SPDR S&P Retail ETF에 대한 매도 수량은 투자자에게 SPDR S&P Retail ETF의 주식 하락에 베팅하는 정도를 알려줍니다. 매도 수량 데이터는 2주마다 업데이트됩니다.

SPDR S&P Retail ETF (ARCA:XRT), 공매도 수량 보고

SPDR S&P Retail ETF

Consumer Cyclical

Consumer Defensive

Healthcare

Energy

Industrials

Other

Communication Services

In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Retail Select Industry Index (the index), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the retail segment of the S&P Total Market Index (S&P TMI).

Sprouts Farmers Markets Inc.

Carvana Co. Class A

Monro Inc

Camping World Holdings Inc

Buckle Inc/the

Rent-a-center Inc

Carmax Inc.

Foot Locker Inc

Penske Automotive Group Inc

Group 1 Automotive Inc

Equities

Large Cap

Macro Economic Events

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Econ #s

Economics

Markets

Tech

ETFs

AAPL

AMZN

GOOG

GOOGL

MSFT

TSLA

미국 대통령 선거가 2주 앞으로 다가오면서 투자자들의 위험 선호도가 잠시 주춤해져, 월스트리트가 전반적으로 보합세를 보이며 한 주를 보냈다. 선거 불확실성이 계속해서 투자자들 사이에 큰 영향을 미치고 있으며, 재정 정책과 관세로 인한 잠재적인 무역 혼란에 대한 우려가 지속되고 있다.

이번 주 시장 동향: 대선을 앞둔 투자자들의 신중함, 국채 수익률 급등, 테슬라의 놀라운 소식

News

Education

Personal Finance

억만장자 투자자이자 투자 전문가인 워런 버핏은 그의 탄탄한 금융 조언으로 초보자들과 전문가들 모두로부터 존경을 받고 있다. 토요일, 그는 편지를 통해 발표한 메시지를 통해 지혜의 진수를 공유했다. 비용 절감: 버핏은 주식 추천을 하지 않는다는 경고로 메시지를 시작하면서 소비자가 버크셔 해서웨이(NYSE:BRK) (NYSE:BRK)의 자회사인 가이코(GEICO)와 보샤임(Borsheim&#39;s) 두 곳의 서비스를 신뢰할 수 있다고 말했다.

&#39;실제 돈&#39;을 절약하고 싶어요? 버핏의 현금이 부족한 소비자를 위한 2가지 조언

Robonomics Network - United States Dollar

XORTX Therapeutics Inc

Market Summary

General

Benzinga Market Summary: S&P Falls On Weak Walmart Guidance, Cruise Stocks Fall After Commerce Secretary Lutnick Suggests US Tax Crackdown

PLTR

Benzinga Market Summary: Walmart Issues Weaker-Than-Expected Outlook, S&P Falls, Palantir Continues Lower On Wednesday Reports Of Pentagon Budget Cuts

Guidance

Walmart Sees Q1 2026 Adj. EPS $0.57-$0.58 Vs $0.64 Estimate

Redbook: US Retail Sales +4.5% Vs +4% Prior

Benzinga Market Summary: Morgan Stanley Beats Q4 Expectations, Retail Sales Miss Estimates, S&P Rises

US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) +0.4% vs +0.5% Est.; +0.2% Prior

Emerging Market ETFs

NVDA

Benzinga Market Summary: NVIDIA Falls As Market Digests CES Announcements, S&P Slides As Yields Gain Following Economic Data, Gold And Silver Rise, Adobe Analytics Data Show Record Holiday Sales

Macro Notification

Retail Sales

Adobe Analytics Data Shows Consumers Spent $241.4B Online From Nov. 1 To Dec. 31, Up 8.7% YoY; Electronics Up 8.8%, Apparel Up 9.9%, Furniture/Home Goods Up 6.8%

