TPG (NASDAQ:TPG) 주식

TPG Inc is an alternative asset management firm. It invests across five multi-product platforms namely Capital, Growth, Impact, Real Estate, Market Solutions, and TPG Angelo Gordon. The company focuses on large-scale, control-oriented private equity investments.

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새로이 등장한 블록 스타벅스(NASDAQ:SBUX)가 중국 사업의 일부 지분을 매각하려고 한다. 최근 1분기 중국 내 동일 매장 매출이 14% 감소하면서, 시애틀에 본사를 둔 이 커피 소매업체는 치열한 경제적 및 경쟁적 압박에 적응하기 위한 파트너십을 모색하고 있다.

딜 디스패치: 스타벅스 중국 사업 매각 고려, 노스볼트 파산, 다윈 파이낸셜이 광업에 대해 논의

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새로 등장한 블록 에볼런트 헬스(NYSE:EVH)가 매물로 나온 것으로 알려졌다. 버지니아 주 알링턴에 본사를 둔 이 소프트웨어 회사는 인수 문의를 받은 후 경매 프로세스를 시작했다. 잠재적인 구혼자 중에는 TPG(NASDAQ:TPG), 클레이톤, 듀블리에 &amp; 라이스(Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice), KKR &amp; 컴퍼니(NYSE:KKR)가 있다. 로이터는 건강 보험사 엘레반스 헬스(NYSE:ELV)가 한 사모 펀드 파트너와 협력하여 거래를 추진할 수 있다고 보고했다.

딜 디스패치: 쉘, 유니레버 외에도 매각 뉴스; 어니언이 알렉스 존스의 인포워스 인수 등

TPG Inc

TPG Telecom Ltd

TOP GLOVE CORP BHD ORD by Top Glove Corp.

Top Glove Corp Bhd

TPG Inc. - 6.950% Fixed-Rate Junior Subordinated Notes due 2064

TPG RE Finance Trust Inc

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. 6.25% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, $0.001 par value per share

CIBC analyst Bryce Adams maintains Equinox Gold (TSX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQX#TSX">EQX</a>) with a Neutral and raises the price target from C$9.5 to C$10.

News

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

TSX:EQX

CIBC Maintains Neutral on Equinox Gold, Raises Price Target to C$10

Wells Fargo analyst Larry Biegelsen maintains RxSight (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RXST#NASDAQ">RXST</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $22 to $17.

RXST

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on RxSight, Lowers Price Target to $17

Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski maintains Expedia Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EXPE#NASDAQ">EXPE</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $199 to $143.

EXPE

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Expedia Group, Lowers Price Target to $143

Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski maintains Airbnb (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ABNB#NASDAQ">ABNB</a>) with a Underweight and lowers the price target from $134 to $100.

ABNB

Wells Fargo Maintains Underweight on Airbnb, Lowers Price Target to $100

Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski maintains Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKNG#NASDAQ">BKNG</a>) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $5248 to $4567.

BKNG

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Booking Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $4567

UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Celanese (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CE#NYSE">CE</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $60 to $46.

