyst-ratings">See how other analysts view this stock</a>.</li>
<li>Evercore ISI Group analyst James West downgraded ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHPT#NYSE">CHPT</a>) from Outperform to In-Line and lowered the price target from $4 to $1. ChargePoint shares closed at $0.6185 on Friday. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/CHPT/analyst-ratings">See how other analysts view this stock</a>.</li>
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<li>UBS analyst Daniel Major downgraded Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AEM#NYSE">AEM</a>) from Buy to Neutral and raised the price target from $100 to $110. Agnico Eagle Mines shares closed at $107.36 on Friday. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/AEM/analyst-ratings">See how other analysts view this stock</a>.</li>
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This United States Steel Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 4 Downgrades For Monday

BMO Capital analyst Katja Jancic downgrades United States Steel (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) from Outperform to Market Perform and maintains the price target from $45 to $45.

Price Target

BMO Capital Downgrades United States Steel to Market Perform, Maintains Price Target to $45

Nippon Steel and United States Steel Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) are reportedly negotiating with the Trump administration to revive their $14 billion merger by significantly boosting investments in U.S. Steel's<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/03/44432858/us-steel-faces-q1-pressures-but-eyes-long-term-gains-from-br2-nippon-partnership"> Rust Belt facilities.&nbsp;</a>
The Details: According to <a href="https://www.semafor.com/article/03/27/2025/us-steel-and-nippon-are-in-talks-to-revive-merger-that-trump-had-threaten-to-block">a report</a> from Semafor, sources familiar with the discussions said the Japanese steelmaker has proposed raising its initial $2.7 billion commitment to upgrade U.S. Steel plants to as much as $7 billion.&nbsp;
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The deal was initially blocked by the Biden administration over national security concerns, and now hinges on strategic concessions. While President Donald Trump <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43576917/trump-says-reconsiders-nippon-steels-149-billion-us-steel-deal-theyve-agreed-to-invest-heavilyas-opposed-to-own-it">previously opposed</a> the acquisition, he signaled openness in February to Nippon taking a<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/03/44423382/billionaire-stanley-druckenmiller-boosts-us-steel-stake-by-143-is-he-betting-on-merger"> minority stake</a> or structuring the deal as an investment rather than a full buyout.&nbsp;
The revised terms would preserve the $55-per-share acquisition price and Nippon would begin making sizable capital investments into U.S. Steel as soon as possible, the sources said.&nbsp;
Legal and political hurdles remain. Both companies are involved in a lawsuit against the U.S. government, which recently sought deadline extensions to continue merger talks. The United Steelworkers union and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/mid-cap/25/01/43275376/who-is-alan-kestenbaum-activist-investor-ancoras-pick-to-lead-us-steel">activist investors </a>like Ancora have also voiced opposition and are lobbying the Trump administration for alternative plans.&nbsp;
X Price Action: According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/?gspk=YWRhbWVja2VydDUzMzY&amp;gsxid=zBMR4PKmcgBw">Benzinga Pro</a>, shares of U.S. Steel climbed in early trading, but ended Friday's session 0.02% lower at $43.00 amid a broad market sell-off. 
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Image: Shutterstock

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Nippon Attempts To Revive US Steel Deal With Larger Capital Investments

As of March 28, 2025, two stocks in the materials sector could be flashing a real warning to investors who value momentum as a key criteria in their trading decisions.
The RSI is a momentum indicator, which compares a stock&#8217;s strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down. When compared to a stock&#8217;s price action, it can give traders a better sense of how a stock may perform in the short term. An asset is typically considered overbought when the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/rsi">RSI is above 70</a>, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>. 
Here's the latest list of major overbought players in this sector.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">United States Steel Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>)</h3>
<ul>
<li>On March 20, the company guided for the first quarter of 2025 adjusted EPS loss of 53 cents – 49 cents vs. consensus loss of 30 cents. Also, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of about $125 million in the first quarter of 2025, in line with prior first quarter outlook of $100 million – $150 million. The company's stock gained around 7% over the past month and has a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/X">52-week high of $43.61</a>.</li>
<li>RSI Value: 73.6&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>X Price Action: Shares of United States Steel gained 0.1% to close at $42.98 on Thursday.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HMY#NYSE">HMY</a>)</h3>
<ul>
<li>On Oct. 10, 2024, JP Morgan analyst Catherine Cunningham upgraded Harmony Gold Mining Co from Underweight to Neutral and raised the price target from $4.9 to $8.2. The company's stock gained around 29% over the past month and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/HMY">has a 52-week high</a> of $13.12.</li>
<li>RSI Value: 71.9</li>
<li>HMY Price Action: Shares of Harmony Gold Mining gained 2.2% to close at $12.84 on Thursday.</li>
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U.S. Steel Amends Stockholder Letter, Clarifies Misstatements Related To Ancora Proxy Contest And CSX Executive History

Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bearish stance on United States Steel (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>).
And retail traders should know.
We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga.
Whether these are institutions or just wealthy individuals, we don't know. But when something this big happens with X, it often means somebody knows something is about to happen.
So how do we know what these investors just did? 
Today, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga</a>'s options scanner spotted 26 uncommon options trades for United States Steel.
This isn't normal.
The overall sentiment of these big-money traders is split between 30% bullish and 61%, bearish.
Out of all of the special options we uncovered, 6 are puts, for a total amount of $677,870, and 20 are calls, for a total amount of $1,511,092.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $31.0 to $50.0 for United States Steel during the past quarter. 
<h3>Volume &amp; Open Interest Trends</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is an insightful way to conduct due diligence on a stock.
This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for United States Steel's options for a given strike price.
Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of United States Steel's whale activity within a strike price range from $31.0 to $50.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>United States Steel 30-Day Option Volume &amp; Interest Snapshot</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742841044_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Noteworthy Options Activity:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>X</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/11/25</td>
<td>$0.7</td>
<td>$0.48</td>
<td>$0.65</td>
<td>$50.00</td>
<td>$617.5K</td>
<td>20.8K</td>
<td>10.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>X</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$2.04</td>
<td>$1.99</td>
<td>$2.02</td>
<td>$35.00</td>
<td>$404.0K</td>
<td>34.1K</td>
<td>3.3K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>X</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>05/16/25</td>
<td>$2.79</td>
<td>$2.55</td>
<td>$2.63</td>
<td>$45.00</td>
<td>$86.8K</td>
<td>2.8K</td>
<td>330</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>X</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$6.65</td>
<td>$6.25</td>
<td>$6.25</td>
<td>$42.00</td>
<td>$78.1K</td>
<td>11.3K</td>
<td>0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>X</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$6.65</td>
<td>$6.15</td>
<td>$6.25</td>
<td>$42.00</td>
<td>$78.1K</td>
<td>11.3K</td>
<td>250</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About United States Steel</h3>
United States Steel Corp operates in the United States but also has a steelmaking capacity in Slovakia. The company's operating segments include North American Flat-Rolled (Flat-Rolled), Mini Mill, U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), and Tubular Products (Tubular). The Flat-Rolled segment includes U. S. Steel's integrated steel plants and equity investees in North America involved in the production of slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill products, as well as all iron ore and coke production facilities in the United States. It serves North American customers in the service center, conversion, transportation, construction, container, and appliance, and electrical markets.
<h3>Current Position of United States Steel</h3>
<ul>
<li>Trading volume stands at 1,504,686, with X's price up by 1.37%, positioned at $41.46.</li>
<li>RSI indicators show the stock to be may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Earnings announcement expected in 38 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>What Analysts Are Saying About United States Steel</h3>
In the last month, 3 experts released ratings on this stock with an average target price of $43.67.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Morgan Stanley keeps a Equal-Weight rating on United States Steel with a target price of $43. 
&#x2A; An analyst from JP Morgan has decided to maintain their Overweight rating on United States Steel, which currently sits at a price target of $43. 
&#x2A; An analyst from BMO Capital has decided to maintain their Outperform rating on United States Steel, which currently sits at a price target of $45. 
Options are a riskier asset compared to just trading the stock, but they have higher profit potential. Serious options traders manage this risk by educating themselves daily, scaling in and out of trades, following more than one indicator, and following the markets closely.
If you want to stay updated on the latest options trades for United States Steel, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a> gives you real-time options trades alerts.