Benzinga Market Summary: Retail Stocks Rise, MasterCard Data Shows Rise In Holiday Retail Sales, Initial Jobless Claims Come In Below Estimates

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASO#NASDAQ">ASO</a>) stock tanked Tuesday after its <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/12/g42411032/academy-sports-outdoors-reports-third-quarter-2024-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">third-quarter print</a>.
The company reported adjusted earnings per share of 98 cents, missing the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/earnings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">analyst consensus estimate of $1.30</a>. Quarterly sales of $1.34 billion (down 3.9%) missed the street view of $1.39 billion.
Academy Sports registered a comparable sales decline of 4.9%, comparatively narrower than the decline of 8.0% year over year.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/12/42340973/signet-jewelers-stock-tanks-after-dismal-q3-print-guidance-cut" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Signet Jewelers Stock Tanks After Dismal Q3 Print, Guidance Cut</a>
Academy Sports concluded the quarter with cash and equivalents totaling $296 million, net merchandise inventories amounting to $1.53 billion, and net long-term debt of $483.1 million.
The gross margin declined 50 bps to 34.0%.
Academy opened eight new stores during the third quarter and another five new stores early in the fourth quarter, bringing the total store count to 298. To date, in fiscal 2024, the company has opened 16 new stores and plans to open 20-25 stores in 2025.
Dividend:&nbsp;Academy Sports has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.11 per share of common stock.
CEO Steve Lawrence said the team drove a 7% sales increase in the outdoor division in the quarter. He flagged progress in refining its new store opening process and pipeline, improving its website experience, expanding its targeted marketing capabilities with its new loyalty program, and streamlining its supply chain.
Outlook:&nbsp;Academy Sports projects fiscal year 2024 net sales of $5.895 billion—$5.940 billion (<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/09/40795621/academy-sports-struggles-with-lower-sales-in-q2-cuts-fy24-outlook-amid-distribution-challenges" rel="noreferrer noopener">prior $5.895 billion—$6.075 billion</a>),&nbsp;compared to the $6.02 billion estimate.
The company expects adjusted EPS of $5.80-$6.10 (prior $5.75-$6.50) <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">versus the $6.21 estimate</a>.
The updated outlook for comparable sales is a decrease of 6% to a decline of 5% (from a prior decrease of 6% to a reduction of 3%).
Academy Sports and Outdoors stock plunged over 25% year-to-date. Investors can gain exposure to the stock through Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QVAL#NASDAQ">QVAL</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>).
Price Action:&nbsp;ASO stock is down 3.79% to $48.50 premarket at last check Tuesday.
Also Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42340154/science-applications-q3-earnings-beats-estimates-launches-12-billion-share-buyback-outlook" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Science Applications Approves $1.2 Billion Stock Buyback, Raises Annual Outlook After Q3 Beat</a></li>
</ul>

Earnings

QVAL

Academy Sports Struggles In Q3 With Lower Sales And Profit, Cuts Outlook For 2024