UBS Maintains Neutral on Celanese, Lowers Price Target to $46

Following the Trump Administration announcing <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs" rel="noreferrer noopener">wide-ranging tariffs</a> on all imported products, with rates starting at 10% and going higher depending on the country, Needham published last Thursday, Friday, and Monday&#8217;s initial reactions to their coverage areas on who has the most exposure.
Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) stock <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/25/04/44651515/apple-analyst-holds-the-line-after-300-billion-rout-what-could-turn-stock-around" rel="noreferrer noopener">fell nearly 10% Thursday</a>, losing about $300 billion of market cap, owing to new tariffs. However, unless Apple gets an exemption, analyst Laura Martin calculated that Apple&#8217;s adjusted EPS will fall by over $2, down 28% from the analyst&#8217;s current fiscal 2025 EPS estimate of $7.32.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44645946/microsoft-halts-data-center-expansions-due-to-semiconductor-tariff-concerns-ai-overcapacity-fears" rel="noreferrer noopener">Microsoft Halts Data Center Expansions Due To Semiconductor Tariff Concerns, AI Overcapacity Fears</a>
By implication, Wall Street is betting there is a 30% chance Apple will get an exemption because Trump gave it an exemption in 2018.
The company committed to spending $500 billion in the U.S. over 4 years, creating 20,000 new jobs, and it is the most iconic U.S. brand in the world.
EPS down 28% is not the worst case. China retaliates against the U.S. by banning all or some Apple product sales in China, which were 17% of Apple&#8217;s total sales in fiscal 2024, which can pose a bigger threat.
Martin noted that DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DV#NYSE">DV</a>) business model is based on a fixed fee, not a revenue share of ad spending. The analyst noted that 100% of DoubleVerify&#8217;s revenue is virtual.
As per Martin, 30% of the company revenue is from outside the U.S., which is yet to be impacted. DoubleVerify verifies advertising in both Walled Gardens and the Open Internet, so if advertising happens anywhere, DoubleVerify should earn its fees.
DoubleVerify is well diversified across verticals, without significant exposure to industrials, autos, or durables, which are the most at risk from tariffs and fundamental growth drivers like new customers from moat, more up-sells of additional products to existing customers, incremental traction on DoubleVerify&#8217;s Meta pre-bid product, and new business wins could offset tariff-related weakness.&nbsp;&nbsp;
The impact of new tariffs on Viant Technology Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DSP#NASDAQ">DSP</a>) is 100% advantageous (i.e., virtual), with no hard goods. Viant Technology is missing the three most tariff-exposed ad categories: industrials, durables, and national autos.
Viant Technology&#8217;s largest ad categories are U.S. healthcare, U.S. universities, education, and travel/hospitality. Together, local autos plus CPG were less than 20% of total ad revenue in 2024, Martin estimated. So far, prior tariffs have only negatively impacted ad spending on avocados from Mexico.
Price Action: AAPL stock is trading lower by 4.89% to $179.26 at the last check on Monday.
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Image via Shutterstock

Analyst Color

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Tech

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AAPL

Analyst Forecasts Tariffs Impact On Apple's Profit And Highlights 2 Software Stocks That Are Safeguards

UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Eastman Chemical (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EMN#NYSE">EMN</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $123 to $115.

UBS Maintains Buy on Eastman Chemical, Lowers Price Target to $115

Wisconsin voters just sent a message that money doesn't buy everything.
In what became the most expensive judicial election in U.S. history, liberal judge Susan Crawford defeated conservative Brad Schimel to retain the Wisconsin Supreme Court&#8217;s 4-3 liberal majority. The race drew national attention not only for its implications but for the amount of money poured into it, and who was behind it.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Sanders Celebrates Grassroots Victory</h2>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Congratulations Wisconsin on electing Susan Crawford. As a result of your strong grassroots organizing, you have defeated the wealthiest person on earth. You have set an example for the rest of the country. We can do it. <a href="https://t.co/hpbsV7tFzi">https://t.co/hpbsV7tFzi</a>
&mdash; Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) <a href="https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1907261465909686750?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 2, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) praised voters on X, formerly Twitter, <a href="https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1907261465909686750">writing</a>: &#8220;Congratulations Wisconsin on electing Susan Crawford. As a result of your strong grassroots organizing, you have defeated the wealthiest person on earth. You have set an example for the rest of the country. We can do it.&#8221;
That &#8220;wealthiest person&#8221; is Elon Musk, who spent around $25 million backing Crawford's opponent. In all, more than $100 million was spent in the race, which included high-dollar donations on both sides, though Musk outspent everyone.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What's at Stake</h2>
With Wisconsin being a critical swing state, the court is expected to play a key role in decisions about congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential election. Democrats currently hold four seats on the court, and Crawford&#8217;s win keeps that majority intact.
Trending: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/vatom-adv">Invest in the Future of Digital Engagement. Own a Piece of the $100 Billion Metaverse Today for Just $500.</a>
As Musk himself put it in a Fox News <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQLZTIIW5ug&amp;t=625s">interview</a> before the election, &#8220;Losing this judge race has a good chance of causing Republicans to lose control of the House. [In that case] there will be nonstop impeachment hearings and subpoenas.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">&#8216;Our Courts Are Not for Sale&#8217;</h2>
&#8220;Wisconsin stood up and said loudly that justice does not have a price. Our courts are not for sale,&#8221; Crawford said in her victory speech.
Crawford, a Dane County judge and former lawyer for Planned Parenthood, campaigned in support of abortion rights and opposed a recent voter ID constitutional amendment. That amendment passed, making it harder to change existing ID laws in the future.
Despite being outspent, Crawford&#8217;s campaign benefited from strong Democratic turnout and support from major donors like George Soros, Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44369839/linkedin-co-founder-reid-hoffman-tells-stephen-colbert-why-elon-musk-running-the-doge-department-like-a-business-should-worry-us-all-government-and-companies-are-not-the-same">LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman</a>.
See Also: Hasbro, MGM, and Skechers trust this AI marketing firm — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/rad-intel">invest pre-IPO from $0.55 per share now</a>.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Musk&#8217;s Role in the Race</h2>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">I expected to lose, but there is value to losing a piece for a positional gain
&mdash; Elon Musk (@elonmusk) <a href="https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1907330613348073750?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 2, 2025</a></blockquote>
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Musk was more than just a donor. His political action committee offered cash incentives to voters who supported Schimel, including $100 payouts and even <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/03/44555540/elon-musk-sparks-legal-showdown-with-1-million-voter-payouts-in-wisconsin-defying-court-battle">two $1 million checks handed out at a rally</a>. His involvement sparked criticism and became a focal point in Democratic messaging.
During a rally, Musk said the judicial race was really about &#8220;control of the U.S. House of Representatives,&#8221; alluding to the court&#8217;s potential role in shaping congressional districts. Republicans currently hold six of Wisconsin&#8217;s eight seats in the House.
Still, Musk seemed unfazed after the loss, <a href="https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1907330613348073750">writing</a> on X: &#8220;I expected to lose, but there is value to losing a piece for a positional gain.&#8221;
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'You Have Defeated The Wealthiest Person On Earth,' Says Bernie Sanders As He Applauds Wisconsin's Choice Of Susan Crawford