Options

Spotlight on United States Steel: Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity

Benzinga examined the prospects for<a href="http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> many investors' favorite stocks</a> over the last week — here's a look at some of our top stories.
Markets ended the week mixed, with the S&amp;P 500 and Dow slipping while the Nasdaq notched a slight gain, buoyed by strength in tech. Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) extended its losing streak to a ninth consecutive week despite a broad market rebound earlier.
Investors digested a Federal Reserve decision to hold rates steady, alongside revised projections showing slower GDP growth and higher inflation for 2024. Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the impact of potential tariffs as "transitory."
Meanwhile, jobless claims remained steady, and traders weighed the likelihood of rate cuts later this year amid stubborn inflation and economic uncertainty.
Benzinga provides daily reports on the stocks most popular with investors. Here are a few of this past week's most bullish and bearish posts that are worth another look.
The Bulls
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/03/44360400/legendary-trader-says-tesla-nvidia-apple-shares-are-ready-to-rally-i-see-what-i-like-to-see">"Legendary Trader Says Tesla, Nvidia, Apple Shares Are Ready To Rally: ‘I See What I Like To See'"</a>, by Shanthi Rexaline, reports that Larry Benedict sees bullish setups forming in Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) as technical indicators turn favorable.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/03/44423382/billionaire-stanley-druckenmiller-boosts-us-steel-stake-by-143-is-he-betting-on-merger">"Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Boosts US Steel Stake By 143%—Is He Betting On Merger?"</a>, by Shanthi Rexaline, reveals that Stanley Druckenmiller more than doubled his position in United States Steel Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) as the company's pending sale to Nippon Steel draws closer amid regulatory scrutiny.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/25/03/44426552/buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-outpaces-sp-500-with-best-2-month-run-since-2010">"Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Outpaces S&amp;P 500 With Best 2-Month Run Since 2010"</a>, by Bibhu Pattnaik, highlights how Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>) outperformed the broader market with a 16.4% surge, marking its strongest two-month performance in over a decade.
For additional bullish calls of the past week, check out the following:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44367075/chinese-stocks-poised-for-best-quarter-vs-sp-500-since-2007-as-investors-bet-on-policy-turnaround">Chinese Stocks Poised For Best Quarter Vs. S&amp;P 500 Since 2007 As Investors Bet On Policy Turnaround</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/03/44379756/luminar-technologies-stock-continues-to-surge-whats-going-on">Luminar Technologies Stock Continues To Surge: What's Going On?</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/03/44399812/tesla-analyst-turns-bullish-following-factory-visit-sees-multiple-catalysts-driving-ev-stock-to-425">Tesla Analyst Turns Bullish Following Factory Visit, Sees Multiple Catalysts Driving EV Stock To $425</a>
The Bears
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44423177/rivian-analyst-downgrades-stock-with-triple-whammy-of-policy-risk-no-catalysts-in-2025">"Rivian Analyst Downgrades Stock With ‘Triple Whammy' Of Policy Risk, No Catalysts In 2025"</a>, by Shanthi Rexaline, reports that Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIVN#NASDAQ">RIVN</a>) sank after a UBS analyst downgraded the stock, citing weak demand, policy headwinds and a lack of near-term growth catalysts.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/03/44425552/fedex-shares-fall-after-q3-earnings-miss-lower-fy25-revenue-forecast">"FedEx Shares Fall After Q3 Earnings Miss, Lower FY25 Revenue Forecast"</a>, by Shivani Kumaresan, reports that FedEx Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FDX#NYSE">FDX</a>) tumbled after missing fiscal third-quarter earnings estimates and trimming its full-year revenue outlook amid continued demand weakness.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44364206/trump-media-technology-insiders-dump-shares">"Trump Media &amp; Technology Insiders Dump Shares"</a>, by Bibhu Pattnaik, reveals that insiders at Trump Media &amp; Technology Group, which plans to merge with Digital World Acquisition Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DWAC#NASDAQ">DWAC</a>), have offloaded shares ahead of the company's anticipated public debut.
For more bearish takes, be sure to see these posts:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44433594/nio-misses-revenue-estimates-lowers-q1-forecast-amid-stronger-competition-in-ev-market">NIO Q4 Earnings: Revenue &amp; EPS Miss, 45% Delivery Growth, Margin Gains And More</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44357674/restaurant-sales-sink-recession-warning-or-just-weather-driven-dip">Restaurant Sales Sink: Recession Warning Or Just Weather-Driven Dip?</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/25/03/44395415/trump-administration-weighs-deep-cuts-to-domestic-hiv-prevention-programs-gilead-stock-slides">Trump Administration Weighs Deep Cuts To Domestic HIV Prevention Programs, Gilead Stock Slides</a>
Keep up with all the latest breaking news and trading ideas by following <a href="https://twitter.com/Benzinga" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga</a><a href="http://twitter.com/Benzinga" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> on X</a>.
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Tesla, Nvidia, FedEx — And The Market Digests The Fed's Rate Decision