Victoria's Secret &amp; Co.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSCO#NYSE">VSCO</a>) shares are trading higher after the company reported<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/12/g42351316/victorias-secret-co-reports-third-quarter-2024-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;third-quarter results yesterday</a>.
Revenue rose 7% year over year (Y/Y) to&nbsp;$1.347&nbsp;billion, beating the consensus of&nbsp;$1.294 billion. Total comparable sales for the quarter&nbsp;increased 3% Y/Y.
Sales was led by mid-single digit growth in North America and 20+% growth from the International business.
Adjusted operating loss stood at $28 million vs. loss of $60 million a year ago quarter.
Adjusted EPS&nbsp;loss of&nbsp;$(0.50) beat&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" rel="noreferrer noopener">the consensus of&nbsp;$(0.63)</a>, vs. guidance for <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/08/40626140/whats-going-on-with-lingerie-giant-victorias-secret-stock-today" rel="noreferrer noopener">adjusted EPS loss of&nbsp;$(0.60)&nbsp;–&nbsp;$(0.80)</a>.
&#8220;Our strength for the quarter was broad-based across all regions, all channels, all major merchandise categories and importantly all brands — Victoria&#8217;s Secret, PINK and Adore Me — were up to last year,&#8221; CEO Hillary Super said.
&#8221;We won the major moments during the quarter, starting with PINK back to campus in August, followed by our VSX sport launch in September and finishing the quarter with the return of the VS Fashion Show in October.&#8221;
Super noted the company&#8217;s strength in sales and disciplined inventory management translated to strong margins which were up to last year, &#8220;and our teams continue to be relentless on controlling costs in our business.&#8221;
&#8221;We are excited to see our momentum from the third quarter continue through Black Friday and Cyber Monday. Our merchandise offering and giftable product assortments are resonating with the customer and driving traffic both in stores and online. The strong product acceptance supported by our best-in-mall store experience and dozens of digital enhancements are driving solid conversion and basket size,&#8221; Super added.
Outlook: For the&nbsp;fourth&nbsp;quarter, Victoria's Secret expects&nbsp;net sales growth of 2%-4% and adjusted EPS of<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">&nbsp;$2.00-$2.30 vs. estimate of&nbsp;$2.10</a>.
Victoria&#8217;s Secret revised its FY24 projections, increasing net sales growth to 1%-2% (from a decline of 1% prior) and raised its operating income forecast to $315 million-$345 million (from $275 million-$300 million earlier).
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via Tremblant Global ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TOGA#NYSE">TOGA</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>).
VSCO Price Action: Victoria&#8217;s Secret &amp; Co. shares are up 10.51% at $47.54 premarket at publication Friday.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40926122/victorias-secret-new-leadership-is-steering-brand-back-to-core-values-analyst-upgra" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Victoria&#8217;s Secret New Leadership Is Steering Brand Back To Core Values, Analyst Upgrades Stock</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Courtesy Victoria&#8217;s Secret

Small Cap

Movers

TOGA

VSCO

Victoria's Secret Lifts FY24 Guidance After Strong Q3: Sees Holiday Momentum

STLA

Benzinga Market Summary: Stellantis CEO Steps Down, Black Friday Sales Rose 3.4% Year Over Year, US Targets China With New Chip Restrictions

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the bond market will <a href="https://www.nyse.com/markets/hours-calendars#nyse">be closed</a> on Thursday, Nov. 28 for Thanksgiving. Markets will re-open at 9:30 am ET for regular trading on Black Friday, but the stock market will close early at 1 p.m. ET and the bond market will <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/42224605/10-insights-about-the-us-economy-for-thanksgiving-dinner-talk">lose at 2 p.m. ET</a>.
What To Know: Historically, markets perform well on Black Friday, with the S&amp;P 500 closing higher 69% of the time since 1960, according to data from Macrotrends. Investors looking to invest in the broader market can look to the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/retail-sales/24/11/42170721/thanksgiving-dinner-gobbles-up-19-more-cash-this-year-many-holiday-hosts-already-regret-their-decision">Thanksgiving Dinner Gobbles Up 19% More Cash This Year, Many Holiday Hosts &#8216;Already Regret Their Decision&#8217;</a>
The retail sector often outperforms the broader market around Black Friday. Investors can focus on retail sector ETFs like the SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>) or individual retailer's stocks like Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) or Walmart, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>) to capture the momentum created by one of the busiest shopping days of the year.&nbsp;
Upcoming Market Holidays:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Nov. 28, 2024 &#8211; Thanksgiving Day, markets closed.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Nov. 29, 2024 &#8211; Black Friday, stock market closes at 1 p.m. ET, bond market closes at 2 p.m. ET.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Dec. 24, 2024 &#8211; Christmas Eve, stock market closes at 1 p.m. ET, bond market closes at 2 p.m. ET.</li>
<li>Dec. 25, 2024 &#8211; Christmas Day, markets closed.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Dec. 31, 2024 &#8211; New Year's Eve,&nbsp; stock market regular hours, bond market closes at 2 p.m. ET.</li>
<li>Jan. 1, 2025 &#8211; New Year's Day, markets closed.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/retail-sales/24/11/42225933/black-friday-cyber-monday-shopping-set-to-break-sales-records">Black Friday, Cyber Monday Shopping Set To Break Sales Records</a>
Image: Reto Keller from Pixabay

Bonds

Is The Stock Market Open On Thanksgiving?