UBS analyst Josh Silverstein maintains Range Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RRC#NYSE">RRC</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $41 to $36.

UBS Maintains Neutral on Range Resources, Lowers Price Target to $36

Global

Trump Says 'Not Looking At That' When Asked About Tariff Pause; Trump Says Japan Is Going To Have To Open Up Its Country

UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHW#NYSE">SHW</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $430 to $400.

UBS Maintains Buy on Sherwin-Williams, Lowers Price Target to $400

UBS analyst Josh Silverstein maintains Coterra Energy (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CTRA#NYSE">CTRA</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $37 to $33.

CTRA

UBS Maintains Buy on Coterra Energy, Lowers Price Target to $33

UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Cabot (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBT#NYSE">CBT</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $93 to $83.

UBS Maintains Neutral on Cabot, Lowers Price Target to $83

Macro Economic Events

Economics

Trump Says We're Having Direct Talks With Iran, Says Doing A Deal Would Be Preferable

UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Methanex (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MEOH#NASDAQ">MEOH</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $66 to $53.

MEOH

UBS Maintains Buy on Methanex, Lowers Price Target to $53

<a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Bessent-to-lead-U.S.-tariff-talks-with-Japan-with-yen-on-agenda" title="https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Bessent-to-lead-U.S.-tariff-talks-with-Japan-with-yen-on-agenda">https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Bessent-to-lead-U.S.-tariff-talks-with-Japan-with-yen-on-agenda</a>

Forex

Markets

Nikkei: 'Bessent to lead U.S. tariff talks with Japan, with yen on agenda'

UBS analyst Josh Silverstein maintains Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $146 to $135.

UBS Maintains Buy on Exxon Mobil, Lowers Price Target to $135

UBS analyst Joshua Spector maintains Westlake (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WLK#NYSE">WLK</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $144 to $127.