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<li>TSLA</li>
<li>WAR</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>MU</li>
<li>X</li>
<li>QQQ</li>
<li>AAPL</li>
<li>MSTR</li>
<li>NKE</li>
<li>TSLR</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

TSLR

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of March 21, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

BMO Capital analyst Katja Jancic maintains United States Steel (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) with a Outperform and raises the price target from $40 to $45.

BMO Capital Maintains Outperform on United States Steel, Raises Price Target to $45

United States Steel Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) is flashing bullish signals, riding an 8.35% gain over the past five days and forming <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/golden-cross">a Golden Cross</a>, a technical indicator often linked to continued upside. 
Shares now sit above their key moving averages, suggesting strong momentum as Wall Street weighs the company's earnings outlook and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44380592/trump-eyes-approval-of-controversial-steel-merger-nippon-and-us-steel-await-key-decision">merger drama</a>.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="618" height="487" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/21074314/Screenshot-2025-03-21-at-5.13.01-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-835753" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/21074314/Screenshot-2025-03-21-at-5.13.01-PM.png 618w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/21074314/Screenshot-2025-03-21-at-5.13.01-PM-300x236.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 618px) 100vw, 618px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">X Stock: Golden Cross Fuels Bullish Momentum</h2>
X stock has decisively broken above its short- and long-term moving averages, reinforcing a bullish trend:
<ul>
<li>The stock trades at $41.06, well above its eight-day SMA (simple moving average) of $39.51, 20-day SMA of $38.42 and 50-day SMA of $37.56 &#8211; all flashing bullish signals.</li>
<li>Even its 200-day SMA of $37.40 is far behind, underscoring solid technical strength.</li>
</ul>
With this momentum, traders are watching whether X can break through resistance and extend gains.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/guidance/25/03/44432858/us-steel-faces-q1-pressures-but-eyes-long-term-gains-from-br2-nippon-partnership">US Steel Faces Q1 Pressures, But Eyes Long-Term Gains From BR2 &amp; Nippon Partnership</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">JPMorgan: Solid Foundation, But Merger Uncertainty Lingers</h2>
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson remains Overweight on X stock, with a $43 price target. The firm's Q1 EBITDA guidance of $125 million was in line with estimates and stronger than mini-mill rivals like Steel Dynamics Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STLD#NASDAQ">STLD</a>) and Nucor Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NUE#NYSE">NUE</a>).
However, challenges remain, including lagged pricing impacts, European demand weakness and start-up costs for its BRS2 expansion.
While the Nippon Steel Corp (OTCPK: NISTF) merger remains uncertain, Peterson sees US Steel's valuation supported above $40 per share, suggesting any regulatory setback could create a dip-buying opportunity.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Billionaire Druckenmiller Bets Big On X Stock</h2>
Adding intrigue, hedge fund titan Stanley Druckenmiller has more than <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/03/44423382/billionaire-stanley-druckenmiller-boosts-us-steel-stake-by-143-is-he-betting-on-merger">doubled his stake</a> in US Steel, increasing his position by 143% last quarter. His bet comes as President Donald Trump hints at supporting the blocked Nippon deal—potentially reopening the door for a takeover.
With a Golden Cross, strong buying momentum, and a billionaire-backed vote of confidence, US Steel's next move could be explosive. Will the stock break out, or will regulatory uncertainty put a lid on the rally?
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44380592/trump-eyes-approval-of-controversial-steel-merger-nippon-and-us-steel-await-key-decision">Trump Eyes Approval Of Controversial Steel Merger: Nippon, US Steel Await Key Decision</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Analyst Color

Long Ideas

Technicals

Signals

NISTF

US Steel Stock Surges Forming Golden Cross, Does Billionaire Investment In X Signal More Upside?