US Retail Sales Month Over Month (Oct) +0.4% vs +0.3% Est.; Prior +0.8%

With the presidential election just two weeks away, investor risk appetite is taking a pause, resulting in a broadly flat week for Wall Street. Election uncertainty continues to loom large among investors as concerns persist over fiscal policies and potential trade <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/10/41545408/tariffs-are-inflationary-imf-deputy-chief-rejects-trumps-trade-policies-as-elections-loom">disruptions due to tariffs.</a>
Treasury yields rose further during the week, reflecting growing expectations that regardless of the election outcome, the next administration may struggle to enact stricter fiscal measures.
Adding to the cautious mood, the International Monetary Fund issued warnings on the long-term trajectory <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41495286/deficit-strain-in-washington-will-get-worse-imf-warns-national-debt-projections-rev">of U.S. national debt. </a>&nbsp;
The S&amp;P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), endured three consecutive losing sessions before rebounding slightly to end the week, as strong earnings reinforced the view that corporate America remains resilient.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) was the standout in earnings this week, with investors cheering after the company announced plans to launch more affordable models by the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41501607/tesla-q3-earnings-highlights-eps-beat-revenue-miss-shares-climb-on-2025-timeline-for-lower-cost-evs">first half of 2025</a>. Shares of Tesla surged 21% on Thursday, marking the stock&#8217;s biggest single-day gain since May 2013.
Looking ahead, the spotlight turns to next week's earnings from five of the Magnificent Seven: Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>)(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Microsoft Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NYSE">MSFT</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) — as well as official October labor market statistics.
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<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Musk's Wealth Surges</h1>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41538307/elon-musk-sees-33-5b-wealth-surge-in-a-day-as-tesla-stock-adds-nearly-150b-in-best-performance-i">Elon Musk's fortune skyrocketed</a> by $33.5 billion in one day following Tesla's stock rally that boosted its valuation by nearly $150 billion. This impressive market performance underscores investors' renewed optimism in Tesla's future growth and dominance in the EV sector.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Boeing Strike Continues</h1>
Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) machinists rejected a proposed 3.5% wage hike, prolonging <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41507795/boeing-machinists-reject-35-wage-hike-deal-extending-5-week-strike-amid-6b-loss-and-cash-burn-wa">their five-week strike</a>. The ongoing labor dispute compounds Boeing&#8217;s financial struggles, with the company already facing a $6 billion loss and significant cash burn as it seeks to resolve worker grievances.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">GM Earnings Impress</h1>
General Motors Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, with revenue and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41451229/general-motors-q3-earnings-revenue-and-eps-beat-raises-annual-profit-outlook-on-growing-consumer-de">EPS surpassing forecasts.</a> Buoyed by strong consumer demand, the company raised its annual profit outlook, reinforcing its growth momentum and financial resilience. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41521047/why-general-motors-gm-stock-is-up-7-this-week">Shares rallied over 7%.</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Holiday Spending Outlook</h1>
U.S. shoppers plan to spend $2,100 this holiday season, up 7% from 2023, according to a Bank of America survey. The increase signals robust consumer confidence, brightening the outlook for retail stocks, as gauged by the SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>). Historical trends suggest they usually <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41531380/us-shoppers-plan-to-spend-2-100-this-holiday-season-7-higher-than-2023-when-should-traders-start">outperform after the holiday season.</a>
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Photo: Wall Street illustration created using artificial intelligence via MidJourney.