UBS Maintains Buy on Westlake, Lowers Price Target to $127

President Donald Trump's Liberation Day is living up to its name, though perhaps not in the way the administration envisioned. Thanks to last week's sweeping wave of tariffs, technical analysts have sounded the alarm about the potential for a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44662164/us-stock-futures-slump-following-massive-tariff-induced-selloff-experts-warn-of-a-brewing-great-depression-like-pattern">steep downturn reminiscent of the Great Depression</a>. Adding to the anxieties is that precious few companies have been spared volatility, not even tech juggernaut NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
While the bulls are mounting a comeback effort on Monday, over the past five sessions, NVDA stock lost roughly 11%. Since the start of the year, equity has slipped 28%, reflecting a dramatic turn of events tied to the post-pandemic recovery. Throughout 2023 and especially 2024, Nvidia saw its valuation skyrocket thanks to demand for its graphics processors, which have undergirded the artificial intelligence revolution.
Unfortunately for the optimists, a combination of competitive pressures, new rivals in the AI ecosystem and unfavorable (at least for now) political frameworks have created a headwind for NVDA stock. As such, market makers are pricing in negative outcomes for NVDA options, which makes perfect sense. If analysts are mentioning the Great Depression, it's safe to say that sentiment is poor.
However, the pessimism has gotten so rough that the risk profile in certain option spreads has become inverted, so to speak. This backdrop is creating an enticing proposition for clever contrarians.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How To Lose And Still Win With NVDA Stock</h2>
For the typical bull call spread strategy — especially one underlying a strong business enterprise like Nvidia — the target equity must rise above a breakeven threshold to be profitable. This makes intuitive sense because the trader is paying a net debit to hopefully realize a specific outcome.
On the other hand, sellers of call spreads are essentially betting against this outcome materializing. These folks start their position from a cash influx because they receive a credit (the debit the call buyer is paying). As such, call spread sellers aren't necessarily hoping that the security falls in value. Rather, just moving sideways is often good enough for the seller to keep the entire premium received.
What makes the present circumstance unique is that the fear of volatility is so intense that relatively high-payout bull call spreads don't require NVDA stock to rise. Instead, it just can't fall too much, which is, frankly, a wildly compelling deal.
Take, for example, the 92/93 bull call spread for the options chain expiring this coming Friday. This transaction involves buying the $92 call (at a time-of-writing ask of $690) and simultaneously selling the $93 call (at a bid of $620). The proceeds from the short call partially offset the debit paid for the long call, resulting in a net cash outlay of $70.
Should NVDA stock stay at or above the short strike price at expiration, the maximum reward comes from the difference between the strike prices (multiplied by 100 shares) minus the cash outlay or $30. That's a payout of nearly 43% — and NVDA doesn't have to rise! Currently, the market price is above the short strike price, so NVDA can even decline and still qualify for the full reward.
Of course, the market fluctuates constantly, so exact parameters may change. But currently, because of the tariff turmoil, the risk profile in certain call spreads is inverted. Rather than a traditional debit structure, the aforementioned call spread acts almost like a credit spread—but to the benefit of the debit buyer.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Compelling Math Behind the Risk Inversion</h2>
Based on pricing data since January 2019, the probability that any given week will be profitable is 56.13%. This is calculated by taking the number of up weeks divided by the total number of weeks in the dataset. As a baseline, then, the trader enjoys a house advantage when buying the aforementioned 92/93 bull spread expiring this week.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07140322/NVDA-stock-probabilities-04072025-1024x576.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-860524" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07140322/NVDA-stock-probabilities-04072025-1024x576.jpg 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07140322/NVDA-stock-probabilities-04072025-300x169.jpg 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07140322/NVDA-stock-probabilities-04072025-768x432.jpg 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07140322/NVDA-stock-probabilities-04072025.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image by author</figcaption></figure>
However, the question isn't whether NVDA stock will rise this week or not. Rather, it's the odds that NVDA will not drop below $93, the short strike price of the aforementioned call spread. Mathematically, traders spotted a 2% safety margin relative to the time-of-writing price of around $95. Therefore, the odds are focused on whether NVDA will at least do better than lose 2% this week.
On any given week, the chance that Nvidia stock will perform better than a 2% loss is nearly 72%.
Granted, this isn't a pure arbitrage situation. There's still risk involved and no guarantee that this call spread will be profitable. If another unprecedented event materializes, then NVDA stock may collapse beyond the magnitude provided by the safety margin.
Still, the bottom line is that the house is giving gamblers both a robust payout and some wiggle room. Such combinations don't come around too often.
Photo: Shutterstock

Equities

Long Ideas

Options

NVDA

Options Corner: Trump 2.0 Trauma Sparks 'Risk Inverted' Nvidia Call Spreads

Press Releases

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Announces Tax Treatment of 2024 Dividends

TPG to Present at the BofA Securities 2025 Financial Services Conference

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates

TPG Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Reports Operating Results for the Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2024

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend on Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Announces Pricing of $1.1 Billion Commercial Real Estate CLO

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend on Common Stock

TPG Names Jennifer Chu as Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Closes $1.1 Billion Commercial Real Estate CLO

TRTX

AllianceBernstein Holding

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. Common Stock

Affiliated Managers Group

Ameriprise Finl

Ares Capital Corporation - Closed End Fund

Ares Capital

Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock

Ares Management

Franklin Resources

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Common Stock

Bank of New York Mellon

BlackRock

Brookfield Corporation Class A Limited Voting Shares

Brookfield

Blackstone

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest

Blackstone Secured

Carlyle Group

Cohen & Steers

FS KKR Capital

Hamilton Lane Incorporated - Class A Common Stock

Hamilton Lane

Invesco

Janus Henderson Group plc Ordinary Shares

Janus Henderson Group

Main Street Capital Corporation Common Stock

Main Street Capital

Northern Trust Corporation - Common Stock

Northern Trust

Blue Owl Capital Corporation Common Stock

Blue Owl Capital

Blue Owl Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock

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