United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>) shares are trading lower premarket on Friday. On Thursday, the company guided for the first quarter of 2025 adjusted EPS loss of 53 cents &#8211; 49 cents vs. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/03/b44425492/united-states-steel-corporation-provides-first-quarter-2025-guidance" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">consensus loss of 30 cents</a>.
Also, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of about $125 million in the first quarter of 2025, in line with prior&nbsp;first quarter&nbsp;outlook of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/43353295" rel="noreferrer noopener">$100 million&nbsp;&#8211; $150 million.</a>
The company projects the Flat-Rolled segment&#8217;s adjusted EBITDA to be lower sequentially on typical seasonal logistics constraints in the mining sector, which is expected to unwind in the second quarter.
United States Steel expects higher average selling prices and higher volumes <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance">to partially offset this mining impact.</a>
Meanwhile, the company anticipates Mini Mill segment&#8217;s adjusted EBITDA to be higher Q/Q on higher shipments.
Apart from this, the European segment&#8217;s adjusted EBITDA is expected to improve Q/Q due to an increase in shipments, volume efficiencies, and favorable raw material pricing despite the challenging demand environment in Europe.
On the other hand, the company sees Tubular segment&#8217;s adjusted EBITDA to be higher Q/Q led by an increase in prime shipments and rise in average selling prices.
President and Chief Executive Officer David B. Burritt said, &#8221;BR2 is expected to make a significant contribution to our 2025 EBITDA, with run-rate throughput expected during the second half of 2025 and full run-rate capability in 2026.&#8221;
&#8220;We applaud President Trump&#8217;s leadership and advocacy for the American steel industry in his recent tariff announcements. We continue to assess the benefit we expect from these tariff policies.&#8221;
&#8221;Combined with the partnership with Nippon Steel, which includes investment commitments, technology transfer and innovation, U. S. Steel&#8217;s future is extremely bright.&#8221;
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via&nbsp;VanEck Steel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLX#NYSE">SLX</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Metals &amp; Mining ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XME#NYSE">XME</a>).
Price Action: X shares are down 1.34% at $40.51 premarket at the last check Friday.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/25/03/44423382/billionaire-stanley-druckenmiller-boosts-us-steel-stake-by-143-is-he-betting-on-merger" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Boosts US Steel Stake By 143%: Is He Betting On Merger?</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock.

Guidance

US Steel Faces Q1 Pressures, But Eyes Long-Term Gains From BR2 & Nippon Partnership

First Quarter Adjusted EBITDA Commentary
The Flat-Rolled segment's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be lower than the fourth quarter primarily driven by typical seasonal logistics constraints in the mining sector, which will unwind in the second quarter. We anticipate that higher average selling prices and increased volumes will partially offset this mining impact.
The Mini Mill segment's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be higher than the fourth quarter due to an increase in shipments. For the first quarter, we expect approximately $50 million in ramp-related impact from BR2. These costs are included in our first quarter adjusted EBITDA guidance for the Mini Mill segment.
The European segment's adjusted EBITDA is expected to improve compared to the fourth quarter, largely due to an increase in shipments, volume efficiencies and favorable raw material pricing, yet the sector will continue to face pressures from a challenging demand environment in Europe.
The Tubular segment's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be higher than the fourth quarter due to an increase in prime shipments and higher average selling prices.
<figure class="table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" rowspan="1">UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA GUIDANCE&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" rowspan="1">(Dollars in millions)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Reconciliation to Projected Adjusted EBITDA Included in Guidance</td>
<td colspan="3" rowspan="1">Q1 2025</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected net earnings attributable to United States Steel Corporation included in guidance</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(145</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Estimated income tax provision</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(50</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Estimated net interest and other financial costs (income)</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">30</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Estimated depreciation, depletion, and amortization</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">245</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected EBITDA included in guidance</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">80</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Estimated adjustments</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">45</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected adjusted EBITDA included in guidance</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">125</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure><figure class="table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" rowspan="1">UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS GUIDANCE&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" rowspan="1">(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Reconciliation to Projected Adjusted Net Earnings Attributable to U. S. Steel Included in Guidance</td>
<td colspan="3" rowspan="1">Q1 2025</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected net earnings attributable to United States Steel Corporation included in guidance</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(145</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Estimated adjustments</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">30</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected adjusted net earnings attributable to United States Steel Corporation included in guidance</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(115</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure><figure class="table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Reconciliation to Projected Adjusted Net Earnings Per Diluted Share Included in Guidance</td>
<td colspan="3" rowspan="1">Q1 2025</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected net earnings per diluted share included in guidance (mid-point of guidance)</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(0.64</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Estimated adjustments</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">0.13</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Projected adjusted net earnings per diluted share included in guidance (mid-point of guidance)</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(0.51</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Note: This reconciliation excludes the impact of the Company's quarterly adjustment related to the surplus VEBA assets and certain transaction-related costs. See Note 18 in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, for an explanation of the surplus VEBA assets. The excluded items are not expected to impact adjusted EBITDA.