Investors Cautious With Election Ahead, Treasury Yields Surge Further, Tesla Surprises: This Week In The Market

U.S. consumers plan to shell out $2,100 on holiday shopping this year, a 7% increase over 2023, according to a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/bank-of-america">new survey from Bank of America</a>.
The 2024 holiday season promises to be dynamic, with more consumers shopping earlier and spending more, despite lingering economic concerns. 
Online shopping continues to grow, and reward points are increasingly becoming a go-to tool for managing holiday expenses. Gift cards, meanwhile, are solidifying their place as a favored gift option across generations.
See Also:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/emerging-markets/24/10/41528747/oil-prices-fall-as-us-top-israeli-negotiators-plan-meeting-in-doha-for-gaza-cease-fire-h"> Oil Prices Fall As US, Top Israeli Negotiators Plan Meeting In Doha For Gaza Cease-Fire, Hostage Talks</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Early Holiday Shopping Trends: A Shift Toward Black Friday</h3>
According to the survey, 54% of consumers expect to shop on Black Friday, making it the most popular day for holiday deals. 
Moreover, 49% of respondents intend to begin their holiday shopping on Black Friday, Cyber Monday, or even earlier, showing that the demand for early-season discounts continues to dominate.
In terms of spending, Americans are expected to shell out an average of $2,100 during the holiday season, marking a 7% increase compared to 2023. Generational differences are evident, with Baby Boomers budgeting about $800, while Gen X will spend around $1,200. 
On the higher end, Millennials plan to spend $4,000, and Gen Z forecasts around $3,300.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Economic Strain And Shopping Preferences</h3>
The survey reveals that 62% of Americans anticipate financial strain due to holiday expenses—though this is a slight improvement from last year&#8217;s 67%. 
Younger generations, particularly Gen Z and Millennials, are the most likely to feel this pressure, with 68% in each group expecting financial strain. In contrast, 63% of Gen X and 54% of Baby Boomers share the same concern.
Nearly 60% of respondents plan to shop more at discount retailers compared to last year, with a preference for wholesalers/big-box stores (54%), e-commerce sites (41%) and dollar stores (39%). 
Online shopping remains a crucial part of the holiday retail landscape. 48% of survey respondents said they will increase their online shopping this year, while 13% plan to shop online less. 
This surge aligns with the latest Bank of America&#8217;s credit and debit card data, which shows that online spending at retailers increases by about 35% during November and December compared to non-holiday months.
Millennials lead the charge in online shopping, with 43% of their retail transactions made online, while Gen Z trails with 33%.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Gift Cards: The Preferred Holiday Choice</h3>
Gift cards continue to be a popular choice for both givers and receivers during the holidays. The Bank of America survey found that nearly 99% of people who receive gift cards appreciate them. 
More than six out of 10 consumers received gift cards during last year's holiday season, with 35% of respondents saying they prefer gift cards over physical gifts. Additionally, 61% of consumers are equally satisfied with both gift cards and traditional presents.
Regarding gift card usage, 47% of consumers used all of their holiday gift cards last year, while 19% used most of them and 9% used only half.
According to the survey, 75% of consumers plan to start buying gift cards no earlier than October, with 13% making purchases in October, 35% in November, and 27% waiting until December. 
Gen Z leads the pack in receiving gift cards with 79% having received them during the holidays, followed by 75% of Millennials, 69% of Gen X, and 52% of Baby Boomers.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Implications: The Best Time To Buy Retail Stocks Is After The Holiday Season</h3>
A seasonality analysis of the SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>), a popular retail-focused exchange traded fund which includes heavyweights like Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Walmart Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>), Target Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>), and Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBY#NYSE">BBY</a>), uncovers a surprising trend: despite the holiday season being a retail bonanza for consumers, it&#8217;s actually a historically weak period for retail stocks. 
Over the last 17 years, the holiday months have shown on average negative performances for the retail sector, while the strongest gains are concentrated in the first four months of the year.
For retail stocks, December represents the second-worst month of the year after June, with an average drop of 1.46%. In contrast, February and January are the best months, with average gains of 2.16% and 1.1%, as per TradingView data. 
The rationale behind this counterintuitive trend may lie in the timing of earnings reports. Investors tend to wait for post-holiday earnings results, which often reflect the success of the season. 
As those results come in after the holidays, there's a rush of buying on positive news, causing stock prices to rally early in the following year, rather than during the holiday period itself.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="500" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24152706/image-245-1024x500.png" alt="" class="wp-image-612942" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24152706/image-245-1024x500.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24152706/image-245-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24152706/image-245-768x375.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24152706/image-245-1536x750.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24152706/image-245.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
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US Shoppers Plan To Spend $2,100 This Holiday Season, 7% Higher Than 2023: When Should Traders Start Buying Retail Stocks?

Benzinga Market Summary: ECB Cuts Rates, Chip Stocks Gain After Strong Guidance From TSM, Sept. Retail Sales Beat Estimates

Consumers remained a pillar of support for the economy despite the high interest-rate environment that has prevailed since early 2022. With the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/09/40965372/fed-delivers-large-interest-rate-cut-in-bid-to-sustain-labor-market-stocks-gold-set-new-record-h">Federal Reserve implementing a substantial 50 basis-point</a> rate cut, the benefits of which are expected to trickle down to them, consumers are forecasted to splurge on purchases this holiday season, according to early forecasts provided by Adobe on Wednesday.
Vibrant Spending: Consumer E-commerce spending will likely reach a record $240.8 billion from Nov. 1 to Dec. 31, Adobe said. This included spending online, discounting, &#8216;Buy Now, Pay Later,&#8217; mobile shopping and more, it said. The forecast would mean an 8.4% year-over-year increase from the $221.8 billion spent in 2023, which saw a more modest 4.9% growth.
Electronics, apparel and furniture/home goods will account for the bulk of the spending. The firm&#8217;s analytics show spending on Black Friday &#8211; the Friday that follows the Thanksgiving Thursday, and Thanksgiving day will grow 9.9% and 8.7%, respectively. Cyber Monday online spending is expected to be up a more modest 6.1%.
Adobe expects discounts to peak at 30% this season, and drive over $2 billion in incremental online spending for retailers. The firm also said consumers will likely trade up to more expensive goods this season as opposed to the trend seen in recent months. Expensive goods will likely make up 19% of the share of the total online spending. In electronics, the share will likely be a steeper 58%.
Mobile shopping could make up 53.2% of total online spending and spending through BNPL could see another record this time. BNPL sales are expected to rise 11.4% to $18.5 billion, over 75% of this driven by mobile purchases.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-retail-stocks">Best Retail Stocks</a>
Best Time To Buy: This time around, discounts would be more spread out, with deals starting in October itself, Adobe said, adding that goods could trade up to 16% off the listed price in October. The discount could go up to 18% in November before the Cyber Week.
Hot Sellers: Among the most sought-after items are:
<ul>
<li> Bluey Ultimate Lights</li>
<li> Sounds Playhouse​</li>
<li> Slime Kits</li>
<li>Sony Group Corp.&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNE#NYSE">SNE</a>) PlayStation 5</li>
<li>Madden NFL 25</li>
<li>Apple, Inc.&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40971882/as-apples-iphone-16-goes-on-sale-analyst-says-demand-off-to-strong-start-keeping-cu">iPhone 16</a></li>
<li> ice cream maker Ninja Creami</li>
</ul>
Stock Implications: With most spending likely happening online, those retailers having a strong online presence could be the ones to benefit the most. Pureplay electronics retailers such as Best Buy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBY#NASDAQ">BBY</a>), Apple and Sony, e-commerce giant Amazon, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and retailers such as Walmart, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>) and Costco Wholesale Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COST#NYSE">COST</a>) could also be preferred destination for buying consumer electronics goods. 
Madden NFL 25 is an American football video game developed by Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EA#NASDAQ">EA</a>) Orlando and published by EA Sports. It could be bought on EA&#8217;s website, Amazon, or any other video game retailer.
BNPL stocks such as Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AFRM#NASDAQ">AFRM</a>), Block, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SQ#NYSE">SQ</a>), and PayPal, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PYPL#NASDAQ">PYPL</a>) could reap the benefit of rising interest in purchases via the BNPL route.
The Commerce Department&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/09/40897882/retail-sales-rise-0-1-in-august-more-than-expected-boosting-odds-of-larger-fed-ra">retail sales report for August </a>released earlier this month showed an unexpected increase as weak auto &amp; auto parts sales were more than offset by strength in online sales, underlining the underlying strength. 
The SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>) ended Tuesday&#8217;s session up 0.80% at $77.13 but it has lost about 0.8% for the year even as the broader market hovers at a record high. The Fed rate cuts &#8211; the one announced and the two more anticipated before the year-end, and the seasonally strong holiday season could bring these stocks back to favor in the near term.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/content/40984858/dont-miss-these-3-retail-stocks-for-fall-gains">Don&#8217;t Miss These 3 Retail Stocks for Fall Gains</a></li>
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Top 10 Stock Picks For The Holiday Boom: Adobe Forecasts Unprecedented E-Commerce Sales This Season