United States Steel Corp Sees Q1 2025 EPS $(0.53)-$(0.49) Vs $(0.30) Est; Sees Adj. EBITDA Of ~$125M

United States Steel Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/X#NYSE">X</a>), a giant of American industry, fell into tough times in recent decades. As company management <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43576917/trump-says-reconsiders-nippon-steels-149-billion-us-steel-deal-theyve-agreed-to-invest-heavilyas-opposed-to-own-it">explores merger opportunities</a>, hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller made a large bet on the Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania-based company.
What Happened: Druckenmiller&#8217;s Duquesne Family Office&#8217;s latest 13f filing showed an increased stake in the steel giant.
The hedge fund manager owned 1,610,040 company shares as of Dec. 31, 2024, up from 663,090 in 2024&#8217;s third quarter. Thus, Druckenmiller increased his stake by 143% just a few months after initiating his position.
United States Steel has frequently been in the headlines in recent months. The company planned to be acquired for $15 billion by Japanese company Nippon Steel, but the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42870745/nippon-steel-ceo-slams-tariffs-defends-15-billion-us-steel-merger-amid-national-security-concerns-we-never-think-that-industry-can-become-stronger-through-tariffs-alone" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Biden Administration blocked</a> the deal.
The odds of a deal between the two companies clearing regulators appeared low during much of 2024. Another bidder <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/mid-cap/25/01/43275376/who-is-alan-kestenbaum-activist-investor-ancoras-pick-to-lead-us-steel">challenged Nippon Steel</a> to acquire the company in January.
However, President Donald Trump has recently contemplated <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/25/02/43574248/trump-hints-at-rekindling-nippon-steels-14-billion-acquisition-of-united-steel-in-talks-with-japanese-pm-ishiba">supporting the deal</a> after meeting with Japanese officials. The Trump Administration recently <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44380592/trump-eyes-approval-of-controversial-steel-merger-nippon-and-us-steel-await-key-decision">granted the companies</a> a 21-day extension in their lawsuit over the proposed merger.
Druckenmiller, famously a top-down investor, could have invested in United States Steel due to possible Trump Administration tailwinds. The company&#8217;s stock has also benefitted from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44269301/trumps-25-tariffs-on-steel-and-aluminum-imports-take-effect-eu-retaliates-us-steel-nucor-century-aluminum-and-other-domestic-stocks-cheer">Trump&#8217;s steel tariffs</a>. 
Shares of United States Steel are trading up over 25% in 2025, one of the top-performing stocks according to <a href="http://benzinga.com/pro">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Also Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44420778/us-consumers-face-risks-as-rising-cost-of-living-job-market-cracks-threaten-spending-bank-of-america-warns">US Consumers Face Risks As Rising Cost Of Living, Job Market &#8216;Cracks&#8217; Threaten Spending, Bank of America Warns</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Vladimir Mulder/Shutterstock.com

Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Boosts US Steel Stake By 143%: Is He Betting On Merger?

<ul>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>MSTR</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>RDDT</li>
<li>WAR</li>
<li>X</li>
<li>QQQ</li>
<li>LINE</li>
<li>GOOGL</li>
</ul>
Data From <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
&nbsp;

LINE

Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of March 20, 2025 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

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<li>TSLA</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>MSTR</li>
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<li>GOOGL</li>
<li>LINE</li>
<li>WAR</li>
<li>GLD</li>
<li>X</li>
<li>J</li>
</ul>
Data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
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Date	Put/Call	Strike Price	Exp Date	DTE	Trade Vol	Day Vol	Vol / OI	OI	Trade Type	Sentiment
09:41 AMFeb 19, 2025	CALL	$43.00	Apr 17, 2025	16	0	10000	0	36	TRADE	BULLISH
01:19 PMFeb 18, 2025	CALL	$42.00	Mar 21, 2025	-11	12574	6801	47	27008	TRADE	BEARISH