Victoria&#8217;s Secret &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSCO#NYSE">VSCO</a>) shares are trading higher on Wednesday. Barclays analyst Adrienne Yih upgraded Victoria&#8217;s Secret to Equal Weight from Underweight and <a target="_blank" href="https://benzinga.com/quote/VSCO/analyst-ratings" rel="noreferrer noopener">raised the price target to $25 from $23</a>.
The analyst writes that the company has moved past its most challenging period. Despite a significant loss of market share in recent years, VSCO still holds around 20% of the U.S. intimate market.
The analyst says that they are more positive about the company due to the new management team&#8217;s industry experience, the second-half of FY24 guidance surpassing consensus expectations, a return to core brand values with new product innovations, and an anticipated recovery in merchandise margins from improved sales-to-inventory in the fourth quarter of 2023.
However, Yih remained cautious about the company until they saw positive sales growth, increased market share, and new product launches.
The turnaround for Victoria&#8217;s Secret and PINK is still in progress, and the analyst expects more significant impacts from new leadership in 2025.
The analyst estimates adjusted EPS of $2.04, $2.31, and $2.54 for FY24, FY25, and FY26, respectively.
Last month, Victoria&#8217;s Secret reported second-quarter revenue that fell 1% Y/Y to $1.417 billion, beating the $1.41 billion estimate. Adjusted EPS of $0.40 <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/08/40626140/whats-going-on-with-lingerie-giant-victorias-secret-stock-today" rel="noreferrer noopener">beat the $0.36 consensus</a>.
For the&nbsp;third quarter, Victoria&#8217;s Secret expects&nbsp;net sales to increase in low-single digits&nbsp;Y/Y and adjusted loss per share of&nbsp;$0.60&nbsp;–<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener"> $0.80&nbsp;vs.&nbsp;$0.65&nbsp;loss estimate</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via&nbsp;Tidal ETF Trust Aztlan Global Stock Selection DM SMID ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AZTD#NYSE">AZTD</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>).
Price Action: VSCO shares are up 3.7% at $25.17 at the last check Wednesday.
Photo via <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Victoria%27s_Secret_Store_10,_722_Lexington_Ave,_New_York,_NY_10022,_USA_-_Dec_2012.JPG">Wikimedia Commons</a>
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A possible strike by thousands of dockworkers at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/09/40713418/retailers-plea-for-deal-us-ports-union-start-two-day-talk-in-effort-to-prevent-disruptive-strike">East and Gulf coast ports</a> in October could result in major disruptions in the supply chain of goods coming in and out of the U.S., according to an export on container trade.
The International Longshoremen's Association (ILA), representing more than 85,000 dockworkers, may go on strike on Oct. 1 as the union&#8217;s contract expires on Sept. 30 and negotiations between the ILA and U.S. Maritime Alliance of terminal operators show signs of breaking down, said Christian Roeloffs, CEO of online container leasing platform Container xChange.
&#8220;A strike now appears increasingly likely, threatening to disrupt nearly half of the nation&#8217;s ocean trade,&#8221; he said on Tuesday.
&#8220;The uncertainty is compounded by the fact that the duration of these strikes is unclear — it could be resolved within weeks or drag on for months, as seen with the West Coast strike last year.
&#8220;September is traditionally one of the busiest months for U.S. containerized imports, driven by the peak shipping season as businesses prepare for the holiday rush.&#8221;
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/08/40451543/transatlantic-container-shipping-volumes-rise-as-possible-strike-at-u-s-ports-hovers">Transatlantic Container Shipping Volumes Rise As Possible Strike At U.S. Ports Hovers</a>
But it isn&#8217;t just a strike that threatens to disrupt the shipment of goods for the retail, automotive and other sectors, he said.
&#8220;This year presents an unprecedented combination of challenges that could heavily impact supply chains. Potential labor strikes, natural disasters, and tariff uncertainties are converging, creating a highly volatile environment for global trade,&#8221; he said. 
&#8220;This also led to the pulling forward of orders by retailers, which led to strong inventories in the U.S.&#8221;
A strike could also cause havoc for container leasing and trading companies by causing major delays, port congestion and rerouted cargo, Roeloffs said.
"Companies should anticipate short-term spikes in demand for leased containers as retailers rush to secure goods ahead of potential disruptions, particularly for seasonal inventory and industrial shipments," he said.
&#8220;While the threat of strikes looms large, it's important to note that U.S. inventories are currently strong due to the pulling forward of orders earlier this year to avoid existing disruptions. 
The retail, automotive and semiconductor industries, all of which could be impacted by a port strike, saw gains and losses into Tuesday&#8217;s mid-day trading.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Retail</h1>
<ul>
<li>Walmart Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>) fell 1.18% to $79.61</li>
<li>Target Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>) slipped 0.26% to $152.45</li>
<li>Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HD#NYSE">HD</a>) gained 0.89% to $385.42</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Automotive</h1>
<ul>
<li>Ford Motor Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>) gained 1.30% to $10.94</li>
<li>General Motors Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) picked up 1.59% to $47.62</li>
<li>Stellantis N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STLA#NYSE">STLA</a>) slipped 0.18% to $15.16</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Semiconductor</h1>
<ul>
<li>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>) fell 0.43% to $168.35</li>
<li>Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>) declined 0.87% to $162.59</li>
<li>Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QCOM#NASDAQ">QCOM</a>) rose 1.13% to $68.50</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Indexes that follow the retail and automotive sectors trended upward</h1>
<ul>
<li>Dow Jones Transportation Average, which is tracked by the iShares Transportation Average ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYT#BATS">IYT</a>), rose 1.2% to 16,032.91 points</li>
<li>S&amp;P Retail Select Industry Index, which is tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>), gained 1.4% to 10,375.45 points</li>
<li>S&amp;P 500 Automobiles &amp; Components Index&nbsp;rose 2.7% to 130.02 points. There is no exchanmge-traded fund that closely follows this index, but First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles &amp; Tech ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CARZ#NASDAQ">CARZ</a>) provides broad exposure to global automobile manufacturers and related companies, including those in the S&amp;P 500 Automobiles &amp; Components Index.</li>
</ul>
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</ul>
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iShares Dow Jones Transportation Average Index Fund

QCOM

US Port Strike In October Could Lead To Major Supply-Chain Disruptions, Says Container Trade Expert

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